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Practical design considerations for cluster randomized controlled trials: lessons learned in community oncology research.
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae053
Emily V Dressler, Stephanie L Pugh, Heather J Gunn, Joseph M Unger, David M Zahrieh, Anna C Snavely

Cancer care delivery research trials conducted within the National Cancer Institute (NCI) Community Oncology Research Program (NCORP) routinely implement interventions at the practice or provider level, necessitating the use of cluster randomized controlled trials (cRCTs). The intervention delivery requires cluster-level randomization instead of participant-level, affecting sample size calculation and statistical analyses to incorporate correlation between participants within a practice. Practical challenges exist in the conduct of these cRCTs due to unique trial network infrastructures, including the possibility of unequal participant accrual totals and rates and staggered study initiation by clusters, potentially with differences between randomized arms. Execution of cRCT designs can be complex, ie, if some clusters do not accrue participants, unintended cluster-level crossover occurs, how best to identify appropriate cluster-level stratification, timing of randomization, and multilevel eligibility criteria considerations. This article shares lessons learned with potential mitigation strategies from 3 NCORP cRCTs.

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引用次数: 0
Best practices and pragmatic approaches for patient-reported outcomes and quality of life measures in cancer clinical trials.
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae047
Hanna Bandos, Pedro A Torres-Saavedra, Eva Culakova, Heather J Gunn, Minji K Lee, Fenghai Duan, Reena S Cecchini, Joseph M Unger, Amylou C Dueck, Jon A Steingrimsson

Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) are often collected in cancer clinical trials. Data obtained from trials with PROs are essential in evaluating participant experiences relating to symptoms, financial toxicity, or health-related quality of life. Although most features of clinical trial design, implementation, and analyses apply to trials with PROs, several considerations are unique. In this paper, we focus on specific issues such as selection of the tool, timing and frequency of assessments, and data collection methods. We discuss how the estimand framework can be used in connection with PROs, properties of common estimation methods, and handling of missing outcomes. With a plethora of literature available, we aim to summarize best practices and pragmatic approaches to the design and analysis of the studies incorporating PROs.

癌症临床试验通常会收集患者报告的结果(PROs)。在评估参与者在症状、经济毒性或健康相关生活质量方面的体验时,从有患者报告结果的试验中获得的数据至关重要。虽然临床试验设计、实施和分析的大多数特点都适用于采用 PROs 的试验,但有几项考虑因素是独一无二的。在本文中,我们将重点讨论工具的选择、评估的时间和频率以及数据收集方法等具体问题。我们还讨论了如何将估计值框架与 PROs 结合使用、常用估计方法的特性以及缺失结果的处理。面对大量的文献资料,我们旨在总结设计和分析包含 PROs 的研究的最佳实践和实用方法。
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引用次数: 0
A cervical cancer control strategy for lower-resource settings: interventions to complement one-dose HPV vaccination. 针对低资源环境的宫颈癌控制策略:补充一剂 HPV 疫苗接种的干预措施。
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae040
Nicole G Campos, Douglas R Lowy, Silvia de Sanjosé, Mark Schiffman

One-dose prophylactic HPV vaccination of pre-adolescents may reduce cervical cancer deaths dramatically in lower-resource settings, but the benefits of achieving immediate high coverage among pre-adolescents would not be realized for 20 to 40 years. Prophylactic vaccine efficacy is reduced after sexual debut, and current therapeutic intervention candidates designed to treat existing HPV infections or precancerous lesions have yielded insufficient evidence to warrant widespread use. However, we are developing a feasible, scalable, high-quality cervical screening approach that could prevent hundreds of thousands of deaths, while we work to achieve high coverage of one-dose vaccination for adolescent cohorts. A time-limited "one screen" campaign approach for lower-resource settings could complement parallel efforts to achieve high coverage with one-dose vaccination. This screen-triage-treat strategy would target the highest risk groups of screening age (ie, 25 to 49 years) for once-in-a-lifetime HPV testing of self-collected samples using a low-cost accurate HPV test; subsequent triage relying on extended genotyping and a validated deep-learning algorithm for automated visual evaluation (AVE) would stratify management based on risk to provide treatment for those most likely to develop cancer without overburdening health care systems. Early efficacy of this approach has been demonstrated in 9 countries within the HPV-AVE (PAVE) Study Consortium. We estimate that the cost per death averted of a screen-triage-treat campaign is of similar magnitude to prophylactic vaccination. We do not envision perpetual investment in ubiquitous brick-and-mortar screening programs if "one dose, one screen" is implemented with high coverage and targets the highest-risk populations. In collaboration with in-country stakeholders, efforts to ensure acceptability, risk communication, and cost-effectiveness are underway.

在资源匮乏的环境中,为青春期前儿童接种一剂预防性 HPV 疫苗可能会大大降低宫颈癌的死亡率,但在青春期前儿童中立即实现高覆盖率所带来的益处要在 20 到 40 年后才能实现。初次性行为后,预防性疫苗的效力会降低,而且目前旨在治疗现有人乳头瘤病毒感染或癌前病变的治疗干预候选方案还没有足够的证据证明可以广泛使用。不过,我们正在开发一种可行、可扩展、高质量的宫颈筛查方法,它可以预防数十万人的死亡,同时我们也在努力实现青少年群体一剂疫苗接种的高覆盖率。在资源较少的环境中开展有时间限制的 "一次筛查 "活动,可以补充同时为实现一剂疫苗接种的高覆盖率所做的努力。这种 "筛查--分流--治疗 "策略将针对筛查年龄段(即 25 至 49 岁)的高风险人群,使用低成本的精确 HPV 检测仪对自采样本进行一生一次的 HPV 检测;随后依靠扩展的基因分型和经过验证的自动视觉评估 (AVE) 深度学习算法进行分流,根据风险进行分层管理,为最有可能罹患癌症的人群提供治疗,而不会给医疗保健系统带来过重负担。HPV-AVE(PAVE)研究联盟已在 9 个国家证明了这种方法的早期疗效。我们估计,筛查--治疗--运动每避免一例死亡的成本与预防性疫苗接种的成本相近。如果 "一剂一筛 "能在高覆盖率的情况下实施并针对高风险人群,我们认为就不会对无处不在的实体筛查项目进行永久性投资。我们正在与国内利益相关者合作,努力确保可接受性、风险沟通和成本效益。
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引用次数: 0
Acceptability of single-dose HPV vaccination schedule among health-care professionals in Kenya: a mixed-methods study. 肯尼亚医护人员对单剂 HPV 疫苗接种计划的接受程度:一项混合方法研究。
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae031
Grace Umutesi, Bryan J Weiner, Lynda Oluoch, Elizabeth Bukusi, Maricianah Onono, Betty Njoroge, Lucy Mecca, Kenneth Ngure, Nelly R Mugo, Ruanne V Barnabas

Background: The World Health Organization recommends a single-dose human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination schedule for girls and boys to accelerate progress toward cervical cancer elimination. We applied the Theoretical Framework of Acceptability (TFA) within the context of HPV vaccination to assess the acceptability of a single-dose schedule among health-care professionals in Kenya.

Methods: A REDCap survey was developed using relevant Theoretical Framework of Acceptability domains and validated with health-care professionals. Descriptive analyses and multivariate Poisson regression were conducted to assess factors associated with increased acceptability. Free-text responses were analyzed using a rapid qualitative approach, and findings were presented using a joint display.

Results: Among 385 responses, 74.2% of health-care professionals were female and 48.6% were nurses. On average, respondents had been in their position for 60 months, and one-third (33.2%) were based at level-4 facilities. The majority (75.84%) thought that giving a single-dose of the HPV vaccine to adolescent girls and young women was either acceptable or very acceptable. Qualitative findings highlighted that lack of information was the underlying reason for health-care professionals who were resistant, and most clinicians thought that a singled-dose schedule was less burdensome to clinicians and patients. Hospital directors had a non-statistically significantly lower acceptability likelihood than nurses (incident rate ratio = 0.93, 95% confidence interval = 0.45 to 1.71) and health-care professionals at urban facilities had a non-statistically significantly lower acceptability likelihood than clinicians in rural facilities (incident rate ratio = 0.97, 95% confidence interval = 0.83 to 1.13).

Conclusion: Although not statistically significant, predictors of increased acceptability provide information to tailor strategies to increase HPV vaccination coverage and accelerate progress toward cervical cancer elimination.

背景:世界卫生组织建议为女孩和男孩接种单剂量人乳头瘤病毒 (HPV) 疫苗,以加快消除宫颈癌的进程。我们在 HPV 疫苗接种中应用了可接受性理论框架 (TFA),以评估肯尼亚医疗保健专业人员对单剂量接种计划的可接受性:方法:利用可接受性理论框架的相关领域制定了一项 REDCap 调查,并与医疗保健专业人员进行了验证。进行了描述性分析和多变量泊松回归,以评估与可接受性提高相关的因素。采用快速定性方法对自由文本回复进行了分析,并通过联合显示屏展示了分析结果:在 385 份回复中,74.2% 的医护人员为女性,48.6% 为护士。受访者平均任职时间为 60 个月,三分之一(33.2%)在四级医疗机构工作。大多数受访者(75.84%)认为,为少女和年轻女性接种一剂人乳头瘤病毒疫苗是可以接受或非常可以接受的。定性研究结果表明,缺乏信息是医护人员产生抵触情绪的根本原因,大多数临床医生认为单剂量接种对临床医生和患者的负担较小。从统计学角度看,医院院长的可接受性明显低于护士(事故发生率比=0.93,95%置信区间=0.45-1.71),城市医疗机构的医护人员的可接受性明显低于农村医疗机构的临床医生(事故发生率比=0.97,95%置信区间=0.83-1.13):结论:尽管在统计学上并不显著,但可接受性提高的预测因素提供了信息,可用于调整策略以提高 HPV 疫苗接种覆盖率,加快消除宫颈癌的进程。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging single-dose human papillomavirus vaccination dose-efficiency to attain cervical cancer elimination in resource-constrained settings. 利用单剂量人类乳头瘤病毒疫苗接种的剂量效率,在资源有限的环境中消除宫颈癌。
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae035
Irene Man, Damien Georges, Partha Basu, Iacopo Baussano

Background: In low- and middle-income countries, resource constraints remain a critical factor limiting access to cervical cancer preventive measures. The option of single-dose immunization could help improve access to human papillomavirus vaccination and attain cervical cancer elimination.

Methods: With simulation models adapted to country-specific data and scenarios for single-dose protection derived from International Agency for Research on Cancer India vaccine trial data, we estimated the expected impact of single-dose vaccination in India, Rwanda, and Brazil, three countries with varying profiles of cervical cancer risk and vaccination timelines. In combination with single-dose vaccination, we explored different resource reallocation strategies based on dose efficiency, elimination attainment, and cervical cancer cases prevented, with the existing 2-dose program as a comparator.

Results: Assuming lifelong single-dose protection, switching from 2-dose to 1-dose vaccination and reallocating resources to female catch-up could prevent 467-1336, 94-194, and 15-207 additional cervical cancer cases (per 100 000 women born) in cohorts aged 11-30 years in India, Rwanda, and Brazil, respectively. Resource reallocation to improve the current routine coverage could help eliminate cervical cancer in India and across all Brazilian states but not in Rwanda. For each country, we found a dose-efficient reallocation strategy (or a combination of strategies) together with 1-dose vaccination that could prevent more cervical cancers vs 2-dose vaccination, even in the worst-case scenario of single-dose protection.

Conclusion: Adopting single-dose vaccination with resource reallocation is a resource-efficient approach to enhance progress toward cervical cancer elimination. The overall impact of vaccination can be maximized by fine-tuning resource reallocation to a country's needs.

背景:在中低收入国家,资源限制仍是制约宫颈癌预防措施普及的关键因素。选择单剂量免疫接种有助于改善人类乳头状瘤病毒疫苗接种的可及性,并实现消除宫颈癌的目标:方法:我们利用根据特定国家数据调整的模拟模型以及从国际癌症研究机构印度疫苗试验数据中得出的单剂量保护方案,估算了单剂量疫苗接种在印度、卢旺达和巴西这三个宫颈癌风险和疫苗接种时间各不相同的国家的预期影响。结合单剂疫苗接种,我们探讨了基于剂量效率、消除率和宫颈癌病例预防率的不同资源再分配策略,并以现有的两剂疫苗接种计划作为比较对象:假设单剂疫苗可提供终身保护,那么在印度、卢旺达和巴西,将两剂疫苗改为单剂疫苗接种,并将资源重新分配给女性补种,可在 11-30 岁的人群中分别多预防 467-1336 例、94-194 例和 15-207 例宫颈癌病例(每 10 万名出生女性)。重新分配资源以改善目前的常规覆盖率有助于消除印度和巴西所有各州的宫颈癌,但对卢旺达却没有帮助。在每个国家,我们都发现了一种剂量有效的重新分配策略(或策略组合),与单剂疫苗接种相比,即使在单剂疫苗保护的最坏情况下,单剂疫苗接种也能预防更多的宫颈癌:结论:采用单剂疫苗接种并重新分配资源是一种资源节约型方法,可促进消除宫颈癌的进展。根据一个国家的需求对资源重新分配进行微调,可以最大限度地提高疫苗接种的整体效果。
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引用次数: 0
Community intervention of a single-dose or 2-dose regimen of bivalent human papillomavirus vaccine in schoolgirls in Thailand: vaccine effectiveness 2 years and 4 years after vaccination. 泰国女学生接种二价人类乳头瘤病毒疫苗单剂或两剂方案的社区干预:疫苗接种后 2 年和 4 年的效果。
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae036
Suchada Jiamsiri, Chulwoo Rhee, Hyeon Seon Ahn, Hyeong-Won Seo, Worrawan Klinsupa, Sunju Park, Jinae Lee, Nakorn Premsri, Chawetsan Namwat, Patummal Silaporn, Jean-Louis Excler, Deok-Ryun Kim, Yun Chon, Joshua N Sampson, Pornjarim Nilyanimit, Sompong Vongpunsawad, Nimesh Poudyal, Lauri E Markowitz, Gitika Panicker, Elizabeth R Unger, Supachai Rerks-Ngarm, Yong Poovorawan, Julia Lynch
<p><strong>Background: </strong>With accumulating evidence of single-dose human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine efficacy in young women, we conducted a community vaccine effectiveness study comparing HPV single-dose and 2-dose regimens (0 and 6 months) of a bivalent HPV vaccine among grade 8 schoolgirls (aged 13-14 years) in Thailand.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In 2018, eligible grade 8 schoolgirls in Udon Thani (single dose) and Buri Ram (2 doses) provinces were offered HPV vaccine per assigned dose regimen. Concurrently, a cross-sectional survey for measuring baseline HPV prevalence was conducted in grade 10 (n = 2600) and grade 12 unvaccinated schoolgirls (n = 2000) in each province. HPV infection was assessed in first-void urine samples, tested by DNA polymerase chain reaction on the cobas 4800 system (Roche Molecular Diagnostics, Pleasanton, CA). All samples positive on the cobas system and an equal number of negative samples were also tested by Anyplex II HPV28 Detection (Seegene, Seoul, South Korea). The surveys were repeated in 2020 and 2022, when vaccinated grade 8 schoolgirls reached grade 10, and then subsequently grade 12, respectively. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated by comparing the weighted prevalence of HPV-16 or HPV-18 between grade-matched unvaccinated schoolgirls on the baseline survey (2018) and vaccinated schoolgirls in the year-2 (2020) and year-4 (2022) surveys. Adjustment methods were used in the analysis to account for potential differences in sexual behavior due to the noncontemporaneous comparison.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The prevalence of HPV-16 and HPV-18 on the baseline survey among unvaccinated grade 10/grade 12 schoolgirls was 2.90% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.54% to 3.31%)/3.98% (95% CI = 3.52% to 4.49%) for Udon Thani and 3.87% (95% CI = 3.46% to 4.34%)/6.13% (95% CI = 5.56% to 6.75%) for Buri Ram. On the year-2 survey, the prevalence among vaccinated grade 10 schoolgirls was 0.57% (95% CI = 0.42% to 0.77%) for Udon Thani and 0.31% (95% CI = 0.21% to 0.47%) for Buri Ram. The 2-year postvaccination crude vaccine effectiveness for the single-dose regimen was estimated at 80.4% (95% CI = 73.9% to 86.9%), and for the 2-dose regimen at 91.9% (95% CI = 88.5% to 95.4%). On the year-4 survey, the prevalence among vaccinated grade 12 schoolgirls was 0.37% (95% CI = 0.25% to 0.56%) for Udon Thani and 0.28% (95% CI = 0.18% to 0.45%) for Buri Ram. Four-year postvaccination crude vaccine effectiveness for the single-dose regimen was estimated at 90.6% (95% CI = 86.6% to 94.6%) and for the 2-dose regimen was estimated at 95.4% (95% CI = 93.2% to 97.6%). All adjustment methods minimally affected vaccine effectiveness for the single-dose and 2-dose regimens. At 4 years after vaccination, the difference in crude vaccine effectiveness between the single-dose and 2-dose regimens was ‒4.79% (95% CI = ‒9.32% to ‒0.25%), meeting the study's noninferiority criteria.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our study demo
背景:随着单剂量人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)疫苗在年轻女性中疗效的证据不断积累,我们在泰国八年级女生(13-14 岁)中开展了一项社区疫苗疗效研究,比较了二价 HPV 疫苗的单剂量和二剂量方案(0 个月和 6 个月):2018年,乌隆府(单剂)和武里南府(2剂)符合条件的8年级女生按指定剂量方案接种了HPV疫苗。与此同时,还对各省 10 年级(2600 人)和 12 年级未接种疫苗的女学生(2000 人)进行了横断面调查,以测量 HPV 的基线流行率。通过 DNA 聚合酶链反应在 cobas 4800 系统(罗氏分子诊断公司,加利福尼亚州普莱森顿)上检测第一次排出的尿液样本,评估 HPV 感染情况。所有在 cobas 系统上呈阳性的样本和同等数量的阴性样本也通过 Anyplex II HPV28 检测器(Seegene,韩国首尔)进行检测。分别在 2020 年和 2022 年,即接种疫苗的八年级女生升入十年级和十二年级时,再次进行调查。通过比较基线调查(2018 年)中未接种疫苗的年级匹配女学生与第 2 年(2020 年)和第 4 年(2022 年)调查中接种疫苗的女学生之间的 HPV-16 或 HPV-18 加权流行率,估算疫苗效果。分析中使用了调整方法,以考虑非同期比较导致的性行为的潜在差异:在基线调查中,未接种疫苗的 10 年级/12 年级女生的 HPV-16 和 HPV-18 感染率分别为:乌隆府 2.90%(95% 置信区间 [CI] = 2.54% 至 3.31%)/3.98%(95% CI = 3.52% 至 4.49%),武里府 3.87%(95% CI = 3.46% 至 4.34%)/6.13%(95% CI = 5.56% 至 6.75%)。在第 2 年的调查中,乌隆他尼府 10 年级女学生的疫苗接种率为 0.57%(95% CI = 0.42% 至 0.77%),布里拉姆府为 0.31%(95% CI = 0.21% 至 0.47%)。接种后 2 年,单剂方案的粗疫苗效力估计为 80.4% (95% CI = 73.9% 至 86.9%),双剂方案的粗疫苗效力估计为 91.9% (95% CI = 88.5% 至 95.4%)。在第 4 年的调查中,乌隆他尼的 12 年级女生接种率为 0.37%(95% CI = 0.25% 到 0.56%),武里南的接种率为 0.28%(95% CI = 0.18% 到 0.45%)。接种后四年,单剂方案的粗疫苗效力估计为 90.6% (95% CI = 86.6% 至 94.6%),双剂方案的粗疫苗效力估计为 95.4% (95% CI = 93.2% 至 97.6%)。所有调整方法对单剂和双剂方案的疫苗效力影响都很小。接种4年后,单剂量和双剂量方案的粗疫苗效力差异为-4.79%(95% CI = -9.32%至-0.25%),符合研究的非劣效性标准:我们的研究表明,接种单剂和两剂HPV疫苗均能显著降低接种后2年和4年的HPV-16/18点流行率。接种后 4 年,单剂和双剂方案的粗疫苗有效率均大于 90%;单剂方案不劣于双剂方案。这些数据表明,为 15 岁以下的女学生接种单剂 HPV 疫苗可提供高水平的保护。
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引用次数: 0
HPV16/18 antibodies 16-years after single dose of bivalent HPV vaccination: Costa Rica HPV vaccine trial. 单剂二价 HPV 疫苗接种 16 年后的 HPV16/18 抗体:哥斯达黎加 HPV 疫苗试验。
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae032
Carolina Porras, Byron Romero, Troy Kemp, Romain Fantin, Rolando Herrero, Allan Hildesheim, Rebeca Ocampo, Mónica S Sierra, Mitchell H Gail, John Schussler, John T Schiller, Douglas R Lowy, Ligia A Pinto, Danping Liu, Aimée R Kreimer

Background: The Costa Rica HPV Vaccine Trial provided initial evidence that 1 dose of the bivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine induces stabilizing antibody levels that may provide extended protection against HPV-16/18 infections. We report antibody seropositivity and stability 11 to 16 years after vaccination.

Methods: We invited a random subset of Costa Rica HPV Vaccine Trial participants (n = 398) who had received 3 doses and all women (n = 203) who had received 1 dose at 18 to 25 years of age to follow-up visits 11, 14, and 16 years after vaccination. We calculated HPV-16 and HPV-18 seropositivity and assessed change in enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay antibody levels 11 to 16 years after vaccination among 500 participants.

Results: By year 16, 99.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 96.8% to 100.0%) and 100.0% (95% CI = 98.9% to 100.0%) of 1-dose and 3-dose recipients, respectively, were HPV-16 seropositive and 98.8% (95% CI = 95.9% to 99.9%) and 100% (95% CI = 98.9% to 100.0%) of 1-dose and 3-dose recipients, respectively, were HPV-18 seropositive. Between years 11 and 16, women who had received 3 doses had a small but statistically significant decrease in the geometric mean concentration for HPV-16 of ‒12.4% (95% CI = ‒16.3% to ‒8.4%) and HPV-18 of ‒13.4% (95% CI = ‒17.2% to ‒9.4%). Among women who had received 1 dose, the decrease was statistically significant for HPV-16 at ‒8.9 (95% CI = ‒14.2% to ‒3.1%) but nonsignificant for HPV-18. Geometric mean concentration ratios of 3:1 dose (year 16) were 3.0 and 2.2 for HPV-16 and HPV-18, respectively.

Conclusions: HPV-16/18 seropositivity remained exceedingly high 16 years after vaccination. Over 5 years, small declines in antibodies were observed. Women should have protection for at least 20 years and likely much longer at the observed rate of decline.

背景:哥斯达黎加 HPV 疫苗试验提供了初步证据,证明接种一剂二价人乳头瘤病毒 (HPV) 疫苗可诱导稳定的抗体水平,从而延长对 HPV-16/18 感染的保护。我们报告了接种疫苗 11 到 16 年后的抗体血清阳性率和稳定性:我们随机邀请了哥斯达黎加 HPV 疫苗试验参与者(n = 398)中接种过 3 次疫苗的人群和所有在 18-25 岁接种过 1 次疫苗的女性(n = 203)在接种疫苗后 11、14 和 16 年进行随访。我们计算了 500 名参与者在接种疫苗 11 至 16 年后的 HPV-16 和 HPV-18 血清阳性率,并评估了酶联免疫吸附试验抗体水平的变化:到第 16 年,1 剂和 3 剂接种者中分别有 99.4% (95% 置信区间 [CI] = 96.8% 到 100.0%)和 100.0%(95% CI = 98.9% 到 100.0%)的人乳头瘤病毒-16 血清阳性,1 剂和 3 剂接种者中分别有 98.8% (95% CI = 95.9% 到 99.9%)和 100% (95% CI = 98.9% 到 100.0%)的人乳头瘤病毒-18 血清阳性。在第11年至第16年期间,接受过3剂治疗的妇女的HPV-16几何平均浓度下降了-12.4%(95% CI = -16.3%至-8.4%)和HPV-18几何平均浓度下降了-13.4%(95% CI = -17.2%至-9.4%),降幅虽小,但具有统计学意义。在接受过1剂治疗的女性中,HPV-16的下降幅度为-8.9(95% CI = -14.2%至-3.1%),具有显著的统计学意义,但HPV-18的下降幅度并不显著。HPV-16和HPV-18的3:1剂量(第16年)几何平均浓度比分别为3.0和2.2:结论:接种疫苗 16 年后,HPV-16/18 血清阳性率仍然很高。结论:接种疫苗 16 年后,HPV-16/18 血清阳性率仍然很高。按照观察到的下降速度,妇女的保护期至少应为 20 年,甚至更长。
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引用次数: 0
Population-level impact of switching to 1-dose human papillomavirus vaccination in high-income countries: examining uncertainties using mathematical modeling. 高收入国家改用 1 剂人类乳头瘤病毒疫苗接种对人口的影响:利用数学建模研究不确定性。
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae038
Marc Brisson, Jean-François Laprise, Mélanie Drolet, Éléonore Chamberland, Élodie Bénard, Emily A Burger, Mark Jit, Jane J Kim, Lauri E Markowitz, Chantal Sauvageau, Stephen Sy

Background: A concern in high-income countries is that switching to 1-dose human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination could cause a rebound in HPV infection and cervical cancer if 1-dose efficacy or duration were inferior to 2 doses. Using mathematical modeling and up-to-date trial-based data, we projected the population-level effectiveness of switching from 2-dose to 1-dose vaccination under different vaccine efficacy and duration assumptions in high-income countries.

Methods: We used HPV-ADVISE (Agent-based Dynamic model for VaccInation and Screening Evaluation), a transmission-dynamic model of HPV infection and cervical cancer, varying key model assumptions to identify those with the greatest impact on projections of HPV-16 and cervical cancer incidence over time: 1) 1-dose vaccine efficacy and vaccine duration, 2) mechanisms of vaccine efficacy and duration over time, 3) midadult (>30 years of age) sexual behavior, 4) progression to cervical cancer among midadults, and 5) vaccination coverage and programs.

Results: In high-income countries, 1-dose vaccination would cause no appreciable rebound in HPV-16 infection, except for a limited rebound under the most pessimistic assumptions of vaccine duration (average, 25 years), because 1) the switch would occur when HPV prevalence is low because of high 2-dose vaccination coverage and 2) individuals would be protected during their peak ages of sexual activity (<35 to 40 years of age). Our model projects a more limited rebound in cervical cancer because of a shift to older age at infection, resulting in fewer life-years left to potentially develop cancer. Projections were robust when varying key model assumptions.

Conclusions: High protection during peak ages of sexual activity in high-income countries would likely mitigate any potential rebounds in HPV infection and cervical cancer under the most pessimistic assumptions of 1-dose efficacy and duration.

背景:高收入国家担心的一个问题是,如果接种1剂人类乳头瘤病毒(HPV)疫苗的效力或持续时间不如2剂疫苗,那么改用1剂疫苗接种可能会导致HPV感染和宫颈癌反弹。我们利用数学模型和基于试验的最新数据,预测了在不同疫苗效力和持续时间假设下,高收入国家从接种 2 剂疫苗改为接种 1 剂疫苗的人群有效性:我们使用了 HPV-ADVISE(基于代理的疫苗接种和筛查评估动态模型),这是一个关于 HPV 感染和宫颈癌的传播动态模型,我们改变了模型的主要假设,以确定那些对 HPV-16 和宫颈癌发病率的预测影响最大的假设:1) 1 剂疫苗的效力和疫苗持续时间;2) 疫苗效力和持续时间随时间变化的机制;3) 中年人(大于 30 岁)的性行为;4) 中年人患宫颈癌的进展;5) 疫苗接种覆盖率和接种计划。结果:在高收入国家,1剂疫苗接种不会导致HPV-16感染明显反弹,除了在最悲观的疫苗接种时间假设下(平均25年)会出现有限的反弹,这是因为:1)由于2剂疫苗接种覆盖率高,转换将发生在HPV流行率较低的时候;2)个人将在性活动高峰年龄段受到保护(结论:在性活动高峰年龄段受到高保护):在高收入国家,性活动高峰年龄段的高保护率很可能会减轻 HPV 感染和宫颈癌的潜在反弹,这是在最悲观的 1 剂疫苗效力和持续时间假设下得出的结论。
{"title":"Population-level impact of switching to 1-dose human papillomavirus vaccination in high-income countries: examining uncertainties using mathematical modeling.","authors":"Marc Brisson, Jean-François Laprise, Mélanie Drolet, Éléonore Chamberland, Élodie Bénard, Emily A Burger, Mark Jit, Jane J Kim, Lauri E Markowitz, Chantal Sauvageau, Stephen Sy","doi":"10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae038","DOIUrl":"10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae038","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>A concern in high-income countries is that switching to 1-dose human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination could cause a rebound in HPV infection and cervical cancer if 1-dose efficacy or duration were inferior to 2 doses. Using mathematical modeling and up-to-date trial-based data, we projected the population-level effectiveness of switching from 2-dose to 1-dose vaccination under different vaccine efficacy and duration assumptions in high-income countries.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used HPV-ADVISE (Agent-based Dynamic model for VaccInation and Screening Evaluation), a transmission-dynamic model of HPV infection and cervical cancer, varying key model assumptions to identify those with the greatest impact on projections of HPV-16 and cervical cancer incidence over time: 1) 1-dose vaccine efficacy and vaccine duration, 2) mechanisms of vaccine efficacy and duration over time, 3) midadult (>30 years of age) sexual behavior, 4) progression to cervical cancer among midadults, and 5) vaccination coverage and programs.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In high-income countries, 1-dose vaccination would cause no appreciable rebound in HPV-16 infection, except for a limited rebound under the most pessimistic assumptions of vaccine duration (average, 25 years), because 1) the switch would occur when HPV prevalence is low because of high 2-dose vaccination coverage and 2) individuals would be protected during their peak ages of sexual activity (<35 to 40 years of age). Our model projects a more limited rebound in cervical cancer because of a shift to older age at infection, resulting in fewer life-years left to potentially develop cancer. Projections were robust when varying key model assumptions.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>High protection during peak ages of sexual activity in high-income countries would likely mitigate any potential rebounds in HPV infection and cervical cancer under the most pessimistic assumptions of 1-dose efficacy and duration.</p>","PeriodicalId":73988,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs","volume":"2024 67","pages":"387-399"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11555275/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142633067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating potential program cost savings with a single-dose HPV vaccination schedule: a modeling study. 评估单剂量 HPV 疫苗接种计划的潜在成本节约:一项模型研究。
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae037
Rose Slavkovsky, Mercy Mvundura, Frédéric Debellut, Teddy Naddumba

Background: There is limited evidence on the magnitude of the potential program cost savings associated with the World Health Organization-endorsed single-dose schedule for the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine. The objective of this analysis was to model the delivery and vaccine procurement cost implications of the new schedule.

Methods: The analysis leveraged primary data during a study evaluating the HPV vaccine delivery costs and operational context in 5 countries (Ethiopia, Guyana, Rwanda, Sri Lanka, and Uganda) implementing a two-dose schedule. To estimate the cost for the single-dose schedule, we adjusted the two-dose schedule cost estimates to account for differences in the frequency of activities, whether activities differed by HPV vaccine dose or session, and differences in relative quantity or storage volume of HPV vaccines delivered. We estimated the cost per dose and cost per adolescent receiving the full (single-dose or two-dose) vaccination schedule in 2019 US dollars from a health system perspective.

Results: Modeled results found that cost per dose would increase under a single-dose schedule, whereas cost per adolescent receiving the full schedule would decrease. The financial cost for vaccine procurement and delivery per adolescent receiving the full schedule ranged from $9.64 (Sri Lanka) to $23.43 (Guyana) under a two-dose schedule and decreased to $4.84 and $12.34, respectively, under a single-dose schedule, reflecting savings up to 50%. For economic costs, the range for a single-dose schedule was $7.86 (Rwanda) to $28.53 (Guyana).

Conclusion: A single-dose HPV vaccination schedule could provide cost savings to immunization programs and enhance program affordability and sustainability.

背景:关于世界卫生组织认可的人类乳头瘤病毒 (HPV) 疫苗单剂量接种计划可能节省的计划成本,目前证据有限。本分析的目的是模拟新时间表对接种和疫苗采购成本的影响:该分析利用了一项研究中的原始数据,该研究评估了在 5 个国家(埃塞俄比亚、圭亚那、卢旺达、斯里兰卡和乌干达)实施两剂计划的 HPV 疫苗接种成本和操作环境。为了估算单剂计划的成本,我们对两剂计划的成本估算进行了调整,以考虑活动频率的差异、活动是否因 HPV 疫苗剂量或疗程而异,以及所交付的 HPV 疫苗的相对数量或储存量的差异。我们从卫生系统的角度估算了接受全套(单剂或两剂)疫苗接种计划的每剂成本和每名青少年的成本,单位为 2019 美元:建模结果发现,在单剂接种计划中,每剂疫苗的成本会增加,而接种全套接种计划的每名青少年的成本则会降低。在两剂接种计划下,每名接种全套计划的青少年在疫苗采购和交付方面的财务成本从 9.64 美元(斯里兰卡)到 23.43 美元(圭亚那)不等,而在单剂接种计划下,财务成本则分别降至 4.84 美元和 12.34 美元,节省幅度高达 50%。在经济成本方面,单剂量计划的范围为 7.86 美元(卢旺达)至 28.53 美元(圭亚那):结论:单剂量 HPV 疫苗接种计划可为免疫接种计划节约成本,并提高计划的可负担性和可持续性。
{"title":"Evaluating potential program cost savings with a single-dose HPV vaccination schedule: a modeling study.","authors":"Rose Slavkovsky, Mercy Mvundura, Frédéric Debellut, Teddy Naddumba","doi":"10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae037","DOIUrl":"10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae037","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>There is limited evidence on the magnitude of the potential program cost savings associated with the World Health Organization-endorsed single-dose schedule for the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine. The objective of this analysis was to model the delivery and vaccine procurement cost implications of the new schedule.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The analysis leveraged primary data during a study evaluating the HPV vaccine delivery costs and operational context in 5 countries (Ethiopia, Guyana, Rwanda, Sri Lanka, and Uganda) implementing a two-dose schedule. To estimate the cost for the single-dose schedule, we adjusted the two-dose schedule cost estimates to account for differences in the frequency of activities, whether activities differed by HPV vaccine dose or session, and differences in relative quantity or storage volume of HPV vaccines delivered. We estimated the cost per dose and cost per adolescent receiving the full (single-dose or two-dose) vaccination schedule in 2019 US dollars from a health system perspective.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Modeled results found that cost per dose would increase under a single-dose schedule, whereas cost per adolescent receiving the full schedule would decrease. The financial cost for vaccine procurement and delivery per adolescent receiving the full schedule ranged from $9.64 (Sri Lanka) to $23.43 (Guyana) under a two-dose schedule and decreased to $4.84 and $12.34, respectively, under a single-dose schedule, reflecting savings up to 50%. For economic costs, the range for a single-dose schedule was $7.86 (Rwanda) to $28.53 (Guyana).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>A single-dose HPV vaccination schedule could provide cost savings to immunization programs and enhance program affordability and sustainability.</p>","PeriodicalId":73988,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs","volume":"2024 67","pages":"371-378"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11555269/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142632098","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Human papillomavirus prophylactic vaccines: update on new vaccine development and implications for single-dose policy. 人类乳头瘤病毒预防性疫苗:新疫苗开发的最新情况及对单剂量政策的影响。
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae026
Anne E Schuind, Kanduri Ananth Balaji, Anna Du, Yuan Yuan, Peter Dull

Human papillomavirus (HPV) prophylactic vaccines were first licensed in 2006 with the primary goal of preventing HPV-related cancers, with cervical cancer accounting for the highest morbidity and mortality globally. Six HPV vaccines have been licensed; 4 of these have been prequalified by the World Health Organization, and additional products are in the pipeline. This article provides an overview of HPV vaccine coverage and current and anticipated vaccine supply vs expected demand. Given that the 2022 World Health Organization position paper on HPV vaccines includes a 1-dose regimen as an alternate schedule, we will discuss the evidence for using licensed vaccines in single-dose regimens and the approach to generating similar supportive data for other current and future vaccines. The broad adoption of a single-dose HPV vaccine regimen would expand access to vaccines by improving the supply-demand balance, increasing affordability, and simplifying logistics, which will ultimately impact HPV-related morbidity and mortality.

人类乳头瘤病毒 (HPV) 预防性疫苗于 2006 年首次获得许可,其主要目的是预防与 HPV 相关的癌症,而宫颈癌是全球发病率和死亡率最高的癌症。目前已有六种 HPV 疫苗获得许可,其中四种已通过世界卫生组织的资格预审,还有更多产品正在研发中。本文概述了 HPV 疫苗的覆盖范围以及当前和预期疫苗供应与预期需求的对比情况。鉴于 2022 年世界卫生组织关于人类乳头瘤病毒疫苗的立场文件将单剂量方案作为替代方案,我们将讨论在单剂量方案中使用许可疫苗的证据,以及为其他现有和未来疫苗生成类似支持性数据的方法。广泛采用单剂量 HPV 疫苗方案将通过改善供需平衡、提高可负担性和简化物流来扩大疫苗的可及性,这将最终影响与 HPV 相关的发病率和死亡率。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs
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