Fracture detection is essential for characterizing shale gas reservoirs. Although amplitude variation with azimuth methods are widely applied to predict vertical fractures, identifying horizontal fractures remains challenging due to their complex seismic responses, which differ from azimuthal anisotropy signatures. Quantitative seismic interpretation that integrates rock physics modeling with deep learning provides a promising framework for horizontal fracture prediction. However, the representativeness of available data poses a key limitation in areas with sparse borehole control, constraining the generalization capability of predictive models. A generalization-enhanced framework that combines rock physics-driven data augmentation with convolutional neural networks (CNN) is proposed to address this limitation. A shale-specific rock physics model for horizontal fractures is first established, followed by a model-based inversion scheme to estimate horizontal fracture density from well logs. The estimated fracture densities are then statistically expanded as random variables to generate augmented datasets that simulate spatial variability beyond borehole control. Corresponding elastic properties are computed using the rock physics model, forming physics-constrained datasets for CNN training. Cross-validation results demonstrate that the proposed data augmentation strategy reduces the root-mean-square error (RMSE) of horizontal fracture density estimation by approximately 14 %. Field application further confirms that the augmented model improves consistency with log-derived fracture densities and mitigates spurious anomalies compared with the non-augmented approach. The proposed framework thus provides a physics-guided and data-augmented methodology for robust prediction of horizontal fracture density, offering enhanced fracture characterization in shale gas reservoirs.
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