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Electric Power Resilience: Is More Better? 电力弹性:越多越好吗?
Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22375
Kenneth W. Costello

Can we spend too much on transportation and occupational safety, pollution abatement and climate change mitigation? The answer for many, including climate activists, regulators, politicians, and policymakers, is “of course we can't.” How can one doubt that these activities are socially desirable, especially when they could help to avoid cataclysmic outcomes? For an economist, however, it is not so farfetched to think that we can spend too much. The simple Econ 101 explanation is that, at the margin, the additional benefits fall short of the additional costs.

我们在交通和职业安全、减少污染和减缓气候变化方面是否会投入过多?包括气候活动家、监管机构、政治家和政策制定者在内的许多人的答案是“我们当然不能”。人们怎么能怀疑这些活动在社会上是可取的,尤其是当它们有助于避免灾难性后果的时候?然而,对于一个经济学家来说,认为我们可以过度消费的想法并不是那么牵强。简单的经济学101解释是,在边际上,额外的收益低于额外的成本。
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引用次数: 0
States Advance Climate Risk Disclosure and ESG-Related Legislation During 2023 各国在2023年推进气候风险披露和esg相关立法
Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22379
David W. South

In my August 2023 column, I outlined the climate risk disclosure and related environmental, social, and governance (ESG) requirements proposed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).1 It closed with an outlook for 2023. What I did not envision was the degree to which states would take action regarding greenhouse gas (GHG) disclosures to facilitate compliance with their state GHG targets. This column summarizes these actions, with emphasis on the most recent legislation passed by California, together with ESG-related legislation to define the fiduciary responsibilities of state pension funds.

在我2023年8月的专栏中,我概述了美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提出的气候风险披露和相关的环境、社会和治理(ESG)要求该机构对2023年的前景进行了展望。我没有想到的是,各州会在披露温室气体(GHG)方面采取多大程度的行动,以促进遵守各州的温室气体目标。本专栏总结了这些行动,重点介绍了加州最近通过的立法,以及与esg相关的立法,这些立法定义了州养老基金的受托责任。
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引用次数: 0
The Generative Artificial Intelligence Utility 生成式人工智能实用程序
Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22378
Paul A. DeCotis

Generative Artificial Intelligence (Gen AI) is still in its infancy, yet it has started to transform the way people live, work, and play. The cutting-edge technological innovation of Gen AI has unbounded potential and its contributions to the economy and society are still mostly hypothetical. In the short run we might overestimate its transformative impact and in the long run we might underestimate its impact. In either case, unprecedented change is upon us. Think of the changes to the ways in which we live, work, and play as technology evolved from wall-mounted landline telephones to car phones to satellite phones to mobile cell phones to hand-held smart devices, and the explosion of applications and services available on the device platform.

生成式人工智能(Gen AI)仍处于起步阶段,但它已经开始改变人们的生活、工作和娱乐方式。新一代人工智能的尖端技术创新具有无限的潜力,其对经济和社会的贡献仍主要是假设的。从短期来看,我们可能高估了它的变革影响,而从长期来看,我们可能低估了它的影响。无论哪种情况,我们都面临着前所未有的变革。想想我们生活、工作和娱乐方式的变化,技术从壁挂式固定电话发展到汽车电话、卫星电话、移动电话到手持智能设备,以及设备平台上可用的应用程序和服务的爆炸式增长。
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引用次数: 0
Weathering the Storm: Planning and Building Smarter 抵御风暴:规划和建筑更智能
Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22372
Saba Khalid

The importance and challenge of utility distribution system strategy and planning cannot be overstated in light of climate change and the increasing frequency of extreme storms. Independent power producers, distributed energy resource (DER) providers, and retail energy providers similarly face the same challenges. The United States witnessed a record-breaking hurricane season in 2020, resulting in staggering damages of approximately $95 billion. The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) highlights the urgency of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to limit global warming to mitigate the disastrous and costly effects of climate change. The report indicated that these events are likely to become the norm and will worsen if mitigation and adaptation measures aren't established. These events are becoming more frequent and severe, making it imperative to establish effective mitigation and adaptation measures.

鉴于气候变化和极端风暴日益频繁,公用事业分配系统战略和规划的重要性和挑战怎么强调都不为过。独立电力生产商、分布式能源供应商和零售能源供应商同样面临着同样的挑战。2020年,美国经历了破纪录的飓风季,造成了约950亿美元的惊人损失。政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的最新报告强调了减少温室气体排放以限制全球变暖以减轻气候变化的灾难性和代价高昂的影响的紧迫性。报告指出,如果不制定缓解和适应措施,这些事件可能会成为常态,并将恶化。这些事件越来越频繁和严重,因此必须制定有效的缓解和适应措施。
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引用次数: 0
Utilities Develop New Lines of Business to Deliver Clean Energy Customer Solutions 公用事业公司开发新业务线,为客户提供清洁能源解决方案
Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22370
Penni McLean-Conner

“Addressing the climate crisis requires immediate and sustained investment to eliminate net global greenhouse gas emissions by mid-century—and this presents a transformational opportunity for the United States and the world.” This statement from The Long-Term Strategy of the United States: Pathways to Net-Zero Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050 summarizes both the challenge and the opportunity presented as the energy infrastructure is transformed. The United States has established ambitious goals of net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions no later than 2050. A core strategy by the United States to achieve this goal is the decarbonization of the electric grid. In fact, the United States has set a goal to reach 100 percent carbon-free electricity by 2035. These goals will result in nothing less than a transformation of the energy marketplace, requiring the rapid expansion of existing clean energy solutions of solar and energy efficiency as well as the drive to electrify everything, including buildings and transportation.

“应对气候危机需要立即和持续的投资,以在本世纪中叶消除全球温室气体净排放,这为美国和世界带来了转型机遇。“《美国长期战略:到2050年实现温室气体净零排放的途径》中的这一声明总结了能源基础设施转型带来的挑战和机遇。美国制定了不迟于2050年实现温室气体净零排放的宏伟目标。美国实现这一目标的核心战略是电网脱碳。事实上,美国已经设定了到2035年实现100%无碳电力的目标。这些目标将带来能源市场的转型,需要快速扩展现有的太阳能和能源效率清洁能源解决方案,并推动包括建筑和交通在内的一切电气化。
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引用次数: 0
The Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Puzzle: A Singular and Misunderstood Commodity in World Trade 液化天然气(LNG)之谜:世界贸易中一种奇特且被误解的商品
Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22373
Jeff D. Makholm

The ocean-going trade in liquefied natural gas (LNG) is more than half a century old. The first US LNG project began commercial operation in 1971. World trade in LNG arose as countries and regions with warm climates, small populations, and no ready application for such a fuel as natural gas, like Algeria, Qatar, and Western Australia, sought to monetize their local natural resources by building large export facilities (usually at state expense) targeting industrial countries with cold winters and without indigenous fossil fuels, like Japan, Korea, parts of Europe, and New England. But great costs, complexities, paradoxes, and business failures have always accompanied the international LNG trade. Age-old rules of thumb for other commodities in world trade do not apply to LNG.

液化天然气的远洋贸易已有半个多世纪的历史。美国第一个液化天然气项目于1971年开始商业运营。世界液化天然气贸易的兴起是因为气候温暖、人口较少、天然气等燃料没有现成应用的国家和地区,如阿尔及利亚、卡塔尔和西澳大利亚,试图通过建造大型出口设施(通常由国家出资),将当地自然资源货币化,目标是冬季寒冷、没有本土化石燃料的工业国家,如日本,韩国、欧洲部分地区和新英格兰。但巨大的成本、复杂性、悖论和商业失败一直伴随着国际液化天然气贸易。世界贸易中其他商品的古老经验法则不适用于液化天然气。
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引用次数: 0
Will the “Responsibly Sourced Gas” Initiative Secure the Future of Natural Gas? “响应式天然气”倡议会保障天然气的未来吗?
Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22374
Richard G. Smead

Years ago, during the 2009–2014 time period, as hydraulic fracturing—the unfortunately named “fracking”—was the red-hot target of critics of the natural gas industry, it became very clear that it was critical to satisfy public concerns surrounding the safety and environmental impact of the fracking process. Variations in the behavior of the nation's huge population of natural gas producers rendered the industry vulnerable to its weakest members. In the best-run companies, usually major and large independent companies, there was an intense focus on clean and safe development, dealing with contaminated waste water as well as the sourcing of fracturing water, and in particular ensuring the absolute integrity of underground facilities to prevent the process from ever interacting with drinking water aquifers. Best practices also involved the overall management of the impact of site preparation, the operations themselves, including noise pollution and long-term site management. I argued frequently for the equivalent of a “Good Housekeeping Seal of Approval” for the most responsible producers to have a leg up in permitting, and a market (and price) advantage over others who could not show the same level of responsibility.

几年前,在2009-2014年期间,水力压裂——不幸被命名为“水力压裂”——成为天然气行业批评者的热门目标,很明显,满足公众对水力压裂过程的安全和环境影响的担忧至关重要。该国庞大的天然气生产商群体的行为变化使该行业容易受到最弱势成员的影响。在运营最好的公司,通常是大型和大型独立公司,都非常关注清洁和安全的开发,处理受污染的废水以及压裂水的来源,特别是确保地下设施的绝对完整性,以防止该过程与饮用水含水层相互作用。最佳做法还涉及对场地准备、作业本身的影响进行全面管理,包括噪音污染和长期场地管理。我经常主张,对于最负责任的生产商来说,这相当于一个“良好的管家审批印章”,让他们在许可方面占上风,并在市场(和价格)上优于其他无法表现出同等责任的生产企业。
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引用次数: 0
Advanced Analytics is Reshaping the Decision-Making Landscape of Electric Utilities 高级分析正在重塑电力公司的决策格局
Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22371
Amrita Pulidindi, Deepa Jonnagadla, Morgan Witt

Over the last decade, the use of advanced data analytics has evolved from an idea to a reality and has become pivotal in supporting the proliferation of electric utilities. Utilities are making data-driven decisions based on electric vehicle (EV) charging needs and patterns to maintain and/or improve reliability, safety, operational efficiency, and customer satisfaction. Data analytics also supports distribution utility planning for meeting future needs. This article presents several utility use cases that demonstrate the use and effectiveness of data-driven decisions and how advanced analytics is reshaping decision-making.

在过去的十年里,高级数据分析的使用已经从一种想法发展成为现实,并成为支持电力公司激增的关键。公用事业公司正在根据电动汽车(EV)的充电需求和模式做出数据驱动的决策,以保持和/或提高可靠性、安全性、运营效率和客户满意度。数据分析还支持配电设施规划,以满足未来需求。本文介绍了几个实用程序用例,展示了数据驱动决策的使用和有效性,以及高级分析如何重塑决策。
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引用次数: 0
Discounting the Benefits for Natural Gas Utility Energy Efficiency Programs 天然气公用事业能效计划的优惠折扣
Pub Date : 2023-09-03 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22366
Ted Peterson

Throughout the United States, utilities frequently offer incentives and rebates to customers to upgrade equipment and install improved building measures on homes and businesses to reduce energy consumption. For utilities to offer such programs, per regulatory and legal requirements, they often must follow guidelines to be cost-effective running through cost-benefit tests. The costs to operate such programs are straightforward and most often entail just a one-time expenditure. In contrast, the benefits can vary widely depending on discount rate, projected fuel costs, societal impacts from less consumption, and the life-cycle of the program.

在整个美国,公用事业公司经常向客户提供奖励和回扣,以升级设备,并在家庭和企业中安装改进的建筑措施,以减少能源消耗。对于提供此类项目的公用事业公司来说,根据监管和法律要求,他们通常必须遵循指导方针,通过成本效益测试达到成本效益。运营此类项目的成本很简单,通常只需要一次性支出。相比之下,收益可能会因折扣率、预计燃料成本、低消耗带来的社会影响以及项目的生命周期而大不相同。
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引用次数: 0
New Electric Transmission and Permitting Reform: Can't Have One without the Other 新的输电和许可证改革:一个不能没有另一个
Pub Date : 2023-09-03 DOI: 10.1002/gas.22369
Paul A. DeCotis

A May 4, 2023 Editorial in the New York Times conveyed very well a strong message that industry leaders have been talking about and stressing for years. “The United States needs to dramatically expand the electric grid between places with abundant wind and sunshine and places where people live and work. And it needs to happen fast.” While many mainstream news publications have shared this same view, and industry trade publications have talked about this need for decades, only now have federal and state policymakers found a path forward to take new transmission project siting and permitting reform. Retail energy providers, electric distribution utilities and their unregulated subsidiaries, and renewable energy developers have done all they could to highlight the need and costs to consumers of a congested electric grid that cannot easily move power among and between electricity markets and states, or from remote renewable generation sources to load centers.

2023年5月4日,《纽约时报》的一篇社论很好地传达了一个行业领袖多年来一直在谈论和强调的强烈信息。“美国需要大幅扩大风和阳光充足的地方与人们生活和工作的地方之间的电网。这需要迅速实现。”尽管许多主流新闻出版物都有同样的观点,行业贸易出版物几十年来一直在谈论这一需求,直到现在,联邦和州的政策制定者才找到了推进新输电项目选址和许可改革的途径。零售能源供应商、配电公用事业公司及其不受监管的子公司和可再生能源开发商已尽其所能,强调消费者对拥挤电网的需求和成本,因为拥挤的电网无法在电力市场和州之间轻松输送电力,也无法从远程可再生发电源向负荷中心输送电力。
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引用次数: 0
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Climate and Energy
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