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Eligibility of Living Kidney Donors with Kidney Stone Disease. 患有肾结石疾病的活体肾脏捐赠者的资格。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-28 DOI: 10.1159/000546373
Tyler R Compher, Sambhavi Krishnamoorthy, Kyle D Wood, Michael J Hanaway, Shikha Mehta, Vineeta Kumar, Dean G Assimos, Anna L Zisman, Joseph J Crivelli

Introduction: Guidelines recommend that patients with a self-reported history of kidney stones or stones on imaging during living kidney donor (LKD) evaluation undergo 24-h urine stone risk testing. We examined eligibility decisions for LKD candidates at two high-volume academic transplant centers based on 24-h urine testing and imaging findings.

Methods: We identified potential LKDs with a self-reported history of kidney stones or stones identified on imaging, who underwent 24-h urine collection. Patients who could not donate due to other medical conditions were excluded. Differences in characteristics of patients approved versus rejected for donation were determined using t tests and chi-square tests, or nonparametric tests when appropriate.

Results: In total, 105 candidates met study criteria, of whom 22 (21%) were rejected for donation. Candidates rejected for donation had higher urinary calcium excretion (p < 0.001), supersaturation of calcium oxalate (p < 0.001), and supersaturation of calcium phosphate (p = 0.02). Thirty-four candidates repeated 24-h urine analyses following dietary or medical interventions for stone prevention. Candidates approved for donation had an increase in urinary volume (p = 0.045), reduction in urinary calcium excretion (p = 0.02), reduction in urinary oxalate excretion (p = 0.04), and reduction in supersaturations of calcium oxalate (p < 0.001), calcium phosphate (p = 0.004), and uric acid (p = 0.004). Those rejected for donation had no statistically significant changes in urinary parameters. While those rejected for donation had more stones on imaging compared to those approved, this did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.06).

Conclusion: Overall, urinary risk factors for nephrolithiasis and improvement in them following dietary or medical management were associated with approval for donation.

导读:指南建议自述有肾结石病史或在活体肾供者(LKD)评估时影像学显示有肾结石的患者进行24小时尿结石风险检测。我们根据24小时尿液检测和影像学结果,在两个大容量学术移植中心检查了LKD候选人的资格决定。方法:我们发现了潜在的lkd患者,他们有自述的肾结石病史或影像学发现的结石,并进行了24小时尿液收集。因其他医疗条件不能捐献的患者被排除在外。通过t检验和卡方检验确定批准和拒绝捐赠的患者的特征差异,适当时使用非参数检验。结果:105例符合研究标准,其中22例(21%)被拒绝捐献。被拒绝捐献的候选人尿钙排泄量更高。结论:总体而言,肾结石的泌尿危险因素以及饮食或医疗管理后这些危险因素的改善与批准捐赠有关。
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引用次数: 0
Inhibition of Calcium Release-Activated Calcium Channels to Treat Acute Kidney Injury: Design and Rationale of the KOURAGE Study a Randomized Trial. 抑制钙释放-活化钙(CRAC)通道治疗急性肾损伤:KOURAGE研究的设计和基本原理
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-09 DOI: 10.1159/000546863
Lakhmir S Chawla, Patrick T Murray, Stuart L Goldstein, Andrew Cunningham, Sudarshan Hebbar, Richard G Wunderink, Glenn M Chertow

Introduction: Patients with severe acute kidney injury (AKI) with associated acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) experience poorer outcomes, including higher rates of in-hospital mortality, relative to patients with less severe AKI, or those without associated AHRF. Zegocractin is a calcium release-activated calcium (CRAC) channel inhibitor with potent anti-inflammatory and pulmonary endothelial protective properties. Preclinical and early phase clinical studies suggest that zegocractin may be an effective agent for the treatment of AKI. Methods: KOURAGE (NCT06374797) is a multicenter, phase 2, randomized, double blind, placebo-controlled trial that aims to enroll approximately 150 patients with severe AKI and AHRF. Eligible patients will be randomized 1:1 to receive a total of five daily doses of zegocractin intravenous emulsion (Auxora™) or matching placebo. The objective was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of Auxora in patients with severe AKI, with the primary efficacy endpoint defined as the number of days alive, ventilator-free and kidney replacement therapy-free from the start of the first infusion of the study drug through day 30. A key secondary efficacy endpoint is the proportion of patients with major adverse kidney events at day 90. Conclusion: The KOURAGE trial will investigate the safety and efficacy of Auxora in patients with severe AKI and AHRF.

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与不太严重的AKI或无相关AHRF的患者相比,严重急性肾损伤(AKI)合并急性低氧性呼吸衰竭(AHRF)的患者预后较差,包括较高的住院死亡率。Zegocractin是一种钙释放活化钙(CRAC)通道抑制剂,具有有效的抗炎和肺内皮保护特性。临床前和早期临床研究表明zegocractin可能是治疗AKI的有效药物。方法:KOURAGE (NCT06374797)是一项多中心、2期、随机、双盲、安慰剂对照试验,旨在招募约150名严重AKI和AHRF患者。符合条件的患者将按1:1随机分配,接受共5次每日剂量的zegocractin静脉乳剂(Auxora™)或匹配的安慰剂。目的是评估Auxora在重度AKI患者中的安全性和有效性,主要疗效终点定义为从第一次输注研究药物到第30天的存活、无呼吸机和无肾脏替代治疗(KRT)的天数。一个关键的次要疗效终点是在第90天发生主要肾脏不良事件的患者比例。结论:KOURAGE试验将调查Auxora在重度AKI和AHRF患者中的安全性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Triglyceride-Glucose Index, Systolic Blood Pressure, and Risk of Tubular Atrophy/Interstitial Fibrosis in IgA Nephropathy. 甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数、收缩压和IgA肾病小管萎缩/间质纤维化的风险。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1159/000550298
Lu Wen, Zhanzheng Zhao, Xiaoyang Wang, Qianqian Li, Yuan Zhang, Genyang Cheng

Introduction: While the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a validated surrogate for insulin resistance, has demonstrated prognostic value in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) progression, its specific relationship with tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (TA/IF) remains undetermined. Given the established association between insulin resistance and hypertension in IgAN, we aimed to investigate the association of the TyG index and systolic blood pressure (SBP) with TA/IF and to develop a predictive model for early TA/IF detection.

Methods: This cross-sectional study included 691 patients with primary IgAN. Exposures examined included the TyG index and SBP at the time of kidney biopsy, the former being the logarithmized product of fasting triglyceride and glucose concentrations. We tested association between TyG index and TA/IF, defined as Oxford T1-2 scores, using logistic regression models. Mediation analysis was performed to assess the potential mediating role of SBP in this relationship. A novel model was established based on the identified variables to predict risk of TA/IF. The performance of this model was evaluated for discrimination (receiver operating characteristic curves), calibration (calibration curve), and clinical utility (decision-curve analysis).

Results: Patients in the highest tertile of TyG index had 3.09-fold higher risk for TA/IF compared with those in the lowest tertile. The TyG index was independently and positively associated with the risk of TA/IF (odds ratio [OR]:3.830, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.578-5.691; p < 0.001). SBP was found to mediate the association between TyG index and TA/IF, with a proportion mediated of 20.7% observed in the highest TyG index tertile (OR [indirect association]: 1.319, 95% CI: 1.118-1.558). The developed predictive nomogram model incorporated SBP, estimated glomerular filtration rate, TyG index, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and proteinuria; it demonstrated good predictive performance with strong discrimination (area under the curve: 0.864; bootstrap corrected: 0.859) and calibration (calibration curves). Decision-curve analysis confirmed the model's clinical utility showing a positive net benefit over a wide range of threshold probabilities.

Conclusion: In patients with IgAN, the TyG index was independently associated with the risk of TA/IF and SBP partially mediating this relationship. The developed nomogram, consisting of TyG index, SBP, and other conventional risk factors, provides a practical tool for risk stratification of TA/IF and guidance on IgAN management.

虽然甘油三酯-葡萄糖(TyG)指数是胰岛素抵抗的有效替代指标,已证明在IgA肾病(IgAN)进展中具有预后价值,但其与肾小管萎缩/间质纤维化(TA/IF)的具体关系仍未确定。鉴于IgAN中胰岛素抵抗与高血压之间的关联,我们旨在研究TyG指数和收缩压(SBP)与TA/IF的关系,并建立早期TA/IF检测的预测模型。方法:本横断面研究纳入691例原发性IgAN患者。暴露检查包括肾活检时的TyG指数和收缩压,前者是空腹甘油三酯和葡萄糖浓度的对数乘积。我们使用逻辑回归模型检验了TyG指数与TA/IF(定义为Oxford T1-2分数)之间的关联。通过中介分析来评估收缩压在这一关系中的潜在中介作用。基于已识别的变量,建立了预测TA/IF风险的新模型。评估了该模型的鉴别性(受试者工作特征曲线)、校准性(校准曲线)和临床实用性(决策曲线分析)。结果:TyG指数最高分位的患者TA/IF发生风险是最低分位患者的3.09倍。TyG指数与TA/IF风险独立正相关(优势比(OR):3.830, 95%可信区间(CI) 2.578 ~ 5.691;P < 0.001)。发现SBP介导了TyG指数和TA/IF之间的关联,在TyG指数最高的品种中,SBP介导的比例为20.7% (OR[间接关联]:1.319,95% CI 1.118-1.558)。建立的预测图模型包括收缩压、肾小球滤过率、TyG指数、高密度脂蛋白胆固醇和蛋白尿;该方法具有较强的判别性(曲线下面积:0.864;bootstrap校正:0.859)和校正性(校正曲线),具有较好的预测性能。决策曲线分析证实了该模型的临床效用,在广泛的阈值概率范围内显示出积极的净效益。结论:在IgAN患者中,TyG指数与TA/IF风险独立相关,收缩压在其中起部分中介作用。开发的由TyG指数、收缩压和其他常规危险因素组成的nomogram,为TA/IF的风险分层和IgAN管理提供了实用的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Associations Between Carvedilol Use and Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients with Acute Kidney Injury: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study. 卡维地洛与急性肾损伤危重患者预后的关系:一项多中心回顾性队列研究
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1159/000550239
Yao Meng, Jia-Wei Zhang, Yu-Jia Zhang, Zhi-Liang Jiang, Yue-Ming Liu, Jian-Guang Gong, Xiao-Gang Shen, Bo Lin, Bin Zhu

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the leading causes of in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients, with few treatment options other than supportive care. While preclinical studies suggest carvedilol may offer renal protection, its effect on outcomes in this population remains unclear.

Methods: This retrospective study included 26,230 adult patients with AKI from the MIMIC-IV database to evaluate outcomes associated with carvedilol use. The primary endpoint was 30-day all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints included ICU and in-hospital mortality, renal replacement therapy (RRT) requirement, renal function recovery, and ICU/hospital length of stay. Additional outcomes assessed were the incidence of hyperkalemia, the need for vasopressors, and mortality at 90, 180, and 360 days. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and logistic regression were employed, along with propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to ensure robustness. A separate cohort of 36793 critically ill patients with AKI from the eICU Collaborative Research Database was analyzed for the external validation.

Results: Carvedilol intervention was associated with significantly lower 30-day mortality (adjusted HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.44-0.65; p<0.001), ICU mortality (adjusted HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.26-0.50; p<0.001) and in-hospital mortality (adjusted HR 0.42, 95% CI 0.32-0.54; p<0.001), with sustained benefits up to 360 days (adjusted HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.63-0.880; p<0.001). These findings were supported by external validation in the eICU cohort, where carvedilol was independently associated with reduced ICU and in-hospital mortality (adjusted HRs 0.52 and 0.64, respectively; both p<0.001). Carvedilol-treated patients had higher rates of renal function recovery (adjusted OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.09-1.54; p<0.001), shorter ICU stays (median 4.1 vs 4.2 days, p=0.012), and no increased risk of hyperkalemia (p>0.05).

Conclusion: In critically ill patients with AKI, carvedilol use was associated with improved short- and long-term survival, without an increased risk of hyperkalemia.

背景:急性肾损伤(AKI)是危重患者院内死亡的主要原因之一,除了支持性护理外,几乎没有其他治疗选择。虽然临床前研究表明卡维地洛可能提供肾脏保护,但其对该人群预后的影响尚不清楚。方法:这项回顾性研究包括来自MIMIC-IV数据库的26,230名成年AKI患者,以评估卡维地洛使用的相关结果。主要终点为30天全因死亡率。次要终点包括ICU和住院死亡率、肾脏替代治疗(RRT)需求、肾功能恢复和ICU/住院时间。评估的其他结果包括高钾血症的发生率、血管加压药物的需求以及90、180和360天的死亡率。采用多变量Cox比例风险模型和logistic回归,以及倾向评分匹配(PSM)和处理加权逆概率(IPTW)来确保稳健性。对来自eICU合作研究数据库的36793例AKI危重患者进行单独队列分析以进行外部验证。结果:卡维地洛干预与显著降低的30天死亡率相关(校正HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.44-0.65; p0.05)。结论:在患有AKI的危重患者中,卡维地洛的使用与短期和长期生存率的改善相关,且没有增加高钾血症的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Options for Hemodialysis Vascular Access: Should We Reconsider? 血液透析血管通路的选择-我们应该重新考虑吗?
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1159/000550131
Sijie Zheng, Anil K Agarwal
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引用次数: 0
Deep Learning-Based Quantification of Residual Blood Clots in Single-Use Dialyzers Using Bedside Mobile-Captured Images. 基于深度学习的使用床边移动设备捕获图像的一次性透析器残留血凝块定量。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1159/000549740
Yi-Ren Yeh, Shih-Chun Yeh, Ching-Fen Wu, Feng-Ching Shen, Sandia Iskandar, Phang-Lang Chen, Ming-Yu Yang, Hugo Y-H Lin

Introduction: Blood clot formation and capillary fiber blockage in dialyzers remain critical challenges for patients with end-stage kidney disease undergoing hemodialysis. This study aimed to develop a machine learning model that effectively quantifies residual blood clots in dialyzer images captured using bedside smartphone cameras.

Methods: Dialyzer images were collected using mobile phones, and preprocessing techniques - such as background noise removal and image segmentation - were applied to focus on relevant regions. Data augmentation was used to increase model robustness. Composite images were created by combining views from both ends of the dialyzer, enhancing the model's ability to detect residual clots. We developed a binary classification model to distinguish between <10% and ∼30% blood clot levels using a pre-trained ConvNeXt architecture. Explainable AI (LIME) was incorporated to ensure the model focused on clinically relevant areas in its predictions.

Results: The dataset was split into training (60%), validation (20%), and testing (20%) sets, with 10 random trials for robustness. The ConvNeXt model achieved an accuracy of 0.6971 without pre-training or data augmentation, which increased to 0.7572 with pre-trained weights. Our combined framework yielded the highest accuracy (0.7672) and reduced standard deviation, indicating greater robustness. For comparison, two nephrology nurses achieved accuracies of 0.6271 and 0.6005 when manually classifying clot levels based solely on end images.

Conclusions: Our approach effectively detects residual blood clots in dialyzers using ConvNeXt by leveraging image data from both ends. The use of explainable AI tools confirmed the model's ability to accurately identify blood clots by focusing on relevant regions. Our study emphasizes the need to balance model complexity with computational efficiency. The ConvNeXt-Base model successfully avoided overfitting while maintaining practical performance, which could lead to improved clinical decision-making by minimizing circuit downtime and optimizing anemia management.

背景:透析器中的血凝块形成和毛细血管纤维阻塞仍然是终末期肾病(ESKD)患者接受血液透析的关键挑战。这项研究旨在开发一种机器学习模型,有效量化使用床边智能手机摄像头拍摄的透析器图像中的残留血栓。方法:通过手机采集透析器图像,采用背景噪声去除、图像分割等预处理技术对相关区域进行聚焦处理。采用数据扩充来提高模型的稳健性。通过结合透析器两端的视图创建复合图像,增强了模型检测残余血块的能力。我们开发了一个二元分类模型来区分结果:数据集被分为训练集(60%)、验证集(20%)和测试集(20%),并进行了10次随机试验以确保稳健性。在未进行预训练和数据增强的情况下,ConvNeXt模型的准确率为0.6971,在预训练权值的情况下,准确率提高到0.7572。我们的组合框架产生了最高的精度(0.7672)和更低的标准偏差,表明更强的稳健性。相比之下,两名肾病科护士仅根据末端图像对血块水平进行人工分类的准确率分别为0.6271和0.6005。结论:我们的方法通过利用两端的图像数据,使用ConvNeXt有效地检测透析器中的残留血凝块。可解释的人工智能工具的使用证实了该模型通过关注相关区域准确识别血栓的能力。我们的研究强调需要平衡模型复杂性和计算效率。ConvNeXt基础模型成功地避免了过拟合,同时保持了实际性能,可以通过减少电路停机时间和优化贫血管理来改善临床决策。
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引用次数: 0
Elevated Glycerol-3-Phosphate in Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis: Associations with Phosphate and Fibroblast Growth Factor 23. 血液透析患者甘油-3-磷酸升高:与磷酸盐和成纤维细胞生长因子23的关系
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1159/000550130
Yosuke Nakagawa, Masatoshi Ito, Yusuke Tomita, Michio Nakamura, Norisuke Shimamura, Hiroo Takahashi, Yuichiro Takahashi, Toru Hyodo, Miho Hida, Takao Suga, Takatoshi Kakuta, Hirotaka Komaba

Introduction: Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) levels are markedly elevated in patients with kidney failure, but the mechanisms are incompletely understood. Recent evidence suggests that kidney-derived glycerol-3-phosphate (G-3-P), a glycolytic byproduct, mediates FGF23 production in response to dietary phosphate loading. However, the role of G-3-P is unknown in patients with kidney failure.

Methods: Serum G-3-P levels were quantified by LC/MS in 35 healthy individuals and 650 patients undergoing hemodialysis. Association between serum phosphorus and G-3-P was examined using unadjusted and multivariable linear regression models. We next analyzed the associations of G-3-P and known regulators of FGF23 production with serum FGF23.

Results: Median serum G-3-P level in patients undergoing hemodialysis was 220 ng/mL (IQR, 118-325), 2.2-fold higher than that of healthy individuals (98 ng/mL; IQR, 80-129). In patients undergoing hemodialysis, higher serum phosphorus was strongly associated with increased G-3-P in the unadjusted model; this association persisted after multivariate adjustment and when restricted to patients undergoing hemodialysis for over 10 years. In univariate analyses, higher serum phosphorus, calcium, intact PTH, G-3-P, and active vitamin D use were each significantly associated with higher FGF23. Multivariate analysis identified G-3-P as an independent predictor of FGF23. Further adjustment for transferrin saturation, ferritin, and C-reactive protein did not change these findings.

Conclusion: Even in patients with kidney failure, G-3-P may rise in response to phosphate retention and act as a regulator of FGF23 production. Further studies are needed to test these hypotheses and determine whether the apparently nonfunctioning kidney retains the capacity to produce G-3-P.

导读:成纤维细胞生长因子23 (FGF23)水平在肾衰竭患者中显著升高,但其机制尚不完全清楚。最近的证据表明,肾源性甘油-3-磷酸(G-3-P),一种糖酵解副产物,在膳食磷酸盐负荷下介导FGF23的产生。然而,G-3-P在肾衰竭患者中的作用尚不清楚。方法:采用LC/MS法测定35例健康人及650例血液透析患者血清G-3-P水平。血清磷与G-3-P之间的关系采用未调整和多变量线性回归模型进行检验。接下来,我们分析了G-3-P和已知的FGF23产生调节因子与血清FGF23的关系。结果:血液透析患者血清G-3-P水平中位数为220 ng/mL (IQR, 118-325),比健康者(98 ng/mL, IQR, 80-129)高2.2倍。在接受血液透析的患者中,在未调整的模型中,血清磷升高与G-3-P升高密切相关;在多因素调整后,当仅限于接受血液透析超过10年的患者时,这种关联仍然存在。在单变量分析中,较高的血清磷、钙、完整的甲状旁腺激素、G-3-P和活性维生素D的使用均与较高的FGF23显著相关。多变量分析表明G-3-P是FGF23的独立预测因子。进一步调整转铁蛋白饱和度、铁蛋白和c反应蛋白并没有改变这些发现。结论:即使在肾衰竭患者中,G-3-P也可能因磷酸盐潴留而升高,并作为FGF23生成的调节剂。需要进一步的研究来验证这些假设,并确定显然没有功能的肾脏是否保留产生G-3-P的能力。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Febuxostat on Kidney Outcomes in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease and Asymptomatic Hyperuricemia: A Target Trial Emulation. 非布司他对慢性肾病和无症状高尿酸血症患者肾脏预后的影响:一项目标试验模拟
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1159/000550047
Qi Liu, Tao Liu, Zihan Fang, Ran He, Bo Lin, Danna Zheng

Introduction: Previous studies on the effects of urate-lowering therapy in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and asymptomatic hyperuricemia have yielded conflicting results regarding renal outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the impact of initiating febuxostat on kidney prognosis in patients with stage 3-4 CKD and asymptomatic hyperuricemia using real-world data.

Methods: Using data from Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, we conducted a target trial emulation study involving 3,232 patients newly diagnosed with stage 3-4 CKD and asymptomatic hyperuricemia between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2024. Using a clone-censor-weight approach, we compared the strategy of initiating febuxostat within 1 year of the first detected serum uric acid (UA) level >420 μmol/L versus to no initiation. Patients were followed for up to 5 years after hyperuricemia was diagnosed. The primary outcome was a composite kidney outcome consisting of a ≥40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), end-stage kidney disease (eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m2), or initiation of kidney replacement therapy. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).

Results: Among patients newly diagnosed with CKD and hyperuricemia (mean age 71.8 years, 64% male, mean eGFR 42.8 mL/min/1.73 m2, mean serum UA level 499.4 μmol/L), 631 individuals (20%) initiated febuxostat therapy. Compared with non-initiation, febuxostat initiation was not significantly associated with the primary composite kidney outcome (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 0.91-1.20), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.66-1.35), or MACE (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.95-1.11).

Conclusion: In patients with stage 3-4 CKD and asymptomatic hyperuricemia, initiation of febuxostat was not associated with kidney outcomes, all-cause mortality, or MACE. Further studies are warranted to validate these findings.

背景:先前关于降尿酸治疗(ULT)对慢性肾病(CKD)和无症状高尿酸血症患者的影响的研究在肾脏预后方面产生了相互矛盾的结果。本研究旨在利用真实世界数据探讨非布司他对3-4期CKD合并无症状高尿酸血症患者肾脏预后的影响。方法:利用浙江省人民医院的数据,我们在2018年1月1日至2024年12月31日期间对3232例新诊断为3-4期CKD并无症状高尿酸血症的患者进行了一项目标试验模拟研究。使用克隆-审查-权重方法,我们比较了在首次检测到血清尿酸(UA)水平bbb20 420 μmol/L的一年内开始使用非布司他的策略与不开始使用非布司他的策略。在确诊为高尿酸血症后,对患者进行了长达5年的随访。主要结局是复合肾脏结局,包括肾小球滤过率(eGFR)估计下降≥40%,终末期肾脏疾病(ESKD) (eGFR)结果:在新诊断为CKD和高尿酸血症的患者中(平均年龄71.8岁,64%男性,平均eGFR 42.8 mL/min/1.73 m²,平均血清UA水平499.4 μmol/L), 631人(20%)开始使用非布司他治疗。与非布司他起始治疗相比,非布司他起始治疗与主要综合肾脏结局(HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.91至1.20)、全因死亡率(HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.66至1.35)或MACE (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.95至1.11)无显著相关性。结论:在3-4期CKD合并无症状高尿酸血症的患者中,开始使用非布司他与肾脏预后、全因死亡率或MACE无关。需要进一步的研究来证实这些发现。
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引用次数: 0
The Power of Multiple Artificial Intelligence Models to Predict Global Chronic Kidney Disease Incidence: Who Leads the Race? 多种人工智能模型预测全球慢性肾脏疾病发病率的能力:谁在这场竞赛中领先?
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1159/000549005
Jianbo Qing, Wisit Cheungpasitporn, Kaili Qin, Xiao Wang, Yafeng Li, Junnan Wu

Introduction: The global incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) continues to rise, but delayed epidemiological data pose challenges to public health policy. Traditional surveillance methods often suffer from reporting delays. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) offer novel opportunities for enhancing disease burden predictions.

Methods: We collected CKD incidence data from 21 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) regions spanning from 1990 to 2021. Using five advanced AI models (GPT-4o, Claude-3.7, DeepSeek-R1, Grok-3, and Gemini 2.5) and two traditional forecasting methods (autoregressive integrated moving average and Bayesian age-period-cohort), we predicted CKD incidence for 2023. The performance of the models was evaluated by comparing the predicted values to the actual observed data. All models were trained using the same data and instructions.

Results: The AI models and traditional models performed similarly, with near-perfect accuracy in predicting incidence rates in regions such as the Americas, Central Europe, East Asia, high-income Asia Pacific, Southeast Asia, and tropical Latin America. Among the models, GPT-4o demonstrated the highest mean accuracy of 0.722, with all models achieving average accuracies above 0.65. No statistically significant difference in accuracy was observed between AI-based and traditional models (ANOVA p = 0.27).

Conclusion: State-of-the-art AI models, when systematically prompted and standardized, can predict global CKD incidence with accuracy comparable to traditional statistical models. AI-driven epidemiological forecasting holds promise for enhancing real-time public health planning and resource allocation, particularly in regions with stable historical data.

全球慢性肾脏疾病(CKD)发病率持续上升,但延迟的流行病学数据对公共卫生政策提出了挑战。传统的监测方法往往存在报告延迟的问题。人工智能(AI)的最新进展为加强疾病负担预测提供了新的机会。方法:我们收集了1990年至2021年21个全球疾病负担(GBD)地区的CKD发病率数据。采用5种先进的人工智能模型(gpt - 40、克劳德-3.7、DeepSeek-R1、Grok-3和Gemini 2.5)和两种传统的预测方法(自回归综合移动平均和贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列),我们预测了2023年的CKD发病率。通过将预测值与实际观测数据进行比较,对模型的性能进行了评价。所有模型都使用相同的数据和指令进行训练。结果:人工智能模型和传统模型的表现相似,在预测美洲、中欧、东亚、高收入亚太地区、东南亚和热带拉丁美洲等地区的发病率方面具有近乎完美的准确性。其中gpt - 40模型的平均准确率最高,为0.722,所有模型的平均准确率均在0.65以上。人工智能模型与传统模型的准确率无统计学差异(方差分析p = 0.27)。结论:最先进的人工智能模型,在系统提示和标准化的情况下,可以预测全球CKD发病率,其准确性与传统统计模型相当。人工智能驱动的流行病学预测有望加强实时公共卫生规划和资源分配,特别是在拥有稳定历史数据的地区。
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引用次数: 0
Urinary and Plasma KIM-1 in Chronic Kidney Disease: Prognostic Insights and Remaining Questions. 尿和血浆KIM-1在慢性肾脏疾病:预后的见解和遗留问题。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1159/000549046
Omer Faruk Akcay
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引用次数: 0
期刊
American Journal of Nephrology
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