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On Efficient Utilization of Egypt's Energy Resources: Oil and Natural Gas 论埃及能源的有效利用:石油和天然气
T. Selim
The focus of this research is analysis and forecast for Egypt's energy resources of oil and natural gas. Running a risk of an oil shortage in the near term, Egypt's strategic energy policy should shift from oil towards multiple energy sources including natural gas, oil, and alternative energy uses. The approach applied to Egypt's energy resources is based on optimal resource extraction rates (Hartwick's model) whereby dynamic efficient production schedules, conditional on the constraint of sustainable growth rates in consumption, dictate future energy requirements. Detailed strategies for Egypt's energy sector are proposed, accompanied by their expected impacts on the economy: (1) a sustainable production path for oil and natural gas as strategic energy resources until 2025, (2) reduction and ultimate removal of energy subsidies by 2017 with oil subsidy removal by 2010, (3) required investments for energy self-sufficiency estimated at $120 billion over ten years for natural gas and 5.25% annual investment growth for oil through 2020, and (4) timeline adoption of alternative energy sources including solar and nuclear energy to substitute oil with 10% alternative energy use by 2015 and 25% by 2025.
本研究的重点是对埃及的石油和天然气能源资源进行分析和预测。面对近期石油短缺的风险,埃及的战略能源政策应从石油转向多种能源,包括天然气、石油和替代能源的使用。适用于埃及能源的方法是基于最优资源开采率(Hartwick模型),即动态有效的生产计划,以消费的可持续增长率为条件,决定未来的能源需求。本文提出了埃及能源部门的详细战略,以及它们对经济的预期影响:(2)到2017年减少并最终取消能源补贴,到2010年取消石油补贴;(3)到2020年,天然气需要投资1200亿美元实现能源自给,到2020年,石油投资每年增长5.25%。(4)时间表采用替代能源,包括太阳能和核能替代石油,到2015年替代能源使用量达到10%,到2025年替代能源使用量达到25%。
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引用次数: 0
Performance of Watershed Development Projects under Different Management Regimes 不同管理制度下流域发展项目的表现
S. Sahu
Watershed development in India has gained momentum with a variety of agencies trying approaches to technology, costs and subsidies, and institutional arrangements. The Watershed Development Programme has three important features: Unprecedented devolution of decision-making power backed up by financial allocation directly to the district level and hence to the village organisation level, creation of partnerships between government and non-government organisations, and technical and financial flexibility. The project places special emphasis on improving the economic and social conditions of the poor and the disadvantaged sections of the watershed community. This has to be achieved through equitable distribution of benefits from land and water resources and through greater access to income-generating opportunities. With this background the present paper attempts to evaluate two different watershed development programmes in India under different management regimes. Considering both the project implementing agencies (PIA) and their performances this study summarizes that in few cases (total cultivated area, irrigated area and cropping intensity) the Government agency has resulted better than that of the voluntary organisations. as the PIA. But when we consider the participation of the beneficiaries, the voluntary organisations has yielded better result. The evaluation suggests that the WDA will bring sustainable development and will more successful when both the PIAs (Government & the Voluntary organisations) will work together at the village level.
印度的流域发展势头强劲,各种机构都在尝试技术、成本和补贴以及制度安排方面的方法。流域发展计划有三个重要特点:前所未有地将决策权下放到地区一级,并通过财政拨款直接支持到村庄组织一级,在政府和非政府组织之间建立伙伴关系,以及技术和财政灵活性。该项目特别强调改善流域社区穷人和处境不利阶层的经济和社会条件。这必须通过公平分配土地和水资源的利益以及通过增加获得创收机会的机会来实现。在此背景下,本文试图评价印度在不同管理制度下的两个不同流域发展方案。考虑到项目实施机构(PIA)及其绩效,本研究总结了在少数情况下(总耕地面积、灌溉面积和种植强度),政府机构的结果优于志愿组织。就像PIA一样。但是当我们考虑受益人的参与时,志愿组织取得了更好的效果。评估结果表明,WDA将带来可持续发展,如果两个私人机构(政府和志愿组织)在村一级共同努力,将会取得更大的成功。
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引用次数: 0
Fuel Price Subsidies in Gabon: Fiscal Cost and Distributional Impact 加蓬燃料价格补贴:财政成本和分配影响
D. Leigh, Moataz El Said
This paper looks at the fiscal cost and distributional impact of implicit fuel price subsidies in Gabon, where fuel prices have remained largely unchanged since 2002. Using estimated implicit import parity prices, we evaluate the total fiscal cost of the subsidies at 3.2 percent of non-oil GDP in 2005 - more than total public health expenditures. We also analyze the distribution of the subsidies using household survey data and find that the bulk of the subsidies benefit higher-income households. Finally, we suggest use of a number of existing programs to provide a more targeted and cost-effective means of protecting the real incomes of lower-income households from the effects of energy price increases.
本文着眼于加蓬隐性燃料价格补贴的财政成本和分配影响,加蓬的燃料价格自2002年以来基本保持不变。使用估计的隐性进口平价价格,我们评估了2005年补贴的总财政成本为非石油GDP的3.2%,超过了公共卫生支出总额。我们还利用入户调查数据分析了补贴的分布,发现大部分补贴惠及高收入家庭。最后,我们建议利用一些现有项目,提供更有针对性和更具成本效益的手段,保护低收入家庭的实际收入不受能源价格上涨的影响。
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引用次数: 24
Conditions for Sustainable Optimal Economic Development 经济可持续最优发展的条件
Pub Date : 2006-08-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9361.2006.00338.x
Y. H. Farzin
This paper shows that, for dynamic optimizing economies with different types of natural resource, environmental, and human-made capital stocks, a necessary and sufficient condition for permanently sustaining an optimal utility/consumption level is the stationarity of the current-value Hamiltonian. For economies whose development is not exogenously and directly affected by time (i.e., time-autonomous economies), this stationarity condition generalizes Dixit et al.'s (1980 ) "zero-net-aggregate-investment" rule of sustain-ability, which in turn generalizes Solow-Hartwick's sustainability rule. For non-autonomous economies, the stationarity condition is not generally fulfilled, and the current-value Hamiltonian under (over) estimates the true welfare level by an amount equal to the discounted value of the net "pure time effect." For the non-autonomous case of a time-dependent utility discount rate, a general condition on the discount rate function (of which the hyperbolic discount rate function is a special case) upholds the results obtained for autonomous cases. The paper concludes with a discussion of policies that promote both optimality and sustainability objectives. Copyright © 2006 The Author; Journal compilation © 2006 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
本文表明,对于具有不同类型自然资源、环境和人为资本存量的动态优化经济,当前值哈密顿量的平稳性是永久维持最优效用/消费水平的充分必要条件。对于那些发展不受时间直接外生影响的经济体(即时间自治经济体),这种平稳性条件概括了Dixit等人(1980)的结论。可持续性的“零净总投资”规则,这反过来又推广了索洛-哈特维克的可持续性规则。对于非自治经济体,平常性条件通常不满足,并且当前值哈密顿量低于(过高)估计真实福利水平的金额等于净“纯时间效应”的贴现值。对于时变效用贴现率的非自治情况,贴现率函数的一般条件(其中双曲贴现率函数是一种特殊情况)支持自治情况的结果。本文最后讨论了促进最优性和可持续性目标的政策。版权所有©2006;期刊汇编©2006 Blackwell Publishing Ltd。
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引用次数: 16
Report of the Independent Panel on Access Criteria 查阅资料标准独立小组的报告
M. Jackman, P. Leblond, G. Munro, David Newhouse
This report, mandated by the Canadian Minister of Fisheries and Oceans within a broader Atlantic Fisheries Policy Review, examines the criteria for government decision-making when providing access to emerging and established commercial fisheries. The report provides a historical review of fisheries management in Canada; a summary of the messages conveyed to the Panel during its consultations with stakeholders; a description of three specific decisions about access taken in recent years; and an account of progress towards co-management. The authors describe how access to fisheries, including by Aboriginal people, is governed in other jurisdictions. They also outline approaches to access in other agricultural or natural resource industries. Some specific observations are offered on Aboriginal participation in the fishery and on Nunavut. The final two sections of the report set out the Panel’s recommendations concerning access criteria and the decision-making process.
这份报告是由加拿大渔业和海洋部长在更广泛的大西洋渔业政策审查中授权编写的,审查了政府在提供进入新兴和已建立的商业渔业时的决策标准。该报告提供了加拿大渔业管理的历史回顾;在与利益攸关方协商期间向小组传达的信息摘要;描述近年来就获取信息作出的三项具体决定;以及对共同管理进程的描述。作者描述了包括土著人在内的其他司法管辖区是如何管理渔业资源的。它们还概述了其他农业或自然资源行业的准入办法。对土著参与渔业和努纳武特提出了一些具体意见。报告的最后两节阐述了小组关于准入标准和决策过程的建议。
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引用次数: 6
Environmental Impact Assessment & Management: Need of the Hour 环境影响评价与管理:时势需要
U. Kumar, Dr. Kishor Chandra Satpathy, R. K. Bhattacharjya
Environmental Impact assessment (EIA) is must for suitable development. It provides a guideline for planning and management of environmental related projects, which possess a big challenge to the scientists, engineers, policy and and decision makers. In this paper an effort has been made to describe the need of EIA,when and why it is used, its various components and tools such as EIS, GIS, Scoping and Mitigation etc. The paper outlines structure, model format and methodology for analysis of Environmental Impact Assessment, environmental Quality Management (EQM) & environmental Impact Remedies (EIR). It also highlights the role of public in EIA. Most of the environmental impact can be minimized or even completely avoided by adequate and proper pre-planning through use of EIA. EIA has come to be a permanent part of any decision making for a responsible Government or Industry.
适当的发展必须进行环境影响评估。它为环境相关项目的规划和管理提供了指导,这对科学家、工程师、政策制定者和决策者都是一个巨大的挑战。本文试图描述环境影响评估的必要性、使用环境影响评估的时间和原因、环境影响评估的各个组成部分和工具,如环境影响评估、地理信息系统、范围界定和缓解措施等。本文概述了环境影响评价、环境质量管理和环境影响补救分析的结构、模型格式和方法。强调公众在环评中的作用。通过使用环境影响评估进行充分和适当的预先规划,可以最大限度地减少甚至完全避免大部分环境影响。环境影响评估已成为负责任的政府或行业决策的永久组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
Renewable Energy Product Competitiveness: Evidence from China and the Belt and Road Countries 可再生能源产品竞争力:来自中国和“一带一路”国家的证据
Jing Shuai, Yujia Zhao, Yilan Wang, Jinhua Cheng
With the further deepening of the “Belt and Road” initiative known as BRI, China and the BRI countries have made remarkable progress in renewable energy production and trade. In order to systematically evaluate the international competitiveness of renewable energy products of these countries, the current study has built a new multi-dimensional evaluation index to estimate the international competitive edge of renewable energy products exported from these countries, by abandoning the traditional methods for measuring trade competitiveness and adopting the projection pursuit (PP), TOPSIS model and the improved weighting methodology. The results demonstrate that the overall international competitiveness of renewable energy products from the BRI countries is weak, with dramatic differences in different countries in the evolution trends; the factors influencing the international competitiveness in the BRI countries are significantly different and; China's renewable energy products are competitive, and their competitiveness is growing rapidly in the past decade. Finally, this study has put forward corresponding policy implications.
随着“一带一路”建设的深入推进,中国与沿线国家在可再生能源生产和贸易方面取得了显著进展。为了系统地评价这些国家可再生能源产品的国际竞争力,本研究放弃传统的贸易竞争力衡量方法,采用投影寻踪法(PP)、TOPSIS模型和改进的加权法,构建了一个新的多维评价指标来评价这些国家出口可再生能源产品的国际竞争优势。研究结果表明:“一带一路”沿线国家可再生能源产品整体国际竞争力较弱,且各国之间的演变趋势差异较大;影响“一带一路”沿线国家国际竞争力的因素存在显著差异;中国的可再生能源产品具有竞争力,在过去十年中,其竞争力正在迅速增长。最后,本文提出了相应的政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
ERN: Exploitation of Renewable & Non-Renewables Natural Resources & the Environment (Topic)
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