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Value Creation through Public Debt and Economic Growth of Nigeria 通过公共债务创造价值与尼日利亚经济增长
Pub Date : 2019-01-14 DOI: 10.19085/JOURNAL.SIJBPG050701
S. Oshadare, S. O. Ashamu, A. Raheem, D Fapetu, J. Ajayi, P. Ojeaga
The study examined the effect of value creation through public debt on economic growth in Nigeria between 1986 and 2016 using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The variables used in the study are a real gross domestic product, internal debt, external debt and Total debt service of Nigeria. They were tested for stationarity using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philip Perron test. The result showed that the variables are stationary at first differencing. Co-integration test was also performed and the result revealed the presence of co-integration between public debt and economic growth. The co-integration results show that public debt and economic growth have long run relationship. The findings of the ARDL model via short run model result and long-run model result between public debt and economic growth in Nigeria is that in the short run external debt and internal debt are negatively related to the real gross domestic product but has effect on the economic growth, external debt is negatively related but has no effect to the economic growth. Whereas in the long run model, internal debt and debt service are also negatively related to the real gross domestic product but significant to the economic growth, external debt is positively related but has no effect to the economic growth. The study concluded that public debt and economic growth have long-run relationship, and they are positively related if the government will create the value that citizens desired by being sincere with the loan obtained and use it for the development of the economy rather than channel the funds to their personal benefit.
该研究使用自回归分布式滞后(ARDL)研究了1986年至2016年期间通过公共债务创造价值对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。研究中使用的变量是尼日利亚的实际国内生产总值、内部债务、外部债务和偿债总额。使用扩增的Dickey-Fuller和Philip Perron测试来测试它们的平稳性。结果表明,变量在一阶差分时是平稳的。并进行协整检验,结果显示公共债务与经济增长之间存在协整关系。协整结果表明,公共债务与经济增长之间存在长期关系。通过对尼日利亚公共债务与经济增长的短期模型结果和长期模型结果的ARDL模型的研究发现,在短期内,外债和内债与实际国内生产总值呈负相关,但对经济增长有影响,外债呈负相关,但对经济增长没有影响。而在长期模型中,内部债务和偿债也与实际国内生产总值呈负相关,但对经济增长有显著影响;外债与经济增长呈正相关,但对经济增长没有影响。研究发现,公共债务与经济增长之间存在着长期的关系,如果政府真诚对待所获得的贷款,创造公民所期望的价值,并将其用于经济发展,而不是将资金用于个人利益,则两者之间存在正相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Credit Risk Management on Financial Performance of Nigerian Listed Deposit Money Banks 信用风险管理对尼日利亚上市存款货币银行财务绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2019-01-09 DOI: 10.19085/JOURNAL.SIJBPG050601
Kajola Sunday Olugboyega, Adedeji Samuel Babatunji, O. Jayeola, Babatolu Ayorinde Tobi
Deposit money banks are concerned with the provision of credit facilities in form of loans and advances to customers. These loans and advances are expected to be repaid by customers in line with the agreement reached with their bankers. Customers’ default in the repayment of loans and advances at the agreed period may lead to bad and doubtful debts and this can affect the financial health, profitability and going concern status of the bank. This study empirically explored the effect of credit risk management on the financial performance of ten listed deposit money banks in Nigeria for the period, 2005-2016. Credit risk management, the independent variable, was surrogated by three parameters- Non-performing Loan to total Loan Ratio (NPLLR); Non-performing Loan to total Deposit Ratio (NPLDR) and Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR). Return on asset (ROA) and Return on equity (ROE) was used as proxies for financial performance. Using the Random effects generalised least squares (GLS) regression as data estimation technique, the study revealed that all the three credit risk parameters have a significant relationship with ROA and ROE (p< 0.05).Based on the findings, the study recommended that the management of deposit money banks should develop rigorous and robust credit policies that will enable banks to effectively assess the creditworthiness of their customers. The regulatory agencies should also come up with modern credit risk measurements, identification and control. Prompt and necessary action should also be taken against the management of any bank that flouts their credit risk guidelines in order to avoid unpleasant distress in the financial system.     
存款银行以贷款和预付款的形式向客户提供信贷便利。这些贷款和预付款预计将由客户按照与银行达成的协议偿还。客户在约定期限内不偿还贷款和预付款可能导致坏账和可疑债务,从而影响银行的财务健康、盈利能力和持续经营状况。本研究实证探讨了信贷风险管理对尼日利亚10家上市存款货币银行2005-2016年财务绩效的影响。信用风险管理作为自变量,用三个参数来代替:不良贷款与总贷款比率(NPLLR);不良贷款与总存款比率(NPLDR)和资本充足率(CAR)。资产收益率(ROA)和净资产收益率(ROE)被用作财务绩效的代理指标。采用随机效应广义最小二乘(GLS)回归作为数据估计技术,研究发现三个信用风险参数与ROA和ROE均存在显著关系(p< 0.05)。根据调查结果,该研究建议存款银行的管理部门应制定严格而稳健的信贷政策,使银行能够有效地评估其客户的信誉。监管机构还应提出现代信贷风险的测量、识别和控制。还应对任何藐视其信用风险指导方针的银行管理层采取迅速和必要的行动,以避免金融体系出现令人不快的困境。
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引用次数: 13
Trump, Xi and Game Theory
Pub Date : 2018-10-02 DOI: 10.19085/JOURNAL.SIJBPG050501
M.S.S. El-Namaki
Presidents Trump and Xi are approaching a game theory Nash construct. Both, predecessors included, have colluded into creating a race towards dominance of global trade, finance and technology. China by, primarily,  enhancing the consumption share of US GDP and America by feeding Chinese insatiable hunger for technology.  They created a dangerous measure of interdependence that translated into a mutually exclusive “win” situation.  The game would have continued unchallenged was it not for President Trump’s sudden realization that the probability of a win-win outcome is low. He then tampered with the underlying premises of the game and a new dynamic emerged. How will the game evolve? This will be the focus of the following article. The article applies an eclectic mix of conceptual frameworks including Game Theory, Nash equilibrium and Hofstede’ culture consequences, among others, in order to formulate a likely scenario.  It analytically places the two presidents within a Nash equilibrium prisoners’ dilemma framework with each considering his strategic moves while eying shadow moves by the other.
特朗普总统和ξ正接近一个博弈论纳什构造。包括前任在内,这两家公司都串通一气,发起了一场争夺全球贸易、金融和技术主导地位的竞赛。中国主要是通过提高美国GDP和美国的消费份额来满足中国对技术的永不满足的渴望。它们创造了一种危险的相互依赖程度,转化为一种相互排斥的“双赢”局面。如果不是特朗普总统突然意识到双赢的可能性很低,这场游戏本可以不受挑战地继续下去。然后他修改了游戏的基本前提,出现了新的动态。游戏将如何发展?这将是下一篇文章的重点。本文采用了包括博弈论、纳什均衡和霍夫斯泰德文化后果等概念框架的折衷组合,以形成一个可能的场景。它分析地将两位总统置于纳什均衡囚犯困境框架中,每个人都考虑自己的战略行动,同时关注对方的影子行动。
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引用次数: 1
Board Characteristics and Earnings Quality of Listed Conglomerate Firms in Nigeria 尼日利亚上市企业集团董事会特征与盈余质量
Pub Date : 2018-07-09 DOI: 10.19085/JOURNAL.SIJBPG050301
D. Haruna, Lubabatu Mansur Kwambo, S. Hassan
This study examines the effect of Board Characteristics on Earnings Quality of Nigeria Conglomerate firms. Data were extracted from the audited accounts of Nigeria conglomerate firms using secondary source of data collection. Two step regression was employed in analyzing the data extracted. The result indicated that the board characteristics proxies have a significant impact on earnings quality of Nigerian Conglomerate firms. This establishes the fact that board characteristics play a significant role in checkmating the unethical behaviours of managers in the Nigerian conglomerate firms and thus improving the earnings quality. The study therefore, recommends that the proportion of non executive directors should be maximized. Emphases should be on experience and objectivity when appointing women as members on board of directors not by mere quest for gender sensitivity. The implication of the findings is that firm with higher number of non executive and women directors are more likely to report quality earnings.
本研究探讨尼日利亚综合企业董事会特征对盈余质量的影响。数据是从尼日利亚综合企业的审计账户中提取的,使用数据收集的二级来源。采用两步回归对提取的数据进行分析。结果表明,董事会特征代理对尼日利亚综合企业盈余质量有显著影响。这证明了董事会特征在尼日利亚企业集团管理人员的不道德行为中发挥了重要作用,从而提高了盈余质量。因此,本研究建议最大限度地提高非执行董事的比例。在任命妇女为董事会成员时,重点应放在经验和客观性上,而不仅仅是追求对性别问题的敏感性。研究结果表明,拥有更多非执行董事和女性董事的公司更有可能报告高质量的收益。
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引用次数: 6
Socio-Economic Conditions of Gujjars in South Kashmir Their Challenges and Strategies 南克什米尔古吉贾尔人的社会经济状况、挑战和战略
Pub Date : 2018-07-09 DOI: 10.19085/JOURNAL.SIJBPG050401
A. A. Naikoo, S. S. Thakur, T. Guroo
Kashmir Valley is known as place where people are embraced with multicultural and multilingual atmosphere. Gujjars are the tribal group mostly residing on hilly and mountainous regions of Valley with different traditions, rituals and language. They are economically poor, socially backward, but culturally stable. Their economic profile is poor than the general population of region. They are suffering from so many issues in their day today life. Their housing, sanitation, Education, electricity, health care facilities are very low sub-standard than different sections of population, Also Government has not provided them the basic assets to eradicate the tribal poverty. The literacy rate among Gujjars of south Kashmir is also very low. This paper is based on both primary and secondary data and tries to analyze the magnitude of socio-economic conditions of different parameters and also this paper contains some suggestions, which needs to be implement on the ground level in order to eradicate their socio economic problems.
克什米尔山谷是一个被多元文化和多语言氛围所拥抱的地方。古贾尔人是居住在山谷丘陵和山区的部落群体,有着不同的传统、仪式和语言。他们经济贫穷,社会落后,但文化稳定。他们的经济状况比该地区的一般人口要差。他们在今天的生活中遭受了很多问题。他们的住房、卫生设施、教育、电力、保健设施比不同阶层的人口低得多,而且政府也没有向他们提供消除部落贫困的基本资产。南克什米尔的古杰加尔人的识字率也很低。本文基于一手和二手数据,试图分析不同参数的社会经济条件的大小,并提出一些建议,这些建议需要在基层实施,以消除他们的社会经济问题。
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引用次数: 0
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Scholedge International Journal of Business Policy & Governance ISSN 2394-3351
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