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A hazard ratio above one does not necessarily mean higher risk, when using a time-dependent cox model 当使用时间相关的cox模型时,风险比高于1并不一定意味着风险更高
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211061288
P. Blanche, B. Zareini, P. Rasmussen
The Cox model is one of the most used statistical models in medical research. It models the hazard rate of an event and its association with covariates through hazard ratios. In the simple setting without competing risks nor time-dependent covariates, there exists a one-to-one mathematical connection between the hazard rate and the risk of experiencing the event within any given time period (e.g., 5 years). This makes it possible to conclude that a covariate associated with a hazard ratio above one is associated with a higher risk of event. Although it is becoming widely known that this connection is lost in the presence of competing risks, it seems that fewer users of the Cox model are aware that this connection is also lost when using time-dependent covariates. In other words, it seems still widely unknown that, when using a time-dependent Cox model, a hazard ratio estimated above one does not necessarily mean that there is a higher risk. Hence, this note aims to clarify why this is not the case with a detailed pedagogical example.
Cox模型是医学研究中最常用的统计模型之一。它通过风险比对事件的风险率及其与协变量的关联进行建模。在没有竞争风险和时间相关协变量的简单环境中,在任何给定时间段(例如5年)内,危险率和经历事件的风险之间存在一对一的数学联系。这使得可以得出结论,与高于1的危险比相关的协变量与更高的事件风险相关。尽管人们普遍知道,在存在竞争风险的情况下,这种联系会丢失,但Cox模型的用户似乎很少意识到,在使用时间相关协变量时,这种联系也会丢失。换言之,当使用与时间相关的Cox模型时,估计的风险比高于1并不一定意味着存在更高的风险,这一点似乎仍然广为人知。因此,本说明旨在通过一个详细的教学示例来澄清为什么情况并非如此。
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引用次数: 0
EnTraP: A factorial randomised controlled trial embedded within world hip trauma evaluation eight COPAL investigating the effect of an enhanced trainee principal investigator package and digital nudge on recruitment rates EnTraP:在世界髋关节创伤评估8 COPAL中嵌入的一项因子随机对照试验,调查了增强的实习生首席研究员包和数字推动对招聘率的影响
Pub Date : 2022-01-02 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211061297
NR Agni, C. Fairhurst, C. McDaid, M. Reed, D. Torgerson
Background Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) often struggle with various aspects of participant recruitment, including engaging clinicians to recruit effectively, and subsequently fail to reach their target sample size. Studies evaluating interventions to improve recruitment aimed specifically at recruiters to the trial are limited in number. The RCTs embedded into the World Hip Trauma Evaluation (WHiTE) cohort study use Trainee Principal Investigators (TPIs) to help manage and drive recruitment at trial sites. No formalised training or support is provided by central trials units to the TPIs. Additionally, trial recruiters receive a generic automated email confirming randomisation to the trial with no other communication to influence or incentivise their behaviour to further recruit. The primary aim of this factorial trial was to evaluate the effectiveness of an educational intervention to TPIs and a positive reinforcement intervention via an email (digital) nudge on increasing recruitment. Secondary aims included feasibility of implementing the interventions and surveying TPIs on the educational package quality of content, delivery and ongoing support. Design This was a multicentre, open, cluster, 2x2 factorial RCT embedded in the WHiTE 8 COPAL RCT, in which research sites were randomised 1:1:1:1 to receive the enhanced TPI package, the digital nudge intervention, both, or neither. Results 1215 patients were recruited to the WHiTE 8 COPAL trial across 20 sites during the SWAT between August 2018 and March 2019. There was a statistically significant interaction between the interventions (IRR 2.09, 95% CI 1.64 to 2.68, p < 0.001). There was a statistically significant benefit on recruitment (IRR 1.23 95% 1.09 to 1.40, p=0.001) from utilizing an enhanced TPI education intervention. The digital nudge intervention had no significant impact on recruitment (IRR 0.89 95% CI 0.79 to 1.01, p=0.07). Within enhanced TPI package sites, the digital nudge had a beneficial effect, while in the standard practice TPI sites it had a detrimental effect. Feasibility analysis showed the median time to site digital nudge and enhanced TPI set up were one day and 17 days, respectively. 353 digital nudges were created taking an average of 12 min to construct, log the activity and then disseminate to recruiters. Median induction time for enhanced TPI was 32 min and 100% of the groups were extremely satisfied with the induction content, delivery and ongoing support. Discussion An education and support programme targeted at surgical TPIs involving a digital education package, 1:1 telephone induction and subsequent support package was effective in increasing recruitment in the first 6 months of trial commencement. There was no evidence for the effectiveness of the digital nudge intervention in isolation, although our results show that when combined with an education programme, it leads to enhanced effectiveness of that programme.
随机对照试验(RCTs)在招募参与者方面经常遇到困难,包括让临床医生有效招募参与者,结果无法达到目标样本量。研究评估干预措施,以改善招聘,专门针对招聘人员的试验数量有限。纳入世界髋关节创伤评估(WHiTE)队列研究的随机对照试验使用受训首席调查员(tpi)来帮助管理和推动试验地点的招募。中央试验单位没有向tpi提供正式的培训或支持。此外,试验招聘人员会收到一封通用的自动电子邮件,确认试验的随机化,而没有其他通信来影响或激励他们进一步招聘的行为。本析因试验的主要目的是评估教育干预对tpi的有效性,以及通过电子邮件(数字)推动增加招聘的积极强化干预。次要目标包括实施干预措施的可行性,以及调查教育包的内容质量、交付和持续支持的tpi。这是一项嵌入WHiTE 8 COPAL RCT的多中心、开放、集群、2x2因子RCT,研究地点按1:1:1:1随机分组,分别接受增强TPI包、数字助推干预、两者都接受或两者都不接受。在2018年8月至2019年3月的SWAT期间,在20个地点招募了1215名患者参加WHiTE 8 COPAL试验。干预措施之间存在显著的交互作用(IRR 2.09, 95% CI 1.64 ~ 2.68, p < 0.001)。利用增强的TPI教育干预在招募方面有统计学上显著的益处(IRR 1.23 95% 1.09至1.40,p=0.001)。数字助推干预对招募没有显著影响(IRR 0.89 95% CI 0.79至1.01,p=0.07)。在增强的TPI包站点中,数字助推具有有益的效果,而在标准实践TPI站点中,它具有有害的影响。可行性分析显示,数字助推和增强TPI设置的中位时间分别为1天和17天。创建了353个数字推送,平均花费12分钟来构建、记录活动,然后传播给招聘人员。增强TPI的中位诱导时间为32分钟,100%的组对诱导内容、方式和持续支持都非常满意。针对外科tpi的教育和支持计划包括数字教育包、1:1电话诱导和随后的支持包,在试验开始的前6个月有效地增加了招聘。没有证据表明数字助推干预单独有效,尽管我们的研究结果表明,当与教育计划相结合时,它会提高该计划的有效性。
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引用次数: 1
Editorial 编辑
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/26320843221077720
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引用次数: 0
Using theory and reflexivity to preserve methodological rigour of data collection in qualitative research 利用理论和自反性来保持定性研究中数据收集的方法严谨性
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211061302
K. Jamie, A. Rathbone
This paper examines the place of theory in qualitative medical research. While theory’s place in research planning and data analysis has been well-established, the contribution of theory during qualitative data collection tends to be overlooked. Yet, data collection is not an asocial or apolitical process and requires reflection and analysis in and of itself. Therefore, drawing on an exemplar case study research project which focused on patients’ use of medicines, the paper argues that engaging with theory to think reflexively, throughout a project but particularly during the process of data collection can ensure the rigour and trustworthiness of qualitative data. In this case study, we draw on sociologist Erving Goffman’s theoretical framework of the dramaturgical metaphor to address the multiplicity of roles that healthcare practitioners undertaking qualitative research have to occupy and navigate. Rather than painting researchers out of their research through a naïve search for ‘objectivity’, reflexivity that is scaffolded by theory, offers a way through which researchers’ biases and subjectivities can be made explicit and their data analysis transparent. In making this argument, we encourage medical researchers to engage with, and be attuned to, theoretical perspectives outwith their own discipline.
本文探讨了理论在定性医学研究中的地位。虽然理论在研究规划和数据分析中的地位已经确立,但理论在定性数据收集中的贡献往往被忽视。然而,数据收集并不是一个非社会性或非政治性的过程,它本身就需要反思和分析。因此,本文借鉴了一个以患者用药为重点的案例研究项目,认为在整个项目中,尤其是在数据收集过程中,运用理论进行反思,可以确保定性数据的严格性和可信度。在本案例研究中,我们借鉴了社会学家Erving Goffman的戏剧隐喻理论框架,以解决从事定性研究的医疗从业者必须扮演和驾驭的多重角色。理论所支撑的自反性并没有通过天真地寻找“客观性”来将研究人员从研究中抹去,而是提供了一种方法,通过这种方法,研究人员的偏见和主观主义可以被明确化,他们的数据分析也可以透明化。在提出这一论点时,我们鼓励医学研究人员参与并适应他们自己学科之外的理论观点。
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引用次数: 3
Developing theory-based text messages to support retention in clinical trials: A mixed methods approach 发展基于理论的短信以支持临床试验中的保留:一种混合方法方法
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211069530
Sophie M C Green, Erin Raine, L. Hall, M. Collinson, Ellen Mason, K. Gillies, D. French, Y. K. Bartlett, S. Hartley, R. Foy, A. Farrin, Samuel G Smith
Background: Returning a trial questionnaire is a behaviour affected by a range of psychological and contextual factors. Previously tested Short Message Service (SMS) messages to prompt questionnaire return have not addressed these factors, and have not been characterised by established taxonomies of behaviour change techniques (BCTs). Purpose: We aimed to develop acceptable theory-based SMS messages, with fidelity to four BCTs, to support participant understanding of the consequences of not returning trial questionnaires. Methods and Results: We initially developed 32 messages. Ten behaviour change experts assessed message fidelity to the intended BCT (Study 1a). All messages had appropriate fidelity to the intended BCT (mean ratings = 6.8/10 [SD = 0.6) to 7.5/10 [SD = 0.3]). Study 1b, a focus group with five patient representatives, recommended removing the BCT ‘comparative imagining of future outcomes’ (4 messages), two further messages be removed, and amendments to five messages. In Study 1c, 60 breast cancer survivors rated all remaining 26 messages as acceptable (mean = 3.8/5 [SD = 1.2] to 4.3/5 [SD = 0.8]). Twelve behaviour change experts rated the fidelity of the 26 messages to intended BCTs (Study 1d); all messages had appropriate fidelity (mean ratings = 6.1/10 [SD = 2.4] to 6.9/10 [SD = 1.4]). Conclusions: In these studies, we developed 26 SMS messages that were acceptable to the intended recipients and had sufficient fidelity to the intended BCTs. This approach could be taken to design interventions supporting behaviours needed for the successful delivery of clinical trials. The messages are available to research teams who can evaluate them in Studies within Trials.
背景:返回试验问卷是一种受一系列心理和情境因素影响的行为。以前测试过的短信服务(SMS)信息用于提示问卷返回,但没有解决这些因素,也没有以行为改变技术(BCT)的既定分类法为特征。目的:我们旨在开发可接受的基于理论的短信,忠实于四个BCT,以支持参与者理解不返回试验问卷的后果。方法和结果:我们最初开发了32条消息。10名行为改变专家评估了信息对预期作战旅的保真度(研究1a)。所有信息都与预期BCT具有适当的保真度(平均评分=6.8/10[SD=0.6)至7.5/10[SD=0.3])。研究1b是一个由五名患者代表组成的焦点小组,建议删除BCT“对未来结果的比较想象”(4条信息),再删除两条信息,并修改五条信息。在研究1c中,60名癌症乳腺癌幸存者将其余26条信息评为可接受(平均值为3.8/5[SD=1.2]至4.3/5[SD=0.8])。12名行为改变专家对26条信息与预期BCT的保真度进行了评级(研究1d);所有短信都具有适当的保真度(平均评分=6.1/10[SD=2.4]至6.9/10[SD=1.4])。结论:在这些研究中,我们开发了26条短信,这些短信对预期的接收者来说是可以接受的,并且对预期的BCT有足够的保真度。可以采用这种方法来设计干预措施,支持成功进行临床试验所需的行为。这些信息可供研究团队使用,他们可以在试验研究中对其进行评估。
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引用次数: 1
THE CABE PROJECT: Developing a model to conceptualise the sexual attitudes, behaviours, and experiences of men who have sex with men and Waria in Bali, Indonesia: Protocol for a mixed-methods design within a community-engaged research study CABE项目:在印度尼西亚巴厘岛开发一个概念化与男性发生性关系的男性和瓦里亚人的性态度、行为和经验的模型:社区参与研究中的混合方法设计方案
Pub Date : 2021-12-23 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211061294
Ni Wayan Septarini, S. Burns, B. Maycock
Introduction The prevalence of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among MSM (men who have sex with men) and transgender women (waria) in Bali is of significant public health concern. According to the 2015 Integrated Biological and Behavioural Survey (IBBS), HIV prevalence among MSM in Denpasar (the capital city of Bali) was 36% – the highest prevalence in this population reported nationally. In addition, 26% of MSM and 25% of waria in Indonesia were living with HIV in 2015. There is limited research examining the attitudes, behaviours and experiences of MSM in Indonesia, and specifically in Bali. This study will develop a model to help understand the social-cultural context, attitudes, behaviours, and experiences to inform interventions to increase safe sex practices amongst Indonesian MSM and waria who live in Bali. Methods and analysis The community-engaged research (CEnR) study, employing a sequential mixed-methods approach, will engage MSM and waria community throughout all five phases. The first two phases will include partnership building and exploratory research (focus group discussions/FGDs). Phase three will include the administration of a survey (n = 374 Indonesian MSM and waria). Phases four and five include explanatory (in-depth interviews) and dissemination phases, respectively. Multivariate analysis will be employed for the quantitative data (the survey) and thematic analysis will be used to analyse the qualitative data (FGDs and in-depth interviews). Discussion The findings of this CEnR will inform culturally congruent interventions for organisation working with MSM and transgender to promote safer sexual health practice and improve general well-being of this community.
巴厘岛男男性行为者(MSM)和变性妇女(waria)中性传播感染(STIs)的流行是一个重大的公共卫生问题。根据2015年综合生物和行为调查(IBBS),登巴萨(巴厘岛首都)男男性行为者中的艾滋病毒感染率为36%,是全国报告的这一人群中最高的。此外,2015年,印度尼西亚26%的男同性恋者和25%的女同性恋者感染了艾滋病毒。在印度尼西亚,特别是在巴厘岛,对男男性接触者的态度、行为和经历的调查研究有限。本研究将开发一个模型,以帮助了解社会文化背景、态度、行为和经验,为干预措施提供信息,以增加居住在巴厘岛的印度尼西亚MSM和waria的安全性行为。社区参与研究(CEnR)研究采用顺序混合方法,将在所有五个阶段参与MSM和waria社区。前两个阶段将包括建立伙伴关系和探索性研究(焦点小组讨论/ fgd)。第三阶段将包括进行一项调查(n = 374名印度尼西亚男男性行为者和女性)。第四和第五阶段分别包括解释性(深度访谈)和传播阶段。定量数据(调查)将采用多变量分析,定性数据(fgd和深度访谈)将采用专题分析。本研究的结果将为与男同性恋者和跨性别者合作的组织提供符合文化的干预措施,以促进更安全的性健康实践,并改善该社区的总体福祉。
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引用次数: 2
Multilevel mediation analysis on time-to-event outcomes: Exploring racial/ethnic disparities in breast cancer survival in California. 时间到事件结果的多层次中介分析:探索加州乳腺癌生存的种族/民族差异
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 Epub Date: 2021-11-20 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211061292
Qingzhao Yu, Mandi Yu, Joe Zou, Xiaocheng Wu, Scarlett L Gomez, Bin Li

Background: Third-variable effect refers to the effect from a third-variable that explains an observed relationship between an exposure and an outcome. Depending on whether there is a causal relationship from the exposure to the third variable, the third-variable is called a mediator or a confounder. The multilevel mediation analysis is used to differentiate third-variable effects from data of hierarchical structures.

Data collection and analysis: We developed a multilevel mediation analysis method to deal with time-to-event outcomes and implemented the method in the mlma R package. With the method, third-variable effects from different levels of data can be estimated. The method uses multilevel additive models that allow for transformations of variables to take into account potential nonlinear relationships among variables in the mediation analysis. We apply the proposed method to explore the racial/ethnic disparities in survival among patients diagnosed with breast cancer in California between 2006 and 2017, using both individual risk factors and census tract level environmental factors. The individual risk factors are collected by cancer registries and the census tract level factors are collected by the Public Health Alliance of Southern California in partnership with the Virginia Commonwealth University's Center on Society and Health. The National Cancer Institute work group linked variables at the census tract level with each patient and performed the analysis for this study.

Results: We found that the racial disparity in survival were mostly explained at the census tract level and partially explained at the individual level. The associations among variables were depicted. Conclusion: The multilevel mediation analysis method can be used to differentiate mediation/confounding effects for factors originated from different levels. The method is implemented in the R package mlma.

背景:第三变量效应是指解释观察到的暴露与结果之间关系的第三变量效应。根据暴露于第三个变量之间是否存在因果关系,第三个变量被称为中介或混杂因素。多层次中介分析用于区分层次结构数据中的第三变量效应。数据收集和分析:我们开发了一种多层中介分析方法来处理时间到事件的结果,并在mlma R包中实现了该方法。利用该方法,可以估计来自不同数据水平的第三变量效应。该方法使用多层加性模型,允许变量转换,以考虑中介分析中变量之间潜在的非线性关系。我们应用所提出的方法,利用个体风险因素和人口普查区水平的环境因素,探讨2006年至2017年间加利福尼亚州乳腺癌患者的生存种族/民族差异。个人风险因素由癌症登记处收集,人口普查区水平的因素由南加州公共卫生联盟与弗吉尼亚联邦大学社会与健康中心合作收集。国家癌症研究所工作小组将人口普查区水平的变量与每位患者联系起来,并对这项研究进行了分析。结果:我们发现,种族生存差异主要在人口普查区水平上得到解释,部分在个体水平上得到解释。描述了变量之间的关联。结论:多层次中介分析方法可以区分不同层次因素的中介/混杂效应。该方法在R包mlma中实现。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the external validity of survey data with triangulation: A case study from the Norwegian Offender Mental Health and Addiction (NorMA) Study 用三角测量法探讨调查数据的外部有效性:来自挪威罪犯心理健康与成瘾(NorMA)研究的案例研究
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211061298
Nicoline Toresen Lokdam, Marianne Riksheim Stavseth, A. Bukten
Objectives This paper demonstrates how to investigate the external validity of a study sample by triangulating survey and registry data, using data from the Norwegian Offender Mental Health and Addiction (NorMA) Study as a case. Methods We use survey data from the NorMA study (n = 1495), including the NorMA cohort (n = 733), and data from the Norwegian Prison Registry on all people imprisoned on 1 September 2013 (n = 3386). Triangulation was performed by (1) comparing the NorMA cohort to those lost to follow-up (n = 762), using survey data from the NorMA study. Secondly, we compared the NorMA cohort to the one-day population, using data from the Norwegian Prison Registry. We also stratified the one-day sample by possession of a Norwegian personal identification number (PIN). Results We found differences in birthplace, imprisonment and drug use between the NorMA cohort, lost to follow-up and the one-day population. Twenty-three percent of the one-day population did not have a Norwegian PIN. The NorMA cohort was more similar to those with a Norwegian PIN in the one-day population. Our triangulation demonstrates that 56–62% of the Norwegian prison population had an indication of drug use before imprisonment. Conclusions The NorMA cohort was overall representative of the one-day prison population holding a Norwegian PIN and less representative of prisoners without a Norwegian PIN. Using this method provides tangible inputs on the strengths and limitations of a study sample and can be a feasible method to investigate the external validity of survey data.
目的本文以挪威罪犯心理健康与成瘾研究(NorMA)的数据为例,展示了如何通过三角测量调查和登记数据来调查研究样本的外部有效性。方法我们使用NorMA研究的调查数据(n=1495),包括NorMA队列(n=733),以及挪威监狱登记处关于2013年9月1日所有被监禁者的数据(n=3386)。三角测量通过(1)使用NorMA研究的调查数据,将NorMA队列与随访失败的队列(n=762)进行比较。其次,我们使用挪威监狱登记处的数据,将NorMA队列与一天的人口进行了比较。我们还通过拥有挪威个人身份号码(PIN)对一天的样本进行了分层。结果我们发现NorMA队列、失访队列和一天人群在出生地、监禁和药物使用方面存在差异。23%的单日人口没有挪威PIN。在一天的人群中,NorMA队列与具有挪威PIN的队列更相似。我们的三角测量表明,56-62%的挪威监狱人口在入狱前有吸毒迹象。结论NorMA队列总体上代表了持有挪威PIN的一天监狱人口,而不太代表没有挪威PIN的囚犯。使用这种方法可以为研究样本的优势和局限性提供切实的输入,是调查调查数据外部有效性的可行方法。
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引用次数: 5
Conducting rapid qualitative research amongst people with experience of rough sleeping in London during the COVID-19 pandemic 在新冠肺炎大流行期间,对伦敦有露宿经历的人进行快速定性研究
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211061301
S. Parkin, J. Neale, Emmert Roberts, Eileen Brobbin, A. Bowen, L. Hermann, Georges-Jacques Dwyer, Richard Turner, J. Henderson, L. Kuester, Rebecca McDonald, P. Radcliffe, D. Robson, S. Craft, J. Strang, N. Metrebian
In March 2020, the ‘Everyone In’ initiative was introduced by the UK government as a public health response to COVID-19. This initiative sought to temporarily accommodate people experiencing rough sleeping in hotels in all local authority areas throughout England. In London, ‘Everyone In’ involved the procurement of vacant accommodation in over 100 hotels and temporarily re-housed approximately 2000 individuals. A rapid qualitative study was undertaken within two hotels to explore experiences of the initiative from the perspective of people accommodated in the hotels. This article describes how standard qualitative methods were adapted and implemented to complete the study whilst meeting COVID-19 social distancing guidelines. The research involved a longitudinal design of a two-stage qualitative interview that sought to capture residents’ experience of ‘Everyone In’ at two points in time (while in the hotel and when residents had left the hotel). Adapted qualitative methods were employed by a team of 13 researchers. These adaptations included socially distanced leaflet dropping, telephone-based participant recruitment, a remote, multistage, longitudinal qualitative telephone interviewing and rapid framework analysis. 35 hotel residents were recruited into the study (two subsequently withdrew participation). A total of 299 (of a possible 330) short interviews were completed by 33 participants (26 male and 7 female) as part of the multi-stage, longitudinal design of the study. This study indicates that adapted qualitative research methods employed during a pandemic can be successfully applied to obtain insights and experiences (of individuals and groups) otherwise difficult to reach and/or complex to understand.
2020年3月,英国政府推出了“全民参与”倡议,作为对COVID-19的公共卫生应对措施。这一举措旨在暂时安置在英格兰所有地方政府区域的酒店里露宿的人。在伦敦,“人人参与”项目在100多家酒店采购了空房,并临时安置了大约2000人。在两家酒店内进行了一项快速定性研究,以从酒店住宿人员的角度探索该倡议的经验。本文描述了如何采用和实施标准定性方法来完成研究,同时满足COVID-19社交距离指南。该研究采用了纵向设计的两阶段定性访谈,旨在捕捉居民在两个时间点(在酒店和离开酒店时)“所有人都在”的体验。一个由13名研究人员组成的小组采用了适应的定性方法。这些调整包括社会距离传单投放,基于电话的参与者招募,远程,多阶段,纵向定性电话访谈和快速框架分析。研究招募了35名酒店居民(其中两人随后退出)。作为研究多阶段纵向设计的一部分,共有33名参与者(26名男性和7名女性)完成了299次(可能的330次)简短访谈。这项研究表明,在大流行期间采用的适应性定性研究方法可以成功地应用于获得见解和经验(个人和群体),否则难以达到和/或难以理解。
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引用次数: 7
Measuring the sensitivity of difference-in-difference estimates to the parallel trends assumption 测量差分估计对平行趋势假设的敏感性
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/26320843211061306
Landon Gibson, Frederick M. Zimmerman
Background. Difference-in-Difference makes a critical assumption that the changes in the outcomes, over the post-treatment period, are similar between the treated and control groups—the parallel trends assumption. Evaluation of this assumption is often done either by graphical examination or by statistical tests in the pre-treatment period. They result in a binary conclusion about the validity of the assumption. Purpose. This paper proposes a sensitivity analysis that quantifies the departure from parallel trends necessary to meaningfully change the estimated treatment effect. Results. Sensitivity analyses have an advantage over traditional parallel trends tests: they use all available data and thereby work even if only one pre-period is available, and they quantify the strength of unobserved confounder(s) required to change the conclusions of a study. Conclusions. We apply the sensitivity analysis metrics developed by Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) and illustrate them on two studies.
背景。“差异中的差异”提出了一个关键的假设,即在治疗后的一段时间内,治疗组和对照组之间的结果变化是相似的——平行趋势假设。对这一假设的评估通常是通过图形检查或在治疗前进行统计检验来完成的。它们对假设的有效性得出了一个二元结论。目的。本文提出了一种敏感性分析,量化偏离平行趋势所必需的有意义的改变估计的治疗效果。结果。敏感性分析比传统的平行趋势检验有一个优势:它们使用所有可用的数据,因此即使只有一个前期可用,它们也能工作,并且它们量化了改变研究结论所需的未观察到的混杂因素的强度。结论。我们应用了Cinelli和Hazlett(2020)开发的敏感性分析指标,并在两项研究中进行了说明。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Research methods in medicine & health sciences
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