首页 > 最新文献

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis最新文献

英文 中文
Housing in the greater Paris area as an inflation hedge? 在大巴黎地区买房是为了对冲通胀?
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-02-13 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0118
Yasmine Essafi Zouari, Aya Nasreddine
PurposeOver a long period, even low inflation has an impact on portfolio value and households’ purchasing power. In such a context, inflation hedging should remain an important issue for investors. In particular, long-term investors, who are concerned with the protection of their wealth, seek to hold effective hedging assets. This study aims to demonstrate that residential assets in “Grand Paris” are a hedge against inflation and particularly against its unexpected component.Design/methodology/approachIn this study, the physical residential markets in 127 communes in Paris and the Parisian first-ring suburbs are considered as potential asset classes. We simplified the analysis by clustering the 127 communes into five homogenous groups using ascending hierarchical classification (AHC). Then, we test the hedging ability of these groups within a mixed asset portfolios using both correlation and regression analysis.FindingsThis paper presents an analysis of the “Grand Paris” housing market and its inflation hedging ability with comparison to other financial asset classes. Results show that the five housing groups act as a highly positive hedge against unexpected inflation. Furthermore, cash and bonds seem to provide, respectively, a partial and an over hedge against unexpected inflation. Stocks act as a perverse hedge against unexpected inflation and provide no significant hedge against expected inflation. Also, indirect listed real estate demonstrates little correlation with inflation, which makes us reject its hedging ability contrary to physical residential real estate.Research limitations/implicationsThe inflation topic: although several researches exist that question the hedging property of real estate, very few concentrate on physical residential assets and to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the only one that targets the “Grand Paris” area. Residential assets of the “Grand Paris” communes are confirmed to be a hedge against inflation and particularly against its unexpected component thanks to its capital appreciation rather than income one. Also, we show that the listed real estate in France (Sociétés d’Investissement Immobilier Cotée) does not provide the same hedging properties contrary to the US real estate investment trusts (REITs) who demonstrate this ability. Listed real estate could thus not be used interchangeably with housing to protect from inflation in the French market.Practical implicationsProtection of investors against inflation and in particular in the face of its return to France in 2022. Reassuring promoters and investors of the interest of residential investment projects in “Greater Paris” and of the potential that this holds.Social implicationsInflation takes a chunk out of the purchasing power of money and thereby erodes the real value of people’s finance. Investors and households who seek protection from inflation erosion should invest in direct housing, and in particular within area
目的在很长一段时间内,即使是低通胀也会对投资组合价值和家庭购买力产生影响。在这种情况下,通胀对冲对投资者来说仍然是一个重要问题。尤其是长期投资者,他们关心财富的保护,寻求持有有效的对冲资产。这项研究旨在证明“大巴黎”的住宅资产是对通货膨胀的对冲,尤其是对其意外成分的对冲。设计/方法论/方法在本研究中,巴黎127个社区和巴黎一环路郊区的实体住宅市场被视为潜在的资产类别。我们通过使用升序分类(AHC)将127个社区聚类为五个同质组来简化分析。然后,我们使用相关性和回归分析来测试混合资产组合中这些群体的套期保值能力。本文通过与其他金融资产类别的比较,分析了“大巴黎”住房市场及其通胀对冲能力。结果表明,这五个房地产集团对意外通货膨胀起到了高度积极的对冲作用。此外,现金和债券似乎分别为意外通胀提供了部分和过度对冲。股票对意外通胀起到了不正当的对冲作用,对预期通胀没有提供重大对冲。此外,间接上市房地产与通货膨胀的相关性很小,这使我们拒绝接受其与实物住宅房地产相反的对冲能力。研究局限性/含义通货膨胀主题:尽管有几项研究质疑房地产的套期保值性质,但很少有研究集中在实物住宅资产上,据作者所知,这项研究是唯一一项针对“大巴黎”地区的研究。“大巴黎”社区的住宅资产被证实可以对冲通货膨胀,特别是由于其资本增值而非收入增值,可以对冲其意外组成部分。此外,我们还表明,与表现出这种能力的美国房地产投资信托基金(REITs)相反,法国上市房地产(Sociétés d'Investissement Immobilier Cotée)并没有提供相同的对冲资产。因此,上市房地产不能与住房互换使用,以防止法国市场的通货膨胀。实际含义保护投资者免受通货膨胀的影响,尤其是在2022年返回法国时。向发起人和投资者保证对“大巴黎”住宅投资项目的兴趣及其潜力。社会影响通货膨胀夺走了货币购买力的很大一部分,从而侵蚀了人们金融的实际价值。寻求免受通胀侵蚀的投资者和家庭应投资于直接住房,尤其是在正在经历有效大都市化进程的地区。独创性/价值研究的独创性恰恰与所研究的地理区域有关。后者几年来经历了有利的经济条件,并提供了有趣的基本面,可以在投资策略中探索和利用,这些策略被证明能够抵御迫在眉睫的通货膨胀。该数据库是该项目特有的,是在法国巴黎银行房地产公司的支持下,通过汇编多个来源建立的。
{"title":"Housing in the greater Paris area as an inflation hedge?","authors":"Yasmine Essafi Zouari, Aya Nasreddine","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0118","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0118","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000Over a long period, even low inflation has an impact on portfolio value and households’ purchasing power. In such a context, inflation hedging should remain an important issue for investors. In particular, long-term investors, who are concerned with the protection of their wealth, seek to hold effective hedging assets. This study aims to demonstrate that residential assets in “Grand Paris” are a hedge against inflation and particularly against its unexpected component.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000In this study, the physical residential markets in 127 communes in Paris and the Parisian first-ring suburbs are considered as potential asset classes. We simplified the analysis by clustering the 127 communes into five homogenous groups using ascending hierarchical classification (AHC). Then, we test the hedging ability of these groups within a mixed asset portfolios using both correlation and regression analysis.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000This paper presents an analysis of the “Grand Paris” housing market and its inflation hedging ability with comparison to other financial asset classes. Results show that the five housing groups act as a highly positive hedge against unexpected inflation. Furthermore, cash and bonds seem to provide, respectively, a partial and an over hedge against unexpected inflation. Stocks act as a perverse hedge against unexpected inflation and provide no significant hedge against expected inflation. Also, indirect listed real estate demonstrates little correlation with inflation, which makes us reject its hedging ability contrary to physical residential real estate.\u0000\u0000\u0000Research limitations/implications\u0000The inflation topic: although several researches exist that question the hedging property of real estate, very few concentrate on physical residential assets and to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the only one that targets the “Grand Paris” area. Residential assets of the “Grand Paris” communes are confirmed to be a hedge against inflation and particularly against its unexpected component thanks to its capital appreciation rather than income one. Also, we show that the listed real estate in France (Sociétés d’Investissement Immobilier Cotée) does not provide the same hedging properties contrary to the US real estate investment trusts (REITs) who demonstrate this ability. Listed real estate could thus not be used interchangeably with housing to protect from inflation in the French market.\u0000\u0000\u0000Practical implications\u0000Protection of investors against inflation and in particular in the face of its return to France in 2022. Reassuring promoters and investors of the interest of residential investment projects in “Greater Paris” and of the potential that this holds.\u0000\u0000\u0000Social implications\u0000Inflation takes a chunk out of the purchasing power of money and thereby erodes the real value of people’s finance. Investors and households who seek protection from inflation erosion should invest in direct housing, and in particular within area","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42853531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Brand anthropomorphism’s impact on real estate purchase decisions of young buyers in India and the underlying reliance on spatial memory 品牌拟人化对印度年轻买家房地产购买决策的影响及其对空间记忆的潜在依赖
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-02-13 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-12-2022-0178
A. Rodrigues, Benny J. Godwin, Jossy P. George
PurposeAssessing anthropomorphic tendency in relation to real estate purchase decisions and analysing the elements of friendliness, aggressiveness, pleasure and arousal as a link to the spatial memory of the consumer. This study aims to help brands and advertisers in the real estate industry to create meaningful consumer relationships by using elements that are associated with positive spatial experience. By formulating a detailed questionnaire with adapted variables from proven research and a multilayered approach of theoretic and practical analysis, this paper situates the identified variables in the plane of space and customer experience.Design/methodology/approachBy using structural equation modeling, this study analyses a sample data of 411 consumers and their response to elements of housing.FindingsThe findings of this study showed that variables of friendliness, aggressiveness, pleasure and arousal significantly impact consumer’s real estate purchase decision; however, anthropomorphic tendency does not have a significant impact. Through theoretical analysis, it was found that spatial memory may have a role in the visual and display of the variables.Originality/valueThe merit of this paper lies in the discussion it has raised with regard to the intersection between theoretics of space and the chosen variables. In the field of business and management, often philosophical implications of spatiality may not be actively associated with numerical computation. This paper not only looks at brand anthropomorphism’s impact on real estate purchase decisions but also looks at friendliness and other mentioned variables as significantly impacting purchase decisions and linked to memory, space and affiliation.
目的评估与房地产购买决策相关的拟人化倾向,并分析与消费者空间记忆相关的友好、攻击性、愉悦和唤醒因素。本研究旨在帮助房地产行业的品牌和广告商通过使用与积极空间体验相关的元素来创造有意义的消费者关系。通过从已证实的研究中制定一份详细的调查问卷,并采用多层次的理论和实践分析方法,将确定的变量置于空间和客户体验的平面上。设计/方法/方法通过使用结构方程建模,本研究分析了411名消费者的样本数据及其对住房要素的反应。研究结果表明,友好性、攻击性、愉悦性和唤醒性变量显著影响消费者的房地产购买决策;然而,拟人化倾向并没有产生显著的影响。通过理论分析发现,空间记忆可能在变量的视觉和显示中发挥作用。原创性/价值本文的优点在于它提出了关于空间理论和所选变量之间的交叉点的讨论。在商业和管理领域,空间性的哲学含义通常可能与数值计算没有积极的联系。本文不仅考察了品牌拟人化对房地产购买决策的影响,还考察了友好度和其他提到的变量对购买决策的显著影响,并与记忆、空间和隶属关系有关。
{"title":"Brand anthropomorphism’s impact on real estate purchase decisions of young buyers in India and the underlying reliance on spatial memory","authors":"A. Rodrigues, Benny J. Godwin, Jossy P. George","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-12-2022-0178","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-12-2022-0178","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000Assessing anthropomorphic tendency in relation to real estate purchase decisions and analysing the elements of friendliness, aggressiveness, pleasure and arousal as a link to the spatial memory of the consumer. This study aims to help brands and advertisers in the real estate industry to create meaningful consumer relationships by using elements that are associated with positive spatial experience. By formulating a detailed questionnaire with adapted variables from proven research and a multilayered approach of theoretic and practical analysis, this paper situates the identified variables in the plane of space and customer experience.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000By using structural equation modeling, this study analyses a sample data of 411 consumers and their response to elements of housing.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000The findings of this study showed that variables of friendliness, aggressiveness, pleasure and arousal significantly impact consumer’s real estate purchase decision; however, anthropomorphic tendency does not have a significant impact. Through theoretical analysis, it was found that spatial memory may have a role in the visual and display of the variables.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000The merit of this paper lies in the discussion it has raised with regard to the intersection between theoretics of space and the chosen variables. In the field of business and management, often philosophical implications of spatiality may not be actively associated with numerical computation. This paper not only looks at brand anthropomorphism’s impact on real estate purchase decisions but also looks at friendliness and other mentioned variables as significantly impacting purchase decisions and linked to memory, space and affiliation.\u0000","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49568445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The relationship between macroeconomic variables on residential property price: case study in Malaysia before and during COVID-19 宏观经济变量与住宅房地产价格的关系——新冠肺炎前后马来西亚的案例研究
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-02-08 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-01-2022-0013
S. H. Zulkarnain, A. S. Nawi
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to analyse numerous aspects affecting residential property price in Malaysia against macroeconomics issues such as gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate, unemployment and wage.Design/methodology/approachThe hedonic pricing model has been adopted as econometric model for this research to investigate the relationship between residential property price against macroeconomics indicator. The data for residential property price and macroeconomic variables were collected from 1991 to 2019. Multiple linear regression had been adopted to find the relationship between the dependent and independent variables.FindingsThe result shows that the GDP has a significant positive impact on residential property price, while exchange rate has no significant impact although it was positive. In addition, the unemployment rate has a significant impact on the residential property price and has a negative relationship. Similar to the wage that shows the negative relationship with residential property prices. Moreover, during the pandemic COVID-19 in Malaysia, this research shows a more transparent view of the relationship between residential property price and the macroeconomic issues of GDP, exchange rate, unemployment and wage.Originality/valueThe findings of this research found that macroeconomics issue cannot be eliminated due to Malaysia is a developing country, and there will always be an issue that will happen, but the issues can be reduced to maximise the advantages, e.g. during COVID-19, the solution to fight against COVID-19 were crucial and weaken the macroeconomics issues.
目的本研究的目的是针对国内生产总值(GDP)、汇率、失业率和工资等宏观经济问题,分析影响马来西亚住宅房地产价格的多个方面。设计/方法/方法本研究采用特征定价模型作为计量经济模型,研究住宅价格与宏观经济指标之间的关系。住宅房地产价格和宏观经济变量的数据收集于1991年至2019年。采用多元线性回归法来寻找因变量和自变量之间的关系。研究结果表明,GDP对住宅价格有显著的正向影响,而汇率虽然是正向的,但对住宅价格没有显著的影响。此外,失业率对住宅楼价有显著影响,并具有负相关关系。类似于工资显示出与住宅物业价格的负相关关系。此外,在马来西亚新冠肺炎大流行期间,这项研究显示了对住宅房地产价格与GDP、汇率、失业和工资等宏观经济问题之间关系的更透明看法。原创/价值本研究发现,由于马来西亚是一个发展中国家,宏观经济问题是无法消除的,而且总会有一个问题发生,但可以减少这些问题以最大限度地发挥优势,例如在新冠肺炎期间,抗击新冠肺炎的解决方案至关重要,并削弱了宏观经济问题。
{"title":"The relationship between macroeconomic variables on residential property price: case study in Malaysia before and during COVID-19","authors":"S. H. Zulkarnain, A. S. Nawi","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-01-2022-0013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-01-2022-0013","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000The purpose of this study is to analyse numerous aspects affecting residential property price in Malaysia against macroeconomics issues such as gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate, unemployment and wage.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000The hedonic pricing model has been adopted as econometric model for this research to investigate the relationship between residential property price against macroeconomics indicator. The data for residential property price and macroeconomic variables were collected from 1991 to 2019. Multiple linear regression had been adopted to find the relationship between the dependent and independent variables.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000The result shows that the GDP has a significant positive impact on residential property price, while exchange rate has no significant impact although it was positive. In addition, the unemployment rate has a significant impact on the residential property price and has a negative relationship. Similar to the wage that shows the negative relationship with residential property prices. Moreover, during the pandemic COVID-19 in Malaysia, this research shows a more transparent view of the relationship between residential property price and the macroeconomic issues of GDP, exchange rate, unemployment and wage.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000The findings of this research found that macroeconomics issue cannot be eliminated due to Malaysia is a developing country, and there will always be an issue that will happen, but the issues can be reduced to maximise the advantages, e.g. during COVID-19, the solution to fight against COVID-19 were crucial and weaken the macroeconomics issues.\u0000","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46862025","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How much to invest for house purchase? The consumer purchase intention perspective of real estate investment decision 购房投资多少?房地产投资决策的消费者购买意愿视角
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0151
S. Kabir, Zakia Binte Jamal, Bindu Proshad Kairy
PurposeThis study is based on the consumer purchase intention (CPI) in real estate. The purpose of this study is to investigate the link between CPI and preferred individual investment capacity in buying real estate properties. This study investigates if commonly known factors of CPI such as attitude, social power or subjective norms, perceived behavior power or control, location, surrounding environment and socialization can influence a consumer’s preferred investment amount when buying a house, either for own use or for rental purpose.Design/methodology/approachA total of 334 respondents participated in this study. The survey data was analyzed using factor analysis technique, ordinary least square technique and Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood technique.FindingsThis study finds that location, surrounding environment, property/construction papers, roads, mosque/temple and fire services significantly influence the preferred investment amount of a real estate investor.Originality/valueThis study suggests that a link exists between CPI and real estate investment decision through factors such as location, surrounding environment, legal documentation and communication facility. These identified CPI factors require serious consideration by the real estate developers and their financing partners.
目的本研究基于房地产消费者购买意愿(CPI)。本研究的目的是探讨CPI与个人购买房地产的偏好投资能力之间的关系。本研究考察了消费者在购买住房时,无论是自住还是租赁,消费者的态度、社会权力或主观规范、感知的行为权力或控制、所处位置、周围环境和社会化等CPI中众所周知的因素是否会影响消费者的首选投资金额。设计/方法/方法共有334名受访者参与了这项研究。采用因子分析技术、普通最小二乘技术和泊松拟极大似然技术对调查数据进行分析。本研究发现,地段、周边环境、物业/建筑文件、道路、清真寺/寺庙和消防服务显著影响房地产投资者的首选投资额。原创性/价值本研究认为,CPI与房地产投资决策之间存在着区位、周边环境、法律文件和沟通便利等因素的联系。这些确定的CPI因素需要房地产开发商及其融资伙伴认真考虑。
{"title":"How much to invest for house purchase? The consumer purchase intention perspective of real estate investment decision","authors":"S. Kabir, Zakia Binte Jamal, Bindu Proshad Kairy","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0151","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0151","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000This study is based on the consumer purchase intention (CPI) in real estate. The purpose of this study is to investigate the link between CPI and preferred individual investment capacity in buying real estate properties. This study investigates if commonly known factors of CPI such as attitude, social power or subjective norms, perceived behavior power or control, location, surrounding environment and socialization can influence a consumer’s preferred investment amount when buying a house, either for own use or for rental purpose.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000A total of 334 respondents participated in this study. The survey data was analyzed using factor analysis technique, ordinary least square technique and Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood technique.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000This study finds that location, surrounding environment, property/construction papers, roads, mosque/temple and fire services significantly influence the preferred investment amount of a real estate investor.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000This study suggests that a link exists between CPI and real estate investment decision through factors such as location, surrounding environment, legal documentation and communication facility. These identified CPI factors require serious consideration by the real estate developers and their financing partners.\u0000","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46033996","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of social capital on housing prices: panel data analysis by province in Turkey 社会资本对房价的影响:土耳其各省面板数据分析
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-11-2022-0170
Abdulmuttalip Pilatin, Ali Hepşen, Onur Kayran
PurposeThis study aims to reveal whether social capital has an effect on the housing price index in Turkey, which is a developing country. The research was carried out by using the data on the basis of 81 provinces of Turkey in a 12-year period covering the years 2007–2018.Design/methodology/approachThe data were subjected to panel data regression analysis and the related models were tested using the Driscoll-Kraay (1998) Estimator.FindingsAccording to the results of the analysis, it was understood that there is a negative and significant relationship between social capital (SC1) and the housing price index. The results were corroborated by susceptibility testing. As the level of social capital rises in the provinces in Turkey, the manipulative and opportunistic behavior tendencies of individual and corporate house sellers decrease. These results support the principal–agent theory and theory of moral hazard, which constitute the theoretical background of the study.Originality/valueNo study has been found in the literature on the effect of social capital on housing prices. This situation constitutes the main motivation source of the study and shows its originality.
目的本研究旨在揭示社会资本是否对发展中国家土耳其的房价指数产生影响。这项研究是基于土耳其81个省的数据进行的,为期12年,涵盖2007-2018年。设计/方法/方法对数据进行面板数据回归分析,并使用Driscoll Kraay(1998)Estimator对相关模型进行测试。根据分析结果,据了解,社会资本(SC1)与房价指数之间存在负相关且显著的关系。药敏试验证实了这一结果。随着土耳其各省社会资本水平的提高,个人和企业卖房者的操纵和机会主义行为倾向有所减少。这些结果支持了委托代理理论和道德风险理论,构成了本研究的理论背景。原创性/价值文献中没有关于社会资本对房价影响的研究。这种情况构成了本研究的主要动机来源,并显示出其独创性。
{"title":"The effect of social capital on housing prices: panel data analysis by province in Turkey","authors":"Abdulmuttalip Pilatin, Ali Hepşen, Onur Kayran","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-11-2022-0170","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-11-2022-0170","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000This study aims to reveal whether social capital has an effect on the housing price index in Turkey, which is a developing country. The research was carried out by using the data on the basis of 81 provinces of Turkey in a 12-year period covering the years 2007–2018.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000The data were subjected to panel data regression analysis and the related models were tested using the Driscoll-Kraay (1998) Estimator.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000According to the results of the analysis, it was understood that there is a negative and significant relationship between social capital (SC1) and the housing price index. The results were corroborated by susceptibility testing. As the level of social capital rises in the provinces in Turkey, the manipulative and opportunistic behavior tendencies of individual and corporate house sellers decrease. These results support the principal–agent theory and theory of moral hazard, which constitute the theoretical background of the study.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000No study has been found in the literature on the effect of social capital on housing prices. This situation constitutes the main motivation source of the study and shows its originality.\u0000","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47226582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Interdependence between foreigner housing acquisitions and housing price increase in Turkey during the COVID-19 pandemic era 2019冠状病毒病大流行时期土耳其外国人购房与房价上涨之间的相互依存关系
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0109
M. A. Salami, H. Tanrıvermiş, Yeşim Aliefendioğlu (Tanrivermis)
PurposeThis study aims to establish the relationship between house acquisitions by foreigners (HAF) and house price index (HPI) in Turkey.Design/methodology/approachDue to the nature of this study, the data spans from January 2020 to March 2022. The house price index and the number of foreign house acquisitions across three provinces: Ankara, Izmir and Bursa, and national-level data were obtained from the TurkStat database. Consumer price index (CPI) and Turkish interest rates are control variables. In addition, monthly Turkish interest rates and CPI were obtained from the investing.com and TurkStat database, respectively. Furthermore, this study used autoregressive-distributed lag and Toda Yamamoto Granger causality models to avoid analysis bias. HPI and HAF are the variables used to accomplish the objectives of this study.FindingsThis study established a short-run equilibrium between foreign house acquisitions at the provincial and national levels. The short-run deviations were adjusted faster, ranging from 57.53% to 89.24% for some provinces, while Izmir is struggling to adjust at 6.48%. Both unidirectional and bidirectional Granger causality evidence suggests that the Turkish house price index increases at the national and provincial levels. This finding suggests the need for continuous policy intervention in the Turkish housing market because house prices play a pivotal role in Turkish economic development and daily lives.Research limitations/implicationsThis study’s scope and single-country study are its limitations. However, those limitations make the findings appropriate for the country of the study rather than generalising the results.Practical implicationsThe study provides empirical evidence that foreign housing acquisition contributes negatively to housing affordability in Turkey and calls for authority intervention. This is because housing is considered shelter, a fundamental need to which citizens are expected to be entitled. Most citizens are low- and medium-income earners who may be unable to afford a house out of their income if it becomes costly. Once the expenditure to secure housing exceeds 30% of their income, it is considered unaffordable.Originality/valueTo the authors' best knowledge, this is the first empirical study that established the influence of foreign house acquisitions on Turkish house price increases and adversely reduced house affordability by Turkish citizens. The study is the first on foreign Turkish housing acquisition that used both theory of ownership and justice motivation theory to explain HAF.
目的本研究旨在建立土耳其外国人购房(HAF)与房价指数(HPI)之间的关系。由于本研究的性质,数据跨度为2020年1月至2022年3月。安卡拉、伊兹密尔和布尔萨三个省的房价指数和外国房屋收购数量,以及国家层面的数据均来自土耳其统计局的数据库。消费者物价指数(CPI)和土耳其利率是控制变量。此外,每月的土耳其利率和CPI分别来自investing.com和TurkStat数据库。此外,本研究使用自回归分布滞后和Toda Yamamoto格兰杰因果关系模型来避免分析偏差。HPI和HAF是用来完成本研究目标的变量。研究结果:本研究在省级和国家层面建立了外国房屋收购之间的短期均衡。短期偏差的调整速度更快,一些省份的调整幅度从57.53%到89.24%不等,而伊兹密尔的调整幅度为6.48%。单向和双向格兰杰因果关系证据均表明,土耳其房价指数在国家和省两个层面均呈上升趋势。这一发现表明,土耳其房地产市场需要持续的政策干预,因为房价在土耳其的经济发展和日常生活中起着关键作用。研究的局限性/启示本研究的范围和单一国家研究是其局限性。然而,这些局限性使研究结果适合于研究的国家,而不是推广结果。实践意义本研究提供了经验证据,表明外国住房收购对土耳其的住房负担能力有负向影响,并呼吁当局干预。这是因为住房被认为是住所,是公民应该享有的基本需求。大多数公民是中低收入者,如果房价变得昂贵,他们可能无法用自己的收入负担起一套房子。一旦住房支出超过其收入的30%,就被认为是负担不起的。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是第一个实证研究,确定了外国房屋收购对土耳其房价上涨的影响,并不利地降低了土耳其公民的住房负担能力。本研究是第一个同时运用所有权理论和正义动机理论来解释HAF的外国土耳其住房购置研究。
{"title":"Interdependence between foreigner housing acquisitions and housing price increase in Turkey during the COVID-19 pandemic era","authors":"M. A. Salami, H. Tanrıvermiş, Yeşim Aliefendioğlu (Tanrivermis)","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0109","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0109","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose\u0000This study aims to establish the relationship between house acquisitions by foreigners (HAF) and house price index (HPI) in Turkey.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000Due to the nature of this study, the data spans from January 2020 to March 2022. The house price index and the number of foreign house acquisitions across three provinces: Ankara, Izmir and Bursa, and national-level data were obtained from the TurkStat database. Consumer price index (CPI) and Turkish interest rates are control variables. In addition, monthly Turkish interest rates and CPI were obtained from the investing.com and TurkStat database, respectively. Furthermore, this study used autoregressive-distributed lag and Toda Yamamoto Granger causality models to avoid analysis bias. HPI and HAF are the variables used to accomplish the objectives of this study.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000This study established a short-run equilibrium between foreign house acquisitions at the provincial and national levels. The short-run deviations were adjusted faster, ranging from 57.53% to 89.24% for some provinces, while Izmir is struggling to adjust at 6.48%. Both unidirectional and bidirectional Granger causality evidence suggests that the Turkish house price index increases at the national and provincial levels. This finding suggests the need for continuous policy intervention in the Turkish housing market because house prices play a pivotal role in Turkish economic development and daily lives.\u0000\u0000\u0000Research limitations/implications\u0000This study’s scope and single-country study are its limitations. However, those limitations make the findings appropriate for the country of the study rather than generalising the results.\u0000\u0000\u0000Practical implications\u0000The study provides empirical evidence that foreign housing acquisition contributes negatively to housing affordability in Turkey and calls for authority intervention. This is because housing is considered shelter, a fundamental need to which citizens are expected to be entitled. Most citizens are low- and medium-income earners who may be unable to afford a house out of their income if it becomes costly. Once the expenditure to secure housing exceeds 30% of their income, it is considered unaffordable.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000To the authors' best knowledge, this is the first empirical study that established the influence of foreign house acquisitions on Turkish house price increases and adversely reduced house affordability by Turkish citizens. The study is the first on foreign Turkish housing acquisition that used both theory of ownership and justice motivation theory to explain HAF.","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41902999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
What housing characteristics support seniors? Seniors’ experiences of housing and home in New Zealand during the COVID-19 pandemic 什么样的住房特征支持老年人?2019冠状病毒病大流行期间新西兰老年人的住房和家庭体验
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0124
B. L. James
PurposeThis paper aims to explore what can be learned from the COVID-19 pandemic about adaptable, functional housing design that supports seniors’ resilience. This paper considers how physical and design features enable seniors to stay safe, develop coping strategies, give and receive care and maintain social connections.Design/methodology/approachA qualitative research strategy incorporating thematic analysis was used, involving interviews and one focus group with seniors and interviews with housing providers and community organisations supporting seniors. Forty-eight semi-structured interviews were conducted with 54 seniors aged over 60 years living independently, not in aged care. Interviewees were selected to cover a range of ages and housing circumstances. Semi-structured interviews were also conducted with 20 organisations.FindingsThe physical, amenity and design aspects of the living environment that support seniors’ well-being and resilience during a pandemic are: the ability to receive essential goods and services in the home; sufficient space and storage; flexible and adaptable living spaces; access to private indoor and outdoor space; ability to garden and grow food; having an outlook or view; functional heating, ventilation and appliances; and dwelling location allowing access to green spaces, food stores and services. The ability of housing to facilitate social connections is a fundamental enabler of seniors’ resilience.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to knowledge about physical and design aspects of the dwelling that enable protection and care in a pandemic and how that can help to future-proof housing. Its focus on enabling seniors’ resilience through housing recognises the growing significance of structural population ageing for housing design and delivery and the central role of housing to ageing-in-place policies that underpin health and welfare provision.
本文旨在探讨从2019冠状病毒病大流行中可以学到的适应性、功能性住房设计,以支持老年人的弹性。本文考虑了物理和设计特征如何使老年人保持安全,制定应对策略,给予和接受护理以及保持社会联系。设计/方法/方法采用了结合主题分析的定性研究策略,包括与老年人进行访谈和一个焦点小组访谈,以及与住房供应商和支持老年人的社区组织进行访谈。对54名60岁以上独立生活、未接受老年护理的老年人进行了48次半结构化访谈。受访者的年龄和住房情况各不相同。我们亦与20间机构进行了半结构化访谈。支持老年人在大流行期间的福祉和复原力的生活环境的物理、舒适和设计方面是:能够在家中获得基本商品和服务;足够的空间和储存空间;灵活和适应性强的生活空间;进入私人室内和室外空间;有园艺和种植食物的能力;有远景或观点的;功能采暖、通风及电器;居住位置允许进入绿色空间,食品商店和服务。住房促进社会联系的能力是老年人恢复能力的根本因素。原创性/价值本文有助于了解住宅的物理和设计方面,这些方面可以在流行病中提供保护和护理,以及如何帮助未来的住房。其重点是通过住房增强老年人的复原力,认识到结构性人口老龄化对住房设计和交付的日益重要意义,以及住房对支撑健康和福利提供的就地老龄化政策的核心作用。
{"title":"What housing characteristics support seniors? Seniors’ experiences of housing and home in New Zealand during the COVID-19 pandemic","authors":"B. L. James","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0124","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0124","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000This paper aims to explore what can be learned from the COVID-19 pandemic about adaptable, functional housing design that supports seniors’ resilience. This paper considers how physical and design features enable seniors to stay safe, develop coping strategies, give and receive care and maintain social connections.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000A qualitative research strategy incorporating thematic analysis was used, involving interviews and one focus group with seniors and interviews with housing providers and community organisations supporting seniors. Forty-eight semi-structured interviews were conducted with 54 seniors aged over 60 years living independently, not in aged care. Interviewees were selected to cover a range of ages and housing circumstances. Semi-structured interviews were also conducted with 20 organisations.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000The physical, amenity and design aspects of the living environment that support seniors’ well-being and resilience during a pandemic are: the ability to receive essential goods and services in the home; sufficient space and storage; flexible and adaptable living spaces; access to private indoor and outdoor space; ability to garden and grow food; having an outlook or view; functional heating, ventilation and appliances; and dwelling location allowing access to green spaces, food stores and services. The ability of housing to facilitate social connections is a fundamental enabler of seniors’ resilience.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000This paper contributes to knowledge about physical and design aspects of the dwelling that enable protection and care in a pandemic and how that can help to future-proof housing. Its focus on enabling seniors’ resilience through housing recognises the growing significance of structural population ageing for housing design and delivery and the central role of housing to ageing-in-place policies that underpin health and welfare provision.\u0000","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42333262","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Does loadshedding affect the housing market in South Africa? Some empirical evidence 减载会影响南非的房地产市场吗?一些经验证据
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0148
Amogelang Marope, A. Phiri
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to quantify the impact of electricity power outages on the local housing market in South Africa.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) and quantile autoregressive distributive lag (QARDL) models on annual time series data, for the period 1971–2014. The interest rate, real income and inflation were used as control variables to enable a multivariate framework.FindingsThe results from the ARDL model show that real income is the only factor influencing housing price over the long run, whereas other variables only have short-run effects. The estimates from the QARDL further reveal hidden cointegration relationship over the long run with higher quantile levels of distribution and transmission losses raising the residential price growth.Research limitations/implicationsOverall, the findings of this study imply that the South African housing market is more vulnerable to property devaluation caused by power outages over the short run and yet remains resilient to loadshedding over the long run. Other macro-economic factors, such as real income and inflation, are more influential factors towards long-run developments in the residential market.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to examine the empirical relationship between power outages and housing price growth.
目的本研究的目的是量化停电对南非当地住房市场的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究对1971年至2014年期间的年度时间序列数据使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)和分位数自回归分配滞后(QARDL)模型。利率、实际收入和通货膨胀被用作控制变量,以实现多变量框架。结果ARDL模型的结果表明,从长远来看,实际收入是影响房价的唯一因素,而其他变量只具有短期影响。QARDL的估计进一步揭示了长期内隐藏的协整关系,更高的分配和输电损失分位数水平提高了住宅价格的增长。研究局限性/含义总体而言,这项研究的结果表明,南非住房市场在短期内更容易受到停电导致的房地产贬值的影响,但从长远来看,它仍能承受负荷减少的影响。其他宏观经济因素,如实际收入和通货膨胀,是影响住宅市场长期发展的更大因素。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是第一项检验停电与房价增长之间实证关系的研究。
{"title":"Does loadshedding affect the housing market in South Africa? Some empirical evidence","authors":"Amogelang Marope, A. Phiri","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0148","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0148","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000The purpose of this study is to quantify the impact of electricity power outages on the local housing market in South Africa.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000This study uses the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) and quantile autoregressive distributive lag (QARDL) models on annual time series data, for the period 1971–2014. The interest rate, real income and inflation were used as control variables to enable a multivariate framework.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000The results from the ARDL model show that real income is the only factor influencing housing price over the long run, whereas other variables only have short-run effects. The estimates from the QARDL further reveal hidden cointegration relationship over the long run with higher quantile levels of distribution and transmission losses raising the residential price growth.\u0000\u0000\u0000Research limitations/implications\u0000Overall, the findings of this study imply that the South African housing market is more vulnerable to property devaluation caused by power outages over the short run and yet remains resilient to loadshedding over the long run. Other macro-economic factors, such as real income and inflation, are more influential factors towards long-run developments in the residential market.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to examine the empirical relationship between power outages and housing price growth.\u0000","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48791104","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
An Islamic principle-based integrated solution for China’s housing affordability issues 基于伊斯兰原则的中国住房负担能力综合解决方案
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0152
Yaxin Ma, Fauziah MD. TAIB, Nusirat Ojuolape Gold
PurposeThis study aims to merge the world’s proven ways of housing finance, including musharakah mutanaqisah, housing cooperatives and real estate crowdfunding, to present an alternative housing unaffordability solution based on the Islamic finance principle. It is intended to reduce the burden of funding for both sides (consumers and developers) and create win–win chances for all stakeholders, including intermediaries. By moving away from debt financing and merging the features of crowdfunding and cooperative, it is hopeful that the burden of home ownership will no longer be the case.Design/methodology/approachThis paper presents the opinions of potential Chinese homebuyers (minority Muslims and most non-Muslims) and a few industry experts toward the proposed model via a mixed research method.FindingsAccording to the findings, the majority of respondents agreed with the proposed paradigm. Just concerned that China’s lack of community culture and trust could pose a major threat to implementation. However, this paper argues that Chinese local governments may perform pilot testing in places where Islamic culture is prevalent. Their unique community culture and fundamental understanding of Shariah law may affect the viability of the proposed model.Originality/valueThe proposed model would increase the applicability of Islamic finance as a way of protecting the social order of communities in the spirit of upholding justice and fairness. A new type of housing loan based on musharakah mutanaqisah may squeeze out the real estate bubble and provide stakeholders with a multidimensional investment channel. In particular, the study identifies the impact of Chinese Islamic financing on government and cultural needs. It presents possible challenges for implementing the proposed model in reality and helps bridge the gap between theory and practice.
目的本研究旨在融合世界上公认的住房融资方式,包括musharakah mutanaqisah、住房合作社和房地产众筹,提出一种基于伊斯兰金融原则的替代住房负担不起的解决方案。它旨在减轻双方(消费者和开发商)的资金负担,并为包括中介机构在内的所有利益相关者创造双赢的机会。通过摆脱债务融资,融合众筹和合作社的特点,人们希望拥有住房的负担将不再如此。设计/方法论/方法本文通过混合研究方法,介绍了潜在的中国购房者(少数民族穆斯林和大多数非穆斯林)和一些行业专家对拟议模型的意见。调查结果根据调查结果,大多数受访者同意所提出的范式。只是担心中国缺乏社区文化和信任可能会对实施构成重大威胁。然而,本文认为,中国地方政府可能会在伊斯兰文化盛行的地方进行试点测试。他们独特的社区文化和对伊斯兰教法的基本理解可能会影响拟议模式的可行性。独创性/价值拟议的模式将提高伊斯兰金融的适用性,以维护正义和公平的精神保护社区的社会秩序。基于musharakah mutanaqisah的新型住房贷款可能会挤出房地产泡沫,并为利益相关者提供多维投资渠道。特别是,该研究确定了中国伊斯兰融资对政府和文化需求的影响。它为在现实中实施所提出的模型提出了可能的挑战,并有助于弥合理论与实践之间的差距。
{"title":"An Islamic principle-based integrated solution for China’s housing affordability issues","authors":"Yaxin Ma, Fauziah MD. TAIB, Nusirat Ojuolape Gold","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0152","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-10-2022-0152","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000This study aims to merge the world’s proven ways of housing finance, including musharakah mutanaqisah, housing cooperatives and real estate crowdfunding, to present an alternative housing unaffordability solution based on the Islamic finance principle. It is intended to reduce the burden of funding for both sides (consumers and developers) and create win–win chances for all stakeholders, including intermediaries. By moving away from debt financing and merging the features of crowdfunding and cooperative, it is hopeful that the burden of home ownership will no longer be the case.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000This paper presents the opinions of potential Chinese homebuyers (minority Muslims and most non-Muslims) and a few industry experts toward the proposed model via a mixed research method.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000According to the findings, the majority of respondents agreed with the proposed paradigm. Just concerned that China’s lack of community culture and trust could pose a major threat to implementation. However, this paper argues that Chinese local governments may perform pilot testing in places where Islamic culture is prevalent. Their unique community culture and fundamental understanding of Shariah law may affect the viability of the proposed model.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000The proposed model would increase the applicability of Islamic finance as a way of protecting the social order of communities in the spirit of upholding justice and fairness. A new type of housing loan based on musharakah mutanaqisah may squeeze out the real estate bubble and provide stakeholders with a multidimensional investment channel. In particular, the study identifies the impact of Chinese Islamic financing on government and cultural needs. It presents possible challenges for implementing the proposed model in reality and helps bridge the gap between theory and practice.\u0000","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49003725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
“Home away from home” in pandemic times: how has COVID-19 changed the Airbnb market in Melbourne? 大流行时期的“离家之家”:COVID-19如何改变了墨尔本的Airbnb市场?
IF 1.7 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0123
Peize Li, S. Han, Hao Wu
PurposeThis study aims to investigate how the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted and changed Airbnb market in the Greater Melbourne area in terms of its temporal and spatial patterns and identify possible shifts in underlying trends in travel activities.Design/methodology/approachA panel data set of Airbnb listings in Melbourne is analysed to compare temporal patterns, spatial distribution and lengths of stay of Airbnb users before and after the COVID outbreak.FindingsThis study found that the COVID disruption did not fundamentally change the temporal cycle of the Airbnb market. Month-to-month fluctuations peaked at different levels from pre-pandemic times mainly because of lockdowns and other restrictive measures. The impact of COVID-19 disruptions on neighbourhood-level Airbnb revenues is associated with distance to CBD rather than number of COVID cases. Inner city suburbs suffered major loss during the pandemic, whereas outer suburbs gained popularity due to increased domestic travel and long stays. Long stays (28 days or more, as defined by Airbnb) were the fastest growing segment during the pandemic, which indicates the Airbnb market was adapting to increasing demand for purposes like remote working or lifestyle change. After easing of COVID-related restrictions, demand for short-term accommodation quickly recovered, but supply has not shown signs of strong recovery. Spatial distribution of post-pandemic supply recovery shows a similar spatial variation. Neighbourhoods in the inner city have not shown signs of significant recovery, whereas those in the middle and outer rings are either slowly recovering or approaching their pre-COVID levels.Practical implicationsThe COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted short-term rental markets and in particular the Airbnb sector during the phase of its rapid development. This paper helps inform in- and post-pandemic housing policy, market opportunity and investment decision.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is one of the first attempts to empirically examine both temporal and spatial patterns of the COVID-19 impact on Airbnb market in one of the most severely impacted major cities. It is one of the first attempts to identify shifts in underlying trends in travel based on Airbnb data.
本研究旨在调查2019冠状病毒病大流行如何影响和改变大墨尔本地区的Airbnb市场的时空格局,并确定旅游活动的潜在趋势可能发生的变化。设计/方法/方法分析了墨尔本Airbnb房源的面板数据集,以比较新冠疫情爆发前后Airbnb用户的时间模式、空间分布和入住时间。研究发现,新冠肺炎疫情并没有从根本上改变Airbnb市场的时间周期。每月波动的峰值与大流行前不同,主要原因是封锁和其他限制性措施。COVID-19对邻里层面Airbnb收入的影响与到CBD的距离有关,而不是与COVID-19病例的数量有关。在大流行期间,内城郊区遭受了重大损失,而远郊由于国内旅行和长时间停留的增加而受到欢迎。长期住宿(Airbnb定义的28天或更长时间)是疫情期间增长最快的部分,这表明Airbnb市场正在适应对远程工作或生活方式改变等目的不断增长的需求。在新冠肺炎相关限制措施放松后,短期住宿需求迅速恢复,但供应并未显示出强劲复苏的迹象。大流行后供应恢复的空间分布也显示出类似的空间差异。内城的社区没有显示出明显的复苏迹象,而中环和外环的社区要么正在缓慢恢复,要么正在接近疫情前的水平。新冠肺炎疫情对短期租赁市场,特别是Airbnb行业的快速发展产生了重大影响。本文有助于为疫情前后的住房政策、市场机会和投资决策提供信息。据作者所知,这是第一次尝试在受影响最严重的主要城市之一实证研究COVID-19对Airbnb市场影响的时空模式。这是根据Airbnb的数据识别旅游潜在趋势变化的首批尝试之一。
{"title":"“Home away from home” in pandemic times: how has COVID-19 changed the Airbnb market in Melbourne?","authors":"Peize Li, S. Han, Hao Wu","doi":"10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-08-2022-0123","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000This study aims to investigate how the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted and changed Airbnb market in the Greater Melbourne area in terms of its temporal and spatial patterns and identify possible shifts in underlying trends in travel activities.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000A panel data set of Airbnb listings in Melbourne is analysed to compare temporal patterns, spatial distribution and lengths of stay of Airbnb users before and after the COVID outbreak.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000This study found that the COVID disruption did not fundamentally change the temporal cycle of the Airbnb market. Month-to-month fluctuations peaked at different levels from pre-pandemic times mainly because of lockdowns and other restrictive measures. The impact of COVID-19 disruptions on neighbourhood-level Airbnb revenues is associated with distance to CBD rather than number of COVID cases. Inner city suburbs suffered major loss during the pandemic, whereas outer suburbs gained popularity due to increased domestic travel and long stays. Long stays (28 days or more, as defined by Airbnb) were the fastest growing segment during the pandemic, which indicates the Airbnb market was adapting to increasing demand for purposes like remote working or lifestyle change. After easing of COVID-related restrictions, demand for short-term accommodation quickly recovered, but supply has not shown signs of strong recovery. Spatial distribution of post-pandemic supply recovery shows a similar spatial variation. Neighbourhoods in the inner city have not shown signs of significant recovery, whereas those in the middle and outer rings are either slowly recovering or approaching their pre-COVID levels.\u0000\u0000\u0000Practical implications\u0000The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted short-term rental markets and in particular the Airbnb sector during the phase of its rapid development. This paper helps inform in- and post-pandemic housing policy, market opportunity and investment decision.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is one of the first attempts to empirically examine both temporal and spatial patterns of the COVID-19 impact on Airbnb market in one of the most severely impacted major cities. It is one of the first attempts to identify shifts in underlying trends in travel based on Airbnb data.\u0000","PeriodicalId":14136,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46782953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
期刊
International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1