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2020 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM)最新文献

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Estimating and Leveraging Uncertainties in Deep Learning for Remaining Useful Life Prediction in Mechanical Systems 机械系统剩余使用寿命预测中深度学习的不确定性估计与利用
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM49022.2020.9187063
Jackson Cornelius, Blake Brockner, Seong Hyeon Hong, Yi Wang, K. Pant, J. Ball
Many researchers in the prognostics and health management community have begun exploring the use of deep neural networks for predicting remaining useful life (RUL) of mechanical systems. These models have consistently reestablished the state-of-the-art in RUL prediction performance on common benchmarks, such as the NASA C-MAPSS Aircraft Engine dataset. However, they do not attempt to capture the multiple sources of uncertainty that are inherent in their predictions. This paper presents an approach for estimating both epistemic and heteroscedastic aleatoric uncertainties that emerge in deep neural network models that are trained for RUL prediction and demonstrates that quantifying their overall impact on predictions can be extremely valuable in real-world systems, where decisions are sometimes made during uncertain operating conditions. First, a novel deep neural network architecture is proposed that demonstrates competitive performance on the NASA C-MAPSS FD001 and FD003 datasets. Then, this network is adapted to estimate epistemic and heteroscedastic aleatoric uncertainties in the RUL prediction problem. Finally, a study is carried out to observe the effects that augmenting the RUL truth data, i.e. utilizing piecewise linear truth curves in place of the actual truth data, have on the perceived uncertainties in the system. Case studies on the C-MAPSS FD001 dataset will show that utilizing the actual RUL truth data can yield more meaningful uncertainty estimates and more insight into the relationship between sensor data and an engine's time-to-failure.
预测和健康管理领域的许多研究人员已经开始探索使用深度神经网络预测机械系统的剩余使用寿命(RUL)。这些模型在通用基准(如NASA C-MAPSS飞机发动机数据集)上持续重建了最先进的RUL预测性能。然而,他们并没有试图抓住其预测中固有的多种不确定性来源。本文提出了一种估计在深度神经网络模型中出现的认知和异方差任意不确定性的方法,这些模型是为RUL预测而训练的,并证明了量化它们对预测的总体影响在现实世界系统中是非常有价值的,在现实世界系统中,决策有时是在不确定的操作条件下做出的。首先,提出了一种新的深度神经网络架构,在NASA C-MAPSS FD001和FD003数据集上展示了具有竞争力的性能。然后,将该网络应用于RUL预测问题中的认知不确定性和异方差任意不确定性估计。最后,进行了一项研究,以观察增加RUL真值数据,即利用分段线性真值曲线代替实际真值数据,对系统中感知不确定性的影响。对C-MAPSS FD001数据集的案例研究将表明,利用实际的RUL真值数据可以产生更有意义的不确定性估计,并更深入地了解传感器数据与发动机故障前时间之间的关系。
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引用次数: 4
Defects Tracking via NDE Based Transfer Learning 基于NDE的迁移学习缺陷跟踪
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM49022.2020.9187034
Subrata Mukherjee, Xuhui Huang, V. Rathod, L. Udpa, Y. Deng
Pipe infrastructure systems in service continue to degrade with passage of time. As the defects grow with time, for safety purposes, they have to be inspected periodically for detection of harmful defects. This paper presents development of a novel method for identifying defect growth using dynamically updated transfer learning technique on data from magnetic flux leakage (MFL) sensors. The operation of pipeline inspection gauge (PIG) within the pipeline to collect accurate, low noise readings for defect detection is expensive and time-consuming. Running probes within the operational pipeline produces noisy data. In this paper we consider a less noisy and time-consuming baseline readings within pipelines taken in the beginning. Using the baseline data, our goal is to first automatically detect the defective areas during inspection and thereafter monitor the growth of those defects. Based on the baseline data, a bivariate function was estimated using a function estimation method based on mixture regression framework to compute posterior probabilities of the defects at each scanning point. Thereafter, it is seen that applying direct function estimation with noisy field data on subsequent inspections is not effective. We use transfer learning perspectives by leveraging the defect probabilities and location from the previous inspections, and then consequently update those probabilities based on current data by applying a dynamically updated transfer learning technique. The defect growth is dynamically tracked and characterized with high accuracy and sensitivity.
使用中的管道基础设施系统会随着时间的推移而不断退化。由于缺陷随着时间的推移而增长,为了安全起见,必须定期对其进行检查,以发现有害缺陷。本文提出了一种利用漏磁传感器数据动态更新迁移学习技术识别缺陷生长的新方法。在管道内使用管道检测计(PIG)收集准确、低噪声的缺陷检测读数是昂贵且耗时的。在操作管道中运行探针会产生噪声数据。在本文中,我们考虑在开始时在管道内进行较少噪声和耗时的基线读数。使用基线数据,我们的目标是首先在检查期间自动检测有缺陷的区域,然后监视这些缺陷的增长。基于基线数据,采用基于混合回归框架的函数估计方法估计二元函数,计算各扫描点缺陷的后验概率;由此可见,在后续检测中应用带噪声现场数据的直接函数估计是无效的。我们通过利用先前检查中的缺陷概率和位置来使用迁移学习透视图,然后通过应用动态更新的迁移学习技术基于当前数据更新这些概率。该方法对缺陷生长进行了动态跟踪和表征,具有较高的精度和灵敏度。
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引用次数: 8
Optimal Operation of Energy Storage Units in PV and Wind Integrated Smart Distribution Systems 光伏与风电集成智能配电系统中储能单元的优化运行
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM49022.2020.9187042
Md Shahin Alam, S. A. Arefifar
Energy storage systems (ESSs) facilitate high penetration and stable operation of renewable energy sources (RESs) in power distribution grids. ESSs could reduce the distribution system operational costs, decrease power and energy losses, reduce emissions, and increase the system efficiency. This research proposes an optimal energy management approach that considers both ESSs capacities and renewable energy resources impacts on distribution system operational performances. Different capacities of ESS along with various penetration level of PV and wind generators are considered and the system performance is evaluated. The system performance is investigated in terms of operational costs, power losses and emissions. The well-known PG&E 69-bus power distribution system is chosen for analysis. For more accurate results, the uncertain characteristics of PV and wind are taken into account while applying EMS during optimal operation of ESSs. Several case studies are created considering PVs and wind generations separately and collectively for ESSs optimal operations. Moreover, sensitivity studies has been done for calculating yearly system performance improvements in dollar values to validate the proposed EMS approach with ESS. The results demonstrate that efficient operation of ESSs along with EMS can considerably reduce distribution system operational costs, system losses, and environmental emissions.
储能系统为可再生能源在配电网中的高渗透和稳定运行提供了便利。ess可以降低配电系统的运行成本,减少电力和能源损失,减少排放,提高系统效率。本研究提出了一种同时考虑ess容量和可再生能源对配电系统运行性能影响的最优能源管理方法。考虑了不同容量的储能系统以及光伏、风力发电机组的不同渗透水平,并对系统性能进行了评价。从运行成本、功率损耗和排放等方面对系统性能进行了研究。本文选取了著名的PG&E 69母线配电系统进行分析。为了获得更准确的结果,在ess优化运行过程中应用EMS时考虑了光伏和风能的不确定性特性。几个案例研究分别考虑了光伏发电和风力发电,并共同考虑了ess的最佳运行。此外,还进行了敏感性研究,以计算美元价值的年度系统性能改进,以验证拟议的EMS方法与ESS。结果表明,ess与EMS的有效运行可以显著降低配电系统的运行成本、系统损耗和环境排放。
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引用次数: 1
Scalable Wind Turbine Generator Bearing Fault Prediction Using Machine Learning: A Case Study 使用机器学习的可扩展风力发电机轴承故障预测:一个案例研究
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM49022.2020.9187050
Lindy Williams, Caleb Phillips, S. Sheng, A. Dobos, Xiupeng Wei
Operation and maintenance (O&M) costs for wind turbines pose a risk to competitiveness and asset owners. With machine-learning technologies and digitalization rapidly maturing, the wind industry is actively investigating these new technologies to optimize O&M practices and reduce costs. This paper reviews recent work on machine-learning approaches to generator bearing failure prediction and presents a relevant real-world case study through a collaboration between the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Envision Digital Corporation. In the case study, we evaluate the performance of representative machine-learning algorithms for predicting wind turbine generator bearing failures. Operational supervisory control and data acquisition data from one wind power plant was used to train and test the machine-learning models. The investigated data channels are chosen based on whether physically they reflect the failed generator bearing conditions and the component historical usage, including both environmental and operational conditions. Benefits and drawbacks of different methods are identified.
风力涡轮机的运行和维护成本对其竞争力和资产所有者构成了风险。随着机器学习技术和数字化技术的迅速成熟,风电行业正在积极研究这些新技术,以优化运维实践并降低成本。本文回顾了机器学习方法在发电机轴承故障预测方面的最新工作,并通过国家可再生能源实验室和Envision数字公司之间的合作提出了一个相关的现实案例研究。在案例研究中,我们评估了用于预测风力发电机轴承故障的代表性机器学习算法的性能。使用来自一个风力发电厂的运行监控和数据采集数据来训练和测试机器学习模型。所调查的数据通道的选择是基于它们是否物理地反映了故障发电机轴承条件和组件的历史使用情况,包括环境和运行条件。确定了不同方法的优点和缺点。
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引用次数: 4
Adversarial Transfer Learning for Machine Remaining Useful Life Prediction 机器剩余使用寿命预测的对抗性迁移学习
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM49022.2020.9187053
Mohamed Ragab, Zhenghua Chen, Min Wu, C. Kwoh, Xiaoli Li
Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is a key task for realizing predictive maintenance for industrial machines/assets. Accurate RUL prediction enables prior maintenance scheduling that can reduce downtime, reduce maintenance costs, and increase machine availability. Data-driven approaches have a widely acclaimed performance on RUL prediction of industrial machines. Usually, they assume that data used in training and testing phases are drawn from the same distribution. However, machines may work under different conditions (i.e., data distribution) for training and testing phases. As a result, the model performing well during training can deteriorate significantly during testing. Naive recollection and re-annotation of data for each new working condition can be very expensive and obviously not a viable solution. To alleviate this problem, we rely on a transfer learning approach called domain adaptation to transfer the knowledge learned from one labelled operating condition (source domain) to another operating condition (target domain) without labels. Particularly, we propose a novel adversarial domain adaption approach for remaining useful life prediction, named ADARUL, which can work on the data from different working conditions or different fault modes. This approach is built on top of a bidirectional deep long short-term memory (LSTM) network that can model the temporal dependency and extract representative features. Moreover, it derives invariant representation among the working conditions by removing the domain-specific information while keeping the task-specific information. We have conducted comprehensive experiments among four different datasets of turbofan engines. The experiments show that our proposed method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art methods..
剩余使用寿命(RUL)预测是实现工业机器/资产预测性维护的关键任务。准确的RUL预测可以实现预先的维护计划,从而减少停机时间、降低维护成本并提高机器可用性。数据驱动方法在工业机器RUL预测方面有着广泛的应用。通常,他们假设训练和测试阶段使用的数据来自相同的分布。然而,对于训练和测试阶段,机器可能在不同的条件下工作(例如,数据分布)。因此,在训练过程中表现良好的模型在测试过程中可能会明显恶化。为每个新的工作条件简单地回忆和重新注释数据可能非常昂贵,显然不是一个可行的解决方案。为了缓解这一问题,我们依靠一种称为领域适应的迁移学习方法,将学习到的知识从一个有标签的操作条件(源域)转移到另一个没有标签的操作条件(目标域)。特别地,我们提出了一种新的对抗域自适应方法用于剩余使用寿命预测,称为ADARUL,它可以处理来自不同工作条件或不同故障模式的数据。该方法建立在双向深度长短期记忆(LSTM)网络之上,该网络可以对时间依赖性进行建模并提取代表性特征。此外,它通过删除特定于领域的信息,同时保留特定于任务的信息,派生出工作条件之间的不变表示。我们在四个不同的涡扇发动机数据集上进行了综合实验。实验表明,我们提出的方法明显优于最先进的方法。
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引用次数: 13
Visualization of gear-motor shaft whirling feature based on time-series analysis for rotary machine component condition monitoring 基于时间序列分析的旋转机械部件状态监测中齿轮电机轴旋转特征可视化
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM49022.2020.9187026
Kesaaki Minemura, S. Yabui, Kohei Iwata, T. Inoue
A technique for visualization of a gear-motor shaft’s whirling feature is proposed based on time-series analysis for rotary machine component condition monitoring. It is necessary to develop many technological elements, including machine components, the Internet of Things (IoT), sensing, signal processing and modeling for machine component condition monitoring. When a machine component is connected to another device, the machine component’s features change because of the connection. Specifically, this work considers the case of a machine component where the shaft around the axis connecting the component to another device does not form a circular orbit. It is assumed that the shaft does not have a circular orbit and it is thus necessary to visualize the shaft using a signal processing technique based on this assumption. In general methods, however, because a constant speed and circular orbit are assumed, some errors occur because of the noncircular orbit. In this paper, we consider visualization using a signal processing technique that focuses on the rotational axis, particularly for connections between rotary machine components for condition monitoring. In the proposed method, a time waveform is converted into polar coordinates and expressed in terms of its amplitude and angular direction. By calculating the density distribution for each angle, the features are confirmed even if the shaft orbit does not become a circle. Furthermore, it aids in judging whether the feature change has followed a machine component condition change in the trajectory. Measurement data were obtained through verification experiments. It is confirmed that the density distribution’s relative standard deviation is less than approximately 0.05 and that the orbit is constant under normal conditions. From the experimental results, it is confirmed that the proposed signal processing method is thus effective for machine component condition monitoring.
提出了一种基于时间序列分析的旋转机械部件状态监测中齿轮电机轴的旋转特征可视化技术。需要开发许多技术要素,包括机器部件、物联网(IoT)、传感、信号处理和建模,以实现机器部件状态监测。当一个机器部件连接到另一个设备时,机器部件的特性会因为连接而改变。具体来说,这项工作考虑了机器部件的情况,其中连接部件到另一个设备的轴周围的轴不形成圆形轨道。假设轴不具有圆形轨道,因此有必要使用基于此假设的信号处理技术来可视化轴。然而,在一般方法中,由于假设匀速和圆轨道,由于非圆轨道会产生一些误差。在本文中,我们考虑使用一种聚焦于旋转轴的信号处理技术进行可视化,特别是用于状态监测的旋转机器部件之间的连接。在该方法中,将时间波形转换为极坐标,并以其振幅和角方向表示。通过计算每个角度的密度分布,即使轴轨道不成为圆,也可以确定这些特征。此外,它有助于判断特征变化是否跟随轨迹中机器部件条件的变化。通过验证实验获得测量数据。证实了密度分布的相对标准偏差小于0.05左右,正常情况下轨道是恒定的。实验结果表明,所提出的信号处理方法对机械部件状态监测是有效的。
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引用次数: 0
A Review of Internet of Things (IoT) based Engineering Applications and Data Fusion Challenges for Multi-rate Multi-sensor Systems 基于物联网(IoT)的多速率多传感器系统工程应用与数据融合挑战综述
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM49022.2020.9187062
Pan Luo, Z. Li
This paper reviews and looks into three case studies of Internet of Things (IoT) based engineering applications, i.e., the artificial pancreas device, vehicle-to-vehicle communication, and the Boeing’s flight control system of maneuvering characteristics augmentation system (MCAS). These applications span from emerging medical devices to intelligent transportation to advanced system control domains. We observe that all three investigated applications are built on the five primitives of IoT, which are sensor, aggregator, communication channel, external utility, and decision trigger. Through a thorough investigation and abstraction of the three case studies of IoT applications, one key research question is identified as the fusion of multiple streams of different frequency data inputs. A comprehensive literature review on multi-rate multi-sensor data fusion is presented. Lastly, additional IoT induced research challenges and opportunities are discussed and summarized.
本文综述并探讨了基于物联网(IoT)的工程应用的三个案例研究,即人工胰腺装置、车对车通信和波音公司的飞行控制系统机动特性增强系统(MCAS)。这些应用从新兴的医疗设备到智能交通再到先进的系统控制领域。我们观察到,所有三种被调查的应用程序都建立在物联网的五个基本要素上,即传感器、聚合器、通信通道、外部实用程序和决策触发器。通过对物联网应用的三个案例研究的深入调查和抽象,确定了一个关键的研究问题是不同频率数据输入的多流融合。对多速率多传感器数据融合的研究进行了综述。最后,讨论和总结了物联网引发的其他研究挑战和机遇。
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引用次数: 0
Building chatbots from large scale domain-specific knowledge bases: challenges and opportunities 从大规模特定领域知识库构建聊天机器人:挑战和机遇
Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM49022.2020.9187036
W. Shalaby, Adriano Arantes, Teresa GonzalezDiaz, Chetan Gupta
Popular conversational agents frameworks such as Alexa Skills Kit (ASK) and Google Actions (gActions) offer unprecedented opportunities for facilitating the development and deployment of voice-enabled AI solutions in various verticals. Nevertheless, understanding user utterances with high accuracy remains a challenging task with these frameworks. Particularly, when building chatbots with large volume of domain-specific entities. In this paper, we describe the challenges and lessons learned from building a large scale virtual assistant for understanding and responding to equipment-related complaints. In the process, we describe an alternative scalable framework for: 1) extracting the knowledge about equipment components and their associated problem entities from short texts, and 2) learning to identify such entities in user utterances. We show through evaluation on a real dataset that the proposed framework, compared to off-the-shelf popular ones, scales better with large volume of entities being up to 30% more accurate, and is more effective in understanding user utterances with domain-specific entities.
流行的会话代理框架,如Alexa Skills Kit (ASK)和Google Actions (gActions),为促进语音AI解决方案在各个垂直领域的开发和部署提供了前所未有的机会。然而,在这些框架中,高精度地理解用户话语仍然是一项具有挑战性的任务。特别是在构建具有大量特定领域实体的聊天机器人时。在本文中,我们描述了从构建大型虚拟助手以理解和响应设备相关投诉中所面临的挑战和吸取的教训。在此过程中,我们描述了一个可扩展的框架:1)从短文本中提取有关设备组件及其相关问题实体的知识,以及2)学习在用户话语中识别这些实体。我们通过对真实数据集的评估表明,与现成的流行框架相比,所提出的框架在大量实体的情况下可以更好地扩展,准确率提高30%,并且在理解特定领域实体的用户话语方面更有效。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
2020 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM)
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