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A Centered Index of Spatial Concentration: Axiomatic Approach with an Application to Population and Capital Cities 空间集中度的中心指数:基于人口和首都城市的公理方法
Pub Date : 2008-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1404746
Filipe R. Campante, Quoc-Anh Do
We construct an axiomatic index of spatial concentration around a center or capital point of interest, a concept with wide applicability from urban economics, economic geography and trade, to political economy and industrial organization. We propose basic axioms (decomposability and monotonicity) and refinement axioms (order preservation, convexity, and local monotonicity) for how the index should respond to changes in the underlying distribution. We obtain a unique class of functions satisfying all these properties, defined over any n-dimensional Euclidian space: the sum of a decreasing, isoelastic function of individual distances to the capital point of interest, with specific boundaries for the elasticity coefficient that depend on n. We apply our index to measure the concentration of population around capital cities across countries and US states, and also in US metropolitan areas. We show its advantages over alternative measures, and explore its correlations with many economic and political variables of interest.
我们构建了一个围绕中心或资本兴趣点的空间集中的公理指数,这个概念在城市经济学、经济地理学和贸易、政治经济学和产业组织等领域都具有广泛的适用性。对于索引如何响应底层分布的变化,我们提出了基本公理(可分解性和单调性)和改进公理(顺序保持、凸性和局部单调性)。我们得到了一类独特的函数,满足所有这些性质,定义在任何n维欧几里得空间上:一个递减的等弹性函数到主要兴趣点的距离的和,具有依赖于n的弹性系数的特定边界。我们应用我们的指数来测量各国和美国各州首府城市周围的人口集中度,以及美国大都市地区。我们展示了其优于其他措施的优势,并探讨了其与许多感兴趣的经济和政治变量的相关性。
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引用次数: 18
Good Government Means Different Things in Different Countries 好的政府在不同的国家意味着不同的东西
Pub Date : 2008-11-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1314437
M. Andrews
Recent work on good governance implies a one best way model of effective government. This work has isomorphic influences on academic, donor and reform engagements in developing countries. But the one best way model actually does not hold, even for governments that score highly on governance indicators. Governments actually look different, even if they are similarly called 'effective' or 'models of good government.' The current article examines this issue and proposes a contingent approach to explain why good governments can look different. It suggests that government structures need to be explained in terms of the governing context--not the isomorphic influence of what indicators suggest good governance is. Key contextual factors that a contingent approach would consider in appraising government include economic challenges, demographic realities, and socio and political structures. The paper draws these factors out of an inductive analysis of differences in a set of OECD countries considered examples of 'good government.'
最近关于善治的工作暗示了有效政府的一种最佳方式模式。这项工作对发展中国家的学术、捐助和改革活动具有相同的影响。但是,即使对那些在治理指标上得分很高的政府来说,“最佳方式”模型实际上也并不成立。政府实际上看起来不一样,即使它们同样被称为“有效政府”或“好政府的典范”。本文探讨了这个问题,并提出了一种偶然的方法来解释为什么好的政府看起来不同。它表明,政府结构需要根据治理背景来解释,而不是根据指标所显示的良好治理的同构影响来解释。权变方法在评估政府时会考虑的关键背景因素包括经济挑战、人口现实、社会和政治结构。这篇论文通过对经合组织(OECD)中被视为“好政府”的一些国家的差异进行归纳分析,得出了这些因素。
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引用次数: 200
On the Philosophy of Group Decision Methods I: The Non-Obviousness of Majority Rule 论群体决策方法的哲学ⅰ:多数决定原则的非明显性
Pub Date : 2008-11-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1296638
Mathias Risse
Majority rule is often adopted almost by default as a group decision rule. One might think, therefore, that the conditions under which it applies, and the argument on its behalf, are well-understood. However, the standard arguments in support of majority rule display systematic deficiencies. This article explores these weaknesses, and assesses what can be said on behalf of majority rule.
多数决定原则通常被默认为群体决策规则。因此,人们可能会认为,它所适用的条件,以及代表它的论点,是很容易理解的。然而,支持多数决定原则的标准论据显示出系统性缺陷。本文探讨了这些弱点,并评估了代表多数决定原则可以说些什么。
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引用次数: 7
The Other Hand: High Bandwidth Development Policy 另一方面:高带宽发展政策
Pub Date : 2008-10-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1314799
R. Hausmann
Much of development policy has been based on the search for a short to do list that would get countries moving. In this paper I argue that economic activity requires a large and highly interacting set of public policies and services, which constitute inputs into the production process. This is reflected in the presence, in all countries, of hundreds of thousands of pages of legislation and hundreds of public agencies. Finding out what is the right mix of the public inputs, and more importantly, what is a valuable change from the current provision is as complex as determining what is the right mix of private provision of goods. In the latter case, economists agree that this process cannot be achieved through central planning and that the invisible hand of the market is the right approach, because it allows decisions to be made in a more decentralized manner with more information. I argue that a similar solution is required to deal with the complexity of the public policy mix.
许多发展政策都是建立在寻找一份能让各国行动起来的简短清单的基础上的。在本文中,我认为经济活动需要一套庞大且高度相互作用的公共政策和服务,这些政策和服务构成了生产过程的投入。这反映在所有国家都有数十万页的立法和数百个公共机构。弄清楚什么是公共投入的正确组合,更重要的是,什么是对当前供应的有价值的改变,就像确定什么是私人提供商品的正确组合一样复杂。在后一种情况下,经济学家一致认为,这个过程不能通过中央计划来实现,而市场这只看不见的手是正确的方法,因为它允许在更多信息的情况下以更分散的方式做出决策。我认为,需要一个类似的解决方案来处理公共政策组合的复杂性。
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引用次数: 26
Global Environmental Policy and Global Trade Policy 全球环境政策和全球贸易政策
Pub Date : 2008-10-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1354671
J. Frankel
The global climate regime, as represented by the Kyoto Protocol, may be on a collision course with the global trade policy regime, as represented by the WTO (World Trade Organization). Environmentalists fear that international trade will undercut reductions in greenhouse gas emissions as dirty production migrates to non-participating countries, a phenomenon known as leakage. Meanwhile businesspeople fear the effects on their own competitiveness of the same phenomenon. These fears have now become prominent in the policy-making process. In early 2008, legislation to enact long-term targets for reduced emission of greenhouse gases included provisions for possible barriers against imports from countries perceived as non-participating--in both Washington, DC (where the bills have not yet passed) and in Brussels (where the EU Commission Directive has gone into effect). Such provisions could be interpreted as violations of the rules of the WTO, which poses the nightmare scenario of a WTO panel rejecting a major country's climate change legislation. In light of the hostile feelings that such a scenario would unleash, it would be a nightmare for the supporters of the WTO and free trade as much as for the supporters of the Kyoto Protocol and environmental protection. The issue is just the latest and largest instance of fears among many environmentalists that the WTO is an obstacle to their goals in general. The issue transcends institutions. For the critics, the WTO is a symbol of globalization, and their fears attach also to that larger phenomenon. The first part of this paper discusses the broader issue of whether environmental goals in general are threatened by free trade and the WTO. The second half of the paper focuses exclusively on the narrower question of trade aspects of nations' efforts to implement climate change policy and whether they are likely to come into conflict with the WTO.
以《京都议定书》为代表的全球气候制度可能与以世界贸易组织为代表的全球贸易政策制度发生冲突。环保人士担心,随着肮脏的生产转移到非参与国,国际贸易将削弱温室气体排放的减少,这种现象被称为泄漏。与此同时,商人们担心同样的现象会影响他们自身的竞争力。这些担忧现在已在决策过程中变得突出。2008年初,制定减少温室气体排放的长期目标的立法,包括可能对来自被认为不参与的国家的进口设置障碍的条款——无论是在华盛顿特区(法案尚未通过)还是在布鲁塞尔(欧盟委员会指令已生效)。这样的规定可能被解释为违反了世贸组织的规则,这将导致世贸组织小组拒绝一个大国的气候变化立法的噩梦。鉴于这种情况可能引发的敌意情绪,这对世贸组织和自由贸易的支持者以及《京都议定书》和环境保护的支持者来说都将是一场噩梦。这个问题只是许多环保人士担心WTO会阻碍他们实现总体目标的最新、也是最大的一个例子。这个问题超越了制度。对于批评者来说,世贸组织是全球化的象征,他们的担忧也与这个更大的现象有关。本文的第一部分讨论了更广泛的问题,即环境目标是否普遍受到自由贸易和世贸组织的威胁。论文的后半部分专门关注各国努力实施气候变化政策的贸易方面以及它们是否可能与世贸组织发生冲突的较窄问题。
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引用次数: 44
The Moral Case for a Human Right to Relocation: Disappearing Island Nations and Common Ownership of the Earth 重新安置人权的道德案例:消失的岛屿国家和地球的共同所有权
Pub Date : 2008-10-18 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1380425
Mathias Risse
In recent work I have tried to revitalize the standpoint of humanity's commonly owning the earth. This standpoint has implications for a range of problems that have recently preoccupied us at the global level, including immigration, obligations to future generations, climate change, and human rights. In particular, this approach helps illuminate what moral claims to international aid small island nations have whose existence is threatened by global climate change. A recent proposal for relocating his people across different nations by President Tong of Kiribati is a case in point. My approach vindicates President Tong's proposal.
在最近的工作中,我试图重振人类共同拥有地球的观点。这一立场对我们最近在全球一级关注的一系列问题有影响,包括移民、对子孙后代的义务、气候变化和人权。特别是,这种方法有助于阐明生存受到全球气候变化威胁的小岛屿国家对国际援助的道义要求。基里巴斯总统汤最近提出的将其人民迁移到不同国家的建议就是一个很好的例子。我的做法证明汤主席的建议是正确的。
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引用次数: 0
'Imagine There's No Countries:' A Reply to John Lennon 给约翰·列侬的回信:“想象世界上没有国家”
Pub Date : 2008-09-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1266804
Mathias Risse
In earlier work I argue that, despite increasing global interconnectedness, shared membership in states remains morally relevant. At the same time states are historically contingent forms of political organization with considerable drawbacks. Once we have clarified what an assessment of the state’s normative peculiarity contributes to its overall normative evaluation, the historical contingency and the drawbacks of the state come in view when we explore how to respond to another question central to that evaluation, whether there ought to be states (or, synonymously, countries) in the first place. One could answer affirmatively, negatively, or in a manner that finds the question problematic. My response is of the latter sort, but entails that, since ours is a world of states, we should try to make this world as good as possible, rather than to aspire at a world with a fundamentally different political structure. Together with the account of the state’s normative peculiarity in my earlier work, this view aims to get into focus both the moral relevance and the historical contingency of the state. To explain the Lennon-reference: “Imagine there’s no countries:” this is how the second stanza of one of the most famous songs of recent times begins. “You may say I’m a dreamer,” sings John Lennon, “But I’m not the only one/I hope someday you’ll join us,” suggesting that reaching a stage without certain alleged evils is realistic enough to be action-guiding. Yet Lennon’s is not a dream in which we ought to join. We cannot imagine what he asks us to imagine in any action-guiding way.
在早期的工作中,我认为,尽管全球相互联系日益紧密,但国家的共同成员资格仍然具有道德意义。与此同时,国家在历史上是一种偶然的政治组织形式,具有相当大的缺陷。一旦我们澄清了对国家的规范性特性的评估对其整体规范性评估的贡献,当我们探索如何回应该评估的另一个核心问题时,国家的历史偶然性和缺陷就会出现在我们的视野中,即首先是否应该有国家(或同义国家)。一个人可以肯定地回答,否定地回答,或者以一种发现问题的方式回答。我的回答是后一种,但这意味着,由于我们的世界是一个由国家组成的世界,我们应该努力使这个世界尽可能美好,而不是渴望一个政治结构完全不同的世界。与我早期作品中对国家规范性特性的描述一起,这种观点旨在关注国家的道德相关性和历史偶然性。为了解释这首引用列侬的歌曲:“想象世界上没有国家。”这是当代最著名的歌曲之一的第二节开头。“你可能会说我是一个梦想家,”约翰·列侬唱道,“但我不是唯一一个/我希望有一天你会加入我们。”这表明,达到一个没有某些所谓的邪恶的阶段是现实的,足以指导行动。然而,我们不应该加入列侬的梦想。我们无法以任何指导行动的方式想象他要求我们想象的东西。
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引用次数: 1
Reconfiguring Industrial Policy: A Framework with an Application to South Africa 产业政策的重构:一个框架及其在南非的应用
Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1245702
R. Hausmann, D. Rodrik, C. Sabel
The main purpose of industrial policy is to speed up the process of structural change towards higher productivity activities. This paper builds on our earlier writings to present an overall design for the conduct of industrial policy in a low- to middle-income country. It is stimulated by the specific problems faced by South Africa and by our discussions with business and government officials in that country. We present specific recommendations for the South African government in the penultimate section of the paper.
工业政策的主要目的是加速结构变革的进程,使活动的生产率提高。本文以我们早期的著作为基础,提出了中低收入国家产业政策实施的总体设计。南非面临的具体问题以及我们与该国商界和政府官员进行的讨论都激发了这种努力。我们在文件的倒数第二部分为南非政府提出了具体建议。
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引用次数: 171
A Strategy of Conservation: American Power and the International System 保护战略:美国权力与国际体系
Pub Date : 2008-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1124298
Sarah B. Sewall
The overarching strategic challenge facing the United States is revitalizing the international system so that the nation might conserve its strength and power even as the global environment shifts. The United States, which has been the primary beneficiary of a stable international system and remains its preeminent power, must lead and shape a process of adapting the international system to provide greater stability and security in the 21st century. The interstate system of international rules and institutions related to politics, economics, and security is under stress as many sub-state and transnational actors and processes undermine the wellbeing and security of states and persons. This erosion of state and interstate capacity is a broad phenomenon that directly and indirectly undermines U.S. security and the American way of life. This paper focuses on two new complementary components of U.S. grand strategy: strategic flexibility and an indirect method. Strategic flexibility encompasses a host of policies designed to allow the United States to maintain its power and to shape the emerging security environment. The policies that enable strategic flexibility reflect a long-overdue update of the political, economic, and security assumptions that once buttressed U.S. foreign policy. America’s unipolar moment is already en route to being eclipsed by an increasingly diverse cast of global characters with the capacity to degrade or enhance U.S. security. The United States retains predominance in many arenas, but longer-term demographic and economic trends in key states and the diffusion of power from states to other entities suggest an emerging, if still largely invisible, shift of global power.
美国面临的首要战略挑战是重振国际体系,以便在全球环境发生变化的情况下,美国仍能保持其实力和实力。美国一直是稳定的国际体系的主要受益者,并且仍然是一个卓越的大国,它必须领导和塑造一个调整国际体系的进程,以便在21世纪提供更大的稳定和安全。与政治、经济和安全相关的国际规则和制度的州际体系正面临压力,因为许多次国家和跨国行为者和过程破坏了国家和个人的福祉和安全。这种对州和州际能力的侵蚀是一种广泛的现象,它直接或间接地破坏了美国的安全和美国人的生活方式。本文重点研究了美国大战略的两个新的互补组成部分:战略灵活性和间接方法。战略灵活性包括一系列旨在使美国保持其实力并塑造新兴安全环境的政策。实现战略灵活性的政策反映了对曾经支撑美国外交政策的政治、经济和安全假设的迟来的更新。美国的单极时代已经在逐渐被日益多样化的全球角色所取代,这些角色有能力削弱或加强美国的安全。美国在许多领域仍然占据主导地位,但关键国家的长期人口和经济趋势以及权力从国家向其他实体的扩散表明,全球权力的转移正在出现,尽管在很大程度上仍是无形的。
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引用次数: 1
Final Recommendations of the International Panel on the Accelerated and Shared Growth Initiative for South Africa (ASGISA) 南非加速和共享增长倡议国际小组(ASGISA)的最终建议
Pub Date : 2008-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1124292
R. Hausmann
As part of the Accelerated and Shared Growth Initiative (ASGISA), the National Treasury of the Republic of South Africa convened an international panel of economists through Harvard's Center for International Development. This panel spent two years analyzing the South African economy and its growth prospects, and composed 20 papers spanning all aspects of economic policy. The present paper synthesizes this body of work. We summarize the panel's assessment of the binding constraints to growth in South Africa and provide specific policy recommendations to help achieve the goal of accelerated and shared growth.
作为加速和共享增长倡议(ASGISA)的一部分,南非共和国财政部通过哈佛大学国际发展中心召集了一个由经济学家组成的国际小组。该小组花了两年时间分析南非经济及其增长前景,并撰写了20篇论文,涵盖了经济政策的各个方面。本文综合了这部分工作。我们总结了专家组对制约南非增长的约束性因素的评估,并提出了具体的政策建议,以帮助实现加速和共享增长的目标。
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引用次数: 31
期刊
John F. Kennedy School of Government Faculty Research Working Paper Series
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