Dynamic Bayesian Belief networks (DBNs) have been commonly used to represent temporal data in several domains; however, an ideal representation requires a near perfect mapping between the process being modeled and the DBN. Furthermore, DBNs assume a full set of observations collected at a fixed frequency. Bayesian model selection has arisen to address biased inference and underlying assumptions about the data (e.g., distribution, representativeness) to choose a model that best fits the given observations. Per patient case, a Bayesian model is generated to maximize specificity, and the collective set of models is averaged to fit all examples. This paper demonstrates the advantages of patient-specific modeling over a DBN-driven approach. Results evaluating this approach are presented based on models for two longitudinal clinical datasets (neuro-oncology, knee osteoarthritis). Largely, the patient-specific models show improved performance in prediction relative to the DBNs.
Electronic medical records capture large quantities of patient data generated as a result of routine care. Secondary use of this data for clinical research could provide new insights into the evolution of diseases and help assess the effectiveness of available interventions. Unfortunately, the unstructured nature of clinical data hinders a user's ability to understand this data: tools are needed to structure, model, and visualize the data to elucidate patterns in a patient population. We present a case-based retrieval framework that incorporates an extraction tool to identify concepts from clinical reports, a disease model to capture necessary context for interpreting extracted concepts, and a model-driven visualization to facilitate querying and interpretation of the results. We describe how the model is used to group, filter, and retrieve similar cases. We present an application of the framework that aids users in exploring a population of intracranial aneurysm patients.
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