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Evolution of radiation-induced dermatitis treatment 辐射诱发皮炎治疗方法的演变
Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03460-1
Deng Guangmei, He Weishan, Liu Wenya, Wu Fasheng, Chen Jibing

Radiation-induced skin damage (RID) is the most prevalent, significant side effect of radiotherapy (RT). Nearly 95% of patients experience moderate to severe skin reactions after receiving radiation therapy. However, criteria for acute radiation dermatitis (ARD) treatment remain unavailable. Topical agents with anti-inflammatory properties may protect the skin and facilitate tissue regeneration in patients with RID. Many of these topical agents function through nuclear factor kappa B pathway regulation. They either reduce the levels of inflammatory factors or elicit anti-inflammatory properties of their own, thus preventing oxidative stress and inflammatory responses and thus enabling RID prevention and management. Herein, we explore the 25 topical agents investigated for RID prevention and management thus far and evaluate their mechanisms of action. These agents include 11 natural agents, 3 miscellaneous agents, 9 topical nonsteroidal agents, and 2 topical corticosteroids.

放疗引起的皮肤损伤(RID)是放疗(RT)最普遍、最显著的副作用。近 95% 的患者在接受放射治疗后会出现中度至重度皮肤反应。然而,急性放射性皮炎(ARD)的治疗标准仍未出台。具有抗炎特性的外用药物可以保护皮肤,促进 RID 患者的组织再生。其中许多外用药物通过核因子卡巴 B 通路调节发挥作用。它们或降低炎症因子的水平,或激发自身的抗炎特性,从而防止氧化应激和炎症反应,进而预防和控制 RID。在此,我们探讨了迄今为止用于 RID 预防和管理的 25 种外用制剂,并评估了它们的作用机制。这些药物包括 11 种天然药物、3 种其他药物、9 种非甾体类外用药物和 2 种皮质类固醇外用药物。
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引用次数: 0
Efficacy and safety of a combination treatment of immune checkpoint inhibitors in metastatic breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis 免疫检查点抑制剂联合治疗转移性乳腺癌的疗效和安全性:系统综述和荟萃分析
Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03396-6
Ying Wang, Yalan Sun, Fang Lu, Xianghong Zhao, Zhenlin Nie, Feng Zhu, Bangshun He

Purpose

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in combination with chemotherapy have showed its benefits in clinical studies, and here we conducted a further evaluation on the safety and efficacy of this treatment strategy.

Methods

A systematic literature review was conducted in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library to identify clinical studies on ICIs and chemotherapy for metastatic breast cancer. The primary efficacy endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), and adverse events (AEs) were analyzed. Random or fixed effects models were used to estimate pooled Hazard ratio (HR), odds ratio (OR) and the data of 95% confidence interval (CI) depend on the Heterogeneity. Cochrane risk assessment tool was used to assess risk of bias. We also drew forest plots and funnel plots, respectively.

Results

Seven studies with intend-to-treat (ITT) population for 3255 patients were analyzed. ICIs pooled therapy showed clinical benefits compared with chemotherapy alone, improving PFS (HR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.74–0.90) of patients with metastatic triple negative breast cancer (mTNBC), especially in patients with PD-L1-positive tumors. However, it had no effect on OS (HR = 0.92, 95% CI 0.85–1.01). Besides, mTNBC patients received pooled therapy were less frequently to have AEs (OR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.09–1.54). In patients with metastatic Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2) negative breast cancer, pooled therapy showed no benefit for PFS (HR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.50–1.28) and OS (HR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.48–1.58).

Conclusion

Pooled therapy had improved PFS in mTNBC patients, especially in patients with PD-L1-positive tumors, and it was less likely to cause grade ≥ 3 AEs.

目的免疫检查点抑制剂(ICIs)联合化疗在临床研究中显示了其优势,在此我们对这一治疗策略的安全性和有效性进行了进一步评估。方法在PubMed、Embase和Cochrane图书馆进行了系统性文献综述,以确定有关ICIs和化疗治疗转移性乳腺癌的临床研究。主要疗效终点为无进展生存期(PFS)和总生存期(OS),并对不良事件(AEs)进行了分析。随机或固定效应模型用于估算集合危险比(HR)、几率比(OR)以及取决于异质性的 95% 置信区间(CI)数据。科克伦风险评估工具用于评估偏倚风险。我们还分别绘制了森林图和漏斗图。结果分析了7项研究的意向治疗(ITT)人群,共3255名患者。与单纯化疗相比,ICIs联合疗法显示出临床优势,可改善转移性三阴性乳腺癌(mTNBC)患者的PFS(HR=0.81,95% CI:0.74-0.90),尤其是PD-L1阳性肿瘤患者。然而,它对OS没有影响(HR = 0.92,95% CI 0.85-1.01)。此外,接受联合疗法的 mTNBC 患者发生 AE 的频率较低(OR = 1.30,95% CI:1.09-1.54)。在转移性人表皮生长因子受体2(HER2)阴性乳腺癌患者中,联合疗法对PFS(HR=0.80,95% CI:0.50-1.28)和OS(HR=0.87,95% CI:0.48-1.58)无益。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of a disulfidptosis-related glycolysis gene risk model to predict the prognosis and immune infiltration analysis of gastric adenocarcinoma 构建二硫化相关糖酵解基因风险模型以预测胃腺癌的预后并进行免疫浸润分析
Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03457-w
Zhaohui Liao, Zhengyuan Xie

Background

The pattern of cell death known as disulfidptosis was recently discovered. Disulfidptosis, which may affect the growth of tumor cells, represents a potential new approach to treating tumors. Glycolysis affects tumor proliferation, invasion, chemotherapy resistance, the tumor microenvironment (TME), and immune evasion. However, the efficacy and therapeutic significance of disulfidptosis-related glycolysis genes (DRGGs) in stomach adenocarcinoma (STAD) remain uncertain.

Methods

STAD clinical data and RNA sequencing data were downloaded from the TCGA database. DRGGs were screened using Cox regression and Lasso regression analysis to construct a prognostic risk model. The accuracy of the model was verified using survival studies, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, column plots, and calibration curves. Additionally, our study investigated the relationships between the risk scores and immune cell infiltration, tumor mutational burden (TMB), and anticancer drug sensitivity.

Results

We have successfully developed a prognosis risk model with 4 DRGGs (NT5E, ALG1, ANKZF1, and VCAN). The model showed excellent performance in predicting the overall survival of STAD patients. The DRGGs prognostic model significantly correlated with the TME, immune infiltrating cells, and treatment sensitivity.

Conclusions

The risk model developed in this work has significant clinical value in predicting the impact of immunotherapy in STAD patients and assisting in the choice of chemotherapeutic medicines. It can correctly estimate the prognosis of STAD patients.

背景最近发现了一种被称为二硫化血症的细胞死亡模式。二硫化硫可能会影响肿瘤细胞的生长,是一种潜在的治疗肿瘤的新方法。糖酵解作用会影响肿瘤的增殖、侵袭、化疗耐药性、肿瘤微环境(TME)和免疫逃避。然而,二硫化相关糖酵解基因(DRGGs)在胃腺癌(STAD)中的疗效和治疗意义仍不确定。使用 Cox 回归和 Lasso 回归分析筛选 DRGGs,构建预后风险模型。利用生存研究、接收者操作特征曲线(ROC)、柱状图和校准曲线验证了模型的准确性。此外,我们还研究了风险评分与免疫细胞浸润、肿瘤突变负荷(TMB)和抗癌药物敏感性之间的关系。 结果我们成功地建立了一个包含 4 个 DRGGs(NT5E、ALG1、ANKZF1 和 VCAN)的预后风险模型。该模型在预测 STAD 患者的总生存率方面表现出色。DRGGs预后模型与TME、免疫浸润细胞和治疗敏感性有明显相关性。它能正确估计 STAD 患者的预后。
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引用次数: 0
Genomic ancestry and cancer among Latin Americans 拉丁美洲人的基因血统与癌症
Pub Date : 2024-04-06 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03415-6
Alejandro Ruíz-Patiño, Leonardo Rojas, Jairo Zuluaga, Oscar Arrieta, Luis Corrales, Claudio Martín, Sandra Franco, Luis Raez, Christian Rolfo, Natalia Sánchez, Andrés Felipe Cardona

Latin American populations, characterized by intricate admixture patterns resulting from the intermingling of ancestries from European, Native American (NA) Asian, and African ancestries which result in a vast and complex genetic landscape, harboring unique combinations of novel variants. This genetic diversity not only poses challenges in traditional population genetics methods but also opens avenues for a deeper understanding of its implications in health. In cancer, the interplay between genetic ancestry, lifestyle factors, and healthcare disparities adds a layer of complexity to the varying incidence and mortality rates observed across different Latin American subpopulations. This complex interdependence has been unveiled through numerous studies, whether conducted on Latin American patients residing on the continent or abroad, revealing discernible differences in germline composition that influence divergent disease phenotypes such as higher incidence of Luminal B and Her2 breast tumors, EGFR and KRAS mutated lung adenocarcinomas in addition to an enrichment in BRCA1/2 pathogenic variants and a higher than expected prevalence of variants in colorectal cancer associated genes such as APC and MLH1. In prostate cancer novel risk variants have also been solely identified in Latin American populations. Due to the complexity of genetic divergence, inputs from each individual ancestry seem to carry independent contributions that interplay in the development of these complex disease phenotypes. By understanding these unique population characteristics, genomic ancestries hold a promising avenue for tailoring prognostic assessments and optimizing responses to oncological interventions.

拉美人口的特点是欧洲、美洲原住民(NA)、亚洲和非洲血统的祖先混杂在一起,形成了错综复杂的混血模式,导致了庞大而复杂的遗传景观,蕴藏着独特的新型变异组合。这种遗传多样性不仅对传统的群体遗传学方法提出了挑战,也为深入了解其对健康的影响开辟了途径。在癌症方面,遗传血统、生活方式因素和医疗保健差异之间的相互作用,为拉丁美洲不同亚人群的不同发病率和死亡率增添了一层复杂性。大量研究揭示了这种复杂的相互依存关系,无论是对居住在拉美大陆还是国外的拉美患者进行的研究,都揭示了影响不同疾病表型的种系组成的明显差异,如 Luminal B 和 Her2 乳腺肿瘤、表皮生长因子受体(EGFR)和 KRAS 突变的肺腺癌的发病率较高,此外还有 BRCA1/2 致病变体的富集,以及 APC 和 MLH1 等结直肠癌相关基因变体的发病率高于预期。前列腺癌的新型风险变异也仅在拉丁美洲人群中发现。由于遗传差异的复杂性,来自每个人祖先的输入似乎在这些复杂疾病表型的发展过程中起着相互影响的独立作用。通过了解这些独特的人群特征,基因组祖先为定制预后评估和优化肿瘤干预措施提供了一条很有前景的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Molecular profile in endometrial carcinoma: can we predict the lymph node status? A systematic review and meta-analysis 子宫内膜癌的分子谱:我们能否预测淋巴结状态?系统回顾与荟萃分析
Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03401-y
Ana Luzarraga Aznar, Vicente Bebia, Natalia Rodriguez Gomez-Hidalgo, Carlos López-Gil, Marta Miguez, Eva Colas, Asunción Pérez-Benavente, Antonio Gil-Moreno, Silvia Cabrera

Purpose

Molecular classification of endometrial cancer (EC) has become a promising information to tailor preoperatively the surgical treatment. We aimed to evaluate the rate of lymph node metastases (LNM) in patients with EC according to molecular profile.

Methods

A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed according to PRISMA guidelines by searching in two major electronic databases (PubMed and Scopus), including original articles reporting lymph node metastases according to the molecular classification of EC as categorized in the ESGO-ESMO-ESP guidelines.

Results

Fifteen studies enrolling 3056 patients were included. Pooled prevalence LNM when considering only patients undergoing lymph node assessment was 4% for POLE-mutated (95%CI: 0-12%), 22% for no specific molecular profile (95% CI: 9-39%), 23% for Mismatch repair-deficiency (95%CI: 10-40%) and 31% for p53-abnormal (95%CI: 24-39%).

Conclusions

The presence of LNM seems to be influenced by molecularclassification. P53-abnormal group presents the highest rate of nodal involvement, and POLE-mutated the lowest.

目的 子宫内膜癌(EC)的分子分类已成为术前调整手术治疗的有效信息。方法 根据PRISMA指南,在两大电子数据库(PubMed和Scopus)中进行检索,包括根据ESGO-ESMO-ESP指南中的EC分子分类报告淋巴结转移的原始文章。当仅考虑接受淋巴结评估的患者时,POLE突变型患者的LNM发生率为4%(95%CI:0-12%),无特定分子特征的患者为22%(95%CI:9-39%),错配修复缺陷型患者为23%(95%CI:10-40%),p53正常型患者为31%(95%CI:24-39%)。P53正常组结节受累率最高,POLE突变组最低。
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引用次数: 0
Hypertension as predictive factor for bevacizumab-containing first-line therapy in metastatic breast and colorectal cancer in BRECOL (GEICAM/2011-04) study BRECOL(GEICAM/2011-04)研究中,高血压是转移性乳腺癌和结直肠癌接受含贝伐单抗一线治疗的预测因素
Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03411-w
Álvaro Rodríguez-Lescure, Javier Gallego, Pilar Garcia-Alfonso, Bartomeu Massuti, Raúl Márquez, Lourdes Calvo, Pedro Sánchez-Rovira, Antonio Antón, José Ignacio Chacón, Eva Ciruelos, Jose Juan Ponce, Ana Santaballa, Manuel Valladares-Ayerbes, María Rosario Dueñas, Vicente Alonso, Jorge Aparicio, Sara Encinas, Luis Robles, María José Escudero, Rosalía Caballero, Susana Bezares, Juan de la Haba-Rodriguez

Background

Retrospective data suggest an association between bevacizumab efficacy and the incidence of arterial hypertension (AHT). Additionally, epigenetic mechanisms have been related to AHT.

Methods

This prospective observational study conducted by GEICAM Spanish Breast Cancer Research Group included metastatic breast (MBC) or colorectal (mCRC) cancer patients treated with bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy as first-line treatment. Blood pressure (BP) levels were measured (conventional and 24-h Holter monitoring) at baseline and up to cycle 3. Primary endpoint assessed BP levels increase as predictive factor for progression-free survival (PFS). Germline DNA methylation profile was explored in pre-treatment blood samples; principal component analysis was used to define an epigenetic predictive score for increased BP levels.

Results

From Oct-2012 to Jul-2016, 143 (78 MBC and 65 mCRC) patients were included. The incidence of AHT according to guidelines was neither predictive of PFS nor of best overall tumor response (BOR). No statistically significant association was observed with systolic BP nor diastolic BP increment for PFS or BOR. Grade 3 and 4 adverse events were observed in 37 and 5% of patients, respectively. We identified 27 sites which baseline methylation status was significantly associated to BP levels increase secondary to bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy.

Conclusions

Neither the frequency of AHT nor the increase of BP levels were predictive of efficacy in MBC and mCRC patients treated with bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy.

Clinical trial registry

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01733628.

背景回顾性数据表明,贝伐珠单抗的疗效与动脉高血压(AHT)的发生率之间存在关联。方法这项由 GEICAM 西班牙乳腺癌研究小组开展的前瞻性观察研究纳入了接受含贝伐单抗化疗作为一线治疗的转移性乳腺癌(MBC)或结直肠癌(mCRC)患者。在基线和第 3 个周期前测量血压 (BP) 水平(常规和 24 小时 Holter 监测)。主要终点是评估血压水平的升高对无进展生存期(PFS)的预测作用。对治疗前血液样本中的种系DNA甲基化图谱进行了研究;采用主成分分析法确定了血压水平升高的表观遗传学预测评分。结果从2012年10月至2016年7月,共纳入143例(78例MBC和65例mCRC)患者。根据指南,AHT的发生率既不能预测PFS,也不能预测最佳总体肿瘤反应(BOR)。收缩压或舒张压增高与 PFS 或 BOR 均无统计学意义。分别有37%和5%的患者出现了3级和4级不良反应。我们确定了基线甲基化状态与含贝伐珠单抗化疗后血压水平升高显著相关的 27 个位点。结论在接受含贝伐珠单抗化疗的 MBC 和 mCRC 患者中,AHT 的频率和血压水平的升高都不能预测疗效:NCT01733628。
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引用次数: 0
Fertility preservation in hematological cancer patients 血液肿瘤患者的生育力保护
Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03419-2
Dan Li, Yi-jun Zhao, Qian Wang, Man-wei Chu, Juan-ke Xie, Cui-lian Zhang

Among adolescents and young adults, hematological malignancies are the most common malignancies. Although the survival rate of hematological malignancies in young patients has been dramatically improved, due to the continuous improvement and development of tumor diagnosis and treatment options, cytotoxic therapies can significantly reduce a patient’s reproductive capacity and cause irreversible infertility. The most two established solutions are embryo cryopreservation and oocyte cryopreservation which can be considered in single female. Sperm or testicular tissue cryopreservation in adult male are feasible approaches that must be considered before gonadotoxic therapy. A comprehensive consultation with reproductive specialists when once diagnosed is a significantly issue which would help those survivors who want to have children. In this article, we review germ cell toxicity, which happens during the treatment of hematological malignancies, and aims to propose safety, efficacy fertility preservation methods in younger patients with hematological malignancies.

在青少年和年轻人中,血液恶性肿瘤是最常见的恶性肿瘤。虽然青少年血液恶性肿瘤患者的存活率已显著提高,但由于肿瘤诊断和治疗方法的不断改进和发展,细胞毒疗法会大大降低患者的生育能力,导致不可逆的不孕。最成熟的两种解决方案是胚胎冷冻保存和卵母细胞冷冻保存,这两种方法可考虑用于单一女性。对成年男性而言,冷冻保存精子或睾丸组织是可行的方法,但必须在性腺毒性治疗前加以考虑。一旦确诊,与生殖专家进行全面咨询是一个重要问题,这将有助于那些想要孩子的幸存者。本文回顾了血液恶性肿瘤治疗过程中出现的生殖细胞毒性,旨在为年轻的血液恶性肿瘤患者提出安全、有效的生育力保存方法。
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引用次数: 0
In vivo safety evaluation method for nanomaterials for cancer therapy 用于癌症治疗的纳米材料的体内安全性评估方法
Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03466-9

Abstract

Nanomaterials are extensively used in the diagnosis and treatment of cancer and other diseases because of their distinctive physicochemical properties, including the small size and ease of modification. The approval of numerous nanomaterials for clinical treatment has led to a significant increase in human exposure to these materials. When nanomaterials enter organisms, they interact with DNA, cells, tissues, and organs, potentially causing various adverse effects, such as genotoxicity, reproductive toxicity, immunotoxicity, and damage to tissues and organs. Therefore, it is crucial to elucidate the side effects and toxicity mechanisms of nanomaterials thoroughly before their clinical applications. Although methods for in vitro safety evaluation of nanomaterials are well established, systematic methods for in vivo safety evaluation are still lacking. This review focuses on the in vivo safety evaluation of nanomaterials and explores their potential effects. In addition, the experimental methods for assessing such effects in various disciplines, including toxicology, pharmacology, physiopathology, immunology, and bioinformatics are also discussed.

摘要 纳米材料因其独特的理化特性,包括尺寸小和易于改性,被广泛用于癌症和其他疾病的诊断和治疗。随着大量纳米材料被批准用于临床治疗,人类接触这些材料的机会大大增加。当纳米材料进入生物体内时,它们会与 DNA、细胞、组织和器官相互作用,可能造成各种不良影响,如遗传毒性、生殖毒性、免疫毒性以及组织和器官损伤。因此,在临床应用之前,彻底阐明纳米材料的副作用和毒性机制至关重要。虽然纳米材料的体外安全性评价方法已经成熟,但体内安全性评价的系统方法仍然缺乏。本综述重点关注纳米材料的体内安全性评价,并探讨其潜在影响。此外,还讨论了毒理学、药理学、生理病理学、免疫学和生物信息学等不同学科评估这些效应的实验方法。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning-driven prediction of brain metastasis in lung adenocarcinoma using miRNA profile and target gene pathway analysis of an mRNA dataset 利用mRNA数据集的miRNA图谱和靶基因通路分析,以机器学习驱动预测肺腺癌的脑转移
Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03474-9

Abstract

Background

Brain metastasis (BM) is common in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and has a poor prognosis, necessitating predictive biomarkers. MicroRNAs (MiRNAs) promote cancer cell growth, infiltration, and metastasis. However, the relationship between the miRNA expression profiles and BM occurrence in patients with LUAD remains unclear.

Methods

We conducted an analysis to identify miRNAs in tissue samples that exhibited different expression levels between patients with and without BM. Using a machine learning approach, we confirmed whether the miRNA profile could be a predictive tool for BM. We performed pathway analysis of miRNA target genes using a matched mRNA dataset.

Results

We selected 25 miRNAs that consistently exhibited differential expression between the two groups of 32 samples. The 25-miRNA profile demonstrated a strong predictive potential for BM in both Group 1 and Group 2 and the entire dataset (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.918, accuracy = 0.875 in Group 1; AUC = 0.867, accuracy = 0.781 in Group 2; and AUC = 0.908, accuracy = 0.875 in the entire group). Patients predicted to have BM, based on the 25-miRNA profile, had lower survival rates. Target gene analysis of miRNAs suggested that BM could be induced through the ErbB signaling pathway, proteoglycans in cancer, and the focal adhesion pathway. Furthermore, patients predicted to have BM based on the 25-miRNA profile exhibited higher expression of the epithelial-mesenchymal transition signature, TWIST, and vimentin than those not predicted to have BM. Specifically, there was a correlation between EGFR mRNA levels and BM.

Conclusions

This 25-miRNA profile may serve as a biomarker for predicting BM in patients with LUAD.

摘要 背景 脑转移(BM)在肺腺癌(LUAD)中很常见,且预后较差,因此需要预测性生物标志物。微小RNA(MiRNA)可促进癌细胞的生长、浸润和转移。然而,LUAD 患者的 miRNA 表达谱与 BM 发生率之间的关系仍不清楚。 方法 我们进行了一项分析,以确定组织样本中的 miRNA,这些 miRNA 在有 BM 和无 BM 患者之间表现出不同的表达水平。利用机器学习方法,我们确认了 miRNA 图谱是否可作为预测骨髓瘤的工具。我们利用匹配的 mRNA 数据集对 miRNA 靶基因进行了通路分析。 结果 我们选取了两组 32 个样本中始终表现出差异表达的 25 个 miRNA。在第一组、第二组和整个数据集中,25 个 miRNA 图谱都显示出对 BM 有很强的预测潜力(第一组的曲线下面积 [AUC] = 0.918,准确率 = 0.875;第二组的曲线下面积 [AUC] = 0.867,准确率 = 0.781;整个数据集的曲线下面积 [AUC] = 0.908,准确率 = 0.875)。根据 25 个 miRNA 图谱预测患有骨髓瘤的患者生存率较低。miRNA 的靶基因分析表明,BM 可通过 ErbB 信号通路、癌症中的蛋白多糖和病灶粘附通路诱导。此外,根据25个miRNA图谱预测患有BM的患者比未预测患有BM的患者表现出更高的上皮-间质转化特征、TWIST和波形蛋白表达量。特别是,表皮生长因子受体 mRNA 水平与 BM 之间存在相关性。 结论 该 25-miRNA 图谱可作为预测 LUAD 患者 BM 的生物标记物。
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引用次数: 0
Development and validation of a novel scoring system based on a nomogram for predicting inadequate bowel preparation 基于预测肠道准备不足的提名图,开发并验证新型评分系统
Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-024-03443-2
Xiaxia Zhao, Yanglin Pan, Jinyong Hao, Jie Feng, Zhongyuan Cui, Huimin Ma, Xiaojun Huang

Background and aims

Adequate bowel preparation (BP) is crucial for the diagnosis of colorectal diseases. Identifying patients at risk of inadequate BP allows for targeted interventions and improved outcomes. We aimed to develop a model for predicting inadequate BP based on preparation-related factors.

Methods

Adult outpatients scheduled for colonoscopy between May 2022 and October 2022 were enrolled. One set (N = 913) was used to develop and internally validate the predictive model. The primary predictive model was displayed as a nomogram and then modified into a novel scoring system, which was externally validated in an independent set (N = 177). Inadequate BP was defined as a Boston Bowel Preparedness Scale (BBPS) score of less than 2 for any colonic segment. The model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Independent factors included in the prediction model were stool frequency ≤ 5 (15 points), preparation-to-colonoscopy interval ≥ 5 h (15 points), incomplete dosage (100 points), non-split dose (90 points), unrestricted diet (88 points), no additional water intake (15 points), and last stool appearance as an opaque liquid (0–80 points). The training set exhibited the following performance metrics for identifying BP failure: area under the curve (AUC) of 0.818, accuracy (ACC) of 0.818, positive likelihood ratio (PLR) of 2.397, negative likelihood ratio (NLR) of 0.162, positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.850, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.723. In the internal validation set, these metrics were 0.747, 0.776, 2.099, 0.278, 0.866, and 0.538, respectively. The external validation set showed values of 0.728, 0.757, 2.10, 0.247, 0.782, and 0.704, respectively, indicating strong discriminative ability. Calibration curves demonstrated close agreement, and DCA indicated superior clinical benefits at a threshold probability of 0.73 in the training cohort and 0.75 in the validation cohort for this model.

Conclusions

This novel scoring system was developed from a prospective study and externally validated in an independent set based on 7 easily accessible variables, demonstrating robust performance in predicting inadequate BP.

背景和目的充分的肠道准备(BP)对结直肠疾病的诊断至关重要。识别有肠道准备不足风险的患者可进行有针对性的干预并改善预后。我们旨在开发一种基于准备相关因素预测 BP 不足的模型。其中一组(N = 913)用于开发和内部验证预测模型。主要预测模型以提名图的形式显示,然后修改为新的评分系统,并在一组独立样本(样本数 = 177)中进行外部验证。任何结肠段的波士顿肠道准备量表 (BBPS) 评分低于 2 分即为血压不足。结果预测模型中的独立因素包括大便次数≤5 次(15 分)、准备到结肠镜检查时间间隔≥5 小时(15 分)、剂量不完全(100 分)、非分次剂量(90 分)、饮食不受限制(88 分)、无额外水摄入(15 分)以及最后一次大便外观为不透明液体(0-80 分)。训练集在识别 BP 失败方面表现出以下性能指标:曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.818,准确率(ACC)为 0.818,正似然比(PLR)为 2.397,负似然比(NLR)为 0.在内部验证集中,这些指标分别为 0.747、0.776、2.099、0.278、0.866 和 0.538。外部验证集显示的值分别为 0.728、0.757、2.10、0.247、0.782 和 0.704,表明了很强的判别能力。校准曲线显示两者接近一致,DCA 显示该模型在训练队列中的阈值概率为 0.73,在验证队列中的阈值概率为 0.75,具有较好的临床效益。结论该新型评分系统是根据一项前瞻性研究开发的,并基于 7 个易于获取的变量在一个独立集上进行了外部验证,在预测血压不足方面表现出了强劲的性能。
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引用次数: 0
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Clinical and Translational Oncology
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