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Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilites et statistiques最新文献

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Performance Guarantees for Policy Learning. 政策学习的绩效保障。
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 Epub Date: 2020-06-26 DOI: 10.1214/19-aihp1034
Alex Luedtke, Antoine Chambaz

This article gives performance guarantees for the regret decay in optimal policy estimation. We give a margin-free result showing that the regret decay for estimating a within-class optimal policy is second-order for empirical risk minimizers over Donsker classes when the data are generated from a fixed data distribution that does not change with sample size, with regret decaying at a faster rate than the standard error of an efficient estimator of the value of an optimal policy. We also present a result giving guarantees on the regret decay of policy estimators for the case that the policy falls within a restricted class and the data are generated from local perturbations of a fixed distribution, where this guarantee is uniform in the direction of the local perturbation. Finally, we give a result from the classification literature that shows that faster regret decay is possible via plug-in estimation provided a margin condition holds. Three examples are considered. In these examples, the regret is expressed in terms of either the mean value or the median value, and the number of possible actions is either two or finitely many.

本文给出了最优策略估计中遗憾衰减的性能保证。我们给出了一个无边际结果,表明当数据由固定的数据分布产生且不随样本大小变化时,对于 Donsker 类上的经验风险最小化器,估计类内最优策略的遗憾衰减是二阶的,遗憾衰减的速度快于最优策略值的有效估计器的标准误差。我们还给出了一个结果,保证了在政策属于受限类别、数据由固定分布的局部扰动产生的情况下,政策估计值的遗憾衰减,这种保证在局部扰动的方向上是均匀的。最后,我们给出了分类文献中的一个结果,该结果表明,只要边际条件成立,就可以通过插件估计实现更快的后悔值衰减。我们考虑了三个例子。在这些例子中,遗憾用均值或中值表示,可能的行动数量为两个或有限多个。
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Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilites et statistiques
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