Pub Date : 2025-12-12DOI: 10.1007/s11739-025-04216-7
Riccardo Boverio, Fabiola Signorini, Carlotta Rossi, Roberta Irene Maria Bellini, Cristian Zanelli, Giulia Irene Ghilardi, Daniela Zatelli, Giovanni Nattino, Guido Bertolini
This study assesses the feasibility of collecting real-time perceptions of emergency department (ED) crowding from different professional roles and compares the recorded perceptions with two crowding indicators: the NEDOCS and the recently proposed Fenice score. We conducted a prospective observational study in an Italian university hospital. ED staff received two SMS questionnaires daily, assessing perceived crowding and workload pressure on 0-10 scales. Simultaneously, the NEDOCS and Fenice scores were recorded every 15 min. Spearman correlations, regression models, and generalized additive models were used to assess associations. Among 49 staff members, 830 valid on-shift responses were collected (response rate: 62.6%). Perceived crowding was generally high (median: 7; Q1-Q3: 5-9) and varied significantly by role (p-value < 0.001), with healthcare assistants and boarding nurses perceiving the ED as more crowded and process management nurses perceiving it as less crowded. The Fenice and NEDOCS scores correlated strongly with perceived crowding (ρ: 0.71 and 0.69; p value = 0.06) and moderately with workload pressure (ρ < 0.60). The Fenice score explained slightly more variance in perceived crowding (R2: 0.65 vs. 0.59). While the correlation between the two scores in the study ED was high (ρ: 0.85), a wide range of correlation coefficients emerged in a cohort of 83 Italian EDs (average ρ: 0.80; min-max: 0.24-0.99; Q1-Q3: 0.73-0.93). Real-time monitoring of ED staff perceptions is feasible and informative. Both the NEDOCS and Fenice scores correlate well with staff perception, but the simplicity and fully automatable implementation of the Fenice score make it a promising alternative to be evaluated in future studies.
本研究评估了从不同专业角色收集急诊拥挤实时感知的可行性,并将记录的感知与两个拥挤指标(NEDOCS和最近提出的Fenice评分)进行了比较。我们在意大利一所大学医院进行了一项前瞻性观察研究。急诊科员工每天收到两份短信问卷,以0-10分评估他们对拥挤程度和工作压力的感受。同时每15分钟记录NEDOCS和Fenice评分。Spearman相关性、回归模型和广义加性模型用于评估相关性。在49名员工中,收集了830份有效的当班回复(回复率:62.6%)。感知到的拥挤程度普遍较高(中位数:7;Q1-Q3: 5-9),不同角色之间差异显著(p值2:0.65 vs. 0.59)。虽然研究ED中两个分数之间的相关性很高(ρ: 0.85),但在83名意大利ED队列中出现了广泛的相关系数(平均ρ: 0.80; min-max: 0.24-0.99; Q1-Q3: 0.73-0.93)。对急诊科员工的看法进行实时监测是可行和有益的。NEDOCS和Fenice评分都与员工的感知相关,但Fenice评分的简单性和完全自动化的实施使其成为未来研究中评估的一个有希望的替代方案。
{"title":"Measuring emergency department crowding: comparing the NEDOCS and Fenice crowding scores against staff perception.","authors":"Riccardo Boverio, Fabiola Signorini, Carlotta Rossi, Roberta Irene Maria Bellini, Cristian Zanelli, Giulia Irene Ghilardi, Daniela Zatelli, Giovanni Nattino, Guido Bertolini","doi":"10.1007/s11739-025-04216-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-025-04216-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study assesses the feasibility of collecting real-time perceptions of emergency department (ED) crowding from different professional roles and compares the recorded perceptions with two crowding indicators: the NEDOCS and the recently proposed Fenice score. We conducted a prospective observational study in an Italian university hospital. ED staff received two SMS questionnaires daily, assessing perceived crowding and workload pressure on 0-10 scales. Simultaneously, the NEDOCS and Fenice scores were recorded every 15 min. Spearman correlations, regression models, and generalized additive models were used to assess associations. Among 49 staff members, 830 valid on-shift responses were collected (response rate: 62.6%). Perceived crowding was generally high (median: 7; Q1-Q3: 5-9) and varied significantly by role (p-value < 0.001), with healthcare assistants and boarding nurses perceiving the ED as more crowded and process management nurses perceiving it as less crowded. The Fenice and NEDOCS scores correlated strongly with perceived crowding (ρ: 0.71 and 0.69; p value = 0.06) and moderately with workload pressure (ρ < 0.60). The Fenice score explained slightly more variance in perceived crowding (R<sup>2</sup>: 0.65 vs. 0.59). While the correlation between the two scores in the study ED was high (ρ: 0.85), a wide range of correlation coefficients emerged in a cohort of 83 Italian EDs (average ρ: 0.80; min-max: 0.24-0.99; Q1-Q3: 0.73-0.93). Real-time monitoring of ED staff perceptions is feasible and informative. Both the NEDOCS and Fenice scores correlate well with staff perception, but the simplicity and fully automatable implementation of the Fenice score make it a promising alternative to be evaluated in future studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":13662,"journal":{"name":"Internal and Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145742519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-10DOI: 10.1007/s11739-025-04223-8
Chiara Elli, Alessio Novella, Luca Pasina
{"title":"Unnecessary use of proton pump inhibitors in patients discharged on oral anticoagulant therapy: data from the REPOSI registry.","authors":"Chiara Elli, Alessio Novella, Luca Pasina","doi":"10.1007/s11739-025-04223-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-025-04223-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":13662,"journal":{"name":"Internal and Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145722670","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-10DOI: 10.1007/s11739-025-04222-9
Mehdi Molavi, Bahareh Amin, Mohammad Sahebkar
Managing relapsing ulcerative colitis (UC) remains a clinical challenge despite therapeutic advances. Metformin, primarily an antidiabetic agent with demonstrated anti-inflammatory properties, has been proposed as an adjunctive treatment for UC. This double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled pilot trial evaluated the effectiveness of adjunctive metformin in reducing disease activity among patients with mild-to-moderate UC experiencing acute exacerbations. A total of 112 patients with UC were enrolled at Sabzevar, Iran, between 2017 and 2024. The mean age of participants was 34.52 ± 5.79 years, and 57 patients (50.1%) were male. Patients were randomly assigned to receive either 1000 mg metformin tablets twice daily (after breakfast and dinner) in addition to routine treatment or placebo tablets with routine treatment for 2 months. The primary outcome was the change in UC Disease Activity Index (UCDAI) scores after the follow-up period. Ordinal logistic regression demonstrated that the odds of having a higher UCDAI score were approximately 54% lower in the metformin group compared with the control group (OR 0.46; 95% CI 0.21-0.97; P = 0.044). Multiple linear regression further confirmed significantly lower mean UCDAI scores in the metformin group (β = - 1.11; 95% CI - 1.86 to - 0.37; P = 0.004). These findings suggest that adjunctive metformin is associated with meaningful reductions in disease activity scores, supporting its potential therapeutic role in managing acute exacerbations of UC. While the results are promising, larger-scale clinical trials are needed to validate these outcomes and investigate the underlying mechanisms by which metformin may exert its anti-inflammatory effects in UC management.
治疗复发性溃疡性结肠炎(UC)仍然是一个临床挑战,尽管治疗进展。二甲双胍,主要是一种具有抗炎特性的抗糖尿病药物,已被提议作为UC的辅助治疗。这项双盲、随机、安慰剂对照的试点试验评估了辅助二甲双胍降低轻度至中度UC急性加重患者疾病活动性的有效性。2017年至2024年间,伊朗Sabzevar共有112名UC患者入组。参与者平均年龄34.52±5.79岁,男性57例(50.1%)。患者被随机分配接受1000 mg二甲双胍片,每日两次(早餐和晚餐后),除常规治疗外,或安慰剂片,常规治疗2个月。主要结局是UC疾病活动指数(UCDAI)评分在随访期后的变化。有序逻辑回归显示,与对照组相比,二甲双胍组出现较高UCDAI评分的几率约低54% (OR 0.46; 95% CI 0.21-0.97; P = 0.044)。多元线性回归进一步证实二甲双胍组平均UCDAI评分显著降低(β = - 1.11; 95% CI - 1.86 ~ - 0.37; P = 0.004)。这些发现表明,辅助二甲双胍与疾病活动评分有意义的降低相关,支持其在UC急性加重治疗中的潜在治疗作用。虽然结果很有希望,但需要更大规模的临床试验来验证这些结果,并研究二甲双胍在UC治疗中发挥其抗炎作用的潜在机制。
{"title":"Metformin as a potential adjunct in the treatment of mild-to-moderate ulcerative colitis: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled pilot study.","authors":"Mehdi Molavi, Bahareh Amin, Mohammad Sahebkar","doi":"10.1007/s11739-025-04222-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-025-04222-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Managing relapsing ulcerative colitis (UC) remains a clinical challenge despite therapeutic advances. Metformin, primarily an antidiabetic agent with demonstrated anti-inflammatory properties, has been proposed as an adjunctive treatment for UC. This double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled pilot trial evaluated the effectiveness of adjunctive metformin in reducing disease activity among patients with mild-to-moderate UC experiencing acute exacerbations. A total of 112 patients with UC were enrolled at Sabzevar, Iran, between 2017 and 2024. The mean age of participants was 34.52 ± 5.79 years, and 57 patients (50.1%) were male. Patients were randomly assigned to receive either 1000 mg metformin tablets twice daily (after breakfast and dinner) in addition to routine treatment or placebo tablets with routine treatment for 2 months. The primary outcome was the change in UC Disease Activity Index (UCDAI) scores after the follow-up period. Ordinal logistic regression demonstrated that the odds of having a higher UCDAI score were approximately 54% lower in the metformin group compared with the control group (OR 0.46; 95% CI 0.21-0.97; P = 0.044). Multiple linear regression further confirmed significantly lower mean UCDAI scores in the metformin group (β = - 1.11; 95% CI - 1.86 to - 0.37; P = 0.004). These findings suggest that adjunctive metformin is associated with meaningful reductions in disease activity scores, supporting its potential therapeutic role in managing acute exacerbations of UC. While the results are promising, larger-scale clinical trials are needed to validate these outcomes and investigate the underlying mechanisms by which metformin may exert its anti-inflammatory effects in UC management.</p>","PeriodicalId":13662,"journal":{"name":"Internal and Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145714360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The purpose is to investigate the effects of caffeinated chewing gum on the cognitive performance of emergency physicians (EPs) during a night shift. In this randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled crossover exploratory pilot trial, 14 young male EPs (mean age: 29.9 ± 1.44) working an 8-h night shift received either caffeinated gum (200 mg) or a placebo mid-shift. A comprehensive cognitive battery assessing executive function, cognitive flexibility, and spatial memory was administered at three time points: pre-shift (baseline), mid-shift (10 min post-intervention), and end-of-shift. Performance changes between conditions were analyzed using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test, with effect sizes quantified via rank-biserial correlation. Caffeinated gum elicited immediate and large improvements in key executive functions. Compared to placebo, the caffeine condition was associated with significantly enhanced cognitive flexibility (reduced task-switching interference: r = -0.784, 95% CI [-1.000 to -0.354], p = 0.009; improved accuracy: r = 0.673, 95% CI [0.154-1.000], p = 0.026) and superior cognitive inhibition (improved Incongruent Stroop task performance: r = -0.745, 95% CI [-1.000 to -0.273], p = 0.015). These benefits were not sustained at the end-of-shift assessment, and no significant effects were observed for spatial memory or other cognitive domains at any time point. This exploratory trial found that 200 mg of caffeinated gum produced immediate, domain-specific gains in cognitive flexibility and response inhibition, functions closely linked to medical error risk. As the effects were transient, caffeinated gum may serve as a short-term "tactical safety tool" in high-risk scenarios, aligning with strategies in aviation and military operations, though larger studies are needed to confirm these findings and test for a direct impact on clinical performance.
{"title":"Targeting the cognitive failures of fatigue: a randomized, double-blind, crossover pilot trial of a rapid countermeasure in night-shift emergency physicians.","authors":"Shuang-Yu Lu, Po-Sheng Wu, Fen-Wei Huang, Yu-Chun Chen, Chih-Hui Chiu, Yan-Cheng Pan, Shih-Hao Wu","doi":"10.1007/s11739-025-04224-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-025-04224-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The purpose is to investigate the effects of caffeinated chewing gum on the cognitive performance of emergency physicians (EPs) during a night shift. In this randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled crossover exploratory pilot trial, 14 young male EPs (mean age: 29.9 ± 1.44) working an 8-h night shift received either caffeinated gum (200 mg) or a placebo mid-shift. A comprehensive cognitive battery assessing executive function, cognitive flexibility, and spatial memory was administered at three time points: pre-shift (baseline), mid-shift (10 min post-intervention), and end-of-shift. Performance changes between conditions were analyzed using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test, with effect sizes quantified via rank-biserial correlation. Caffeinated gum elicited immediate and large improvements in key executive functions. Compared to placebo, the caffeine condition was associated with significantly enhanced cognitive flexibility (reduced task-switching interference: r = -0.784, 95% CI [-1.000 to -0.354], p = 0.009; improved accuracy: r = 0.673, 95% CI [0.154-1.000], p = 0.026) and superior cognitive inhibition (improved Incongruent Stroop task performance: r = -0.745, 95% CI [-1.000 to -0.273], p = 0.015). These benefits were not sustained at the end-of-shift assessment, and no significant effects were observed for spatial memory or other cognitive domains at any time point. This exploratory trial found that 200 mg of caffeinated gum produced immediate, domain-specific gains in cognitive flexibility and response inhibition, functions closely linked to medical error risk. As the effects were transient, caffeinated gum may serve as a short-term \"tactical safety tool\" in high-risk scenarios, aligning with strategies in aviation and military operations, though larger studies are needed to confirm these findings and test for a direct impact on clinical performance.</p>","PeriodicalId":13662,"journal":{"name":"Internal and Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145707957","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-05DOI: 10.1007/s11739-025-04217-6
Carlo Smirne, Rachele Rapetti, Luigi Maria Fenoglio, Christian Bracco, Mario Pirisi
{"title":"What is your next step? A case of how a misleading diagnosis can mask avoidable serious adverse effects of quetiapine.","authors":"Carlo Smirne, Rachele Rapetti, Luigi Maria Fenoglio, Christian Bracco, Mario Pirisi","doi":"10.1007/s11739-025-04217-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-025-04217-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":13662,"journal":{"name":"Internal and Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145677601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-02DOI: 10.1007/s11739-025-04215-8
Matteo Guarino, Agostino Di Ciaula, Piero Portincasa, Roberto De Giorgio
Sepsis remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Increasing evidence suggests that the gut microbiota, long considered a "less relevant" to human body health, it plays a crucial role in the pathophysiology of sepsis. Disruption of the host-microbe balance contributes to impaired barrier integrity, microbial translocation, and dysregulated immune responses. This perspective raises the possibility that dysbiosis is not merely a consequence of critical illness, rather an active driver of septic progression. This narrative review explores the relationship between sepsis and gut microbiome. PubMed, Scopus, and EMBASE were searched from inception to September 2025. Recent studies have highlighted the triangular interplay between the intestinal barrier, gut microbiota, and immune system. Altered microbial composition and increased permeability foster systemic inflammation and immune dysfunction. Biomarkers such as diamine oxidase and intestinal fatty acid-binding protein are emerging as promising indicators of gut injury. Experimental therapies (i.e., faecal microbiota transplantation, targeted probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, and personalized antibiotic regimens guided by microbial profiling) provide potential to modulate host-microbe interactions. Integration of microbiome analysis with multi-omics and advanced bioinformatics may enable stratification of septic patients by microbial signatures, paving the way for precision medicine approaches. Modulation of gut microbiota represents a novel therapeutic frontier in sepsis. Conceptualizing sepsis as a disease of disrupted host-microbe symbiosis may unravel new diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. Future research should aim at prioritizing high-quality trials, innovative designs, and equitable implementation to target microbiota to improve survival and recovery in patients with sepsis.
{"title":"Narrative review on microbiota and sepsis: the host's betrayal?","authors":"Matteo Guarino, Agostino Di Ciaula, Piero Portincasa, Roberto De Giorgio","doi":"10.1007/s11739-025-04215-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-025-04215-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Sepsis remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Increasing evidence suggests that the gut microbiota, long considered a \"less relevant\" to human body health, it plays a crucial role in the pathophysiology of sepsis. Disruption of the host-microbe balance contributes to impaired barrier integrity, microbial translocation, and dysregulated immune responses. This perspective raises the possibility that dysbiosis is not merely a consequence of critical illness, rather an active driver of septic progression. This narrative review explores the relationship between sepsis and gut microbiome. PubMed, Scopus, and EMBASE were searched from inception to September 2025. Recent studies have highlighted the triangular interplay between the intestinal barrier, gut microbiota, and immune system. Altered microbial composition and increased permeability foster systemic inflammation and immune dysfunction. Biomarkers such as diamine oxidase and intestinal fatty acid-binding protein are emerging as promising indicators of gut injury. Experimental therapies (i.e., faecal microbiota transplantation, targeted probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, and personalized antibiotic regimens guided by microbial profiling) provide potential to modulate host-microbe interactions. Integration of microbiome analysis with multi-omics and advanced bioinformatics may enable stratification of septic patients by microbial signatures, paving the way for precision medicine approaches. Modulation of gut microbiota represents a novel therapeutic frontier in sepsis. Conceptualizing sepsis as a disease of disrupted host-microbe symbiosis may unravel new diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. Future research should aim at prioritizing high-quality trials, innovative designs, and equitable implementation to target microbiota to improve survival and recovery in patients with sepsis.</p>","PeriodicalId":13662,"journal":{"name":"Internal and Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145654216","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Anemia is a global health issue, especially in resource-limited areas, where traditional hemoglobin (Hb) testing is invasive and costly. This study aimed to develop an electrocardiogram-hemoglobin (ECG-Hb) deep learning model (DLM) for detecting anemia and assess its impact on all-cause mortality and new-onset heart failure.
Methods: This retrospective study analyzed ECGs and corresponding Hb levels from two hospitals. The DLM was trained on 388,166 ECGs from 187,202 patients and tested on 24,279 and 29,247 patients in internal and external sets, respectively. Anemia was defined as moderate (Hb ≤ 10 g/dL) or severe (Hb ≤ 8 g/dL). Diagnostic performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and an 8-year follow-up assessed mortality and heart failure risk with Cox regression.
Results: The areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) for detecting moderate-to-severe anemia were 0.8545 (internal) and 0.8243 (external), with sensitivities of 65.9% and 71.0%, and specificities of 84.8% and 77.4%, respectively. ECG-Hb performed better in detecting severe anemia (AUC = 0.9038/0.8766) than in mild anemia. Pearson correlations between ECG-Hb and Hb were 0.56 (internal) and 0.53 (external). Key ECG features, including heart rate variability, significantly influenced ECG-Hb. Patients with severely low ECG-Hb had higher risks of mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.71, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42-2.06) and heart failure (HR: 2.47, 95% CI: 2.07-2.94) compared to those with standard ECG-Hb levels.
Conclusion: The ECG-Hb DLM offers strong diagnostic and prognostic potential for anemia and cardiovascular risks, making it a valuable, non-invasive screening tool in low-resource settings.
{"title":"Non-invasive hemoglobin estimation with outcome prediction via deep learning analysis of ECG-derived cardiac micro-dynamics.","authors":"Chung-Chi Yang, Chin-Sheng Lin, Chin Lin, Wei-Ting Liu, Zih-Yin Lai, Yung-Jen Chuang","doi":"10.1007/s11739-025-04209-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-025-04209-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Anemia is a global health issue, especially in resource-limited areas, where traditional hemoglobin (Hb) testing is invasive and costly. This study aimed to develop an electrocardiogram-hemoglobin (ECG-Hb) deep learning model (DLM) for detecting anemia and assess its impact on all-cause mortality and new-onset heart failure.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective study analyzed ECGs and corresponding Hb levels from two hospitals. The DLM was trained on 388,166 ECGs from 187,202 patients and tested on 24,279 and 29,247 patients in internal and external sets, respectively. Anemia was defined as moderate (Hb ≤ 10 g/dL) or severe (Hb ≤ 8 g/dL). Diagnostic performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and an 8-year follow-up assessed mortality and heart failure risk with Cox regression.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) for detecting moderate-to-severe anemia were 0.8545 (internal) and 0.8243 (external), with sensitivities of 65.9% and 71.0%, and specificities of 84.8% and 77.4%, respectively. ECG-Hb performed better in detecting severe anemia (AUC = 0.9038/0.8766) than in mild anemia. Pearson correlations between ECG-Hb and Hb were 0.56 (internal) and 0.53 (external). Key ECG features, including heart rate variability, significantly influenced ECG-Hb. Patients with severely low ECG-Hb had higher risks of mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.71, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42-2.06) and heart failure (HR: 2.47, 95% CI: 2.07-2.94) compared to those with standard ECG-Hb levels.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The ECG-Hb DLM offers strong diagnostic and prognostic potential for anemia and cardiovascular risks, making it a valuable, non-invasive screening tool in low-resource settings.</p>","PeriodicalId":13662,"journal":{"name":"Internal and Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145654248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-02DOI: 10.1007/s11739-025-04208-7
Cheng Yung Ban, Aida Bustam, Muhaimin Noor Azhar, Khadijah Poh
Plasma leakage is a hallmark of severe dengue and a major contributor to morbidity and mortality, yet early identification remains difficult, particularly in resource-limited settings. This single-centre retrospective study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting plasma leakage amongst 507 adults with laboratory-confirmed dengue admitted between January 2022 and December 2023. Plasma leakage was defined sonographically. We assessed NLR trends from illness days 1 to 11 and constructed a bivariate plot of absolute neutrophil and lymphocyte counts to visualise immune dynamics. Ninety-nine patients (19.5%) developed plasma leakage. NLR values differed significantly between groups on days 2-8. Admission NLR showed modest performance (AUROC 0.626), with high sensitivity (87.9%) but low specificity (33.8%). The highest accuracy occurred on day 2 (AUROC 0.923). Whilst NLR alone is insufficient as a diagnostic tool, early phase measurements and visual frameworks of immune cell trajectories may enhance risk stratification for plasma leakage in dengue.
{"title":"Utility of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting plasma leakage amongst adults with dengue fever.","authors":"Cheng Yung Ban, Aida Bustam, Muhaimin Noor Azhar, Khadijah Poh","doi":"10.1007/s11739-025-04208-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-025-04208-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Plasma leakage is a hallmark of severe dengue and a major contributor to morbidity and mortality, yet early identification remains difficult, particularly in resource-limited settings. This single-centre retrospective study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting plasma leakage amongst 507 adults with laboratory-confirmed dengue admitted between January 2022 and December 2023. Plasma leakage was defined sonographically. We assessed NLR trends from illness days 1 to 11 and constructed a bivariate plot of absolute neutrophil and lymphocyte counts to visualise immune dynamics. Ninety-nine patients (19.5%) developed plasma leakage. NLR values differed significantly between groups on days 2-8. Admission NLR showed modest performance (AUROC 0.626), with high sensitivity (87.9%) but low specificity (33.8%). The highest accuracy occurred on day 2 (AUROC 0.923). Whilst NLR alone is insufficient as a diagnostic tool, early phase measurements and visual frameworks of immune cell trajectories may enhance risk stratification for plasma leakage in dengue.</p>","PeriodicalId":13662,"journal":{"name":"Internal and Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145654231","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-29DOI: 10.1007/s11739-025-04206-9
Chiara Bagnato, Fabrizio Antonio Urso, Dario Filoni, Gioacchino Galardo, Lorenzo Loffredo
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