Background and objectives: Cross-sectional studies have shown improvements in cognition in later-born cohorts. However, it remains unclear whether these cohort effects extend beyond cognitive levels and are also detectable in the rate of age-related cognitive decline. Additionally, evidence is scarce on the presence and consistency of cohort effects throughout different segments of the distribution of cognitive trajectories.
Research design and methods: This study evaluates the existence and variability of cohort effects across the entire distribution of aging-related trajectories of verbal fluency. With this purpose, we develop sex and education-adjusted longitudinal norms of verbal fluency using data from 9 waves of the English Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSA) by fitting quantile mixed models. The effect of age was modeled using splines to assess birth cohort effects, after grouping individuals in 5-year groups from 1920 to 1950 according to their age at study entry. To test for possible cohort effects across the 10th, 50th, and 90th quantiles, the coefficients associated with the splines were allowed to vary among cohorts.
Results: Our results suggest that, consistently across longitudinal quantiles, decline in verbal fluency across age is less pronounced for later-born individuals (p < .001), supporting the hypothesis of cohort effects. Additionally, we also found that quantiles of verbal fluency at any age are shifted upwards in later-born cohorts compared to those in earlier-born cohorts.
Discussion and implications: These results enhance our understanding of cognitive decline in older adults by demonstrating that cohort effects on cognition are observable both cross-sectionally and longitudinally, affecting the entire range of verbal fluency trajectories.