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Discount curve estimation by monotonizing McCulloch Splines 基于McCulloch样条单调化的折现曲线估计
Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1142/S0219024908004919
H. Dette, D. Ziggel
In this paper a new and very simple method for monotone estimation of discount curves is proposed. The main idea of this approach is a simple modification of the commonly used (unconstrained) Mc-Culloch Spline. We construct an integrated density estimate from the predicted values of the discount curve. It can be shown that this statistic is an estimate of the inverse of the discount function and the final estimate can easily be obtained by a numerical inversion. The resulting procedure is extremely simple and we have implemented it in Excel and VBA, respectively. The performance is illustrated by three examples, in which the curve was previously estimated with an unconstrained McCulloch Spline.
本文提出了一种新的、非常简单的折现曲线单调估计方法。该方法的主要思想是对常用的(无约束)Mc-Culloch样条的简单修改。我们从贴现曲线的预测值构造了一个综合密度估计。结果表明,该统计量是折现函数逆的估计,通过数值反演可以很容易地得到最终估计。生成的过程非常简单,我们分别在Excel和VBA中实现了它。通过三个例子说明了该性能,其中曲线先前是用无约束McCulloch样条估计的。
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引用次数: 1
Evolutionary algorithms for robust methods 稳健方法的进化算法
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.17877/DE290R-12759
Robin Nunkesser, Oliver Morell
A drawback of robust statistical techniques is the increased computational effort often needed compared to non robust methods. Robust estimators possessing the exact fit property, for example, are NP-hard to compute. This means thatunder the widely believed assumption that the computational complexity classes NP and P are not equalthere is no hope to compute exact solutions for large high dimensional data sets. To tackle this problem, search heuristics are used to compute NP-hard estimators in high dimensions. Here, an evolutionary algorithm that is applicable to different robust estimators is presented. Further, variants of this evolutionary algorithm for selected estimatorsmost prominently least trimmed squares and least median of squaresare introduced and shown to outperform existing popular search heuristics in difficult data situations. The results increase the applicability of robust methods and underline the usefulness of evolutionary computation for computational statistics.
稳健统计技术的一个缺点是,与非稳健方法相比,通常需要增加计算量。例如,具有精确拟合性质的鲁棒估计是np困难的。这意味着,在人们普遍认为的计算复杂度类NP和P不相等的假设下,计算大型高维数据集的精确解是没有希望的。为了解决这个问题,搜索启发式算法被用于计算高维的NP-hard估计量。本文提出了一种适用于不同鲁棒估计量的进化算法。此外,介绍了该进化算法的变体,用于选择估计器,最突出的是最小裁剪平方和最小平方中位数,并显示出在困难数据情况下优于现有流行的搜索启发式。结果增加了鲁棒方法的适用性,并强调了进化计算对计算统计的有用性。
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引用次数: 0
Java sourcecode to Eiffel sourcecode compiler Java源码到Eiffel源码编译器
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-A-005772936
Marco Trudel
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引用次数: 1
Physical-layer Identification of Wireless Sensor Nodes; ; Technical Report; 无线传感器节点的物理层识别;技术报告;
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-A-006824756
Boris Danev, Srdjan Capkun
Identification of wireless sensor nodes based on the physical characteristics of their radio transmissions can potentially provide additional layer of security in all-wireless multi-hop sensor networks. Reliable identification can be means for detection and/or prevention of wormhole, Sybil and replication attacks, and for complementing cryptographic message authentication protocols. In this paper, we propose an improved method for capturing and analysis of sensor node radio signals for reliable and accurate recognition. We investigate the performance accuracy of our approach in terms of parameters such as distance, antenna polarization, voltage and show that it achieves recognition with EER=0.24%. We also propose and perform practical attacks on the recognition to further evaluate the robustness of the proposed method under security threats.
基于无线传输的物理特性来识别无线传感器节点,可以为全无线多跳传感器网络提供额外的安全保障。可靠的标识可以用于检测和/或防止虫洞、Sybil和复制攻击,并用于补充加密消息身份验证协议。在本文中,我们提出了一种改进的捕获和分析传感器节点无线电信号的方法,以获得可靠和准确的识别。我们从距离、天线极化、电压等参数考察了该方法的性能精度,结果表明,当EER=0.24%时,该方法实现了识别。我们还提出并执行了对识别的实际攻击,以进一步评估所提出方法在安全威胁下的鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 5
Strong consistency for delta sequence ratios 三角洲序列比具有很强的一致性
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.17877/DE290R-12770
Wladyslaw Poniatowski, R. Weißbach
Almost sure convergence for ratios of delta functions establishes global and local strong consistency for a variety of estimates and data generations. For instance, the empirical probability function from independent identically distributed random vectors, the empirical distribution for univariate independent identically distributed observations, and the kernel hazard rate estimate for right-censored and left-truncated data are covered. The convergence rates derive from the Bennett-Hoeffding inequality.
函数的比值几乎肯定的收敛性为各种估计和数据代建立了全局和局部的强一致性。例如,涵盖了独立同分布随机向量的经验概率函数,单变量独立同分布观测值的经验分布以及右截尾和左截尾数据的核风险率估计。收敛速率来源于Bennett-Hoeffding不等式。
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引用次数: 0
Spatially adaptive photographic flash 空间自适应摄影闪光灯
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-A-006733631
Rolf Adelsberger, R. Ziegler, M. Levoy, M. Gross
Using photographic flash for candid shots often results in an unevenly lit scene, in which objects in the back appear dark. We describe a spatially adaptive photographic flash system, in which the intensity of illumination varies depending on the depth and reflectivity of features in the scene. We adapt to changes in depth using a single-shot method, and to changes in reflectivity using a multi-shot method. The single-shot method requires only a depth image, whereas the multi-shot method requires at least one color image in addition to the depth data. To reduce noise in our depth images, we present a novel filter that takes into account the amplitude-dependent noise distribution of observed depth values. To demonstrate our ideas, we have built a prototype consisting of a depth camera, a flash light, an LCD and a lens. By attenuating the flash using the LCD, a variety of illumination effects can be achieved.
在偷拍时使用闪光灯往往会导致光线不均匀的场景,其中后面的物体看起来很暗。我们描述了一个空间自适应摄影闪光灯系统,其中照明强度根据景物的深度和反射率而变化。我们使用单镜头方法来适应深度的变化,使用多镜头方法来适应反射率的变化。所述单镜头方法只需要深度图像,而所述多镜头方法除了深度数据外还需要至少一幅彩色图像。为了减少深度图像中的噪声,我们提出了一种新的滤波器,该滤波器考虑了观测深度值的振幅相关噪声分布。为了演示我们的想法,我们制作了一个由深度相机、闪光灯、LCD和镜头组成的原型机。通过使用LCD对闪光灯进行衰减,可以实现多种照明效果。
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引用次数: 11
Robustness of optimal designs for the Michaelis-Menten model under a variation of criteria 标准变化下Michaelis-Menten模型最优设计的稳健性
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.17877/DE290R-14159
H. Dette, C. Kiss, W. Wong
The Michaelis-Menten model has and continues to be one of the most widely used models in many diverse fields. In the biomedical sciences, the model continues to be ubiquitous in biochemistry, enzyme kinetics studies, nutrition science and in the pharmaceutical sciences. Despite its wide ranging applications across disciplines, design issues for this model are given short shrift. This paper focuses on design issues and provides a variety of optimal designs of this model. In addition, we evaluate robustness properties of the optimal designs under a variation in optimality criteria. To facilitate use of optimal design ideas in practice, we design a web site for generating and comparing dfferent types of tailor-made optimal designs and user-supplied designs for the Michaelis-Menten and related models.
Michaelis-Menten模型已经并将继续成为许多不同领域中使用最广泛的模型之一。在生物医学科学中,该模型继续在生物化学、酶动力学研究、营养科学和制药科学中无处不在。尽管它在各个学科的应用范围很广,但这种模型的设计问题却被忽视了。本文重点讨论了该模型的设计问题,并提供了多种优化设计方案。此外,我们评估了在不同的最优性准则下的最优设计的鲁棒性。为了便于在实践中使用最佳设计思想,我们设计了一个网站,为Michaelis-Menten和相关模型生成和比较不同类型的量身定制的最佳设计和用户提供的设计。
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引用次数: 2
Shape constrained estimators in inverse regression models with convolution-type operator 带卷积算子的逆回归模型的形状约束估计
Pub Date : 2007-12-04 DOI: 10.17877/DE290R-15931
M. Birke, N. Bissantz
In this paper we are concerned with shape restricted estimation in inverse regression problems with convolution-type operator. We use increasing rearrangements to compute increasingand convex estimates from an (in principle arbitrary) unconstrained estimate of the unknown regression function. An advantage of our approach is that it is not necessary that prior shape information is known to be valid on the complete domain of the regression function. Instead, it is sufficient if it holds on some compact interval. A simulation study shows that the shape restricted estimate on the respective interval is significantly less sensitive to moderate undersmoothing than the unconstrained estimate, which substantially improves applicability of estimates based on data-driven bandwidth estimators. Finally, we demonstrate the application of the increasing estimator by the estimation of the luminosity profile of an elliptical galaxy. Here, a major interest is in reconstructing the central peak of the profile, which, due to its small size, requires to select the bandwidth as small as possible.
本文研究了卷积型算子逆回归问题中的形状受限估计问题。我们使用递增重排来从未知回归函数的(原则上任意的)无约束估计中计算递增和凸估计。我们的方法的一个优点是,它不需要先验形状信息是已知的有效的完整域上的回归函数。相反,如果它在某个紧区间上成立,它就是充分的。仿真研究表明,在相应区间上的形状受限估计对中度欠平滑的敏感性明显低于无约束估计,这大大提高了基于数据驱动的带宽估计的适用性。最后,通过对椭圆星系光度分布的估计,说明了渐增估计的应用。这里,主要的兴趣是重建轮廓的中心峰,由于它的小尺寸,需要选择尽可能小的带宽。
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引用次数: 2
Testing equality of spectral densities 谱密度相等性的检验
Pub Date : 2007-10-25 DOI: 10.17877/DE290R-14177
H. Dette, Efstathios Paroditis
We develop a test of the hypothesis that the spectral densities of a number m, m ≥ 2, not necessarily independent time series are equal. The test proposed is based on an appropriate L2-distance measure between the nonparametrically estimated individual spectral densities and an overall, ’pooled’ spectral density, the later being obtained using the whole set of m time series considered. The limiting distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis of equal spectral densities is derived and a novel frequency domain bootstrap method is presented in order to approximate more accurately this distribution. The asymptotic distribution of the test and its power properties for fixed alternatives are investigated. Some simulations are presented and a real-life data example is discussed.
我们提出了一个假设的检验,即数m, m≥2,不一定独立的时间序列的谱密度相等。所提出的测试是基于非参数估计的个体光谱密度和总体“池”光谱密度之间的适当l2距离度量,后者是使用所考虑的整个m时间序列集获得的。推导了等谱密度零假设下检验统计量的极限分布,提出了一种新的频域自举法,以便更精确地逼近该分布。研究了固定方案的检验的渐近分布及其幂函数性质。给出了一些仿真,并讨论了一个实际数据实例。
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引用次数: 4
Optimal designs for smoothing splines 优化设计平滑样条
Pub Date : 2007-09-05 DOI: 10.17877/DE290R-206
H. Dette, V. Melas, A. Pepelyshev
In the common nonparametric regression model we consider the problem of constructing optimal designs, if the unknown curve is estimated by a smoothing spline. A new basis for the space of natural splines is derived, and the local minimax property for these splines is used to derive two optimality criteria for the construction of optimal designs. The first criterion determines the design for a most precise estimation of the coefficients in the spline representation and corresponds to D-optimality, while the second criterion is the G-criterion and corresponds to an accurate prediction of the curve. Several properties of the optimal designs are derived. In general D- and G-optimal designs are not equivalent. Optimal designs are determined numerically and compared with the uniform design.
在一般的非参数回归模型中,我们考虑用光滑样条估计未知曲线的最优设计问题。导出了自然样条空间的一种新基,并利用这些样条的局部极大极小性导出了构造优化设计的两个最优性准则。第一个准则决定了在样条表示中最精确估计系数的设计,对应于d -最优性,而第二个准则是g准则,对应于曲线的准确预测。推导了优化设计的几个性质。一般来说,D-最优设计和g -最优设计是不相等的。用数值方法确定了最优设计,并与均匀设计进行了比较。
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