Background: Plasma leakage is a key pathophysiological feature of severe dengue and typically precedes clinical deterioration. However, current diagnostic criteria rely on warning signs that often appear after leakage has begun.
Objectives: To identify early clinical and laboratory predictors of ultrasound-confirmed plasma leakage in adult dengue patients and evaluate their association with adverse clinical outcomes.
Methods: A retrospective cohort study of 507 adult patients with laboratory-confirmed dengue admitted to a tertiary Malaysian hospital between January 2022 and December 2023. Plasma leakage was defined by third-space fluid accumulation detected on point-of-care ultrasound. Multivariate logistic regression identified independent predictors from demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables measured at presentation.
Results: Ninety-nine patients (19.5%) developed plasma leakage. Independent predictors included older age (OR 1.042, 95% CI: 1.013-1.071), higher BMI (OR 1.615, 95% CI: 1.255-2.079), smoking (OR 2.955, 95% CI: 1.217-7.176), mucosal bleeding (OR 5.994, 95% CI: 1.152-31.185), elevated haematocrit (OR 1.613, 95% CI: 1.271-2.046), raised AST (OR 1.022, 95% CI: 1.011-1.033), low albumin (OR 0.850, 95% CI: 0.748-0.966), and elevated lactate (OR 29.668, 95% CI: 12.020-73.229). A lactate cut-off of ≥1.45 mmol/L yielded 96.0% sensitivity and 98.3% negative predictive value. These predictors were significantly associated with ICU admission, severe dengue, and prolonged hospital stay.
Conclusion: These findings support the use of objective, readily available markers to guide emergency department triage and decision-making where imaging is limited. The association between smoking and plasma leakage is a novel finding warranting further investigation.
扫码关注我们
求助内容:
应助结果提醒方式:
