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2017 International Conference on Behavioral, Economic, Socio-cultural Computing (BESC)最新文献

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How to choose a committee based on agents' preferences? 如何根据代理人的偏好选择委员会?
P. Faliszewski
This is an accompanying paper for an invited presentation at the 4th International Conference on Behavioral, Economic, and Socio-Cultural Computing (BESC-2017): There are numerous situations where people (or, more broadly, agents) need to select a set of individuals based on preferences of these people (these agents). For example, democratic societies elect parliaments, judges in competitions choose finalists, companies choose their advisory boards. In this talk we argue that such settings can be modeled in the language of multiwinner elections. Specifically, in a multiwinner election we are given a set of candidates, a set of voters (with preferences over the candidates), and a target committee size. The goal is to choose a subset of candidates of a given size, in a way that is most satisfying for the voters. We show that exact meaning of the phrase “most satisfying” strongly depends on the context, but we argue that the language of committee scoring rules is sufficiently rich to capture many interesting interpretations of this phrase.
这是一篇在第四届行为、经济和社会文化计算国际会议(BESC-2017)上应邀发表的论文:在许多情况下,人们(或者更广泛地说,代理人)需要根据这些人(这些代理人)的偏好选择一组个体。例如,民主社会选举议会,竞赛评委选择决赛选手,公司选择顾问委员会。在这次演讲中,我们认为这样的设置可以在多赢家选举的语言中建模。具体来说,在多赢家选举中,我们会得到一组候选人、一组选民(对候选人有偏好)和一个目标委员会规模。目标是以选民最满意的方式,从给定规模的候选人中选出一个子集。我们表明,短语“最令人满意”的确切含义在很大程度上取决于上下文,但我们认为,委员会评分规则的语言足够丰富,可以捕捉到这个短语的许多有趣的解释。
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引用次数: 0
Can Bayesian poisson tensor factorization automatically extract interesting events from massive media reports? 贝叶斯泊松张量分解能否自动从大量媒体报道中提取出有趣的事件?
Chen Zhou, Feiyan Liu, Jianbo Gao, Changqing Song
Characterization of the dynamical evolution of important events around the globe has become increasingly important. For decades, political scientists have been collecting and analyzing political events of the form “country i took action a toward country j at time t” — known as dyadic events — in order to form and test theories of international relations, respond to crises of all kinds, among others. By constructing daily matrices from a massive political events data, the Global database of events, location (language), and tone (GDELT), which covers almost all the events occurring in the world since 1979 (so far over 400 million in total), we examine whether Bayesian Poisson Tensor Factorization (BPTF) can automatically extract events of interest, such as Paris terror attack 2015, from the sea of events collected by GDELT. For this purpose, we take all the news data in a period of two months from June to August 2016 as a sample, decompose it into 50 components automatically with BPTF. We find BPTF has largely successfully decomposed the mixed events into distinct components, including the conflicts between Palestine and Israel, violent attacks in Germany, Turkey and France, and the South China Sea Arbitration.
描述全球重大事件的动态演变已变得越来越重要。几十年来,政治学家一直在收集和分析“某国在某时刻对某国采取行动”这种形式的政治事件——即所谓的二元事件——以形成和检验国际关系理论、应对各种危机等。通过从大量政治事件数据中构建每日矩阵,即全球事件、地点(语言)和语气数据库(GDELT),该数据库涵盖了自1979年以来世界上发生的几乎所有事件(到目前为止总计超过4亿),我们研究了贝叶斯泊松张量分解(BPTF)是否可以从GDELT收集的事件海洋中自动提取感兴趣的事件,例如2015年巴黎恐怖袭击。为此,我们将2016年6月至8月两个月期间的所有新闻数据作为样本,用BPTF自动分解为50个分量。我们发现BPTF在很大程度上成功地将混合事件分解为不同的组件,包括巴勒斯坦和以色列之间的冲突,德国,土耳其和法国的暴力袭击以及南海仲裁。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of big data and informatization on tourism industry 大数据和信息化对旅游业的影响
H. Yin, Ye Zhu
From the beginning of the new century, modern society gradually steps into the era of big data and information big bang with the popularity of computers and the Internet. Tourism industry is an important part of China's national economy, and some provinces and cities have been taking it as a pillar industry, a key industry and a pilot industry [1]. With people's income and consumption level being increasing, travel has become one of the important consumption components for most people. Despite the rapid development of tourism, the traditional tourism industry has been unable to meet the growing material and cultural needs of our people. And the use of big data and informatization in the tourism industry brings it a robust and healthy development. The corresponding policies also come into being. China National Tourism Administration proposed in 2011 we shall strive to achieve a comprehensive informatization and modernization of China's tourism industry within about 10 years. The year 2014 is assigned as “Year of China Intelligent Tourism”. China's tourism work conference in 2015 proposed that tourism should fully be integrated into the Internet age and China tourism industry should be armed with information technology. This has been taken as one of the top ten key tasks in “515 strategy” to be deploied. China put forward the “integration, application, security, security”, i.e. the “eight-character” policy, in the Thirteenth Five-Year Plan period, as China's tourism information of the main task. Many of the above policy formulation requires the use of big data, informatization to arm tourism industry, to promote the transformation and upgrading of its industrial structure, and finally we can achieve the purpose of “intelligent tourism”.
进入新世纪以来,随着计算机和互联网的普及,现代社会逐步步入大数据、信息大爆炸时代。旅游业是中国国民经济的重要组成部分,部分省市已将其作为支柱产业、重点产业和试点产业[1]。随着人们收入和消费水平的提高,旅游已经成为大多数人重要的消费组成部分之一。尽管旅游业发展迅速,但传统旅游业已经不能满足人们日益增长的物质文化需求。而大数据和信息化在旅游业中的应用,使旅游业得到了强劲健康的发展。相应的政策也随之产生。中国国家旅游局在2011年提出,力争用10年左右的时间实现中国旅游业全面信息化和现代化。2014年被确定为“中国智慧旅游年”。2015年中国旅游工作会议提出,旅游业要全面融入互联网时代,中国旅游业要用信息技术武装起来。这被列为“515战略”要部署的十大重点任务之一。中国提出“整合、应用、安全、保障”,即“八字”方针,在“十三五”期间,作为中国旅游信息化的主要任务。上述许多政策制定都要求用大数据、信息化武装旅游产业,促进其产业结构转型升级,最终达到“智慧旅游”的目的。
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引用次数: 7
Comparison of group discovery methods on datasets with ground-truth 基于真值的数据集群发现方法的比较
Bogdan Gliwa, Anna Zygmunt, Bartosz Grabski, M. Stojkow, Dorota Żuchowska-Skiba
Finding social network communities (groups) is fundamental in understanding the properties of the whole network and better understanding human behavior. Many definitions of such structures have been proposed, and therefore, also a lot of algorithms for finding them. These algorithms differ in many aspects and each of them has additionally a number of parameters that need to be set apriori. The article presents a comparison of the results of using different algorithms for datasets that have a ground truth. Moreover, for nondeterministic algorithms, the variability of their results was also analyzed.
寻找社会网络社区(群体)是理解整个网络属性和更好地理解人类行为的基础。这种结构的许多定义已经被提出,因此,也提出了许多寻找它们的算法。这些算法在许多方面有所不同,并且每个算法都有一些额外的参数需要先验地设置。本文介绍了使用不同算法的数据集具有一个基本真理的结果的比较。此外,对于不确定性算法,还分析了其结果的可变性。
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引用次数: 0
Can nationalistic information spread like virus?: A cascade tree analysis of diffusion pattern on WeChat moments 民族主义信息会像病毒一样传播吗?:微信朋友圈扩散模式的级联树分析
Lingnan He, Hao-Yu Yang, Zhiwei Lin, Kaisheng Lai, Zhi'an Zhang
WeChat Moments has become an important way for Chinese people to access the latest news. And nationalistic sentiment seems to make some news spread very quickly and get a lot for people involved in, i.e. a viruses-like communication pattern. Is this true? In this study, by constructing cascade trees, we analyzed the diffusion patterns of 175 HTML5 web pages with a complete lifecycle on WeChat Moment during July, 2016. Each page was viewed by more than 10,000 users, and more than two hundred million users are involved in the spread of these pages in total. Results indicated that pages arousing nationalistic sentiment spread more rapidly, attract more sharing behavior, diffuse more like a virus and have a shorter lifespan than other kind of popular pages. Furthermore, this diffusion pattern depends on the credibility of information. Only for the information of high credibility, pages with nationalistic information tend to have deeper cascade trees, higher sharing ratio and spread faster.
微信朋友圈已经成为中国人获取最新消息的重要方式。民族主义情绪似乎使一些新闻传播得很快,并为参与其中的人带来很多好处,即一种类似病毒的传播模式。这是真的吗?本研究通过构建级联树,分析了2016年7月175个具有完整生命周期的HTML5网页在微信朋友圈的传播模式。每个页面都有超过1万名用户浏览,这些页面的传播总共有超过2亿用户参与。结果表明,与其他类型的热门页面相比,煽动民族主义情绪的页面传播速度更快,吸引更多的分享行为,传播更像病毒,寿命更短。此外,这种传播模式取决于信息的可信度。只有对于高可信度的信息,具有民族主义信息的页面往往具有更深的级联树,更高的分享率,传播速度更快。
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引用次数: 1
From model building to analytics solution in hours the enterprise platform for analytics teams 在数小时内从模型构建到分析解决方案,为分析团队提供企业平台
Szymon Brandys, Umit Cakmak, Lukasz Cmielowski, Martin Solarski
This demo paper describes our approach to make the work of analytics teams in the enterprise environment easy. The paper introduces a SaaS platform, called IBM Data Science Experience, which enables such cross-functional teams to collaborate using various advanced algorithms for data analysis through a light-weight web interface. While the list of supported algorithms is growing, this paper focuses on two services that the platform supports, namely Watson Machine Learning and Decision Optimization, and illustrates their use in an example.
这篇演示论文描述了我们使分析团队在企业环境中工作变得更容易的方法。本文介绍了一个名为IBM Data Science Experience的SaaS平台,该平台使跨职能团队能够通过轻量级web界面使用各种高级算法进行数据分析。虽然支持的算法列表正在增长,但本文主要关注该平台支持的两种服务,即沃森机器学习和决策优化,并通过示例说明它们的使用。
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引用次数: 1
Discover social relations and activities from ancient Chinese history book Zuo Zhuan 从中国古代历史书《左传》中发现社会关系和社会活动
Bin Li, Lu Wang, Y. Wen, Xiaohe Chen, Yanhui Gu
The Chinese historical classics Zuo Zhuan is of great value to study the history between 722–468 BC. The persons in the literature and the places they have been to are typical topics in the studies of historical persons and events. However, the traditional full text retrieval is not sufficient for such studies, because either a person or a place usually has different names, and a name may refer to different entities. In this paper, we introduce our work on creating a database annotating each person and place with a unique ID. In addition, each place is tagged the name of today and the Geographic Information in Baidu Map. The database supplies full text, person and place multi-retrieval as well as social relations and events data. The personal travelling distances in Zuo Zhuan are also calculated.
中国历史名著《左传》对研究公元前722-468年间的历史具有重要价值。文学作品中的人物和他们去过的地方是历史人物和事件研究的典型主题。然而,传统的全文检索不足以进行此类研究,因为一个人或一个地方通常有不同的名称,一个名称可能指的是不同的实体。在本文中,我们将介绍如何创建一个数据库,用唯一的ID对每个人和地点进行注释。此外,每个地方都标注了今天的名字和百度地图上的地理信息。该数据库提供全文、人地多检索以及社会关系和事件数据。《左传》中的个人出行距离也进行了计算。
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引用次数: 2
Churn prediction model for effective gym customer retention 有效的健身房客户保留率流失预测模型
Jas Semrl, Alexandru Matei
In the fitness industry, rolling gym membership contracts allow customers to terminate a contract with little advanced notice. Customer churn prediction is a well known area in Machine Learning research. Many companies, however, face a data science skills gap when trying to translate this research onto their own datasets and IT infrastructure. In this paper we present a series of experiments that aim to predict customer behaviour, in order to increase gym utilisation and customer retention. We use two off-the-shelf machine learning platforms, so that we can evaluate whether these platforms, used by non ML experts, can help companies improve their services.
在健身行业,滚动健身房会员合同允许客户在不提前通知的情况下终止合同。客户流失预测是机器学习研究中一个众所周知的领域。然而,许多公司在试图将这项研究转化为自己的数据集和IT基础设施时,面临着数据科学技能的差距。在本文中,我们提出了一系列旨在预测客户行为的实验,以提高健身房的利用率和客户保留率。我们使用了两个现成的机器学习平台,这样我们就可以评估这些由非机器学习专家使用的平台是否可以帮助公司改善他们的服务。
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引用次数: 3
Who would prefer to mention you on the urban microblog mention network?: Evidence from Sina microblog data across 94 cities in China 谁愿意在城市微博推荐网上推荐你?:来自中国94个城市新浪微博数据的证据
Kaisheng Lai, Hao-Yu Yang, Lingnan He, Weiming Lu, Hao Chen
It is widely accepted that breaking the geographical boundaries is one of the core features of the Internet, thus a question is that whether the population-level interaction network on social media has been out of the geographical constrains? Based on Sina microblog data of 94 cities in China in 2015, this study constructed the urban mentioned network of talking about each other, and explored the interaction characteristics of city- level mention network. Results showed that the density of a city mentioned by others is highly correlated with its economic development, while the density of a city initiatively mentioning others is negatively correlated with the economy. Further analysis indicated that the distance between cities is significantly negatively correlated with the density of mention, which is consistent with the Tobler's First Law of Geography. In addition, the density of mention is also significantly positively correlated with the GDP of the mentioned cities, but negatively related to the GDP of the mentioning city, which is both similar to and different from the Newton's Law and Gravity Model in international trading. We propose that the phenomenon of a city being mentioned is associated with the popularity and influence of the city, and the urban mention network follows the law of Analogous Gravity Model, which may be attributed to the psychological motivation such as social comparison.
人们普遍认为,打破地域界限是互联网的核心特征之一,那么问题来了,社交媒体上的人口层面的互动网络是否已经摆脱了地域的限制?本研究基于2015年中国94个城市的新浪微博数据,构建了相互谈论的城市提及网络,并探讨了城市层面提及网络的交互特征。结果表明,被他人提及的城市密度与其经济发展呈高度相关,而主动提及他人的城市密度与经济发展呈负相关。进一步分析表明,城市间距离与提及密度呈显著负相关,符合托布勒第一地理定律。此外,提及密度也与提及城市的GDP呈显著正相关,但与提及城市的GDP呈负相关,这与国际贸易中的牛顿定律和引力模型既有相似之处,也有不同之处。我们认为,城市被提及现象与城市的知名度和影响力有关,城市被提及网络遵循类似引力模型规律,这可能归因于社会比较等心理动机。
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引用次数: 0
Equilibrium bidding protocols for price stabilization in networks 网络价格稳定的均衡竞价协议
Jun Kiniwa, K. Kikuta, H. Sandoh
We consider a multiagent network model consisting of nodes and edges as cities and their links to neighbors, respectively. Each network node has an agent and priced goods and the agent can buy or sell goods in the neighborhood. Though every node may not have an equal price, we can show the prices will reach an equilibrium by iterating buy and sell operations. First, we present a framework of protocols in which each buying agent makes a bid to the lowest priced goods in the neighborhood; and each selling agent selects the highest bid (if any). In this situation, the number of bidding agents is uncertain if several selling agents exist in the neighborhood. Just like a usual auction, each agent has a value of goods and decides a bidding price from it. We apply equilibrium bidding strategies for the first-price auction and the second-price auction to our framework. called a first-price protocol and a second-price protocol, respectively. Though the best bidding strategies are derived from Bayesian-Nash equilibrium, which assumes the certain number of bidding agents in contrast to our model. So we consider an expected number of bidding agents by assuming their values are uniformly distributed over (0,1). Next, we examine whether or not the prices reach an equilibrium for the protocols. Finally, we show the second-price protocol outperforms the first-price protocol from a fund-spreading point of view. Our results have an application to a monetary policy and a management using agent information.
我们考虑一个由节点和边缘组成的多智能体网络模型,这些节点和边缘分别作为城市及其与邻居的链接。每个网络节点都有一个代理和定价的商品,代理可以在附近买卖商品。虽然每个节点可能没有相同的价格,但我们可以通过迭代买卖操作来证明价格将达到均衡。首先,我们提出了一个协议框架,其中每个购买代理对附近价格最低的商品进行投标;每个销售代理选择最高出价(如果有的话)。在这种情况下,如果附近存在多个销售代理,则投标代理的数量是不确定的。就像通常的拍卖一样,每个代理人都有一个商品的价值,并以此来决定出价。我们将第一价格拍卖和第二价格拍卖的均衡竞价策略应用到我们的框架中。分别称为第一价格协议和第二价格协议。与我们的模型不同,最佳竞价策略来源于贝叶斯-纳什均衡,该均衡假设有一定数量的竞价代理。因此,我们通过假设它们的值均匀分布在(0,1)上来考虑期望的投标代理数量。接下来,我们检查价格是否达到协议的均衡。最后,从资金扩散的角度来看,我们表明第二价格协议优于第一价格协议。本文的研究结果对货币政策和代理人信息管理具有一定的应用价值。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
2017 International Conference on Behavioral, Economic, Socio-cultural Computing (BESC)
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