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Evaluation of the resilience of students in Golestan and Kermanshah provinces in natural hazards 戈列斯坦省和克尔曼沙阿省学生在自然灾害中的复原力评估
Pub Date : 2019-01-10 DOI: 10.52547/jorar.11.1.36
L. Mohammadinia, A. Ebadi, H. Malekafzali
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the attitude of the Red Crescent Society towards the relief and rescue of Tourists-Case Study: Red Crescent Society of Kermanshah Province 调查红新月会对游客救济和救援的态度-个案研究:克尔曼沙阿省红新月会
Pub Date : 2019-01-10 DOI: 10.52547/jorar.11.1.22
A. Azmi, somayeh amiri parian, ehteram yari, rohangiz amiri
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引用次数: 0
Prioritization of Crisis Management Practical Measures in the Field of Drought Using Views of Executive Managers 基于行政管理者观点的干旱领域危机管理实践措施的优先排序
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.52547/jorar.11.1.29
Jeiran Amiraslani, B. Omidvar, S. Shobeiri
INTRODUCTION: Drought is considered as a complex and creeping natural hazard associated with pervasive socio-economic and environmental impacts. Given the water reserves, per capita consumption, and average rainfall, Iran can be regarded as one of the countries facing the risk of lack of physical water resources and therefore proper management of drought in the country is an important issue. The main objective in the present study was to identify the dimensions gaining less attention in the context of executive drought management measures. METHODS: This was an applied-developmental study performed with the field method along with documentary studies. The data collection tool and method, and data analysis method were a researcher-made questionnaire, structured interview, and Q methodology using factor analysis, respectively. The statistical population of the study consisted of 12 executives of the Forests Range and Watershed Management Organization, Deputy ABFA of Ministry of Energy, Agricultural Research, Education, and Extension Organization, Deputy Minister of Water and Soil of Ministry of Agricultural Jihad active in drought management executive actions in the country. To derive the questionnaire items using the expert opinion, 24 items on drought management performance measures were selected in four technical-structural, socio-economic, managerial, and environmental-climatic aspects and factor interpretation was performed on them. FINDINGS: Based on the factor analysis of the results, the two technical-oriented and management-centered technical-oriented subjective models that both criticized the executive actions in the socio-economic dimension, were specified among the executives of the drought management field. Thus, according to the experts, most problems in the country in the field of drought management were in the socio-economic sector and most of the achievements in the technical-structural dimension. CONCLUSION: The results of the viewpoints of the executive managers indicated that most of them considered health promotion in drought crisis as one of the achievements of the executive measures in this field in the country which can be used as a strength in future planning.
引言:干旱被认为是一种复杂的、缓慢蔓延的自然灾害,具有普遍的社会经济和环境影响。鉴于水资源储量、人均消费量和平均降雨量,伊朗可以被视为面临缺乏物理水资源风险的国家之一,因此在该国适当管理干旱是一个重要问题。本研究的主要目的是查明在执行干旱管理措施方面受到较少注意的方面。方法:采用现场法和文献研究相结合的应用发展性研究。数据收集工具和方法,数据分析方法分别为研究者自制问卷、结构化访谈和因子分析Q法。该研究的统计人口包括12名森林范围和流域管理组织的行政人员,能源、农业研究、教育和推广组织的副ABFA,农业吉哈德部的水和土壤副部长,积极参与该国的干旱管理行政行动。在技术结构、社会经济、管理和环境气候4个方面选择了24个干旱管理绩效指标,利用专家意见推导问卷项目,并对其进行因子解释。结果:基于对结果的因子分析,在干旱管理领域的管理者中发现了以技术为导向和以管理为中心的两种主观模型,这两种主观模型都在社会经济维度上批评了管理者的行为。因此,专家们认为,该国在干旱管理领域的大多数问题是在社会经济部门,而大多数成就是在技术-结构方面。结论:执行管理人员的观点结果表明,大多数执行管理人员认为干旱危机健康促进是国家在该领域执行措施的成果之一,可以作为未来规划的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation of Passive Defense Components in the Design of Urban Parks (Case Study: Jannat Shiraz Garden) 城市公园设计中的被动防御要素探讨(以Jannat Shiraz花园为例)
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.52547/jorar.11.1.42
M. Hesampour, Mohammad Hossein Rouhian, S. Kazemi, Haleh Adibi-Larijani
INTRODUCTION: Cities as human settlements have always been at risks. Therefore, they need to have a mechanism to keep safe against dangers automatically. Moreover, this self-safety mechanism happens when passive defense principles observe in the city design. Public spaces should have multi-purpose applications so that their defensive function can also be utilized in addition to the main purpose. The aim of this research is to investigate the passive defense components in the design of urban parks. METHODS: This study is practical-developmental based on purpose and descriptive-analytical based on the nature that was carried out in the Janet Garden of Shiraz, Iran in 2017-2018. The statistical population is Shiraz citizens using random sampling method. The sample size was 384 according to Cochran formula. Data were collected using questionnaire and was validated based on Cronbach's alpha (above 0.7) and binomial test and one-sample t-test were used to test the hypotheses. The confidence level and the error rate were 95% and 5% respectively for all three hypotheses. FINDINGS: The results show that observing the principles of passive defense are effective in urban parks designing based on four criteria such as citizens' security, stability of natural elements, variability of performance of park components, and park space. Most people using the park were 21-35 year olds with a diploma and associate degree and a monthly visit. CONCLUSION: Observing the principles of passive defense in designing or redesign urban parks in addition to improving defensive performance increased the sense of security of citizens’ health and leads to the stability of the elements, components, and park space.
导言:城市作为人类住区一直处于危险之中。因此,他们需要有一种机制来自动保护安全。这种自我安全机制是在城市设计中遵循被动防御原则时产生的。公共空间应具有多用途的应用,使其防御功能在主要用途之外也能得到利用。本研究旨在探讨城市公园设计中的被动防御成分。方法:2017-2018年在伊朗设拉子珍妮特花园进行了基于目的的实践性研究和基于性质的描述性分析研究。统计人口为设拉子市民,采用随机抽样的方法。根据科克伦公式,样本量为384人。采用问卷方式收集资料,采用Cronbach’s alpha(大于0.7)进行验证,采用二项检验和单样本t检验进行假设检验。三个假设的置信水平和错误率分别为95%和5%。结果表明:在城市公园设计中,基于市民安全感、自然要素稳定性、公园构件性能变异性和公园空间四个标准,遵循被动防御原则是有效的。大多数使用该公园的人年龄在21-35岁之间,拥有文凭和副学士学位,每月来一次。结论:在城市公园的设计或再设计中,在提高防御性能的同时,遵循被动防御原则,增加了市民的健康安全感,促进了元素、组成部分和公园空间的稳定性。
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引用次数: 1
Trust Building in Humanitarian Services Supply Network 人道主义服务供应网络中的信任建设
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.52547/jorar.11.1.49
HamidReza Talaie, M. Hajian
INTRODUCTION: Due to the increasing trend of natural and manmade disasters in the contemporary world, especially in Iran, as well as the variety and high number of disasters in recent years, the issue of managing the humanitarian services supply network has become very important. The purpose of this study is to design and evaluate the model of trust building in the humanitarian services supply network, considering the importance of building trust in these networks and theoretical poverty in this field. METHODS: For doing this study, three recent major disasters in Tehran province, Iran, (Plasco accident, Shahran explosion and metro flood) were selected and had been studied and the trust building model in humanitarian service supply network is designed using Corbin and Strauss grounded theory version 2015 based on interviews with 8 humanitarian experts in that three disasters. Then, the relationships between the model’s components were investigated by Structural Equation Modeling with a researcher-made questionnaire distributed among 128 individuals participating in the above events. FINDINGS: The final model is designed in three phases of conditions, actions, and consequences based on grounded theory. Poor community structures and community management systems are a major obstacle to trust building and political power interventions, insufficient funding , uncertainty of the responsible person, unsuccessful performance, lack of coordination and cooperation of the responsible working groups, and lack of readiness are the main factors of distrust. The main components of the model are highly correlated and the components have significant relationships. CONCLUSION: The research final model can solve the existing problems in Iran's humanitarian services supply network by building trust among organizations, members of the network and finally among the community people. Building trust enhances intra-network collaboration, and achieves the success and goals of the relief network through establishing greater coordination and cohesion. The dominance of the political factors in the relief network is also a major obstacle to obtaining the needed information and making good cooperation by those present in the network and thus, the involvement of political actors in the humanitarian supply network should be prevented.
导言:由于当今世界,特别是伊朗的自然灾害和人为灾害呈增加趋势,以及近年来灾害的种类和数量,管理人道主义服务供应网络的问题变得非常重要。考虑到人道主义服务供给网络中建立信任的重要性和该领域的理论贫困,本研究的目的是设计和评估人道主义服务供给网络中信任建立的模型。方法:选取伊朗德黑兰省近期发生的三起重大灾害(Plasco事故、Shahran爆炸和地铁洪水)作为研究对象,采用Corbin and Strauss接地理论2015版,在对8位参与这三起灾害的人道主义专家进行访谈的基础上,设计了人道主义服务供应网络信任构建模型。在此基础上,采用结构方程模型,对参与上述事件的128名个体进行问卷调查,研究了模型各成分之间的关系。结果:最终的模型是基于扎根理论,分为条件、行动和后果三个阶段设计的。不良的社区结构和社区管理系统是建立信任和政治权力干预的主要障碍,资金不足、负责人不确定、业绩不佳、负责工作组缺乏协调与合作以及缺乏准备是不信任的主要因素。模型的主要组成部分高度相关,各组成部分之间的关系显著。结论:研究的最终模型可以通过建立组织之间、网络成员之间以及社区人群之间的信任来解决伊朗人道主义服务供应网络存在的问题。建立信任可以增强网络内部的协作,通过建立更大的协调性和凝聚力来实现救灾网络的成功和目标。政治因素在救济网中占主导地位,这也是救济网内人员取得所需资料和进行良好合作的主要障碍,因此,应防止政治行为者参与人道主义供应网。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the Performance of Humanitarian Supply Chain Management with the Help of Partial Least Squares (PLS) 基于偏最小二乘的人道主义供应链管理绩效建模
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.52547/JORAR.11.1.1
ahmad tavakola, Maryam Aliei
INTRODUCTION: Increasing the incidence of natural disasters around the world has led to increased concerns about the social and economic development of developed countries. Natural disasters are inevitable, but they can be taken to reduce their negative impacts on countries. Organizations involved in managing these crises must regulate their supply chain and make the necessary changes to improve the performance of the humanitarian supply chain. METHODS: Data analysis by partial least squares method (PLS) was performed using smart-pls2 software and a researcher-made questionnaire with 25 questions that examined six structures. In this research, 320 questionnaires have been distributed. In the statistical population of the survey, there are military centers, fire brigades, Omer Crescent population, emergency 115, crisis management and renovation committee in the parliament, governorate, municipalities, supply chain managers, Active practitioners in this field, subject specialists (reference persons and perpetrators in this field), and other members of the organizations involved in rescue and rescue operations in Tehran (randomly selected from the 22 areas). Eventually, 193 people were involved in relief and rescue operations. The reliability of the model has been investigated and verified through three ways of evaluating factor load coefficients, Cronbach's alpha coefficients, composite reliability (CR). The average variance extracted (AVE) values are greater than 0.5, and CR values are larger than AVEs. That means convergent validity. Also, the mean of the AVE for each structure is greater than 0.50 and this is a sign of convergent validity. FINDINGS: For the model, GOF is 0.56; that means the model has a great fit. The statistics above show that the proposed model is suitable for data collection. In general, the proposed model confirms the relationship between the use of information technology, mutual trust, flexibility, agility, adaptability and performance of the humanitarian supply chain. Fit statistics have four indicators: Goodness of Fitness (GFI) of 0.92, Fitted Goodness Index (AGFI) of 0.9, Root RMSEA error of 0.04, and 360.88 x 360 times. Finally, the ratio of k 2 to the degree of freedom for 1.38 is obtained, indicating the good of fitness of the model fit with the data. With the aid of p-values and T-Values 8 hypotheses were confirmed in this modeling. CONCLUSION: The results show that the agility and flexibility of organizations in the humanitarian supply chain are related to the use of information technology and organizational trust, which in turn affects performance.
导言:世界各地自然灾害的发生率不断增加,使人们越来越关注发达国家的社会和经济发展。自然灾害是不可避免的,但可以采取措施减少其对国家的负面影响。参与管理这些危机的组织必须规范他们的供应链,并做出必要的改变,以改善人道主义供应链的绩效。方法:采用smart-pls2软件,采用偏最小二乘法(PLS)进行数据分析,问卷共25个问题,涉及6个结构。本研究共发放问卷320份。在调查的统计人口中,有军事中心、消防队、Omer Crescent人口、紧急情况115、议会危机管理和修复委员会、省、市、供应链管理人员、该领域的积极从业人员、主题专家(该领域的参考人和肇事者)以及参与德黑兰救援和救援行动的组织的其他成员(从22个地区随机选择)。最终,193人参与了救援行动。通过因子负荷系数、Cronbach’s alpha系数、复合信度(CR)三种评价方法对模型的可靠性进行了研究和验证。平均方差提取(AVE)值大于0.5,CR值大于AVE。这意味着收敛效度。此外,每个结构的AVE的平均值大于0.50,这是收敛效度的标志。结果:该模型的GOF为0.56;这意味着这个模型非常适合。以上统计结果表明,该模型适合于数据收集。总的来说,所提出的模型证实了信息技术的使用、相互信任、灵活性、敏捷性、适应性和人道主义供应链绩效之间的关系。拟合统计有四个指标:适应度优度(GFI)为0.92,拟合优度指数(AGFI)为0.9,根RMSEA误差为0.04,360.88 × 360倍。最后得到k 2与自由度的比值为1.38,表明模型与数据拟合的适应度较好。借助p值和t值,本模型确定了8个假设。结论:研究结果表明,人道主义供应链组织的敏捷性和灵活性与信息技术的使用和组织信任有关,而组织信任又影响绩效。
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引用次数: 0
City Vulnerability Assessment with Passive Defense Approach; A Case Study: Rasht City, Iran 基于被动防御方法的城市脆弱性评价案例研究:伊朗拉什特市
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.52547/jorar.11.1.11
O. Mobaraki, ali valigolizadeh, A. Norozi
INTRODUCTION: The passive defense approach is one of the approaches in planning and organizing cities and residential complexes with the aim to reduce environmental hazards. Given the vital and sensitive position of cities, while preparing against military invasions, this approach provides special capabilities to cope with natural and human crises to a large extent. METHODS: This was an applied study conducted with a descriptive-analytical method. Data were collected reviewing the relevant texts, sources, books, and articles, as well as examining maps, interviews, and observations. The data were then analyzed using the geographic information system (GIS) software. In the next step, the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis technique was employed to investigate the strengths and weaknesses as well as the opportunities and threats of Rasht City, Iran. FINDINGS: Rasht City accounts for a considerable part of the population, facilities, and services of Guilan Province, Iran, which will experience great damage in case of occurrence of a natural or human disaster. The SWOT analysis results revealed that the strategy obtained was of a defensive nature. CONCLUSION: On the basis of the results obtained from the investigation of the sensitive land uses, it can be stated that the location of the land uses (particularly, sensitive and important ones) in Rasht does not follow the passive defense principles. In addition, the central areas of the city are more vulnerable due to the density of the important and sensitive uses in these areas. This implies that the city center is the most vulnerable area of Rasht in terms of the passive defense approach.
简介:被动防御是规划和组织城市和住区以减少环境危害的方法之一。鉴于城市的重要和敏感地位,在防备军事入侵的同时,这种做法在很大程度上提供了应付自然和人类危机的特殊能力。方法:采用描述性分析方法进行应用研究。收集数据的方法包括查阅相关文本、资料来源、书籍和文章,以及查阅地图、访谈和观察。然后使用地理信息系统(GIS)软件对数据进行分析。接下来,运用SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats)分析技术,对伊朗拉什特市的优势和劣势以及机遇和威胁进行调查。结果:拉什特市占伊朗桂兰省人口、设施和服务的相当大一部分,一旦发生自然灾害或人为灾害,拉什特市将遭受巨大的破坏。SWOT分析结果表明,所获得的战略是防御性的。结论:根据对敏感土地利用的调查结果,拉什特的土地利用(特别是敏感和重要的土地利用)的选址不遵循被动防御原则。此外,城市的中心地区由于这些地区的重要和敏感用途的密度而更加脆弱。这意味着,从被动防御的角度来看,市中心是拉什特最脆弱的区域。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Rescue Relief
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