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Stock split announcement and return volatility:: Evidence from Malaysia 股票分拆公告和回报波动:来自马来西亚的证据
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.17256/JER.2018.23.3.004
S. Tabibian, Zhaoyong Zhang
This study examines the impact of stock split announcement on stock return volatility in Bursa Malaysia during 2004-2014. The study uses event study methodology and investigates interaction relationships between various control variables. We found significantly positive abnormal returns on both splits announcement and announcement of book closing date, while they are insignificant on the splits execution date and circular-day. The finding indicates a stronger market reaction to the split announcement and execution date in the third period (2010-2014) compared to the first (2004-2006) and second (2007-2009) period. Also, the significant and positive abnormal return on the Ex-date in the third period demonstrates the effective role of securities regulation changes and improvement. We also found a significantly positive abnormal announcement return for the sub-samples, implying that from investors' viewpoint the stock splits in Bursa Malaysia is good news.
本研究考察了2004-2014年马来西亚交易所股票分拆公告对股票收益波动的影响。本研究采用事件研究方法,探讨各控制变量之间的相互作用关系。我们发现分拆公告和结算日公告的异常收益均为显著正,而分拆执行日期和循环日的异常收益不显著。这一发现表明,与第一期(2004-2006年)和第二期(2007-2009年)相比,第三期(2010-2014年)市场对拆分公告和执行日期的反应更强烈。第三期上市日期异常收益显著且为正,说明证券监管的变化和完善起到了有效的作用。我们还发现子样本的异常公告回报显著正,这意味着从投资者的角度来看,马来西亚股票交易所的股票分割是好消息。
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引用次数: 3
The biased pattern of global outsourcing 全球外包的偏颇模式
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.17256/JER.2018.23.1.002
Sung‐min Kim, Jin‐Tae Hwang
In this paper, we examine the relationship between service offshoring and overall wage inequality in the U.S. labor market. Using data from CPS, EU KLEMS, and WIOD, we find that service offshoring shows a biased pattern on wage inequality in that it would affect largely a certain class who work in the service sector, not all sectors. Specifically, service offshoring would enlarge both the 90/10 and 90/50 wage gaps in the service sector. This implies that it can substitute in part for the middle-skill group in the service sector, reducing the relative skill premium of the corresponding workers
在本文中,我们研究了服务外包与美国劳动力市场总体工资不平等之间的关系。使用来自CPS、EU KLEMS和wid的数据,我们发现服务外包在工资不平等方面显示出一种有偏见的模式,因为它主要影响在服务部门工作的某个阶层,而不是所有部门。具体来说,服务外包将扩大服务部门90/10和90/50的工资差距。这意味着它可以部分替代服务部门的中等技能群体,降低相应工人的相对技能溢价
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引用次数: 0
ANALYSIS OF CHANGES FUEL PRICE DURING PRESIDENTIAL JOKO WIDODO 2014 – 2015 ON SHARE PRICE ON SUB SECTOR PROPERTY INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE 分析总统佐科·维多多2014 - 2015年期间燃料价格变化对印尼证券交易所房地产板块股价的影响
Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.27911.80800
Teddy Chandra
The aim of this research is to analyze the market reaction towardsannouncement of fuel price’s changing during Joko Widodo’s Era 2014 – October 2015. The indicators used in this study are abnormal return and trading volume activity. Event study method is used to examine the market’s reaction and measure the differences before and after the announcement of fuel price changing. The sampleare all companies listed in Subsector of Property in October 2013 October 2015. The results showed that there are significant abnormal returns fluctuated during fuel price changing, and no significant difference in abnormal returns before and after the announcement. While trading volume activity showed no significant difference before and after the announcement of fuel price.
本研究的目的是分析市场对2014年至2015年10月佐科维多多时代燃油价格变化公告的反应。本研究使用的指标是异常收益和交易量活动。采用事件研究法考察市场反应,测算燃油价格变动公告前后的差异。样本为2013年10月至2015年10月在房地产细分行业上市的所有公司。结果表明:燃油价格变动期间存在显著的异常收益波动,公告前后异常收益无显著差异。而燃油价格公布前后的成交量活动无显著差异。
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引用次数: 1
Informational efficiency of the real estate market: A meta-analysis 房地产市场的信息效率:一个元分析
Pub Date : 2015-04-16 DOI: 10.17256/JER.2015.20.2.001
S. Herath, G. Maier
The growing empirical literature testing informational efficiency of real estate markets uses data from various contexts and at different levels of aggregation. The results of these studies are mixed. We use a distinctive meta-analysis to examine whether some of these study characteristics and contexts lead to a significantly higher chance for identification of an efficient real estate market. The results generated through meta-regression suggest that use of stock market data and individual level data, rather than aggregate data, significantly improves the probability of a study concluding efficiency. Additionally, the findings neither provide support for the suspicion that the view of market efficiency has significantly changed over the years nor do they indicate a publication bias resulting from such a view. The statistical insignificance of other study characteristics suggests that the outcome concerning efficiency is a context-specific random manifestation for the most part. (authors' abstract)
越来越多的检验房地产市场信息效率的实证文献使用来自不同背景和不同聚集水平的数据。这些研究的结果好坏参半。我们使用独特的元分析来检查这些研究特征和背景是否导致识别有效房地产市场的机会显着增加。通过meta回归产生的结果表明,使用股票市场数据和个人层面的数据,而不是汇总数据,显著提高了研究结论效率的可能性。此外,研究结果既没有支持市场效率观点多年来发生了重大变化的怀疑,也没有表明这种观点导致了发表偏见。其他研究特征的统计不显著性表明,有关效率的结果在很大程度上是一种特定情境的随机表现。(作者的抽象)
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引用次数: 16
Habit formation, asymmetric price adjustment, and real exchange rate persistence 习惯形成、不对称价格调整和实际汇率持久性
Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.17256/jer.2015.20.1.005
Deokwoo Nam
This paper studies the eect of habit formation in consumption on the real exchange persistence under monetary policy shocks. Closed economy models of monetary policy have emphasized the ability of habit formation to generate endogenous persistence, which has en - couraged the open economy literature to incorporate habit forma - tion into theoretical models to generate greater persistence in the real exchange rate. However, there has not yet been a thorough evaluation of the habit formation eect in the real exchange rate context. By incorporating habit formation into the model of Be - nigno (2004), it is shown that the habit formation eect depends on the degree of price stickiness assumed within and across countries as well as the design of the monetary policy rule. Habit formation does not aect the dynamics of the real exchange rate under sym - metric price adjustment and does not signicantly contribute to the persistence of the real exchange rate for more general cases
本文研究了货币政策冲击下消费习惯形成对实际汇率持久性的影响。货币政策的封闭经济模型强调习惯形成产生内生持久性的能力,这鼓励了开放经济文献将习惯形成纳入理论模型,以产生更大的实际汇率持久性。然而,在实际汇率背景下,习惯形成效应尚未得到全面的评价。通过将习惯形成纳入Be - nigno(2004)的模型,我们发现习惯形成效应取决于国家内部和国家之间假定的价格粘性程度以及货币政策规则的设计。习惯的形成并不影响对称价格调整下实际汇率的动态,在更一般的情况下对实际汇率的持久性也没有显著的贡献
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引用次数: 0
Spillover effects across credit spreads in Korean bond market 韩国债券市场的信用利差溢出效应
Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.17256/jer.2015.20.1.002
Shi-Hwan Lee, Hangyong Lee
Following Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2012) with generalized fore - cast error variance decompositions, we measure spillover effects across the credit spreads of different bond ratings in Korea. The es - timation results suggest that approximately 35 percent of the fluc - tuations in credit spreads are explained by spillover effects. We also find asymmetry in the spillover effects: a shock to a credit spread tends to spillover more strongly into lower-rated spreads than into higher rated spreads. Rolling regression and sub-sample results re - veal that spillover effects are stronger during the period of financial crisis
继Diebold和Yilmaz(2009, 2012)采用广义预测误差方差分解之后,我们测量了韩国不同债券评级的信用利差的溢出效应。es -估计结果表明,大约35%的信贷息差波动可以用溢出效应来解释。我们还发现了溢出效应的不对称性:对信贷息差的冲击往往更强烈地溢出到评级较低的息差,而不是评级较高的息差。滚动回归和子样本结果表明,金融危机时期的溢出效应更强
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引用次数: 0
The economic cost of mandatory reduction of electricity demand:: A CGE analysis of the Korean case 强制性减少电力需求的经济成本:韩国案例的CGE分析
Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.17256/jer.2015.20.1.004
Hyerin Kim, Yungsan Kim
In this paper, we used a CGE model featuring detailed energy sec - tors to estimate the economic costs of two alternative policies of re - ducing electricity consumption. The first policy is to increase the electricity tariffs by 10 percent across the board. The second policy is mandatory reduction of electricity consumption for large indus - trial customers, which impose the same reduction rate on all target users. The simulation results show that the latter has greater nega - tive impact on the economy than the former. On annual basis, the former reduces real GDP by 0.062 percent and the latter by 0.085 percent when they both achieve the same overall power consump - tion reduction of 7.385 percent. These results confirm the princi - ple that a market-based approach to balance supply and demand is more efficient than a command-and-control approach
在本文中,我们使用具有详细的能源部门的CGE模型来估计两种减少电力消耗的替代政策的经济成本。第一项政策是全面提高电价10%。第二项政策是对大型工业客户强制减少用电量,对所有目标用户实行相同的减费率。仿真结果表明,后者对经济的负面影响大于前者。按年计算,当两者实现相同的总能耗减少7.385%时,前者实际GDP减少0.062%,后者实际GDP减少0.085%。这些结果证实了一个原则,即以市场为基础的平衡供需的方法比命令和控制的方法更有效
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引用次数: 0
Does OPEC influence crude oil prices?: Testing for cointegration and causality effect 欧佩克会影响原油价格吗?:协整检验和因果关系检验
Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.17256/jer.2015.20.2.004
Khalid M. Kisswani
In this paper we use annual data from 1970-2012 to test the effect of OPEC production on oil prices through three different data structures. We use Engle and Granger, and Johansen and Pedroni cointegration tests to study the long-run relation between OPEC production and oil prices, besides applying Granger causality and Toda and Yamamoto tests to check the causality between the series. The findings show that OPEC production does not manipulate oil prices at the country-by-country and pooled levels, however, the effect is confirmed for OPEC acting as a cohesive entity. Moreover, the results show that OPEC production does not cause oil prices at the country-by-country and pooled levels as well.
在本文中,我们使用1970-2012年的年度数据,通过三种不同的数据结构来检验欧佩克生产对油价的影响。我们使用Engle和Granger、Johansen和Pedroni协整检验来研究OPEC产量与油价之间的长期关系,并使用Granger因果关系检验和Toda和Yamamoto检验来检验序列之间的因果关系。研究结果表明,欧佩克的产量并没有在单个国家和整体水平上操纵油价,然而,欧佩克作为一个有凝聚力的实体,这种影响得到了证实。此外,研究结果还表明,欧佩克的产量并不会导致各国和各国的油价上涨。
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引用次数: 5
Indirect influence, lobbies interdependence and ecological protectionism 间接影响,游说相互依赖和生态保护主义
Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.17256/JER.2015.20.2.002
L. Jaeck, Julien Hanoteau, Gilbert Bougi
This paper analyzes the setting of sustainability standards, such as those recently implemented in Europe and in the United States, as a political compromise pressured by the lobbying of competing industries and under the indirect influence of ecologists. Using a common agency model of lobbying, we extend Yandle's theory of `Bootleggers and Baptists' of interdependence between interest groups. Paradoxically, the indirect and information-based influence of ecologists can lead to a less constraining standard. We show, in a context of trade liberalization, that this influence leads nonetheless to a tightening of standards in large countries
本文分析了可持续性标准的设定,例如最近在欧洲和美国实施的标准,作为一种政治妥协,受到竞争行业的游说和生态学家的间接影响。利用一个共同的游说代理模型,我们扩展了Yandle关于利益集团之间相互依赖的“走私者和浸信会教徒”理论。矛盾的是,生态学家的间接和基于信息的影响可以导致较少的约束标准。我们表明,在贸易自由化的背景下,这种影响仍然导致大国的标准收紧
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引用次数: 1
Sovereign debt defaults:: Evidence from developing countries 主权债务违约:来自发展中国家的证据
Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.17256/jer.2015.20.2.003
H. Zeaiter
This study investigates the determinants of sovereign default risk in 123 developing countries over the period 1970-2012. Adopting an approach distinct from the literature, this paper employs a continuous measure of the accumulated arrears of interest payments and principal repayments on private and official external debt as a proxy for sovereign default. Apart from the importance of the current account balance, short-term debt, credit to the private sector, output, lending interest rate, and the exchange rate, empirical results show that the presence of the HIPC relief program is found to mask a portion of the true effects of the economic and political factors on debt arrears. In addition, in contrast to middle-income countries, political risk exhibits a negative impact on accumulated arrears in low-income countries. Arrears are found to be responsive to lending interest rate only in the middle-income and nonHIPC countries. Moreover, in the HIPC and low-income countries arrears are found to be more sensitive to volatility in the exchange rates. This study recommends that indebted countries: (1) stabilize their exchange rate, (2) rationally manage external debt, and (3) enhance transparency in governmental institutions.
本研究调查了1970-2012年间123个发展中国家主权违约风险的决定因素。本文采用了一种与文献不同的方法,对私人和官方外债的利息支付和本金偿还的累积欠款进行了连续测量,作为主权违约的代理。除了经常账户余额、短期债务、私营部门信贷、产出、贷款利率和汇率的重要性外,实证结果表明,重债穷国救济计划的存在掩盖了经济和政治因素对债务拖欠的部分真实影响。此外,与中等收入国家不同的是,政治风险对低收入国家的累积欠款有负面影响。只有在中等收入国家和非重债穷国,欠款才与贷款利率有关。此外,重债穷国和低收入国家的欠款对汇率波动更为敏感。本研究建议债务国:(1)稳定汇率;(2)合理管理外债;(3)提高政府机构透明度。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
International journal of economic research
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