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Differences in Predictions for Survival and Expectations for Goals of Care between Physicians and Family Surrogate Decision Makers of Chronically Critically Ill Adults. 慢性危重症成人的医生和家庭替代决策者对生存和护理目标预期的差异。
Pub Date : 2017-12-01 Epub Date: 2017-11-24
Sara L Douglas, Barbara J Daly, Amy R Lipson

The purpose of this study was to determine the accuracy and concordance between physicians (MDs) and family surrogate decision makers (FSDMs) in predicting 3 month post-hospital patient mortality and concordance in identifying patient goals of care. A prospective cohort study was conducted in 3 intensive care units (ICUs). Two-hundred and sixty-four FSDMs and 54 attending MDs of patients who had resided in the ICU for >3 days were enrolled in the study. Expectation for mortality was measured dichotomously and goals of care were measured using a continuous visual analog scale. A value of 50 represented equal weight placed on goals of survival and QOL. Both MDs and FSDMs had mortality predictions that were lower than actual mortality. For MDs and FSDMs, their mortality predictions were most accurate at study enrollment. Discordance between MD and FSDM goals of care ranged from 36.4% at enrollment to 55.4% 15 days later (p=0.003). Our findings of optimistic prognosis for survival are consistent with the work of others. Our high rate of discordance regarding goals of care provided support for the need to establish standard processes to assure that values of patients and families are solicited and incorporated into treatment discussions for long-stay ICU patients.

本研究的目的是确定医生(md)和家庭替代决策者(FSDMs)在预测住院后3个月患者死亡率和确定患者护理目标方面的一致性的准确性和一致性。一项前瞻性队列研究在3个重症监护病房(icu)进行。264名住院时间超过3天的FSDMs和54名主治md被纳入研究。死亡率预期采用二分法测量,护理目标采用连续视觉模拟量表测量。值为50表示生存和生活质量目标的权重相等。MDs和FSDMs的预测死亡率都低于实际死亡率。对于MDs和FSDMs,他们的死亡率预测在研究入组时最为准确。MD与FSDM护理目标之间的不一致性从入组时的36.4%到15天后的55.4% (p=0.003)。我们对生存的乐观预后的发现与其他人的工作是一致的。我们在护理目标方面的高不一致性为建立标准流程提供了支持,以确保征求患者和家属的价值观,并将其纳入长期ICU患者的治疗讨论。
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引用次数: 0
The Accuracy of Nurses' Predictions for Clinical Outcomes in the Chronically Critically Ill. 护士对慢性危重病人临床预后预测的准确性。
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 Epub Date: 2017-07-25
Amy R Lipson, Sarah J Miano, Barbara J Daly, Sara L Douglas

Background: Accurately predicting survivorship of patients in the intensive care unit is known to be difficult. Previous research has shown that nurses are more likely to recognize futile medical care than other disciplines. The purpose of this study was to describe the accuracy of nurse's predictions for survival of patients who are chronically critically ill (CCI).

Methods: Using a secondary data analysis from a longitudinal, descriptive study, we evaluated nurses' predictions for survival at admission and until ICU discharge or patient death.

Results: Nurses were able to more accurately predict survival of CCI patients than death and prognostication appeared to improve with prolonged ICU stays.

Conclusion: This is the first longitudinal study that focused on nurse prognostication in a chronically critically ill patient population. Future research should explore the relationship between ICU nurse characteristics and the accuracy of survival predictions.

背景:准确预测重症监护病房患者的生存率是非常困难的。先前的研究表明,护士比其他学科的人更容易意识到医疗护理是徒劳的。本研究的目的是描述护士对慢性危重症(CCI)患者生存预测的准确性。方法:采用一项纵向描述性研究的二次数据分析,我们评估了护士对入院和ICU出院或患者死亡的生存预测。结果:护士能够比死亡更准确地预测CCI患者的生存,并且随着ICU住院时间的延长,预后似乎有所改善。结论:这是第一个纵向研究,重点关注慢性危重病人群体的护士预后。未来的研究应探讨ICU护士特征与生存预测准确性之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Education on School-aged Children's Knowledge of and Participation in "The Choking Game". 教育对学龄儿童“窒息游戏”知识和参与的影响
Pub Date : 2016-06-01 Epub Date: 2016-06-13
Kendall Butler, Bonnie Raingruber, Eric Butler, Machelle Wilson

Objectives: To better understand school-aged children's awareness of and attitudes about the Choking Game (TCG). To determine if education can increase awareness of the risk of injury when playing TCG and to determine if education can decrease interest in TCG participation.

Design: Anonymous pre- and post-education surveys.

Setting: Two middle/high schools; one in Utah and one in California.

Subjects: 291 participants (163 in Utah, 128 in California) aged 9-18, 68% under age 15, 32% 15 and older; 65% white, 35% non-white; 52% female, 48% male.

Results: 76% of participants knew about TCG, of those 62% heard about it at school. 32% knew someone who had played, and twelve (4%) had played, usually with others. Most frequently cited as reasons for participation were curiosity, peer pressure, and competition. School was the most common location for playing. In California education significantly increased risk awareness, and significant positive attitude changes were observed regarding interest in playing TCG. Utah participants also exhibited attitude changes in the desired direction (less interest in playing TCG, would warn friends, and realized it was not safe to stop breathing), although results were not statistically significant, possibly due to previous education and four recent and highly publicized TCG deaths in the community.

Conclusion: Results indicate that interactive, standardized, and skills-based education can increase student awareness of TCG risks and decrease interest in participation. Students reported that the schools were often where they first heard about TCG and where TCG was commonly played. Educators and associated health care professionals should therefore be encouraged to provide preventative education as part of school curricula.

目的:了解学龄期儿童对窒息游戏(TCG)的认知和态度。确定教育是否能够提高玩家在玩TCG时对受伤风险的认识,以及教育是否能够降低玩家参与TCG的兴趣。设计:匿名教育前后调查。环境:两所初中/高中;一个在犹他州,一个在加利福尼亚。受试者:291名参与者(犹他州163名,加利福尼亚州128名),年龄9-18岁,68%在15岁以下,32%在15岁及以上;65%白人,35%非白人;52%女性,48%男性。结果:76%的参与者知道TCG,其中62%的人在学校听说过。32%的人认识玩过游戏的人,12人(4%)玩过游戏,通常是和其他人一起玩。最常见的参与原因是好奇心、同伴压力和竞争。学校是最常见的玩耍场所。在加州,教育显著提高了风险意识,玩家对玩TCG的兴趣也发生了显著的积极态度转变。犹他州的参与者也表现出了对期望方向的态度改变(游戏邦注:他们对玩TCG的兴趣减少了,会警告朋友,意识到停止呼吸是不安全的),尽管结果在统计上并不显著,这可能是由于之前的教育和最近社区中广为宣传的四起TCG死亡事件。结论:互动式、标准化、技能型教育能提高学生对TCG风险的认识,降低学生参与TCG的兴趣。学生们报告说,学校通常是他们第一次听说TCG,也经常玩TCG的地方。因此,应鼓励教育工作者和相关的保健专业人员将预防教育作为学校课程的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
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Research & reviews. Journal of nursing and health sciences
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