Pub Date : 2024-09-10DOI: 10.1177/17474930241285728
wei chen, Jing Chen, Dong Li
Background: Early repair of the ruptured cerebral aneurysm (RRCA), preferably within 24 hours of onset, is endorsed by clinical guideline as the preferred management strategy for patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). However, a comprehensive picture of this guideline-recommended usage in contemporary clinical practice is not available.Aims: This study aimed to characterize trends over time and practice variation in the implementation of an early RRCA strategy among patients with aSAH in a large, national representative data.Methods: Using data from the 2012-2019 National Inpatient Sample, we measured trends in the proportion of early RRCA, defined as within day 1 of admission, overall, and by demographic and geographical subgroups. Additionally, we created multilevel regression models to quantify hospital-level variation in the early RRCA rates.Results: We identified 82,615 aSAH hospitalizations (mean age, 56.1 years; 68.9% women) undergoing RRCA and, among these, 84.0% (95% CI, 83.4-84.7%) receiving early RRCA. The proportion of early RRCA increased steadily from 82.5% in 2012 to 85.8% in 2019 (P for trend <0.001). The proportion of patients receiving early RRCA across geographic regions ranged from 78.7% to 87.9%, with a median (IQR) of 84.2% (83.0-86.1%). In contrast, the delivery of early RRCA varied widely among hospitals, with a median (IQR) rate of 86.1% (75.0-100.0%) and a range from 0 to 100.0%. The median odds ratio for the early use of RRCA treatment was 1.24 (95% CI, 1.21-1.27) in 2019, indicating 24% increased odds of implementing early RRCA if moving from a lower-use to a higher-use hospital.Conclusions: Most patients in the United States with aSAH received early RRCA treatment and exhibited an upward trend over the recent 8-year period. However, substantial variation in access to early RRCA was been observed across population subgroups, particularly at the hospital level. Future efforts are necessary to identify further sources of this variation and to develop initiatives that could represent an opportunity to optimize guideline-based quality of care in aSAH management.
{"title":"Temporal Trends and Practice Variation in Early Repair of the Ruptured Aneurysm Among Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in the United States, 2012-2019","authors":"wei chen, Jing Chen, Dong Li","doi":"10.1177/17474930241285728","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930241285728","url":null,"abstract":"Background: Early repair of the ruptured cerebral aneurysm (RRCA), preferably within 24 hours of onset, is endorsed by clinical guideline as the preferred management strategy for patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). However, a comprehensive picture of this guideline-recommended usage in contemporary clinical practice is not available.Aims: This study aimed to characterize trends over time and practice variation in the implementation of an early RRCA strategy among patients with aSAH in a large, national representative data.Methods: Using data from the 2012-2019 National Inpatient Sample, we measured trends in the proportion of early RRCA, defined as within day 1 of admission, overall, and by demographic and geographical subgroups. Additionally, we created multilevel regression models to quantify hospital-level variation in the early RRCA rates.Results: We identified 82,615 aSAH hospitalizations (mean age, 56.1 years; 68.9% women) undergoing RRCA and, among these, 84.0% (95% CI, 83.4-84.7%) receiving early RRCA. The proportion of early RRCA increased steadily from 82.5% in 2012 to 85.8% in 2019 (P for trend <0.001). The proportion of patients receiving early RRCA across geographic regions ranged from 78.7% to 87.9%, with a median (IQR) of 84.2% (83.0-86.1%). In contrast, the delivery of early RRCA varied widely among hospitals, with a median (IQR) rate of 86.1% (75.0-100.0%) and a range from 0 to 100.0%. The median odds ratio for the early use of RRCA treatment was 1.24 (95% CI, 1.21-1.27) in 2019, indicating 24% increased odds of implementing early RRCA if moving from a lower-use to a higher-use hospital.Conclusions: Most patients in the United States with aSAH received early RRCA treatment and exhibited an upward trend over the recent 8-year period. However, substantial variation in access to early RRCA was been observed across population subgroups, particularly at the hospital level. Future efforts are necessary to identify further sources of this variation and to develop initiatives that could represent an opportunity to optimize guideline-based quality of care in aSAH management.","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142177258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-10DOI: 10.1177/17474930241284447
Peter J McMeekin, Stephen McCarthy, Andrew McCarthy, Jennifer Porteous, Michael Allen, Anna Laws, Phil White, Martin A James, Gary A Ford, Lisa Shaw, Christopher I Price
BackgroundThe long-term health-economic consequences of acute stroke are typically extrapolated from short-term outcomes observed in different studies, using models based on assumptions about longer-term morbidity and mortality. Inconsistency in these assumptions and the methods of extrapolation can create difficulties when comparing estimates of life-time cost-effectiveness of stroke care interventions.AimsTo develop a long-term model consisting of a set of equations to estimate the life-time effects of stroke care interventions to promote consistency in extrapolation of short-term outcomes.MethodsData about further admissions and mortality was provided for acute stroke patients discharged between 2013 and 2014 from a large English service. This was combined with data from UK life tables to create a set of parametric equations in a model that use age, sex, and modified Rankin Scores to predict the life-time risk of mortality and secondary care resource utilisation including ED attendances, non-elective admissions, and elective admissions. A cohort of 1,509 (male 51%; mean age 74) stroke patients had median follow-up of seven years and represented 7,111 post-discharge patient years. A logistic model estimated mortality within twelve months of discharge and a Gompertz model was used over the remainder of the lifetime. Hospital attendances were modelled using a Weibull distribution. Non-elective and elective bed days were both modelled using a log-logistic distribution.ResultsMortality risk increased with age, dependency, and male sex. Although the overall pattern was similar for resource utilisation, there were different variations according to dependency and gender for ED attendances and non-elective/elective admissions. For example, 65-year-old women with a discharge mRS of 1 would gain an extra 6.75 life years compared to 65-year-old women with a discharge mRS of 3. Over their lifetime, 65-year-old women with a discharge mRS of 1 would experience 0.09 less ED attendances, 2.12 less non-elective bed days and 1.28 additional elective bed days than 65-year-old women with a discharge mRS of 3.ConclusionsUsing long-term follow-up publicly available data from a large clinical cohort, this new model promotes standardised extrapolation of key outcomes over the life course, and potentially can improve the real-world accuracy and comparison of long-term cost-effectiveness estimates for stroke care interventions.Data Assess StatementData is available upon reasonable request from third parties.
{"title":"A lifetime economic model of mortality and secondary care use for patients discharged from hospital following acute stroke.","authors":"Peter J McMeekin, Stephen McCarthy, Andrew McCarthy, Jennifer Porteous, Michael Allen, Anna Laws, Phil White, Martin A James, Gary A Ford, Lisa Shaw, Christopher I Price","doi":"10.1177/17474930241284447","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930241284447","url":null,"abstract":"BackgroundThe long-term health-economic consequences of acute stroke are typically extrapolated from short-term outcomes observed in different studies, using models based on assumptions about longer-term morbidity and mortality. Inconsistency in these assumptions and the methods of extrapolation can create difficulties when comparing estimates of life-time cost-effectiveness of stroke care interventions.AimsTo develop a long-term model consisting of a set of equations to estimate the life-time effects of stroke care interventions to promote consistency in extrapolation of short-term outcomes.MethodsData about further admissions and mortality was provided for acute stroke patients discharged between 2013 and 2014 from a large English service. This was combined with data from UK life tables to create a set of parametric equations in a model that use age, sex, and modified Rankin Scores to predict the life-time risk of mortality and secondary care resource utilisation including ED attendances, non-elective admissions, and elective admissions. A cohort of 1,509 (male 51%; mean age 74) stroke patients had median follow-up of seven years and represented 7,111 post-discharge patient years. A logistic model estimated mortality within twelve months of discharge and a Gompertz model was used over the remainder of the lifetime. Hospital attendances were modelled using a Weibull distribution. Non-elective and elective bed days were both modelled using a log-logistic distribution.ResultsMortality risk increased with age, dependency, and male sex. Although the overall pattern was similar for resource utilisation, there were different variations according to dependency and gender for ED attendances and non-elective/elective admissions. For example, 65-year-old women with a discharge mRS of 1 would gain an extra 6.75 life years compared to 65-year-old women with a discharge mRS of 3. Over their lifetime, 65-year-old women with a discharge mRS of 1 would experience 0.09 less ED attendances, 2.12 less non-elective bed days and 1.28 additional elective bed days than 65-year-old women with a discharge mRS of 3.ConclusionsUsing long-term follow-up publicly available data from a large clinical cohort, this new model promotes standardised extrapolation of key outcomes over the life course, and potentially can improve the real-world accuracy and comparison of long-term cost-effectiveness estimates for stroke care interventions.Data Assess StatementData is available upon reasonable request from third parties.","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142177259","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-05DOI: 10.1177/17474930241273685
David J Werring, Hatice Ozkan, Fergus Doubal, Jesse Dawson, Nick Freemantle, Ahamad Hassan, Suong Thi Ngoc Le, Dermot Mallon, Rom Mendel, Hugh S Markus, Jatinder S Minhas, Alastair J S Webb
Background: Cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) causes between 25% and 30% of all ischemic strokes. In acute lacunar ischemic stroke, despite often mild initial symptoms, early neurological deterioration (END) occurs in approximately 15-20% of patients and is associated with poor functional outcome, yet its mechanisms are not well understood.
Aims: In this review, we systematically evaluated data on: (1) definitions and incidence of END, (2) mechanisms of small vessel occlusion, (3) predictors and mechanisms of END, and (4) prospects for the prevention or treatment of patients with END.
Summary of review: We identified 67 reports (including 13,407 participants) describing the incidence of END in acute lacunar ischemic stroke. The specified timescale for END varied from <24 h to 3 weeks. The rate of END ranged between 2.3% and 47.5% with a pooled incidence of 23.54% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 21.02-26.05) but heterogeneity was high (I2 = 90.29%). The rates of END defined by National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) decreases of ⩾1, ⩾2, ⩾3, and 4 points were as follows: 24.17 (21.19-27.16)%, 22.98 (20.48-25.30)%, 23.33 (16.23-30.42)%, and 10.79 (2.09-23.13)%, respectively, with lowest heterogeneity and greatest precision for a cutoff of ⩾2 points. Of the 20/67 studies (30%) reporting associations of END with clinical outcome, 19/20 (95%) reported worse outcomes (usually measured using the modified Rankin score at 90 days or at hospital discharge) in patients with END. In a meta-regression analysis, female sex, hypertension, diabetes, and smoking were associated with END.
Conclusions: END occurs in more than 20% of patients with acute lacunar ischemic stroke and might provide a novel target for clinical trials. A definition of an NIHSS ⩾2 decrease is most used and provides the best between-study homogeneity. END is consistently associated with poor functional outcome. Further research is needed to better identify patients at risk of END, to understand the underlying mechanisms, and to carry out new trials to test potential interventions.
背景:脑小血管疾病(CSVD)导致的缺血性脑卒中占所有缺血性脑卒中的 25% 至 30%。在急性腔隙性缺血性脑卒中中,尽管最初症状通常较轻,但约有 15-20% 的患者会出现早期神经功能恶化(END),并与功能预后不良有关,但其机制尚不十分清楚:目的:在这篇综述中,我们系统地评估了以下方面的数据:(1) END 的定义和发病率;(2) 小血管闭塞的机制;(3) END 的预测因素和机制;(4) END 患者的预防或治疗前景:我们发现了 67 份报告(包括 13407 名参与者)描述了END 在急性腔隙性缺血性卒中中的发生率。END的具体时间范围各不相同:20%以上的急性腔隙缺血性卒中患者会出现早期神经功能恶化,这可能为临床试验提供了一个新的目标。NIHSS 下降≥2 是最常用的定义,可提供最佳的研究间同质性。END始终与不良功能预后相关。需要进一步研究,以更好地识别END高危患者,了解其潜在机制,并开展新的试验来测试潜在的干预措施。
{"title":"Early neurological deterioration in acute lacunar ischemic stroke: Systematic review of incidence, mechanisms, and prospects for treatment.","authors":"David J Werring, Hatice Ozkan, Fergus Doubal, Jesse Dawson, Nick Freemantle, Ahamad Hassan, Suong Thi Ngoc Le, Dermot Mallon, Rom Mendel, Hugh S Markus, Jatinder S Minhas, Alastair J S Webb","doi":"10.1177/17474930241273685","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930241273685","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) causes between 25% and 30% of all ischemic strokes. In acute lacunar ischemic stroke, despite often mild initial symptoms, early neurological deterioration (END) occurs in approximately 15-20% of patients and is associated with poor functional outcome, yet its mechanisms are not well understood.</p><p><strong>Aims: </strong>In this review, we systematically evaluated data on: (1) definitions and incidence of END, (2) mechanisms of small vessel occlusion, (3) predictors and mechanisms of END, and (4) prospects for the prevention or treatment of patients with END.</p><p><strong>Summary of review: </strong>We identified 67 reports (including 13,407 participants) describing the incidence of END in acute lacunar ischemic stroke. The specified timescale for END varied from <24 h to 3 weeks. The rate of END ranged between 2.3% and 47.5% with a pooled incidence of 23.54% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 21.02-26.05) but heterogeneity was high (<i>I</i><sup>2</sup> = 90.29%). The rates of END defined by National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) decreases of ⩾1, ⩾2, ⩾3, and 4 points were as follows: 24.17 (21.19-27.16)%, 22.98 (20.48-25.30)%, 23.33 (16.23-30.42)%, and 10.79 (2.09-23.13)%, respectively, with lowest heterogeneity and greatest precision for a cutoff of ⩾2 points. Of the 20/67 studies (30%) reporting associations of END with clinical outcome, 19/20 (95%) reported worse outcomes (usually measured using the modified Rankin score at 90 days or at hospital discharge) in patients with END. In a meta-regression analysis, female sex, hypertension, diabetes, and smoking were associated with END.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>END occurs in more than 20% of patients with acute lacunar ischemic stroke and might provide a novel target for clinical trials. A definition of an NIHSS ⩾2 decrease is most used and provides the best between-study homogeneity. END is consistently associated with poor functional outcome. Further research is needed to better identify patients at risk of END, to understand the underlying mechanisms, and to carry out new trials to test potential interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141859714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-02DOI: 10.1177/17474930241273696
Martha Marko, Dominika Miksova, Melanie Haidegger, Jakob Schneider, Johanna Ebner, Marie B Lang, Wolfgang Serles, Stefan Kiechl, Michael Knoflach, Marek Sykora, Julia Ferrari, Thomas Gattringer, Stefan Greisenegger
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) is an approved treatment for patients with acute ischemic stroke irrespective of sex. However, the current literature on sex differences in functional outcomes following IVT is inconsistent. So far, a number of studies-including a previous analysis based on data from the Austrian Stroke Unit Registry (ASUR)-detected significant sex-related differences in functional outcome, while others did not report any differences between women and men. In addition, currently there is a lack of data on how sex-related differences evolve over time.</p><p><strong>Aims: </strong>To assess time trends of sex-related differences in functional outcome of ischemic stroke in a large nationwide cohort and to investigate associations of patient characteristics with functional outcome post thrombolysis in women and men. These data will offer crucial insights into whether sex differences in functional outcome persist despite the large advances in acute stroke treatment.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed retrospective data of consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with IVT in 39 stroke centers contributing to the ASUR between 2006 and 2021. We included patients over 18 years of age diagnosed with an acute ischemic stroke who received IVT and with available data on functional outcome at 3 months after treatment. The primary outcome parameter was favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 0-2) at 3 months. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed in the overall population and stratified by sex to assess associations of baseline characteristics with functional outcome.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 11,840 patients receiving IVT, 2489 of 5503 (45.4%) women achieved favorable functional outcome compared to 3787 of 6337 (59.8%) men. Overall, female sex was a statistically significant predictor of functional outcome after thrombolysis, but additional predictors of outcome differed between women and men. Female sex was independently associated with decreased chances of achieving functional independency (adjusted odds ratio (adjOR) = 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.79-0.96, p = 0.005) and we detected a statistically significant improvement in functional outcome over time only in men (year of treatment, adjOR (per year) = 1.04, 95% CI = 1.02-1.06, p < 0.001) but not in women (adjOR (per year) = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.99-1.03, p = 0.280). Hypertension, smoking, and longer or unknown onset-to-door times were statistically significant predictors of outcome only in male patients, whereas atrial fibrillation, prior myocardial infarction, and longer door-to-needle times were significantly associated with outcome only in women.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Sex differences in functional outcome after IVT for acute ischemic stroke are persisting over the past years. Results of our analysis can increase awareness and a resulting focus on sex differences i
{"title":"Trends in sex differences of functional outcome after intravenous thrombolysis in patients with acute ischemic stroke.","authors":"Martha Marko, Dominika Miksova, Melanie Haidegger, Jakob Schneider, Johanna Ebner, Marie B Lang, Wolfgang Serles, Stefan Kiechl, Michael Knoflach, Marek Sykora, Julia Ferrari, Thomas Gattringer, Stefan Greisenegger","doi":"10.1177/17474930241273696","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930241273696","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) is an approved treatment for patients with acute ischemic stroke irrespective of sex. However, the current literature on sex differences in functional outcomes following IVT is inconsistent. So far, a number of studies-including a previous analysis based on data from the Austrian Stroke Unit Registry (ASUR)-detected significant sex-related differences in functional outcome, while others did not report any differences between women and men. In addition, currently there is a lack of data on how sex-related differences evolve over time.</p><p><strong>Aims: </strong>To assess time trends of sex-related differences in functional outcome of ischemic stroke in a large nationwide cohort and to investigate associations of patient characteristics with functional outcome post thrombolysis in women and men. These data will offer crucial insights into whether sex differences in functional outcome persist despite the large advances in acute stroke treatment.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed retrospective data of consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with IVT in 39 stroke centers contributing to the ASUR between 2006 and 2021. We included patients over 18 years of age diagnosed with an acute ischemic stroke who received IVT and with available data on functional outcome at 3 months after treatment. The primary outcome parameter was favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 0-2) at 3 months. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed in the overall population and stratified by sex to assess associations of baseline characteristics with functional outcome.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 11,840 patients receiving IVT, 2489 of 5503 (45.4%) women achieved favorable functional outcome compared to 3787 of 6337 (59.8%) men. Overall, female sex was a statistically significant predictor of functional outcome after thrombolysis, but additional predictors of outcome differed between women and men. Female sex was independently associated with decreased chances of achieving functional independency (adjusted odds ratio (adjOR) = 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.79-0.96, p = 0.005) and we detected a statistically significant improvement in functional outcome over time only in men (year of treatment, adjOR (per year) = 1.04, 95% CI = 1.02-1.06, p < 0.001) but not in women (adjOR (per year) = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.99-1.03, p = 0.280). Hypertension, smoking, and longer or unknown onset-to-door times were statistically significant predictors of outcome only in male patients, whereas atrial fibrillation, prior myocardial infarction, and longer door-to-needle times were significantly associated with outcome only in women.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Sex differences in functional outcome after IVT for acute ischemic stroke are persisting over the past years. Results of our analysis can increase awareness and a resulting focus on sex differences i","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141859716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-31DOI: 10.1177/17474930241283167
Lauri Bishop, Scott C Brown, Hannah Gardener, Antonio J Bustillo, D Akeim George, Gillian Gordon Perue, Karlon H Johnson, Neva Kirk-Sanchez, Negar Asdaghi, Carolina M Gutierrez, Tatjana Rundek, Jose G Romano
Background and purpose: Social determinants of health (SDOH), including social networks impact disability and quality of life post-stroke, yet the direct influence of SDOH on functional change remains undetermined. We aimed to identify which SDOH predict change on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) within 90-days after stroke hospitalization.
Methods: Stroke patients from the Transitions of Care Stroke Disparities Study (TCSDS) were enrolled from 12 hospitals in the Florida Stroke Registry. TCSDS aims to identify disparities in hospital-to-home transitions after stroke. SDOH were collected by trained interviewers at hospital discharge. The mRS was assessed at discharge, 30-, and 90-days post-stroke. Multinomial logistic regression models examined contributions of each SDOH to mRS improvement or worsening (compared to no change) from discharge to 30- and 90-days, respectively.
Results: Of 1,190 participants, median age was 64 years, 42% were women, 52% were Non-Hispanic White, and 91% had an ischemic stroke. Those with a limited social support network had greater odds of functional decline at 30-days (aOR = 1.39, 1.17-1.66), adjusting for age and onset to arrival time and at 90-days (aOR = 1.50, 1.10-2.05) after adjusting for age. Results were consistent after further adjustment for additional SDOH and participant characteristics. Individuals living with a spouse/partner had reduced odds of functional decline at 90-days (aOR = 0.74, 0.57-0.98); however, results were inconsistent with more conservative modeling approaches.
Conclusions: The findings highlight the importance of SDOH, specifically having a greater number of individuals in your social network in functional recovery after stroke.
{"title":"The association between social networks and functional recovery after stroke.","authors":"Lauri Bishop, Scott C Brown, Hannah Gardener, Antonio J Bustillo, D Akeim George, Gillian Gordon Perue, Karlon H Johnson, Neva Kirk-Sanchez, Negar Asdaghi, Carolina M Gutierrez, Tatjana Rundek, Jose G Romano","doi":"10.1177/17474930241283167","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930241283167","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background and purpose: </strong>Social determinants of health (SDOH), including social networks impact disability and quality of life post-stroke, yet the direct influence of SDOH on functional change remains undetermined. We aimed to identify which SDOH predict change on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) within 90-days after stroke hospitalization.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Stroke patients from the Transitions of Care Stroke Disparities Study (TCSDS) were enrolled from 12 hospitals in the Florida Stroke Registry. TCSDS aims to identify disparities in hospital-to-home transitions after stroke. SDOH were collected by trained interviewers at hospital discharge. The mRS was assessed at discharge, 30-, and 90-days post-stroke. Multinomial logistic regression models examined contributions of each SDOH to mRS improvement or worsening (compared to no change) from discharge to 30- and 90-days, respectively.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 1,190 participants, median age was 64 years, 42% were women, 52% were Non-Hispanic White, and 91% had an ischemic stroke. Those with a limited social support network had greater odds of functional decline at 30-days (aOR = 1.39, 1.17-1.66), adjusting for age and onset to arrival time and at 90-days (aOR = 1.50, 1.10-2.05) after adjusting for age. Results were consistent after further adjustment for additional SDOH and participant characteristics. Individuals living with a spouse/partner had reduced odds of functional decline at 90-days (aOR = 0.74, 0.57-0.98); however, results were inconsistent with more conservative modeling approaches.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The findings highlight the importance of SDOH, specifically having a greater number of individuals in your social network in functional recovery after stroke.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142107458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background Subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH), primarily caused by rupture of intracranial aneurysm, has a high incidence rate in women. We aimed to evaluate the association between female hormonal and reproductive factors and SAH.Methods A prospective cohort of 226,469 participants from the UK Biobank was followed for a median period of 14.75 years. Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic splines were used to explore the associations between 13 major factors and SAH, including menarche age, menopausal status, age at menopause, reproductive lifespan, pregnancy history, age at first and last live births, number of live births, adverse fertility outcomes, history of oral contraception or hormone-replacement therapy (HRT) use, and surgical history of hysterectomy or bilateral oophorectomy.Results SAH occurred in 769 of participants during the follow-up period. Both women with a younger age at menarche (<12 years) and post-menopausal women had a higher SAH risk (hazard ratio (HR), 1.28; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06-1.54) and HR, 1.48; 95%CI, 1.10-1.99) respectively. A higher risk of SAH was identified in those with an earlier age at menopause (<40 years: HR, 2.09; 95%CI, 1.43-3.06; 40-44 years: HR, 1.68; 95%CI, 1.23-2.29). A shorter reproductive lifespan (<30 years) was associated with increased SAH risk (HR, 1.64; 95%CI, 1.28-2.11), while a longer reproductive lifespan (>42 years) showed a protective effect (HR, 0.65; 95%CI, 0.55-0.77). Younger age at first live birth (<24 years) was associated with SAH (HR, 1.39; 95%CI, 1.13-1.72). Hysterectomy (HR, 2.55; 95%CI, 2.12-3.05) or bilateral oophorectomy (HR, 1.51; 95%CI, 1.14-2.01) also predisposed women to SAH. Age at last live birth, number of live births, pregnancy history, adverse fertility outcomes, and HRT or oral contraceptive use were not associated with SAH.Conclusions Female hormonal and reproductive factors are important for evaluating SAH risk in women. In particular, earlier menopause is associated with an increased risk of SAH.
{"title":"Female Hormonal and Reproductive Factors and the Risk of Subarachnoid Haemorrhage.","authors":"Fang Cao, Junyu Liu, Yuge Wang, Qingyue He, Yuxin Guo, Junxia Yan","doi":"10.1177/17474930241283377","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930241283377","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Background Subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH), primarily caused by rupture of intracranial aneurysm, has a high incidence rate in women. We aimed to evaluate the association between female hormonal and reproductive factors and SAH.Methods A prospective cohort of 226,469 participants from the UK Biobank was followed for a median period of 14.75 years. Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic splines were used to explore the associations between 13 major factors and SAH, including menarche age, menopausal status, age at menopause, reproductive lifespan, pregnancy history, age at first and last live births, number of live births, adverse fertility outcomes, history of oral contraception or hormone-replacement therapy (HRT) use, and surgical history of hysterectomy or bilateral oophorectomy.Results SAH occurred in 769 of participants during the follow-up period. Both women with a younger age at menarche (<12 years) and post-menopausal women had a higher SAH risk (hazard ratio (HR), 1.28; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06-1.54) and HR, 1.48; 95%CI, 1.10-1.99) respectively. A higher risk of SAH was identified in those with an earlier age at menopause (<40 years: HR, 2.09; 95%CI, 1.43-3.06; 40-44 years: HR, 1.68; 95%CI, 1.23-2.29). A shorter reproductive lifespan (<30 years) was associated with increased SAH risk (HR, 1.64; 95%CI, 1.28-2.11), while a longer reproductive lifespan (>42 years) showed a protective effect (HR, 0.65; 95%CI, 0.55-0.77). Younger age at first live birth (<24 years) was associated with SAH (HR, 1.39; 95%CI, 1.13-1.72). Hysterectomy (HR, 2.55; 95%CI, 2.12-3.05) or bilateral oophorectomy (HR, 1.51; 95%CI, 1.14-2.01) also predisposed women to SAH. Age at last live birth, number of live births, pregnancy history, adverse fertility outcomes, and HRT or oral contraceptive use were not associated with SAH.Conclusions Female hormonal and reproductive factors are important for evaluating SAH risk in women. In particular, earlier menopause is associated with an increased risk of SAH.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142107457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-31DOI: 10.1177/17474930241282521
Veronika Hyytiäinen, Leena Ala-Mursula, Petteri Oura, Markus Paananen, Ville Karhunen, Harri Rusanen, Mirjam I Geerlings, Jouko Miettunen, Ina Rissanen
Background and aims: The incidence of cerebrovascular disease (CVD) is rising among young adults (<55 years). The risk for CVD starts to form in early childhood and is comprised of genetic and environmental risk factors. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between early family socioeconomic status (SES), inherited risk, and CVD until midlife.
Methods: In the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 of 12,058 children, individuals were followed from gestational period up to 54 years. We used previously published early family SES clusters, based on latent class analysis of a wide set of prenatally collected variables. We investigated inherited risk with polygenic risk score (PRS) and parental CVDs during follow-up. The associations of the five distinct clusters, inherited risk, and consequent risk for various types of CVDs until middle age were analysed with Cox regression. All analyses were conducted first in the whole sample and then stratified by sex as is recommended in cardiovascular studies.
Results: During the follow-up of 586,943 person-years, 512 CVDs occurred. No clear association between SES clusters and CVD were found. Higher PRS associated with any CVD (HR per 1 SD increase 1.15; 95%CI 1.02-1.31), and ischemic CVD (HR 1.21; 1.05-1.40). We found no combined associations of early family SES and inherited risk for CVD.
Conclusions: Inherited risk was associated with the risk for CVD in mid-life in Finnish population. We found no clear connection with early family SES and CVD. Being born to a specific SES group did not increase the effect of inherited risk.
{"title":"CLUSTERS OF PARENTAL SOCIOECONOMIC STATUS IN EARLY CHILDHOOD AND INHERITED RISK FOR CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASE UNTIL MID-LIFE - NORTHERN FINLAND BIRTH COHORT 1966.","authors":"Veronika Hyytiäinen, Leena Ala-Mursula, Petteri Oura, Markus Paananen, Ville Karhunen, Harri Rusanen, Mirjam I Geerlings, Jouko Miettunen, Ina Rissanen","doi":"10.1177/17474930241282521","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930241282521","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background and aims: </strong>The incidence of cerebrovascular disease (CVD) is rising among young adults (<55 years). The risk for CVD starts to form in early childhood and is comprised of genetic and environmental risk factors. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between early family socioeconomic status (SES), inherited risk, and CVD until midlife.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 of 12,058 children, individuals were followed from gestational period up to 54 years. We used previously published early family SES clusters, based on latent class analysis of a wide set of prenatally collected variables. We investigated inherited risk with polygenic risk score (PRS) and parental CVDs during follow-up. The associations of the five distinct clusters, inherited risk, and consequent risk for various types of CVDs until middle age were analysed with Cox regression. All analyses were conducted first in the whole sample and then stratified by sex as is recommended in cardiovascular studies.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During the follow-up of 586,943 person-years, 512 CVDs occurred. No clear association between SES clusters and CVD were found. Higher PRS associated with any CVD (HR per 1 SD increase 1.15; 95%CI 1.02-1.31), and ischemic CVD (HR 1.21; 1.05-1.40). We found no combined associations of early family SES and inherited risk for CVD.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Inherited risk was associated with the risk for CVD in mid-life in Finnish population. We found no clear connection with early family SES and CVD. Being born to a specific SES group did not increase the effect of inherited risk.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142107456","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-23DOI: 10.1177/17474930241281120
Henrik Sørensen, Erik Lerkevang Grove, Johanne Andersen Hojbjerg, Asger Andersen, Jens Erik Nielsen-Kudsk, Claus Ziegler Simonsen
Background: Patent foramen ovale (PFO) has been associated with ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA). Guidelines recommend PFO closure for stroke prevention in selected patients, but the risk of recurrent stroke remains high compared to the background population. We aimed to evaluate the causes of recurrent stroke/TIA and post-interventional complications in patients after PFO closure.
Methods: Patients from the Central Denmark Region who underwent PFO closure at Aarhus University Hospital between November 5, 2018, and May 12, 2023, following an ischemic stroke, TIA, amaurosis fugax or retinal emboli were included. Data on patient demographics, risk factors, procedural details, post-interventional complications and recurrent stroke/TIA were collected from electronic medical records.
Results: PFO closure was performed in 310 patients (median age: 49 years). During a median follow-up of 2.6 years (interquartile range: 1.5-3.6, 814 total patient years), recurrent stroke/TIA was observed in 8 patients (2.6%) or 0.98 recurrent strokes per 100 patient years. Recurrent stroke/TIA was more frequent in patients with hypertension (50.0% vs 16.9%, p = 0.039). Recurrent stroke/TIA was related to thrombophilia or haematological conditions entailing hypercoagulability in 62.5% of patients. New-onset atrial fibrillation was observed in 9.4% of patients within 45 days after the procedure. None of these patients subsequently developed an ischemic event. Other adverse outcomes were uncommon.
Conclusion: Rates of recurrent ischaemic stroke/TIA after PFO closure were comparable to findings in previous trials. Pre-existing vascular risk factors (hypertension), and a hypercoagulable state were associated with recurrent ischaemic stroke/TIA.
{"title":"Recurrent Ischemic Stroke/Transient Ischemic Attack After Patent Foramen Ovale Closure: A cohort study.","authors":"Henrik Sørensen, Erik Lerkevang Grove, Johanne Andersen Hojbjerg, Asger Andersen, Jens Erik Nielsen-Kudsk, Claus Ziegler Simonsen","doi":"10.1177/17474930241281120","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930241281120","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Patent foramen ovale (PFO) has been associated with ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA). Guidelines recommend PFO closure for stroke prevention in selected patients, but the risk of recurrent stroke remains high compared to the background population. We aimed to evaluate the causes of recurrent stroke/TIA and post-interventional complications in patients after PFO closure.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients from the Central Denmark Region who underwent PFO closure at Aarhus University Hospital between November 5, 2018, and May 12, 2023, following an ischemic stroke, TIA, amaurosis fugax or retinal emboli were included. Data on patient demographics, risk factors, procedural details, post-interventional complications and recurrent stroke/TIA were collected from electronic medical records.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>PFO closure was performed in 310 patients (median age: 49 years). During a median follow-up of 2.6 years (interquartile range: 1.5-3.6, 814 total patient years), recurrent stroke/TIA was observed in 8 patients (2.6%) or 0.98 recurrent strokes per 100 patient years. Recurrent stroke/TIA was more frequent in patients with hypertension (50.0% vs 16.9%, p = 0.039). Recurrent stroke/TIA was related to thrombophilia or haematological conditions entailing hypercoagulability in 62.5% of patients. New-onset atrial fibrillation was observed in 9.4% of patients within 45 days after the procedure. None of these patients subsequently developed an ischemic event. Other adverse outcomes were uncommon.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Rates of recurrent ischaemic stroke/TIA after PFO closure were comparable to findings in previous trials. Pre-existing vascular risk factors (hypertension), and a hypercoagulable state were associated with recurrent ischaemic stroke/TIA.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142035843","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-19DOI: 10.1177/17474930241270524
Vivek Yedavalli, Hamza Salim, Basel Musmar, Nimer Adeeb, Kareem El Naamani, Nils Henninger, Sri Hari Sundararajan, Anna Luisa Kühn, Jane Khalife, Sherief Ghozy, Luca Scarcia, Benjamin Yq Tan, Jeremy J Heit, Robert W Regenhardt, Nicole M Cancelliere, Joshua D Bernstock, Aymeric Rouchaud, Jens Fiehler, Sunil Sheth, Muhammed Amir Essibayi, Ajit S Puri, Christian Dyzmann, Marco Colasurdo, Xavier Barreau, Leonardo Renieri, João Pedro Filipe, Pablo Harker, Răzvan Alexandru Radu, Thomas R Marotta, Julian Spears, Takahiro Ota, Ashkan Mowla, Pascal Jabbour, Arundhati Biswas, Frédéric Clarençon, James E Siegler, Thanh N Nguyen, Ricardo Varela, Amanda Baker, David Altschul, Nestor R Gonzalez, Markus A Möhlenbruch, Vincent Costalat, Benjamin Gory, Christian Paul Stracke, Mohammad Ali Aziz-Sultan, Constantin Hecker, Hamza Shaikh, David S Liebeskind, Alessandro Pedicelli, Andrea M Alexandre, Illario Tancredi, Tobias D Faizy, Erwah Kalsoum, Boris Lubicz, Aman B Patel, Vitor Mendes Pereira, Adrien Guenego, Adam A Dmytriw
Background: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) from primary medium vessel occlusions (MeVO) is a prevalent condition associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Despite the common use of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in AIS, predictors of poor outcomes in MeVO remain poorly characterized.
Methods: In this prospectively collected, retrospectively reviewed, multicenter, multinational study, data from the MAD-MT (Multicenter Analysis of primary Distal medium vessel occlusions: effect of Mechanical Thrombectomy) registry were analyzed. The study included 1568 patients from 37 academic centers across North America, Asia, and Europe, treated with MT, with or without intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (IVtPA), between September 2017 and July 2021.
Results: Among the 1568 patients, 347 (22.2%) experienced very poor outcomes (modified Rankin score (mRS), 5-6). Key predictors of poor outcomes were advanced age (odds ratio (OR): 1.03; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02 to 1.04; p < 0.001), higher baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores (OR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.10; p < 0.001), pre-operative glucose levels (OR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.02; p < 0.001), and a baseline mRS of 4 (OR: 2.69; 95% CI: 1.25 to 5.82; p = 0.011). The multivariable model demonstrated good predictive accuracy with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.76.
Conclusions: This study demonstrates that advanced age, higher NIHSS scores, elevated pre-stroke mRS, and pre-operative glucose levels significantly predict very poor outcomes in AIS-MeVO patients who received MT. These findings highlight the importance of a comprehensive risk assessment in primary MeVO patients for personalized treatment strategies. However, they also suggest a need for cautious patient selection for endovascular thrombectomy. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and explore targeted therapeutic interventions.
{"title":"Pretreatment predictors of very poor clinical outcomes in medium vessel occlusion stroke patients treated with mechanical thrombectomy.","authors":"Vivek Yedavalli, Hamza Salim, Basel Musmar, Nimer Adeeb, Kareem El Naamani, Nils Henninger, Sri Hari Sundararajan, Anna Luisa Kühn, Jane Khalife, Sherief Ghozy, Luca Scarcia, Benjamin Yq Tan, Jeremy J Heit, Robert W Regenhardt, Nicole M Cancelliere, Joshua D Bernstock, Aymeric Rouchaud, Jens Fiehler, Sunil Sheth, Muhammed Amir Essibayi, Ajit S Puri, Christian Dyzmann, Marco Colasurdo, Xavier Barreau, Leonardo Renieri, João Pedro Filipe, Pablo Harker, Răzvan Alexandru Radu, Thomas R Marotta, Julian Spears, Takahiro Ota, Ashkan Mowla, Pascal Jabbour, Arundhati Biswas, Frédéric Clarençon, James E Siegler, Thanh N Nguyen, Ricardo Varela, Amanda Baker, David Altschul, Nestor R Gonzalez, Markus A Möhlenbruch, Vincent Costalat, Benjamin Gory, Christian Paul Stracke, Mohammad Ali Aziz-Sultan, Constantin Hecker, Hamza Shaikh, David S Liebeskind, Alessandro Pedicelli, Andrea M Alexandre, Illario Tancredi, Tobias D Faizy, Erwah Kalsoum, Boris Lubicz, Aman B Patel, Vitor Mendes Pereira, Adrien Guenego, Adam A Dmytriw","doi":"10.1177/17474930241270524","DOIUrl":"10.1177/17474930241270524","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) from primary medium vessel occlusions (MeVO) is a prevalent condition associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Despite the common use of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in AIS, predictors of poor outcomes in MeVO remain poorly characterized.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this prospectively collected, retrospectively reviewed, multicenter, multinational study, data from the MAD-MT (Multicenter Analysis of primary Distal medium vessel occlusions: effect of Mechanical Thrombectomy) registry were analyzed. The study included 1568 patients from 37 academic centers across North America, Asia, and Europe, treated with MT, with or without intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (IVtPA), between September 2017 and July 2021.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among the 1568 patients, 347 (22.2%) experienced very poor outcomes (modified Rankin score (mRS), 5-6). Key predictors of poor outcomes were advanced age (odds ratio (OR): 1.03; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02 to 1.04; p < 0.001), higher baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores (OR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.10; p < 0.001), pre-operative glucose levels (OR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.02; p < 0.001), and a baseline mRS of 4 (OR: 2.69; 95% CI: 1.25 to 5.82; p = 0.011). The multivariable model demonstrated good predictive accuracy with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.76.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study demonstrates that advanced age, higher NIHSS scores, elevated pre-stroke mRS, and pre-operative glucose levels significantly predict very poor outcomes in AIS-MeVO patients who received MT. These findings highlight the importance of a comprehensive risk assessment in primary MeVO patients for personalized treatment strategies. However, they also suggest a need for cautious patient selection for endovascular thrombectomy. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and explore targeted therapeutic interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141792484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-16DOI: 10.1177/17474930241278808
Tae Jung Kim, Ji Sung Lee, Mi Sun Oh, Ji-Woo Kim, Soo-Hyun Park, Yu Kyung-Ho, Byung-Chul Lee, Byung-Woo Yoon, Sang-Bae Ko
Background: Predicting long-term mortality is essential for understanding prognosis and guiding treatment decisions in patients with ischemic stroke. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate the method for predicting 1-year and 5-year mortality after ischemic stroke.
Methods: We utilized data from the linked dataset comprising the administrative claims database of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service and the Clinical Research Center for Stroke registry data for patients with acute stroke within 7 days of onset. The outcome was all-cause mortality following ischemic stroke. Clinical variables linked to long-term mortality following ischemic stroke were determined. A nomogram was constructed based on the Cox's regression analysis. The performance of the risk prediction model was evaluated using the Harrell's C index.
Results: This study included 42,207 ischemic stroke patients, with a mean age of 66.6 years and 59.2% being male. The patients were randomly divided into training (n=29,916) and validation (n=12,291) groups. Variables correlated with long-term mortality in patients with ischemic stroke, including age, sex, body mass index, stroke severity, stroke mechanisms, onset-to-door time, pre-stroke dependency, history of stroke, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, cancer, smoking, fasting glucose level, previous statin therapy, thrombolytic therapy such as intravenous thrombolysis and endovascular recanalization therapy, medications, and discharge modified Rankiin Scale were identified as predictors. We developed a predictive system named Stroke Measures Analysis of pRognostic Testing - Mortality (SMART-M) by constructing a nomogram using the identified features. The C-statistics of the nomogram in the developing and validation groups were 0.806 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.802-0.812) and 0.803 (95% CI, 0.795-0.811), respectively.
Conclusions: The SMART-M method demonstrated good performance in predicting long-term mortality in ischemic stroke patients. This method may help physicians and family members understand the long-term outcomes and guide the appropriate decision-making process.
{"title":"Stroke Measures Analysis of pRognostic Testing - Mortality (SMART-M) nomogram predicts long-term mortality after ischaemic stroke.","authors":"Tae Jung Kim, Ji Sung Lee, Mi Sun Oh, Ji-Woo Kim, Soo-Hyun Park, Yu Kyung-Ho, Byung-Chul Lee, Byung-Woo Yoon, Sang-Bae Ko","doi":"10.1177/17474930241278808","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930241278808","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Predicting long-term mortality is essential for understanding prognosis and guiding treatment decisions in patients with ischemic stroke. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate the method for predicting 1-year and 5-year mortality after ischemic stroke.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We utilized data from the linked dataset comprising the administrative claims database of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service and the Clinical Research Center for Stroke registry data for patients with acute stroke within 7 days of onset. The outcome was all-cause mortality following ischemic stroke. Clinical variables linked to long-term mortality following ischemic stroke were determined. A nomogram was constructed based on the Cox's regression analysis. The performance of the risk prediction model was evaluated using the Harrell's C index.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>This study included 42,207 ischemic stroke patients, with a mean age of 66.6 years and 59.2% being male. The patients were randomly divided into training (n=29,916) and validation (n=12,291) groups. Variables correlated with long-term mortality in patients with ischemic stroke, including age, sex, body mass index, stroke severity, stroke mechanisms, onset-to-door time, pre-stroke dependency, history of stroke, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, cancer, smoking, fasting glucose level, previous statin therapy, thrombolytic therapy such as intravenous thrombolysis and endovascular recanalization therapy, medications, and discharge modified Rankiin Scale were identified as predictors. We developed a predictive system named Stroke Measures Analysis of pRognostic Testing - Mortality (SMART-M) by constructing a nomogram using the identified features. The C-statistics of the nomogram in the developing and validation groups were 0.806 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.802-0.812) and 0.803 (95% CI, 0.795-0.811), respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The SMART-M method demonstrated good performance in predicting long-term mortality in ischemic stroke patients. This method may help physicians and family members understand the long-term outcomes and guide the appropriate decision-making process.</p>","PeriodicalId":14442,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Stroke","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141987984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}