首页 > 最新文献

John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series最新文献

英文 中文
Reimagining Rights & Responsibilities in the United States: Gun Rights and Public Safety 重新构想美国的权利与责任:枪支权利与公共安全
Pub Date : 2021-03-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3802077
Harvard Kennedy School RPS, J. Shattuck, Mathias Risse

In March 2018, hundreds of thousands of young people walked out of school and marched on their local statehouses and on the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., to advocate for stricter controls on gun sales and ownership. The March for Our Lives was initially organized by students at Margery Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, where a school shooting had killed 17 students. Collectively, the marches were the largest-ever protest against gun violence, and one of the largest protests of any kind in American history.

The growing consensus over the need for some “common-sense” gun laws to regulate the sale and ownership of firearms stands in sharp contrast to the incendiary rhetoric of the National Rifle Association, which has sounded the alarm in recent years that Democrats are coming to “take away” guns or institute a national registry of firearm ownership. Indeed, the reasonableness on both sides of the debate implies that there is a middle-ground that can be achieved to limit gun violence in the United States, while still allowing for responsible ownership of firearms for hunting, sport shooting, and personal protection.
2018年3月,成千上万的年轻人走出学校,在当地的州议会大厦和华盛顿特区的美国国会大厦游行,要求对枪支销售和所有权进行更严格的控制。“为我们的生命游行”最初是由佛罗里达州帕克兰市玛杰里·斯通曼·道格拉斯高中的学生组织的,该校发生枪击事件,造成17名学生死亡。总的来说,这些游行是有史以来规模最大的反对枪支暴力的抗议活动,也是美国历史上规模最大的抗议活动之一。越来越多的人认为,需要制定一些“常见性”的枪支法律来规范枪支的销售和所有权,这与美国步枪协会(National Rifle Association)的煽动性言论形成鲜明对比。该协会近年来一直在发出警告,称民主党人将“没收”枪支,或对枪支所有权进行全国登记。事实上,辩论双方的合理性表明,在限制美国枪支暴力的同时,仍然允许负责任的枪支所有权用于狩猎、运动射击和个人保护,这是可以实现的中间立场。
{"title":"Reimagining Rights & Responsibilities in the United States: Gun Rights and Public Safety","authors":"Harvard Kennedy School RPS, J. Shattuck, Mathias Risse","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3802077","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3802077","url":null,"abstract":"<br>In March 2018, hundreds of thousands of young people walked out of school and marched on their local statehouses and on the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., to advocate for stricter controls on gun sales and ownership. The March for Our Lives was initially organized by students at Margery Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, where a school shooting had killed 17 students. Collectively, the marches were the largest-ever protest against gun violence, and one of the largest protests of any kind in American history.<br><br>The growing consensus over the need for some “common-sense” gun laws to regulate the sale and ownership of firearms stands in sharp contrast to the incendiary rhetoric of the National Rifle Association, which has sounded the alarm in recent years that Democrats are coming to “take away” guns or institute a national registry of firearm ownership. Indeed, the reasonableness on both sides of the debate implies that there is a middle-ground that can be achieved to limit gun violence in the United States, while still allowing for responsible ownership of firearms for hunting, sport shooting, and personal protection.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116471279","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Estimating the Costs and Benefits of Supported Quarantine and Isolation in Massachusetts: The Missing Link in Covid-19 Response 估计马萨诸塞州支持隔离和隔离的成本和收益:Covid-19应对中缺失的一环
Pub Date : 2021-02-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3790728
M. Bourdeaux, Jessica Kaushal, Linda J. Bilmes, Annmarie Sasdi, Megan Mishra, Anne M Hoyt
The slow rollout of vaccines against SARS-CoV2, the virus that causes Covid-19 disease, and the emergence of viral variants that threaten vaccines’ efficacy demonstrate the urgent need to bolster non-vaccine public health strategies to mitigate viral transmission. Quarantine and isolation are critical epidemic mitigation strategies wherein exposed or infected individuals, respectively, stay apart from others until they are no longer contagious. For SARS-CoV-2, the CDC recommends quarantine and isolation periods ranging from 7-14 days. Successfully completing this period of separation may prove too challenging for many individuals. Challenges may include forfeiting wages, forgoing procurement of basic necessities, and failing to fulfill family or community obligations. “Supported” quarantine and isolation refers to public programs that aim to help individuals overcome these challenges by providing financial incentives and wraparound services so that they can successfully complete separation periods and stop transmission of the virus. The purpose of this paper is to estimate the need for a supported quarantine and isolation program in Massachusetts and to describe a budgeting model to help the state calculate the costs of instituting them, compared to the costs of not providing them, for the duration of the SARS-CoV2 epidemic. To assess the need for supported quarantine and isolation programs we reviewed the literature on successful support programs and interviewed public health practitioners working directly with infected individuals through the Massachusetts contact tracing program. We found three main drivers of failed quarantine and isolation: the need to go to work to maintain salary, the need to purchase essential necessities, and the need for social services counseling. Our model estimates the costs of addressing these challenges, through both home-based and facility based programs. We assessed that providing these supports would result in a weighted-average cost of $430/person. Using current projections of when the epidemic will resolve and the number of new cases per day averaged over the time period from March-December 2020, our model estimates providing these services to infected individuals and their contacts would be in the range of $300-570 million, depending on the trajectory of infections over the next 211 days and assumptions regarding the number of contacts per infected individual. In addition, we modeled the medical care costs of failed quarantines and isolation, in which onward transmission of the virus is not interrupted. Each Covid-19 case is associated with ~$2,500/person in medical care expenses.1 The model estimates how sensitive direct medical costs are to the Effective Reproduction Number, (Rt), or the average number of people an infected person will in turn infect. A supported quarantine program that reduces infection transmission can offer savings in direct medical costs. For example, if a supported quarantine progra
针对SARS-CoV2(导致Covid-19疾病的病毒)的疫苗推广缓慢,以及威胁疫苗效力的病毒变体的出现,表明迫切需要加强非疫苗公共卫生战略,以减轻病毒传播。检疫和隔离是关键的流行病缓解战略,其中暴露者或感染者分别与其他人隔离,直到他们不再具有传染性。对于SARS-CoV-2,疾病预防控制中心建议隔离和隔离期为7-14天。对许多人来说,成功地完成这段时间的分离可能太具有挑战性了。挑战可能包括没收工资,放弃购买基本必需品,以及未能履行家庭或社区义务。“支持”隔离是指旨在帮助个人克服这些挑战的公共项目,通过提供财政激励和一揽子服务,使他们能够成功地完成隔离期并阻止病毒传播。本文的目的是估计马萨诸塞州对支持隔离和隔离计划的需求,并描述一个预算模型,以帮助该州计算在SARS-CoV2流行期间建立隔离和隔离计划的成本,与不提供隔离和隔离计划的成本相比。为了评估支持检疫和隔离计划的必要性,我们回顾了成功支持计划的文献,并采访了通过马萨诸塞州接触者追踪计划直接接触感染者的公共卫生从业人员。我们发现隔离和隔离失败的三个主要驱动因素:需要去工作以维持工资,需要购买基本必需品,需要社会服务咨询。我们的模型估计了解决这些挑战的成本,包括基于家庭和基于设施的项目。我们评估,提供这些支持将导致每人430美元的加权平均费用。根据目前对疫情何时消退的预测,以及2020年3月至12月期间每天平均新增病例数,我们的模型估计,根据未来211天的感染轨迹和每个感染者接触者数量的假设,向感染者及其接触者提供这些服务的成本将在3亿至5.7亿美元之间。此外,我们还模拟了隔离和隔离失败的医疗成本,在这种情况下,病毒的传播不会被中断。每个Covid-19病例与每人约2,500美元的医疗费用相关该模型估计了直接医疗费用对有效繁殖数(Rt)的敏感程度,即一个感染者将反过来感染的平均人数。一个得到支持的隔离项目可以减少感染传播,从而节省直接的医疗费用。例如,如果支持的隔离计划可以将平均Rt从1.09(到2020年马萨诸塞州SARS-CoV2流行病的平均Rt)降低到1.06,这种干预可以节省6.1亿美元的医疗费用,超过该计划在这种发病率和传播水平下的估计成本。虽然在降低高传播水平时,估计的节省尤其明显,但即使在低传播水平下,减少Rt也与付款人的直接医疗费用降低有关。
{"title":"Estimating the Costs and Benefits of Supported Quarantine and Isolation in Massachusetts: The Missing Link in Covid-19 Response","authors":"M. Bourdeaux, Jessica Kaushal, Linda J. Bilmes, Annmarie Sasdi, Megan Mishra, Anne M Hoyt","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3790728","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3790728","url":null,"abstract":"The slow rollout of vaccines against SARS-CoV2, the virus that causes Covid-19 disease, and the emergence of viral variants that threaten vaccines’ efficacy demonstrate the urgent need to bolster non-vaccine public health strategies to mitigate viral transmission. Quarantine and isolation are critical epidemic mitigation strategies wherein exposed or infected individuals, respectively, stay apart from others until they are no longer contagious. For SARS-CoV-2, the CDC recommends quarantine and isolation periods ranging from 7-14 days. Successfully completing this period of separation may prove too challenging for many individuals. Challenges may include forfeiting wages, forgoing procurement of basic necessities, and failing to fulfill family or community obligations. “Supported” quarantine and isolation refers to public programs that aim to help individuals overcome these challenges by providing financial incentives and wraparound services so that they can successfully complete separation periods and stop transmission of the virus. The purpose of this paper is to estimate the need for a supported quarantine and isolation program in Massachusetts and to describe a budgeting model to help the state calculate the costs of instituting them, compared to the costs of not providing them, for the duration of the SARS-CoV2 epidemic. \u0000 \u0000To assess the need for supported quarantine and isolation programs we reviewed the literature on successful support programs and interviewed public health practitioners working directly with infected individuals through the Massachusetts contact tracing program. We found three main drivers of failed quarantine and isolation: the need to go to work to maintain salary, the need to purchase essential necessities, and the need for social services counseling. Our model estimates the costs of addressing these challenges, through both home-based and facility based programs. We assessed that providing these supports would result in a weighted-average cost of $430/person. Using current projections of when the epidemic will resolve and the number of new cases per day averaged over the time period from March-December 2020, our model estimates providing these services to infected individuals and their contacts would be in the range of $300-570 million, depending on the trajectory of infections over the next 211 days and assumptions regarding the number of contacts per infected individual. In addition, we modeled the medical care costs of failed quarantines and isolation, in which onward transmission of the virus is not interrupted. Each Covid-19 case is associated with ~$2,500/person in medical care expenses.1 The model estimates how sensitive direct medical costs are to the Effective Reproduction Number, (Rt), or the average number of people an infected person will in turn infect. A supported quarantine program that reduces infection transmission can offer savings in direct medical costs. For example, if a supported quarantine progra","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129888450","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
The Chiapas Puzzle 恰帕斯之谜
Pub Date : 2020-03-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3770200
M. Santos, C. Pan
For the twenty years following the Zapatista uprising (1994-2013), the federal government had placed a lot of resources and policy attention in an effort to reduce the large income gaps between Chiapas and the rest of Mexico. Public investment in schools, hospitals, and conditional cash transfer programs had been implemented, resulting in a significant improvement that did reduce the gap in terms of educational and health outcomes. Massive infrastructure projects had been undertaken to upgrade Chiapas' roads, ports and airports, boosting the connectivity of the state with markets within the state and elsewhere in Mexico. And yet, twenty years later the income gap between workers in Chiapas and the rest of Mexico had deepened, and Chiapas remains the poorest state in Mexico, with three quarters of its population poor and close to half in extreme poverty. Large productivity gaps - as proxied by wages - are not only observed between states, but have also expanded dramatically within the three sectors employing two-­thirds of the workers in Chiapas: Agriculture, wholesale and retail, and manufacturing. One year into his term as Finance Minister for the government of Enrique Peña Nieto (2013-2018), Luis Videgaray ponders the statistical evidence available and baffles at the puzzle.

The case includes a series of videos featuring Luis Videgaray, Mexico’s former Secretary of Finance and Public Credit (2012-2016). In the first video, “The Chiapas Puzzle” (7:41 min.), to be viewed by students in preparation for the class, Mr. Videgaray explains the situation in Chiapas and the dilemmas he and the Mexican Government faced early on. The other three videos, “The Case of Yazaki” (3:55 min.), “Infrastructure and Political Economy” (4:19 min.), and “Takeaways” (5:03 min.) can be played as part of the class discussion. The videos can be viewed by clicking "Visit Website" on this page.

A supplemental slide set is also included with this case. It contains key exhibits from the case, as well as information and visuals not available in the case, that can be used by the instructor in the discussion.
在萨帕塔起义(1994-2013)后的20年里,联邦政府投入了大量资源和政策关注,以缩小恰帕斯州与墨西哥其他地区之间巨大的收入差距。对学校、医院和有条件现金转移支付方案的公共投资已经实施,取得了重大进展,确实缩小了教育和健康成果方面的差距。大规模的基础设施项目已经开始升级恰帕斯州的道路、港口和机场,促进了该州与州内和墨西哥其他地方市场的连通性。然而,20年后,恰帕斯州和墨西哥其他地区工人之间的收入差距加深了,恰帕斯州仍然是墨西哥最贫穷的州,四分之三的人口处于贫困状态,接近一半的人口处于极端贫困状态。巨大的生产率差距——以工资为代表——不仅在各州之间存在,而且在雇用恰帕斯州三分之二工人的三个部门——农业、批发和零售以及制造业——内部也急剧扩大。在恩里克·Peña涅托政府(2013-2018)担任财政部长一年后,路易斯·维德加雷(Luis Videgaray)对现有的统计证据进行了思考,并对这个难题感到困惑。该案件包括墨西哥前财政和公共信贷部长Luis Videgaray(2012-2016)的一系列视频。在第一段视频“恰帕斯之谜”(7分41秒)中,Videgaray先生解释了恰帕斯的情况,以及他和墨西哥政府早先面临的困境,供学生们在备课时观看。另外三个视频,“Yazaki案例”(3:55分钟),“基础设施和政治经济”(4:19分钟)和“外卖”(5:03分钟)可以作为课堂讨论的一部分播放。点击本页的“访问网站”即可观看视频。本案例还包括一套补充幻灯片。它包含了案例中的关键证据,以及案例中没有的信息和视觉效果,这些都可以被讲师在讨论中使用。
{"title":"The Chiapas Puzzle","authors":"M. Santos, C. Pan","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3770200","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3770200","url":null,"abstract":"For the twenty years following the Zapatista uprising (1994-2013), the federal government had placed a lot of resources and policy attention in an effort to reduce the large income gaps between Chiapas and the rest of Mexico. Public investment in schools, hospitals, and conditional cash transfer programs had been implemented, resulting in a significant improvement that did reduce the gap in terms of educational and health outcomes. Massive infrastructure projects had been undertaken to upgrade Chiapas' roads, ports and airports, boosting the connectivity of the state with markets within the state and elsewhere in Mexico. And yet, twenty years later the income gap between workers in Chiapas and the rest of Mexico had deepened, and Chiapas remains the poorest state in Mexico, with three quarters of its population poor and close to half in extreme poverty. Large productivity gaps - as proxied by wages - are not only observed between states, but have also expanded dramatically within the three sectors employing two-­thirds of the workers in Chiapas: Agriculture, wholesale and retail, and manufacturing. One year into his term as Finance Minister for the government of Enrique Peña Nieto (2013-2018), Luis Videgaray ponders the statistical evidence available and baffles at the puzzle. <br><br>The case includes a series of videos featuring Luis Videgaray, Mexico’s former Secretary of Finance and Public Credit (2012-2016). In the first video, “The Chiapas Puzzle” (7:41 min.), to be viewed by students in preparation for the class, Mr. Videgaray explains the situation in Chiapas and the dilemmas he and the Mexican Government faced early on. The other three videos, “The Case of Yazaki” (3:55 min.), “Infrastructure and Political Economy” (4:19 min.), and “Takeaways” (5:03 min.) can be played as part of the class discussion. The videos can be viewed by clicking \"Visit Website\" on this page. <br><br>A supplemental slide set is also included with this case. It contains key exhibits from the case, as well as information and visuals not available in the case, that can be used by the instructor in the discussion.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127856459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Returnable Reciprocity: When Optional Gifts Increase Compliance 可返还互惠:当可选礼物增加遵从性
Pub Date : 2020-03-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3552774
Julian J. Zlatev, Todd Rogers
Classic takes on the norm of reciprocity find that receipt of a gift increases compliance with a later request. We find that giving people the opportunity to return this gift surprisingly increases compliance rates, a phenomenon we call “returnable reciprocity”. Across four studies (N = 3,786), we find evidence that returnable reciprocity leads to greater compliance in a large-scale field experiment (Study 1), as well as in conceptual lab replications (Studies 2 and 3) involving different domains. We provide evidence that this increased compliance may be due to increased feelings of guilt for non-compliance (Study 3). Finally, we find that while the economic cost of returnable reciprocity is negligible, it may create additional psychological or societal costs that must be taken into account when assessing its social welfare implications (Study 4). We end by discussing the theoretical, practical and social welfare implications of this novel compliance strategy.
《经典》研究了互惠原则,发现收到礼物会增加以后请求的依从性。我们发现,给人们返还礼物的机会,会意外地提高人们的回礼率,我们将这种现象称为“可返还互惠”。在四项研究(N = 3,786)中,我们发现证据表明,在涉及不同领域的大规模现场实验(研究1)以及概念实验室重复实验(研究2和3)中,可返回互惠导致更大的依从性。我们提供的证据表明,这种依从性的增加可能是由于对不遵守行为的负罪感增加(研究3)。最后,我们发现,虽然可回报互惠的经济成本可以忽略不计,但在评估其社会福利影响时,它可能会产生额外的心理或社会成本(研究4)。我们最后讨论了这种新型依从策略的理论、实践和社会福利影响。
{"title":"Returnable Reciprocity: When Optional Gifts Increase Compliance","authors":"Julian J. Zlatev, Todd Rogers","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3552774","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3552774","url":null,"abstract":"Classic takes on the norm of reciprocity find that receipt of a gift increases compliance with a later request. We find that giving people the opportunity to return this gift surprisingly increases \u0000compliance rates, a phenomenon we call “returnable reciprocity”. Across four studies (N = 3,786), we find evidence that returnable reciprocity leads to greater compliance in a large-scale field experiment (Study 1), as well as in conceptual lab replications (Studies 2 and 3) involving different domains. We provide evidence that this increased compliance may be due to increased feelings of guilt for non-compliance (Study 3). Finally, we find that while the economic cost of returnable reciprocity is negligible, it may create additional psychological or societal costs that must be taken into account when assessing its social welfare implications (Study 4). We end by discussing the theoretical, practical and social welfare implications of this novel compliance strategy.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"59 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134038688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The $64 Billion Massachusetts Vehicle Economy 640亿美元的马萨诸塞州汽车经济
Pub Date : 2019-12-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3499676
Steve Olson, Phil Berkaw, L. Charland, E. Patton, Linda J. Bilmes
Policymakers and budgetary analysts have long argued that roads are heavily subsidized. The diffusion of spending among federal, state, and local government entities, along with the complexity of indirect costs, make it difficult to understand the fully loaded cost of the vehicle economy. Individual families may track the personal costs of car ownership to their budgets, but they rarely consider the total cost of operating and maintaining the vehicle economy because the vast majority of roads and parking areas are provided free at the point of use. This study is intended to increase transparency regarding road-related spending and to provide a comprehensive estimate of the economic cost of Massachusetts’ vehicle economy.
政策制定者和预算分析人士长期以来一直认为,道路得到了大量补贴。联邦、州和地方政府实体之间的支出分散,以及间接成本的复杂性,使得人们很难理解汽车经济的全部成本。个别家庭可能会将拥有汽车的个人成本计入他们的预算,但他们很少考虑运营和维护汽车经济的总成本,因为绝大多数道路和停车场在使用时都是免费提供的。本研究旨在提高道路相关支出的透明度,并对马萨诸塞州车辆经济的经济成本进行全面估计。
{"title":"The $64 Billion Massachusetts Vehicle Economy","authors":"Steve Olson, Phil Berkaw, L. Charland, E. Patton, Linda J. Bilmes","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3499676","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3499676","url":null,"abstract":"Policymakers and budgetary analysts have long argued that roads are heavily subsidized. The diffusion of spending among federal, state, and local government entities, along with the complexity of indirect costs, make it difficult to understand the fully loaded cost of the vehicle economy. Individual families may track the personal costs of car ownership to their budgets, but they rarely consider the total cost of operating and maintaining the vehicle economy because the vast majority of roads and parking areas are provided free at the point of use. This study is intended to increase transparency regarding road-related spending and to provide a comprehensive estimate of the economic cost of Massachusetts’ vehicle economy.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"56 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126900148","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Property Rights Theory of Production Networks 生产网络的产权理论
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3491842
Ivan Balbuzanov, M. Kotowski
This paper investigates the formation of production and trading networks in an economy with general interdependencies and complex property rights. We argue that the right to exclude, a core tenet of property, grants asset owners local monopoly power that is both amplified and constrained by an economy's endogenous production network. Supply multisourcing and a bias toward shorter supply chains emerge in equilibrium. As a methodological contribution, we generalize the top trading cycles algorithm to a production economy. Applications of the framework include the study of vertical integration and government intervention in supply chains.
本文研究了具有普遍相互依赖关系和复杂产权的经济中生产和贸易网络的形成。我们认为,排他权是财产的核心原则,它赋予资产所有者地方垄断权力,这种权力既被经济体的内生生产网络放大,也受到其限制。供应多源和偏向较短供应链在平衡状态下出现。作为方法上的贡献,我们将顶级交易周期算法推广到生产经济。该框架的应用包括对供应链纵向整合和政府干预的研究。
{"title":"The Property Rights Theory of Production Networks","authors":"Ivan Balbuzanov, M. Kotowski","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3491842","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3491842","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the formation of production and trading networks in an economy with general interdependencies and complex property rights. We argue that the right to exclude, a core tenet of property, grants asset owners local monopoly power that is both amplified and constrained by an economy's endogenous production network. Supply multisourcing and a bias toward shorter supply chains emerge in equilibrium. As a methodological contribution, we generalize the top trading cycles algorithm to a production economy. Applications of the framework include the study of vertical integration and government intervention in supply chains.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"64 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131228143","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
A Source of Escalation or a Source of Restraint? An Empirical Investigation of How Civil Society Affects Mass Killings 是升级之源还是克制之源?公民社会如何影响大屠杀的实证研究
Pub Date : 2019-09-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3451355
E. Chenoweth, Evan Perkoski
Why do some state-led mass killings end quickly while others endure for over a decade? And why do some states murder millions of constituents during the course of mass killings, whereas other states seem to “retreat from the brink†after killing thousands (Straus 2012)? A large body of work has focused on the important role played by civil society and non-governmental actors in initiating different forms of rescue, evasion, and assistance in the midst of different cases of mass killings, as well as the political pressure they have applied in bringing about the ends of civil conflicts. Despite many inspiring and hopeful cases of collective action under systems of intense repression, other research finds civil society can play a much more malevolent force in the context of mass killings. In this paper, we test some basic mechanisms that emerge from the literature on more general relationships between civil society and mass killings. We find that, in general, a relatively participatory and autonomous civil society is correlated with shorter mass killings. However, we also find that active civil societies are associated with higher rates of lethality, particularly when those civil society sectors are active in highly unequal polities. Because most mass killings are relatively short, our findings suggest that civil societies in states with uneven access to power are more commonly correlated with shorter, deadlier spells of government violence. This conclusion seemingly supports the view of civil society skeptics, at least in contexts where mass killings have already begun.
为什么一些国家主导的大屠杀很快就结束了,而另一些则持续了十多年?为什么有些州在大规模屠杀的过程中杀害了数百万选民,而其他州在杀害数千人后似乎从边缘€œretreat (Straus 2012)?大量的工作集中在民间社会和非政府行动者在不同的大规模屠杀案件中发起不同形式的救援、逃避和援助方面所发挥的重要作用,以及他们为结束国内冲突所施加的政治压力。尽管有许多在强烈镇压制度下采取集体行动的鼓舞人心和充满希望的案例,但其他研究发现,在大规模杀戮的背景下,公民社会可以发挥更恶毒的作用。在本文中,我们测试了一些基本机制,这些机制来自于关于公民社会与大规模杀戮之间更一般关系的文献。我们发现,一般来说,一个相对参与和自主的公民社会与较短的大规模杀戮有关。然而,我们还发现,活跃的民间社会与较高的死亡率有关,特别是当这些民间社会部门在高度不平等的政治中活跃时。由于大多数大规模屠杀的时间相对较短,我们的研究结果表明,在权力不平等的国家,公民社会与政府暴力的时间更短、更致命的关系更普遍。这一结论似乎支持了民间社会怀疑论者的观点,至少在大规模屠杀已经开始的情况下是这样。
{"title":"A Source of Escalation or a Source of Restraint? An Empirical Investigation of How Civil Society Affects Mass Killings","authors":"E. Chenoweth, Evan Perkoski","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3451355","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3451355","url":null,"abstract":"Why do some state-led mass killings end quickly while others endure for over a decade? And why do some states murder millions of constituents during the course of mass killings, whereas other states seem to “retreat from the brink†after killing thousands (Straus 2012)? A large body of work has focused on the important role played by civil society and non-governmental actors in initiating different forms of rescue, evasion, and assistance in the midst of different cases of mass killings, as well as the political pressure they have applied in bringing about the ends of civil conflicts. Despite many inspiring and hopeful cases of collective action under systems of intense repression, other research finds civil society can play a much more malevolent force in the context of mass killings. In this paper, we test some basic mechanisms that emerge from the literature on more general relationships between civil society and mass killings. We find that, in general, a relatively participatory and autonomous civil society is correlated with shorter mass killings. However, we also find that active civil societies are associated with higher rates of lethality, particularly when those civil society sectors are active in highly unequal polities. Because most mass killings are relatively short, our findings suggest that civil societies in states with uneven access to power are more commonly correlated with shorter, deadlier spells of government violence. This conclusion seemingly supports the view of civil society skeptics, at least in contexts where mass killings have already begun.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125576849","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using Behavioral Insights to Improve Truancy Notifications 使用行为洞察改进旷课通知
Pub Date : 2019-08-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3440376
Jessica Lasky-Fink, Carly D. Robinson, H. Chang, Todd Rogers
Many states mandate districts or schools notify parents when students have missed multiple unexcused days of school. We report a randomized experiment (N = 131,312) evaluating the impact of sending parents truancy notifications modified to target behavioral barriers that can hinder effective parental engagement. Modified truancy notifications that used simplified language, emphasized parental efficacy, and highlighted the negative incremental effects of missing school reduced absences by 0.07 days compared to the standard, legalistic, and punitively-worded notification — an estimated 40% improvement. This work illustrates how behavioral insights and randomized experiments can be used to improve administrative communications in education.
许多州要求学区或学校在学生无故旷课多天时通知家长。我们报告了一项随机实验(N = 131312),评估了向父母发送旷课通知的影响,该通知针对可能阻碍父母有效参与的行为障碍进行了修改。修改后的逃课通知使用了简化的语言,强调了家长的效力,并强调了缺课的负面增量影响,与标准的、法律的、惩罚性措辞的通知相比,缺课时间减少了0.07天,估计改善了40%。这项工作说明了如何使用行为洞察力和随机实验来改善教育中的行政沟通。
{"title":"Using Behavioral Insights to Improve Truancy Notifications","authors":"Jessica Lasky-Fink, Carly D. Robinson, H. Chang, Todd Rogers","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3440376","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3440376","url":null,"abstract":"Many states mandate districts or schools notify parents when students have missed multiple unexcused days of school. We report a randomized experiment (N = 131,312) evaluating the impact of sending parents truancy notifications modified to target behavioral barriers that can hinder effective parental engagement. Modified truancy notifications that used simplified language, emphasized parental efficacy, and highlighted the negative incremental effects of missing school reduced absences by 0.07 days compared to the standard, legalistic, and punitively-worded notification — an estimated 40% improvement. This work illustrates how behavioral insights and randomized experiments can be used to improve administrative communications in education.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124025360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Risky Business: Commissioning Portraits in Renaissance Italy 冒险的生意:意大利文艺复兴时期的委托肖像
Pub Date : 2019-07-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3423084
J. Nelson, R. Zeckhauser
Portraits served as a form of social media in the Renaissance. Prominent individuals commissioned portraits to convey their accomplishments and relationships, not merely their images. Political and church leaders, in particular, used the images to bolster their role, but these commissioned works entailed risks, importantly including risks to reputation. A portrait could be unflattering or unrecognizable. It could also be judged to be indecorous, especially if the portrait was perceived as an attempt to elevate an individual above his or her station.
在文艺复兴时期,肖像画是一种社交媒体形式。知名人士委托肖像来传达他们的成就和人际关系,而不仅仅是他们的形象。尤其是政治和教会领袖,利用这些图像来巩固他们的角色,但这些委托作品涉及风险,重要的是声誉风险。一幅肖像可能不讨人喜欢或无法辨认。它也可能被认为是不得体的,特别是如果画像被认为是试图提升一个人的地位。
{"title":"Risky Business: Commissioning Portraits in Renaissance Italy","authors":"J. Nelson, R. Zeckhauser","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3423084","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3423084","url":null,"abstract":"Portraits served as a form of social media in the Renaissance. Prominent individuals commissioned portraits to convey their accomplishments and relationships, not merely their images. Political and church leaders, in particular, used the images to bolster their role, but these commissioned works entailed risks, importantly including risks to reputation. A portrait could be unflattering or unrecognizable. It could also be judged to be indecorous, especially if the portrait was perceived as an attempt to elevate an individual above his or her station.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124545380","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints 预算约束下的首价拍卖
Pub Date : 2019-06-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3403297
M. Kotowski
Consider a first-price, sealed-bid auction with interdependent valuations and private budget constraints. Private budget constraints introduce subtle strategic tradeoffs with first-order consequences for equilibrium bidding. In a pure-strategy, symmetric equilibrium, agents may adopt discontinuous bidding strategies resulting in a stratification of competition along the budget dimension. In an asymmetric setting, equilibria in “nondecreasing” strategies exist, albeit in a qualified sense. Private budgets introduce significant confounds for the interpretation of bidding data due to their interaction with risk preferences and their countervailing strategic implications.
考虑一场首价、密封竞拍、相互依赖的估值和私人预算限制的拍卖。私人预算约束引入了微妙的战略权衡,对均衡投标产生一阶影响。在纯策略对称均衡中,代理人可能采用不连续的投标策略,从而导致沿预算维度的竞争分层。在非对称环境下,“非递减”策略中的均衡是存在的,尽管在一定意义上是存在的。由于私人预算与风险偏好的相互作用及其抵消的战略影响,它们给投标数据的解释带来了严重的混乱。
{"title":"First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints","authors":"M. Kotowski","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3403297","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3403297","url":null,"abstract":"Consider a first-price, sealed-bid auction with interdependent valuations and private budget constraints. Private budget constraints introduce subtle strategic tradeoffs with first-order consequences for equilibrium bidding. In a pure-strategy, symmetric equilibrium, agents may adopt discontinuous bidding strategies resulting in a stratification of competition along the budget dimension. In an asymmetric setting, equilibria in “nondecreasing” strategies exist, albeit in a qualified sense. Private budgets introduce significant confounds for the interpretation of bidding data due to their interaction with risk preferences and their countervailing strategic implications.","PeriodicalId":110014,"journal":{"name":"John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127842086","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 18
期刊
John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1