Pub Date : 2023-08-19DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00086-0
Bryce Kanago
{"title":"The Comovement Between Forecast Errors for Real GDP and Its Deflator in Six OECD Countries: Did Supply Shocks Become Less Dominant During the Great Moderation?","authors":"Bryce Kanago","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00086-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00086-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"16 1","pages":"149 - 169"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73704553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-16DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00085-1
S. Urasawa
{"title":"The Usefulness of High-Frequency Alternative Data to Obtain Nowcasts for Japan’s GDP: Evidence from Credit Card Data","authors":"S. Urasawa","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00085-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00085-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"56 1","pages":"191 - 211"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88546644","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-06DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00084-2
Barış Soybilgen, M. Yazgan, H. Kaya
{"title":"Nowcasting Turkish Food Inflation Using Daily Online Prices","authors":"Barış Soybilgen, M. Yazgan, H. Kaya","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00084-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00084-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"88 1","pages":"171 - 190"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91249326","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-06-10DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00083-3
O. Adeosun, R. O. Olayeni, M. Tabash, S. Anagreh
{"title":"Revisiting the Oil and Food Prices Dynamics: A Time Varying Approach","authors":"O. Adeosun, R. O. Olayeni, M. Tabash, S. Anagreh","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00083-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00083-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"178 1","pages":"1 - 35"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86510877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-05-22DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00082-4
K. Lahiri, Chunming Yang
{"title":"ROC and PRC Approaches to Evaluate Recession Forecasts","authors":"K. Lahiri, Chunming Yang","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00082-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00082-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"96 1","pages":"119 - 148"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76953408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-05-20DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00081-5
Bibiana Lanzilotta, Gabriel Merlo, Gabriela Mordecki, Viviana Umpierrez
{"title":"Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay Through VAR Modeling","authors":"Bibiana Lanzilotta, Gabriel Merlo, Gabriela Mordecki, Viviana Umpierrez","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00081-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00081-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"3 1","pages":"1 - 21"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79004075","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-03-01DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00080-y
Roland Döhrn
{"title":"Are German National Accounts informationally efficient?","authors":"Roland Döhrn","doi":"10.1007/s41549-022-00080-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-022-00080-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"27 1","pages":"23-42"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84434312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-15DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00079-5
R. Lehmann
{"title":"The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey","authors":"R. Lehmann","doi":"10.1007/s41549-022-00079-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-022-00079-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"67 1","pages":"43-94"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73898975","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-11-01DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00078-6
R. Nazir, M. Nasir, I. Khawaja
{"title":"Political Budget Cycle: A Sub-National Evidence from Pakistan","authors":"R. Nazir, M. Nasir, I. Khawaja","doi":"10.1007/s41549-022-00078-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-022-00078-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"52 1","pages":"343-367"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78330526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-10-18DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00077-7
M. Fortin, Marcelin Joanis, Philippe Kabore, L. Savard
{"title":"Determination of Quebec's Quarterly Real GDP and Analysis of the Business Cycle, 1948–1980","authors":"M. Fortin, Marcelin Joanis, Philippe Kabore, L. Savard","doi":"10.1007/s41549-022-00077-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-022-00077-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":"149 1","pages":"261 - 288"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73085665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}