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Climate Change and Impacts on Human Health: An Experience of Coastal Region People in Bangladesh 气候变化及其对人类健康的影响:孟加拉国沿海地区人民的经验
Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70022
Mohammad Shaheen Alam, Masum Billah, Md. Rabiul Hossen, Fatima Awal, Musfiqul Alam, Rajib Chandra Das

Climate change is a pressing issue, particularly impacting Bangladesh. It poses a serious threat to human health. Different catastrophic environmental disasters disproportionately affect the poor and vulnerable, especially in Bangladesh's coastal regions. The current study examines the mental and physical health risks faced by climate change in coastal areas. We employed a mixed-methods approach, combining qualitative and quantitative research, and the study was conducted among 280 individuals using a stratified random sampling method from Chittagong, Noakhali, Feni, and Lakshmipur districts. We quantitative data was collected via google form questionnaire consisting of sections on sociodemographic factors, natural disasters, man-made disasters, mental and physical health, injuries, community disruption, and anxiety. Cronbach's alpha, KMO, Bartlett's test, regression variable plots, and Pearson correlation analysis by descriptive analysis were used in this study. We found 52.5% of female injuries and mortality 40%, anxiety and depression 35%, crises caused by cyclones 26%, and flooding 48%. Moreover, we found gender, occupation, health crisis by natural and man-made disaster, injuries, death, and anxiety associated with health. The study revealed that most people had little knowledge about climate change and its impacts. Over the past decade, millions have been affected by disasters, yet a significant lack of awareness persists regarding the physical and mental effects of climate change. To tackle this issue, it is essential for the government and relevant stakeholders to initiate additional environmental projects, construct dams in coastal regions, conduct river excavations, and enforce regulations related to climate change.

气候变化是一个紧迫的问题,尤其是对孟加拉国的影响。它对人类健康构成严重威胁。不同的灾难性环境灾害对穷人和弱势群体的影响尤为严重,尤其是在孟加拉国沿海地区。目前的研究调查了沿海地区气候变化所面临的心理和身体健康风险。采用定性和定量研究相结合的混合方法,对来自吉大港、Noakhali、Feni和Lakshmipur地区的280名个体进行了分层随机抽样研究。我们通过谷歌形式的问卷收集定量数据,问卷包括社会人口因素、自然灾害、人为灾害、身心健康、伤害、社区破坏和焦虑等部分。本研究采用Cronbach’s alpha、KMO、Bartlett’s检验、回归变量图和描述性分析中的Pearson相关分析。我们发现52.5%的女性受伤和死亡占40%,焦虑和抑郁占35%,飓风造成的危机占26%,洪水占48%。此外,我们还发现性别、职业、自然灾害和人为灾害造成的健康危机、伤害、死亡和焦虑与健康有关。研究显示,大多数人对气候变化及其影响知之甚少。在过去十年中,数百万人受到灾害的影响,但人们对气候变化对身心的影响仍然严重缺乏认识。为了解决这个问题,政府和相关利益相关者必须启动额外的环境项目,在沿海地区建造水坝,进行河流挖掘,并执行与气候变化有关的法规。
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引用次数: 0
The Paradoxical Roles of Trees in Windstorm Mitigation: Insights From Gulu City, Uganda 树木在缓解风暴中的矛盾作用:来自乌干达古卢市的见解
Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70021
Vincent Canwat

Although trees are viewed as providers of several beneficial services, their roles in windstorm mitigation are not always positive. This study assessed the paradoxical roles of trees in windstorm mitigation by analyzing how the characteristics and management practices of trees affect their damage to physical infrastructure. Using primary data collected from Gulu City in Uganda, descriptive statistics and an ordered probit model were generated. The analysis revealed three key findings. First, decreasing the distance between trees and buildings, parked vehicles, roads, and power lines by 1 m significantly increases the likelihood of damage by trees. Second, buildings with greater tree cover are less likely to experience damage from windstorms compared to those with minimal or no tree cover. Third, buildings, parked vehicles, roads, and power lines with low sensitivity are less likely to be damaged by windstorms and windstorm-induced tree falls than those with high sensitivity. The exposure and sensitivity of physical infrastructure to windstorms and windstorm-induced tree fall reveal inadequate tree management and ineffective regulation enforcement, which are driven by low adaptive capacity, notably limited knowledge of tree farmers on proper tree management, weak capacity of extension staff, and financial constraints. Poor tree management results from a lack of awareness of improved tree management practices, which stems from limited access to forestry extension support. Additionally, the limited capacity of extension personnel hampers the delivery of forestry extension services. Financial challenges also hinder both the provision of forestry extension services and the enforcement of stricter building regulations and their ongoing maintenance. The findings have implications for improving urban tree monitoring and management, financing and provision of forestry extension services, and enforcement of building and land use regulations.

虽然树木被视为若干有益服务的提供者,但它们在缓解风暴方面的作用并不总是积极的。本研究通过分析树木的特性和管理实践如何影响其对物理基础设施的破坏,评估了树木在缓解风暴中的矛盾作用。利用从乌干达古卢市收集的原始数据,生成描述性统计和有序概率模型。分析揭示了三个关键发现。首先,将树木与建筑物、停放车辆、道路和电线之间的距离减少1米,会显著增加树木造成破坏的可能性。其次,与树木覆盖较少或没有树木覆盖的建筑物相比,树木覆盖较多的建筑物遭受风暴破坏的可能性较小。第三,低敏感性的建筑物、停放的车辆、道路和电力线比高敏感性的建筑物和电力线更不容易受到风暴和风暴引起的树木倒塌的破坏。物理基础设施对风暴和风暴导致的树木倒塌的暴露和敏感性表明,树木管理不足和监管执法不力,这是由低适应能力驱动的,特别是林农对适当树木管理的知识有限,推广人员能力薄弱以及资金限制。树木管理不善的原因是缺乏对改进的树木管理做法的认识,这是由于获得林业推广支助的机会有限。此外,推广人员的能力有限妨碍了林业推广服务的提供。财政挑战也阻碍了林业推广服务的提供和更严格的建筑法规的执行及其持续维护。研究结果对改善城市树木监测和管理、资助和提供林业推广服务以及执行建筑和土地使用条例具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Rainfall Variability on Rice Production in the Ketu North Municipality, Ghana 降雨变率对加纳克图北部市水稻生产的影响
Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70019
Frank Baffour-Ata, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Kojo Selasi Ashiadey, Stephen Oppong Kwakye, Louisa Boakye
<p>Rice is an important crop cultivated as a food and cash crop in Ghana. Rice production is highly dependent on rainfall, and hence any changes in the pattern of rainfall could significantly impact its production. Despite this, there is a dearth of evidence on the effect of rainfall variability on rice production in Ghana. The key practices utilized by rice farmers to address the effects of rainfall variability and the barriers militating against the effective implementation of such practices have also not been adequately highlighted in the literature. This study uses a mixed-method approach, including household surveys with 200 rice farmers and five focus group discussions, to investigate the effect of rainfall variability on rice production in four selected communities (Agorvega, Atsikpey, Avalevi, and Gagodope) in the Ketu North Municipality, Ghana. The study specifically sought to (i) determine the perception of smallholder rice farmers on rainfall variability in the studied municipality; (ii) assess the extent of rainfall changes in the studied municipality for the period 2010–2021; (iii) determine the relationship between rainfall variability and rice production; (iv) identify the key adaptation practices used by the smallholder rice farmers to address the effects of rainfall variability; and (v) determine the key barriers confronting the smallholder rice farmers in implementing these adaptation practices. The Mann–Kendall trend test was used to determine the extent of rainfall changes in the municipality, while Sen's slope estimator was used to evaluate the slope of the trend. Pearson's correlation coefficient was used to test the degree of linear correlation between rainfall and rice production. Results showed that the smallholder rice farmers perceived the changes in rainfall through the unpredictable and early onset of rains, as well as increasing annual rainfall. The trend analysis indicated an increase in annual rainfall from 2010 to 2021 (Sen's slope = 8.196; <i>p</i> = 0.150, which is not statistically significant). The insignificant increase in annual rainfall significantly correlated with the average yield of rice (<i>r</i> = 0.614, <i>p</i> = 0.034) and total annual rice production (<i>r</i> = 0.576, <i>p</i> = 0.050), contributing to about 37% and 33% of the variability in average rice yield and annual rice production, respectively. Findings also revealed that smallholder rice farmers adopted key practices, including the planting of early maturing rice varieties (96%), application of fertilizers on rice farms (95%), and diversification of rice farming to non-farming activities (84%), to address the effects of rainfall variability. Results also indicated that key barriers such as limited institutional support (96%), lower educational status (96%), and limited access to information on weather forecasts (95%) obstructed the effective implementation of adaptation practices in the studied communities. The study recommends the need f
水稻是加纳重要的粮食作物和经济作物。水稻生产高度依赖降雨,因此降雨模式的任何变化都可能对其生产产生重大影响。尽管如此,关于降雨变化对加纳水稻生产的影响的证据还很缺乏。水稻农民用来解决降雨变化影响的关键做法,以及阻碍有效实施这些做法的障碍,在文献中也没有得到充分强调。本研究采用混合方法,包括对200名稻农进行入户调查和5个焦点小组讨论,在加纳Ketu North市选定的4个社区(Agorvega、Atsikpey、Avalevi和Gagodope)调查降雨变异对水稻生产的影响。该研究特别寻求(i)确定小农稻农对所研究城市降雨变化的看法;(ii)评估2010-2021年期间所研究城市的降雨变化程度;(iii)确定降雨变率与稻米产量之间的关系;(iv)确定小农稻农为应对降雨变化的影响而采用的主要适应做法;(v)确定小农稻农在实施这些适应措施时面临的主要障碍。Mann-Kendall趋势检验用于确定该市降雨变化的程度,而Sen斜率估计器用于评估趋势的斜率。采用Pearson相关系数检验降雨量与水稻产量的线性相关程度。结果表明,小农通过降雨不可预测和提前降雨以及年降雨量增加来感知降雨的变化。趋势分析表明,2010 - 2021年降水量呈增加趋势(Sen’s slope = 8.196, p = 0.150,无统计学意义)。年降雨量的不显著增加与水稻平均产量(r = 0.614, p = 0.034)和水稻年总产量(r = 0.576, p = 0.050)显著相关,分别对水稻平均产量和水稻年产量的变异贡献率约为37%和33%。调查结果还显示,小农采用了关键做法,包括种植早熟水稻品种(96%)、在水稻农场施肥(95%)和将水稻种植多样化至非农业活动(84%),以解决降雨变化的影响。研究结果还表明,机构支持有限(96%)、受教育程度较低(96%)和天气预报信息获取有限(95%)等关键障碍阻碍了研究社区有效实施适应实践。该研究建议,政府有必要提供干预措施来解决这些障碍,包括提供有补贴的改良种子、肥料,以及向该市的稻农提供专门的推广服务。
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引用次数: 0
A Systematic Review on the Role of Agroforestry Practices in Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation 农林业实践在减缓和适应气候变化中的作用系统综述
Pub Date : 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70018
Sintayehu Eshetu Abebaw, Esubalew Molla Yeshiwas, Tadla Guadie Feleke

Agroforestry practices play a pivotal role in addressing the dual challenges of climate change mitigation and adaptation. This systematic review synthesizes quantitative and qualitative evidence from 109 peer-reviewed studies published between 2000 and 2024, identified through comprehensive searches in databases, such as Web of Science, Scopus, and Google Scholar. Inclusion criteria focused on studies providing empirical data on greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction, carbon sequestration, and the resilience of farming systems, whereas conceptual papers and non-reviewed sources were excluded. A subset of 109 studies was subjected to meta-analysis to derive pooled estimates of key indicators. Results indicate that agroforestry systems can sequester an average of 3.5–9.8 Mg CO2 ha−1 year−1, depending on tree species, soil type, and climatic conditions. Additionally, meta-analytic synthesis reveals that the integration of trees with crops and livestock can enhance on-farm biodiversity by 25%–40% and improve soil organic carbon content by an average of 15% over two decades. Adaptation benefits include enhanced water retention, reduced vulnerability to drought, and improved food security, with yield increases of up to 30% in agroforestry-based systems compared to monocropping. However, challenges such as land tenure insecurity and limited access to technical support persist, potentially hindering wider adoption. This review underscores the need for supportive policies, such as those embedded in the Bonn Challenge, REDD+ initiatives, and the UNFCCC's Koronivia Joint Work on Agriculture, along with capacity-building initiatives and financial incentives to unlock the full climate-smart potential of agroforestry.

农林业做法在应对减缓和适应气候变化的双重挑战方面发挥着关键作用。本系统综述综合了2000年至2024年间发表的109项同行评议研究的定量和定性证据,这些研究是通过对Web of Science、Scopus和谷歌Scholar等数据库的全面搜索确定的。纳入标准侧重于提供温室气体(GHG)减排、碳固存和农业系统复原力的实证数据的研究,而概念性论文和未经审查的来源被排除在外。109项研究的子集进行了荟萃分析,以得出关键指标的汇总估计。结果表明,根据树种、土壤类型和气候条件的不同,农林复合系统可以平均封存3.5-9.8 Mg CO2 / ha−1年−1。此外,综合meta分析表明,树木与作物和牲畜的整合在20年内可以使农场生物多样性增加25%-40%,土壤有机碳含量平均提高15%。适应效益包括增强保水性、减少对干旱的脆弱性和改善粮食安全,与单一作物相比,农林业系统的产量可提高30%。然而,诸如土地保有权不安全以及获得技术支持的机会有限等挑战仍然存在,可能会阻碍更广泛的采用。这份评估报告强调,需要制定支持性政策,例如《波恩挑战》、“REDD+”倡议和《联合国气候变化框架公约》《科洛尼维亚农业联合工作》中所包含的政策,以及能力建设倡议和财政激励措施,以充分发挥农林业的气候智慧型潜力。
{"title":"A Systematic Review on the Role of Agroforestry Practices in Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation","authors":"Sintayehu Eshetu Abebaw,&nbsp;Esubalew Molla Yeshiwas,&nbsp;Tadla Guadie Feleke","doi":"10.1002/cli2.70018","DOIUrl":"10.1002/cli2.70018","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Agroforestry practices play a pivotal role in addressing the dual challenges of climate change mitigation and adaptation. This systematic review synthesizes quantitative and qualitative evidence from 109 peer-reviewed studies published between 2000 and 2024, identified through comprehensive searches in databases, such as Web of Science, Scopus, and Google Scholar. Inclusion criteria focused on studies providing empirical data on greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction, carbon sequestration, and the resilience of farming systems, whereas conceptual papers and non-reviewed sources were excluded. A subset of 109 studies was subjected to meta-analysis to derive pooled estimates of key indicators. Results indicate that agroforestry systems can sequester an average of 3.5–9.8 Mg CO<sub>2</sub> ha<sup>−1</sup> year<sup>−1</sup>, depending on tree species, soil type, and climatic conditions. Additionally, meta-analytic synthesis reveals that the integration of trees with crops and livestock can enhance on-farm biodiversity by 25%–40% and improve soil organic carbon content by an average of 15% over two decades. Adaptation benefits include enhanced water retention, reduced vulnerability to drought, and improved food security, with yield increases of up to 30% in agroforestry-based systems compared to monocropping. However, challenges such as land tenure insecurity and limited access to technical support persist, potentially hindering wider adoption. This review underscores the need for supportive policies, such as those embedded in the Bonn Challenge, REDD+ initiatives, and the UNFCCC's Koronivia Joint Work on Agriculture, along with capacity-building initiatives and financial incentives to unlock the full climate-smart potential of agroforestry.</p>","PeriodicalId":100261,"journal":{"name":"Climate Resilience and Sustainability","volume":"4 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/cli2.70018","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144929769","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Climate-Smart Agriculture Adoption and Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review 撒哈拉以南非洲采用气候智慧型农业与粮食安全:系统回顾
Pub Date : 2025-08-20 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70017
Gordon Yenglier Yiridomoh, Samuel Ziem Bonye, Abubakari Ahmed, Thaddeus Arkum Aasoglenang, Emmanuel K. Derbile

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is faced with the conundrum of food insecurity due to climate change effects. Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is widely acknowledged as a way of promoting sustainable agriculture and food security. Given the importance of CSA in meeting food needs of households, the approach has received much attention in international, national, and local discussions. There exists extant literature on the concept in SSA; however, an assessment of how CSA has contributed to food security in the subregion is limited. As a result, this study aims to systematically review literature on climate-smart agriculture and its contribution to household food security in SSA. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis was adopted for the review. Using the Mendeley database, 26 studies that directly established the relationship between CSA and food security were reviewed to determine the pattern of issues. The finding of the results revealed that food availability featured predominantly in all the reviewed articles followed by food accessibility. Food stability was the least featured component of food security in all the reviewed articles. The review also found that household characteristics, farm-level characteristics, and institutional characteristics influenced farmers’ adoption decisions of CSA practices. Given the importance of food security in farm households in SSA and other destinations, achieving all the dimensions of food security means that there is the need for more research on food stability and utilization as majority of studies focused on food availability and accessibility. Again, governments in SSA should create avenues for building the capacity of farmer households to adopt CSA practices for improved food production and food security.

由于气候变化的影响,撒哈拉以南非洲地区面临着粮食不安全的难题。气候智慧型农业(CSA)被广泛认为是促进可持续农业和粮食安全的途径。鉴于CSA在满足家庭粮食需求方面的重要性,该方法在国际、国家和地方讨论中受到了广泛关注。在SSA中已有关于这一概念的文献;然而,对CSA如何促进该分区域粮食安全的评估是有限的。因此,本研究旨在系统地回顾有关气候智能型农业及其对南亚地区家庭粮食安全的贡献的文献。采用系统评价和荟萃分析的首选报告项目。利用Mendeley数据库,对26项直接确立CSA与粮食安全之间关系的研究进行了回顾,以确定问题的模式。研究结果显示,在所有被审查的文章中,食物可得性占主导地位,其次是食物可及性。在所有被审查的文章中,食品稳定性是食品安全中最不重要的组成部分。本研究还发现,农户的家庭特征、农场层面特征和制度特征会影响农户对CSA实践的采用决策。鉴于粮食安全对SSA和其他目的地农户的重要性,实现粮食安全的所有维度意味着需要对粮食稳定性和利用进行更多的研究,因为大多数研究都侧重于粮食的可获得性和可及性。此外,南撒哈拉地区的政府应创造途径,建设农户采用南撒哈拉做法改善粮食生产和粮食安全的能力。
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引用次数: 0
What Does a Climate-Resilient Rural Water Supply System Look Like? An Interdisciplinary Approach to Climate Resilience Mapping in Nepal 一个适应气候变化的农村供水系统是什么样的?尼泊尔气候恢复力绘图的跨学科方法
Pub Date : 2025-08-18 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70014
Santosh Nepal, Sanam K. Aksha, Saurav Pradhananga, Anil Aryal, Ram Narayan Shrestha, Sujata Shrestha, Prabhat Shrestha

Climate change significantly affects the water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services, especially in rural areas of developing countries like Nepal. Erratic rainfall, extreme precipitation, and rising temperatures are key challenges impacting water and sanitation, making these systems less resilient to a changing climate. Understanding the importance of climate-resilient WASH systems enables local authorities to assess and improve them through targeted interventions. In this research, we examined 180 rural water supply systems (RWSS) of Dailekh district located in the middle hills of Western Nepal and mapped their resilience across five domains. The domains include community capital, environment, infrastructure, institutional support and governance, and WASH management of the systems. The results show that 6% of the RWSS in the district have very low resilience, whereas only 11% have very high resilience. Most systems (76%) are classified as very low to medium-resilient systems, highlighting the urgent need for enhanced efforts to strengthen RWSS against the impact of climate change. Among the five domains assessed, institutional support and governance systems emerged as the weakest, closely followed by WASH management. In contrast, community capital stands out as the strongest domain across all surveyed systems. This article presents a flexible indicator-based approach for mapping the resilience of WASH systems in Nepal. This approach can be adapted to other areas of natural resource management by customizing indicators and domains tailored to local social-ecological contexts.

气候变化严重影响了水、环境卫生和个人卫生服务,特别是在尼泊尔等发展中国家的农村地区。降雨不稳定、极端降水和气温上升是影响供水和卫生设施的主要挑战,使这些系统对气候变化的适应能力下降。了解气候适应型WASH系统的重要性,有助于地方当局通过有针对性的干预措施对其进行评估和改进。在这项研究中,我们检查了位于尼泊尔西部中部山区的Dailekh地区的180个农村供水系统(RWSS),并绘制了五个领域的恢复力图。这些领域包括社区资本、环境、基础设施、机构支持和治理,以及系统的WASH管理。结果表明,该地区6%的RWSS具有非常低的恢复力,而只有11%具有非常高的恢复力。大多数系统(76%)被归类为极低至中等复原力系统,这突出表明迫切需要加强应对气候变化影响的RWSS工作。在评估的五个领域中,机构支持和治理系统是最薄弱的,紧随其后的是讲卫生运动的管理。相比之下,社区资本在所有调查系统中脱颖而出,成为最强的领域。本文提出了一种灵活的基于指标的方法,用于绘制尼泊尔WASH系统的复原力。通过根据当地的社会生态情况定制指标和领域,这种方法可以适用于自然资源管理的其他领域。
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引用次数: 0
Burning Forest Biomass Is Not an Effective Climate Mitigation Response and Conflicts With Biodiversity Adaptation 燃烧森林生物质不是一种有效的气候减缓措施,与生物多样性适应存在冲突
Pub Date : 2025-07-30 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70015
B. G. Mackey, D. B. Lindenmayer, H. Keith, J. de Bie

Pathways are proposed for progressing the goal of decarbonizing economies that rely on burning forest biomass for heat and electricity (bioenergy) based on the proposition that this creates benefits for the climate. The potential for negative impacts on biodiversity are either assumed to be benign or ignored. We critically examined claims, and models used to support them, that bioenergy sourced from forest biomass, including logging residues, is either carbon neutral or will reduce net emissions. We also examined evidence about the impacts on forest ecosystem integrity and species' capacity for adaptation. We found that models used to evaluate bioenergy rely on key assumptions that are in themselves capable of delivering results supportive of bioenergy as an effective strategy. Yet there is abundant evidence that these assumptions are invalid and that burning forest biomass for energy is not carbon neutral or beneficial. From our assessment, we concluded that burning forest biomass, including logging residues, increases atmospheric CO2 concentration; land sector reporting using net greenhouse gas inventories obscures the impact of forest harvesting on ecosystem carbon stocks; and biomass energy will most likely displace other renewable energy, rather than fossil fuels. We also found that the use of bioenergy results in major negative cascading impacts for forest ecosystem integrity and consequently a reduction in the resilience and natural adaptive capacity of species in the face of climate change impacts. Bioenergy use is therefore in direct conflict with the commitment to limit the rate of global warming so that ecosystems can adapt naturally to climate change. A rethink is warranted of its role in international and national climate policy, and it should not qualify under renewable energy policies including directives, targets, and other legislated instruments. Together, we conclude that burning forest biomass for bioenergy is not a pathway to climate resilient development.

基于对气候有利的主张,提出了实现依赖燃烧森林生物质获取热量和电力(生物能源)的脱碳经济目标的途径。对生物多样性的潜在负面影响要么被认为是良性的,要么被忽视。我们严格审查了来自森林生物质(包括伐木残留物)的生物能源要么是碳中和的,要么会减少净排放的说法,以及用于支持这些说法的模型。我们还研究了对森林生态系统完整性和物种适应能力影响的证据。我们发现,用于评估生物能源的模型依赖于关键假设,这些假设本身能够提供支持生物能源作为有效战略的结果。然而,有大量证据表明,这些假设是无效的,燃烧森林生物质获取能源既不是碳中和的,也不是有益的。根据我们的评估,我们得出的结论是,燃烧森林生物量,包括伐木残留物,增加了大气中的二氧化碳浓度;使用净温室气体清单的土地部门报告模糊了森林采伐对生态系统碳储量的影响;生物质能很可能取代其他可再生能源,而不是化石燃料。我们还发现,生物能源的使用对森林生态系统的完整性产生了重大的负面级联影响,从而降低了物种面对气候变化影响的恢复力和自然适应能力。因此,生物能源的使用与限制全球变暖速度以使生态系统能够自然适应气候变化的承诺直接冲突。对其在国际和国家气候政策中的作用进行反思是必要的,它不应符合可再生能源政策,包括指令、目标和其他立法工具。综上所述,我们得出的结论是,燃烧森林生物质获取生物能源并不是实现气候适应型发展的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Potential of ChatGPT to Support Climate Risk and Adaptation Assessment 评估ChatGPT支持气候风险和适应评估的潜力
Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70013
Robert L. Wilby

Adaptation to climate change is increasingly urgent, as efforts to curb greenhouse gas emissions falter. Scaling up adaptation finance is essential to address climate risks, but no adaptation inventory covers all sectors and regions globally, especially for vulnerable, information-scarce communities. Large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT could help bridge these gaps through rapid scoping of climate risks, adaptation options, programme costs and potential maladaptation. This paper uses structured conversations with ChatGPT to explore adaptations to climate hazards in the United Kingdom (for a national perspective), Bangladesh (for an education sector) and Ghana (for vulnerable communities). Queries were run multiple times to test consistency of outputs and contextual awareness. Early results are promising when compared with published information and expert insight. Nonetheless, practical steps can be taken for more effective use of LLMs, and these are captured in a checklist for users. Further research is needed to compare ChatGPT with other LLMs in giving reliable, domain-specific information about climate risks and priority adaptations.

随着遏制温室气体排放的努力步履蹒跚,适应气候变化变得越来越紧迫。扩大适应融资对于应对气候风险至关重要,但没有一份适应清单涵盖全球所有部门和地区,尤其是脆弱、信息匮乏的社区。像ChatGPT这样的大型语言模型(llm)可以通过快速确定气候风险、适应方案、项目成本和潜在的适应不良来帮助弥合这些差距。本文通过与ChatGPT的结构化对话,探讨了英国(从国家角度)、孟加拉国(从教育部门角度)和加纳(从脆弱社区角度)对气候灾害的适应情况。查询运行多次,以测试输出的一致性和上下文感知。与已发表的信息和专家的见解相比,早期的结果是有希望的。尽管如此,可以采取实际步骤来更有效地使用llm,这些步骤在用户的检查表中被捕获。需要进一步的研究来比较ChatGPT与其他法学硕士在提供关于气候风险和优先适应的可靠的、特定领域的信息方面的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Coping with future climate change positively-adaptation policies and actions in China 积极应对未来气候变化——中国的适应政策与行动
Pub Date : 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.60
Kuo Li, Yinlong Xu, Xue Han, Yingchun Li

Due to global warming, extreme climate events such as heat waves and storms will become more and more frequent, which would lead to huge losses including human health, the economy, water resources, ecosystems, and so on. Facing a grave situation, adaptation is becoming more and more important for each country or each person. As a big developing country, China has made great efforts in the past decades; (1) a national climate change response coordination organization and a climate change management system and working mechanism have been established; (2) the law on climate change in China is under preparation and to be issued; (3) a climate change adaptation policy system from top to bottom, expanding from comprehensive departments to professional departments has been gradually formed; (4) a large number of regulations and actions related to climate change adaptation have been successively issued and implemented by local government departments; (5) especially the rural community adaptation actions should be paid more attention and given more support. In order to make the “2030 carbon peak, 2060 carbon neutral” come true, the whole country should put more attention and efforts into adaptation, including more funds, more personnel, more programs, more actions, and so on; the adaptation policies and actions should be more detailed and specific; the effects of adaptation should be monitored and evaluated in the whole process.

由于全球变暖,热浪、风暴等极端气候事件将越来越频繁,给人类健康、经济、水资源、生态系统等造成巨大损失。面对严峻的形势,适应对每个国家或每个人来说变得越来越重要。作为一个发展中大国,中国在过去几十年里做出了巨大努力;(1)建立了国家应对气候变化协调机构,建立了气候变化管理体制和工作机制;(二)中国气候变化法正在制定发布;(3)逐步形成了自上而下、由综合部门向专业部门拓展的气候变化适应政策体系;(4)地方政府部门相继出台和实施了大量与适应气候变化有关的法规和行动;(5)特别是农村社区适应行动应给予更多的关注和支持。为了实现“2030年碳峰值,2060年碳中和”的目标,整个国家应该在适应上投入更多的关注和努力,包括更多的资金、更多的人员、更多的项目、更多的行动等等;适应政策和行动应更加详细和具体;适应的效果应在整个过程中进行监测和评价。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of adaptation on the phenological changes of winter wheat in the warmer North China Plain 华北平原气候适应对冬小麦物候变化的影响
Pub Date : 2025-05-20 DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70
Yuncheng Zhao, Mengting Zhang, Yinlong Xu, Kuo Li, Jie Pan

Crop phenology is greatly affected by global warming, but the actual changes in crop phenology are the interaction of warming and human interventions, while few investigations have been carried on from the multifactor viewpoint. In the paper, the observation data on winter wheat growth at 45 agrometeorological sites over the North China Plain in 1981–2010 were used to analyze the effects of adaptation measures on the changes in the phenology of winter wheat. The results demonstrated that the dates of sowing and the beginning of winter dormancy had been delayed; in contrast, the dates for green-up and maturity had been advanced. Detailed analysis showed that the length from green-up to anthesis was shortened, whereas the length from anthesis to maturity was prolonged. The adaptation measures played an important role in speeding up the vegetative growth from green-up to anthesis and prolonging the reproductive growth from anthesis to maturity to maximize the increased thermal resources for winter wheat yield. The effective growth period of winter wheat, which is defined as the whole growth period minus the dormancy period, was further analyzed and existed an interlaced banded distribution, which is closely related to adaptation measures taken such as the adoption of the double-delay technology, precision seeding, double assurance measure, adjusting the wheat varieties, and the rotation system. It is clearly demonstrated that adaptation measures are always context specific according to the local features of climate change and crop production practices. In-depth research is needed to investigate the effect of the interaction of climate change and adaptation measures on crop production.

全球变暖对作物物候的影响很大,但作物物候的实际变化是气候变暖和人类干预的相互作用,而从多因素角度进行的研究很少。利用1981—2010年华北平原45个农业气象站点冬小麦生长观测资料,分析了不同适应措施对冬小麦物候变化的影响。结果表明:播期和冬休眠期推迟;相比之下,青期和到期日都提前了。详细分析表明,从发芽到开花的长度缩短,而从开花到成熟的长度延长。这些适应措施在加速营养生长从青绿到开花,延长生殖生长从开花到成熟,最大限度地增加冬小麦产量的热资源方面发挥了重要作用。进一步分析冬小麦的有效生育期,即整个生育期减去休眠期,存在交错带状分布,这与采用双延迟技术、精准播种、双保证措施、调整小麦品种、轮作制度等适应措施密切相关。它清楚地表明,适应措施总是根据气候变化和作物生产实践的当地特点而具体具体。气候变化与适应措施的相互作用对作物生产的影响有待深入研究。
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Climate Resilience and Sustainability
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