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Barriers to immigrant entrepreneurship: A causal relationship analysis of the Asian immigrant entrepreneurs in Germany employing the DEMATEL approach 移民创业障碍:运用DEMATEL方法对德国亚洲移民企业家的因果关系分析
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.015
Gul Shah Sabary, A. Ključnikov
Research background: Entrepreneurship and migration are top priorities on many national and international agendas. As a result, entrepreneurship is one of the most popular strategies immigrants use to avoid unemployment in a host country. However, studies lack to discuss causal relationships among key barriers to immigrant entrepreneurs.Purpose of the article: This study attempts to fill the knowledge gap and investigate the causal relationship between the primary obstacles faced by Asian immigrant entrepreneurs in Germany.Methods: A predesigned questionnaire was used in face-to-face interviews with Asian business owners in Germany for the study, and the Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) method of data analysis was used.Findings & value added: The findings reveal that lack of sufficient financial resources to establish a business, high market competition, and a lack of knowledge of the local language of the host country are the most significant barriers, among others, which may severely hamper Asian immigrant business performance and have a considerable impact on their entrepreneurial decision. At the same time, lack of professional knowledge & skills, problems with rules & regulations, and cultural differences are among the least essential obstacles for Asian immigrant entrepreneurs. The findings show that unfamiliarity with the local language, problems with rules and regulations, cultural differences, and lack of international business experience are associated with the causer category. However, lack of enough capital to establish a venture, lack of professional knowledge and skills, difficulty in access to financial resources, and high market competition relate to the receiver category. This research generates value for policymakers, particularly those participating in migration studies. One of the study's novelties is using the DEMATEL framework for decision-making on barriers to immigrant entrepreneurship in the European context.
研究背景:创业和移民是许多国家和国际议程的首要任务。因此,创业是移民在东道国避免失业的最受欢迎的策略之一。然而,研究缺乏讨论移民企业家面临的主要障碍之间的因果关系。本文的目的:本研究试图填补知识空白,并调查德国亚裔移民企业家面临的主要障碍之间的因果关系,并采用数据分析的决策试验与评估实验室(DEMATEL)方法。调查结果和附加值:调查结果表明,缺乏足够的财政资源来建立企业、高度的市场竞争以及缺乏对东道国当地语言的了解是最重要的障碍,这些障碍可能严重阻碍亚洲移民的商业表现,并对他们的创业决策产生重大影响。与此同时,缺乏专业知识和技能、规章制度问题以及文化差异是亚洲移民企业家最不重要的障碍。研究结果表明,对当地语言的不熟悉、规则和条例的问题、文化差异以及缺乏国际商业经验与原因类别有关。然而,缺乏足够的资本来建立合资企业,缺乏专业知识和技能,难以获得财政资源,市场竞争激烈,这些都与接受者类别有关。这项研究为决策者,特别是参与移民研究的决策者创造了价值。该研究的新颖之处之一是在欧洲背景下使用DEMATEL框架来决策移民创业的障碍。
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引用次数: 1
A cross-national study of internationalisation barriers with reference to SME value chain 基于中小企业价值链的国际化壁垒跨国研究
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.016
Wiesław Urban, K. Krot, A. Tomaszuk
Research background: The study responses to the internationalisation issue, one of the essential factors of SMEs growth. Particularly to companies' efforts towards setting international cooperation and circumstances obstructing these struggles. The study takes into consideration that internationalisation in specific areas of company's operations differs noticeably. Similarly, different barriers may arise depending on the areas of the company's value chain that are the focus of the enterprises' internationalisation strategies.Purpose of the article: This study aims to identify barriers to internationalisation regarding various areas of a company's value chain. The study employs the Value Chain Model by Porter.Methods: The field data was collected using a questionnaire survey on a sample of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) located in countries in the Baltic Sea region (Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland). A multiple regression analysis was performed to determine the impact of barriers on internationalisation.Finding & value added: The study indicates three areas that are most often the subject of internationalisation in SMEs: operations, outbound logistics and marketing and sales. Barriers differ between value chain areas; however, cultural differences and competition are perceived as the most important hindering factors by companies experienced in internationalisation. At the same time, barriers regarding knowledge and finance diminish when companies becoming more experienced in internationalisation in particular value chain areas. This study is one of few employing the value chain framework to examine internationalisation.
研究背景:本研究针对中小企业成长的关键因素之一——国际化问题。特别是公司为建立国际合作而作出的努力和阻碍这些斗争的环境。该研究考虑到公司运营的特定领域的国际化差异显著。同样,不同的障碍可能会产生取决于公司价值链的领域,这是企业国际化战略的重点。本文的目的:本研究旨在确定公司价值链各个领域的国际化障碍。本研究采用波特的价值链模型。方法:对波罗的海地区(丹麦、爱沙尼亚、芬兰、德国、拉脱维亚、立陶宛和波兰)的中小企业进行问卷调查,收集现场数据。进行多元回归分析以确定障碍对国际化的影响。发现和增值:研究表明,中小企业国际化最常涉及的三个领域:运营、对外物流、营销和销售。价值链不同区域之间的壁垒不同;然而,文化差异和竞争被具有国际化经验的公司视为最重要的阻碍因素。与此同时,当企业在特定价值链领域的国际化经验越来越丰富时,知识和融资方面的障碍就会减少。本研究是少数采用价值链框架来考察国际化的研究之一。
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引用次数: 0
Human capital convergence in European NUTS 2 regions 欧洲NUTS 2区域的人力资本趋同
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.011
B. Dańska-Borsiak
Research background: The role of human capital in modern economy development is as important as that of material growth factors. According to the three-sector model theory, economic growth is associated with the process of labour force leaving the primary sector. The research issue addressed in this paper was the human capital level estimation in European NUTS 2 regions and the relationship between the human capital level and sectoral structure of the economy.Purpose of the article: The article aimed to verify the hypotheses of absolute and conditional human capital convergence in European NUTS 2 regions. The analysis covered the 2005-2020 period for European NUTS 2 regions and two subgroups: the CEE regions and the Western European regions.Methods: A composite indicator approach was adopted to measure human capital levels in NUTS 2 regions. In order to verify the absolute and conditional b-convergence hypotheses, dynamic panel data models were estimated. The Blundell and Bond system-GMM estimator with parameter standard errors robust to heteroscedasticity was used.Findings & value added: The study positively verified the hypotheses of absolute and conditional convergence in each group of regions. Percentages of employees in sectors proved to be the steady-state determinants. The time needed to reduce differences occurring in human capital levels by half (a half-life) was about 11 times greater for the CEE regions than for the Western European ones. The value added of the article lies in proving the relationship between the sectoral structure of employees and the pace of human capital convergence in European NUTS 2 regions.
研究背景:人力资本在现代经济发展中的作用与物质增长要素同等重要。根据三部门模型理论,经济增长与劳动力离开第一部门的过程有关。本文研究的问题是欧洲NUTS 2地区的人力资本水平估算以及人力资本水平与经济部门结构的关系。文章目的:本文旨在验证欧洲NUTS 2地区绝对和条件人力资本趋同的假设。该分析涵盖了2005-2020年期间欧洲NUTS 2区域和两个亚组:中东欧区域和西欧区域。方法:采用综合指标法对nut - 2地区人力资本水平进行测度。为了验证绝对和条件b收敛假设,对动态面板数据模型进行了估计。采用参数标准误差对异方差具有鲁棒性的Blundell和Bond系统- gmm估计器。研究结果与附加值:本研究积极验证了各组区域绝对收敛和条件收敛的假设。各部门雇员的百分比被证明是稳定状态的决定因素。将人力资本水平差异减少一半(半衰期)所需的时间,中东欧区域比西欧区域大约多11倍。本文的附加值在于证明了欧洲NUTS 2地区雇员部门结构与人力资本趋同速度之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of organizational resilience on the quality of public services: Application of structural equation modeling 组织弹性对公共服务质量的影响:结构方程模型的应用
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.014
Mindaugas Butkus, G. Schiuma, I. Bartuševičienė, O. Rakauskienė, Lina Volodzkiene, Laura Dargenytė-kacilevičienė
Research background: During the COVID-19 pandemic, public sector entities encountered extraordinary difficulties in maintaining the delivery of public services. They were ill-equipped to operate in the unpredictable circumstances of the pandemic, causing a significant impact on the accessibility and quality of public services. This scenario also highlighted the importance of the resilience of the public sector, which entails an organization's capacity to function in a crisis setting and uncover opportunities that might not have been evident during normal circumstances.Purpose of the article: This study aims to assess development trends within public sector resilience and their impact on the quality of public services. As resilience is realized through a three-phase prism - i.e., Planning, Adaptation, and Enhanced Learning - we hypothesize that Adaptation is endogenously interrelated with Planning and positively affects Enhanced Learning, which in turn positively impacts Service Quality.Methods: Two successive surveys were carried out to examine the links between organizational resilience and Service Quality in the public sector. The first involved interviewing 401 senior managers of the organizations that provide public services in Lithuania to assess their level of organizational resilience. The second survey involved questioning individuals aged 18 and above who had used the services of the previously surveyed organizations. In total, 3,609 public service users were interviewed to gather data on Service Quality. Structural equation modeling was performed to analyze the data collected.Findings & value added: The results of structural equation modeling revealed that Enhanced Learning positively and significantly affects Service Quality. The findings of this study suggest that the bounce-back stage of organizational resilience, i.e., Adaptation, indirectly affects Service Quality through the bounce-forward stage, i.e., Enhanced Learning. Thus, Enhanced Learning acts both as an accelerator of Service Quality and as a moderator of the effect that other stages of organizational resilience have on Service Quality. The primary contribution of this article is its discovery that Service Quality develops from Enhanced Learning, implying that the optimal approach to service provision is based on both newly acquired knowledge and experience gained during challenging times. This enables organizations to transform their service delivery in response to the realities of changing circumstances, thereby creating opportunities to prepare for future challenges from the standpoint of a new equilibrium.
研究背景:在新冠肺炎大流行期间,公共部门实体在维持公共服务提供方面遇到了异常困难。他们没有能力在疫情的不可预测的情况下运作,对公共服务的可及性和质量造成了重大影响。这种情况也突出了公共部门复原力的重要性,这意味着一个组织有能力在危机环境中发挥作用,并发现在正常情况下可能不明显的机会。文章目的:本研究旨在评估公共部门复原力的发展趋势及其对公共服务质量的影响。由于弹性是通过三个棱镜实现的,即规划、适应和强化学习,我们假设适应与规划内生相关,并对强化学习产生积极影响,方法:连续进行两次调查,考察公共部门组织弹性与服务质量之间的联系。第一项是采访立陶宛提供公共服务的组织的401名高级管理人员,以评估他们的组织弹性水平。第二项调查询问了18岁及以上使用过先前调查组织服务的个人。共有3609名公共服务用户接受了访问,以收集有关服务质量的数据。对收集到的数据进行了结构方程建模分析。研究结果和附加值:结构方程建模的结果表明,强化学习对服务质量有积极而显著的影响。本研究的结果表明,组织弹性的反弹阶段,即适应,通过反弹阶段(即增强学习)间接影响服务质量。因此,强化学习既是服务质量的加速器,也是组织弹性的其他阶段对服务质量影响的调节器。本文的主要贡献是发现服务质量是从增强学习中发展起来的,这意味着提供服务的最佳方法是基于新获得的知识和在充满挑战的时期获得的经验。这使各组织能够根据不断变化的环境的现实情况改变其服务提供方式,从而创造机会,从新的平衡的角度为未来的挑战做好准备。
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引用次数: 1
A novel approach to estimating the debt capacity of European SMEs 一种估算欧洲中小企业债务能力的新方法
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.017
Michael Karas, M. Režňáková
Research background: The concept of debt capacity assumes that a maximum value of debt ratio exists that when exceeded triggers unfavourable consequences, such as drop in market value, default or a change in the business' creditworthiness. With the current state of the art there is a priori no theoretical assurance that such a specific value exists, or rather it is represented by an interval of values. Beyond that, our understanding of debt capacity is often limited to a theoretical approximation by firm-specific factors, while the context of macroeconomic factors, especially those critical for SMEs, is neglected.Purpose of the article: The aim of this paper is to present a novel approach to estimating SMEs' debt capacity. Further, the aim is to answer the question of what firm-level and macroeconomy conditions lead to exhausting the SMEs' debt capacity and under what conditions a specific value of maximum debt capacity could be estimated.Methods: To estimate the debt capacity, we suggest a use of an information entropy minimising heuristic and the Minimal Description Length Principle. In this approach, the observed feature space is categorised into several regions. In this case, such a region represents a set of firm- and macroeconomy-specific conditions forming the debt capacity of the SMEs. To the best of our knowledge, such an approach has not yet been used in debt capacity applications.Findings & value added: We found out that the debt ratio itself provides little explanation of exhausted debt capacity, suggesting that high debt levels are compensated for by other factors. By using the suggested approach, a set of more than 100 different regions was analysed. It was found that in case of five regions (sets of conditions) the debt capacity is exhausted, as the high level of debt has significant distress consequences.
研究背景:债务能力的概念假设存在债务比率的最大值,当超过该值时会引发不利后果,如市场价值下降、违约或企业信用度变化。在现有技术的情况下,先验地没有理论保证存在这样的特定值,或者更确切地说,它由值的区间表示。除此之外,我们对债务能力的理解往往局限于企业特定因素的理论近似,而宏观经济因素,特别是对中小企业至关重要的因素,却被忽视了。文章的目的:本文的目的是提出一种新的方法来估计中小企业的债务能力。此外,其目的是回答企业层面和宏观经济条件如何导致中小企业债务能力耗尽的问题,以及在什么条件下可以估计最大债务能力的具体值。方法:为了估计债务能力,我们建议使用信息熵最小化启发式和最小描述长度原则。在这种方法中,观察到的特征空间被分类为几个区域。在这种情况下,这样一个区域代表了形成中小企业债务能力的一系列企业和宏观经济特定条件。据我们所知,这种方法尚未用于债务能力申请。研究结果和附加值:我们发现,债务比率本身几乎不能解释债务能力的耗尽,这表明高债务水平是由其他因素补偿的。通过使用所建议的方法,对100多个不同区域进行了分析。研究发现,在五个地区(一组条件)的情况下,债务能力已经耗尽,因为高水平的债务会产生重大的困境后果。
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引用次数: 0
Google and Apple mobility data as predictors for European tourism during the COVID-19 pandemic: A neural network approach b谷歌和苹果移动数据作为COVID-19大流行期间欧洲旅游业的预测指标:一种神经网络方法
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.013
B. Nagy, M. Gabor, Ioan-Bogdan Bacoș, M. Kabil, Kai Zhu, L. Dávid
Research background: The COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented disruptions to the global tourism industry, resulting in significant impacts on both human and economic activities. Travel restrictions, border closures, and quarantine measures have led to a sharp decline in tourism demand, causing businesses to shut down, jobs to be lost, and economies to suffer.Purpose of the article: This study aims to examine the correlation and causal relationship between real-time mobility data and statistical data on tourism, specifically tourism overnights, across eleven European countries during the first 14 months of the pandemic. We analyzed the short longitudinal connections between two dimensions of tourism and related activities.Methods: Our method is to use Google and Apple's observational data to link with tourism statistical data, enabling the development of early predictive models and econometric models for tourism overnights (or other tourism indices). This approach leverages the more timely and more reliable mobility data from Google and Apple, which is published with less delay than tourism statistical data.Findings & value added: Our findings indicate statistically significant correlations between specific mobility dimensions, such as recreation and retail, parks, and tourism statistical data, but poor or insignificant relations with workplace and transit dimensions. We have identified that leisure and recreation have a much stronger influence on tourism than the domestic and routine-named dimensions. Additionally, our neural network analysis revealed that Google Mobility Parks and Google Mobility Retail & Recreation are the best predictors for tourism, while Apple Driving and Apple Walking also show significant correlations with tourism data. The main added value of our research is that it combines observational data with statistical data, demonstrates that Google and Apple location data can be used to model tourism phenomena, and identifies specific methods to determine the extent, direction, and intensity of the relationship between mobility and tourism flows.
研究背景:新冠肺炎疫情对全球旅游业造成了前所未有的破坏,对人类和经济活动都产生了重大影响。旅行限制、边境关闭和隔离措施导致旅游需求急剧下降,导致企业倒闭、失业,经济受到影响。文章的目的:本研究旨在研究大流行前14个月期间11个欧洲国家的实时流动性数据与旅游统计数据(特别是旅游过夜)之间的相关性和因果关系。我们分析了旅游与相关活动两个维度之间的短纵向联系。方法:利用谷歌和Apple的观测数据与旅游统计数据相关联,建立旅游过夜(或其他旅游指标)的早期预测模型和计量模型。这种方法利用了谷歌和苹果公司提供的更及时、更可靠的交通数据,这些数据的发布比旅游统计数据的发布延迟更短。研究结果和附加值:我们的研究结果表明,在特定的流动性维度(如娱乐和零售、公园和旅游统计数据)之间存在统计学上显著的相关性,但与工作场所和交通维度的关系不佳或不显著。我们已经发现,休闲和娱乐对旅游的影响比国内和日常命名的维度要大得多。此外,我们的神经网络分析显示,谷歌移动公园和谷歌移动零售和娱乐是旅游的最佳预测指标,而苹果驾驶和苹果步行也显示出与旅游数据的显著相关性。本研究的主要附加值在于将观测数据与统计数据相结合,论证了谷歌和Apple位置数据可用于模拟旅游现象,并确定了确定流动性与旅游流关系的程度、方向和强度的具体方法。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of bequest taxation on savings and transfers 遗赠税对储蓄和转让的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.010
J. Kudła, R. Kruszewski, M. Dudek, K. Walczyk
Research background: The paper investigates the impact of bequest taxation on saving and transfers when parents and children make decisions consistently. It complements the predictions of Gale and Perozek's life-cycle modeling (2001) when decisions of parents and children are set independently and can be time-inconsistent.Purpose of the article: The paper strives to answer the question of whether taxation of bequest harms savings and inter vivos transfers. The previous results indicated that this is possible for some bequest motives. Our results show that this is not likely for the most typical values of parameters.Methods: The analysis involves economic modeling of four bequest motives: altruistic, paternalistic, accidental, and exchange. The method is based on the overlapping generation approach and life-cycle approach in the case of a paternalistic bequest. The results are supplemented with numerical simulations.Findings & value added: For the altruistic motive, savings are smaller if interest rates are low relative to the tax rate and the utility of one's consumption is more valuable than the utility of the next generations. For the accidental motive, savings decrease with small interest rates, high taxation and long-life expectancy. For the paternalistic motive, savings decrease when the interest rate and the value of future utility are low. For the exchange motive, savings are higher after a tax increase, but it depends on the value of attention and life expectancy. The general conclusion is that higher bequest taxation hamper saving behavior and may disturb the intergenerational exchange process. The bequest tax should, therefore, be set low, especially for aging populations, in order to induce higher savings and force the young to provide the elderly with higher attention.
研究背景:当父母和子女一致做出决定时,本文调查了遗产税对储蓄和转移的影响。它补充了Gale和Perozek的生命周期模型(2001)的预测,即父母和子女的决定是独立制定的,并且可能是时间不一致的。文章的目的:本文试图回答遗产税是否会损害储蓄和生前转移的问题。先前的研究结果表明,出于某些遗赠动机,这是可能的。我们的结果表明,对于最典型的参数值来说,这是不可能的。方法:分析包括四种遗赠动机的经济模型:利他主义、家长式、偶然性和交换。在家长式遗赠的情况下,该方法基于重叠生成方法和生命周期方法。数值模拟对结果进行了补充。调查结果和增值:出于利他主义动机,如果利率相对于税率较低,并且一个人消费的效用比下一代的效用更有价值,那么储蓄就会减少。出于偶然动机,储蓄会随着低利率、高税收和预期寿命的延长而减少。出于家长式的动机,当利率和未来效用价值较低时,储蓄就会减少。出于交换动机,增税后储蓄会更高,但这取决于注意力的价值和预期寿命。一般的结论是,更高的遗产税阻碍了储蓄行为,并可能干扰代际交换过程。因此,遗产税应该设定得较低,尤其是对老龄化人口,以吸引更多的储蓄,迫使年轻人对老年人给予更高的关注。
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引用次数: 0
Relationships between road transport indicators and expenditure of visitors in the context of European countries' tourism competitiveness 欧洲国家旅游竞争力背景下道路运输指标与游客支出之间的关系
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.012
B. Gavurová, M. Rigelský, M. Mikeska
Research background: Transport represents a dynamic element in the tourism system. In recent decades, transport has been a subject of research mainly from the point of view of the sustainability of the economic systems and the environmental aspects.Purpose of the article: This study aimed to quantify the relationships between the selected indicators of road transport development and the expenditure of tourism visitors in the selected European countries in the context of the development of their competitiveness.Methods: The road transport indicators were applied in the research trajectories: density of road (DNST), hare of road infrastructure investment (SH INF), share of motorways (SH MWY), and indicators of visitor expenditure for business (BTS), leisure (LTS), domestic (DTS) and foreign (VEFS) tourism. In the first phase of the analyses, the countries of the European part of the OECD (N = 27; period of 2010-2018) were divided into two clusters based on the development index (HDI) and the innovation index (GII) through the cluster analysis. The two groups were created - more and less developed countries. The results of the analysis of differences declare that there are differences between these groups in the DNST, SH INF, BTS, LTS, and DTS indicators. The correlation and regression analysis methods were applied to quantify the relationships between the variables.Findings & value added: The difference between the groups of the countries was also shown in the relationships between the road transport development indicators and visitor spending. In more developed countries, the relationship between the traffic indicators on BTS and DTS was significant. In less developed countries, significant relationships were identified with LST and VEFS. This finding underscores regional disparities and cautions against assuming that what policy guidelines from developed countries will be effective in less developed ones. Therefore, when designing improvement policies, it is vital to consider countries in terms of their level of development.
研究背景:交通是旅游系统中的一个动态元素。近几十年来,运输一直是一个主要从经济系统可持续性和环境方面进行研究的主题。文章目的:本研究旨在量化选定的欧洲国家在发展竞争力的背景下道路运输发展指标与旅游游客支出之间的关系。方法:将道路交通指标应用于研究轨迹:道路密度(DNST)、道路基础设施投资份额(SH INF)、高速公路份额(SH MWY)以及商务(BTS)、休闲(LTS)、国内(DTS)和国外(VEFS)旅游游客支出指标。在第一阶段的分析中,经合组织欧洲部分的国家(N=27;2010-2018年期间)通过聚类分析,根据发展指数和创新指数分为两个聚类。创建了两个集团——发达国家和欠发达国家。差异分析的结果表明,这些组之间在DNST、SH INF、BTS、LTS和DTS指标方面存在差异。应用相关分析和回归分析方法来量化变量之间的关系。调查结果和附加值:道路运输发展指标和游客支出之间的关系也显示了各国之间的差异。在较发达的国家,BTS和DTS的流量指标之间的关系非常重要。在欠发达国家,LST和VEFS之间存在重要关系。这一发现突显了地区差异,并警告不要假设发达国家的政策指导方针对欠发达国家有效。因此,在制定改进政策时,从各国的发展水平来考虑这些国家至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Key motivational factors behind Asian immigrant entrepreneurship: A causal relationship analysis employing the DEMATEL approach for Germany 亚洲移民创业背后的主要动机因素:对德国采用DEMATEL方法的因果关系分析
Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.009
Gul Shah Sabary, Lukáš Durda, Arif Ibne Asad, A. Ključnikov
Research background: Immigrant entrepreneurship remains a key issue for researchers, politicians, and policymakers. It has been widely discussed from different angles among various researchers in recent studies ? particularly in Europe. However, there is a lack of studies to present the motivation of the causal relationship between immigrant entrepreneurs.Purpose of the article: This study aims to fill the gap and analyze the causal relationship between the motivations of Asian immigrant entrepreneurs in Germany.Methods: The study was conducted through a face-to-face interview using a predesigned questionnaire from Asian business owners in Germany and the Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) approach was applied to analyze the data.Findings & value added: The results show that capital acquisition, employment, financial problems in the family, and existence opportunities in the market are the factors that have higher priority, and may highly impact the Asian immigrant entrepreneurial decision. On the other hand, relatives or social networks remain the lowest priority factor that encourages Asian immigrants towards self-employment. The study has also found that entrepreneurship in the family, the state support policy for immigrants, low level of education, unfamiliarity with the local language, and dissatisfaction with the previous job belong to the cause group. However, some of the motivating factors relate to the effect group, such as capital acquisition, opportunity in the market, immigrant community ties or social networks, unemployment, and financial problems in the family. The most affected factor among the effect group is unemployment, while immigrant community ties or social network is the least affected factor. This study includes a novel interpretation of the DEMATEL approach that researchers have not yet addressed; therefore, it is highly relevant for policymakers, especially those interested in migration studies. Finding out the main driving forces behind Asian immigrant entrepreneurs in a developed European nation like Germany and how these drivers affect cause-and-effect interactions between them are the contributions that add value to the field.
研究背景:移民创业仍然是研究人员、政治家和政策制定者的一个关键问题。在最近的研究中,不同的研究人员从不同的角度对它进行了广泛的讨论?特别是在欧洲。然而,目前缺乏研究来呈现移民企业家之间因果关系的动机。本文的目的:本研究旨在填补这一空白,并分析德国亚裔移民企业家动机之间的因果关系。方法:本研究采用德国亚洲企业主预先设计的问卷进行面对面访谈,并采用决策试验与评估实验室(DEMATEL)方法对数据进行分析。研究结果与附加值:研究结果表明,资本获取、就业、家庭财务问题和市场生存机会是优先考虑的因素,可能对亚洲移民的创业决策产生很大影响。另一方面,亲属或社交网络仍然是鼓励亚洲移民自谋职业的最低优先因素。研究还发现,家庭创业、国家对移民的支持政策、低教育水平、不熟悉当地语言以及对以前工作的不满都属于原因群体。然而,一些激励因素与效应组有关,如资本获取、市场机会、移民社区关系或社会网络、失业和家庭财务问题。影响群体中受影响最大的因素是失业,而移民社区关系或社会网络是受影响最小的因素。这项研究包括对研究人员尚未解决的DEMATEL方法的新颖解释;因此,它与政策制定者,尤其是那些对移民研究感兴趣的人有着高度的相关性。在德国这样的欧洲发达国家,找出亚洲移民企业家背后的主要驱动力,以及这些驱动力如何影响他们之间的因果互动,是为该领域增加价值的贡献。
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引用次数: 2
The mean reversion/persistence of financial cycles: Empirical evidence for 24 countries worldwide 金融周期的均值回归/持续性:全球24个国家的经验证据
Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2023.001
Shengnan Lv, Zeshui Xu, Xuecheng Fan, Yong Qin, M. Škare
Research background: The globalization trend has inevitably enhanced the connectivity of global financial markets, making the cyclicality of financial activities and the spread of market imbalances have received widespread attention, especially after the global financial crisis.Purpose of the article: To reduce the negative effects of the contagiousness of the financial cycles, it is necessary to study the persistence of financial cycles and carve out the total connectedness, spillover paths, and sources of risks on a global scale. In addition, understanding the relationship between the financial cycle and economic development is an important way to prevent financial crises.Methods: This paper adopts the nonlinear smoothing transition autoregressive (STAR) model to extract cyclical and phase characteristics of financial cycles based on 24 countries during 1971Q1?2015Q4, covering developed and developing countries, the Americas, Europe, and Asia regions. In addition, the frequency connectedness approach is used to measure the connectedness of financial cycles and the relationship between the global financial cycle and the global economy.Findings & value added: The analysis reveals that aggregate financial cycles persist for 13.3 years for smoothed and 8.7 years for unsmoothed on average. The national financial cycles are asynchronous and exhibit more prolonged expansions and faster contractions. The connectedness of financial cycles is highly correlated with systemic crises and contributes to the persistence and harmfulness of shocks. It is mainly driven by short-term components and exhibits more pronounced interconnectedness within regions than across regions. During the financial crisis, the global financial cycle movements precede and are longer than the business fluctuations. Based on the study, some policy implications are presented. This paper emphasizes the impact of systemic crises on the persistence of financial cycles and their connectedness, which contributes to refining research related to the coping mechanisms of financial crises.
研究背景:全球化趋势不可避免地增强了全球金融市场的连通性,使得金融活动的周期性和市场失衡的扩散性受到广泛关注,尤其是在全球金融危机之后。本文目的:为了减少金融周期传染性的负面影响,有必要研究金融周期的持续性,并在全球范围内勾画出风险的总体连通性、溢出路径和来源。此外,了解金融周期与经济发展的关系是预防金融危机的重要途径。方法:采用非线性平滑过渡自回归(STAR)模型提取24个国家1971年第一季度金融周期的周期和相位特征。2015Q4,覆盖发达国家和发展中国家、美洲、欧洲、亚洲地区。此外,采用频率连通性方法来衡量金融周期的连通性以及全球金融周期与全球经济的关系。研究结果和附加价值:分析显示,总体金融周期在平滑情况下平均持续13.3年,在非平滑情况下平均持续8.7年。国家金融周期是不同步的,表现出更持久的扩张和更快的收缩。金融周期的连通性与系统性危机高度相关,并助长了冲击的持久性和危害性。它主要由短期因素驱动,区域内的相互联系比区域间的相互联系更为明显。在金融危机期间,全球金融周期的波动先于商业波动,且持续时间更长。在此基础上,提出了一些政策启示。本文强调了系统性危机对金融周期持续性的影响及其关联性,有助于完善金融危机应对机制的相关研究。
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引用次数: 2
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