Rui Fu, Rinku Sutradhar, Qing Li, Timothy P Hanna, Kelvin K W Chan, Jonathan C Irish, Natalie Coburn, Julie Hallet, Anna Dare, Simron Singh, Ambica Parmar, Craig C Earle, Lauren Lapointe-Shaw, Monika K Krzyzanowska, Antonio Finelli, Alexander V Louie, Nicole J Look Hong, Ian J Witterick, Alyson Mahar, David R Urbach, Daniel I McIsaac, Danny Enepekides, Antoine Eskander
Background: Physicians were directed to prioritize using nonsurgical cancer treatment at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. We sought to quantify the impact of this policy on the modality of first cancer treatment (surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy or no treatment).
Methods: In this population-based study using Ontario data from linked administrative databases, we identified adults diagnosed with cancer from January 2016 to November 2020 and their first cancer treatment received within 1 year postdiagnosis. Segmented Poisson regressions were applied to each modality to estimate the change in mean 1-year recipient volume per thousand patients (rate) at the start of the pandemic (the week of Mar. 15, 2020) and change in the weekly trend in rate during the pandemic (Mar. 15, 2020, to Nov. 7, 2020) relative to before the pandemic (Jan. 3, 2016, to Mar. 14, 2020).
Results: We included 321 535 people diagnosed with cancer. During the first week of the COVID-19 pandemic, the mean rate of receiving upfront surgery over the next year declined by 9% (rate ratio 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88-0.95), and chemotherapy and radiotherapy rates rose by 30% (rate ratio 1.30, 95% CI 1.23-1.36) and 13% (rate ratio 1.13, 95% CI 1.07-1.19), respectively. Subsequently, the 1-year rate of upfront surgery increased at 0.4% for each week (rate ratio 1.004, 95% CI 1.002-1.006), and chemotherapy and radiotherapy rates decreased by 0.9% (rate ratio 0.991, 95% CI 0.989-0.994) and 0.4% (rate ratio 0.996, 95% CI 0.994-0.998), respectively, per week. Rates of each modality resumed to prepandemic levels at 24-31 weeks into the pandemic.
Interpretation: An immediate and sustained increase in use of nonsurgical therapy as the first cancer treatment occurred during the first 8 months of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ontario. Further research is needed to understand the consequences.
背景:在COVID-19大流行开始时,医生被指示优先使用非手术癌症治疗。我们试图量化这一政策对首次癌症治疗方式(手术、化疗、放疗或不治疗)的影响。方法:在这项基于人群的研究中,我们使用安大略省相关管理数据库中的数据,确定了2016年1月至2020年11月诊断为癌症的成年人,以及他们在诊断后1年内接受的首次癌症治疗。将分段泊松回归应用于每种模式,以估计大流行开始时(2020年3月15日当周)每千名患者平均1年接受量(率)的变化,以及大流行期间(2020年3月15日至2020年11月7日)相对于大流行前(2016年1月3日至2020年3月14日)每周接受量趋势的变化。结果:我们纳入了321 535名确诊的癌症患者。在COVID-19大流行的第一周,第二年接受术前手术的平均率下降了9%(率比0.91,95%可信区间[CI] 0.88-0.95),化疗和放疗率分别上升了30%(率比1.30,95% CI 1.23-1.36)和13%(率比1.13,95% CI 1.07-1.19)。随后,1年术前手术率每周增加0.4%(率比1.004,95% CI 1.002 ~ 1.006),化疗和放疗率每周分别下降0.9%(率比0.991,95% CI 0.989 ~ 0.994)和0.4%(率比0.996,95% CI 0.994 ~ 0.998)。在大流行发生后24-31周,每种模式的发病率恢复到大流行前的水平。解释:在安大略省COVID-19大流行的前8个月内,非手术治疗作为首次癌症治疗的使用立即且持续增加。需要进一步的研究来了解其后果。
{"title":"Association between the COVID-19 pandemic and first cancer treatment modality: a population-based cohort study.","authors":"Rui Fu, Rinku Sutradhar, Qing Li, Timothy P Hanna, Kelvin K W Chan, Jonathan C Irish, Natalie Coburn, Julie Hallet, Anna Dare, Simron Singh, Ambica Parmar, Craig C Earle, Lauren Lapointe-Shaw, Monika K Krzyzanowska, Antonio Finelli, Alexander V Louie, Nicole J Look Hong, Ian J Witterick, Alyson Mahar, David R Urbach, Daniel I McIsaac, Danny Enepekides, Antoine Eskander","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220102","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220102","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Physicians were directed to prioritize using nonsurgical cancer treatment at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. We sought to quantify the impact of this policy on the modality of first cancer treatment (surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy or no treatment).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this population-based study using Ontario data from linked administrative databases, we identified adults diagnosed with cancer from January 2016 to November 2020 and their first cancer treatment received within 1 year postdiagnosis. Segmented Poisson regressions were applied to each modality to estimate the change in mean 1-year recipient volume per thousand patients (rate) at the start of the pandemic (the week of Mar. 15, 2020) and change in the weekly trend in rate during the pandemic (Mar. 15, 2020, to Nov. 7, 2020) relative to before the pandemic (Jan. 3, 2016, to Mar. 14, 2020).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We included 321 535 people diagnosed with cancer. During the first week of the COVID-19 pandemic, the mean rate of receiving upfront surgery over the next year declined by 9% (rate ratio 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88-0.95), and chemotherapy and radiotherapy rates rose by 30% (rate ratio 1.30, 95% CI 1.23-1.36) and 13% (rate ratio 1.13, 95% CI 1.07-1.19), respectively. Subsequently, the 1-year rate of upfront surgery increased at 0.4% for each week (rate ratio 1.004, 95% CI 1.002-1.006), and chemotherapy and radiotherapy rates decreased by 0.9% (rate ratio 0.991, 95% CI 0.989-0.994) and 0.4% (rate ratio 0.996, 95% CI 0.994-0.998), respectively, per week. Rates of each modality resumed to prepandemic levels at 24-31 weeks into the pandemic.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>An immediate and sustained increase in use of nonsurgical therapy as the first cancer treatment occurred during the first 8 months of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ontario. Further research is needed to understand the consequences.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E426-E433"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/be/64/cmajo.20220102.PMC10174267.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9586413","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Johannes von Vopelius-Feldt, Joel Lockwood, Sameer Mal, Andrew Beckett, Jeannie Callum, Adam Greene, Jeremy Grushka, Aditi Khandelwal, Yulia Lin, Susan Nahirniak, Katerina Pavenski, Michael Peddle, Oksana Prokopchuk-Gauk, Julian Regehr, Jo Schmid, Andrew W Shih, Justin A Smith, Jan Trojanowski, Erik Vu, Markus Ziesmann, Brodie Nolan
Background: Early resuscitation with blood components or products is emerging as best practice in selected patients with trauma and medical patients; as a result, out-of-hospital transfusion (OHT) programs are being developed based on limited and often conflicting evidence. This study aimed to provide guidance to Canadian critical care transport organizations on the development of OHT protocols.
Methods: The study period was July 2021 to June 2022. We used a modified RAND Delphi process to achieve consensus on statements created by the study team guiding various aspects of OHT in the context of critical care transport. Purposive sampling ensured representative distribution of participants in regard to geography and relevant clinical specialties. We conducted 2 written survey Delphi rounds, followed by a virtual panel discussion (round 3). Consensus was defined as a median score of at least 6 on a Likert scale ranging from 1 ("Definitely should not include") to 7 ("Definitely should include"). Statements that did not achieve consensus in the first 2 rounds were discussed and voted on during the panel discussion.
Results: Seventeen subject experts participated in the study, all of whom completed the 3 Delphi rounds. After the study process was completed, a total of 39 statements were agreed on, covering the following domains: general oversight and clinical governance, storage and transport of blood components and products, initiation of OHT, types of blood components and products, delivery and monitoring of OHT, indications for and use of hemostatic adjuncts, and resuscitation targets of OHT.
Interpretation: This expert consensus document provides guidance on OHT best practices. The consensus statements should support efficient and safe OHT in national and international critical care transport programs.
{"title":"Development of a national out-of-hospital transfusion protocol: a modified RAND Delphi study.","authors":"Johannes von Vopelius-Feldt, Joel Lockwood, Sameer Mal, Andrew Beckett, Jeannie Callum, Adam Greene, Jeremy Grushka, Aditi Khandelwal, Yulia Lin, Susan Nahirniak, Katerina Pavenski, Michael Peddle, Oksana Prokopchuk-Gauk, Julian Regehr, Jo Schmid, Andrew W Shih, Justin A Smith, Jan Trojanowski, Erik Vu, Markus Ziesmann, Brodie Nolan","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220151","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220151","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Early resuscitation with blood components or products is emerging as best practice in selected patients with trauma and medical patients; as a result, out-of-hospital transfusion (OHT) programs are being developed based on limited and often conflicting evidence. This study aimed to provide guidance to Canadian critical care transport organizations on the development of OHT protocols.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The study period was July 2021 to June 2022. We used a modified RAND Delphi process to achieve consensus on statements created by the study team guiding various aspects of OHT in the context of critical care transport. Purposive sampling ensured representative distribution of participants in regard to geography and relevant clinical specialties. We conducted 2 written survey Delphi rounds, followed by a virtual panel discussion (round 3). Consensus was defined as a median score of at least 6 on a Likert scale ranging from 1 (\"Definitely should not include\") to 7 (\"Definitely should include\"). Statements that did not achieve consensus in the first 2 rounds were discussed and voted on during the panel discussion.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Seventeen subject experts participated in the study, all of whom completed the 3 Delphi rounds. After the study process was completed, a total of 39 statements were agreed on, covering the following domains: general oversight and clinical governance, storage and transport of blood components and products, initiation of OHT, types of blood components and products, delivery and monitoring of OHT, indications for and use of hemostatic adjuncts, and resuscitation targets of OHT.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>This expert consensus document provides guidance on OHT best practices. The consensus statements should support efficient and safe OHT in national and international critical care transport programs.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E546-E559"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/a4/be/cmajo.20220151.PMC10310344.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10120166","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Janet Kemei, Dominic A Alaazi, Adedoyin Olanlesi-Aliu, Modupe Tunde-Byass, Ato Sekyi-Otu, Habiba Mohamud, Bukola Salami
Background: Black Canadians are disproportionately affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, and the literature suggests that online disinformation and misinformation contribute to higher rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccine hesitancy in Black communities in Canada. Through stakeholder interviews, we sought to describe the nature of COVID-19 online disinformation among Black Canadians and identify the factors contributing to this phenomenon.
Methods: We conducted purposive sampling followed by snowball sampling and completed in-depth qualitative interviews with Black stakeholders with insights into the nature and impact of COVID-19 online disinformation and misinformation in Black communities. We analyzed data using content analysis, drawing on analytical resources from intersectionality theory.
Results: The stakeholders (n = 30, 20 purposively sampled and 10 recruited by way of snowball sampling) reported sharing of COVID-19 online disinformation and misinformation in Black Canadian communities, involving social media interaction among family, friends and community members and information shared by prominent Black figures on social media platforms such as WhatsApp and Facebook. Our data analysis shows that poor communication, cultural and religious factors, distrust of health care systems and distrust of governments contributed to COVID-19 disinformation and misinformation in Black communities.
Interpretation: Our findings suggest racism and underlying systemic discrimination against Black Canadians immensely catalyzed the spread of disinformation and misinformation in Black communities across Canada, which exacerbated the health inequities Black people experienced. As such, using collaborative interventions to understand challenges within the community to relay information about COVID-19 and vaccines could address vaccine hesitancy.
{"title":"What contributes to COVID-19 online disinformation among Black Canadians: a qualitative study.","authors":"Janet Kemei, Dominic A Alaazi, Adedoyin Olanlesi-Aliu, Modupe Tunde-Byass, Ato Sekyi-Otu, Habiba Mohamud, Bukola Salami","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220197","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220197","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Black Canadians are disproportionately affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, and the literature suggests that online disinformation and misinformation contribute to higher rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccine hesitancy in Black communities in Canada. Through stakeholder interviews, we sought to describe the nature of COVID-19 online disinformation among Black Canadians and identify the factors contributing to this phenomenon.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted purposive sampling followed by snowball sampling and completed in-depth qualitative interviews with Black stakeholders with insights into the nature and impact of COVID-19 online disinformation and misinformation in Black communities. We analyzed data using content analysis, drawing on analytical resources from intersectionality theory.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The stakeholders (<i>n</i> = 30, 20 purposively sampled and 10 recruited by way of snowball sampling) reported sharing of COVID-19 online disinformation and misinformation in Black Canadian communities, involving social media interaction among family, friends and community members and information shared by prominent Black figures on social media platforms such as WhatsApp and Facebook. Our data analysis shows that poor communication, cultural and religious factors, distrust of health care systems and distrust of governments contributed to COVID-19 disinformation and misinformation in Black communities.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Our findings suggest racism and underlying systemic discrimination against Black Canadians immensely catalyzed the spread of disinformation and misinformation in Black communities across Canada, which exacerbated the health inequities Black people experienced. As such, using collaborative interventions to understand challenges within the community to relay information about COVID-19 and vaccines could address vaccine hesitancy.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E389-E396"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/e9/17/cmajo.20220197.PMC10158753.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9635764","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ayman Abou Mehrem, Jennifer Toye, Khalid Aziz, Karen Benzies, Belal Alshaikh, David Johnson, Peter Faris, Amuchou Soraisham, Deborah McNeil, Yazid N Al Hamarneh, Karen Foss, Charlotte Foulston, Christine Johns, Gabrielle L Zimmermann, Hussein Zein, Leonora Hendson, Kumar Kumaran, Dana Price, Nalini Singhal, Prakesh S Shah
Background: Evidence-based Practice for Improving Quality (EPIQ) is a collaborative quality improvement method adopted by the Canadian Neonatal Network that led to decreased mortality and morbidity in very preterm neonates. The Alberta Collaborative Quality Improvement Strategies to Improve Outcomes of Moderate and Late Preterm Infants (ABC-QI) Trial aims to evaluate the impact of EPIQ collaborative quality improvement strategies in moderate and late preterm neonates in Alberta, Canada.
Methods: In a 4-year, multicentre, stepped-wedge cluster randomized trial involving 12 neonatal intensive care units (NICUs), we will collect baseline data with the current practices in the first year (all NICUs in the control arm). Four NICUs will transition to the intervention arm at the end of each year, with 1 year of follow-up after the last group transitions to the intervention arm. Neonates born at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation with primary admission to NICUs or postpartum units will be included. The intervention includes implementation of respiratory and nutritional care bundles using EPIQ strategies, including quality improvement team building, quality improvement education, bundle implementation, quality improvement mentoring and collaborative networking. The primary outcome is length of hospital stay; secondary outcomes include health care costs and short-term clinical outcomes. Neonatal intensive care unit staff will complete a survey in the first year to assess quality improvement culture in each unit, and a sample will be interviewed 1 year after implementation in each unit to evaluate the implementation process.
Interpretation: The ABC-QI Trial will assess whether collaborative quality improvement strategies affect length of stay in moderate and late preterm neonates. It will provide detailed population-based data to support future research, benchmarking and quality improvement.
{"title":"Alberta Collaborative Quality Improvement Strategies to Improve Outcomes of Moderate and Late Preterm Infants (ABC-QI) Trial: a protocol for a multicentre, stepped-wedge cluster randomized trial.","authors":"Ayman Abou Mehrem, Jennifer Toye, Khalid Aziz, Karen Benzies, Belal Alshaikh, David Johnson, Peter Faris, Amuchou Soraisham, Deborah McNeil, Yazid N Al Hamarneh, Karen Foss, Charlotte Foulston, Christine Johns, Gabrielle L Zimmermann, Hussein Zein, Leonora Hendson, Kumar Kumaran, Dana Price, Nalini Singhal, Prakesh S Shah","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220177","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220177","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Evidence-based Practice for Improving Quality (EPIQ) is a collaborative quality improvement method adopted by the Canadian Neonatal Network that led to decreased mortality and morbidity in very preterm neonates. The Alberta Collaborative Quality Improvement Strategies to Improve Outcomes of Moderate and Late Preterm Infants (ABC-QI) Trial aims to evaluate the impact of EPIQ collaborative quality improvement strategies in moderate and late preterm neonates in Alberta, Canada.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In a 4-year, multicentre, stepped-wedge cluster randomized trial involving 12 neonatal intensive care units (NICUs), we will collect baseline data with the current practices in the first year (all NICUs in the control arm). Four NICUs will transition to the intervention arm at the end of each year, with 1 year of follow-up after the last group transitions to the intervention arm. Neonates born at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation with primary admission to NICUs or postpartum units will be included. The intervention includes implementation of respiratory and nutritional care bundles using EPIQ strategies, including quality improvement team building, quality improvement education, bundle implementation, quality improvement mentoring and collaborative networking. The primary outcome is length of hospital stay; secondary outcomes include health care costs and short-term clinical outcomes. Neonatal intensive care unit staff will complete a survey in the first year to assess quality improvement culture in each unit, and a sample will be interviewed 1 year after implementation in each unit to evaluate the implementation process.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>The ABC-QI Trial will assess whether collaborative quality improvement strategies affect length of stay in moderate and late preterm neonates. It will provide detailed population-based data to support future research, benchmarking and quality improvement.</p><p><strong>Trial registration: </strong>ClinicalTrials.gov, no. NCT05231200.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E397-E403"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/9e/8c/cmajo.20220177.PMC10158756.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9635765","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Siavash Zare-Zadeh, Braden J Manns, Derek S Chew, Tyrone G Harrison, Flora Au, Amity E Quinn
Background: Choosing Wisely Canada (CWC) recommends avoiding noninvasive advanced cardiac testing (e.g., exercise stress testing [EST], echocardiography and myocardial perfusion imaging [MPI]) for preoperative assessment in patients scheduled to undergo low-risk noncardiac surgery. In this study, we assessed the temporal trends in testing, overlapping with the introduction of the CWC recommendations in 2014, and patient and provider factors associated with low-value testing.
Methods: In this population-based retrospective cohort study, we used linked health administrative data in Alberta, Canada, to identify adult patients who underwent elective noncardiac surgery between Apr. 1, 2011, and Mar. 31, 2019, who had preoperative noninvasive advanced cardiac tests (EST, echocardiography or MPI) within 6 months before surgery. We included electrocardiography as an exploratory outcome. We excluded patients at high risk using the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (score ≥ 1 considered to indicate high risk), and modelled patient and temporal factors associated with the number of tests.
Results: We identified 1 045 896 elective noncardiac operations performed in 798 599 patients and 25 599 advanced preoperative cardiac tests; 2.1% of operations were preceded by advanced cardiac testing. The incidence of testing increased over the study period, and, by 2018/19, patients were 1.3 times (95% confidence interval 1.2-1.4) more likely to receive a preoperative advanced test compared to 2011/12. Urban patients were more likely to receive a preoperative advanced cardiac test than their rural counterparts. Electrocardiography was the most common preoperative cardiac test, preceding 182 128 procedures (17.4%).
Interpretation: Preoperative advanced cardiac testing was infrequent in adult Albertans who underwent low-risk elective noncardiac operations. Despite CWC recommendations, the use of some tests appears to be increasing, and there was substantial variation across geographic areas.
{"title":"Low-value preoperative cardiac testing before low-risk surgical procedures: a population-based cohort study.","authors":"Siavash Zare-Zadeh, Braden J Manns, Derek S Chew, Tyrone G Harrison, Flora Au, Amity E Quinn","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220049","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220049","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Choosing Wisely Canada (CWC) recommends avoiding noninvasive advanced cardiac testing (e.g., exercise stress testing [EST], echocardiography and myocardial perfusion imaging [MPI]) for preoperative assessment in patients scheduled to undergo low-risk noncardiac surgery. In this study, we assessed the temporal trends in testing, overlapping with the introduction of the CWC recommendations in 2014, and patient and provider factors associated with low-value testing.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this population-based retrospective cohort study, we used linked health administrative data in Alberta, Canada, to identify adult patients who underwent elective noncardiac surgery between Apr. 1, 2011, and Mar. 31, 2019, who had preoperative noninvasive advanced cardiac tests (EST, echocardiography or MPI) within 6 months before surgery. We included electrocardiography as an exploratory outcome. We excluded patients at high risk using the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (score ≥ 1 considered to indicate high risk), and modelled patient and temporal factors associated with the number of tests.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified 1 045 896 elective noncardiac operations performed in 798 599 patients and 25 599 advanced preoperative cardiac tests; 2.1% of operations were preceded by advanced cardiac testing. The incidence of testing increased over the study period, and, by 2018/19, patients were 1.3 times (95% confidence interval 1.2-1.4) more likely to receive a preoperative advanced test compared to 2011/12. Urban patients were more likely to receive a preoperative advanced cardiac test than their rural counterparts. Electrocardiography was the most common preoperative cardiac test, preceding 182 128 procedures (17.4%).</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Preoperative advanced cardiac testing was infrequent in adult Albertans who underwent low-risk elective noncardiac operations. Despite CWC recommendations, the use of some tests appears to be increasing, and there was substantial variation across geographic areas.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E451-E458"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/5a/51/cmajo.20220049.PMC10212574.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9994221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Anna Pujadas Botey, Tanya Barber, Paula J Robson, Barbara M O'Neill, Lee A Green
Background: Care pathways are tools that can help family physicians navigate the complexities of the cancer diagnostic process. Our objective was to examine the mental models associated with using care pathways for cancer diagnosis of a group of family physicians in Alberta.
Methods: We conducted a qualitative study using cognitive task analysis, with interviews in the primary care setting between February and March 2021. Family physicians whose practices were not heavily oriented toward patients with cancer and who did not work closely with specialized cancer clinics were recruited with the support of the Alberta Medical Association and leveraging our familiarity with Alberta's Primary Care Networks. We conducted simulation exercise interviews with 3 pathway examples over Zoom, and we analyzed data using both macrocognition theory and thematic analysis.
Results: Eight family physicians participated. Macrocognitive functions (and subthemes) related to mental models were sense-making and learning (confirmation and validation, guidance and support, and sense-giving to patients), care coordination and diagnostic decision-making (shared understanding). Themes related to the use of the pathways were limited use in diagnosis decisions, use in guiding and supporting referral, only relevant and easy-to-process information, and easily accessible.
Interpretation: Our findings suggest the importance of designing pathways intentionally for streamlined integration into family physicians' practices, highlighting the need for co-design approaches. Pathways were identified as a tool that, used in combination with other tools, may help gather information and support cancer diagnosis decisions, with the goals of improving patient outcomes and care experience.
{"title":"Using care pathways for cancer diagnosis in primary care: a qualitative study to understand family physicians' mental models.","authors":"Anna Pujadas Botey, Tanya Barber, Paula J Robson, Barbara M O'Neill, Lee A Green","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220084","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220084","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Care pathways are tools that can help family physicians navigate the complexities of the cancer diagnostic process. Our objective was to examine the mental models associated with using care pathways for cancer diagnosis of a group of family physicians in Alberta.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a qualitative study using cognitive task analysis, with interviews in the primary care setting between February and March 2021. Family physicians whose practices were not heavily oriented toward patients with cancer and who did not work closely with specialized cancer clinics were recruited with the support of the Alberta Medical Association and leveraging our familiarity with Alberta's Primary Care Networks. We conducted simulation exercise interviews with 3 pathway examples over Zoom, and we analyzed data using both macrocognition theory and thematic analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Eight family physicians participated. Macrocognitive functions (and subthemes) related to mental models were sense-making and learning (confirmation and validation, guidance and support, and sense-giving to patients), care coordination and diagnostic decision-making (shared understanding). Themes related to the use of the pathways were limited use in diagnosis decisions, use in guiding and supporting referral, only relevant and easy-to-process information, and easily accessible.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Our findings suggest the importance of designing pathways intentionally for streamlined integration into family physicians' practices, highlighting the need for co-design approaches. Pathways were identified as a tool that, used in combination with other tools, may help gather information and support cancer diagnosis decisions, with the goals of improving patient outcomes and care experience.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E486-E493"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/7f/f6/cmajo.20220084.PMC10263281.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9679636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kendall Ho, Riyad B Abu-Laban, Kurtis Stewart, Ross Duncan, Frank X Scheuermeyer, Lindsay Hedden, Helen Novak Lauscher, Sandra Sundhu, Rina Chadha, Jim Christenson, Eric Grafstein, Danielle C Lavallee, Roy Purssell, John M Tallon, Nancy Wood, Stirling Bryan
Background: British Columbia's 8-1-1 telephone service connects callers with nurses for health care advice. As of Nov. 16, 2020, callers advised by a registered nurse to obtain in-person medical care can be subsequently referred to virtual physicians. We sought to determine health system use and outcomes of 8-1-1 callers urgently triaged by a nurse and subsequently assessed by a virtual physician.
Methods: We identified callers referred to a virtual physician between Nov. 16, 2020, and Apr. 30, 2021. After assessment, virtual physicians assigned callers to 1 of 5 triage dispositions (i.e., go to emergency department [ED] now, see primary care provider within 24 hours, schedule an appointment with a health care provider, try home treatment, other). We linked relevant administrative databases to ascertain subsequent health care use and outcomes.
Results: We identified 5937 encounters with virtual physicians involving 5886 8-1-1 callers. Virtual physicians advised 1546 callers (26.0%) to go to the ED immediately, of whom 971 (62.8%) had 1 or more ED visits within 24 hours. Virtual physicians advised 556 (9.4%) callers to seek primary care within 24 hours, of whom 132 (23.7%) had primary care billings within 24 hours. Virtual physicians advised 1773 (29.9%) callers to schedule an appointment with a health care provider, of whom 812 (45.8%) had primary care billings within 7 days. Virtual physicians advised 1834 (30.9%) callers to try a home treatment, of whom 892 (48.6%) had no health system encounters over the next 7 days. Eight (0.1%) callers died within 7 days of assessment with a virtual physician, 5 of whom were advised to go to the ED immediately. Fifty-four (2.9%) callers with a "try home treatment" disposition were admitted to hospital within 7 days of a virtual physician assessment, and no callers who were advised home treatment died.
Interpretation: This Canadian study evaluated health service use and outcomes arising from the addition of virtual physicians to a provincial health information telephone service. Our findings suggest that supplementation of this service with an assessment from a virtual physician safely reduces the overall proportion of callers advised to seek urgent in-person visits.
{"title":"Health system use and outcomes of urgently triaged callers to a nurse-managed telephone service for provincial health information after initiation of supplemental virtual physician assessment: a descriptive study.","authors":"Kendall Ho, Riyad B Abu-Laban, Kurtis Stewart, Ross Duncan, Frank X Scheuermeyer, Lindsay Hedden, Helen Novak Lauscher, Sandra Sundhu, Rina Chadha, Jim Christenson, Eric Grafstein, Danielle C Lavallee, Roy Purssell, John M Tallon, Nancy Wood, Stirling Bryan","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220196","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220196","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>British Columbia's 8-1-1 telephone service connects callers with nurses for health care advice. As of Nov. 16, 2020, callers advised by a registered nurse to obtain in-person medical care can be subsequently referred to virtual physicians. We sought to determine health system use and outcomes of 8-1-1 callers urgently triaged by a nurse and subsequently assessed by a virtual physician.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We identified callers referred to a virtual physician between Nov. 16, 2020, and Apr. 30, 2021. After assessment, virtual physicians assigned callers to 1 of 5 triage dispositions (i.e., go to emergency department [ED] now, see primary care provider within 24 hours, schedule an appointment with a health care provider, try home treatment, other). We linked relevant administrative databases to ascertain subsequent health care use and outcomes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified 5937 encounters with virtual physicians involving 5886 8-1-1 callers. Virtual physicians advised 1546 callers (26.0%) to go to the ED immediately, of whom 971 (62.8%) had 1 or more ED visits within 24 hours. Virtual physicians advised 556 (9.4%) callers to seek primary care within 24 hours, of whom 132 (23.7%) had primary care billings within 24 hours. Virtual physicians advised 1773 (29.9%) callers to schedule an appointment with a health care provider, of whom 812 (45.8%) had primary care billings within 7 days. Virtual physicians advised 1834 (30.9%) callers to try a home treatment, of whom 892 (48.6%) had no health system encounters over the next 7 days. Eight (0.1%) callers died within 7 days of assessment with a virtual physician, 5 of whom were advised to go to the ED immediately. Fifty-four (2.9%) callers with a \"try home treatment\" disposition were admitted to hospital within 7 days of a virtual physician assessment, and no callers who were advised home treatment died.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>This Canadian study evaluated health service use and outcomes arising from the addition of virtual physicians to a provincial health information telephone service. Our findings suggest that supplementation of this service with an assessment from a virtual physician safely reduces the overall proportion of callers advised to seek urgent in-person visits.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E459-E465"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/3e/52/cmajo.20220196.PMC10212572.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9938783","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Emily Gard Marshall, David Stock, Richard Buote, Melissa K Andrew, Mylaine Breton, Benoit Cossette, Michael E Green, Jennifer E Isenor, Maria Mathews, Adrian MacKenzie, Ruth Martin-Misener, Beth McDougall, Melanie Mooney, Lauren R Moritz
Background: Primary care attachment improves health care access and health outcomes, but many Canadians are unattached, seeking a provider via provincial wait-lists. This Nova Scotia-wide cohort study compares emergency department utilization and hospital admission associated with insufficient primary care management among patients on and off a provincial primary care wait-list, before and during the first waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Methods: We linked wait-list and Nova Scotian administrative health data to describe people on and off wait-list, by quarter, between Jan. 1, 2017, and Dec. 24, 2020. We quantified emergency department utilization and ambulatory care sensitive condition (ACSC) hospital admission rates by wait-list status from physician claims and hospital admission data. We compared relative differences during the COVID-19 first and second waves with the previous year.
Results: During the study period, 100 867 people in Nova Scotia (10.1% of the provincial population) were on the wait-list. Those on the wait-list had higher emergency department utilization and ACSC hospital admission. Emergency department utilization was higher overall for individuals aged 65 years and older, and females; lowest during the first 2 COVID-19 waves; and differed more by wait-list status for those younger than 65 years. Emergency department contacts and ACSC hospital admissions decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic relative to the previous year, and for emergency department utilization, this difference was more pronounced for those on the wait-list.
Interpretation: People in Nova Scotia seeking primary care attachment via the provincial wait-list use hospital-based services more frequently than those not on the wait-list. Although both groups have had lower utilization during COVID-19, existing challenges to primary care access for those actively seeking a provider were further exacerbated during the initial waves of the pandemic. The degree to which forgone services produces downstream health burden remains in question.
{"title":"Emergency department utilization and hospital admissions for ambulatory care sensitive conditions among people seeking a primary care provider during the COVID-19 pandemic.","authors":"Emily Gard Marshall, David Stock, Richard Buote, Melissa K Andrew, Mylaine Breton, Benoit Cossette, Michael E Green, Jennifer E Isenor, Maria Mathews, Adrian MacKenzie, Ruth Martin-Misener, Beth McDougall, Melanie Mooney, Lauren R Moritz","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220128","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220128","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Primary care attachment improves health care access and health outcomes, but many Canadians are unattached, seeking a provider via provincial wait-lists. This Nova Scotia-wide cohort study compares emergency department utilization and hospital admission associated with insufficient primary care management among patients on and off a provincial primary care wait-list, before and during the first waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We linked wait-list and Nova Scotian administrative health data to describe people on and off wait-list, by quarter, between Jan. 1, 2017, and Dec. 24, 2020. We quantified emergency department utilization and ambulatory care sensitive condition (ACSC) hospital admission rates by wait-list status from physician claims and hospital admission data. We compared relative differences during the COVID-19 first and second waves with the previous year.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During the study period, 100 867 people in Nova Scotia (10.1% of the provincial population) were on the wait-list. Those on the wait-list had higher emergency department utilization and ACSC hospital admission. Emergency department utilization was higher overall for individuals aged 65 years and older, and females; lowest during the first 2 COVID-19 waves; and differed more by wait-list status for those younger than 65 years. Emergency department contacts and ACSC hospital admissions decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic relative to the previous year, and for emergency department utilization, this difference was more pronounced for those on the wait-list.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>People in Nova Scotia seeking primary care attachment via the provincial wait-list use hospital-based services more frequently than those not on the wait-list. Although both groups have had lower utilization during COVID-19, existing challenges to primary care access for those actively seeking a provider were further exacerbated during the initial waves of the pandemic. The degree to which forgone services produces downstream health burden remains in question.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E527-E536"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/d6/0a/cmajo.20220128.PMC10287103.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9707159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Andreas Pilarinos, Shannon Field, Krisztina Vasarhelyi, David Hall, Elder Doris Fox, Elder Roberta Price, Leslie Bonshor, Brittany Bingham
Background: In Canada, Indigenous Peoples continue to experience persistent health inequities, resulting in disproportionately poorer health outcomes compared with non-Indigenous Canadians. This study engaged Indigenous patients accessing health care in Vancouver, Canada, about their experiences of racism and improving cultural safety within health care.
Methods: A research team consisting of Indigenous and non-Indigenous researchers committed to employing a Two-Eyed Seeing approach and conducting culturally safe research hosted 2 sharing circles in May 2019 with Indigenous people recruited from urban health care settings. Talking circles were led by Indigenous Elders, and thematic analysis was used to identify overarching themes.
Results: A total of 26 participants attended 2 sharing circles, which included 25 self-identifying women and 1 self-identifying man. Thematic analysis resulted in the identification of 2 major themes: negative experiences in health care and perspectives on promising health care practices. For the first major theme, subthemes included the following: experiences of racism lead to poorer care experiences and health outcomes, Indigenous-specific racism results in mistrust in the health care system, and participants experience discrediting of traditional medicine and Indigenous perspectives on health. For the second major theme, subthemes included the following: Indigenous-specific services and supports improve trust in health care, Indigenous cultural safety education is necessary for all health care-involved staff, and providing welcoming, Indigenized spaces for Indigenous patients encourages health care engagement.
Interpretation: Despite participants' racist health care experiences, receiving culturally safe care was credited with improving trust in the health care system and well-being. The continued expansion of Indigenous cultural safety education, the creation of welcoming spaces, recruitment of Indigenous staff, and Indigenous self-determination over health care services can improve Indigenous patients' health care experiences.
{"title":"A qualitative exploration of Indigenous patients' experiences of racism and perspectives on improving cultural safety within health care.","authors":"Andreas Pilarinos, Shannon Field, Krisztina Vasarhelyi, David Hall, Elder Doris Fox, Elder Roberta Price, Leslie Bonshor, Brittany Bingham","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20220135","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220135","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In Canada, Indigenous Peoples continue to experience persistent health inequities, resulting in disproportionately poorer health outcomes compared with non-Indigenous Canadians. This study engaged Indigenous patients accessing health care in Vancouver, Canada, about their experiences of racism and improving cultural safety within health care.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A research team consisting of Indigenous and non-Indigenous researchers committed to employing a Two-Eyed Seeing approach and conducting culturally safe research hosted 2 sharing circles in May 2019 with Indigenous people recruited from urban health care settings. Talking circles were led by Indigenous Elders, and thematic analysis was used to identify overarching themes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 26 participants attended 2 sharing circles, which included 25 self-identifying women and 1 self-identifying man. Thematic analysis resulted in the identification of 2 major themes: negative experiences in health care and perspectives on promising health care practices. For the first major theme, subthemes included the following: experiences of racism lead to poorer care experiences and health outcomes, Indigenous-specific racism results in mistrust in the health care system, and participants experience discrediting of traditional medicine and Indigenous perspectives on health. For the second major theme, subthemes included the following: Indigenous-specific services and supports improve trust in health care, Indigenous cultural safety education is necessary for all health care-involved staff, and providing welcoming, Indigenized spaces for Indigenous patients encourages health care engagement.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Despite participants' racist health care experiences, receiving culturally safe care was credited with improving trust in the health care system and well-being. The continued expansion of Indigenous cultural safety education, the creation of welcoming spaces, recruitment of Indigenous staff, and Indigenous self-determination over health care services can improve Indigenous patients' health care experiences.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 3","pages":"E404-E410"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/1b/1e/cmajo.20220135.PMC10158754.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9583282","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-11Print Date: 2023-03-01DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20210335
Rodolphe Jantzen, Nicole Ezer, Sophie Camilleri-Broët, Martin C Tammemägi, Philippe Broët
Background: The PLCOm2012 prediction tool for risk of lung cancer has been proposed for a pilot program for lung cancer screening in Quebec, but has not been validated in this population. We sought to validate PLCOm2012 in a cohort of Quebec residents, and to determine the hypothetical performance of different screening strategies.
Methods: We included smokers without a history of lung cancer from the population-based CARTaGENE cohort. To assess PLCOm2012 calibration and discrimination, we determined the ratio of expected to observed number of cases, as well as the sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive values of different risk thresholds. To assess the performance of screening strategies if applied between Jan. 1, 1998, and Dec. 31, 2015, we tested different thresholds of the PLCOm2012 detection of lung cancer over 6 years (1.51%, 1.70% and 2.00%), the criteria of Quebec's pilot program (for people aged 55-74 yr and 50-74 yr) and recommendations from 2021 United States and 2016 Canada guidelines. We assessed shift and serial scenarios of screening, whereby eligibility was assessed annually or every 6 years, respectively.
Results: Among 11 652 participants, 176 (1.51%) lung cancers were diagnosed in 6 years. The PLCOm2012 tool underestimated the number of cases (expected-to-observed ratio 0.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.59-0.79), but the discrimination was good (C-statistic 0.727, 95% CI 0.679-0.770). From a threshold of 1.51% to 2.00%, sensitivities ranged from 52.3% (95% CI 44.6%-59.8%) to 44.9% (95% CI 37.4%-52.6%), specificities ranged from 81.6% (95% CI 80.8%-82.3%) to 87.7% (95% CI 87.0%-88.3%) and positive predictive values ranged from 4.2% (95% CI 3.4%-5.1%) to 5.3% (95% CI 4.2%-6.5%). Overall, 8938 participants had sufficient data to test performance of screening strategies. If eligibility was estimated annually, Quebec pilot criteria would have detected fewer cancers than PLCOm2012 at a 2.00% threshold (48.3% v. 50.2%) for a similar number of scans per detected cancer. If eligibility was estimated every 6 years, up to 26 fewer lung cancers would have been detected; however, this scenario led to higher positive predictive values (highest for PLCOm2012 with a 2.00% threshold at 6.0%, 95% CI 4.8%-7.3%).
Interpretation: In a cohort of Quebec smokers, the PLCOm2012 risk prediction tool had good discrimination in detecting lung cancer, but it may be helpful to adjust the intercept to improve calibration. The implementation of risk prediction models in some of the provinces of Canada should be done with caution.
{"title":"Evaluation of the accuracy of the PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> 6-year lung cancer risk prediction model among smokers in the CARTaGENE population-based cohort.","authors":"Rodolphe Jantzen, Nicole Ezer, Sophie Camilleri-Broët, Martin C Tammemägi, Philippe Broët","doi":"10.9778/cmajo.20210335","DOIUrl":"10.9778/cmajo.20210335","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> prediction tool for risk of lung cancer has been proposed for a pilot program for lung cancer screening in Quebec, but has not been validated in this population. We sought to validate PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> in a cohort of Quebec residents, and to determine the hypothetical performance of different screening strategies.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We included smokers without a history of lung cancer from the population-based CARTaGENE cohort. To assess PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> calibration and discrimination, we determined the ratio of expected to observed number of cases, as well as the sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive values of different risk thresholds. To assess the performance of screening strategies if applied between Jan. 1, 1998, and Dec. 31, 2015, we tested different thresholds of the PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> detection of lung cancer over 6 years (1.51%, 1.70% and 2.00%), the criteria of Quebec's pilot program (for people aged 55-74 yr and 50-74 yr) and recommendations from 2021 United States and 2016 Canada guidelines. We assessed shift and serial scenarios of screening, whereby eligibility was assessed annually or every 6 years, respectively.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 11 652 participants, 176 (1.51%) lung cancers were diagnosed in 6 years. The PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> tool underestimated the number of cases (expected-to-observed ratio 0.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.59-0.79), but the discrimination was good (C-statistic 0.727, 95% CI 0.679-0.770). From a threshold of 1.51% to 2.00%, sensitivities ranged from 52.3% (95% CI 44.6%-59.8%) to 44.9% (95% CI 37.4%-52.6%), specificities ranged from 81.6% (95% CI 80.8%-82.3%) to 87.7% (95% CI 87.0%-88.3%) and positive predictive values ranged from 4.2% (95% CI 3.4%-5.1%) to 5.3% (95% CI 4.2%-6.5%). Overall, 8938 participants had sufficient data to test performance of screening strategies. If eligibility was estimated annually, Quebec pilot criteria would have detected fewer cancers than PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> at a 2.00% threshold (48.3% v. 50.2%) for a similar number of scans per detected cancer. If eligibility was estimated every 6 years, up to 26 fewer lung cancers would have been detected; however, this scenario led to higher positive predictive values (highest for PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> with a 2.00% threshold at 6.0%, 95% CI 4.8%-7.3%).</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>In a cohort of Quebec smokers, the PLCO<sub>m2012</sub> risk prediction tool had good discrimination in detecting lung cancer, but it may be helpful to adjust the intercept to improve calibration. The implementation of risk prediction models in some of the provinces of Canada should be done with caution.</p>","PeriodicalId":10432,"journal":{"name":"CMAJ open","volume":"11 2","pages":"E314-E322"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/51/04/cmajo.20210335.PMC10095260.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9937742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}