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Constipation and Risk of Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies. 便秘和急性心肌梗死的风险:队列研究的系统回顾和荟萃分析。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-5852
Thanathip Suenghataiphorn, Nutchapon Xanthavanij, Panat Yanpiset, Thitiphan Srikulmontri, Ben Thiravetyan, Narisara Tribuddharat, Vitchapong Prasitsumrit, Pojsakorn Danpanichkul, Tulaton Sodsri, Narathorn Kulthamrongsri, Phuuwadith Wattanachayakul

Background and aims: Constipation is commonly seen among patients with cardiovascular diseases and is linked to adverse outcomes. However, the association between constipation and the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remains conflicting. Therefore, we aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize the available data on this topic.

Method: We identified potentially eligible studies from the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases, searching from inception to May 2024, to investigate the association between constipation and the risk of developing AMI. To be included, studies needed to compare incidence of AMI between cohorts with and without constipation. Effect size and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were combined using the generic inverse variance method. All statistical analyses were performed by Review Manager 5.4.

Results: Our meta-analysis included seven studies that met the eligibility criteria. There were 5,351,976 participants, with a mean age of 57.8 years and 74% were males. We found that patients with constipation had a 14% increased risk of AMI with a pooled risk ratio (RR) of 1.14 (95%CI: 1.08-1.14; I²=85%; p<0.001) compared to those without constipation.

Conclusions: Our study revealed that constipation is associated with a higher risk of AMI. Emphasizing and addressing gastrointestinal health, including constipation, as an important issue is essential for comprehensive cardiovascular care.

背景和目的:便秘常见于心血管疾病患者,并与不良预后有关。然而,便秘与急性心肌梗死(AMI)风险之间的关系仍然存在矛盾。因此,我们旨在进行一次系统回顾和荟萃分析,总结有关这一主题的现有数据:我们从 MEDLINE 和 EMBASE 数据库中筛选出可能符合条件的研究,检索时间从开始到 2024 年 5 月,目的是调查便秘与急性心肌梗死发病风险之间的关系。纳入的研究需要比较有便秘和无便秘人群的急性心肌梗死发病率。采用通用反方差法合并效应大小和 95% 置信区间 (CI)。所有统计分析均由Review Manager 5.4进行:我们的荟萃分析包括七项符合资格标准的研究。共有 5351976 名参与者,平均年龄为 57.8 岁,74% 为男性。我们发现,便秘患者罹患急性心肌梗死的风险增加了 14%,总风险比 (RR) 为 1.14(95%CI:1.08-1.14;I²=85%;p结论:我们的研究表明,便秘与较高的急性心肌梗死风险有关。将包括便秘在内的胃肠道健康作为一个重要问题加以重视和解决,对于全面的心血管护理至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Tattoo ink: Does it really stay in the skin? A potential link between tattoos and leukemia in fatty liver disease patient. 纹身墨水:它真的会留在皮肤里吗?脂肪肝患者纹身与白血病之间的潜在联系。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-6052
Abdulrahman Ismaiel, Ioana Rusu, Anca Bojan, Dan L Dumitrascu
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引用次数: 0
Leukocytoclastic vasculitis as a rare adverse effect of ustekinumab in a patient with Crohn's disease. 一名克罗恩病患者因服用乌司替库单抗而出现的罕见不良反应--白细胞减少性血管炎。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-6036
Hüseyin Aykut, Baver Ordu, Berkay Dertsiz, Gupse Adalı, Özben Yalçın
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引用次数: 0
The Efficacy of Traditional Chinese Medicine for Crohn's Disease Treatment: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. 中医药治疗克罗恩病的疗效:系统回顾与元分析》。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-5729
Michael L Chang, Kaitlyn L Mi, Rachel R Cunningham, William A Catterall, Mahlet A Yared, Corey A Siegel, Renata W Yen

Background and aims: Crohn's disease (CD) is an inflammatory bowel disease with limited treatment options for patients with mild to moderately active disease. There is a lack of consensus for using traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) for symptom relief. This review aimed to assess the efficacy of TCM compared to placebo for CD symptom severity relief in patients with mild to moderate CD.

Methods: We searched MEDLINE via PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Scopus, and CINAHL for articles and reviewed results from Web of Science, Google Scholar, clinicaltrials.gov, and reference lists of included studies. We included randomized control trials comparing TCM to placebo in patients with mild to moderate CD to evaluate change in objective symptom severity [Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) and Crohn's Disease Endoscopic Index of Severity (CDEIS)]. We imported selected articles for dual blinded review, used random-effects models to calculate the mean CDAI and CDEIS differences between TCM and placebo, and qualitatively analyzed differences in inflammatory biomarkers and quality of life.

Results: The search identified 232 relevant studies. We included five studies, totalling 292 participants utilizing acupuncture and herb-partitioned moxibustion. The studies demonstrated a more significant decrease in mean CDAI score due to TCM compared to placebo [-49.91 (95% CI: -64.97, -34.84; p<0.00001); (I2 = 61%, p=0.03)]. Two studies also demonstrated an overall difference in mean CDEIS between TCM and placebo [-2.96 (95% CI: -6.31, 0.40; p=0.08); (I2 = 53%, p=0.140)]. Improvements in quality of life scores were greater in TCM versus placebo groups. There were mixed results for changes in inflammatory biomarkers.

Conclusion: Our findings suggest that TCM may improve objective CD symptoms compared to placebo. Additional studies with more extensive and diverse populations are necessary to determine TCM's true effects on CD patients.

背景和目的:克罗恩病(Crohn's disease,CD)是一种炎症性肠病,轻度至中度活动期患者的治疗方案有限。对于使用传统中药(TCM)缓解症状,目前尚缺乏共识。本综述旨在评估中药与安慰剂相比对缓解轻度至中度 CD 患者 CD 症状严重程度的疗效:我们通过 PubMed、Cochrane Library、Scopus 和 CINAHL 在 MEDLINE 上检索文章,并从 Web of Science、Google Scholar、clinicaltrials.gov 和纳入研究的参考文献列表中查阅结果。我们纳入了在轻度至中度 CD 患者中比较中药与安慰剂的随机对照试验,以评估客观症状严重程度[克罗恩病活动指数(CDAI)和克罗恩病内镜下严重程度指数(CDEIS)]的变化。我们导入了部分文章进行双盲审查,使用随机效应模型计算了中药与安慰剂之间的平均 CDAI 和 CDEIS 差异,并定性分析了炎症生物标志物和生活质量的差异:结果:搜索发现了 232 项相关研究。我们纳入了五项研究,共有 292 人参与了针灸和中草药隔物灸。这些研究表明,与安慰剂相比,中药能更显著地降低 CDAI 平均得分[-49.91 (95% CI: -64.97, -34.84; pConclusion]:我们的研究结果表明,与安慰剂相比,中药可改善 CD 的客观症状。要确定中药对 CD 患者的真正疗效,还需要对更广泛、更多样的人群进行更多研究。
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引用次数: 0
Colitis Trouble up High: A Case of Gastroduodenal Ulcerative Colitis and Literature Review. 高处的结肠炎麻烦:一例胃十二指肠溃疡性结肠炎病例和文献综述。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-5903
Suzanne Cauchi, Frederique Van Venetien, Martina Sciberras, Pierre Ellul
<p><strong>Background and aims: </strong>The presence of backwash ileitis, post-colectomy pre-pouch ileitis, or pouchitis has been widely described in the presentation of ulcerative colitis [UC]. However, over the years, a few cases of upper gastrointestinal [UGI] inflammation in patients with UC have been reported, most commonly post-colectomy.  The aim of this review was to conduct an analysis of the current literature to identify the prevalence, risk factors and current treatment of UGI UC.  Methods: Case report and review of the literature. An electronic search of five bibliographic databases [Pubmed, Cochrane, DOAJ, Science Direct, and JSTOR], was conducted. A combination of keywords and medical subject headings [MeSH] related to "small intestine" and "inflammation" or "enteritis" and "colectomy" or "post operative complications" or "ileostomy" or "stoma" and "ulcerative colitis" or "inflammatory bowel disease" were used. Referenced papers not fully available in English text were excluded from the study.  The manuscripts were analysed for age, gender, extent of colonic and UGI disease, timing of UGI presentation, surgical history, treatment and follow-up.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We present the case of a 59-year-old woman with diffuse upper gastrointestinal (UGI) ulcerative colitis (UC) that was refractory to steroid treatment, occurring nine years after a panproctocolectomy for medical treatment failure Upon initiation of an anti-TNFɑ [adalimumab], she achieved remission. We then systematically reviewed the literature to analyse previous reports of patients presenting with UGI UC to understand the prevalence and identify risk factors for developing this condition. To date, 43 cases have been published describing UGI UC with a male to female ratio 5:4 with a mean age of 37.52 years [IQ range 27 years] The majority [85.7%] of these patients were post-colectomy secondary to pancolitis. The mean time post-colectomy for UGI UC to occur is 14 months [range 0-12 years]. The prognosis of these patients were generally good; however, severe complications including haemorrhage, perforation and death have been reported. The inflammatory distribution affected the duodenum [74%] > ileum [57%] > jejunum [31%] > stomach [4%]. The majority of patients with reported changes in the stomach had a pangastritis pattern, with only one case describing isolated antral inflammation. No standardised treatment strategy is available, however, intravenous and oral corticosteroids, 5-aminosalicylates, thiopurines, calcineurin-inhibitors, and TNFα-inhibitors, have been found to be effective in treating UGI UC. Only one other case report reported the successful use of adalimumab to attain remission in UGI UC.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This review sheds light on a rare presentation of UC. This highlights the need for further research into the pathogenesis of UC and treatment strategies for patients presenting with UGI UC. Our case further strengthens the use
背景和目的:在溃疡性结肠炎的表现中,反冲洗性回肠炎、结肠切除术后的前袋性回肠炎或袋炎的存在已被广泛描述[UC]。然而,多年来,报道了少数UC患者的上胃肠道[UGI]炎症,最常见的是结肠切除术后。本综述的目的是对现有文献进行分析,以确定UGI UC的患病率、危险因素和目前的治疗方法。方法:病例报告和文献复习。对5个书目数据库[Pubmed、Cochrane、DOAJ、Science Direct和JSTOR]进行了电子检索。使用与“小肠”和“炎症”或“肠炎”和“结肠切除术”或“术后并发症”或“回肠造口术”或“造口术”和“溃疡性结肠炎”或“炎症性肠病”相关的关键词和医学主题标题[MeSH]的组合。没有完整英文文本的参考文献被排除在研究之外。分析手稿的年龄、性别、结肠和UGI疾病的程度、UGI出现的时间、手术史、治疗和随访。结果:我们报告了一名59岁的女性,患有弥漫性上胃肠道(UGI)溃疡性结肠炎(UC),对类固醇治疗难治性,发生在因药物治疗失败而行全结肠切除术9年后,开始使用抗肿瘤坏死因子[阿达木单抗],她获得了缓解。然后,我们系统地回顾了文献,分析了以前报告的UGI UC患者,以了解患病率并确定发展这种情况的危险因素。迄今为止,已发表43例UGI UC,男女比例为5:4,平均年龄37.52岁[智商范围27岁],其中大多数(85.7%)为结肠切除术后继发于总结炎。结肠切除术后UGI UC发生的平均时间为14个月[范围0-12年]。这些患者的预后一般较好;然而,有严重的并发症,包括出血、穿孔和死亡的报告。炎症分布累及十二指肠[74%];>回肠[57%];>空肠[31%];>胃[4%]。大多数报告胃变化的患者有胃炎模式,只有一个病例描述孤立的胃窦炎症。没有标准化的治疗策略,然而,静脉注射和口服皮质类固醇、5-氨基水杨酸盐、硫嘌呤、钙调磷酸酶抑制剂和tnf α-抑制剂已被发现对治疗UGI UC有效。只有另外一个病例报告成功使用阿达木单抗获得UGI UC的缓解。结论:这篇综述揭示了一种罕见的UC的表现。这表明需要进一步研究UC的发病机制和UGI UC患者的治疗策略。本病例进一步加强了抗肿瘤坏死因子的使用,特别是阿达木单抗治疗UGI UC,并强调了进一步研究炎症性肠病发病机制的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Nucleolin as a Potent Biomarker for Predicting Tumor Recurrence among Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Transplantation. 核仁蛋白作为预测肝癌移植后肿瘤复发的有效生物标志物。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-5873
Guanrong Chen, Xin Hu, Yingchen Huang, Huigang Li, Libin Dong, Yao Jiang, Di Lu, Feng Jiang, Xiuyang Li, Beicheng Sun, Shusen Zheng, Ren Lang, Xiao Xu, Ronggao Chen

Background and aims: Tumor recurrence poses a significant challenge post-liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), necessitating the development of more precise predictive tools. In this study we aimed to investigate nucleolin as a biomarker for predicting HCC recurrence after LT.

Methods: A cohort of 241 HCC patients undergoing LT was enrolled from three medical facilities spanning January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2017. Utilizing tissue microarrays, we assessed the predictive potential of nucleolin. Survival analyses, including Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests, were employed to scrutinize overall survival and recurrence-free survival. Based on univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of preoperative parameters, nomogram and risk score were designed to predict HCC recurrence and determine the effectiveness of the model.

Results: The expression of nucleolin in HCC nucleus was increased. High nucleolin expression in tumor tissues correlated with poor overall survival and recurrence-free survival (5-year overall survival ratios: 34% vs. 64.8%, 5-year recurrence-free survival ratios: 36.1% vs.67.9%, all p<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified nucleolin expression score, Hangzhou criteria, HBsAg, tumor differentiation and alpha-fetoprotein level as independent risk factors for tumor recurrence in HCC patients post- LT. A new nomogram is established based on the above risk factors with effective prediction efficiency (area under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic =0.742, concordance-index =0.7742).

Conclusions: Nucleolin can be combined with a nomogram as an effective tool to predict recurrence in HCC patients following LT.

背景与目的:肝移植(LT)后肿瘤复发是肝细胞癌(HCC)的重大挑战,需要开发更精确的预测工具。在这项研究中,我们旨在研究核蛋白作为预测肝移植后HCC复发的生物标志物。方法:从2015年1月1日至2017年12月31日,从三家医疗机构招募了241名接受肝移植的HCC患者。利用组织微阵列,我们评估了核仁蛋白的预测潜力。生存分析,包括Kaplan-Meier检验和log-rank检验,用于检查总生存期和无复发生存期。基于术前参数的单因素和多因素Cox回归分析,设计nomogram和risk score来预测HCC复发并确定模型的有效性。结果:肝细胞癌细胞核内核蛋白表达增加。肿瘤组织中高核蛋白表达与较差的总生存率和无复发生存率相关(5年总生存率:34% vs. 64.8%, 5年无复发生存率:36.1% vs.67.9%)。结论:核蛋白可与nomogram联合应用,作为预测HCC患者LT后复发的有效工具。
{"title":"Nucleolin as a Potent Biomarker for Predicting Tumor Recurrence among Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Transplantation.","authors":"Guanrong Chen, Xin Hu, Yingchen Huang, Huigang Li, Libin Dong, Yao Jiang, Di Lu, Feng Jiang, Xiuyang Li, Beicheng Sun, Shusen Zheng, Ren Lang, Xiao Xu, Ronggao Chen","doi":"10.15403/jgld-5873","DOIUrl":"10.15403/jgld-5873","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background and aims: </strong>Tumor recurrence poses a significant challenge post-liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), necessitating the development of more precise predictive tools. In this study we aimed to investigate nucleolin as a biomarker for predicting HCC recurrence after LT.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cohort of 241 HCC patients undergoing LT was enrolled from three medical facilities spanning January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2017. Utilizing tissue microarrays, we assessed the predictive potential of nucleolin. Survival analyses, including Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests, were employed to scrutinize overall survival and recurrence-free survival. Based on univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of preoperative parameters, nomogram and risk score were designed to predict HCC recurrence and determine the effectiveness of the model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The expression of nucleolin in HCC nucleus was increased. High nucleolin expression in tumor tissues correlated with poor overall survival and recurrence-free survival (5-year overall survival ratios: 34% vs. 64.8%, 5-year recurrence-free survival ratios: 36.1% vs.67.9%, all p<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified nucleolin expression score, Hangzhou criteria, HBsAg, tumor differentiation and alpha-fetoprotein level as independent risk factors for tumor recurrence in HCC patients post- LT. A new nomogram is established based on the above risk factors with effective prediction efficiency (area under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic =0.742, concordance-index =0.7742).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Nucleolin can be combined with a nomogram as an effective tool to predict recurrence in HCC patients following LT.</p>","PeriodicalId":94081,"journal":{"name":"Journal of gastrointestinal and liver diseases : JGLD","volume":"34 1","pages":"81-89"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143736312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reply. 回复。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-6209
Mustafa Koyun, Bunyamin Ece
{"title":"Reply.","authors":"Mustafa Koyun, Bunyamin Ece","doi":"10.15403/jgld-6209","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15403/jgld-6209","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":94081,"journal":{"name":"Journal of gastrointestinal and liver diseases : JGLD","volume":"34 1","pages":"134-135"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143736314","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shifting trends of liver cirrhosis: causes, complications and future outlook. 肝硬化的变化趋势:原因、并发症和未来展望。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-5929
Abhishek Lal, Aqsa Amjad, Samnita Batool Zaidi, Om Parkash
{"title":"Shifting trends of liver cirrhosis: causes, complications and future outlook.","authors":"Abhishek Lal, Aqsa Amjad, Samnita Batool Zaidi, Om Parkash","doi":"10.15403/jgld-5929","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15403/jgld-5929","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":94081,"journal":{"name":"Journal of gastrointestinal and liver diseases : JGLD","volume":"34 1","pages":"133-134"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143736315","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cognitive Impairment in IBS: A Narrative Overview. 肠易激综合征的认知障碍:叙述性概述。
Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-5800
Himanshi Banker, Abhishek Goel, Sunita Kumawat, Fnu Anamika, Kanishk Aggarwal, Kofi Clarke, Rohit Jain

Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS) is a prevalent functional gastrointestinal disorder that significantly impacts the quality of life and the healthcare system. Beyond well-established symptoms such as recurrent abdominal pain and altered bowel habits, emerging evidence highlights a crucial yet underexplored aspect of cognitive dysfunction in patients suffering from IBS. This review aims to investigate the potential mechanisms linking IBS to cognitive dysfunction, emphasizing the role of the gut-brain axis and its biological and psychosocial determinants. A literature review was conducted using major medical databases, including Pubmed and Scopus, to identify relevant studies published in the last decade, focusing on clinical and experimental research assessing cognitive impairment in IBS patients. The review underscores the need for increased clinical recognition of cognitive dysfunction in IBS by highlighting the cognitive dysfunction in IBS patients with a focus on pathogenesis from disturbances in gut microbiota, inflammation, altered neurotransmitter levels, and psychological stress with various treatment modalities targeting these pathways, including probiotics, cognitive-behavioural therapy, and pharmacological interventions, showing promising results in mitigating cognitive symptoms.

肠易激综合征(IBS)是一种常见的功能性胃肠道疾病,严重影响生活质量和医疗保健系统。除了反复腹痛和排便习惯改变等公认的症状外,新出现的证据强调了肠易激综合征患者认知功能障碍的一个至关重要但尚未被充分探索的方面。本综述旨在探讨肠易激综合征与认知功能障碍之间的潜在机制,强调肠脑轴及其生物学和社会心理决定因素的作用。利用Pubmed、Scopus等主要医学数据库进行文献综述,选取近十年发表的相关研究,重点关注IBS患者认知功能障碍的临床和实验研究。该综述强调需要通过强调肠易激综合征患者的认知功能障碍来增加对肠易激综合征认知功能障碍的临床认识,重点关注肠道微生物群紊乱、炎症、神经递质水平改变和心理应激的发病机制,并针对这些途径采用各种治疗方式,包括益生菌、认知行为疗法和药物干预。在缓解认知症状方面显示出良好的效果。
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引用次数: 0
Machine Learning Models predicting Decompensation in Cirrhosis. 预测肝硬化失代偿的机器学习模型
Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.15403/jgld-5876
Sophie Elisabeth Müller, Markus Casper, Cristina Ripoll, Alexander Zipprich, Paul Horn, Marcin Krawczyk, Frank Lammert, Matthias Christian Reichert

Background and aims: Decompensation of cirrhosis significantly decreases survival, thus, prevention of complications is paramount. We used machine learning techniques to identify parameters predicting decompensation.

Methods: Several machine learning techniques were applied to the INCA trial database containing pro- and retrospective data from 983 patients. Laboratory, clinical, and genetic data were analysed. After performing hierarchical clustering, Permutation Feature Importance was used to evaluate the impact of parameters on the prediction of decompensation.

Results: Achieving an accuracy of 81.6% on training and 70.5% on test data, Random Forests were best for retrospective prediction. In prospective assessment, Support Vector Machines performed best with an accuracy of 78.6% and 73.8%, respectively. Permutation Feature Importance demonstrated that baseline albumin and bilirubin levels and maximum bilirubin were the highest ranked parameters associated with former decompensation. In the prospective analysis, the maximum bilirubin value and the baseline values of sodium and albumin were ranked highest. In addition to the parameters of established scores, NOD2 genotype and inflammatory markers were highly ranked.

Conclusions: Laboratory parameters, genetic variants and infections can help to predict the risk of cirrhosis decompensation. This proof-of-concept study adds data for the future development of advanced models to identify patients at risk.

背景和目的:肝硬化失代偿会大大降低存活率,因此预防并发症至关重要。我们使用机器学习技术来确定预测失代偿的参数:方法:我们将多种机器学习技术应用于 INCA 试验数据库,该数据库包含来自 983 名患者的亲身经历和回顾性数据。我们对实验室、临床和遗传数据进行了分析。在进行分层聚类后,使用珀耳帖特征重要性来评估参数对失代偿预测的影响:随机森林在训练数据和测试数据上的准确率分别为 81.6%和 70.5%,是回顾性预测的最佳选择。在前瞻性评估中,支持向量机表现最佳,准确率分别为 78.6% 和 73.8%。排列特征重要性表明,基线白蛋白和胆红素水平以及最大胆红素是与前失代偿相关的排名最高的参数。在前瞻性分析中,胆红素最大值以及钠和白蛋白的基线值排名最高。除了既定评分参数外,NOD2 基因型和炎症标记物的排名也很靠前:结论:实验室参数、基因变异和感染有助于预测肝硬化失代偿的风险。这项概念验证研究为未来开发高级模型以识别高危患者提供了更多数据。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of gastrointestinal and liver diseases : JGLD
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