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Bike sharing systems: The impact of precise trip demand forecasting on operational efficiency in different city structures 共享单车系统:不同城市结构下精准出行需求预测对运行效率的影响
Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2025.100058
Selin Ataç , Nikola Obrenović , Michel Bierlaire
Increasing environmental concerns drive interest in sustainable solutions across various fields. Vehicle sharing systems such as one-way station-based bike sharing systems (BSSs) offer one such solution in transportation, although they pose operational challenges like vehicle imbalance. While many studies focus on optimizing rebalancing operations using trip demand forecasting, the added value of precise trip demand forecasting remains unexplored. This study assesses the added value of collecting detailed trip demand data and developing trip demand forecasting models. To achieve this, we create a simulation–optimization framework representing a city BSS in operation during the day. We use a discrete-event simulator representing the system dynamics and an enhanced mathematical model optimizing the rebalancing operations. We employ clustering in the optimization module to manage larger case studies, dividing the problem into smaller sub-problems. Our computational experiments compare two main scenarios, perfect demand forecast and unknown future demand, as well as several intermediate scenarios where partial future trip demand information is available. These scenarios allow us to determine the trade-off between lost trip demand and rebalancing operations costs, assess demand forecasting benefits, and identify the budget’s upper limit for precise trip demand forecasting. Subsequently, we conduct experiments on one synthetic (35 stations) and four real-life case studies, ranging from small systems (21 and 298 stations) to large systems (681 and 1361 stations). Results reveal that precise trip demand forecasting has varying impacts on small and large BSSs, with larger BSSs benefiting the most without significantly increasing the rebalancing operations costs. We also observe that the most significant improvements occur between 0% and 40% trip demand knowledge while beyond 60%, the increase in returns diminishes. The findings of this study offer valuable insights for operators in enhancing service levels and optimizing resource allocation.
越来越多的环境问题推动了各个领域对可持续解决方案的兴趣。车辆共享系统,如基于单向站的自行车共享系统(bss),为交通运输提供了这样一种解决方案,尽管它们会带来车辆不平衡等运营挑战。虽然许多研究都集中在利用出行需求预测优化再平衡操作上,但精确出行需求预测的附加价值尚未得到探索。本研究评估了收集详细的出行需求数据和开发出行需求预测模型的附加价值。为了实现这一点,我们创建了一个模拟优化框架,代表白天运行的城市BSS。我们使用离散事件模拟器表示系统动力学和优化再平衡操作的增强数学模型。我们在优化模块中使用聚类来管理较大的案例研究,将问题划分为较小的子问题。我们的计算实验比较了两种主要情景,完美需求预测和未知未来需求,以及几种中间情景,其中部分未来出行需求信息是可用的。这些场景使我们能够确定损失的出行需求和重新平衡运营成本之间的权衡,评估需求预测的好处,并确定精确的出行需求预测的预算上限。随后,我们在一个合成(35个站点)和四个实际案例研究中进行了实验,范围从小型系统(21和298个站点)到大型系统(681和1361个站点)。结果表明,精确的出行需求预测对小型和大型bss有不同的影响,大型bss受益最大,但不会显著增加再平衡运营成本。我们还观察到,最显著的改善发生在0%和40%之间的旅行需求知识,而超过60%,回报的增长减少。本研究结果为运营商提高服务水平和优化资源配置提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
What determines the use of private and shared bicycles? Evidence from the University of Lyon (France) 是什么决定了私人自行车和共享自行车的使用?来自里昂大学(法国)的证据
Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2025.100059
Nathalie Havet, Louafi Bouzouina
Many cities have introduced policies to promote cycling through personal and shared bicycles. However, there are limited studies simultaneously exploring the determinants affecting the types of cycling and their interactions within the urban mobility system. This article aims to analyze factors influencing the use of private and shared bicycles using data from a student survey conducted at 17 academic institutions in Lyon, using a copula-based binary choice model. Our results show that spatial factors, such as residential location, shared bike accessibility, and home-campus distance, strongly influence the active mode choice. They also provide novel evidence on the complementarity and substituability between cycling and other modes. For example, we find that while having a public transport season ticket significantly reduces the likelihood of commuting by bicycle, this substituability is more pronounced between public transport and shared bike use than between public transport and use of private bikes. However, for multomodal home-study trips, shared bikes are stronger complements to alternative modes (inclunding public transport) than private bikes. From a policy perspective, these results confirm the need for specific heterogeneous policies aimed at promoting cycling and sustainable mobility.
许多城市都出台了鼓励个人和共享单车骑行的政策。然而,同时探讨城市交通系统中影响自行车类型及其相互作用的决定因素的研究有限。本文旨在使用基于copula的二元选择模型,利用在里昂17所学术机构进行的学生调查数据,分析影响私人和共享自行车使用的因素。研究结果表明,居住区位、共享单车可达性和家校距离等空间因素对学生主动模式的选择有较大影响。这也为自行车与其他交通方式的互补性和可替代性提供了新的证据。例如,我们发现,虽然拥有公共交通季票大大降低了骑自行车上下班的可能性,但这种可替代性在公共交通和共享自行车之间比在公共交通和使用私人自行车之间更为明显。然而,对于多式联运的家庭学习旅行来说,共享单车比私人单车更能补充其他交通方式(包括公共交通)。从政策角度来看,这些结果证实了制定旨在促进自行车和可持续交通的具体异质性政策的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
When do shared e-scooters complement or compete with public transport? A mixed-method review and comparison with bike sharing 共享电动滑板车何时与公共交通形成互补或竞争?混合方法对共享单车的回顾与比较
Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2025.100057
Mahesha Jayawardhena, Alexa Delbosc, Graham Currie, Geoff Rose
E-scooters are one of the latest additions to transport networks in many countries and their popularity is increasing rapidly. A range of studies have been conducted to understand the relationship between e-scooters and public transport. Some found that e-scooters complement public transport, serving as a first mile/last mile access mode, whereas others found that they compete by taking riders away from public transport. The contradictory results of studies in different contexts make it unclear whether results in one city are transferrable to another. This study aims to explore the definitions of ‘complement’ and ‘compete’ in literature and to identify the circumstances where e-scooters complement or compete with public transport using a mixed-method literature review. We combine a systematic literature review of e-scooter papers with a scoping review of bike-share studies to see if the two modes act in a similar manner. Most researchers found that e-scooters tend to complement rail but are more likely to compete with buses. Bike-share behaves in a similar manner, but the competing effect with buses is higher with bike-share than shared e-scooters. Both shared e-scooters and bike-share have a complementary relationship with public transport for commuting and longer trips. Moreover, shared e-scooters have the potential to promote public transport when deployed thoughtfully, but further investigation is needed given the novelty of the field. Further research should focus on a wider variety of cities (particularly outside of Europe and the USA), the reasons behind rider behavior and different ridership patterns and characteristics of personally owned e-scooters.
电动滑板车是许多国家交通网络的最新成员之一,其受欢迎程度正在迅速增加。为了了解电动滑板车和公共交通之间的关系,已经进行了一系列的研究。一些人发现,电动滑板车是对公共交通的补充,作为第一英里/最后一英里的出行方式,而另一些人则发现,电动滑板车的竞争方式是把乘客从公共交通中夺走。不同背景下的研究结果相互矛盾,这使得一个城市的结果是否可以转移到另一个城市变得不清楚。本研究旨在探索文献中“补充”和“竞争”的定义,并使用混合方法文献综述确定电动滑板车与公共交通互补或竞争的情况。我们将对电动滑板车论文的系统文献综述与对共享单车研究的范围综述结合起来,看看这两种模式是否以相似的方式起作用。大多数研究人员发现,电动滑板车往往是对铁路的补充,但更有可能与公共汽车竞争。共享单车的行为方式与此类似,但共享单车与公交车的竞争效应要高于共享电动滑板车。共享电动滑板车和共享单车都与通勤和长途旅行的公共交通有着互补关系。此外,如果部署得当,共享电动滑板车有可能促进公共交通,但考虑到该领域的新颖性,还需要进一步调查。进一步的研究应该集中在更广泛的城市(特别是欧洲和美国以外的城市),骑行者行为背后的原因,以及个人拥有的电动滑板车的不同骑行模式和特征。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the Shared E-Scooter adoption behavior: A case study of Chicago, USA 共享电动滑板车使用行为探析——以美国芝加哥市为例
Pub Date : 2025-01-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2024.100056
Nazmul Arefin Khan , Krishna Murthy Gurumurthy , Amir Davatgari , Abolfazl (Kouros) Mohammadian , Joshua Auld
In recent years, shared E-Scooters (SES) have emerged as one of the most popular and rapidly growing micromobility modes. To better understand the role of SES in urban mobility, it is critical for policymakers and planners to explore the adoption behavior and usage frequency of Shared E-Scooters. This study jointly estimates the Shared E-Scooters' potential adoption and frequency of usage using a zero-inflated ordered probit (ZIOP) model. This approach can be interpreted as whether an individual considers E-scooters as a travel mode alternative, and if so, how frequently they use E-scooters, which also has a zero occurrence. The study uses a dataset from the City of Chicago. The parameter estimation results suggest that various socio-demographics, built environment, accessibility measures and service characteristics have adequate impacts on E-Scooter adoption and usage frequency. This study also implements the model within the POLARIS agent-based transportation system simulator to examine the potential impact of various E-Scooter deployment scenarios. Results suggest that deploying more Shared E-Scooters in the traffic network not only increases the number of E-Scooter trips, but also helps to decrease the person-miles traveled and person-hour traveled. Insights from this study would be useful for planners and policymakers to develop alternative policy strategies associated with emerging mobility.
近年来,共享电动滑板车(SES)已成为最受欢迎和发展最快的微型交通方式之一。为了更好地理解SES在城市交通中的作用,政策制定者和规划者必须探索共享电动滑板车的采用行为和使用频率。本研究采用零膨胀有序概率(ZIOP)模型对共享电动滑板车的潜在采用率和使用频率进行了联合估计。这种方法可以解释为个人是否将电动滑板车视为一种替代的出行方式,如果是,他们使用电动滑板车的频率是多少,这也是零发生。该研究使用了芝加哥市的数据集。参数估计结果表明,各种社会人口统计、建筑环境、可达性措施和服务特征对电动滑板车的采用和使用频率有充分的影响。本研究还在基于代理的POLARIS交通系统模拟器中实现了该模型,以检查各种电动滑板车部署场景的潜在影响。结果表明,在交通网络中部署更多的共享电动滑板车不仅可以增加电动滑板车的出行次数,而且有助于减少出行的人英里数和人小时数。这项研究的见解将有助于规划者和决策者制定与新兴流动性相关的替代政策策略。
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引用次数: 0
Roadblocks to ride: Unraveling barriers to access shared micromobility systems in the United States 骑行的路障:解开美国共享微移动系统的障碍
Pub Date : 2024-12-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2024.100055
Farzana Mehzabin Tuli , Suman Kumar Mitra
Shared micromobility services are experiencing rapid expansion in the United States and Europe, yet certain user groups, particularly low-income and disadvantaged individuals, face significant barriers related to financial, technical, and cultural factors. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of these barriers within the US by examining bike-sharing, shared e-scooters and programs offering both services. Data was meticulously collected from diverse sources, including official bikeshare provider websites, municipal transportation sites, program reports, local news articles, and mobile applications. This comprehensive data collection methodology provides a thorough representation of 458 shared micromobility systems, encompassing all services available since the inception of shared micromobility in the US. To elucidate the specific barriers faced by users, we employed the K-Prototype clustering methodology, an unsupervised machine learning technique capable of handling datasets with both numerical and categorical features. This approach enabled us to uncover distinct patterns and groupings among shared micromobility services based on these barriers. Our analysis identified four distinct clusters: Cluster 1 faces low technical but high financial barriers; Cluster 2 excels in financial accessibility but struggles with technical barriers; Cluster 3 experiences moderate barriers with progress in reducing financial and technical challenges but still needs improvement; and Cluster 4 encounters high barriers across financial, technical, and cultural dimensions. Additionally, an in-depth analysis of these clusters is performed, considering the percentage share of bikesharing and shared e-scooter services, city sizes, regional distribution, fleet size, launching year, deployment, and operations status. The outcomes of this analysis reveal that larger cities exhibit a higher share of 'moderate barrier' (Cluster 3) systems that are currently active in the pilot phase. In contrast, shared micromobility systems from mid-size, small mid-size, and especially small cities in the US experience 'high barrier' (Cluster 4) issues the most, often with smaller fleet sizes (less than 250). Identifying these clusters is crucial for enabling targeted interventions. Rather than applying a broad, one-size-fits-all approach, policymakers and planners can develop tailored strategies that address the unique challenges of each cluster. This targeted approach ensures that interventions are more effective and equitable, ultimately improving access to shared micromobility services for all users.
共享微出行服务在美国和欧洲正在快速扩张,但某些用户群体,特别是低收入和弱势群体,面临着与金融、技术和文化因素相关的重大障碍。本研究通过考察共享单车、共享电动滑板车和提供这两种服务的项目,对美国境内的这些障碍进行了全面分析。数据从各种来源精心收集,包括官方共享单车提供商网站、市政交通网站、项目报告、当地新闻文章和移动应用程序。这种全面的数据收集方法提供了458个共享微交通系统的全面代表,包括自美国共享微交通开始以来可用的所有服务。为了阐明用户面临的具体障碍,我们采用了K-Prototype聚类方法,这是一种能够处理具有数值和分类特征的数据集的无监督机器学习技术。这种方法使我们能够发现基于这些障碍的共享微移动服务之间的不同模式和分组。我们的分析确定了四个不同的集群:集群1面临低技术但高金融壁垒;集群2在金融可及性方面表现优异,但仍面临技术障碍;第三组在减少财政和技术挑战方面取得进展,遇到了适度障碍,但仍需要改进;集群4在金融、技术和文化方面遇到了很高的障碍。此外,考虑到共享自行车和共享电动滑板车服务的百分比份额、城市规模、区域分布、车队规模、推出年份、部署和运营状态,对这些集群进行了深入分析。这一分析的结果表明,目前在试点阶段活跃的“中等障碍”(集群3)系统在较大城市中所占比例更高。相比之下,来自美国中型、中小型城市,尤其是小城市的共享微型交通系统遇到的“高障碍”(第4类)问题最多,通常车队规模较小(少于250人)。确定这些集群对于实现有针对性的干预至关重要。决策者和规划者可以制定量身定制的战略,解决每个集群的独特挑战,而不是采用广泛的、一刀切的方法。这种有针对性的做法确保干预措施更加有效和公平,最终改善所有用户获得共享微型交通服务的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical study of bicycle traffic characteristics relevant for microscopic simulation 微观模拟中自行车交通特征的实证研究
Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2024.100054
Guillermo Pérez Castro , Fredrik Johansson , Johan Olstam
Studies of bicycle traffic characteristics are essential for understanding bicyclist behavior and developing suitable microscopic models for traffic simulation. Based on empirical data on real-world bicycle traffic, obtained through video-based data collection techniques, we describe characteristics of free-riding, following, and overtaking that facilitate the simulation of bidirectional bicycle traffic. In total, we analyze data from 195 605 bicyclists across seven bicycle paths in Sweden, with five located in Stockholm and two in Gothenburg. The analysis reveals multimodal distributions of speed and lateral position due to the distinct preferences of bicyclists that vary according to the type of bicycle used. Moreover, speeds are generally highest during morning rush hours at the locations under investigation. Based on wind measurements, we conclude that there is no statistically significant effect on mean free speed from wind speeds in the range of ±3 m/s. The distribution of speed differences between bicyclists at overtakings indicates a broad range of speed disparities among bicyclists, and is significantly influenced by infrastructure design. Furthermore, infrastructure design (path width, horizontal alignment, and presence of fixed objects along the edge) and traffic volumes significantly lateral positioning. Our results demonstrate the inherent heterogeneity in the characteristics of bicyclists, underscoring the need to advance modeling to incorporate these distinct characteristics into microscopic traffic simulation.
自行车交通特性的研究对于理解骑自行车者的行为和建立合适的微观交通模拟模型至关重要。基于基于视频的数据采集技术获得的真实世界自行车交通的经验数据,我们描述了免费骑行、跟随和超车的特征,便于模拟双向自行车交通。我们总共分析了瑞典七条自行车道上195605名骑自行车者的数据,其中五条位于斯德哥尔摩,两条位于哥德堡。该分析揭示了速度和横向位置的多模态分布,这是由于骑自行车的人的不同偏好所导致的,这种偏好因所使用的自行车类型而异。此外,受调查地点的车速一般在早高峰时段最高。根据风速测量,我们得出结论,风速在±3 m/s范围内对平均自由速度没有统计学上显著的影响。超车时骑自行车者的速度差异分布表明骑自行车者之间的速度差异范围较大,且受基础设施设计的显著影响。此外,基础设施设计(道路宽度、水平路线和边缘固定物体的存在)和交通量显著地侧向定位。我们的研究结果证明了骑自行车者特征的内在异质性,强调了将这些不同特征纳入微观交通模拟的建模的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Expectations, impacts, and contradictions of e-scooters from a social exclusion perspective: Reflections from London's rental trial 社会排斥视角下电动滑板车的期望、影响与矛盾:来自伦敦租赁试点的反思
Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2024.100053
Daniel Oviedo, Carolina Moore, Anastasia Trofimova
There are few attempts at introducing new personal transport technologies have made as much noise as the relatively recent appearance of electric scooters (e-scooters) in cities as an on-demand shared mobility service supported by digital platforms. In London, United Kingdom, urban pilots for shared e-scooter services have been met with significant disruptions stemming from issues that range from the pandemic to regulatory uncertainty, recent political shifts, and slow legislative processes. This paper seeks to address gaps in reliable evidence about e-scooters’ positive and negative contributions to social and environmental development goals using a qualitative approach grounded in a framework of transport-related social exclusion. The framework comprises of eight dimensions linked with usage of new modes of personal transport technologies: 1) geographic, 2) spatial, 3) from facilities, 4) economics, 5) time-based, 6) physical, 7) fear-based, and 8) discrimination. The paper builds on semi-structured interviews with 27 stakeholders representing diverse organisations in the public, private, and third sectors, and an online survey with over 1000 respondents, including users and non-users of private and shared e-scooters. We interrogate the practices, experiences, and expectations of stakeholders within London’s, as well as the United Kingdom’s urban micro-mobility landscape. The paper expands on current research efforts that are concerned almost exclusively with the environmental, road traffic safety, and reductionist interpretations of ‘inclusion’ and ‘accessibility’, adding depth and nuance to discussions on intersectionality, deprivation, as well as social and cultural values in the planning of on-demand shared mobility services.
在引入新的个人交通技术方面,很少有尝试像最近在城市中出现的电动滑板车(e-scooters)那样引起如此大的轰动,因为电动滑板车是一种由数字平台支持的按需共享出行服务。在英国伦敦,共享电动滑板车服务的城市试点遇到了严重的中断,原因包括大流行、监管不确定性、最近的政治转变和立法进程缓慢等问题。本文试图利用基于交通相关社会排斥框架的定性方法,解决电动滑板车对社会和环境发展目标的积极和消极贡献的可靠证据的差距。该框架包括与个人交通技术新模式使用相关的八个维度:1)地理,2)空间,3)设施,4)经济,5)基于时间,6)物理,7)基于恐惧,8)歧视。该报告基于对27名代表公共、私营和第三部门不同组织的利益相关者的半结构化访谈,以及对1000多名受访者的在线调查,包括私人和共享电动滑板车的用户和非用户。我们调查了伦敦以及英国城市微交通景观中利益相关者的实践、经验和期望。本文扩展了目前几乎只关注环境、道路交通安全以及“包容性”和“可达性”的简化主义解释的研究成果,增加了对按需共享移动服务规划中的交叉性、剥夺以及社会和文化价值的讨论的深度和细微差别。
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引用次数: 0
Validation of the need satisfaction in cycling to and from school scale among students from Germany 德国学生骑车上下学需求满意度的验证
Pub Date : 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2024.100052
Dorothea M.I. Schönbach , Adilson Marques , Miguel Peralta , Dorota Kleszczewska , Anna Dzielska , Rafael Burgueño , Francisco Javier Huertas-Delgado , Yolanda Demetriou
According to Germany’s 2022 Report Card, the prevalence of overall physical activity among children and adolescents is poor (D-). Cycling to/from school is one possibility among others to increase physical activity. We developed an intervention based on the self-determination theory in previous research to promote a more self-determined form of motivation among students. To establish a robust measurement instrument, this study aimed to validate the German need satisfaction in cycling to/from school scale in terms of construct and criterion validity and reliability, and examine gender differences regarding the mean satisfaction of needs. In 2021, 239 students (46.9 % girls, 51.9 % boys, 1.3 % diverse) aged between 10 and 17 attending an intermediate or high educational level in Southern Germany participated in this study. Global model fit, measurement model invariance tests across gender, and internal consistency were good. Convergent validity was established; however, discriminant validity was doubtful. Concurrent criterion validity was shown by the correlation between mean satisfaction of needs and mean intrinsic motivation and an increased likelihood of cycling to school through the mean satisfaction of needs. We concluded that our study provides a valid and reliable scale to measure the satisfaction of autonomy, competence, and relatedness in cycling to/from school, but only if item 10 within the autonomy subscale is removed.
根据德国2022年的报告卡,儿童和青少年的整体体育活动普及率很低(D-)。骑自行车上下学是增加身体活动的一种可能性。在之前的研究中,我们基于自我决定理论开发了一种干预措施,以促进学生更自主的动机形式。本研究旨在建立一个稳健的测量工具,验证德国人往返学校需求满意度量表的结构、效度和信度,并检验需求平均满意度的性别差异。2021年,在德国南部接受中等或高等教育的10至17岁的239名学生(46.9% %女生,51.9% %男生,1.3% %多元)参加了这项研究。整体模型拟合、测量模型跨性别不变性检验和内部一致性良好。建立了收敛效度;然而,判别效度值得怀疑。通过平均需求满意度与平均内在动机之间的相关性,以及通过平均需求满意度增加骑车上学的可能性,显示了并发效度。我们的结论是,我们的研究提供了一个有效和可靠的量表来衡量自主性,能力和相关性在骑车上学/放学的满意度,但只有在自主性子量表中的第10项被删除。
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引用次数: 0
How do cyclists experience a context-aware prototype warning system? Assessing perceived safety, perception and riding behaviour changes through a field study 骑自行车的人如何体验环境感知的原型警告系统?通过实地研究评估感知安全,感知和骑乘行为的变化
Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2024.100051
Georgios Kapousizis , Annemarie Jutte , M. Baran Ulak , Karst Geurs
The number of bicycle crashes is increasing in many European countries. In the Netherlands, a country well-known for its high-quality cycling infrastructure and cycling culture, bicycle crashes are also increasing, especially for e-bike users. Smart bicycle technologies, such as safety warning support systems, could contribute to reducing crash risk for cyclists. However, perceived safety and trust in these technologies are determinant factors in accepting and using such technologies. This study investigated users’ perceived safety, perceived trust, and perceived performance with a context-aware prototype warning system to support cyclists in the real world. In addition, it investigated users’ riding behaviour changes when receiving warnings in high crash risk locations by collecting GPS data. The above were evaluated through a field trial experiment using three rides per participant, with the first one serving as a control ride and a follow-up questionnaire after each ride conducted in Enschede, the Netherlands, between April and May 2024, with a sample of 46 participants. Results show that participants’ perceived safety increased after they tried out the prototype warning system. In addition, it was found that warning systems positively influence participants’ riding behaviour, since they reduced their speed. This study proves the potential benefits of smart bicycle technologies in improving cyclists’ safety.
在许多欧洲国家,自行车事故的数量正在增加。在荷兰,一个以其高质量的自行车基础设施和自行车文化而闻名的国家,自行车事故也在增加,特别是对于电动自行车用户。智能自行车技术,如安全预警支持系统,可能有助于降低骑车者的撞车风险。然而,对这些技术的感知安全和信任是接受和使用这些技术的决定因素。本研究通过情境感知原型预警系统调查了现实世界中骑车者的感知安全、感知信任和感知表现。此外,它还通过收集GPS数据,调查用户在高碰撞风险位置收到警告时的骑行行为变化。以上是通过现场试验来评估的,每位参与者使用三次骑行,第一次作为对照骑行,每次骑行后进行后续问卷调查,于2024年4月至5月在荷兰恩斯赫德进行,样本为46名参与者。实验结果表明,实验对象在试用了原型预警系统后,安全感有所提高。此外,研究发现,警告系统对参与者的骑行行为有积极影响,因为它们降低了他们的速度。这项研究证明了智能自行车技术在提高骑自行车者安全方面的潜在效益。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling the impact of road infrastructure on cycling moving speed 模拟道路基础设施对自行车运动速度的影响
Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmr.2024.100049
Afshin Jafari , Dhirendra Singh , Lucy Gunn , Alan Both , Billie Giles-Corti
Cycling for transport is a sustainable alternative to using motorised vehicles for daily trips and is a key form of micromobility. Travel time is a critical factor influencing cycling route choice behaviour and uptake. Thus, it is important to understand the factors affecting cycling travel time and speed and their impact on cycling behaviour. In this study, an agent-based transport simulation model with heterogeneous cycling speeds was developed and used for Melbourne to study the impact of a hypothetical traffic signal optimisation intervention along six key cycling corridors. Linear regression and random forest models were used to identify factors affecting cycling speed, which informed the parameters of the agent-based model. Simulation outputs showed, on average, an increase of 4.1 % in the number of cyclists on the corridors, as existing cyclists chose to use these corridors, and an average reduction in cyclists’ moving travel time of 6.2 % for those using the intervention corridors (excluding time spent waiting at traffic signals). The findings provide insights into the effects of road attributes on cycling speed and behaviour, as well as the effectiveness of interventions aimed at reducing cycling delays. These insights are valuable for developing solutions to optimise urban infrastructure for micromobility, enhancing the efficiency and appeal of cycling as a viable transport option.
骑自行车作为交通工具是一种可持续的替代使用机动车辆进行日常旅行,是一种关键的微型交通形式。出行时间是影响骑行路线选择行为和吸收的关键因素。因此,了解影响骑行时间和速度的因素及其对骑行行为的影响是很重要的。在本研究中,我们开发了一个基于agent的、具有不同骑行速度的交通模拟模型,并以墨尔本为例,研究了假设的交通信号优化干预对六个关键骑行通道的影响。采用线性回归和随机森林模型识别影响循环速度的因素,从而为基于智能体的模型的参数提供信息。模拟结果显示,由于现有的骑自行车者选择使用这些走廊,骑自行车的人数平均增加了4.1 %,而使用干预走廊的骑自行车者的移动旅行时间平均减少了6.2 %(不包括等待交通信号的时间)。这些发现为了解道路属性对骑行速度和行为的影响,以及旨在减少骑行延误的干预措施的有效性提供了见解。这些见解对于开发优化城市微交通基础设施的解决方案,提高自行车作为一种可行的交通选择的效率和吸引力具有重要价值。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Cycling and Micromobility Research
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