Pub Date : 2026-02-14DOI: 10.1186/s12933-026-03100-8
Cui Wang, Shichu Liang, Jing Zhang, Qianlei Lang, Xianhao Huang, Lu Liu, Junyi Liu, Ye Yi, Li Tian, Xijie Yu
Background: The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR), calculated as the ratio of admission blood glucose to estimated average glucose derived from glycated hemoglobin, quantifies the degree of relative hyperglycemia during acute physiological stress. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to synthesize the current evidence on the association between SHR and the anatomical severity and clinical prognosis of coronary artery disease (CAD).
Methods: PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were systematically searched for studies published from inception to January 24, 2026. Cross-sectional, retrospective, and prospective cohort studies involving patients with CAD were included. Outcomes related to CAD severity comprised large thrombus burden, multi-vessel disease, non-target lesion progression, and in-stent restenosis. The primary outcome for CAD prognosis was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Data were pooled using random-effects models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) or odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). CAD is classified into acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and chronic coronary syndrome (CCS).
Results: Nine studies evaluating CAD severity and thirty-one studies assessing CAD prognosis met the inclusion criteria. SHR was significantly associated with multiple markers of increased CAD severity. In the ACS subgroup, pooled analysis indicated that the highest SHR levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of MACE (HR: 1.60, 95% CI 1.41-1.81, P < 0.00001; OR: 1.58, 95% CI 1.19-2.11, P = 0.002). This prognostic value was confirmed in continuous variable analyses (HR: 1.59, 95% CI 1.27-2.00; OR: 3.50, 95% CI 1.47-8.32 per unit increment). Similarly, in the CCS subgroup, patients in the highest SHR category exhibited a higher risk of MACE (HR: 1.95, 95% CI 1.50-2.52; P < 0.00001), a finding consistent across continuous analyses (HR: 1.87, 95% CI 1.64-2.12, P < 0.00001 per unit increment). Consistently significant associations were observed across various secondary endpoints and additional subgroups.
Conclusion: The current evidence suggests that SHR can reflect the anatomical complexity of CAD patients and serves as a valuable, easily accessible tool for risk stratification in this population.
背景:应激性高血糖比(SHR)是指入院时血糖与糖化血红蛋白估算的平均血糖的比值,用来量化急性生理应激时相对高血糖的程度。本系统综述和荟萃分析旨在综合SHR与冠状动脉疾病(CAD)解剖严重程度和临床预后之间关系的现有证据。方法:系统检索PubMed、EMBASE、Web of Science和Cochrane Library从成立到2026年1月24日发表的研究。包括CAD患者的横断面、回顾性和前瞻性队列研究。与冠心病严重程度相关的结果包括大血栓负担、多血管疾病、非靶病变进展和支架内再狭窄。CAD预后的主要转归是主要不良心血管事件(MACE)。使用随机效应模型对数据进行汇总,以估计风险比(hr)或优势比(ORs)及其95%置信区间(ci)。冠心病分为急性冠脉综合征(ACS)和慢性冠脉综合征(CCS)。结果:9项评估CAD严重程度的研究和31项评估CAD预后的研究符合纳入标准。SHR与冠心病严重程度增加的多个标志物显著相关。在ACS亚组中,汇总分析表明,最高SHR水平与MACE风险增加显著相关(HR: 1.60, 95% CI 1.41-1.81, P)。结论:目前的证据表明,SHR可以反映CAD患者的解剖复杂性,并可作为该人群中有价值且易于获取的风险分层工具。
{"title":"Stress hyperglycemia ratio in coronary artery disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis of severity and prognosis.","authors":"Cui Wang, Shichu Liang, Jing Zhang, Qianlei Lang, Xianhao Huang, Lu Liu, Junyi Liu, Ye Yi, Li Tian, Xijie Yu","doi":"10.1186/s12933-026-03100-8","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-026-03100-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR), calculated as the ratio of admission blood glucose to estimated average glucose derived from glycated hemoglobin, quantifies the degree of relative hyperglycemia during acute physiological stress. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to synthesize the current evidence on the association between SHR and the anatomical severity and clinical prognosis of coronary artery disease (CAD).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were systematically searched for studies published from inception to January 24, 2026. Cross-sectional, retrospective, and prospective cohort studies involving patients with CAD were included. Outcomes related to CAD severity comprised large thrombus burden, multi-vessel disease, non-target lesion progression, and in-stent restenosis. The primary outcome for CAD prognosis was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Data were pooled using random-effects models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) or odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). CAD is classified into acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and chronic coronary syndrome (CCS).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Nine studies evaluating CAD severity and thirty-one studies assessing CAD prognosis met the inclusion criteria. SHR was significantly associated with multiple markers of increased CAD severity. In the ACS subgroup, pooled analysis indicated that the highest SHR levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of MACE (HR: 1.60, 95% CI 1.41-1.81, P < 0.00001; OR: 1.58, 95% CI 1.19-2.11, P = 0.002). This prognostic value was confirmed in continuous variable analyses (HR: 1.59, 95% CI 1.27-2.00; OR: 3.50, 95% CI 1.47-8.32 per unit increment). Similarly, in the CCS subgroup, patients in the highest SHR category exhibited a higher risk of MACE (HR: 1.95, 95% CI 1.50-2.52; P < 0.00001), a finding consistent across continuous analyses (HR: 1.87, 95% CI 1.64-2.12, P < 0.00001 per unit increment). Consistently significant associations were observed across various secondary endpoints and additional subgroups.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The current evidence suggests that SHR can reflect the anatomical complexity of CAD patients and serves as a valuable, easily accessible tool for risk stratification in this population.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146194081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is increasingly common among middle-aged and older adults, but there remains a lack of simple risk indicators that can simultaneously reflect inflammatory and metabolic burden. The C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index (CTI) has been proposed as a novel biomarker that integrates insulin resistance and inflammatory status. This study aimed to assess the association of CTI and its cumulative exposure with CMM.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study conducted the primary analyses using the 2011 baseline cross-sectional data and the 2011-2020 prospective follow-up data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), and additionally performed longitudinal supplementary analyses by calculating cumulative CTI over 2011-2015 within CHARLS. An external longitudinal validation was conducted using the 2002-2012 cohort from the UK English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), and cross-population cross-sectional replication was further performed using the 2001-2010 data from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards models, Kaplan-Meier curves, and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to examine the associations of CTI with the prevalence and incident risk of CMM, and cumulative CTI from 2011 to 2015 was calculated in CHARLS for supplementary analyses; meanwhile, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive performance of CTI for 4-year CMM occurrence, and prespecified subgroup analyses were conducted to test the robustness of the findings.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In the CHARLS prospective cohort, among 10,863 participants free of CMM at baseline, 1698 incident CMM cases (15.6%) occurred during approximately 9 years of follow-up. In the primary model, each 1-unit increase in baseline CTI was associated with a 71% higher risk of CMM (HR = 1.71, 95% CI 1.39-2.11), and the hazard ratio comparing the highest with the lowest quartile of CTI was 1.33 (95% CI 0.94-1.88); in the 2015 baseline subcohort, each 1-unit increase in cumulative CTI was associated with an HR of 1.02 (95% CI 1.00-1.05). Cross-sectional analyses in CHARLS and NHANES both showed a significant positive association between CTI and CMM prevalence, with a dose-response relationship. After adding CTI to a model containing traditional risk factors, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for 4-year CMM prediction increased from 0.753 to 0.778. In the external longitudinal validation, 3129 participants from the ELSA cohort were included, among whom 406 incident CMM cases occurred during follow-up (13.0%). In the primary model, each 1-unit increase in CTI was associated with an HR of 1.59 (95% CI 0.99-2.55), and participants in the highest quartile had a higher risk than those in the lowest quartile (HR = 2.22, 95% CI 1.06-4.62), with a signific
背景:心脏代谢多病(CMM)在中老年人群中越来越普遍,但仍然缺乏能够同时反映炎症和代谢负担的简单风险指标。c反应蛋白-甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数(CTI)已被提出作为一种整合胰岛素抵抗和炎症状态的新型生物标志物。本研究旨在评估CTI及其累积暴露与CMM的关系。方法:本研究使用中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS)的2011年基线横断面数据和2011-2020年前瞻性随访数据进行了初步分析,并通过计算CHARLS中2011-2015年的累积CTI进行了纵向补充分析。使用英国老龄化纵向研究(ELSA)的2002-2012年队列进行外部纵向验证,并使用美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)的2001-2010年数据进一步进行跨人群横断面复制。采用多变量logistic回归、Cox比例风险模型、Kaplan-Meier曲线和限制三次样条分析来检验CTI与CMM患病率和事件风险的关系,并在CHARLS中计算2011 - 2015年累积CTI进行补充分析;同时,使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估CTI对4年CMM发生的预测性能,并进行预先指定的亚组分析以检验结果的稳健性。结果:在CHARLS前瞻性队列中,在基线时无CMM的10,863名参与者中,在大约9年的随访期间发生了1698例CMM事件(15.6%)。在初级模型中,基线CTI每增加1个单位,CMM的风险增加71% (HR = 1.71, 95% CI 1.39-2.11), CTI最高和最低四分位数的风险比为1.33 (95% CI 0.94-1.88);在2015年基线亚队列中,累积CTI每增加1个单位,风险比为1.02 (95% CI 1.00-1.05)。CHARLS和NHANES的横断面分析均显示CTI与CMM患病率呈正相关,且呈剂量-反应关系。在包含传统风险因素的模型中加入CTI后,4年CMM预测的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)由0.753增加到0.778。在外部纵向验证中,纳入了来自ELSA队列的3129名参与者,其中随访期间发生了406例CMM事件(13.0%)。在主要模型中,CTI每增加1个单位与1.59 (95% CI 0.99-2.55)相关,并且最高四分位数的参与者比最低四分位数的参与者具有更高的风险(HR = 2.22, 95% CI 1.06-4.62),具有显著的趋势检验(P为趋势= 0.027),表明相关性的方向与CHARLS中观察到的一致。结论:CTI及其累积暴露水平与CMM的患病率和发病率风险密切相关,这些发现得到了独立纵向ELSA队列验证的进一步支持。CTI是由常规测量指标得出的一个简单的综合指数,可以帮助识别CMM高危人群,为中老年人群的早期风险分层和干预提供参考。
{"title":"The association of C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index with cardiometabolic multimorbidity in middle-aged and older adults: evidence from two cohort studies.","authors":"Yiming Lin, Juan Tao, Haogeng Wang, Hui Guan, Xuhua Liu, Xueyan Dong, Wulin Gao","doi":"10.1186/s12933-026-03109-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-026-03109-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is increasingly common among middle-aged and older adults, but there remains a lack of simple risk indicators that can simultaneously reflect inflammatory and metabolic burden. The C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index (CTI) has been proposed as a novel biomarker that integrates insulin resistance and inflammatory status. This study aimed to assess the association of CTI and its cumulative exposure with CMM.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study conducted the primary analyses using the 2011 baseline cross-sectional data and the 2011-2020 prospective follow-up data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), and additionally performed longitudinal supplementary analyses by calculating cumulative CTI over 2011-2015 within CHARLS. An external longitudinal validation was conducted using the 2002-2012 cohort from the UK English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), and cross-population cross-sectional replication was further performed using the 2001-2010 data from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards models, Kaplan-Meier curves, and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to examine the associations of CTI with the prevalence and incident risk of CMM, and cumulative CTI from 2011 to 2015 was calculated in CHARLS for supplementary analyses; meanwhile, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive performance of CTI for 4-year CMM occurrence, and prespecified subgroup analyses were conducted to test the robustness of the findings.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In the CHARLS prospective cohort, among 10,863 participants free of CMM at baseline, 1698 incident CMM cases (15.6%) occurred during approximately 9 years of follow-up. In the primary model, each 1-unit increase in baseline CTI was associated with a 71% higher risk of CMM (HR = 1.71, 95% CI 1.39-2.11), and the hazard ratio comparing the highest with the lowest quartile of CTI was 1.33 (95% CI 0.94-1.88); in the 2015 baseline subcohort, each 1-unit increase in cumulative CTI was associated with an HR of 1.02 (95% CI 1.00-1.05). Cross-sectional analyses in CHARLS and NHANES both showed a significant positive association between CTI and CMM prevalence, with a dose-response relationship. After adding CTI to a model containing traditional risk factors, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for 4-year CMM prediction increased from 0.753 to 0.778. In the external longitudinal validation, 3129 participants from the ELSA cohort were included, among whom 406 incident CMM cases occurred during follow-up (13.0%). In the primary model, each 1-unit increase in CTI was associated with an HR of 1.59 (95% CI 0.99-2.55), and participants in the highest quartile had a higher risk than those in the lowest quartile (HR = 2.22, 95% CI 1.06-4.62), with a signific","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13005544/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146194087","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-12DOI: 10.1186/s12933-025-03042-7
Chelsy L Cliff, Muhammad U Shah, Joanna K Ward, Maxime Inghels, Kelvin Lee, Paul E Squires, Claire E Hills
Background and objective: Inflammation drives early recurrent cardiovascular risk in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients following acute myocardial infarction (AMI), particularly within 30-90 days post-discharge. Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors such as empagliflozin (EMPA) provide cardiometabolic benefits, but their anti-inflammatory effects and optimal timing after AMI remain unclear. Given the prognostic role of systemic markers like the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, we investigated whether early initiation of EMPA modulates NOD-like receptor protein-3 (NLRP3) inflammasome activity and inflammatory responses in monocyte-derived macrophages (MDMs) from T2DM-AMI patients.
Methods: Sixty-six participants were randomised to receive EMPA either at discharge (Arm-A) or following a 90-day delay (Arm B). Clinical data and biological samples were collected over 180 days. CD14+ MDMs and plasma were obtained at days 0, 30, and 90 (EMPA vs. no EMPA), and days 90, 120, and 180 (early vs. delayed). Inflammatory and metabolic markers were assessed using RT-qPCR, luminescence-based caspase-1 and ATP assays, and targeted immunoassays.
Results: Early EMPA administration was associated with reduced NLRP3 priming (IL1β mRNA) and activation (caspase-1 activity), potentially linked to decreased release of ATP, a danger associated molecular pattern (DAMP). In the absence of EMPA, pro-inflammatory cytokines (TNFα, IL6, MCP1) and M1 macrophage markers (e.g., CD80) either increased or remained unchanged over time. Early EMPA treatment appeared to stabilise or reduce their expression. Markers of cell senescence (p21, IL8, BCL2) were also modulated. Plasma levels of senescence-associated markers (MMP9, OPN, Serpin E1) remained largely unchanged, highlighting the importance of evaluating macrophage-specific responses.
Conclusion: Early empagliflozin administration in T2DM-AMI patients was associated with modulation of NLRP3-related inflammatory and senescence pathways in patient-derived macrophages, benefits observed when cells were stimulated ex-vivo with an inflammatory stimulus. These findings provide mechanistic insight into the timing-dependent anti-inflammatory effects of EMPA and underscore its potential for immediate post-AMI use to reduce inflammation and lower residual cardiovascular risk, supporting further clinical investigation.
{"title":"Timing-dependent anti-inflammatory effects of empagliflozin in monocyte-derived macrophages from post-myocardial infarct patients with type 2 diabetes.","authors":"Chelsy L Cliff, Muhammad U Shah, Joanna K Ward, Maxime Inghels, Kelvin Lee, Paul E Squires, Claire E Hills","doi":"10.1186/s12933-025-03042-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-025-03042-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background and objective: </strong>Inflammation drives early recurrent cardiovascular risk in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients following acute myocardial infarction (AMI), particularly within 30-90 days post-discharge. Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors such as empagliflozin (EMPA) provide cardiometabolic benefits, but their anti-inflammatory effects and optimal timing after AMI remain unclear. Given the prognostic role of systemic markers like the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, we investigated whether early initiation of EMPA modulates NOD-like receptor protein-3 (NLRP3) inflammasome activity and inflammatory responses in monocyte-derived macrophages (MDMs) from T2DM-AMI patients.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Sixty-six participants were randomised to receive EMPA either at discharge (Arm-A) or following a 90-day delay (Arm B). Clinical data and biological samples were collected over 180 days. CD14+ MDMs and plasma were obtained at days 0, 30, and 90 (EMPA vs. no EMPA), and days 90, 120, and 180 (early vs. delayed). Inflammatory and metabolic markers were assessed using RT-qPCR, luminescence-based caspase-1 and ATP assays, and targeted immunoassays.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Early EMPA administration was associated with reduced NLRP3 priming (IL1β mRNA) and activation (caspase-1 activity), potentially linked to decreased release of ATP, a danger associated molecular pattern (DAMP). In the absence of EMPA, pro-inflammatory cytokines (TNFα, IL6, MCP1) and M1 macrophage markers (e.g., CD80) either increased or remained unchanged over time. Early EMPA treatment appeared to stabilise or reduce their expression. Markers of cell senescence (p21, IL8, BCL2) were also modulated. Plasma levels of senescence-associated markers (MMP9, OPN, Serpin E1) remained largely unchanged, highlighting the importance of evaluating macrophage-specific responses.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Early empagliflozin administration in T2DM-AMI patients was associated with modulation of NLRP3-related inflammatory and senescence pathways in patient-derived macrophages, benefits observed when cells were stimulated ex-vivo with an inflammatory stimulus. These findings provide mechanistic insight into the timing-dependent anti-inflammatory effects of EMPA and underscore its potential for immediate post-AMI use to reduce inflammation and lower residual cardiovascular risk, supporting further clinical investigation.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"25 1","pages":"43"},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12896262/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146177938","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-11DOI: 10.1186/s12933-025-03041-8
Jie Zhang, Xinyu Fang, Qianling Ye, Xianyong Yin, Dongqing Ye
Background: Epidemiological studies have established that autoimmune diseases (AD) increase cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. We aimed to elucidate their shared genetic architecture and clinical implications.
Methods: We conducted a cross-trait multivariate genome-wide association study (GWAS) for three autoimmune diseases (type 1 diabetes, systemic lupus erythematosus, and rheumatoid arthritis) and four cardiovascular diseases (coronary artery disease, heart failure, stroke, and peripheral artery disease). We performed both genome-wide and locus-based analysis including fine-mapping, functional annotation, enrichment analyses, transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS), and proteome-wide and drug-repurposing Mendelian randomization (MR). We constructed a polygenic risk score (PRS) and explored its pleiotropic effects beyond AD and CVD in the UK Biobank population.
Results: In the multivariate GWAS, we identified 259 genome-wide significant association signals that were enriched primarily in arterial tissues and lipid metabolism pathways. Through convergent evidence from TWAS and MR analyses, we prioritized 15 therapeutic targets including TGFB1 and IL6R, and identified histone deacetylase inhibitors as candidate drugs. The polygenic risk score showed discriminative ability in cardiovascular risk stratification among autoimmune patients, with individuals in the highest PRS decile exhibiting significantly elevated CVD risk compared to those in the 2nd-9th deciles (hazard ratios: 1.60 [95% CI: 1.19-2.15] for type 1 diabetes, 2.28 [95% CI: 1.14-4.56] for systemic lupus erythematosus, and 2.33 [95% CI: 1.94-2.80] for rheumatoid arthritis). Additionally, the PRS revealed pleiotropic associations with risk of various health conditions, including polyneuropathy, chronic renal failure, and depressive episodes.
Conclusion: Our study unveils the shared genetic architecture between autoimmune and cardiovascular diseases, providing insights for therapeutic development and risk stratification.
{"title":"The shared genetic architecture underlying the autoimmune and cardiovascular disease: a multivariate genome-wide analysis.","authors":"Jie Zhang, Xinyu Fang, Qianling Ye, Xianyong Yin, Dongqing Ye","doi":"10.1186/s12933-025-03041-8","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-025-03041-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Epidemiological studies have established that autoimmune diseases (AD) increase cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. We aimed to elucidate their shared genetic architecture and clinical implications.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a cross-trait multivariate genome-wide association study (GWAS) for three autoimmune diseases (type 1 diabetes, systemic lupus erythematosus, and rheumatoid arthritis) and four cardiovascular diseases (coronary artery disease, heart failure, stroke, and peripheral artery disease). We performed both genome-wide and locus-based analysis including fine-mapping, functional annotation, enrichment analyses, transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS), and proteome-wide and drug-repurposing Mendelian randomization (MR). We constructed a polygenic risk score (PRS) and explored its pleiotropic effects beyond AD and CVD in the UK Biobank population.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In the multivariate GWAS, we identified 259 genome-wide significant association signals that were enriched primarily in arterial tissues and lipid metabolism pathways. Through convergent evidence from TWAS and MR analyses, we prioritized 15 therapeutic targets including TGFB1 and IL6R, and identified histone deacetylase inhibitors as candidate drugs. The polygenic risk score showed discriminative ability in cardiovascular risk stratification among autoimmune patients, with individuals in the highest PRS decile exhibiting significantly elevated CVD risk compared to those in the 2nd-9th deciles (hazard ratios: 1.60 [95% CI: 1.19-2.15] for type 1 diabetes, 2.28 [95% CI: 1.14-4.56] for systemic lupus erythematosus, and 2.33 [95% CI: 1.94-2.80] for rheumatoid arthritis). Additionally, the PRS revealed pleiotropic associations with risk of various health conditions, including polyneuropathy, chronic renal failure, and depressive episodes.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our study unveils the shared genetic architecture between autoimmune and cardiovascular diseases, providing insights for therapeutic development and risk stratification.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":"44"},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12895973/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146164210","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-10DOI: 10.1186/s12933-026-03103-5
Milton Packer
{"title":"Causal demonstration of adiposity-induced adipose-specific signaling derangements in the pathogenesis of the clinical features of the cardiovascular-kidney metabolic syndrome.","authors":"Milton Packer","doi":"10.1186/s12933-026-03103-5","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-026-03103-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12990487/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146156447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-08DOI: 10.1186/s12933-026-03096-1
Yan Wang, Ning Wei, Meng Li, Jun-Wen Liu, Hong-Bin Lin, Hong-Fei Zhang
Background: The estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), an established measure of peripheral insulin sensitivity, contributes to stratifying the risk of cardio-cerebrovascular events. Nevertheless, the association between long-term eGDR exposure and stroke incidence throughout all stages (0-4) of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome remains unknown.
Methods: A cohort of 5248 individuals was drawn from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). For each participant, eGDR values for the years 2012 and 2015 were calculated using the equation: 21.158 - [0.090 × WC (cm)] - [3.407 × HTN (presence = 1)] - [0.551 × HbA1c (%)]. Cumulative eGDR was calculated as (eGDR2012 + eGDR2015)/2* time (2015-2012). K-means clustering was used to analyse eGDR values from both 2012 and 2015 to identify distinct change patterns. To assess associations with stroke risk, we utilised multivariable logistic regression and restricted cubic spline models.
Results: During the 2015-2018 follow-up period, a total of 336 incident stroke cases were documented. Four distinct eGDR change patterns were identified. In fully adjusted models, compared with the participants in the persistent low pattern (Class 2), those in the moderate-high stable (OR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.31-0.58), stable high (OR 0.29, 0.19-0.43), and rapid decrease (OR 0.66, 0.47-0.91) patterns exhibited significantly lower stroke risk. Furthermore, each 1-unit increase in cumulative eGDR was associated with a 5% reduction in stroke odds (OR 0.95, 0.93-0.96). Restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed a linear inverse relationship between cumulative eGDR and stroke risk (P < 0.001; P for nonlinearity = 0.259).
Conclusion: Cumulative eGDR is inversely associated with stroke risk across all CKM syndrome stages (0-4). This observation suggests that prolonged eGDR surveillance may be associated with improved risk stratification in this population.
{"title":"Cumulative exposure to the estimated glucose disposal rate and incident stroke in individuals with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages 0-4: 6-year longitudinal evidence from CHARLS.","authors":"Yan Wang, Ning Wei, Meng Li, Jun-Wen Liu, Hong-Bin Lin, Hong-Fei Zhang","doi":"10.1186/s12933-026-03096-1","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-026-03096-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), an established measure of peripheral insulin sensitivity, contributes to stratifying the risk of cardio-cerebrovascular events. Nevertheless, the association between long-term eGDR exposure and stroke incidence throughout all stages (0-4) of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome remains unknown.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cohort of 5248 individuals was drawn from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). For each participant, eGDR values for the years 2012 and 2015 were calculated using the equation: 21.158 - [0.090 × WC (cm)] - [3.407 × HTN (presence = 1)] - [0.551 × HbA1c (%)]. Cumulative eGDR was calculated as (eGDR<sub>2012</sub> + eGDR<sub>2015</sub>)/2* time (2015-2012). K-means clustering was used to analyse eGDR values from both 2012 and 2015 to identify distinct change patterns. To assess associations with stroke risk, we utilised multivariable logistic regression and restricted cubic spline models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During the 2015-2018 follow-up period, a total of 336 incident stroke cases were documented. Four distinct eGDR change patterns were identified. In fully adjusted models, compared with the participants in the persistent low pattern (Class 2), those in the moderate-high stable (OR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.31-0.58), stable high (OR 0.29, 0.19-0.43), and rapid decrease (OR 0.66, 0.47-0.91) patterns exhibited significantly lower stroke risk. Furthermore, each 1-unit increase in cumulative eGDR was associated with a 5% reduction in stroke odds (OR 0.95, 0.93-0.96). Restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed a linear inverse relationship between cumulative eGDR and stroke risk (P < 0.001; P for nonlinearity = 0.259).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Cumulative eGDR is inversely associated with stroke risk across all CKM syndrome stages (0-4). This observation suggests that prolonged eGDR surveillance may be associated with improved risk stratification in this population.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12977610/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146137361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-08DOI: 10.1186/s12933-026-03099-y
Katherine R O'Quinn, Catharyne B Wright, Mursalin Khan, Rob W Spitz, Nadiyeh Rouhi, Jemylle G Morato, Patricio A Vidal, Ana C M Omoto, Alex A da Silva, Jussara M do Carmo, Zhen Wang, Xuan Li, John E Hall, Alan J Mouton
Background: Diabetes mellitus (DM), which consists of type I and type 2 diabetes (T1D and T2D), is a known risk factor for myocardial infarction (MI) and negatively impacts post-MI outcomes. However, the mechanisms by which DM exacerbates cardiac remodeling in T1D versus T2D have not been well defined. Here, we assessed acute and chronic post-MI outcomes in T1D and T2D mice, focusing on immune and metabolic pathways.
Methods: T1D was induced in adult male mice by a single high dose of streptozotocin (STZ), and T2D induced by high fat/fructose feeding and multiple low STZ doses. Two weeks following STZ administration, MI was induced by permanent coronary artery ligation, and mice were studied at days (D) 0, 3, 7, and 28 post-MI. Cardiac function was assessed by echocardiography.
Results: Compared to non-diabetic mice, T1D and T2D mice had worse cardiac dysfunction after MI, including increased wall thinning and decreased ejection fraction, despite similar infarct sizes. T1D mice also displayed acute pulmonary congestion. By RNA-sequencing analysis, T1D and T2D mice displayed upregulation of genes associated with canonical chemokine/monocyte-mediated inflammatory pathways, and downregulation of genes associated with extracellular matrix remodeling. T1D and T2D delayed activation of M2-like (CD206+) macrophages in the heart, and impaired normal collagen and elastin deposition after MI. T2D also increased expression of genes associated with T cell activation, and increased CD8 + T cells in the infarct. T1D and T2D hearts showed signs of impaired glucose and ketone oxidation, and T1D hearts had increased markers of fatty acid oxidation. Extracted D3 cardiac macrophages from T1D and T2D mice exhibited higher basal oxygen consumption, and increased M1 markers and chemokine expression. Plasma from T1D and T2D mice increased chemokine expression (Ccl2, Ccl7, Cxcl1) in cultured bone marrow macrophages, and T2D plasma impaired mitochondrial function.
Conclusions: DM promotes adverse cardiac remodeling, which is associated with activation of overlapping and unique inflammatory pathways, impaired ECM remodeling, remote metabolic remodeling, and alterations in macrophage metabolism. Our results provide novel insights into potential therapeutic pathways for DM patients suffering from MI.
{"title":"Distinct immunometabolic signatures of type 1 versus type 2 diabetes in a murine model of myocardial infarction.","authors":"Katherine R O'Quinn, Catharyne B Wright, Mursalin Khan, Rob W Spitz, Nadiyeh Rouhi, Jemylle G Morato, Patricio A Vidal, Ana C M Omoto, Alex A da Silva, Jussara M do Carmo, Zhen Wang, Xuan Li, John E Hall, Alan J Mouton","doi":"10.1186/s12933-026-03099-y","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-026-03099-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Diabetes mellitus (DM), which consists of type I and type 2 diabetes (T1D and T2D), is a known risk factor for myocardial infarction (MI) and negatively impacts post-MI outcomes. However, the mechanisms by which DM exacerbates cardiac remodeling in T1D versus T2D have not been well defined. Here, we assessed acute and chronic post-MI outcomes in T1D and T2D mice, focusing on immune and metabolic pathways.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>T1D was induced in adult male mice by a single high dose of streptozotocin (STZ), and T2D induced by high fat/fructose feeding and multiple low STZ doses. Two weeks following STZ administration, MI was induced by permanent coronary artery ligation, and mice were studied at days (D) 0, 3, 7, and 28 post-MI. Cardiac function was assessed by echocardiography.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Compared to non-diabetic mice, T1D and T2D mice had worse cardiac dysfunction after MI, including increased wall thinning and decreased ejection fraction, despite similar infarct sizes. T1D mice also displayed acute pulmonary congestion. By RNA-sequencing analysis, T1D and T2D mice displayed upregulation of genes associated with canonical chemokine/monocyte-mediated inflammatory pathways, and downregulation of genes associated with extracellular matrix remodeling. T1D and T2D delayed activation of M2-like (CD206+) macrophages in the heart, and impaired normal collagen and elastin deposition after MI. T2D also increased expression of genes associated with T cell activation, and increased CD8 + T cells in the infarct. T1D and T2D hearts showed signs of impaired glucose and ketone oxidation, and T1D hearts had increased markers of fatty acid oxidation. Extracted D3 cardiac macrophages from T1D and T2D mice exhibited higher basal oxygen consumption, and increased M1 markers and chemokine expression. Plasma from T1D and T2D mice increased chemokine expression (Ccl2, Ccl7, Cxcl1) in cultured bone marrow macrophages, and T2D plasma impaired mitochondrial function.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>DM promotes adverse cardiac remodeling, which is associated with activation of overlapping and unique inflammatory pathways, impaired ECM remodeling, remote metabolic remodeling, and alterations in macrophage metabolism. Our results provide novel insights into potential therapeutic pathways for DM patients suffering from MI.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12983673/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146140988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Markers of insulin resistance, such as the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), have been extensively linked to cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM). However, the roles of lipid metabolism indicators, including the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and remnant cholesterol (RC), remain less clearly defined. This study aimed to evaluate both the individual and combined effects of insulin resistance and dyslipidemia on the risk of CMM.
Methods: Data were derived from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. A composite metabolic index integrating the TyG, eGDR, AIP, and RC was developed using principal component analysis. The associations of individual and composite indices with incident CMM were examined using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, while their predictive performance was assessed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) analysis.
Results: Over a 6.8-year follow-up period, 552 cases of CMM occurred among 4232 participants. After multivariable adjustment, each standard deviation (SD) increase in TyG, AIP, and RC was linked to a higher risk of CMM by 30.8% (HR = 1.308; 95% CI: 1.202-1.422), 22.2% (HR = 1.222; 95% CI: 1.117-1.338), and 7.6% (HR = 1.076; 95% CI: 1.025-1.129), respectively. In contrast, eGDR and the composite metabolic index were linked to 35.0% (HR = 0.650; 95% CI: 0.565-0.747) and 37.4% (HR = 0.626; 95% CI: 0.554-0.707) lower risks of CMM. The eGDR and CompositeIndex showed high Population attributable fraction (PAF) of 56.3% (95% CI: 47.3-63.4) and 38.3% (95% CI: 29.8-47.8), respectively. Dose-response analyses showed near-linear relationships for all indices. ROC and NRI analysis further indicated that the CompositeIndex offered highest discrimination with a modest improvement for CMM (AUC = 0.754, 95% CI: 0.737-0.778; NRI = 0.066 (0.027-0.106). The associations were more pronounced among participants younger than 65 years and consistent across sex.
Conclusions: The integrated index combining insulin resistance and lipid dysregulation was associated with incident CMM and provided modest improvements in risk discrimination and reclassification beyond traditional risk factors.
{"title":"Predictive value of an integrated insulin resistance and lipometabolic score for cardiometabolic multimorbidity in older adults: a UK cohort study.","authors":"Chenyang Li, Xiaoqin Luo, Yifan Chen, Jiafeng Lin, Shengyuan Gu","doi":"10.1186/s12933-025-03064-1","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-025-03064-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Markers of insulin resistance, such as the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), have been extensively linked to cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM). However, the roles of lipid metabolism indicators, including the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and remnant cholesterol (RC), remain less clearly defined. This study aimed to evaluate both the individual and combined effects of insulin resistance and dyslipidemia on the risk of CMM.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data were derived from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. A composite metabolic index integrating the TyG, eGDR, AIP, and RC was developed using principal component analysis. The associations of individual and composite indices with incident CMM were examined using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, while their predictive performance was assessed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Over a 6.8-year follow-up period, 552 cases of CMM occurred among 4232 participants. After multivariable adjustment, each standard deviation (SD) increase in TyG, AIP, and RC was linked to a higher risk of CMM by 30.8% (HR = 1.308; 95% CI: 1.202-1.422), 22.2% (HR = 1.222; 95% CI: 1.117-1.338), and 7.6% (HR = 1.076; 95% CI: 1.025-1.129), respectively. In contrast, eGDR and the composite metabolic index were linked to 35.0% (HR = 0.650; 95% CI: 0.565-0.747) and 37.4% (HR = 0.626; 95% CI: 0.554-0.707) lower risks of CMM. The eGDR and CompositeIndex showed high Population attributable fraction (PAF) of 56.3% (95% CI: 47.3-63.4) and 38.3% (95% CI: 29.8-47.8), respectively. Dose-response analyses showed near-linear relationships for all indices. ROC and NRI analysis further indicated that the CompositeIndex offered highest discrimination with a modest improvement for CMM (AUC = 0.754, 95% CI: 0.737-0.778; NRI = 0.066 (0.027-0.106). The associations were more pronounced among participants younger than 65 years and consistent across sex.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The integrated index combining insulin resistance and lipid dysregulation was associated with incident CMM and provided modest improvements in risk discrimination and reclassification beyond traditional risk factors.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12947332/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146117996","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-04DOI: 10.1186/s12933-026-03091-6
Wenling Zheng, Ziyue Man, Yanping Ren, Yu Li, Xiaohong Zhu, Lan Wang, Xi Zhang, Guilin Hu, Yu Cao
Objective: Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is a growing global health challenge. Whether the baseline or cumulative triglyceride glucose and Chinese visceral adiposity index product (TyG-CVAI) can predict incident CMM remains unclear.
Methods: We constructed two prospective cohorts from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS): Cohort 1 (n = 8895 patients) to assess the association of the baseline TyG-CVAI with CMM and Cohort 2 (n = 5839 patients) to assess the association of the cumulative TyG-CVAI with CMM. The cumulative TyG-CVAI was calculated as the average TyG-CVAI between baseline and the 2015 wave multiplied by the exposure time. Incident CMM was confirmed via a self-reported physician diagnosis, medication use, and clinical data. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). Nonlinearity was assessed using restricted cubic splines, and predictive performance was evaluated by performing a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
Results: During follow-up, 875 and 492 incident CMM cases were documented in Cohort 1 and Cohort 2, respectively. Both the baseline and cumulative TyG-CVAI showed graded, positive associations with the CMM risk. Compared with the lowest quartile, the highest quartile was associated with significantly increased risks (baseline: HR = 1.93, 95% CI = 1.46-2.54; cumulative: HR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.22-2.53). Significant nonlinear relationships with threshold effects were observed for both indices (P for nonlinearity < 0.001). Furthermore, compared with their individual components (TyG or CVAI), both the baseline and cumulative TyG-CVAI demonstrated superior predictive ability for CMM, as indicated by a larger area under the ROC curve.
Conclusions: Both the baseline and cumulative TyG-CVAI are independent and nonlinear predictors of incident CMM, outperforming TyG or CVAI alone. This easily obtainable metric may enhance risk stratification and help identify high-risk individuals for early preventive intervention.
目的:心脏代谢多病(CMM)是一个日益增长的全球健康挑战。基线或累积甘油三酯葡萄糖和中国内脏脂肪指数产品(TyG-CVAI)是否可以预测CMM的发生尚不清楚。方法:我们从中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS)中构建了两个前瞻性队列:队列1 (n = 8895例患者)评估基线TyG-CVAI与CMM的关系,队列2 (n = 5839例患者)评估累积TyG-CVAI与CMM的关系。累积TyG-CVAI计算为基线与2015年波之间的平均TyG-CVAI乘以暴露时间。通过自我报告的医师诊断、药物使用和临床数据确认偶发性慢性mm。采用Cox回归模型估计风险比(hr)。非线性评估采用限制性三次样条,预测性能评估采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析。结果:随访期间,队列1和队列2分别记录了875例和492例CMM事件。基线和累积的TyG-CVAI均显示与慢性mm风险呈分级正相关。与最低四分位数相比,最高四分位数与风险显著增加相关(基线:HR = 1.93, 95% CI = 1.46-2.54;累积:HR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.22-2.53)。两项指标均与阈值效应存在显著的非线性关系(P表示非线性)。结论:基线和累积TyG-CVAI均是CMM事件的独立非线性预测因子,优于单独的TyG或CVAI。这个容易获得的指标可以加强风险分层,并帮助识别高危个体进行早期预防干预。
{"title":"Association of the triglyceride glucose-Chinese visceral adiposity index with incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity in middle-aged and older adults: a nationwide prospective cohort study.","authors":"Wenling Zheng, Ziyue Man, Yanping Ren, Yu Li, Xiaohong Zhu, Lan Wang, Xi Zhang, Guilin Hu, Yu Cao","doi":"10.1186/s12933-026-03091-6","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-026-03091-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is a growing global health challenge. Whether the baseline or cumulative triglyceride glucose and Chinese visceral adiposity index product (TyG-CVAI) can predict incident CMM remains unclear.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We constructed two prospective cohorts from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS): Cohort 1 (n = 8895 patients) to assess the association of the baseline TyG-CVAI with CMM and Cohort 2 (n = 5839 patients) to assess the association of the cumulative TyG-CVAI with CMM. The cumulative TyG-CVAI was calculated as the average TyG-CVAI between baseline and the 2015 wave multiplied by the exposure time. Incident CMM was confirmed via a self-reported physician diagnosis, medication use, and clinical data. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). Nonlinearity was assessed using restricted cubic splines, and predictive performance was evaluated by performing a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During follow-up, 875 and 492 incident CMM cases were documented in Cohort 1 and Cohort 2, respectively. Both the baseline and cumulative TyG-CVAI showed graded, positive associations with the CMM risk. Compared with the lowest quartile, the highest quartile was associated with significantly increased risks (baseline: HR = 1.93, 95% CI = 1.46-2.54; cumulative: HR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.22-2.53). Significant nonlinear relationships with threshold effects were observed for both indices (P for nonlinearity < 0.001). Furthermore, compared with their individual components (TyG or CVAI), both the baseline and cumulative TyG-CVAI demonstrated superior predictive ability for CMM, as indicated by a larger area under the ROC curve.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong> Both the baseline and cumulative TyG-CVAI are independent and nonlinear predictors of incident CMM, outperforming TyG or CVAI alone. This easily obtainable metric may enhance risk stratification and help identify high-risk individuals for early preventive intervention.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964883/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146118026","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-04DOI: 10.1186/s12933-026-03084-5
Shu-Shu Han, Qin Liu, Zhi-Ming Zeng, Ying Li, Ping-Wei Li, Fang-Xiao Cheng, Pian Zhong, Jiang-Bo Li
Background: Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome imposes a substantial global health burden, with most adults clustered in early stages 0-3. Insulin resistance (IR), as a core manifestation of metabolic dysfunction, is thought to play a pivotal role in CKM progression and cardiovascular disease (CVD) development, but the relative impact of diverse IR surrogates and the mediating role of biological ageing acceleration remain unclear.
Method: This prospective analysis included 6318 participants with CKM syndrome stages 0-3 from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). We evaluated twelve insulin resistance surrogates in relation to incident CVD using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and quantile-based models. Mediation analyses assessed whether biological aging acceleration mediated the association between IR indices and new-onset CVD.
Results: 1231 (19.5%) of 6318 participants with CKM stages 0-3 developed new-onset CVD. All IR surrogates demonstrated significant associations with CVD risk, with elevated TyG-derived indices, METS-IR, CTI, and TG/HDL-C showing positive associations whereas eGDR exhibited an inverse relationship (all P-trend < 0.05). RCS analyses revealed nonlinear relationships for METS-IR, CTI, and eGDR. Significant modification effects were observed by biological ageing acceleration, gender, and CKM stage. Mediation analyses indicated that biological aging acceleration accounted for 14.9-16.4% of the TyG-ABSI-CVD association and 1.3-4.2% of other IR-CVD relationships.
Conclusions: Multiple IR surrogate indices independently predict cardiovascular disease in CKM stages 0-3, with biological aging acceleration mediating this association. Integrating these measures into risk stratification could enable early identification and targeted intervention for high-risk individuals.
{"title":"Association of various insulin resistance surrogate indices with aging acceleration and future risk of cardiovascular disease in individuals with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages 0-3: insights from CHARLS 2011-2020 data.","authors":"Shu-Shu Han, Qin Liu, Zhi-Ming Zeng, Ying Li, Ping-Wei Li, Fang-Xiao Cheng, Pian Zhong, Jiang-Bo Li","doi":"10.1186/s12933-026-03084-5","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-026-03084-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome imposes a substantial global health burden, with most adults clustered in early stages 0-3. Insulin resistance (IR), as a core manifestation of metabolic dysfunction, is thought to play a pivotal role in CKM progression and cardiovascular disease (CVD) development, but the relative impact of diverse IR surrogates and the mediating role of biological ageing acceleration remain unclear.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>This prospective analysis included 6318 participants with CKM syndrome stages 0-3 from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). We evaluated twelve insulin resistance surrogates in relation to incident CVD using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and quantile-based models. Mediation analyses assessed whether biological aging acceleration mediated the association between IR indices and new-onset CVD.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>1231 (19.5%) of 6318 participants with CKM stages 0-3 developed new-onset CVD. All IR surrogates demonstrated significant associations with CVD risk, with elevated TyG-derived indices, METS-IR, CTI, and TG/HDL-C showing positive associations whereas eGDR exhibited an inverse relationship (all P-trend < 0.05). RCS analyses revealed nonlinear relationships for METS-IR, CTI, and eGDR. Significant modification effects were observed by biological ageing acceleration, gender, and CKM stage. Mediation analyses indicated that biological aging acceleration accounted for 14.9-16.4% of the TyG-ABSI-CVD association and 1.3-4.2% of other IR-CVD relationships.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Multiple IR surrogate indices independently predict cardiovascular disease in CKM stages 0-3, with biological aging acceleration mediating this association. Integrating these measures into risk stratification could enable early identification and targeted intervention for high-risk individuals.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964732/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146117999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}