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Analyzing the Impact of COVID-19 on the Financial Failure Risk in Borsa İstanbul Manufacturing Companies 新冠肺炎疫情对Borsa İstanbul制造业企业财务失败风险的影响分析
Pub Date : 2021-05-15 DOI: 10.51410/jcgirm.8.2.7
E. Kaplanoğlu, Fatma Moroğlu
There is no agreed and precise definition of the concept of financial failure. This situation causes the studies of the concept to be associated with bankruptcies. Although not every company experiencing financial failure goes bankrupt, it can be noted that economic fluctuations that happen on a global scale cause many companies to face the risk of financial failure and even bankruptcy. Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic has also affected the economic policies of countries and thus affected the operations of companies. This study aims to analyze the financial failure risk of Borsa İstanbul (BIST) manufacturing companies before and after COVID-19. In the research, financial statements of BIST manufacturing industry companies published quarterly between the years 2019-2020 were used. Within the scope of the research, the quarterly financial statements of 146 BIST companies listed in the manufacturing industry for the years 2019-2020 were analyzed with the financial failure models of Altman (1968), Springate (1978), Taffler (1983) and Zmijewski (1984).
对于财务失败的概念,目前还没有一个公认的精确定义。这种情况使得对这个概念的研究与破产联系在一起。虽然不是每一个经历财务失败的公司都会破产,但可以注意到,全球范围内发生的经济波动导致许多公司面临财务失败甚至破产的风险。此外,新冠肺炎疫情也影响了各国的经济政策,从而影响了企业的经营。本研究旨在分析Borsa İstanbul (BIST)制造企业在COVID-19之前和之后的财务失败风险。本研究使用的是2019-2020年BIST制造业公司的季度财务报表。在研究范围内,采用Altman(1968)、Springate(1978)、Taffler(1983)和Zmijewski(1984)的财务失败模型,对146家制造业上市公司2019-2020年的季度财务报表进行分析。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of Banks with Cluster Analysis Before and After Covid-19 Pandemic Covid-19大流行前后银行聚类分析的比较
Pub Date : 2021-05-15 DOI: 10.51410/jcgirm.8.2.12
Salih Acikalin, Hasan Huseyin Yildirim
The Covid-19 virus, which emerged in Wuhan, China, in December 2019, spread all over the world in 2020, bringing commercial, social and economic life to a standstill. Governments have applied many support practices to reduce the impact of the virus on the economy. With public banks’ social life support loans, those who lost their income due to the pandemic were supported. In 2020, when the most intense effects of the Covid-19 pandemic were experienced, public banks’ loan and deposit volumes grew significantly. Banks profit by using the deposits they hold or collect as loans. Therefore, the efficiency of fiscal and monetary policies is increased through banks. The study aims to investigate whether the Covid-19 pandemic has caused a change in the clustering of banks by using the financial and size data of the deposit banks in the BIST Liquid Bank Index. The study tried to determine which banks included in the Borsa İstanbul (BIST) Liquid Bank Index were clustered using the values published in the 2019 and 2020 year-end annual reports. Cluster analysis was applied using the SPSS program. The study’s findings determined that the pandemic process affected the clustering of banks and that public banks were in a different cluster compared to 2019.
2019年12月在中国武汉出现的新冠肺炎病毒于2020年传播到世界各地,使商业、社会和经济生活陷入停顿。各国政府采取了许多支持性做法,以减少病毒对经济的影响。通过公共银行的社会生活支持贷款,那些因疫情失去收入的人得到了支持。在新冠肺炎疫情影响最严重的2020年,公共银行的贷存量大幅增长。银行通过将其持有或收取的存款用作贷款来获利。因此,财政和货币政策的效率是通过银行来提高的。该研究旨在利用BIST流动性银行指数中存款银行的财务和规模数据,调查新冠肺炎疫情是否导致了银行集群的变化。该研究试图确定哪些纳入Borsa İstanbul (BIST)流动性银行指数的银行是使用2019年和2020年年终报告中公布的值进行聚类的。采用SPSS软件进行聚类分析。该研究的结果确定,大流行过程影响了银行的集群,与2019年相比,公共银行处于不同的集群中。
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引用次数: 1
Entrepreneurship Among Young People in Spain and Turkey 西班牙和土耳其年轻人的创业精神
Pub Date : 2021-05-15 DOI: 10.51410/jcgirm.8.1.13
Pedro Adalid Ruiz, Cantürk Kayahan
Entrepreneurs are the leading creators of employment, facilitating the economic-social regeneration of countries. The crisis that occurred in recent years, together with the negative impacts generated by COVID 19, has given rise to an unprecedented scenario, which leads to the need to deepen the study of the determinants of entrepreneurship in youth. This work aims to carry out a bibliographic review on the primary motivators for entrepreneurship in young people in Spain and Turkey and the challenges to overcome under the current scenario. The results show that although there is a positive attitude towards entrepreneurship among young people, they focus on working independently, being an alternative to unemployment or increasing income sources. Due to the devastating global economic-financial crisis that the pandemic has generated, their actions have had to either stop, be limited, or not be able to start. However, those who have done so have found a good option in the digital environment.
企业家是就业的主要创造者,促进了国家的经济社会复兴。近年来发生的危机,加上COVID - 19产生的负面影响,造成了前所未有的局面,因此有必要深化对青年创业决定因素的研究。这项工作旨在对西班牙和土耳其年轻人创业的主要激励因素以及在当前情况下要克服的挑战进行书目审查。结果表明,尽管年轻人对创业持积极态度,但他们更关注独立工作,作为失业或增加收入来源的一种选择。由于这一流行病造成了破坏性的全球经济-金融危机,它们的行动要么不得不停止,要么受到限制,要么无法开始。然而,那些这样做的人在数字环境中找到了一个很好的选择。
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引用次数: 0
Nudging Technique In Retail 零售中的轻推技术
Pub Date : 2021-05-15 DOI: 10.51410/jcgirm.8.2.1
I. Plazibat, Lorena Gašperov, Duje Petričević
Changes in consumer behaviour, coupled with shifting purchasing habits, have led to a new setting, one in which the retailers are seeking novel means of keeping potential consumers inside their stores for the maximum duration possible. This prolonged time span contributes to the increased frequency of impulsive actions, thus resulting in greater customer spending. Impulsive buyers are the most crucial target audience for retailers, for they are purely driven by emotion, making decisions without prior preparation or information gathering. Through the grasp of psychological science, behavioural and cognitive functioning, it is possible to discern the factors that make specific retailers and their stores more appealing than others. The main purpose of this paper is to point out a relatively new concept and a technique, called “nudging”, and to showcase the methods of gaining new customers through its utilisation within the Croatian retail market. The nudging technique is not a forceful one, opting to employ imperceptible and subtle means, such as playing certain music, utilising carefully selected scents, colours and lighting within the store, which all serve to improve consumer perception and satisfaction. The retailer can stand out from the competition, precisely by using nudging, which intertwines sensory perception and other psychological factors, incorporating them in the overall store design. For this particular purpose, a survey was conducted among Croatian customers, which examined the presence of specific nudging techniques in retail, as well as their effects on the consumer behaviour. The research results concluded that the Croatian retailers do indeed utilise some nudging techniques which, although perceived by their customers are ultimately left unaware of the impact they have on their respective decision-making process and behaviour
消费者行为的变化,加上购买习惯的改变,导致了一种新的环境,在这种环境中,零售商正在寻求新的方法,让潜在消费者尽可能长时间地呆在他们的商店里。这种延长的时间跨度有助于增加冲动行为的频率,从而导致更多的客户消费。冲动的买家是零售商最重要的目标受众,因为他们纯粹是由情感驱动的,在没有事先准备或信息收集的情况下做出决定。通过对心理科学、行为和认知功能的掌握,有可能辨别出使特定零售商及其商店比其他零售商更具吸引力的因素。本文的主要目的是指出一个相对较新的概念和技术,称为“轻推”,并展示通过其在克罗地亚零售市场内的利用获得新客户的方法。这种“轻推”的技巧并不是强力的,而是采用难以察觉和微妙的方式,比如播放特定的音乐,在店内使用精心挑选的气味、颜色和灯光,这些都是为了提高消费者的感知和满意度。零售商可以在竞争中脱颖而出,正是通过使用轻推,将感官知觉和其他心理因素交织在一起,并将其纳入整体商店设计中。为此目的,在克罗地亚顾客中进行了一项调查,调查了零售中是否存在特定的轻推技术,以及它们对消费者行为的影响。研究结果表明,克罗地亚的零售商确实使用了一些“轻推”技巧,尽管顾客们意识到了这些技巧,但他们最终并没有意识到这些技巧对他们各自的决策过程和行为产生了影响
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Public Debt on Private Consumption: The Case of Countries in Transition 公共债务对私人消费的影响:以转型国家为例
Pub Date : 2021-05-15 DOI: 10.51410/jcgirm.8.2.3
Morina Fisnik, Argjent Berisha
Developed countries have well-designed and developed economies in macroeconomic terms. However, not all countries benefit from the fruits of such an economy. Therefore, some countries are still faced with an economy that requires macroeconomic restructuring and development. People in these countries face high unemployment, evolving fiscal and monetary policies. The state is forced to borrow either internally or externally, where the latter is usually preferred. This paper aims to show the effects of government debt on private consumption with a particular focus on transition countries. Thereby explaining the factors that influence private consumption and the types of debt that governments take into account. The countries in regions, which are facing this problem, will be analysed in more detail. Kosovo is one such country, which will be analysed in detail, particularly the relationship between national debt and private consumption. This study is carried out using the statistical software STATA, whereby private consumption is a dependent variable, whilst national debt, gross fixed capital formation, foreign direct investment, consumer price index, export of goods and services and GDP growth are our independent variables. This paper is a compilation of information from multiple sources to describe the reality that transition countries are faced with when borrowing.
从宏观经济的角度看,发达国家的经济设计良好、发达。然而,并非所有国家都能从这种经济的成果中受益。因此,一些国家仍然面临着需要宏观经济结构调整和发展的经济。这些国家的人民面临着高失业率、不断变化的财政和货币政策。国家被迫向内部或外部借款,后者通常是首选。本文旨在展示政府债务对私人消费的影响,并特别关注转型期国家。从而解释了影响私人消费的因素和政府考虑的债务类型。将对面临这一问题的各区域国家进行更详细的分析。科索沃就是这样一个国家,我们将详细分析它,特别是国家债务和私人消费之间的关系。本研究使用统计软件STATA进行,其中私人消费是因变量,而国债、固定资本形成总额、外国直接投资、消费者价格指数、商品和服务出口以及GDP增长是我们的自变量。本文综合了多种来源的信息,描述了转型国家在借贷时所面临的现实。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation of the Relationship Between Brent Oil and Cryptocurrencies During the Pandemic Period 疫情期间布伦特原油与加密货币关系研究
Pub Date : 2021-05-15 DOI: 10.51410/jcgirm.8.1.9
Abdulkadir Kurt, Veysel Kula
The function of money plays an essential and indisputable role in the development of trade. Typically, banknotes and coins have always been introduced by central authorities. Emerging after the 2008 crisis, however, Bitcoin, considered to be the original cryptocurrency, contributed to money in an unprecedented dimension as it is the first decentralized peer-to-peer payment network. Cryptocurrencies are in constant interaction and the casualty relationship, among other variables, with Brent Oil. This study attempts to investigate the relationship between Bitcoin, Ethereum and Brent Oil price movements using 210 daily data from 10.12.2019 to 01.10.2020, featuring the period of the start and the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, the casualty relationship among Brent Oil, Bitcoin and Ethereum was examined with the Granger Causality test. As a result of the study, a bidirectional casualty relationship is determined between Brent Oil and Ethereum. However, a one-way causality relationship is found between Brent Oil and Bitcoin. On the other hand, there is no causality relationship between Ethereum and Bitcoin.
货币的功能在贸易的发展中起着必不可少的、无可争辩的作用。通常,纸币和硬币都是由中央政府发行的。然而,在2008年金融危机之后出现的比特币,被认为是最初的加密货币,作为第一个去中心化的点对点支付网络,以前所未有的规模为货币做出了贡献。除其他变量外,加密货币与布伦特原油处于不断的互动和伤亡关系中。本研究试图利用2019年12月10日至2020年10月1日的210个每日数据来调查比特币、以太坊和布伦特原油价格走势之间的关系,这些数据以COVID-19大流行的开始和传播时期为特征。在本研究中,采用格兰杰因果检验检验了布伦特原油、比特币和以太坊之间的伤亡关系。作为研究的结果,布伦特石油和以太坊之间确定了双向伤亡关系。然而,布伦特原油和比特币之间存在单向因果关系。另一方面,以太坊和比特币之间没有因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
The volatility of the Dow Jones Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology Index in the context of the Coronavirus crisis 在冠状病毒危机背景下,道琼斯制药和生物技术指数的波动
Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.51410/JCGIRM.7.2.3
F. Darie, Illena Tache
This paper’s analysis was triggered by the outbreak of the new virusCOVID-19. In December 2019, the Chinese officials alerted the WorldHealth Organization (WHO) of the existence of an unknown deadly virus.Coronavirus has rapidly spread across the world - to Europe, Middle Eastand the USA, forcing the World Health Organization to declare COVID-19a global pandemic. Its spread has generated major concerns for the healthand economic sectors. Meanwhile, all countries hope for the developmentof a vaccine. Using as a research method the EGARCH model, this paperinvestigates if it can be applied to model the trend of volatility of thepharmaceuticals and biotechnology markets, especially during the healthcrisis. More specifically, this paper tries to identify whether differentspecifications of univariate GARCH models can usefully anticipatevolatility in the stock indices market. The study uses estimates from both asymmetric and an asymmetric GARCH models, namely GARCH (1, 1) andEGARCH models, for the Dow Jones Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnologyindex (DJUSPN). The dataset is extracted from “Investing.com” and coversthe period September 2019 - August 2020, resulting in a total ofapproximately 252 daily closing prices. The data focuses on the response ofthe highest capitalized pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies fromthe US to combat the outbreak of the coronavirus. This study concludes thatthe EGARCH model is better than the unconditional volatility and theconditional GARCH (1, 1) volatility and it is best suited for modelling andforecasting the fluctuations of the stock indexes.
本文的分析是由新型病毒covid -19的爆发引发的。2019年12月,中国官员向世界卫生组织(WHO)通报了一种未知的致命病毒。冠状病毒已经迅速蔓延到世界各地-欧洲,中东和美国,迫使世界卫生组织宣布covid -19全球大流行。它的传播引起了卫生和经济部门的重大关切。与此同时,各国都希望研制出疫苗。本文采用EGARCH模型作为研究方法,探讨了它是否可以用于模拟制药和生物技术市场的波动趋势,特别是在健康危机期间。更具体地说,本文试图确定不同规格的单变量GARCH模型是否可以有效地预测股票指数市场。该研究使用了道琼斯制药和生物技术指数(DJUSPN)的非对称和非对称GARCH模型,即GARCH(1,1)和degarch模型的估计。该数据集摘自“Investing.com”,涵盖2019年9月至2020年8月,共得出约252个每日收盘价。这些数据侧重于美国资本最高的制药和生物技术公司应对冠状病毒爆发的反应。研究表明,EGARCH模型优于无条件波动率和有条件GARCH(1,1)波动率,最适合于股票指数波动的建模和预测。
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引用次数: 0
The Relevance of the absorptive capacity in firms’ innovation strategies measured via bibliometric analysis 运用文献计量学方法研究吸收能力与企业创新战略的相关性
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.51410/JCGIRM.7.1.1
Ernest Vlačić, Marina Dabic, M. Božac
Absorptive capacity (ACAP) as a function of systematic knowledge management is widely recognized as the catalyst for successful innovation performance in firms, particularly when it comes to identifying business opportunity information from the outside world and assimilating it into a firm’s innovation process. The concept of absorptive capacity became a widely researched topic in the area of organization and management, consequently, the definition of the ACAP components, its operationalization and outcomes, is extremely heterogeneous and has greatly affected the research production on ACAP. Therefore, the question arising is: Which approach to absorptive capacity will enable it is being truly recognized as a concept at a global level, and in which areas of economy and business is ACAP most frequently encountered, particularly when it is connected to innovation processes? Based on a sample of 1288 papers within Web of Science Core Collection, this paper presents a bibliometric analysis of relevant publications on ACAP with the specific aim of gaining a deeper insight into the relevance of the impact of absorptive capacity on a firm’s innovation strategy. The results were systematized in a form of quantitative bibliographic review. The purpose of the analysis was to determine the existing level of the empirical and theoretical efforts in the research on ACAP, with a particular focus on firms and their innovation processes as well as knowledge management processes.
吸收能力(ACAP)作为系统知识管理的一个功能,被广泛认为是企业成功创新绩效的催化剂,特别是在识别来自外部世界的商业机会信息并将其吸收到企业的创新过程中。吸收能力的概念成为组织管理领域广泛研究的课题,因此,吸收能力各组成部分的定义、运作和结果存在极大的异质性,极大地影响了吸收能力的研究成果。因此,出现的问题是:哪一种吸收能力的方法将使ACAP作为一个概念在全球范围内得到真正的认可,以及在哪些经济和商业领域最常遇到ACAP,特别是当它与创新过程联系在一起时?本文以Web of Science核心合集中的1288篇论文为样本,对ACAP的相关出版物进行了文献计量分析,旨在更深入地了解吸收能力对企业创新战略影响的相关性。结果以定量文献回顾的形式系统化。分析的目的是确定ACAP研究的实证和理论工作的现有水平,特别关注公司及其创新过程以及知识管理过程。
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引用次数: 2
Institutional distance 机构的距离
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.51410/JCGIRM.7.1.2
Ana Krajnović
The institutional environment in which multinational companies act is unique and complex. It is unique in the sense that the subsidiaries of multinational companies are facing dual pressures from both the host country and the country of the parent company. Further, the complexity of the environment presumes the need for global integration and the need for the local adaptation. Although some countries are characterized by a more favourable institutional environment for establishing and expanding business, in other countries the institutional environment is a challenge for multinational companies. In this paper, the author will present the current theoretical knowledge and references in already conducted research regarding the institutional distance in the context of multinational companies and their subsidiaries.
跨国公司所处的制度环境独特而复杂。它的独特之处在于,跨国公司的子公司面临着来自东道国和母公司所在国的双重压力。此外,环境的复杂性要求全球一体化和地方适应的需要。虽然有些国家的特点是建立和扩大业务的体制环境比较有利,但在其他国家,体制环境对跨国公司来说是一个挑战。在本文中,作者将介绍目前的理论知识和已经开展的关于跨国公司及其子公司背景下的制度距离的研究参考。
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引用次数: 3
The compliance of the Romanian listed companies with the principles and provisions of the Corporate Governance Code 罗马尼亚上市公司遵守《公司治理守则》的原则和规定
Pub Date : 2020-04-25 DOI: 10.51410/JCGIRM.7.2.4
Oana Bogdan, A. Dumitrescu
Starting from the research assumption that the Corporate GovernanceCode issued by Bucharest Stock Exchange (BSE) aims at building aninternationally attractive capital market in Romania, based on bestpractices, transparency and trust that encourages companies to build astrong relationship with their shareholders and other stakeholders,communicate effectively and transparently and show openness towards allpotential investors, in this paper we would like to present the degree ofcompliance of the companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange withthe principles and provisions of the Corporate Governance Code. The aimof this paper is achieved by presenting and commenting on the principlesissued by the BSE regarding the corporate governance and by analysingthe Corporate Governance Reports of the companies, presenting at thesame time the compliance of the listed companies with these principlesand provisions, by using the data issued in 2018 by the entities included inour study, namely the listed companies on the main market of theBucharest Stock Exchange. Our analysis reflects that, although theprovisions and principles of the Corporate Governance Code are notmandatory for the listed companies, they are largely implemented in theactivity of companies because an efficient corporate governance systemcan represent a competitive advantage for any economic entity in thecontext of globalisation.
从布加勒斯特证券交易所(BSE)发布的公司治理准则的研究假设开始,该准则旨在在罗马尼亚建立一个具有国际吸引力的资本市场,基于最佳实践,透明度和信任,鼓励公司与其股东和其他利益相关者建立牢固的关系,有效和透明地沟通,并向所有潜在投资者展示开放。在本文中,我们想提出在布加勒斯特证券交易所上市的公司遵守公司治理准则的原则和规定的程度。本文的目的是通过介绍和评论BSE发布的关于公司治理的原则,并通过分析公司的公司治理报告,同时通过使用我们研究的实体,即布加勒斯特证券交易所主要市场的上市公司在2018年发布的数据,介绍上市公司对这些原则和规定的遵守情况来实现。我们的分析表明,尽管《公司治理准则》的规定和原则对上市公司不是强制性的,但它们在公司活动中得到了很大程度的实施,因为在全球化背景下,有效的公司治理体系可以代表任何经济实体的竞争优势。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Journal of corporate governance, insurance and risk management
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