首页 > 最新文献

European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)最新文献

英文 中文
Incorporating Estimation Risk in Portfolio Choice 在投资组合选择中纳入评估风险
Pub Date : 2002-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.244695
J. ter Horst, Frans de Roon, B. Werker
We propose an adjustment in mean-variance portfolio weights to incorporate uncertainty caused by the fact that, in general, we have to use estimated expected returns.The adjustment amounts to using a higher pseudo risk-aversion rather than the actual risk-aversion.The difference between the actual and the pseudo risk-aversion depends on the sample size, the number of assets in the portfolio, and the curvature of the mean-variance frontier.Applying the adjustment to international portfolios, we show that the adjustments are nontrivial for G5 country portfolios and that they are even more important when emerging markets are included.We also show that, in the case of time-varying expected country returns, our adjustment implies a signifficantly smaller variability in portfolio weights than is commonly believed.
我们建议调整均值-方差组合权重,以纳入通常我们必须使用估计预期收益这一事实所引起的不确定性。这种调整相当于使用更高的伪风险厌恶而不是实际的风险厌恶。实际风险厌恶和伪风险厌恶之间的差异取决于样本量、投资组合中的资产数量和均值-方差边界的曲率。将调整应用于国际投资组合,我们表明调整对于G5国家的投资组合来说是非微不足道的,当包括新兴市场时,它们甚至更加重要。我们还表明,在时变预期国家回报的情况下,我们的调整意味着投资组合权重的变异性比通常认为的要小得多。
{"title":"Incorporating Estimation Risk in Portfolio Choice","authors":"J. ter Horst, Frans de Roon, B. Werker","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.244695","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.244695","url":null,"abstract":"We propose an adjustment in mean-variance portfolio weights to incorporate uncertainty caused by the fact that, in general, we have to use estimated expected returns.The adjustment amounts to using a higher pseudo risk-aversion rather than the actual risk-aversion.The difference between the actual and the pseudo risk-aversion depends on the sample size, the number of assets in the portfolio, and the curvature of the mean-variance frontier.Applying the adjustment to international portfolios, we show that the adjustments are nontrivial for G5 country portfolios and that they are even more important when emerging markets are included.We also show that, in the case of time-varying expected country returns, our adjustment implies a signifficantly smaller variability in portfolio weights than is commonly believed.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116776890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 40
Assessing the Impact of the Euro on the Economies of Some MENA Countries: An Empirical Investigation Utilizing a Time-Varying Model to Forecast the Level and Volatility of the Us Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate 评估欧元对一些中东和北非国家经济的影响:利用时变模型预测美元/欧元汇率水平和波动性的实证调查
Pub Date : 2002-01-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.314824
A. Abutaleb, Michael G. Papaioannou
This paper analyzes qualitatively the impact of changes in the level and variability of the US dollar/EURO exchange rate on the real GDP growth rate and trade balance positions of three MENA countries, namely Egypt, Jordan and Morocco. First, the analytical framework is presented by developing explicit relationships between (1) output growth and the variability of the nominal exchange rate; (2) per capita GDP and the variability and realignment of the real exchange rate; and (3) commodity prices and nominal exchange rate volatility. Then, based on these models, the impacts of (1) an appreciation of the US dollar against the EURO and (2) an increase in the volatility of the US dollar/EURO rate are derived. Our results indicate that an appreciation of the US dollar/EURO rate or an increase in the volatility of this rate leads to a lower real GDP growth rate and worsening of the trade balance positions for Egypt and Jordan, that effectively peg their currencies to the US dollar, and the opposite for Morocco, that effectively pegs its currency to the EURO. In contrast, an appreciation of the EURO against the US dollar encourages imports to and discourages exports from the EMU region to countries that peg their currencies to the US dollar. This appreciation, however, tends to lower inflation in countries with EURO-denominated products, partly because of lower costs for the imported components. In general, a EURO appreciation results in higher economic activity growth of countries that have US dollar-denominated products, and puts competitiveness pressures on countries that have EURO-denominated products.
本文定性分析了美元/欧元汇率水平和变异性的变化对埃及、约旦和摩洛哥三个中东和北非国家实际GDP增长率和贸易平衡状况的影响。首先,分析框架是通过建立(1)产出增长与名义汇率变异性之间的明确关系来呈现的;(2)人均国内生产总值和实际汇率的变动和调整;(3)商品价格与名义汇率波动。然后,基于这些模型,推导出(1)美元对欧元升值和(2)美元/欧元汇率波动增加的影响。我们的研究结果表明,美元/欧元汇率的升值或这一汇率波动性的增加导致埃及和约旦的实际GDP增长率下降,贸易平衡状况恶化,这两个国家的货币实际上与美元挂钩,而摩洛哥则相反,这两个国家的货币实际上与欧元挂钩。相比之下,欧元兑美元的升值鼓励了欧洲货币联盟地区对那些将本国货币与美元挂钩的国家的进口,并抑制了它们对这些国家的出口。然而,欧元升值往往会降低以欧元计价产品的国家的通货膨胀率,部分原因是进口部件的成本较低。一般来说,欧元升值导致拥有美元计价产品的国家经济活动增长较快,并给拥有欧元计价产品的国家带来竞争力压力。
{"title":"Assessing the Impact of the Euro on the Economies of Some MENA Countries: An Empirical Investigation Utilizing a Time-Varying Model to Forecast the Level and Volatility of the Us Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate","authors":"A. Abutaleb, Michael G. Papaioannou","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.314824","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.314824","url":null,"abstract":"This paper analyzes qualitatively the impact of changes in the level and variability of the US dollar/EURO exchange rate on the real GDP growth rate and trade balance positions of three MENA countries, namely Egypt, Jordan and Morocco. First, the analytical framework is presented by developing explicit relationships between (1) output growth and the variability of the nominal exchange rate; (2) per capita GDP and the variability and realignment of the real exchange rate; and (3) commodity prices and nominal exchange rate volatility. Then, based on these models, the impacts of (1) an appreciation of the US dollar against the EURO and (2) an increase in the volatility of the US dollar/EURO rate are derived. Our results indicate that an appreciation of the US dollar/EURO rate or an increase in the volatility of this rate leads to a lower real GDP growth rate and worsening of the trade balance positions for Egypt and Jordan, that effectively peg their currencies to the US dollar, and the opposite for Morocco, that effectively pegs its currency to the EURO. In contrast, an appreciation of the EURO against the US dollar encourages imports to and discourages exports from the EMU region to countries that peg their currencies to the US dollar. This appreciation, however, tends to lower inflation in countries with EURO-denominated products, partly because of lower costs for the imported components. In general, a EURO appreciation results in higher economic activity growth of countries that have US dollar-denominated products, and puts competitiveness pressures on countries that have EURO-denominated products.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132424892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Conditioning Information and European Bond Fund Performance 条件信息和欧洲债券基金的表现
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.300539
F. Silva, M. C. Cortez
In this paper we investigate the performance of European bond funds which, as far as we are aware of, have not yet been studied. Both unconditional and conditional models are used to evaluate fund performance. As conditioning information we use variables that we find to be useful in predicting bond market returns in the European Market. We also test the sensitivity of bond fund performance to single and multiple benchmarks. The results show that, in general, bond funds are not able to outperform passive strategies. The negative performance is more evident for bond funds in Italy, Spain, Portugal and also for UK "Gilt" funds. For most German funds and UK "Corporate" and "Other Bond" funds and also for several French funds we cannot reject the hypothesis of neutral performance. These findings are robust to whatever model (unconditional versus conditional and single versus multi-index) we use. In general, the multi-index model seems to add some explanatory power in relation to the single-index model. Furthermore, when we incorporate the predetermined information variables, we can observe a slight tendency towards better performance, in particular for the multi-index model. This evidence is consistent with previous studies on stock funds and comes in support of the argument that conditional models might allow for a better assessment of performance. However, our results suggest that the impact of additional risk factors seems to be greater than the impact of incorporating predetermined information variables.
在本文中,我们研究了欧洲债券基金的业绩,据我们所知,还没有研究。无条件模型和条件模型都用于评估基金绩效。作为条件信息,我们使用我们发现对预测欧洲市场债券市场回报有用的变量。我们还测试了债券基金表现对单一和多个基准的敏感性。结果表明,一般而言,债券基金的表现并不优于被动型策略。意大利、西班牙、葡萄牙的债券基金以及英国“金边债券”基金的负面表现更为明显。对于大多数德国基金、英国“公司”和“其他债券”基金,以及一些法国基金,我们不能拒绝中性表现的假设。这些发现对于我们使用的任何模型(无条件与条件、单指数与多指数)都是稳健的。总的来说,与单指标模型相比,多指标模型似乎增加了一些解释力。此外,当我们合并预定的信息变量时,我们可以观察到性能更好的轻微趋势,特别是对于多索引模型。这一证据与之前对股票基金的研究一致,并支持了条件模型可能有助于更好地评估业绩的观点。然而,我们的结果表明,额外的风险因素的影响似乎比纳入预定信息变量的影响更大。
{"title":"Conditioning Information and European Bond Fund Performance","authors":"F. Silva, M. C. Cortez","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.300539","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.300539","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we investigate the performance of European bond funds which, as far as we are aware of, have not yet been studied. Both unconditional and conditional models are used to evaluate fund performance. As conditioning information we use variables that we find to be useful in predicting bond market returns in the European Market. We also test the sensitivity of bond fund performance to single and multiple benchmarks. The results show that, in general, bond funds are not able to outperform passive strategies. The negative performance is more evident for bond funds in Italy, Spain, Portugal and also for UK \"Gilt\" funds. For most German funds and UK \"Corporate\" and \"Other Bond\" funds and also for several French funds we cannot reject the hypothesis of neutral performance. These findings are robust to whatever model (unconditional versus conditional and single versus multi-index) we use. In general, the multi-index model seems to add some explanatory power in relation to the single-index model. Furthermore, when we incorporate the predetermined information variables, we can observe a slight tendency towards better performance, in particular for the multi-index model. This evidence is consistent with previous studies on stock funds and comes in support of the argument that conditional models might allow for a better assessment of performance. However, our results suggest that the impact of additional risk factors seems to be greater than the impact of incorporating predetermined information variables.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123818312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 68
The Behavior of Uninformed Investors and Time-Varying Informed Trading Activities 不知情投资者行为与时变知情交易行为
Pub Date : 2001-12-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.289690
Qin Lei, Guojun Wu
Building upon the seminal work of Easley, Kiefer, O'Hara and Paperman (1996), we develop a framework to investigate the relationship between the behavior of uninformed investors and the time-varying informed trading activities. We allow the arrival rates for uninformed traders to follow a Markov switching process where the transition probabilities depend on market fundamentals. Informed traders may match the level of the uninformed arrival rate with certain probability so as to make better use of the camouflage provided by the uninformed transactions. Our empirical estimation of NYSE stocks shows that the uninformed transition probabilities are indeed time-varying, so is the probability of information content. The estimated probability of information content predicts the opening, median and closing spreads. There is evidence that uninformed investors exhibit momentum chasing and "noise herding" behavior. There is also a positive "market spillover" effect in the uninformed trading activities. We find that the "clustering" of trading activities by uninformed and informed traders seem to be more likely on low volume days, and the uninformed trading activities are responsible for most of the stock trading volatilities.
在Easley, Kiefer, O'Hara和Paperman(1996)开创性工作的基础上,我们开发了一个框架来研究不知情投资者的行为与时变的知情交易活动之间的关系。我们允许不知情交易者的到达率遵循马尔可夫转换过程,其中转换概率取决于市场基本面。知情交易者可能会以一定概率匹配不知情到达率的水平,从而更好地利用不知情交易提供的伪装。我们对纽交所股票的经验估计表明,不知情的过渡概率确实是时变的,信息内容的概率也是时变的。信息内容的估计概率预测开盘、中位数和收盘点差。有证据表明,不知情的投资者表现出动量追逐和“噪音羊群”行为。在不知情的交易活动中也存在积极的“市场溢出”效应。我们发现,不知情和知情的交易者的交易活动的“聚类”似乎更有可能在低交易量的日子,而不知情的交易活动是大部分股票交易波动的原因。
{"title":"The Behavior of Uninformed Investors and Time-Varying Informed Trading Activities","authors":"Qin Lei, Guojun Wu","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.289690","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.289690","url":null,"abstract":"Building upon the seminal work of Easley, Kiefer, O'Hara and Paperman (1996), we develop a framework to investigate the relationship between the behavior of uninformed investors and the time-varying informed trading activities. We allow the arrival rates for uninformed traders to follow a Markov switching process where the transition probabilities depend on market fundamentals. Informed traders may match the level of the uninformed arrival rate with certain probability so as to make better use of the camouflage provided by the uninformed transactions. Our empirical estimation of NYSE stocks shows that the uninformed transition probabilities are indeed time-varying, so is the probability of information content. The estimated probability of information content predicts the opening, median and closing spreads. There is evidence that uninformed investors exhibit momentum chasing and \"noise herding\" behavior. There is also a positive \"market spillover\" effect in the uninformed trading activities. We find that the \"clustering\" of trading activities by uninformed and informed traders seem to be more likely on low volume days, and the uninformed trading activities are responsible for most of the stock trading volatilities.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123433852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Intra-Day Seasonalities on Stock Returns: Evidence from the Turkish Stock Market 股票收益的日内季节性:来自土耳其股市的证据
Pub Date : 2001-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.251503
Recep Bildik
One of the interesting findings among the seasonalities in stock markets is that the return, volume and volatility of the stock prices and bid-ask spreads all broadly follow a U-shaped pattern over the trading day. This study examines the intra-daily seasonalities of the stock returns in the emerging Turkish Stock Market which is an order-driven continuous auction market using electronic trading without market makers in the period from January 1, 1996 through January 15, 1999 by using 15-minute (and also 5 minute and 1 minute) interval data. Results show that stock returns follow a U-shaped or more precisely a W-shaped pattern over the trading day at the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) since there are two trading sessions in a day. This result is consistent with the previous findings in the literature. Opening (Overnight) and closing returns are significantly large and positive. In addition, volatility is higher at the openings and follows an L-shape pattern during the both sessions. Interestingly, the daily average close-to-close returns are generated only during the opening and closing intervals and the average intra-day return is negative when the returns at the opening and/or closing intervals (even the first and the last minutes of the day) are excluded from the analyses. Thus, the rest of the trading day provides no gains (losses) to close-to-close overall returns. Findings suggest that relatively higher closing prices are not corrected by the market at the opening of the next trading day. Relatively higher mean return and standard deviation at the openings of the trading sessions seem to be significantly generated by the accumulated overnight information and the closed-market effect (halt of trade). Mondays have the highest opening mean return and volatility among the days of the week supports this explanation. On the other hand, large day-end returns are strongly affected by the activities of fund managers and speculators who, at the end of the day, boost their portfolios' asset value by bidding higher and accepting ask prices that result to higher closing prices with the contribution of relatively higher minimum tick sizes determined by the Stock Exchange. Intra-day seasonalities that also exist significantly in the Turkish Stock Market, are consistent with those of the international stock markets. This conclusion implies that large profits can be realized by using a simple trading rule, based on the strong intra-day seasonalities in stock returns at the ISE, such as buying and selling stocks at a particular time of the day.
在股票市场的季节性特征中,一个有趣的发现是,股票价格的回报率、成交量和波动性以及买卖价差在交易日内都大致呈u型曲线。本研究通过使用15分钟(以及5分钟和1分钟)的间隔数据,研究了新兴土耳其股票市场股票回报的每日季节性,该市场是一个订单驱动的连续拍卖市场,使用电子交易,没有做市商,从1996年1月1日到1999年1月15日。结果表明,股票收益遵循u形或更准确地说,w形模式在交易日在伊斯坦布尔证券交易所(ISE),因为有两个交易日在一天。这一结果与以往文献的研究结果一致。开盘(隔夜)和收盘回报率显著高且为正。此外,波动性在开盘时较高,在两个交易日都遵循l形模式。有趣的是,每日平均收盘价回报仅在开盘和收盘间隔期间产生,当开盘和/或收盘间隔(甚至一天的第一和最后几分钟)的回报被排除在分析之外时,平均日内回报是负的。因此,交易日的剩余时间对接近的整体回报没有任何收益(损失)。研究结果表明,相对较高的收盘价在下一个交易日开盘时没有得到市场的修正。交易时段开始时相对较高的平均收益和标准差似乎主要是由隔夜信息积累和封闭市场效应(交易暂停)产生的。周一的开盘平均回报率和波动性在一周中的几天中最高,支持了这一解释。另一方面,基金经理和投机者在一天结束时,通过更高的出价和接受要价来提高他们的投资组合的资产价值,从而导致更高的收盘价,这是由证券交易所确定的相对较高的最小波动幅度的贡献。土耳其股票市场也存在显著的日内季节性,与国际股票市场一致。这一结论意味着,通过使用一个简单的交易规则就可以实现巨额利润,该规则基于ISE股票回报的强烈日内季节性,例如在一天中的特定时间买卖股票。
{"title":"Intra-Day Seasonalities on Stock Returns: Evidence from the Turkish Stock Market","authors":"Recep Bildik","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.251503","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.251503","url":null,"abstract":"One of the interesting findings among the seasonalities in stock markets is that the return, volume and volatility of the stock prices and bid-ask spreads all broadly follow a U-shaped pattern over the trading day. This study examines the intra-daily seasonalities of the stock returns in the emerging Turkish Stock Market which is an order-driven continuous auction market using electronic trading without market makers in the period from January 1, 1996 through January 15, 1999 by using 15-minute (and also 5 minute and 1 minute) interval data. Results show that stock returns follow a U-shaped or more precisely a W-shaped pattern over the trading day at the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) since there are two trading sessions in a day. This result is consistent with the previous findings in the literature. Opening (Overnight) and closing returns are significantly large and positive. In addition, volatility is higher at the openings and follows an L-shape pattern during the both sessions. Interestingly, the daily average close-to-close returns are generated only during the opening and closing intervals and the average intra-day return is negative when the returns at the opening and/or closing intervals (even the first and the last minutes of the day) are excluded from the analyses. Thus, the rest of the trading day provides no gains (losses) to close-to-close overall returns. Findings suggest that relatively higher closing prices are not corrected by the market at the opening of the next trading day. Relatively higher mean return and standard deviation at the openings of the trading sessions seem to be significantly generated by the accumulated overnight information and the closed-market effect (halt of trade). Mondays have the highest opening mean return and volatility among the days of the week supports this explanation. On the other hand, large day-end returns are strongly affected by the activities of fund managers and speculators who, at the end of the day, boost their portfolios' asset value by bidding higher and accepting ask prices that result to higher closing prices with the contribution of relatively higher minimum tick sizes determined by the Stock Exchange. Intra-day seasonalities that also exist significantly in the Turkish Stock Market, are consistent with those of the international stock markets. This conclusion implies that large profits can be realized by using a simple trading rule, based on the strong intra-day seasonalities in stock returns at the ISE, such as buying and selling stocks at a particular time of the day.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130874011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 67
Arch in the G7 Equity Markets: A Speculative Explanation 七国集团股票市场的Arch:一个投机的解释
Pub Date : 2001-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.314864
Lee Redding
This paper explores whether speculative activity can,in practice,generate the ARCH- type behavior found in .nancial time series.Specifically,G7 equity marke indices are examined for evidence of a dynamic whereby speculative interest is self-sustaining, that is,markets can become 'hot'. A straightforward model,taken from Faruqee and Redding [9 ],generates some testable implications of the idea.Tests of the model on the data show that not only does he model offer an explanation for volatility clustering,but also can be considered a statistical improvement on standard GARCH representations.
本文探讨投机活动在实践中是否会产生金融时间序列中的ARCH型行为。具体而言,G7股票市场指数被检查的动态证据,即投机兴趣是自我维持的,也就是说,市场可以变得“热”。来自faruque和Redding[9]的一个简单的模型产生了这个想法的一些可测试的含义。对数据的测试表明,该模型不仅可以解释波动率聚类,而且可以认为是对标准GARCH表示的统计改进。
{"title":"Arch in the G7 Equity Markets: A Speculative Explanation","authors":"Lee Redding","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.314864","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.314864","url":null,"abstract":"This paper explores whether speculative activity can,in practice,generate the ARCH- type behavior found in .nancial time series.Specifically,G7 equity marke indices are examined for evidence of a dynamic whereby speculative interest is self-sustaining, that is,markets can become 'hot'. A straightforward model,taken from Faruqee and Redding [9 ],generates some testable implications of the idea.Tests of the model on the data show that not only does he model offer an explanation for volatility clustering,but also can be considered a statistical improvement on standard GARCH representations.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123588322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The Effect of First-Mover's Advantages on the Strategic Exercise of Real Options 先发优势对实物期权战略行使的影响
Pub Date : 2001-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/B978-075065332-9.50011-2
A. Tsekrekos
{"title":"The Effect of First-Mover's Advantages on the Strategic Exercise of Real Options","authors":"A. Tsekrekos","doi":"10.1016/B978-075065332-9.50011-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-075065332-9.50011-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133639383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 13
The Ex-Dividend Day Stock Price Behavior in the Athens Stock Exchange 雅典证券交易所除息日股票价格行为
Pub Date : 2001-06-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.274080
N. Travlos, Nikolaos T. Milonas
This paper analyzes the ex-dividend day stock price behavior in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) over the period 1994-1999. This market is chosen because neither dividends nor capital gains are taxed and the ASE is not associated with the microstructure effects analyzed in prior studies. Our findings show that on the ex-dividend day, stock prices fall by less than the dividend paid. These findings cannot be attributed to tax effects. Although our evidence might be attributed to microstructure effects, we argue that the particular microstructure effects identified by prior studies may not be the determinant factors.
本文分析了1994-1999年雅典证券交易所除息日股票价格行为。之所以选择这个市场,是因为股息和资本利得都不征税,而且ASE与先前研究中分析的微观结构效应无关。我们的研究结果表明,在除息日,股价下跌小于股息支付。这些发现不能归因于税收的影响。虽然我们的证据可能归因于微观结构效应,但我们认为先前研究确定的特定微观结构效应可能不是决定因素。
{"title":"The Ex-Dividend Day Stock Price Behavior in the Athens Stock Exchange","authors":"N. Travlos, Nikolaos T. Milonas","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.274080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.274080","url":null,"abstract":"This paper analyzes the ex-dividend day stock price behavior in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) over the period 1994-1999. This market is chosen because neither dividends nor capital gains are taxed and the ASE is not associated with the microstructure effects analyzed in prior studies. Our findings show that on the ex-dividend day, stock prices fall by less than the dividend paid. These findings cannot be attributed to tax effects. Although our evidence might be attributed to microstructure effects, we argue that the particular microstructure effects identified by prior studies may not be the determinant factors.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114032534","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 22
The Financial Performance of Privatised Firms: Evidence from Three Transition Economies 私有化企业的财务绩效:来自三个转型经济体的证据
Pub Date : 2001-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.273875
R. Jelic, R. Briston, Wolfgang Aussenegg
There is a gap between the theoretical literature which almost unanimously advo-cates privatisation of enterprises, as a part of the solution for the commitment prob-lem in economies in transition, and empirical evidence on how best to design a pri-vatisation programme in order to secure an efficient use of resources. This paper contributes to this debate by focusing on the determinants of financial performance of privatised firms in Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic. Our results suggest positive long-term returns for foreign investors in newly privatised companies. The returns are particularly high and statistically significant for investors in Polish com-panies. The long-term performance is influenced by firms? size, retained state own-ership, and the choice of a privatisation method.
理论文献几乎一致主张将企业私有化作为转型期经济中承诺问题解决办法的一部分,而关于如何最好地设计私有化方案以确保有效利用资源的经验证据之间存在差距。本文通过关注波兰、匈牙利和捷克共和国私有化公司财务绩效的决定因素,为这场辩论做出了贡献。我们的研究结果表明,外国投资者在新私有化的公司中获得了积极的长期回报。对波兰公司的投资者来说,回报率特别高,而且在统计上意义重大。长期业绩受公司影响吗?规模、保留国有所有权,以及私有化方式的选择。
{"title":"The Financial Performance of Privatised Firms: Evidence from Three Transition Economies","authors":"R. Jelic, R. Briston, Wolfgang Aussenegg","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.273875","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.273875","url":null,"abstract":"There is a gap between the theoretical literature which almost unanimously advo-cates privatisation of enterprises, as a part of the solution for the commitment prob-lem in economies in transition, and empirical evidence on how best to design a pri-vatisation programme in order to secure an efficient use of resources. This paper contributes to this debate by focusing on the determinants of financial performance of privatised firms in Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic. Our results suggest positive long-term returns for foreign investors in newly privatised companies. The returns are particularly high and statistically significant for investors in Polish com-panies. The long-term performance is influenced by firms? size, retained state own-ership, and the choice of a privatisation method.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116514686","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Emerging Markets and Financing with Preferred Stocks: The Case of Pacific Rim Countries 新兴市场与优先股融资:环太平洋国家的案例
Pub Date : 2001-05-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.271071
Ali Fatemi, Iraj Fooladi, Nargess Kayhani
Points out that preference shares are much more heavily used in emerging economies than in advanced ones to finance new investment projects and develops a mathematical model to show the conditions under which companies are willing to issue them at a price which will attract investors. Outlines the tax systems in Taiwan, South Korea and New Zealand and uses the model to explain why companies in the former two countries issue preference share but New Zealand firms to not.
他指出,与发达国家相比,新兴经济体在为新投资项目融资时更多地使用优先股,并建立了一个数学模型,以显示在何种条件下,企业愿意以吸引投资者的价格发行优先股。概述了台湾、韩国和新西兰的税收制度,并使用该模型解释了为什么前两个国家的公司发行优先股,而新西兰公司不发行优先股。
{"title":"Emerging Markets and Financing with Preferred Stocks: The Case of Pacific Rim Countries","authors":"Ali Fatemi, Iraj Fooladi, Nargess Kayhani","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.271071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.271071","url":null,"abstract":"Points out that preference shares are much more heavily used in emerging economies than in advanced ones to finance new investment projects and develops a mathematical model to show the conditions under which companies are willing to issue them at a price which will attract investors. Outlines the tax systems in Taiwan, South Korea and New Zealand and uses the model to explain why companies in the former two countries issue preference share but New Zealand firms to not.","PeriodicalId":126917,"journal":{"name":"European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129070660","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
期刊
European Financial Management Association Meetings (EFMA) (Archive)
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1