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A Phylogenetic Regression Model for Studying Trait Evolution on Network 一个用于研究网络性状进化的系统发育回归模型
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-18 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010028
Dwueng-Chwuan Jhwueng
A phylogenetic regression model that incorporates the network structure allowing the reticulation event to study trait evolution is proposed. The parameter estimation is achieved through the maximum likelihood approach, where an algorithm is developed by taking a phylogenetic network in eNewick format as the input to build up the variance–covariance matrix. The model is applied to study the common sunflower, Helianthus annuus, by investigating its traits used to respond to drought conditions. Results show that our model provides acceptable estimates of the parameters, where most of the traits analyzed were found to have a significant correlation with drought tolerance.
提出了一种系统发育回归模型,该模型结合了允许网状事件研究性状进化的网络结构。参数估计是通过最大似然方法实现的,其中通过将eNewick格式的系统发育网络作为输入来建立方差-协方差矩阵来开发算法。该模型应用于普通向日葵向日葵向日葵,通过研究其对干旱条件的反应特性。结果表明,我们的模型提供了可接受的参数估计,其中分析的大多数性状与耐旱性具有显著相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Consecutive-k1 and k2-out-of-n: F Structures with a Single Change Point 具有单个变化点的n:F结构中的连续k1和k2
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-16 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010027
I. Triantafyllou, M. Chalikias
In the present paper, we establish a new consecutive-type reliability model with a single change point. The proposed structure has two common failure criteria and consists of two different types of components. The general framework for constructing the so-called consecutive-k1 and k2-out-of-n: F system with a single change point is launched. In addition, the number of path sets of the proposed structure is determined with the aid of a combinatorial approach. Moreover, two crucial performance characteristics of the proposed model are studied. The numerical investigation carried out reveals that the behavior of the new structure is outperforming against its competitors.
本文建立了一个新的单变点连续型可靠性模型。所提出的结构有两个共同的失效标准,由两种不同类型的部件组成。提出了构造具有单个变化点的所谓连续k1和k2-of-n:F系统的一般框架。此外,借助于组合方法来确定所提出的结构的路径集的数量。此外,还研究了该模型的两个关键性能特征。数值研究表明,新结构的性能优于竞争对手。
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引用次数: 0
Renaissance of Creative Accounting Due to the Pandemic: New Patterns Explored by Correspondence Analysis 大流行导致的创造性会计的复兴:对应分析探索的新模式
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-03 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010025
R. Blazek, P. Durana, Jakub Michulek
The COVID-19 outbreak has rapidly affected global economies and the parties involved. There was a need to ensure the sustainability of corporate finance and avoid bankruptcy. The reactions of individuals were not routine, but covered a wide range of approaches to surviving the crisis. A creative way of accounting was also adopted. This study is primarily concerned with the behavior of businesses in the Visegrad Four countries between 2019 and 2021. The pandemic era was the driving force behind the renaissance of manipulation. Thus, the purpose of the article is to explore how the behavior of enterprises changed during the ongoing pandemic. The Beneish model was applied to reveal creative manipulation in the analyzed samples. Its M-score was calculated for 6113 Slovak, 153 Czech, 585 Polish, and 155 Hungarian enterprises. Increasing numbers of handling enterprises were confirmed in the V4 region. The dependency between the size of the enterprise and the occurrence of creative accounting was also proven. However, the structure of manipulators has been changing. Correspondence analysis specifically showed behavioral changes over time. Correspondence maps demonstrate which enterprises already used creative accounting before the pandemic in 2019. Then, it was noted that enterprises were influenced to modify their patterns in 2020 and 2021. The coronavirus pandemic had a significant potency on the use of creative accounting, not only for individual units, but for businesses of all sizes. In addition, the methodology may be applied for the investigation of individual sectors post-COVID.
新冠肺炎疫情已迅速影响到全球经济和有关各方。有必要确保公司融资的可持续性,避免破产。个人的反应不是例行公事,而是涵盖了在危机中幸存下来的广泛方法。还采用了一种创造性的会计方法。本研究主要关注2019年至2021年间维谢格拉德四国企业的行为。疫情时代是操纵行为复兴的驱动力。因此,本文的目的是探讨在持续的疫情期间,企业的行为是如何变化的。Beneish模型用于揭示分析样本中的创造性操作。它的M分是为6113家斯洛伐克企业、153家捷克企业、585家波兰企业和155家匈牙利企业计算的。V4地区确认了越来越多的装卸企业。企业规模与创造性会计的发生之间的相关性也得到了证明。然而,操纵器的结构一直在变化。对应分析特别显示了行为随时间的变化。对应图显示了在2019年疫情之前,哪些企业已经使用了创造性会计。然后,人们注意到,企业在2020年和2021年受到影响,改变了其模式。冠状病毒大流行对创造性会计的使用产生了重大影响,不仅对单个单位,而且对各种规模的企业都是如此。此外,该方法可用于新冠肺炎疫情后个别部门的调查。
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引用次数: 2
Analytic Error Function and Numeric Inverse Obtained by Geometric Means 解析误差函数与几何求逆
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010026
D. Martila, S. Groote
Using geometric considerations, we provided a clear derivation of the integral representation for the error function, known as the Craig formula. We calculated the corresponding power series expansion and proved the convergence. The same geometric means finally assisted in systematically deriving useful formulas that approximated the inverse error function. Our approach could be used for applications in high-speed Monte Carlo simulations, where this function is used extensively.
利用几何考虑,我们提供了误差函数积分表示的清晰推导,称为Craig公式。我们计算了相应的幂级数展开式,并证明了其收敛性。同样的几何平均数最终有助于系统地推导出近似误差反函数的有用公式。我们的方法可用于高速蒙特卡罗模拟中的应用,在这种模拟中,该函数被广泛使用。
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引用次数: 0
The Linear Skew-t Distribution and Its Properties 线性偏t分布及其性质
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-23 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010024
C. Adcock
The aim of this expository paper is to present the properties of the linear skew-t distribution, which is a specific example of a symmetry modulated-distribution. The skewing function remains the distribution function of Student’s t, but its argument is simpler than that used for the standard skew-t. The linear skew-t offers different insights, for example, different moments and tail behavior, and can be simpler to use for empirical work. It is shown that the distribution may be expressed as a hidden truncation model. The paper describes an extended version of the distribution that is analogous to the extended skew-t. For certain parameter values, the distribution is bimodal. The paper presents expressions for the moments of the distribution and shows that numerical integration methods are required. A multivariate version of the distribution is described. The bivariate version of the distribution may also be bimodal. The distribution is not closed under marginalization, and stochastic ordering is not satisfied. The properties of the distribution are illustrated with numerous examples of the density functions, table of moments and critical values. The results in this paper suggest that the linear skew-t may be useful for some applications, but that it should be used with care for methodological work.
这篇解释性论文的目的是给出线性偏t分布的性质,它是对称调制分布的一个具体例子。偏斜函数仍然是Student的t的分布函数,但它的参数比标准偏斜-t的参数更简单。线性倾斜-t提供了不同的见解,例如,不同的力矩和尾部行为,并且可以更简单地用于实证工作。结果表明,分布可以表示为一个隐藏截断模型。本文描述了分布的一个扩展版本,它类似于扩展的倾斜-t。对于某些参数值,分布是双峰分布。本文给出了分布矩的表达式,并表明需要采用数值积分方法。描述了分布的多变量版本。分布的双变量版本也可以是双峰的。边缘化下的分布是不闭合的,随机排序是不满足的。密度函数、矩表和临界值的许多例子说明了分布的性质。本文的结果表明,线性倾斜-t可能对某些应用有用,但在使用时应注意方法学工作。
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引用次数: 0
On Weak Convergence of the Bootstrap Copula Empirical Process with Random Resample Size 随机样本大小下自举Copula经验过程的弱收敛性
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-22 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010023
S. Bouzebda
The purpose of this note is to provide a description of the weak convergence of the random resample size bootstrap empirical process. The principal results are used to estimate the sample rank correlation coefficients using Spearman’s and Kendall’s respective methods. In addition to this, we discuss how our findings can be applied to statistical testing.
本文的目的是描述随机重采样大小自举经验过程的弱收敛性。主要结果用于使用Spearman和Kendall各自的方法来估计样本秩相关系数。除此之外,我们还讨论了如何将我们的发现应用于统计测试。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing Area under the Curve as an Alternative to Latent Growth Curve Modeling for Repeated Measures Zero-Inflated Poisson Data: A Simulation Study 对重复测量零膨胀泊松数据的曲线下面积评估作为潜在增长曲线模型的替代方法:模拟研究
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-19 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010022
Daniel Rodriguez
Researchers interested in the assessment of substance use trajectories, and predictors of change, have several data analysis options. These include, among others, generalized estimating equations and latent growth curve modeling. One difficulty in the assessment of substance use, however, is the nature of the variables studied. Although counting instances of use (e.g., the number of cigarettes smoked per day) would seem to be the best option, such data present difficulties in that the distribution of these variables is not likely normal. Count variables often follow a Poisson distribution, and when dealing with substance use in the general population, there is a preponderance of zeros (representing not using). As such, substance use counts may approximate a zero-inflated Poisson distribution. Unfortunately, analyses with zero-inflated Poisson random variables are not easily accommodated in many types of software and may be beyond access to most researchers. As such, an easier method would benefit researchers interested in assessing substance use change. The purpose of this study is to assess the area under the curve as an option when dealing with repeated measures data and contrast it to one popular method of longitudinal data analysis, latent growth curve modeling. Using a Monte Carlo simulation study with varying sample sizes, we found that the area under the curve performed well with different sample sizes and compared favorably to the performance of latent growth curve modeling, particularly when dealing with smaller sample sizes. The area under the curve may be a simpler alternative for researchers, especially when dealing with smaller sample sizes.
对物质使用轨迹评估和变化预测感兴趣的研究人员有几种数据分析选择。其中包括广义估计方程和潜在增长曲线模型。然而,评估药物使用的一个困难是所研究变量的性质。虽然计算使用实例(例如,每天吸烟的数量)似乎是最好的选择,但这些数据存在困难,因为这些变量的分布不太可能是正态的。计数变量通常遵循泊松分布,当处理一般人群中的物质使用时,存在零的优势(表示不使用)。因此,物质使用计数可能近似于零膨胀的泊松分布。不幸的是,使用零膨胀泊松随机变量的分析在许多类型的软件中不容易容纳,并且可能超出大多数研究人员的访问范围。因此,一种更简单的方法将有利于对评估物质使用变化感兴趣的研究人员。本研究的目的是评估曲线下的面积,作为处理重复测量数据时的一种选择,并将其与一种流行的纵向数据分析方法——潜在增长曲线模型进行对比。通过对不同样本量的蒙特卡罗模拟研究,我们发现曲线下的面积在不同样本量下表现良好,并且与潜在增长曲线建模的性能相比,特别是在处理较小样本量时。对于研究人员来说,曲线下面积可能是一个更简单的选择,特别是在处理较小的样本量时。
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引用次数: 2
Quantum-like Data Modeling in Applied Sciences: Review 应用科学中的类量子数据建模:综述
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010021
S. Lipovetsky
This work presents a brief review on the modern approaches to data modeling by the methods developed in the quantum physics during the last one hundred years. Quantum computers and computations have already been widely investigated theoretically and attempted in some practical implementations, but methods of quantum data modeling are not yet sufficiently established. A vast range of concepts and methods of quantum mechanics have been tried in many fields of information and behavior sciences, including communications and artificial intelligence, cognition and decision making, sociology and psychology, biology and economics, financial and political studies. The application of quantum methods in areas other than physics is called the quantum-like paradigm, meaning that such approaches may not be related to the physical processes but rather correspond to data modeling by the methods designed for operating in conditions of uncertainty. This review aims to attract attention to the possibilities of these methods of data modeling that can enrich theoretical consideration and be useful for practical purposes in various sciences and applications.
这项工作简要回顾了过去一百年来量子物理学中发展起来的现代数据建模方法。量子计算机和计算已经在理论上进行了广泛的研究,并在一些实际实现中进行了尝试,但量子数据建模的方法尚未充分建立。量子力学的广泛概念和方法已在信息和行为科学的许多领域进行了尝试,包括通信和人工智能、认知和决策、社会学和心理学、生物学和经济学、金融和政治研究。量子方法在物理学以外的领域的应用被称为类量子范式,这意味着这种方法可能与物理过程无关,而是与设计用于在不确定条件下操作的方法的数据建模相对应。这篇综述旨在吸引人们对这些数据建模方法的可能性的关注,这些方法可以丰富理论思考,并在各种科学和应用中用于实际目的。
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引用次数: 2
Panel Data Models for School Evaluation: The Case of High Schools’ Results in University Entrance Examinations 学校评价的面板数据模型:以高中高考成绩为例
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-13 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010019
Manuel Salas‐Velasco
To what extent do high school students’ course grades align with their scores on standardized college admission tests? People sometimes make the argument that grades are “inflated”, but many school districts only use outcome-based descriptive methods for school evaluation. In order to answer that question, this paper proposes econometric models for panel data, which are less well-known in educational evaluation. In particular, fixed-effects and random-effects models are proposed for assessing student performance in university entrance examinations. School-level panel data analysis allows one knowing if results in college admission tests vary more between high schools than within a high school in different academic years. Another advantage of using panel data includes the ability to control for school-specific unobserved heterogeneity. For empirical implementation, official transcript data and university entrance test scores of Spanish secondary schools are used.
高中生的课程成绩在多大程度上与他们在标准化大学入学考试中的分数一致?人们有时会认为成绩“被夸大了”,但许多学区只使用基于结果的描述性方法进行学校评估。为了回答这个问题,本文提出了面板数据的计量经济模型,这在教育评价中不太为人所知。特别提出了固定效应和随机效应模型来评估学生的高考成绩。学校层面的面板数据分析可以让人们知道高中之间的大学入学考试结果差异是否比不同学年的高中内部差异更大。使用面板数据的另一个优点包括能够控制学校特定的未观察到的异质性。实证实施采用西班牙中学官方成绩单数据和大学入学考试成绩。
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引用次数: 0
A New Soft-Clipping Discrete Beta GARCH Model and Its Application on Measles Infection 一种新的软剪裁离散Beta GARCH模型及其在麻疹感染中的应用
Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-09 DOI: 10.3390/stats6010018
Huaping Chen
In this paper, we develop a novel soft-clipping discrete beta GARCH (ScDBGARCH) model that provides an available method to model bounded time series with under-dispersion, equi-dispersion or over-dispersion. The new model not only allows positive dependence, but also negative dependence. The stochastic properties of the models are established, and these results are, in turn, used in the analysis of the asymptotic properties of the conditional maximum likelihood (CML) estimator of the new model. In addition, we apply the new model to measles infection to show its improved performance.
在本文中,我们开发了一种新的软剪裁离散βGARCH(ScDBGARCH)模型,该模型为具有欠分散、等分散或过分散的有界时间序列建模提供了一种可用的方法。新模型不仅允许正依赖,也允许负依赖。建立了模型的随机性质,并将这些结果用于分析新模型的条件最大似然(CML)估计器的渐近性质。此外,我们将新模型应用于麻疹感染,以显示其改进的性能。
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引用次数: 1
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