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Performance Audits Focused on the Principle of Effectiveness: An Overview of Public Audit Agencies 注重有效性原则的绩效审计:公共审计机构综述
Pub Date : 2018-07-27 DOI: 10.11114/AFA.V4I2.3488
L. G. M. Mury
According to international standards, performance audit is an independent and objective process for reviewing the economy, efficiency and effectiveness of a government’s program, organization, and/or activity in order to evaluate public management’s performance. The relevance of the matter prompted the present study, which aims to inquire if, when conducting performance audits, Supreme Audit Institutions analyze a procedure’s effectiveness, that is to say, the impact that determined government spending had on the program’s target population. In order to do so, a questionnaire was applied to auditors of Public Audit Institutions from several countries. As a preliminary result, our research concluded that the majority of auditors conduct economy, efficiency and efficacy analyses, but rarely assess the effectiveness of government spending.
根据国际标准,绩效审计是一个独立和客观的过程,用于审查政府计划,组织和/或活动的经济性,效率和有效性,以评估公共管理的绩效。这一问题的相关性促使了本研究的开展,其目的是询问,在进行绩效审计时,最高审计机构是否分析程序的有效性,也就是说,确定政府支出对计划目标人群的影响。为此,向来自几个国家的公共审计机构的审计员提出了一份调查表。我们的初步研究得出结论,大多数审计人员进行经济、效率和功效分析,但很少评估政府支出的有效性。
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引用次数: 2
Using Risk Characteristics to Classify Funds 运用风险特征对基金进行分类
Pub Date : 2018-07-19 DOI: 10.11114/AFA.V4I2.3461
Joe Kainja
We analyzed the South African general equity unit trusts for the period 30 June 2002 to 31 December 2014 to assess if we can re-categorize them into risk homogeneity groups. The current ASISA standards do not fully classify the unit trusts into categories that have within-group homogeneity and between-group heterogeneity.By analyzing the persistence of both systematic and total risk we concluded that we could objectively classify these unit trusts into objective risk homogeneity groups and improve on the current ASISA-mandate-based classification.
我们分析了2002年6月30日至2014年12月31日期间的南非普通股权单位信托,以评估我们是否可以将它们重新归类为风险同质性组。目前的ASISA标准并没有将单位信托完全划分为具有集团内同质性和集团间异质性的类别。通过分析系统风险和总风险的持续性,我们得出结论,我们可以客观地将这些单位信托划分为客观风险同质性组,并改进当前基于asisa -mandate的分类。
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引用次数: 0
Hedging Medical Spending Growth: An Adaptive Expectations Approach 对冲医疗支出增长:适应性预期方法
Pub Date : 2016-05-06 DOI: 10.11114/afa.v2i2.1595
Robert D. Lieberthal
Long-term health insurance provides consumers with protection against persistent, negative health shocks. While the stochastic rise in medical spending growth may make some health risks harder to insure, financial assets could act as a hedge for medical spending growth risk. The purpose of this research was to determine whether such hedges exist. The results of this study were two-fold. First, the asset classes with the strongest statistical evidence as hedges were bonds, not stocks. Second, any strategy to hedge medical spending growth involved shorting assets i.e. betting against the bond or stock market. Health insurers writing long-term contracts should combine the use of hedges in the bond market with of portfolio diversification, and may benefit from health policies to moderate the uncertainty of medical spending growth.
长期健康保险为消费者提供保护,使其免受持续的负面健康冲击。虽然医疗支出增长的随机上升可能会使一些健康风险更难投保,但金融资产可以作为医疗支出增长风险的对冲。本研究的目的是确定这种对冲是否存在。这项研究的结果是双重的。首先,具有最有力统计证据作为对冲手段的资产类别是债券,而不是股票。其次,任何对冲医疗支出增长的策略都涉及做空资产,即做空债券或股票市场。撰写长期合同的健康保险公司应结合使用债券市场的对冲与投资组合多样化,并可能受益于健康政策,以缓和医疗支出增长的不确定性。
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引用次数: 1
What is the Shape of the Risk-Return Relation? 风险收益关系的形状是什么?
Pub Date : 2010-03-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1364750
Alberto G. Rossi, A. Timmermann
Using a flexible econometric approach that avoids imposing restrictive modeling assumptions, we find evidence of a non-monotonic relation between conditional volatility and expected stock market returns: At low-to-medium levels of conditional volatility there is a positive trade-off between risk and expected returns, but this relationship gets inverted at high levels of volatility as observed during the recent financial crisis. We propose a new measure of risk based on the conditional covariance between daily observations of a broad economic activity index and stock returns. Using this covariance measure, we find clear evidence of a monotonically increasing risk-return trade-off. Our finding of a non-monotonic mean-volatility relation helps explain the absence of a consensus in the empirical literature on the sign of the risk-return trade-off. At the same time, our finding that the expected return is a monotonically rising function of the conditional covariance measure also suggests that a positive risk-return relation can be established once a better measure of risk is used.
使用灵活的计量经济学方法,避免强加限制性建模假设,我们发现条件波动率和预期股票市场回报之间存在非单调关系的证据:在低至中等水平的条件波动率下,风险和预期回报之间存在积极的权衡,但这种关系在高波动率下反转,正如在最近的金融危机期间所观察到的那样。我们提出了一种基于广泛经济活动指数和股票收益的每日观察之间的条件协方差的新风险度量。使用这种协方差测量,我们发现了单调增加的风险回报权衡的明确证据。我们对非单调均值波动关系的发现有助于解释在风险-收益权衡的符号上缺乏共识的实证文献。同时,我们发现预期收益是条件协方差测度的单调上升函数,这也表明,一旦使用更好的风险测度,就可以建立正的风险-收益关系。
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引用次数: 73
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Applied finance and accounting
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