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Staff papers - International Monetary Fund. International Monetary Fund最新文献

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Internal migration, center-state grants, and economic growth in the states of India. 印度各邦的内部移民、中央拨款和经济增长。
P Cashin, R Sahay

"This paper examines the growth experience of 20 states of India during 1961-91, using cross-sectional estimation and the analytical framework of the Solow-Swan neoclassical growth model. We find evidence of absolute convergence--initially poor states grew faster than their initially rich counterparts. Also, the dispersion of real per capita state incomes widened over the period 1961-91. However, relatively more grants were transferred from the central government to the poor states than to their rich counterparts. Significant barriers to population flows also exist, as net migration from poor to rich states responded only weakly to cross-state income differentials."

本文采用横断面估计和索洛-斯旺新古典增长模型的分析框架,考察了印度20个邦在1961-91年间的增长经验。我们发现了绝对趋同的证据——最初贫穷的国家比最初富裕的国家发展得更快。此外,1961-91年期间,实际人均国家收入的差距扩大了。然而,相对而言,中央政府拨给贫穷邦的拨款比拨给富裕邦的要多。人口流动也存在重大障碍,因为从贫穷到富裕的净移民对州际收入差异的反应很弱。”
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引用次数: 0
Demographic dynamics and the empirics of economic growth. 人口动态和经济增长的经验。
M Sarel

"This paper examines the effects of demographic dynamics on the measured rates of economic growth. It develops a model of production with labor productivity that varies with age. Macroeconomic and demographic data are used to estimate the relative productivity of different age groups. A panel database of effective labor supply is constructed in order to reflect the changing age structure of the population. The historical measured growth rates are then deconstructed into effects of demographic dynamics and into ¿real' growth rates, net of demographic effects."

这篇论文研究了人口动态对经济增长率的影响。它发展了一个劳动生产率随年龄变化的生产模型。宏观经济和人口统计数据被用来估计不同年龄组的相对生产率。为了反映人口年龄结构的变化,构建了有效劳动力供给面板数据库。然后,历史测量的增长率被分解为人口动态的影响,以及剔除人口影响的“实际”增长率。
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引用次数: 0
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Staff papers - International Monetary Fund. International Monetary Fund
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