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An empirical investigation of macroscopic lane-changing characteristics on uncongested multilane freeways 非拥堵多车道高速公路宏观变道特性实证研究
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90015-I
Gang-Len Chang, Yang-Ming Kao

This article investigates the macroscopic lane-changing characteristics on uncongested multilane freeways, focusing on the interrelations between the traffic conditions and the frequency (and fraction) of vehicles changing lanes. The data available for analyses were collected from two test sites using a time-elapsed video recorder. It has been found that traffic flow variables, such as the headway mean and variance, speed, and density ratios between neighboring lanes, are highly correlated with the fraction and frequency of vehicles changing lanes. The results of exploratory analyses are further examined with two generalized linear models. The logistic and Poisson regressions are used respectively for constructing the lane-changing fraction and frequency models. With maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) both models provide consistent information and achieve a reasonable goodness of fit.

本文研究了非拥堵多车道高速公路的宏观变道特性,重点研究了交通状况与车辆变道频率(和比例)之间的相互关系。可用于分析的数据是从两个试验点收集的,使用的是经过时间流逝的视频记录器。研究发现,车头时距均值和方差、车速、相邻车道间密度比等交通流变量与车辆变道比例和变道频率高度相关。用两个广义线性模型进一步检验了探索性分析的结果。采用logistic回归和泊松回归分别构建变道分数模型和变道频率模型。使用最大似然估计(MLE),两个模型提供一致的信息并获得合理的拟合优度。
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引用次数: 105
Volume 25 contents and author index 第25卷内容和作者索引
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90033-M
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引用次数: 0
The accuracy in estimating truck class rates for logistical planning 物流规划中估计卡车等级费率的准确性
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90011-E
Ronald H. Ballou

Truck class rates are usually needed in strategic logistical planning, especially for facility location. Using point-to-point transport rates is exact, but for practical reasons it is often necessary to estimate them from distance. Two sources of rate estimating error are examined: (a) the error resulting from the linear approximation of rates from distances; and, (b) the error associated with estimating distances from shipment origin-destination coordinate points. Suggestions are made as to how the rate estimating error may be minimized.

在战略物流规划中通常需要卡车等级费率,特别是在设施选址方面。使用点对点传输速率是准确的,但出于实际原因,通常需要从距离来估计它们。研究了速率估计误差的两个来源:(a)由距离对速率的线性近似引起的误差;(b)估计货物始发地到目的地坐标点距离的误差。对如何使速率估计误差最小化提出了建议。
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引用次数: 29
United States railroad policy: Uncle Sam at the Throttle 美国的铁路政策:山姆大叔的控制
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90024-K
David C. Nice
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引用次数: 1
Service-cost tradeoffs for carload freight traffic in the U.S. rail industry 美国铁路行业货车运输的服务成本权衡
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90014-H
Mark H. Keaton

Railroad technology permits a single train to move a large number of individual freight cars. However, cars which are not in dedicated unit train or intermodal service experience considerable delay due to the consolidation and breakup of trains. Rail operations thus involve a tradeoff between the economies of shipment consolidation, and the resulting delays. More direct and/or more frequent train connections will increase costs, but reduce transit times. This article quantifies the cost of providing a range of transit times for general carload traffic for several representative U.S. rail systems. It shows that significant reductions in transit time will require a large increase in the number of train connections and operating cost. Changes in labor contracts to reduce train crew cost will provide some incentive for higher service levels, but reductions in crew cost alone cannot be expected to dramatically improve the performance of the carload segment of the industry.

铁路技术允许一列火车移动大量单独的货车。然而,由于列车的合并和分解,非专用单元列车或多式联运服务的车辆会出现相当大的延误。因此,铁路运营需要在集运经济和由此造成的延误之间进行权衡。更直接和/或更频繁的列车连接将增加成本,但减少运输时间。本文量化了几个具有代表性的美国铁路系统为一般载货交通提供一系列运输时间的成本。研究表明,大幅减少运输时间将需要大量增加列车接驳次数和运营成本。改变劳动合同以降低列车乘员成本将为提高服务水平提供一些激励,但单靠降低乘员成本并不能显著改善该行业载客部分的表现。
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引用次数: 33
The control of motorway reliability 高速公路可靠性控制
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90019-M
Paolo Ferrari

This paper presents an analysis of the instability phenomenon on motorways, with aim of arriving at the definition of a control strategy suitable for keeping the flow stable. By using some results of the motorway reliability theory, a relationship between reliability and some flow characteristics is obtained, which shows the existence of a reliability threshold critical for flow stability. The macroscopic flow characteristics corresponding to this threshold are very different in different situations, so that the control of flow stability requires the analysis of speed and time gap microscopic processes surveved on a cross section of the motorway carriageways to be controlled. A method is presented, based on the analysis in real time of these processes, by which it is possible to detect the approach of instability before its effects become manifest, and to single out the proper control strategy in different situations.

本文对高速公路上的不稳定现象进行了分析,旨在确定一种适合于保持车流稳定的控制策略。利用高速公路可靠性理论的一些结果,得到了可靠性与某些流动特性之间的关系,表明存在对流动稳定至关重要的可靠性阈值。该阈值所对应的宏观流动特性在不同情况下差异很大,因此对流动稳定性的控制需要对所控制的高速公路行车道横断面上所观测到的速度和时间间隙微观过程进行分析。在对这些过程进行实时分析的基础上,提出了一种方法,该方法可以在不稳定的影响变得明显之前检测到不稳定的逼近,并在不同的情况下挑选出适当的控制策略。
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引用次数: 11
Computer applications in railway operations COMPRAIL 90: Volume 2 铁路作业中的计算机应用。COMPRAIL 90:第2卷
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90031-K
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引用次数: 0
Preliminary results of an analysis of areas of influence in Shanghai 上海影响区域分析的初步结果
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90018-L
Claude Comtois, Jean Paul Rodrigue

The main deficiency of most current modeling approaches to transportation can be identified as neglect of the integration of existing geographical knowledge in regard to the ex ante transport/land use modeling approaches, with its focus on territorial dynamics and theory development. This paper addresses this aspect of the problem by introducing a theoretical and methodological framework for the analysis of the interrelationship between land uses. The analysis attempts to determine to what extent the functional land use in a city can be considered an ordered pattern. The order sought does not rely on purely spatial configurations, but on the correlation of transportation and land use. The first section of this paper focuses on theoretical considerations. It stresses the fact that conventional approaches do not apply in the present context. It then suggests an alternative based on areas of influence and measured in terms of level of attractance of land uses. The second describes a procedure based on this alternative following the remarkable contribution of Hanjoul, Beguin and Thill. An application of this procedure to the analysis of Shanghai is then examined. Finally, an evaluation of the strategies for optimizing the interrelationship between land uses is presented. The paper concludes with a possible research agenda.

目前大多数交通建模方法的主要缺陷可以确定为忽视了对先验交通/土地利用建模方法的现有地理知识的整合,其重点是领土动力学和理论发展。本文通过引入分析土地利用之间相互关系的理论和方法框架来解决这方面的问题。该分析试图确定一个城市的功能性土地利用在多大程度上可以被认为是一个有序的模式。所寻求的秩序不依赖于纯粹的空间配置,而是依赖于交通和土地使用的相关性。本文第一部分着重于理论思考。它强调这样一个事实,即传统的办法不适用于目前的情况。然后,它提出了一种基于影响范围并根据土地使用的吸引力程度来衡量的替代方案。第二部分描述了继韩珠、贝京和希尔的杰出贡献之后,以这种替代方案为基础的程序。然后探讨了该方法在上海分析中的应用。最后,对优化土地利用间相互关系的策略进行了评价。论文最后提出了一个可能的研究议程。
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引用次数: 4
The role of the passenger train in the United States: A cost comparison of the common carriers 美国客运列车的作用:普通运输公司的成本比较
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90020-Q
William P. O'Dea

The objective of this article is to establish whether the train has a role to play in the market for intercity passenger travel in the United States. To accomplish this objective, we compare the common carriers on the basis of thier cost effectiveness in moving a given flow of passengers between two points a specified distance apart. The comparisons are based on cost models which highlight the technological differences between the modes and eliminate distortions caused by public policy choices. By varying the size of the passenger flow and trip distance, we develop a notion of each common carrier's ideal operating environment. We find that the cost of the right-of-way is the major factor limiting the range of travel situations in which the train is cost competitive with the other common carriers. More specifically, our results indicate that Amtrak's service in the Northeast Corridor should be continued in the short run. In the long run, the possibility of upgrading Amtrak's service in the Northeast Corridor to high-speed service should be investigated. Outside the Northeast Corridor, we find that high-speed train service should be able to cover its operating costs but not its capital costs.

本文的目的是确定火车是否在美国城际客运市场中发挥作用。为了实现这一目标,我们根据在相隔一定距离的两个地点之间运送给定客流的成本效益,对普通承运人进行比较。这种比较基于成本模型,该模型突出了两种模式之间的技术差异,并消除了公共政策选择造成的扭曲。通过改变客流的大小和行程距离,我们得出了每个公共航空公司理想运营环境的概念。我们发现路权的成本是限制火车与其他普通运输工具相比具有成本竞争力的旅行情况范围的主要因素。更具体地说,我们的结果表明,美国铁路公司在东北走廊的服务应该在短期内继续下去。从长远来看,应该研究将美国铁路公司在东北走廊的服务升级为高速服务的可能性。在东北走廊以外,我们发现高铁服务应该能够覆盖其运营成本,而不是资本成本。
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引用次数: 1
The federal role in urban mass transportation 联邦政府在城市公共交通中的作用
Pub Date : 1991-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90025-L
Gordon J. Fielding
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Transportation Research Part A: General
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