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Jahrbuch fur Regionalwissenschaftt = Review of regional research最新文献

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Aging and regional productivity growth in Germany. 德国的老龄化和地区生产力增长。
Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1007/s10037-023-00188-3
Eckhardt Bode, Dirk Dohse, Ulrich Stolzenburg

We investigate the effects of aging on regional productivity growth, the mechanisms and the strength of which are not well-understood. We focus on two different manifestations of population aging-workforce aging and an increasing share of retirees-and investigate channels through which aging may impact on regional productivity growth for a panel of German counties 2000-2019. We find that workforce aging is more negatively associated with productivity growth in urban than in nonurban regions. A likely reason is that aging is detrimental to innovative and knowledge-intensive activities, which are heavily concentrated in cities. We also find a negative association between the share of the retired population and productivity growth in regions with a small household services sector. A likely reason is that older people's disproportionate demand for local household services (including health care, recreation) requires a re-allocation of resources from more productive manufacturing or business services to less productive household services. Regions specialized more in highly productive industries have more to lose in this process.

我们研究了老龄化对区域生产力增长的影响,其机制和强度尚不清楚。我们关注人口老龄化的两种不同表现——劳动力老龄化和退休人员比例的增加,并调查了2000-2019年德国一组县的老龄化可能影响地区生产力增长的渠道。我们发现,与非城市地区相比,城市地区的劳动力老龄化与生产力增长的负相关程度更高。一个可能的原因是,老龄化不利于创新和知识密集型活动,而这些活动主要集中在城市。我们还发现,在家庭服务部门规模较小的地区,退休人口的比例与生产力增长之间存在负相关。一个可能的原因是,老年人对当地家庭服务(包括医疗保健、娱乐)的过度需求需要将资源从生产力较高的制造业或商业服务重新分配到生产力较低的家庭服务。在这一过程中,更专注于高生产力产业的地区将损失更多。
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引用次数: 1
COVID-19 and housing prices: evidence from U.S. county-level data. 新冠肺炎与房价:来自美国县级数据的证据。
Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10037-023-00187-4
Hakan Yilmazkuday

This paper investigates the effects of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on housing prices at the U.S. county level. The effects of COVID-19 cases on housing prices are formally investigated by using a two-way fixed effects panel regression, where county-specific factors, time-specific factors, and mobility measures of individuals are controlled for. The benchmark results show evidence for negative and significant effects of COVID-19 cases on housing prices, robust to the consideration of several permutation tests, where the negative effects are more evident in counties with higher poverty rates. Exclusion tests further suggest that U.S. counties in the state of California or the month of May 2020 are more responsible for the empirical results, although the results based on other counties and months are still in line with the benchmark results.

本文调查了2019冠状病毒病(新冠肺炎)对美国县级房价的影响。新冠肺炎病例对房价的影响是通过使用双向固定效应面板回归进行正式调查的,其中国家特定因素、时间特定因素和个人流动性指标受到控制。基准结果显示了新冠肺炎病例对房价的负面和显著影响的证据,考虑到几个排列测试,这种负面影响在贫困率较高的县更为明显。排除测试进一步表明,美国加利福尼亚州或2020年5月的县对实证结果负有更大的责任,尽管基于其他县和月的结果仍然与基准结果一致。
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引用次数: 5
The regional variation of a housing boom. Disparities of land prices in Austria, 2000-2018. 房地产繁荣的地区差异。2000-2018年奥地利土地价格差异。
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1007/s10037-022-00176-z
Christian Reiner, Robert Musil

Debates accompanying the global housing boom have primarily focussed on the economic and social implications for urban housing markets. Against this background, this paper analyses the repercussions for regional land prices of a national housing boom in and beyond agglomerations. Convergence and divergence dynamics, regional price drivers, and spatial diffusion are investigated by examining average building-land prices of 95 Austrian regions between 2000 and 2018. The results indicate a clear increase in regional disparities in land prices, with the main rise taking place during a high price-growth period. Regions with high land prices are the main drivers of divergence, while a substantial number of peripheral regions with converging land prices were hardly affected by the national price boom. Land-price growth rates are positively affected by the number of households but negatively impacted by income growth, which points to a problematic decoupling of household income and land prices. Finally, the diffusion of the land-price boom occurs along the urban hierarchy as well as via neighbouring regions, confirming the ripple-effect hypothesis.

伴随全球房地产繁荣而来的争论主要集中在城市住房市场的经济和社会影响上。在此背景下,本文分析了集聚区内外国家住房热潮对区域地价的影响。通过考察2000年至2018年间奥地利95个地区的平均建筑用地价格,研究了趋同和分化动态、区域价格驱动因素和空间扩散。结果表明,土地价格的区域差异明显加剧,主要上涨发生在价格高增长时期。土地价格高的地区是差异的主要驱动因素,而大量土地价格趋同的外围地区几乎没有受到全国价格上涨的影响。土地价格增长率受到家庭数量的积极影响,但受到收入增长的负面影响,这表明家庭收入和土地价格脱钩存在问题。最后,地价繁荣的扩散沿着城市等级以及通过邻近地区发生,证实了连锁反应假说。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial networks and the spread of COVID-19: results and policy implications from Germany. 空间网络与新冠肺炎的传播:来自德国的结果和政策影响。
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.1007/s10037-023-00185-6
Matthias Flückiger, Markus Ludwig

Spatial networks are known to be informative about the spatiotemporal transmission dynamics of COVID-19. Using district-level panel data from Germany that cover the first 22 weeks of 2020, we show that mobility, commuter and social networks all predict the spatiotemporal propagation of the epidemic. The main innovation of our approach is that it incorporates the whole network and updated information on case numbers across districts over time. We find that when disease incidence increases in network neighbouring regions, case numbers in the home district surge one week later. The magnitude of these network transmission effects is comparable to within-district transmission, illustrating the importance of networks as drivers of local disease dynamics. After the introduction of containment policies in mid-March, network transmission intensity drops substantially. Our analysis suggests that this reduction is primarily due to a change in quality-not quantity-of interregional movements. This implies that blanket mobility restrictions are not a prerequisite for containing the interregional spread of COVID-19.

已知空间网络是关于新冠肺炎时空传播动力学的信息。使用德国2020年前22周的区级面板数据,我们发现流动性、通勤和社交网络都可以预测疫情的时空传播。我们方法的主要创新在于,它整合了整个网络,并随着时间的推移更新了各个地区的病例数信息。我们发现,当网络邻近地区的疾病发病率增加时,一周后家乡地区的病例数就会激增。这些网络传播影响的程度与地区内传播相当,说明了网络作为当地疾病动态驱动因素的重要性。3月中旬出台遏制政策后,网络传播强度大幅下降。我们的分析表明,这种减少主要是由于区域间流动的质量而非数量的变化。这意味着全面的流动限制不是遏制新冠肺炎地区间传播的先决条件。
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引用次数: 0
Where do knowledge-intensive firms locate in Germany?-An explanatory framework using exponential random graph modeling. 知识密集型企业在德国的位置-使用指数随机图建模的解释性框架。
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10037-023-00183-8
Mathias Heidinger, Fabian Wenner, Sebastian Sager, Paul Sussmann, Alain Thierstein

This paper analyzes how positional and relational data in 186 regions of Germany influence the location choices of knowledge-based firms. Where firms locate depends on specific local and interconnected resources, which are unevenly distributed in space. This paper presents an innovative way to study such firm location decisions through network analysis that relates exponential random graph modeling (ERGM) to the interlocking network model (INM). By combining attribute and relational data into a comprehensive dataset, we capture both the spatial point characteristics and the relationships between locations. Our approach departs from the general description of individual location decisions in cities and puts extensive networks of knowledge-intensive firms at the center of inquiry. This method can therefore be used to investigate the individual importance of accessibility and supra-local connectivity in firm networks. We use attributional data for transport (rail, air), universities, and population, each on a functional regional level; we use relational data for travel time (rail, road, air) and frequency of relations (rail, air) between two regions. The 186 functional regions are assigned to a three-level grade of urbanization, while knowledge-intensive economic activities are grouped into four knowledge bases. This research is vital to understand further the network structure under which firms choose locations. The results indicate that spatial features, such as the population of or universities in a region, seem to be favorable but also reveal distinct differences, i.e., the proximity to transport infrastructure and different valuations for accessibility for each knowledge base.

本文分析了德国186个地区的位置和关系数据如何影响知识型企业的位置选择。企业的位置取决于特定的本地和相互关联的资源,这些资源在空间上分布不均。本文提出了一种创新的方法,通过将指数随机图模型(ERGM)与连锁网络模型(INM)相关联的网络分析来研究此类企业的选址决策。通过将属性数据和关系数据组合成一个综合数据集,我们可以捕捉空间点特征和位置之间的关系。我们的方法偏离了对城市中个人选址决策的一般描述,将知识密集型企业的广泛网络置于调查的中心。因此,该方法可用于研究企业网络中可访问性和超本地连接的个人重要性。我们使用交通(铁路、航空)、大学和人口的归因数据,每个数据都在功能区域层面上;我们使用两个地区之间的旅行时间(铁路、公路、航空)和关系频率(铁路、航空)的关系数据。186个功能区被划分为三级城市化,而知识密集型经济活动被划分为四个知识库。这项研究对于进一步了解企业选址的网络结构至关重要。结果表明,空间特征,如一个地区的人口或大学,似乎是有利的,但也揭示了明显的差异,即与交通基础设施的接近程度和对每个知识库的可访问性的不同评估。
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引用次数: 0
The potential of small-scale spatial data in regional science. 小规模空间数据在区域科学中的潜力。
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10037-022-00172-3
Rolf Bergs, Rüdiger Budde
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引用次数: 0
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Jahrbuch fur Regionalwissenschaftt = Review of regional research
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