Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-08-26DOI: 10.1177/17474930251375831
Chengzhuo Wang, Bin Wang, Heze Han, Li Ma, Ruinan Li, Zhipeng Li, Haibin Zhang, Kexin Yuan, Anqi Li, Qinghui Zhu, Yongenbo Su, Dezhi Gao, Hengwei Jin, Youxiang Li, Shibin Sun, Yuanli Zhao, Yu Chen, Xiaolin Chen
Objectives: This study aims to evaluate the natural history of deep-seated brain arteriovenous malformation (AVMs), as well as the risk-benefit outcomes of interventional treatment versus conservative management.
Materials & methods: Patients with deep-seated AVMs were selected from a nationwide prospective multicenter registry study in China (the MATCH study), and univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify factors associated with AVM rupture. In the analysis of outcomes, propensity score matching (PSM) was performed between the interventional and conservative treatment groups, adjusting for baseline differences. The primary outcomes were hemorrhagic stroke or death, while the secondary outcomes focused on obliteration rates and neurological status. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted, incorporating various study designs to assess the robustness and consistency of the results.
Results: Among 4286 consecutive AVM cases registered from August 2011 to December 2021, 1057 (24.7%) were classified as deep-seated AVMs. The natural annualized rupture risk before the treatment decision is 5.58%. The independent risk factors for rupture included diffuse lesions (aOR: 1.79 [1.29-2.49]), single drainage (aOR: 1.88 [1.20-2.93]), and drainage stenosis (aOR: 2.33 [1.44-3.75]). In the analysis of outcomes, 883 cases maintained continuous follow-up (128 conservative management, 755 intervention). After PSM, there were 119 cases in each group. After a median follow-up duration of 4.34 (1.72, 7.23) years in the intervention group, 47.93% achieved complete obliteration, with an annualized rupture risk of 4.82%. Compared to conservative management, intervention was associated with a higher rate of hemorrhagic stroke or death (AR: 3.85 [1.84-5.86] per 100 person-year, p < 0.001; HR: 4.862 [1.869-12.651] p < 0.001) and higher obliteration rates (OR: 108.56 [14.57-809.01], p < 0.001). No significant differences were observed in terms of neurological functional outcomes. In a further analysis stratified by interventional strategies, embolization and multimodality treatment significantly increased the risk of hemorrhagic stroke or death compared with conservative treatment (embolization: HR: 4.414 [95% CI, 1.642-11.867]; multimodality treatment: HR, 6.238 [95% CI, 2.146-18.136]), while microsurgical resection and stereotactic radiosurgery did not. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses showed consistent trends, though with slight differences in statistical power.
Conclusion: This study indicates that in deep-seated AVMs, interventional treatment is associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke or death. However, the negative effect may result from the adverse effects of embolization and multimodality treatment, whereas microsurgical resection and stereotactic radiosurgery did not.
{"title":"Natural history and outcomes of deep-seated brain arteriovenous malformations: A propensity score matched analysis using nationwide multicenter prospective registry data.","authors":"Chengzhuo Wang, Bin Wang, Heze Han, Li Ma, Ruinan Li, Zhipeng Li, Haibin Zhang, Kexin Yuan, Anqi Li, Qinghui Zhu, Yongenbo Su, Dezhi Gao, Hengwei Jin, Youxiang Li, Shibin Sun, Yuanli Zhao, Yu Chen, Xiaolin Chen","doi":"10.1177/17474930251375831","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930251375831","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>This study aims to evaluate the natural history of deep-seated brain arteriovenous malformation (AVMs), as well as the risk-benefit outcomes of interventional treatment versus conservative management.</p><p><strong>Materials & methods: </strong>Patients with deep-seated AVMs were selected from a nationwide prospective multicenter registry study in China (the MATCH study), and univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify factors associated with AVM rupture. In the analysis of outcomes, propensity score matching (PSM) was performed between the interventional and conservative treatment groups, adjusting for baseline differences. The primary outcomes were hemorrhagic stroke or death, while the secondary outcomes focused on obliteration rates and neurological status. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted, incorporating various study designs to assess the robustness and consistency of the results.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 4286 consecutive AVM cases registered from August 2011 to December 2021, 1057 (24.7%) were classified as deep-seated AVMs. The natural annualized rupture risk before the treatment decision is 5.58%. The independent risk factors for rupture included diffuse lesions (aOR: 1.79 [1.29-2.49]), single drainage (aOR: 1.88 [1.20-2.93]), and drainage stenosis (aOR: 2.33 [1.44-3.75]). In the analysis of outcomes, 883 cases maintained continuous follow-up (128 conservative management, 755 intervention). After PSM, there were 119 cases in each group. After a median follow-up duration of 4.34 (1.72, 7.23) years in the intervention group, 47.93% achieved complete obliteration, with an annualized rupture risk of 4.82%. Compared to conservative management, intervention was associated with a higher rate of hemorrhagic stroke or death (AR: 3.85 [1.84-5.86] per 100 person-year, <i>p</i> < 0.001; HR: 4.862 [1.869-12.651] <i>p</i> < 0.001) and higher obliteration rates (OR: 108.56 [14.57-809.01], <i>p</i> < 0.001). No significant differences were observed in terms of neurological functional outcomes. In a further analysis stratified by interventional strategies, embolization and multimodality treatment significantly increased the risk of hemorrhagic stroke or death compared with conservative treatment (embolization: HR: 4.414 [95% CI, 1.642-11.867]; multimodality treatment: HR, 6.238 [95% CI, 2.146-18.136]), while microsurgical resection and stereotactic radiosurgery did not. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses showed consistent trends, though with slight differences in statistical power.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study indicates that in deep-seated AVMs, interventional treatment is associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke or death. However, the negative effect may result from the adverse effects of embolization and multimodality treatment, whereas microsurgical resection and stereotactic radiosurgery did not.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"383-397"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144954118","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-08-30DOI: 10.1177/17474930251378229
Juan Manuel Marquez-Romero, Karen Itzel Sánchez-Ramírez, Carlos David Pérez-Malagón, Jannett Padilla-López, Gary A Ford, Jing Zhao, Renyu Liu
Background and aims: Improving stroke action awareness is challenging in non-English-speaking populations. In this study, we evaluated the effectiveness of five Spanish-language educational tools in improving recognition and making an emergency response to stroke symptoms among Spanish-speaking adults in Mexico.
Methods: Spanish-speaking participants were recruited from public spaces. Individuals with a history of stroke were excluded. Participants were randomly assigned to receive an educational session tailored to one of five stroke awareness tools (RAPIDO, DALE, CAMALEON, CORRE, and ICTUS 911). Stroke knowledge was assessed using the Stroke Awareness Questionnaire before the educational intervention and after 6-9 days of follow-up. The primary outcome was the change in the proportions of correctly identified stroke symptoms. Secondary outcomes included changes in participants' achievement of adequate stroke knowledge in individual FAST domains and their understanding of the appropriate actions to take after identifying stroke symptoms.
Results: In data from 435 participants, all strategies improved stroke symptom recognition and risk factor awareness, although no statistically significant differences were observed in the primary outcomes. Changes ranged from 0.35 (DALE) to 0.49 (CAMALEON) for Facial Weakness, the symptom with the largest improvement, and from 0.00 (CAMALEON, CORRE, RAPIDO) to 0.15 (DALE) for Problems with Vision, the symptom with the smallest improvement. For the secondary outcomes, increases in adequate stroke knowledge ranged from 0.18 (CORRE, DALE) to 0.31 (ICTUS 911); between-group comparisons were statistically significant (p = 0.027). Improvements in appropriate action after symptom recognition ranged from 0.09 (RAPIDO) to 0.29 (ICTUS 911), with significant differences across groups (p = 0.034).
Conclusions: This study shows that brief educational interventions can improve stroke symptom recognition and intended response in Spanish-speaking adults. Among five strategies, ICTUS 911 yielded the largest short-term gains, supporting its potential utility. Further research is needed to assess long-term effectiveness and broader applicability.
{"title":"Efficacy of five strategies to improve stroke action awareness in Spanish-speaking adults: A randomized comparison.","authors":"Juan Manuel Marquez-Romero, Karen Itzel Sánchez-Ramírez, Carlos David Pérez-Malagón, Jannett Padilla-López, Gary A Ford, Jing Zhao, Renyu Liu","doi":"10.1177/17474930251378229","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930251378229","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background and aims: </strong>Improving stroke action awareness is challenging in non-English-speaking populations. In this study, we evaluated the effectiveness of five Spanish-language educational tools in improving recognition and making an emergency response to stroke symptoms among Spanish-speaking adults in Mexico.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Spanish-speaking participants were recruited from public spaces. Individuals with a history of stroke were excluded. Participants were randomly assigned to receive an educational session tailored to one of five stroke awareness tools (RAPIDO, DALE, CAMALEON, CORRE, and ICTUS 911). Stroke knowledge was assessed using the Stroke Awareness Questionnaire before the educational intervention and after 6-9 days of follow-up. The primary outcome was the change in the proportions of correctly identified stroke symptoms. Secondary outcomes included changes in participants' achievement of adequate stroke knowledge in individual FAST domains and their understanding of the appropriate actions to take after identifying stroke symptoms.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In data from 435 participants, all strategies improved stroke symptom recognition and risk factor awareness, although no statistically significant differences were observed in the primary outcomes. Changes ranged from 0.35 (DALE) to 0.49 (CAMALEON) for Facial Weakness, the symptom with the largest improvement, and from 0.00 (CAMALEON, CORRE, RAPIDO) to 0.15 (DALE) for Problems with Vision, the symptom with the smallest improvement. For the secondary outcomes, increases in adequate stroke knowledge ranged from 0.18 (CORRE, DALE) to 0.31 (ICTUS 911); between-group comparisons were statistically significant (p = 0.027). Improvements in appropriate action after symptom recognition ranged from 0.09 (RAPIDO) to 0.29 (ICTUS 911), with significant differences across groups (p = 0.034).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study shows that brief educational interventions can improve stroke symptom recognition and intended response in Spanish-speaking adults. Among five strategies, ICTUS 911 yielded the largest short-term gains, supporting its potential utility. Further research is needed to assess long-term effectiveness and broader applicability.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"419-429"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12932688/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144954336","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-08-08DOI: 10.1177/17474930251368895
Patrick C Gallogly, Jasmine Hassan, Caitlin Lee, John Cousins, Jonathan Best, H Rolf Jäger, Davis J Werring, Arvind Chandratheva
Background and aims: The diagnosis of transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and minor stroke can be challenging. Current diagnostic criteria for TIA disqualify atypical clinical presentations which may nevertheless be associated with objective cerebral ischaemia on diffusion weighted imaging-magnetic resonance imaging (DWI-MRI). We aimed to (1) ascertain the proportion of DWI-positive patients with atypical clinical presentations and (2) identify clinical factors predicting DWI positivity.
Methods: We retrospectively reviewed case notes of consecutive patients with suspected TIA or minor stroke undergoing MRI at our comprehensive stroke center. We identified clinical factors predicting DWI positivity using multivariable logistic regression.
Results: We included 1615 patients. Of 442 (27.4%) who were DWI-positive, 38.5% had atypical presentations; common symptoms included headache (present in 17%), unsteadiness (15%), positive sensory symptoms (11%), presyncope (10%), confusion (9%), and vertigo (8%). Symptoms independently associated with DWI positivity included weakness (odds ratio (OR): 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.67), dysarthria (OR: 2.05, CI: 1.56-2.70), and ataxia (OR: 3.76, CI: 2.27-6.21). Fluctuating symptoms (present in 21.5%) predicted DWI positivity (OR: 1.37, CI: 1.04-1.81), but sudden onset (80.1%) did not (OR: 1.05, CI: 0.80-1.38). Risk factors associated with DWI positivity included increasing age (OR: 1.02/year, CI: 1.01-1.02), hypertension (OR: 1.61, CI: 1.23-2.11), diabetes (OR: 1.40, CI: 1.04-1.90), and smoking (OR: 1.67, CI: 1.17-2.37). DWI-positive patients had significantly more risk factors (mean 2.65 vs 1.95 p = <0.001).
Conclusion: Over one-third of people with MRI-DWI-confirmed TIA or minor stroke present with atypical symptoms. MRI-DWI is essential to diagnose cerebral ischaemia in patients with atypical symptoms, particularly in those with vascular risk factors.
背景与目的短暂性脑缺血发作(TIA)和轻微脑卒中的诊断具有挑战性。目前TIA的诊断标准不符合非典型临床表现,但在DWI-MRI上可能与客观脑缺血有关。我们的目的是:(1)确定临床表现不典型的dwi阳性患者的比例;(2)确定预测DWI阳性的临床因素。方法回顾性分析在综合卒中中心连续接受MRI检查的疑似TIA或轻微卒中患者的病例记录。我们使用多变量逻辑回归确定预测DWI阳性的临床因素。结果纳入1615例患者。在442例(27.4%)dwi阳性患者中,38.5%有不典型表现;常见症状包括头痛(17%)、身体不稳(15%)、感觉阳性症状(11%)、晕厥前期(10%)、精神错乱(9%)和眩晕(8%)。与dwi阳性独立相关的症状包括虚弱(OR 1.30 95% CI 1.01-1.67)、构音障碍(OR 2.05 CI 1.56-2.70)和共济失调(OR 3.76 CI 2.27-6.21)。波动症状(21.5%)预测DWI阳性(OR 1.37 CI 1.04-1.81),但突然发作(80.1%)不预测DWI阳性(OR 1.05, CI 0.80-1.38)。与DWI阳性相关的危险因素包括年龄增加(OR 1.02/年CI 1.01-1.02)、高血压(OR 1.61 CI 1.23-2.11)、糖尿病(OR 1.40 CI 1.04-1.90)和吸烟(OR 1.67 CI 1.17-2.37)。dwi阳性患者的危险因素明显更多(平均2.65 vs 1.95 p=
{"title":"Clinical features, including atypical symptoms, associated with acute cerebral ischaemia on DWI-MRI in suspected TIA and minor stroke.","authors":"Patrick C Gallogly, Jasmine Hassan, Caitlin Lee, John Cousins, Jonathan Best, H Rolf Jäger, Davis J Werring, Arvind Chandratheva","doi":"10.1177/17474930251368895","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930251368895","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background and aims: </strong>The diagnosis of transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and minor stroke can be challenging. Current diagnostic criteria for TIA disqualify atypical clinical presentations which may nevertheless be associated with objective cerebral ischaemia on diffusion weighted imaging-magnetic resonance imaging (DWI-MRI). We aimed to (1) ascertain the proportion of DWI-positive patients with atypical clinical presentations and (2) identify clinical factors predicting DWI positivity.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We retrospectively reviewed case notes of consecutive patients with suspected TIA or minor stroke undergoing MRI at our comprehensive stroke center. We identified clinical factors predicting DWI positivity using multivariable logistic regression.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We included 1615 patients. Of 442 (27.4%) who were DWI-positive, 38.5% had atypical presentations; common symptoms included headache (present in 17%), unsteadiness (15%), positive sensory symptoms (11%), presyncope (10%), confusion (9%), and vertigo (8%). Symptoms independently associated with DWI positivity included weakness (odds ratio (OR): 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.67), dysarthria (OR: 2.05, CI: 1.56-2.70), and ataxia (OR: 3.76, CI: 2.27-6.21). Fluctuating symptoms (present in 21.5%) predicted DWI positivity (OR: 1.37, CI: 1.04-1.81), but sudden onset (80.1%) did not (OR: 1.05, CI: 0.80-1.38). Risk factors associated with DWI positivity included increasing age (OR: 1.02/year, CI: 1.01-1.02), hypertension (OR: 1.61, CI: 1.23-2.11), diabetes (OR: 1.40, CI: 1.04-1.90), and smoking (OR: 1.67, CI: 1.17-2.37). DWI-positive patients had significantly more risk factors (mean 2.65 vs 1.95 p = <0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Over one-third of people with MRI-DWI-confirmed TIA or minor stroke present with atypical symptoms. MRI-DWI is essential to diagnose cerebral ischaemia in patients with atypical symptoms, particularly in those with vascular risk factors.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"353-361"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144799012","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Antithrombotic agents are essential for preventing cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases; however, bleeding complications remain a major concern, particularly among elderly patients and those receiving combination therapy.
Aims: We designed the Bleeding with Antithrombotic Therapy 2 (BAT2) Study, a prospective multicenter registry involving hospitals from a clinical research network in Japan, to clarify the risk of bleeding events in patients taking antithrombotic agents for cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases in recent clinical settings.
Methods: This prospective, multicenter, observational study followed bleeding and ischemic events for up to 2 years in patients with cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases. The primary outcome was major bleeding, and secondary outcomes included intracranial hemorrhage (ICH).
Results: The 5,250 patients enrolled comprised 3,134 (70±11 years old; male, 66.6%; HASBLED ≥3, 32.8%) treated with single antiplatelet therapy (SAPT), 551 (71±11 years; 25.8%; 40.8%, respectively) with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT), 870 (75±10 years; 37.1%; 39.8%, respectively) with direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) alone, 433 (72±12 years; 34.2%; 41.4%, respectively) with warfarin alone, 143 (76±8 years; 16.8%; 42.7%, respectively) with DOAC plus antiplatelet agents (AP); and 119 (73±12 years; 18.5%; 47.5%, respectively) with warfarin plus AP. During follow-up (median, 1.98 years), 93 patients experienced major bleeding and 55 developed ICH. Compared to the SAPT group (37 events, 0.63%/year), the DOAC (18 events, 1.12%/year; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-3.46), warfarin (16 events, 2.02%/year; 3.44, 1.90-6.23), and DOAC plus AP groups (6 events, 2.24%/year; 3.07, 1.28-7.35) exhibited significantly higher risks of major bleeding after multivariable adjustment. DAPT (aHR 2.47, 95%CI 1.11-5.48), warfarin (5.38, 2.65-10.92), and DOAC plus AP (3.86, 1.30-11.47) had significantly higher risks of ICH than SAPT. The DAPT (2.28, 95%CI 1.65-3.14), DOAC plus AP (1.96, 1.08-3.56) and warfarin plus AP (2.83, 1.62-4.92) groups showed significantly higher risks of ischemic events compared to the SAPT group.
Conclusions: Oral anticoagulant alone and DOAC with antiplatelet therapy were associated with higher risks of major bleeding events than SAPT in long-term follow-up for patients with stroke and cardiovascular disease.Data access statement:The dataset of the BAT2 study is available to the investigators who participated in this study group upon submission of a reasonable study plan.
Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02889653) and the University Hospital Medical Information Network clinical trial registry in Japan (UMIN 000023669).
{"title":"Long-term Risk of Bleeding Events in Patients Taking Antithrombotic Agents for Cerebrovascular or Cardiovascular Disease.","authors":"Sohei Yoshimura, Kaori Miwa, Masatoshi Koga, Kanta Tanaka, Yoshiki Yagita, Yoshinari Nagakane, Haruhiko Hoshino, Tadashi Terasaki, Masayuki Shiozawa, Yasuyuki Iguchi, Shuji Arakawa, Shigeru Fujimoto, Yasushi Okada, Masafumi Ihara, Shinichi Takahashi, Ryosuke Doijiri, Makoto Sasaki, Yusuke Yakushiji, Teruyuki Hirano, Kazunori Toyoda","doi":"10.1177/17474930261430910","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930261430910","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Antithrombotic agents are essential for preventing cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases; however, bleeding complications remain a major concern, particularly among elderly patients and those receiving combination therapy.</p><p><strong>Aims: </strong>We designed the Bleeding with Antithrombotic Therapy 2 (BAT2) Study, a prospective multicenter registry involving hospitals from a clinical research network in Japan, to clarify the risk of bleeding events in patients taking antithrombotic agents for cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases in recent clinical settings.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This prospective, multicenter, observational study followed bleeding and ischemic events for up to 2 years in patients with cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases. The primary outcome was major bleeding, and secondary outcomes included intracranial hemorrhage (ICH).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The 5,250 patients enrolled comprised 3,134 (70±11 years old; male, 66.6%; HASBLED ≥3, 32.8%) treated with single antiplatelet therapy (SAPT), 551 (71±11 years; 25.8%; 40.8%, respectively) with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT), 870 (75±10 years; 37.1%; 39.8%, respectively) with direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) alone, 433 (72±12 years; 34.2%; 41.4%, respectively) with warfarin alone, 143 (76±8 years; 16.8%; 42.7%, respectively) with DOAC plus antiplatelet agents (AP); and 119 (73±12 years; 18.5%; 47.5%, respectively) with warfarin plus AP. During follow-up (median, 1.98 years), 93 patients experienced major bleeding and 55 developed ICH. Compared to the SAPT group (37 events, 0.63%/year), the DOAC (18 events, 1.12%/year; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-3.46), warfarin (16 events, 2.02%/year; 3.44, 1.90-6.23), and DOAC plus AP groups (6 events, 2.24%/year; 3.07, 1.28-7.35) exhibited significantly higher risks of major bleeding after multivariable adjustment. DAPT (aHR 2.47, 95%CI 1.11-5.48), warfarin (5.38, 2.65-10.92), and DOAC plus AP (3.86, 1.30-11.47) had significantly higher risks of ICH than SAPT. The DAPT (2.28, 95%CI 1.65-3.14), DOAC plus AP (1.96, 1.08-3.56) and warfarin plus AP (2.83, 1.62-4.92) groups showed significantly higher risks of ischemic events compared to the SAPT group.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Oral anticoagulant alone and DOAC with antiplatelet therapy were associated with higher risks of major bleeding events than SAPT in long-term follow-up for patients with stroke and cardiovascular disease.Data access statement:The dataset of the BAT2 study is available to the investigators who participated in this study group upon submission of a reasonable study plan.</p><p><strong>Registration: </strong>ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02889653) and the University Hospital Medical Information Network clinical trial registry in Japan (UMIN 000023669).</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"17474930261430910"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147305994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-23DOI: 10.1177/17474930261429878
Daniela Laranja Gomes Rodrigues, João Brainer Clares de Andrade, João Pedro Nardari Dos Santos, Ana Carolina Russo, Gisele Sampaio Silva
Background: Climate change is reshaping environmental exposures, which in turn influence cerebrovascular diseases. Brazil's continental dimensions and climate diversity offer a unique opportunity to examine climate-stroke associations within a unified healthcare system. Such regional analyses may inform adaptation strategies for other low-and middle-income countries facing similar environmental challenges.
Methods: A literature search was conducted across the PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases, covering publications from January 2000 through August 2025 linking climate exposures to cerebrovascular outcomes. To examine climate-stroke associations, we analyzed national mortality data (DATASUS, 2020-2023) for Brazil's five geographic regions, yielding 127,424 stroke deaths (I61-I62, I63+I65-I66).
Findings: Global evidence consistently demonstrates non-linear, asymmetric associations between temperature extremes and stroke risk (RR 1.06-1.18 for extreme heat/cold, p<0.05), with PM₂.₅ conferring both short-term (RR 1.01, 95% CI 1.004-1.012 per 10 µg/m³) and long-term risks (HR 1.11-1.21, p<0.001). Brazilian analysis revealed climate-dependent patterns: cooler southern temperate regions showed higher ischemic-to-hemorrhagic stroke ratios (2.28:1, 70% ischemic) compared to hotter tropical regions (1.28:1 in Centro-Oeste, 56% ischemic). Both ischemic (Pearson r = -0.70, p = 0.001) and hemorrhagic (Pearson r = -0.65, p = 0.002) stroke deaths demonstrated negative associations with peak temperatures across pooled observations.
Interpretation: Stroke should be recognized as a climate-sensitive non-communicable disease. Global evidence demonstrates robust associations between temperature and stroke, while preliminary Brazilian regional patterns suggest potential climate influence on the distribution of stroke subtypes. Key priorities include establishing linkages between daily weather observations and atmospheric pollutant measurements, establishing multi-center surveillance networks, strengthening climate-resilient stroke care systems, and reducing PM₂.₅ through environmental regulation as a stroke prevention strategy.
背景:气候变化正在重塑环境暴露,进而影响脑血管疾病。巴西的大陆维度和气候多样性提供了一个独特的机会来检查统一的医疗保健系统内的气候卒中关联。这种区域分析可以为面临类似环境挑战的其他低收入和中等收入国家的适应战略提供信息。方法:对PubMed、Scopus和Web of Science数据库进行文献检索,涵盖2000年1月至2025年8月期间有关气候暴露与脑血管预后的出版物。为了研究气候中风的相关性,我们分析了巴西五个地理区域的全国死亡率数据(DATASUS, 2020-2023),得出127,424例中风死亡(1961 - 1962年,I63+I65-I66年)。研究结果:全球证据一致表明极端温度与卒中风险之间存在非线性、不对称的关联(极端热/冷的RR为1.06-1.18)。全球证据表明温度与中风之间存在强有力的关联,而巴西的初步区域模式表明气候可能对中风亚型的分布产生影响。主要优先事项包括建立日常天气观测与大气污染物测量之间的联系,建立多中心监测网络,加强气候适应性中风护理系统,以及减少PM 2。5 .通过环境法规作为中风预防策略。
{"title":"Climate Change and Cerebrovascular Diseases: A Narrative Review with Brazilian Regional Analysis.","authors":"Daniela Laranja Gomes Rodrigues, João Brainer Clares de Andrade, João Pedro Nardari Dos Santos, Ana Carolina Russo, Gisele Sampaio Silva","doi":"10.1177/17474930261429878","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930261429878","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Climate change is reshaping environmental exposures, which in turn influence cerebrovascular diseases. Brazil's continental dimensions and climate diversity offer a unique opportunity to examine climate-stroke associations within a unified healthcare system. Such regional analyses may inform adaptation strategies for other low-and middle-income countries facing similar environmental challenges.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A literature search was conducted across the PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases, covering publications from January 2000 through August 2025 linking climate exposures to cerebrovascular outcomes. To examine climate-stroke associations, we analyzed national mortality data (DATASUS, 2020-2023) for Brazil's five geographic regions, yielding 127,424 stroke deaths (I61-I62, I63+I65-I66).</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Global evidence consistently demonstrates non-linear, asymmetric associations between temperature extremes and stroke risk (RR 1.06-1.18 for extreme heat/cold, p<0.05), with PM₂.₅ conferring both short-term (RR 1.01, 95% CI 1.004-1.012 per 10 µg/m³) and long-term risks (HR 1.11-1.21, p<0.001). Brazilian analysis revealed climate-dependent patterns: cooler southern temperate regions showed higher ischemic-to-hemorrhagic stroke ratios (2.28:1, 70% ischemic) compared to hotter tropical regions (1.28:1 in Centro-Oeste, 56% ischemic). Both ischemic (Pearson r = -0.70, p = 0.001) and hemorrhagic (Pearson r = -0.65, p = 0.002) stroke deaths demonstrated negative associations with peak temperatures across pooled observations.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Stroke should be recognized as a climate-sensitive non-communicable disease. Global evidence demonstrates robust associations between temperature and stroke, while preliminary Brazilian regional patterns suggest potential climate influence on the distribution of stroke subtypes. Key priorities include establishing linkages between daily weather observations and atmospheric pollutant measurements, establishing multi-center surveillance networks, strengthening climate-resilient stroke care systems, and reducing PM₂.₅ through environmental regulation as a stroke prevention strategy.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"17474930261429878"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147276414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-23DOI: 10.1177/17474930261429482
Sisi Xie, Menno Pruijm, Pedro Marques-Vidal
Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication in hospitalized patients and an important determinant of outcomes in stroke. However, evidence from long-term, nationwide studies in this population remains limited.
Aims: To examine temporal trends, factors associated with AKI, and clinical outcomes among patients hospitalized for stroke in Switzerland from 1998 to 2022.
Methods: We analyzed nationwide Swiss hospital discharge data from 1998 to 2022, covering over 98% of all hospitals. Stroke and AKI were identified using ICD-10 codes. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were used to assess factors associated with AKI and its associations with intensive care unit (ICU) admission, length of stay, ICU duration, and in-hospital mortality.
Results: Among 439,465 stroke hospitalizations, 7674 (1.7%) were coded with AKI. The prevalence of coded AKI increased from below 1% in 1998 to approximately 4% in 2022, while overall in-hospital mortality declined from 10.4% to 5.1%. In multivariable regression, factors independently associated with AKI included older age, emergency admission, diabetes, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease, whereas female sex was associated with lower odds of AKI. AKI was associated with higher odds of ICU admission (OR 1.62; 95% CI 1.53-1.71), longer hospital stay (coefficient 0.12; 95% CI 0.11-0.14), and prolonged ICU duration (coefficient 0.33; 95% CI 0.28-0.37). In-hospital mortality was more than twice as high in patients with AKI (OR 2.40; 95% CI 2.25-2.56). The association between AKI and adverse in-hospital outcomes was stronger among male, younger, and non-CKD patients. Outcomes were worst among hospitalizations involving dialysis, with AKI associated with a markedly higher adjusted predicted probability of in-hospital mortality (0.47 vs 0.15 without dialysis).
Conclusion: AKI was associated with greater ICU use, longer hospital stay, and higher in-hospital mortality among patients hospitalized for stroke.
背景:急性肾损伤(AKI)是住院患者常见且严重的并发症,是脑卒中预后的重要决定因素。然而,在这一人群中进行的长期全国性研究的证据仍然有限。目的:研究1998年至2022年瑞士卒中住院患者的时间趋势、AKI相关因素和临床结局。方法:我们分析了1998年至2022年瑞士全国医院出院数据,覆盖了98%以上的医院。卒中和AKI采用ICD-10编码进行识别。采用多变量logistic和线性回归模型评估AKI相关因素及其与重症监护病房(ICU)入院、住院时间、ICU持续时间和住院死亡率的关系。结果:在439,465例卒中住院患者中,7,674例(1.7%)被编码为AKI。编码AKI的患病率从1998年的不到1%上升到2022年的约4%,而总体住院死亡率从10.4%下降到5.1%。在多变量回归中,与AKI独立相关的因素包括年龄较大、急诊入院、糖尿病、高血压、心房颤动、心力衰竭和慢性肾脏疾病,而女性与AKI的发生率较低相关。AKI与较高的ICU住院几率(OR 1.62; 95% CI 1.53-1.71)、较长的住院时间(系数0.12;95% CI 0.11-0.14)和较长的ICU住院时间(系数0.33;95% CI 0.28-0.37)相关。AKI患者的住院死亡率是AKI患者的两倍多(OR 2.40; 95% CI 2.25-2.56)。在男性、年轻和非ckd患者中,AKI和不良住院结果之间的关联更强。住院透析患者的预后最差,AKI与住院死亡率调整后的预测概率显著升高相关(0.47 vs 0.15)。结论:卒中住院患者中AKI与ICU使用率高、住院时间长和住院死亡率高相关。
{"title":"Association of acute kidney injury with in-hospital outcomes among patients hospitalized for stroke: A nationwide study.","authors":"Sisi Xie, Menno Pruijm, Pedro Marques-Vidal","doi":"10.1177/17474930261429482","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930261429482","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication in hospitalized patients and an important determinant of outcomes in stroke. However, evidence from long-term, nationwide studies in this population remains limited.</p><p><strong>Aims: </strong>To examine temporal trends, factors associated with AKI, and clinical outcomes among patients hospitalized for stroke in Switzerland from 1998 to 2022.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed nationwide Swiss hospital discharge data from 1998 to 2022, covering over 98% of all hospitals. Stroke and AKI were identified using ICD-10 codes. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were used to assess factors associated with AKI and its associations with intensive care unit (ICU) admission, length of stay, ICU duration, and in-hospital mortality.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 439,465 stroke hospitalizations, 7674 (1.7%) were coded with AKI. The prevalence of coded AKI increased from below 1% in 1998 to approximately 4% in 2022, while overall in-hospital mortality declined from 10.4% to 5.1%. In multivariable regression, factors independently associated with AKI included older age, emergency admission, diabetes, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease, whereas female sex was associated with lower odds of AKI. AKI was associated with higher odds of ICU admission (OR 1.62; 95% CI 1.53-1.71), longer hospital stay (coefficient 0.12; 95% CI 0.11-0.14), and prolonged ICU duration (coefficient 0.33; 95% CI 0.28-0.37). In-hospital mortality was more than twice as high in patients with AKI (OR 2.40; 95% CI 2.25-2.56). The association between AKI and adverse in-hospital outcomes was stronger among male, younger, and non-CKD patients. Outcomes were worst among hospitalizations involving dialysis, with AKI associated with a markedly higher adjusted predicted probability of in-hospital mortality (0.47 vs 0.15 without dialysis).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>AKI was associated with greater ICU use, longer hospital stay, and higher in-hospital mortality among patients hospitalized for stroke.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"17474930261429482"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147276430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Studies assessing the relationship between high ambient temperatures and stroke risk yielded conflicting results, while potential associations of humidity and heat stress with stroke risk remain underexplored.
Objective: To explore the association of ambient temperature, humidity, and heat index (HI) with the risk of total stroke (combined ischemic-intracerebral hemorrhage [ICH]), ischemic stroke (IS), ICH, and transient ischemic attack (TIA) among older adults during the warm season in the Mediterranean region.
Methods: In this time-stratified case-crossover study, we utilized data from the Israeli National Stroke Registry. We included all first stroke and TIA events among individuals aged ⩾18 years that occurred during the warm season (2014-2019). Temperature and relative humidity were assessed using high-resolution satellite-based models and monitoring stations, respectively, based on patients' residential addresses. A heat index (HI) was calculated based on a combination of temperature and relative humidity data. Conditional logistic regression models with Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models (DLNMs) were used with adjustment for potential confounders, including air pollution. The HI models were stratified by participants' demographic and health characteristics.
Results: The sample included 22,269 individuals with a first stroke (mean age 72 ± 14 years; 55% males) and 8728 individuals with a first TIA (mean age 69 ± 14 years; 52% males) during the warm season. Higher temperature (32°C vs. 27°C), particularly on the stroke event date, was associated with increased risk of total stroke (odds ratio (OR) = 1.32; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.23-1.41). The strongest association for relative humidity (90% vs. 70%) was observed 2 days before the stroke event (OR = 1.09; 95% CI = 1.06-1.12). An HI of 100°F was associated with an approximately 40% higher risk of total stroke compared to HI of 80°F on the event day (OR = 1.39; 95% CI = 1.32-1.47). Associations were slightly weaker for ICH, possibly reflecting its relatively smaller sample size, whereas associations with TIA were similar in magnitude to those observed for IS. No evidence of effect modification was observed across subgroups defined by sociodemographic characteristics or comorbidities.
Significance: High temperatures combined with high humidity are associated with an immediate increase in the risk of stroke and TIA, even in a region where the population is acclimatized and most buildings are air-conditioned. Preparedness and prevention strategies may be crucial for reducing stroke risk during periods of heat stress.
背景:评估高环境温度与中风风险之间关系的研究得出了相互矛盾的结果,而湿度和热应激与中风风险的潜在关联仍未得到充分探讨。目的:探讨暖季地中海地区老年人环境温度、湿度和热指数(HI)与全脑卒中(合并缺血性脑出血[ICH])、缺血性卒中(IS)、ICH和短暂性脑缺血发作(TIA)风险的关系。方法:在这个时间分层的病例交叉研究中,我们使用了来自以色列国家卒中登记处的数据。我们纳入了在暖季(2014-2019)发生的≥18岁个体的所有首次中风和TIA事件。根据患者的居住地址,分别使用高分辨率卫星模型和监测站评估温度和相对湿度。热指数(HI)是基于温度和相对湿度数据的组合计算的。采用具有分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)的条件逻辑回归模型,并对包括空气污染在内的潜在混杂因素进行调整。根据参与者的人口统计学和健康特征对HI模型进行分层。结果:样本包括22269例首次卒中患者(平均年龄72±14岁,男性55%)和8728例首次TIA患者(平均年龄69±14岁,男性52%),均发生在暖季。较高的温度(32°C vs 27°C),特别是在卒中事件发生当日,与总卒中风险增加相关(OR=1.32; 95% CI: 1.23-1.41)。相对湿度(90% vs 70%)的最强关联出现在中风事件发生前两天(OR=1.09; 95% CI:1.06-1.12)。事件当天,与80°F的HI相比,100°F的HI与总卒中风险增加约40%相关(OR=1.39; 95% CI:1.32-1.47)。脑出血的相关性略弱,可能反映了其相对较小的样本量,而与TIA的相关性在程度上与IS相似。在以社会人口学特征或合并症定义的亚组中没有观察到效果改变的证据。意义:高温与高湿的结合与中风和短暂性脑缺血发作的风险立即增加有关,即使在人口已适应环境且大多数建筑物都装有空调的地区也是如此。准备和预防策略可能是在热应激期间降低中风风险的关键。
{"title":"High ambient temperature, humidity, heat index, and stroke risk in a Mediterranean region.","authors":"Maya Negev, Shlomit Paz, Shiraz Vered, Itai Kloog, Galit Weinstein","doi":"10.1177/17474930261429880","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930261429880","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Studies assessing the relationship between high ambient temperatures and stroke risk yielded conflicting results, while potential associations of humidity and heat stress with stroke risk remain underexplored.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To explore the association of ambient temperature, humidity, and heat index (HI) with the risk of total stroke (combined ischemic-intracerebral hemorrhage [ICH]), ischemic stroke (IS), ICH, and transient ischemic attack (TIA) among older adults during the warm season in the Mediterranean region.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this time-stratified case-crossover study, we utilized data from the Israeli National Stroke Registry. We included all first stroke and TIA events among individuals aged ⩾18 years that occurred during the warm season (2014-2019). Temperature and relative humidity were assessed using high-resolution satellite-based models and monitoring stations, respectively, based on patients' residential addresses. A heat index (HI) was calculated based on a combination of temperature and relative humidity data. Conditional logistic regression models with Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models (DLNMs) were used with adjustment for potential confounders, including air pollution. The HI models were stratified by participants' demographic and health characteristics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The sample included 22,269 individuals with a first stroke (mean age 72 ± 14 years; 55% males) and 8728 individuals with a first TIA (mean age 69 ± 14 years; 52% males) during the warm season. Higher temperature (32°C vs. 27°C), particularly on the stroke event date, was associated with increased risk of total stroke (odds ratio (OR) = 1.32; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.23-1.41). The strongest association for relative humidity (90% vs. 70%) was observed 2 days before the stroke event (OR = 1.09; 95% CI = 1.06-1.12). An HI of 100°F was associated with an approximately 40% higher risk of total stroke compared to HI of 80°F on the event day (OR = 1.39; 95% CI = 1.32-1.47). Associations were slightly weaker for ICH, possibly reflecting its relatively smaller sample size, whereas associations with TIA were similar in magnitude to those observed for IS. No evidence of effect modification was observed across subgroups defined by sociodemographic characteristics or comorbidities.</p><p><strong>Significance: </strong>High temperatures combined with high humidity are associated with an immediate increase in the risk of stroke and TIA, even in a region where the population is acclimatized and most buildings are air-conditioned. Preparedness and prevention strategies may be crucial for reducing stroke risk during periods of heat stress.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"17474930261429880"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147276408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-23DOI: 10.1177/17474930261430342
Xi Li, Bob Roozenbeek, Theo van Walsum, Daniel Bos, H Bart van der Worp, Bart J Emmer, Charles Bl Majoie, Robert J van Oostenbrugge, Diederik Wj Dippel, Hester F Lingsma
Background: Outcome prediction after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) for ischemic stroke is important for patient counseling and rehabilitation planning. MR PREDICTS @24H, a nine-predictor model, showed excellent performance in predicting functional outcome at 90 days of patients with acute ischemic stroke. With the expanding treatment indications, we validated the model for patients receiving EVT within 24 hours after stroke onset and simplified it for easier clinical implementation.
Methods: We used individual patient data from the Dutch MR CLEAN Registry (2014-2018), a prospective observational cohort enrolling patients treated with EVT, and three randomized controlled trials MR CLEAN-MED, MR CLEAN-NOIV, and MR CLEAN-LATE (2018-2022). We included patients with an intracranial large-vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation treated with EVT within 24 hours of symptom onset or last seen well. We assessed the effect of predictors on functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS]) at 90 days with ordinal logistic regression. Predicted probabilities of functional independence (mRS 0-2) and survival (mRS 0-5) were derived from the model formula. We evaluated predictive performance with discrimination (C statistic) and calibration (intercept, slope). The model was simplified by excluding predictors based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC). We applied leave-one-study-out cross-validation to evaluate heterogeneity in model performance between the cohorts.
Results: The validation cohort included 6154 patients: 4737 from the Registry and 1417 from the trials. External validation of the original model showed excellent discrimination in predicting functional independence (C statistic 0.91, 95% CI 0.90-0.92) and survival (C statistic 0.90, 95% CI 0.89-0.91). The simplified model, comprising four predictors-NIHSS at 24 hours after EVT, age, pre-stroke mRS, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage-performed comparably (functional independence C statistic 0.91, 95% CI 0.90-0.92; and survival 0.89, 95% CI 0.88-0.90). Cross-validation revealed heterogeneity between LATE and the other cohorts, with the model overestimating the probability of functional independence in LATE (observed 39.1% vs predicted 44.2%), whereas the observed and predicted probability of survival was similar (75.5% vs 75.7%).
Conclusions: A simplified version of MR PREDICTS @24H including only four predictors performed as good as the full model, providing a practical tool that can be applied one day after EVT for reliable outcome estimation. Further validation and updating of the model are needed for patients treated in the late time window (6-24 h).
背景:缺血性卒中血管内血栓切除术(EVT)后的预后预测对患者咨询和康复计划具有重要意义。MR预测@24H是一个9个预测因子模型,在预测急性缺血性卒中患者90天的功能结局方面表现出色。随着治疗适应症的扩大,我们验证了该模型在卒中发生后24小时内接受EVT的患者,并简化了模型,以便于临床实施。方法:我们使用了来自荷兰MR CLEAN-Registry(2014-2018)的个体患者数据,这是一个前瞻性观察队列,纳入了接受EVT治疗的患者,以及MR CLEAN-MED、MR CLEAN-NOIV和MR CLEAN-LATE(2018-2022)三项随机对照试验。我们纳入了前循环颅内大血管闭塞的患者,在症状出现24小时内或最后一次就诊时接受EVT治疗。我们用有序逻辑回归评估了预测因子对90天功能结局的影响(修正Rankin量表[mRS])。预测功能独立概率(mRS 0-2)和生存概率(mRS 0-5)由模型公式推导。我们通过判别(c统计量)和校准(截距、斜率)来评估预测性能。基于赤池信息准则(Akaike information criterion, AIC)剔除预测因子,简化了模型。我们采用留一项研究的交叉验证来评估队列之间模型性能的异质性。结果:验证队列包括6154例患者:4737例来自注册中心,1417例来自试验。原始模型的外部验证显示,在预测功能独立性(C统计量0.91,95% CI 0.90-0.92)和生存率(C统计量0.90,95% CI 0.89-0.91)方面具有良好的辨别能力。简化模型包括四个预测因素——EVT后24小时的NIHSS、年龄、卒中前mRS和症状性颅内出血——表现相当(功能独立性C统计值0.91,95% CI 0.90-0.92;生存率0.89,95% CI 0.88-0.90)。交叉验证显示LATE与其他队列之间存在异质性,模型高估了LATE患者功能独立的概率(观察到的39.1% vs预测的44.2%),而观察到的和预测的生存概率相似(75.5% vs 75.7%)。结论:MR预测@24H的简化版本仅包含四个预测因子,其表现与完整模型一样好,提供了一个实用的工具,可以在EVT后一天应用,以进行可靠的结果估计。对于治疗时间窗较晚(6-24h)的患者,需要进一步验证和更新模型。
{"title":"Validation and simplification of the MR PREDICTS @24H model for outcome prediction after endovascular thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke.","authors":"Xi Li, Bob Roozenbeek, Theo van Walsum, Daniel Bos, H Bart van der Worp, Bart J Emmer, Charles Bl Majoie, Robert J van Oostenbrugge, Diederik Wj Dippel, Hester F Lingsma","doi":"10.1177/17474930261430342","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930261430342","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Outcome prediction after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) for ischemic stroke is important for patient counseling and rehabilitation planning. MR PREDICTS @24H, a nine-predictor model, showed excellent performance in predicting functional outcome at 90 days of patients with acute ischemic stroke. With the expanding treatment indications, we validated the model for patients receiving EVT within 24 hours after stroke onset and simplified it for easier clinical implementation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used individual patient data from the Dutch MR CLEAN Registry (2014-2018), a prospective observational cohort enrolling patients treated with EVT, and three randomized controlled trials MR CLEAN-MED, MR CLEAN-NOIV, and MR CLEAN-LATE (2018-2022). We included patients with an intracranial large-vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation treated with EVT within 24 hours of symptom onset or last seen well. We assessed the effect of predictors on functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS]) at 90 days with ordinal logistic regression. Predicted probabilities of functional independence (mRS 0-2) and survival (mRS 0-5) were derived from the model formula. We evaluated predictive performance with discrimination (C statistic) and calibration (intercept, slope). The model was simplified by excluding predictors based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC). We applied leave-one-study-out cross-validation to evaluate heterogeneity in model performance between the cohorts.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The validation cohort included 6154 patients: 4737 from the Registry and 1417 from the trials. External validation of the original model showed excellent discrimination in predicting functional independence (C statistic 0.91, 95% CI 0.90-0.92) and survival (C statistic 0.90, 95% CI 0.89-0.91). The simplified model, comprising four predictors-NIHSS at 24 hours after EVT, age, pre-stroke mRS, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage-performed comparably (functional independence C statistic 0.91, 95% CI 0.90-0.92; and survival 0.89, 95% CI 0.88-0.90). Cross-validation revealed heterogeneity between LATE and the other cohorts, with the model overestimating the probability of functional independence in LATE (observed 39.1% vs predicted 44.2%), whereas the observed and predicted probability of survival was similar (75.5% vs 75.7%).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>A simplified version of MR PREDICTS @24H including only four predictors performed as good as the full model, providing a practical tool that can be applied one day after EVT for reliable outcome estimation. Further validation and updating of the model are needed for patients treated in the late time window (6-24 h).</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"17474930261430342"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147276349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-20DOI: 10.1177/17474930261428118
Lucio D'Anna, Francesco Favruzzo, Claudio Baracchini, Alessandra Pes, Fionn Mag Uidhir, Diletta Rosin, Mariarosaria Valente, Gian Luigi Gigli, Liqun Zhang, Nathan Leung, Manav Sohal, Simona Sacco, Raffaele Ornello, Federico De Santis, Ubaldo Coppola, Gabriele Prandin, Michele Romoli, Valentina Tudisco, Federica Nicoletta Sepe, Jianqun Guan, Asha Barnard, Lydia Jeffrey, Jake Dagan, Tsering Dolkar, Irtiza Syed, Soma Banerjee, Selina Edwards, Ceylan Safak, Roberto Avila, Joan Cruz, Ashley Laurie, Gaurav Desai, Maryam Haneef, Anne Idian, Arvind Chandratheva, Phang Boon Lim, Giovanni Merlino, Matteo Foschi, Robert Simister
Background: Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) accounts for up to one quarter of ischemic strokes, with occult atrial fibrillation (AF) as a key underlying cause. Implantable cardiac monitors (ICMs) markedly improve AF detection but are limited by cost and resource demands. Existing AF-prediction models show modest accuracy and lack longitudinal validation. We developed and validated the CATCH-AF score to provide a simple, clinically applicable tool for stratifying early and long-term AF risk after ESUS.
Methods: We analyzed 543 consecutive ESUS patients systematically monitored with ICMs. Variable selection used LASSO-penalized Cox regression. Model performance was assessed with time-dependent ROC curves, restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis, and 10-fold cross-validation. To evaluate geographic generalizability, internal-external cross-validation was performed across seven participating centers, estimating discrimination and calibration for each held-out cohort. Based on the final multivariable model, a point-based score was derived including age, coronary artery disease, heart failure, and prior transient ischemic attack or ischemic stroke.
Results: During 1558.5 patient-years of follow-up, 118 patients (22%) developed new AF. The CATCH-AF score showed excellent discrimination (AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.82-0.89), stable over 4.5 years (0.84-0.87). Compared with low-risk patients (0-2 points), those at high risk (⩾5 points) had a 19-fold higher hazard of AF detection (HR 19.2, 95% CI 9.4-39.4; p < 0.001) and 918 fewer AF-free days (95% CI -1080 to -757).
Conclusions: The CATCH-AF score provides a robust, interpretable, and easily applicable tool for predicting AF after ESUS, supporting targeted and cost-effective rhythm monitoring.
来源不明的血栓性卒中(ESUS)占缺血性卒中的四分之一,隐匿性心房颤动(AF)是一个关键的潜在原因。植入式心脏监护仪(ICMs)显著改善了房颤检测,但受到成本和资源需求的限制。现有的af预测模型精度一般,且缺乏纵向验证。我们开发并验证了CATCH-AF评分,为ESUS术后早期和长期AF风险分层提供了一种简单、临床适用的工具。方法对543例连续ESUS患者进行系统监测。变量选择采用lasso惩罚Cox回归。采用随时间变化的ROC曲线、限制平均生存时间(RMST)分析和10倍交叉验证来评估模型的性能。为了评估地理上的普遍性,在七个参与中心进行了内部-外部交叉验证,估计了每个滞留队列的歧视和校准。基于最终的多变量模型,得出一个基于积分的评分,包括年龄、冠状动脉疾病、心力衰竭和先前的短暂性脑缺血发作或缺血性中风。结果在1558.5患者年的随访期间,118例(22%)患者发生了新的AF。CATCH-AF评分具有良好的鉴别性(AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.82-0.89),在4.5年的时间内保持稳定(0.84-0.87)。与低危患者(0-2分)相比,高危患者(≥5分)的房颤检测风险高出19倍(HR 19.2, 95% CI 9.4-39.4
{"title":"Atrial fibrillation detection after embolic stroke of undetermined source: Development and validation of the CATCH-AF score.","authors":"Lucio D'Anna, Francesco Favruzzo, Claudio Baracchini, Alessandra Pes, Fionn Mag Uidhir, Diletta Rosin, Mariarosaria Valente, Gian Luigi Gigli, Liqun Zhang, Nathan Leung, Manav Sohal, Simona Sacco, Raffaele Ornello, Federico De Santis, Ubaldo Coppola, Gabriele Prandin, Michele Romoli, Valentina Tudisco, Federica Nicoletta Sepe, Jianqun Guan, Asha Barnard, Lydia Jeffrey, Jake Dagan, Tsering Dolkar, Irtiza Syed, Soma Banerjee, Selina Edwards, Ceylan Safak, Roberto Avila, Joan Cruz, Ashley Laurie, Gaurav Desai, Maryam Haneef, Anne Idian, Arvind Chandratheva, Phang Boon Lim, Giovanni Merlino, Matteo Foschi, Robert Simister","doi":"10.1177/17474930261428118","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930261428118","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) accounts for up to one quarter of ischemic strokes, with occult atrial fibrillation (AF) as a key underlying cause. Implantable cardiac monitors (ICMs) markedly improve AF detection but are limited by cost and resource demands. Existing AF-prediction models show modest accuracy and lack longitudinal validation. We developed and validated the CATCH-AF score to provide a simple, clinically applicable tool for stratifying early and long-term AF risk after ESUS.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed 543 consecutive ESUS patients systematically monitored with ICMs. Variable selection used LASSO-penalized Cox regression. Model performance was assessed with time-dependent ROC curves, restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis, and 10-fold cross-validation. To evaluate geographic generalizability, internal-external cross-validation was performed across seven participating centers, estimating discrimination and calibration for each held-out cohort. Based on the final multivariable model, a point-based score was derived including age, coronary artery disease, heart failure, and prior transient ischemic attack or ischemic stroke.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During 1558.5 patient-years of follow-up, 118 patients (22%) developed new AF. The CATCH-AF score showed excellent discrimination (AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.82-0.89), stable over 4.5 years (0.84-0.87). Compared with low-risk patients (0-2 points), those at high risk (⩾5 points) had a 19-fold higher hazard of AF detection (HR 19.2, 95% CI 9.4-39.4; <i>p</i> < 0.001) and 918 fewer AF-free days (95% CI -1080 to -757).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The CATCH-AF score provides a robust, interpretable, and easily applicable tool for predicting AF after ESUS, supporting targeted and cost-effective rhythm monitoring.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"17474930261428118"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146258078","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-17DOI: 10.1177/17474930261428115
Sanjith Aaron, Angel Miraclin T, Mubasheera Sulthana, Mahasampath Gowri, Premkumar Asokan, Deepti Bal, George Abraham Ninan, Selvakumar Selvaganesan, Anitha Jasper, Harshad Arvind Vanjare, Pavithra Mannam, Santhosh Babu K B, Nidugala Shyamkumar Keshava, Shalini Nair, Kundavaram Paul P Abhilash, Aditya V Nair, Arun Mathai Mani, Shaikh Atif Iqbal Ahmed, Rohit Ninan Benjamin, Vivek Mathew, Prabhakar At, Ajith Sivadasan
Background: Although short-term outcomes are generally favorable in Cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVT), there are limited data on long-term complications and sequelae.
Methods: This ambispective study is from the Vellore CVT Registry, the largest single-center CVT registry in the world. Two thousand four hundred and eighty-four adults with CVT enrolled between 2000 and 2024 were analyzed for functional status and complications with follow-up up to 12 years.
Results: Of 2484 patients, 2380 (95.8%) survived the acute phase, with a mean follow-up of 3.2 years (range, 0-12 years). During follow-up, 41 patients (1.7%) died, the majority being within 1 year. Excellent functional outcomes (mRS ⩽ 2) were achieved by 92% of patients within 2 years. Complications were observed in 799 (33.5%) at follow-up, of whom 405 (50.6%) required rehospitalization. More than half (55.1%) of these complications occurred more than 2 years after the initial diagnosis of CVT. Common complications were seizures (9.6%) and headaches (7.7%). Bleeding events occurred in 3.9% of cases, predominantly due to anticoagulant use. Recurrent CVT developed in 1.3%, and other thrombotic events in 2.4%. Occurrences of malignancies (1%) and secondary dural arteriovenous fistulas (dAVFs) (0.6%) were significant complications that occurred after 2 years. Of the 108 pregnancies that occurred during follow-up, thrombotic events occurred in 2.7% in the absence of antithrombotic prophylaxis.
Conclusions: Most patients with CVT achieve long-term functional independence, yet one-third develop delayed complications. These findings underscore the importance of long-term surveillance in CVT survivors and give important insights into the natural history of CVT.
{"title":"Long-term outcomes and complications of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis: Findings from the Vellore CVT registry.","authors":"Sanjith Aaron, Angel Miraclin T, Mubasheera Sulthana, Mahasampath Gowri, Premkumar Asokan, Deepti Bal, George Abraham Ninan, Selvakumar Selvaganesan, Anitha Jasper, Harshad Arvind Vanjare, Pavithra Mannam, Santhosh Babu K B, Nidugala Shyamkumar Keshava, Shalini Nair, Kundavaram Paul P Abhilash, Aditya V Nair, Arun Mathai Mani, Shaikh Atif Iqbal Ahmed, Rohit Ninan Benjamin, Vivek Mathew, Prabhakar At, Ajith Sivadasan","doi":"10.1177/17474930261428115","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930261428115","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Although short-term outcomes are generally favorable in Cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVT), there are limited data on long-term complications and sequelae.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This ambispective study is from the Vellore CVT Registry, the largest single-center CVT registry in the world. Two thousand four hundred and eighty-four adults with CVT enrolled between 2000 and 2024 were analyzed for functional status and complications with follow-up up to 12 years.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 2484 patients, 2380 (95.8%) survived the acute phase, with a mean follow-up of 3.2 years (range, 0-12 years). During follow-up, 41 patients (1.7%) died, the majority being within 1 year. Excellent functional outcomes (mRS ⩽ 2) were achieved by 92% of patients within 2 years. Complications were observed in 799 (33.5%) at follow-up, of whom 405 (50.6%) required rehospitalization. More than half (55.1%) of these complications occurred more than 2 years after the initial diagnosis of CVT. Common complications were seizures (9.6%) and headaches (7.7%). Bleeding events occurred in 3.9% of cases, predominantly due to anticoagulant use. Recurrent CVT developed in 1.3%, and other thrombotic events in 2.4%. Occurrences of malignancies (1%) and secondary dural arteriovenous fistulas (dAVFs) (0.6%) were significant complications that occurred after 2 years. Of the 108 pregnancies that occurred during follow-up, thrombotic events occurred in 2.7% in the absence of antithrombotic prophylaxis.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Most patients with CVT achieve long-term functional independence, yet one-third develop delayed complications. These findings underscore the importance of long-term surveillance in CVT survivors and give important insights into the natural history of CVT.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":" ","pages":"17474930261428115"},"PeriodicalIF":8.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146213229","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}