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The Return of Trust? Institutions and the Public after the Icelandic Financial Crisis最新文献

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Chapter 8: Public Trust in Institutions in Pre- and Post-Crisis Iceland (II): Institutionalised Mistrust 第八章:危机前后冰岛公众对制度的信任(II):制度化的不信任
Pub Date : 2018-07-23 DOI: 10.1108/978-1-78743-347-220181012
S. Sigurgeirsdóttir, Gudrun Johnsen
Abstract Public trust in institutions in Iceland plunged after the country’s banking sector collapsed. The political system wobbled under outrage and anger when the general public took to the streets. The Parliamentary Special Investigation Commission conducted a ground-breaking crisis-induced investigation, delivering a report that was a milestone in Iceland’s history of politics and public administration. Yet, despite this endeavour and the fact that subsequent investigations have disclosed ample information intended to restore trust in institutions, public trust remains unsteady. This chapter addresses the following questions: How has public trust in institutions progressed after the crash? Why is it taking so long for trust to return? In Chapter 3 in this volume, we examine data on public trust in Icelandic institutions from Gallup surveys over the 15 years from 2002 to 2017 in order to identify and explain patterns of trust in the aftermath of the crisis. Our interpretation of theory in this chapter suggests that elements of mistrust inherent in the principal–agent approach to accountability in public administration, implemented in previous New Public Management reforms, undermined the creation of a climate of trust necessary to ensure effective accountability mechanisms. We argue that in the absence of a climate of trust, accountability mechanisms of culpability that conflict with mechanisms of answerability, combined with a succession of post-crisis scandals, mainly explain the slow return of the public’s trust.
冰岛银行业崩溃后,公众对冰岛机构的信任度大幅下降。当公众走上街头时,政治体系在愤怒和愤怒中摇摇欲坠。议会特别调查委员会(Parliamentary Special Investigation Commission)开展了一项由危机引发的开创性调查,并提交了一份报告,成为冰岛政治和公共行政史上的一个里程碑。然而,尽管做出了这种努力,而且随后的调查披露了大量旨在恢复对机构信任的信息,但公众的信任仍然不稳定。本章讨论了以下问题:危机后公众对机构的信任是如何发展的?为什么要花这么长时间才能恢复信任?在本卷的第3章中,我们研究了2002年至2017年15年间盖洛普调查中关于冰岛机构公众信任的数据,以确定和解释危机后的信任模式。我们在本章中对理论的解释表明,在以前的新公共管理改革中实施的公共行政问责制的委托-代理方法中固有的不信任因素破坏了确保有效问责机制所必需的信任气氛的创造。我们认为,在缺乏信任氛围的情况下,与责任机制相冲突的责任问责机制,再加上危机后一连串的丑闻,是公众信任恢复缓慢的主要原因。
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引用次数: 1
Chapter 7: A Question of Trust: The Story of Reykjavík Energy 第七章:信任的问题:Reykjavík能源的故事
Pub Date : 2018-07-23 DOI: 10.1108/978-1-78743-347-220181010
Gudrun Erla Jonsdottir
Abstract Competence, credibility, image and integrity all came under scrutiny during the economic crisis in Iceland. This period was not just about the financial system, it was about trust, something the Icelandic economy and individual businesses in the country lost in the wake of the crash. Reykjavik Energy, an Icelandic power- and utility-company, was one such company. In the year leading up to the economic crisis, mistrust in Reykjavik Energy had taken root and the firm’s image was already under attack. When its external debt doubled in the crash with the depreciation of the Icelandic krona, it was clear that the company’s position was unsustainable. In the years following the crisis, the rebuilding of the public’s trust in Reykjavik Energy has been a demanding task. The project of restoring trust and strengthening the firm was two-fold. On the one hand, short-term measures that were necessary to keep the company alive were taken. On the other hand, work was done to develop the foundations for long-term results and sustainable management. Reykjavik Energy, to a large extent, has now reclaimed its position in the eyes of its stakeholders. However, trust is not a constant but something that is earned over time and the challenge for the future is therefore to maintain it while learning from the past.
在冰岛经济危机期间,能力、信誉、形象和诚信都受到了密切关注。这一时期不仅是金融体系的问题,也是信任的问题,冰岛经济和该国的个体企业在危机之后失去了信任。冰岛电力和公用事业公司雷克雅未克能源公司就是这样一家公司。在经济危机爆发的前一年,对雷克雅未克能源公司的不信任已经根深蒂固,该公司的形象已经受到攻击。随着冰岛克朗贬值,该公司的外债在危机中翻了一番,很明显,该公司的处境是不可持续的。在危机之后的几年里,重建公众对雷克雅未克能源公司的信任一直是一项艰巨的任务。恢复信任和加强公司的计划是双重的。一方面,采取了维持公司生存所必需的短期措施。另一方面,为长期成果和可持续管理奠定了基础。在很大程度上,雷克雅未克能源公司(Reykjavik Energy)现在已经重新确立了自己在股东眼中的地位。然而,信任不是永恒的,而是随着时间的推移而赢得的,因此,未来的挑战是在从过去学习的同时保持信任。
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引用次数: 3
Chapter 6: Restoring Trust in Iceland: Iceland’s IMF Programme 第六章:恢复对冰岛的信任:冰岛的IMF计划
Pub Date : 2018-07-23 DOI: 10.1108/978-1-78743-347-220181008
F. M. Baldursson, R. Portes
During the banking crisis of October 2008, Iceland became the first developed country in decades to seek the assistance of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Iceland’s IMF programme provided a measure of stability at a time of intense turbulence. The IMF’s credibility was helpful during this period of collapse not just of the banks but also of the public trust towards almost all Icelandic institutions. Importantly, the IMF implicitly supported Iceland’s policy of letting institutional creditors of the banks rather than Icelandic taxpayers bear the costs of their collapse; this provided credibility for the policy and limited repercussions. In a reversal of previous IMF policy, capital controls were imposed. The controls helped stabilise the exchange rate, and inflation subsided. The controls also helped recovery after the crisis by shielding the economy from international financial shocks. The direct fiscal cost of the Icelandic crisis was very high, but the considerable and painful fiscal tightening that was a part of the programme was needed to avoid a sovereign debt crisis. This helped in regaining trust from international markets. Mistakes were made in the design and implementation of the IMF programme, but overall, we judge that its contribution was positive. The programme provided one of the elements for restoring trust in Iceland when it was most needed, both domestically and internationally, during the depth of the crisis in 2009–2010.
在2008年10月的银行业危机期间,冰岛成为几十年来第一个向国际货币基金组织(IMF)寻求援助的发达国家。冰岛的IMF计划在剧烈动荡时期提供了一定程度的稳定。在这段银行崩溃的时期,IMF的信誉是有帮助的,公众对冰岛几乎所有机构的信任也是如此。重要的是,IMF暗中支持冰岛的政策,即让银行的机构债权人,而不是冰岛的纳税人,来承担银行倒闭的成本;这为该政策提供了可信度,影响有限。与以往的政策相反,IMF实施了资本管制。这些控制措施帮助稳定了汇率,通胀也得到了缓解。这些控制措施还通过保护经济免受国际金融冲击,帮助经济在危机后复苏。冰岛危机的直接财政成本非常高,但为了避免主权债务危机,该计划需要采取相当大且痛苦的财政紧缩措施。这有助于重新获得国际市场的信任。IMF的计划在设计和实施过程中出现了错误,但总体而言,我们认为IMF的贡献是积极的。在2009-2010年危机最严重的时候,在国内和国际上最需要信任的时候,该计划为恢复冰岛的信任提供了要素之一。
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引用次数: 0
Chapter 11: Post-Crisis Regulation and Supervision of Icelandic Banks 第11章:危机后冰岛银行的监管
Pub Date : 2018-07-23 DOI: 10.1108/978-1-78743-347-220181016
Jon Thor Sturluson
Abstract Since the financial crisis of 2008, legislation and rules affecting the financial market in Iceland have been strengthened considerably. Tougher capital requirements, detailed and frequent reporting, more thorough fit-and-proper tests, barriers to connected lending and strict limits on bonus payments are but a few examples. Similarly, the supervision of banks has been upgraded markedly. It is now much more intrusive and forward-looking than before, that is, it is more focused on governance and the business model. Many of these reforms are based on international initiatives, such as the Basel III standard, while others are particular to Iceland. The main objective of these reforms is to strengthen the resilience of the banking sector and limit the negative effects on consumers of harmful enterprise incentives. Trust in the financial system collapsed as a consequence of the crisis but is recovering only slowly. This apparent lack of confidence is reflected only to a limited extent in firms’ and households’ willingness to seek banking services. This raises the questions of how to appropriately measure trust, and what factors influence it. Iceland may turn out to be an interesting natural experiment in this respect. It has a unique record of prosecuting and sentencing bankers for offences that are hardly worthy of administrative fines in some other countries – but whether strict accountability is the recipe for rebuilding trust remains to be seen.
自2008年金融危机以来,影响冰岛金融市场的立法和规则得到了大幅加强。更严格的资本要求、详细而频繁的报告、更彻底的合适性测试、关联贷款的障碍以及对奖金支付的严格限制,这些只是其中的几个例子。同样,对银行的监管也得到了显著提升。它现在比以前更具侵入性和前瞻性,也就是说,它更加关注治理和业务模式。其中许多改革是基于国际倡议,如巴塞尔协议III (Basel III)标准,而其他改革则是冰岛特有的。这些改革的主要目标是加强银行业的弹性,限制有害的企业激励对消费者的负面影响。对金融体系的信任因危机而崩溃,但恢复缓慢。这种明显的缺乏信心只在有限的程度上反映在企业和家庭寻求银行服务的意愿上。这就提出了如何恰当地衡量信任以及影响信任的因素的问题。在这方面,冰岛可能是一个有趣的自然实验。在起诉和判决银行家违法行为方面,英国有着独特的记录——在其他一些国家,这些违法行为几乎不值得处以行政罚款——但严格问责制是否能重建信任,仍有待观察。
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引用次数: 1
Chapter 13: Governance Mechanisms Post 第13章:治理机制
Pub Date : 2018-07-23 DOI: 10.1108/978-1-78743-347-220181018
Murray J. Bryant, Throstur Olaf Sigurjonsson, M. Mixa
Abstract This chapter examines the formal governance mechanisms put in place by various authorities within Iceland after the crash. In contrast to one of our earlier papers (Bryant, Sigurjonsson, & Mixa, 2014), we find that, no matter how well the mechanisms work, formal mechanisms are insufficient to restore trust. To that end, we examine the trust literature from political science that suggests that trust is a lubricant of the social system that consequently causes individuals to open themselves up to vulnerability. When trust is broken in a society with a high-existing degree of trust, such as Iceland, the loss of trust is significant and leads even apparently minor incidents to be perceived as betrayals. We examine the various processes put in place by both the government and other institutions and show how they mostly worked in concert. Nonetheless, we find that the processes by themselves have been insufficient to restore society’s trust in the affected institutions.
本章考察了危机后冰岛各当局实施的正式治理机制。与我们之前的一篇论文(Bryant, Sigurjonsson, & Mixa, 2014)相反,我们发现,无论机制运作得多么好,形式机制都不足以恢复信任。为此,我们研究了来自政治学的信任文献,这些文献表明信任是社会系统的润滑剂,因此导致个人对脆弱性敞开心扉。当信任在一个信任程度很高的社会中被打破时,比如冰岛,信任的丧失是重大的,甚至会导致看似微不足道的事件被视为背叛。我们研究了政府和其他机构实施的各种流程,并展示了它们是如何协同工作的。然而,我们发现这些过程本身不足以恢复社会对受影响机构的信任。
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引用次数: 0
Chapter 4: Trust: Some Questions from a Layperson 第四章:信任:外行的一些问题
Pub Date : 2018-07-23 DOI: 10.1108/978-1-78743-347-220181005
Einar Már Guðmundsson
Abstract It seems a commonplace notion that when we talk about trust, we are really talking about the lack of trust. After all, if there were solid trust throughout society, we would not have to talk about it at all. But if we discuss lack of trust, are we to start with institutions or the individuals in the institutions? It would help us if we knew whether we need to fix wayward institutions or educate individuals for more ethical behaviour. Moving from thoughts of the ideal to the practical, we have seen how Icelanders have felt the effect of institutions and individuals gone astray in a two-fold manner: first, through the actions of those parties; second, as they listened to the painful but necessary story of those days in its repeated telling by the Special Investigative Commission. Hope remains, however, because, as natural disasters show us, when stripped of its trappings, human character can still revive our sense of trust.
当我们谈论信任时,我们实际上是在谈论缺乏信任,这似乎是一个老生常谈的概念。毕竟,如果整个社会都有坚实的信任,我们根本就不必谈论它。但如果我们讨论缺乏信任,我们是从机构开始还是从机构中的个人开始?如果我们知道我们是需要修正任性的制度,还是教育个人更有道德的行为,这将对我们有所帮助。从理想的思想转到实际,我们看到冰岛人如何以两种方式感受到机构和个人误入歧途的影响:第一,通过这些方面的行动;第二,当他们听到特别调查委员会反复讲述那些日子里痛苦但必要的故事时。然而,希望依然存在,因为正如自然灾害告诉我们的那样,剥去伪装后,人性仍能恢复我们的信任感。
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引用次数: 0
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The Return of Trust? Institutions and the Public after the Icelandic Financial Crisis
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