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Non-linear multivariate models for estimating global solar radiation received across five cities in South Africa 估算南非五个城市接收的全球太阳辐射的非线性多元模型
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2019-05-16 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2019/V30I2A6076
T. Govindasamy, N. Chetty
South Africa continues to lag globally in the adoption of renewable energy systems despite a notable decrease in the cost of applicable renewable energy technologies over the past five years. Most applications of potential solar renewable energy systems are currently in various stages of investigation, leaving this readily accessible resource capacity idle. The present study proposes linear and non-linear analysis of multivariate models for estimating global solar radiation (GSR) received across five cities in South Africa. The significance of this study is to provide effective GSR estimation in the application of solar technologies, while increasing their implementation. The dependency of GSR on meteorological variables such as air temperature, relative humidity and relative sunshine duration was evaluated for January 2007 to June 2018 to realise estimation models for each of the study sites. The Hargreaves-Samani and Angstrom-Prescott empirical models served as the basis for single variable analysis of GSR reliance on each meteorological parameter and their relative variations. The results indicated that the proposed non-linear, multivariate equations perform better than the empirical models as well as linear, single variable regression equations. The suggested models are site-specific and demonstrate a strong correlation to historic GSR values with low, acceptable error indicators. It was also recognised that second- and third-order relationships between the clearness index and multiple meteorological variables provide a more accurate description of GSR for most of the cities under study. These methods are cost-effective, easily accessible and appropriate for the evaluation of the feasibility of solar photovoltaic technologies in South Africa.
南非在采用可再生能源系统方面继续落后于全球,尽管在过去五年中适用的可再生能源技术的成本显著下降。大多数潜在的太阳能可再生能源系统的应用目前处于不同的研究阶段,使这种容易获得的资源能力闲置。本研究提出了用于估计南非五个城市接收的全球太阳辐射(GSR)的多元模型的线性和非线性分析。本研究的意义在于为太阳能技术的应用提供有效的GSR估算,同时增加太阳能技术的实施。评估了2007年1月至2018年6月期间GSR对气温、相对湿度和相对日照时数等气象变量的依赖关系,以实现每个研究地点的估算模型。Hargreaves-Samani和Angstrom-Prescott经验模型作为GSR依赖各气象参数及其相对变化的单变量分析的基础。结果表明,本文提出的非线性多变量回归方程比经验模型和单变量线性回归方程具有更好的性能。建议的模型是特定于站点的,并且与历史GSR值具有较低的,可接受的误差指标有很强的相关性。人们还认识到,对于研究中的大多数城市,清晰度指数与多个气象变量之间的二阶和三阶关系提供了更准确的GSR描述。这些方法具有成本效益,易于获得,适合评价南非太阳能光电技术的可行性。
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引用次数: 6
Inferential based statistical indicators for the assessment of solar resource data 基于推理的太阳能资源数据评价统计指标
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2019-03-25 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2019/V30I1A5430
C. Clohessy, G. Sharp, J. Hugo, E. Van Dyk
The drive to reduce fossil fuel dependency led to a surge in interest in renewable energy as a replacement fuel source, which provided research opportunities for vastly different domains. Statistical modelling was used extensively to assist in research. This study applied two statistical techniques that can be used in conjunction or independently to existing methods to validate solar resource data simulated from models. The case study, using a database from a Southern African Universities Radiometric Network,  provided illustrative benefits to the methods proposed, while comparing them with some of the validation methods currently used. It was demonstrated that profile analysis plots are easy to interpret, as deviations between modelled and measured data over time are clearly observed, while traditional validation scatter plots are unable to distinguish these deviations.  
为了减少对化石燃料的依赖,人们对可再生能源作为替代燃料的兴趣激增,这为不同的领域提供了研究机会。统计模型被广泛用于协助研究。本研究应用了两种统计技术,可与现有方法结合使用或单独使用,以验证模型模拟的太阳能资源数据。这项案例研究使用了南部非洲大学辐射测量网络的一个数据库,对提出的方法提供了说明性的好处,同时将它们与目前使用的一些验证方法进行了比较。结果表明,剖面分析图易于解释,因为随着时间的推移,可以清楚地观察到模型数据与实测数据之间的偏差,而传统的验证散点图无法区分这些偏差。
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引用次数: 0
Reactive power and harmonic compensation: A case study for the coal-mining industry 无功功率与谐波补偿:以煤矿工业为例
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2019-03-25 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2019/V30I1A2473
F. Roos, R. Bansal
This study reports on a case study in Grootegeluk Mine: Exxaro Coal, Lephalale, South Africa, in terms of power factor correction (PFC), load flow, harmonic frequency scans and harmonic voltage distortion analyses. The DIgSilent PowerFactory software was used for network simulations. Harmonic and reactive power compensation techniques were compared in terms of filter type evolution and technology advancement, with the use of simple trade-off criteria such as cost-effectiveness versus performance. It was found that both passive and hybrid filters were more favourable and could effectively compensate all voltage and current harmonics and reactive power for large nonlinear loads. The installation of switched PFC filter banks tuned at the fifth harmonic order accommodates future network growth and this solution can be rolled out to any mining industry as a benchmark to lower energy cost and maximise savings achievable on the electricity bill.  
本文以南非Lephalale的Exxaro煤矿grotegeluk矿为例,对功率因数校正(PFC)、负荷流、谐波频率扫描和谐波电压畸变分析进行了研究。使用DIgSilent PowerFactory软件进行网络模拟。谐波和无功补偿技术在滤波器类型演变和技术进步方面进行了比较,使用了简单的权衡标准,如成本效益与性能。结果表明,无源滤波器和混合滤波器均能有效补偿大型非线性负载的所有电压、电流谐波和无功功率。在五次谐波阶调谐的开关PFC滤波器组的安装适应了未来的网络增长,该解决方案可以推广到任何采矿业,作为降低能源成本和最大限度地节省电费的基准。
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引用次数: 9
Development of a large-area, low-cost solar water-heating system for South Africa with a high thermal energy collection capacity 为南非开发具有高热能收集能力的大面积低成本太阳能热水系统
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2019-03-22 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2019/V30I1A5226
Monga F. Twite, L. Snyman, J. De Koker, A. Yusuff
A low-cost heat-exchanger system that can be used in high-pressure/low-pressure isolated solar water-heating systems in South Africa was developed for household applications. The combination of a copper coil and electrical heater allowed for isolation of the high-pressure and low-pressure sections of the system and enabled the utilisation of large low-cost solar heat-absorber platforms that operated at low pressure with a low risk of fouling and leaking. The design comprised a copper coil heat exchanger to be installed inside a conventional geyser, to replace the normal heating element and thermostat system in a conventional commercially available household geyser. The electric heating element still supplements the system in low solar energy conditions. The circulation in the system is created by a small separate photovoltaic panel and a circulation pump. An integrated switch allows the system to alternate between conventional electrical heating and solar water-heating according to prevailing weather conditions. Current tests show that the system of 15 m2 area can be installed at a cost of approximately ZAR 10 000–12 000. The system can provide hot water at approximately 12 cents per kWh, with a total heat storage capacity of up to 10 kWh per day. This implies a saving to the customer of up to ZAR 600 per month. The accumulated saving to a household over the ten-year lifetime of the product is estimated at ZAR 200 000. As the thermal energy storage capacity of current systems as available on the local market is approximately 1 kWhr per day for a 2 m2 collector. A typical increase in thermal energy collection capacity of tenfold more than the capability of conventional systems on the market is hence achieved. The system offers implementation possibilities for South Africa’s low-cost housing schemes and can provide for creating numerous new business and job opportunities on the African continent with its abundant solar irradiation resources.
南非为家庭应用开发了一种可用于高压/低压隔离太阳能热水系统的低成本热交换器系统。铜线圈和电加热器的组合可以隔离系统的高压和低压部分,并且可以利用大型低成本太阳能吸热平台,在低压下运行,结垢和泄漏的风险很低。该设计包括安装在传统间歇泉内的铜圈热交换器,以取代传统商用家用间歇泉中的正常加热元件和恒温系统。电热元件仍然补充系统在低太阳能条件下。系统中的循环是由一个小的独立光伏板和一个循环泵创造的。一个集成开关允许系统根据当时的天气条件在传统电加热和太阳能热水之间交替。目前的测试表明,该系统的面积为15平方米,安装成本约为10,000 - 12,000兰特。该系统可以以每千瓦时约12美分的价格提供热水,每天的总储热容量高达10千瓦时。这意味着客户每月最多可节省600兰特。在该产品的十年寿命中,累计为一个家庭节省的费用估计为20万南非兰特。目前在当地市场上,一个2平方米的集热器的热能存储容量约为每天1千瓦时。因此,实现了比市场上传统系统的能力多十倍的热能收集能力的典型增加。该系统为南非的低成本住房计划提供了执行可能性,并可在拥有丰富太阳辐照资源的非洲大陆创造许多新的商业和就业机会。
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引用次数: 4
A ray tracer model for analysis of solar concentrating systems 用于分析太阳能聚光系统的射线追踪模型
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2019-03-08 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2019/V30I1A5267
Karidewa Nyeinga, D. Okello, O. Nydal
This study describes a 3D ray tracer model for analysis of a small-scale solar concentrating system where thermal heat is collected for cooking purposes. Emitted sun rays were traced from the source through all reflections until they intercepted with the receiver or were lost. The algorithm of the ray tracer and its implementation in MATLAB is clearly described. The ray tracer was programmed to contribute to the development of small-scale concentrating solar energy systems with integrated heat storage units. The ray tracer was demonstrated for selected cases where continuous reflecting surfaces and flat mirror-tiled surfaces were compared. Off-focus sensitivity analysis was shown and this could provide guidelines for the required solar tracking accuracy. The flux distribution on the absorber was analysed and found to be concentrated on a small area on the target for continuous reflecting surfaces and having high intensities. However, for reflectors with mirror tiles, an elongated image was formed centred on the focal point with low intensities. Small misalignment of the reflector in the order 0.2° had minimal impact on the interception ratio, but any further increase in the tracking errors caused a sudden drop in the interception ratio to zero. Results showed that there is close agreement in flux distribution and the tracking error impact on interception ratio, when compared with the literature. This model could be a useful tool when designing the reflection and absorption components of solar concentrators for complex systems with several components in a non-symmetric 3D arrangement.
本研究描述了一种用于分析小型太阳能聚光系统的三维射线追踪模型,该系统将热能收集用于烹饪目的。发射的太阳光线从光源经过所有的反射被追踪,直到它们被接收器截获或丢失。详细介绍了光线追踪器的算法及其在MATLAB中的实现。射线追踪器的设计目的是促进小型集中太阳能系统的发展,该系统具有综合蓄热装置。射线追踪器演示了选定的情况下,连续反射表面和平面镜子瓷砖表面进行比较。离焦灵敏度分析表明,这可以为所需的太阳跟踪精度提供指导。对吸收体上的通量分布进行了分析,发现对于连续反射面,吸收体上的通量集中在目标上的一个小区域,并且具有高强度。然而,对于带有镜面瓷砖的反射器,以低强度的焦点为中心形成拉长的图像。反射镜0.2°量级的小偏差对拦截比的影响很小,但跟踪误差的任何进一步增加都会导致拦截比突然降至零。结果表明,与文献相比,在通量分布和跟踪误差对拦截率的影响方面有很好的一致性。该模型可为设计具有非对称三维排列的多个组件的复杂系统的太阳能聚光器的反射和吸收组件提供有用的工具。
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引用次数: 5
Influences of microalgae biomass on the thermal behaviour of waste coal fines 微藻生物量对废煤粉热特性的影响
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2019-03-08 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2019/V30I1A5452
H. Baloyi, Gary M. Dugmore
For this study, waste coal fines were treated with live microalgae slurry at varying biomass ratios to form coal-microalgae blends. The parent samples and the coal-microalgae blends were analysed for their proximate, ultimate and calorific values. Thermogravimetric experiments were performed on the parent samples and coal-microalgae blends under inert conditions. The aim was to investigate the effects of loading live microalgae slurry onto the waste coals with respect to the overall chemical and thermal characteristics of the coal. Based on the analysed results, the blending of microalgae slurry with coal has been shown to enhance thermal decomposition of coal. Coal-microalgae blends have a higher hydrogen content and volatile matter content than coal. Moreover, the presence of microalgae results in faster rates of decomposition at lower temperatures (200–400 ºC), and lower residual mass fraction. The blending of microalgae slurries with waste coal appears to be suitable for enhancing the thermal reactivity of waste coal as well as improving the thermal conversion of waste coal.
在本研究中,用不同生物量比的活微藻浆处理废煤粉,形成煤-微藻共混物。对母质样品和煤微藻混合物的近似值、极限值和热值进行了分析。在惰性条件下对母质样品和煤微藻共混物进行了热重实验。目的是研究将活微藻浆液加载到废煤上对煤的整体化学和热特性的影响。分析结果表明,微藻浆与煤的掺合有利于煤的热分解。煤-微藻共混物的氢含量和挥发物含量均高于煤。此外,微藻的存在导致在较低温度(200-400℃)下分解速度更快,残余质量分数更低。微藻浆料与废煤配伍可以提高废煤的热反应性,提高废煤的热转化率。
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引用次数: 10
The vulnerability of the South African electricity transmission network infrastructure to weather and climate: A review 南非输电网基础设施对天气和气候的脆弱性:综述
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2018/V29I4A4748
M. Majodina, J. Botai, H. Rautenbach
Meteorological factors have an influence on global energy systems. This study reviewed some of the latest research contributions from other global studies on climate change impacts, energy transportation and international collaboration in the energy-meteorology sector. It is a summary of relevant South African research on energy demand, forecasting and vulnerability to meteorological conditions. International weather-energy partnerships are growing fast, while the Global Framework for Climate Services has provided a global framework for scientific collaboration across sectors to assist with climate-related risk management and decision-making. The uptake in developing regions has remained slow, however, particularly in Africa, where basic requirements such as meteorological observations are still sought. This review found that studies on the impact that future projections of climate change and variability might have on the South African electricity transmission network were inadequate. A deeper understanding of such impacts on the electricity infrastructure would assist considerably with risk management and decision-making; consequently contributing to the sustainable provision of electricity in South Africa.
气象因素对全球能源系统有影响。本研究回顾了其他关于气候变化影响、能源运输和国际能源气象领域合作的全球研究的一些最新研究成果。它总结了南非在能源需求、预测和对气象条件的脆弱性方面的相关研究。国际天气-能源伙伴关系正在迅速发展,而全球气候服务框架为跨部门科学合作提供了一个全球框架,以协助进行与气候有关的风险管理和决策。然而,发展中区域的吸收仍然缓慢,特别是在非洲,那里仍然需要气象观测等基本需求。这篇综述发现,关于气候变化和变异的未来预测可能对南非输电网络产生的影响的研究是不充分的。更深入地了解这种对电力基础设施的影响将大大有助于风险管理和决策;从而为南非的可持续电力供应做出贡献。
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引用次数: 3
System adequacy in the Southern African Power Pool: A case for capacity mechanisms 南部非洲电力联营的系统充分性:能力机制的案例
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2018/V29I4A5581
Jarrad Wright, J. Coller
The requirement for increased investment in electrical energy infrastructure in the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) region is contextualised. Background on the SAPP is provided for reference. A brief assessment of historical capacity adequacy in the SAPP region shows historically sustained levels of inadequacy as well as distinctive investment cycles primarily as a result of administratively determined generation capacity investments within each member country. The introduction of an appropriately designed capacity mechanism is proposed for SAPP to facilitate system adequacy and incentivise long-term capacity investment.
南部非洲电力联营(SAPP)地区增加电力能源基础设施投资的需求是有背景的。本文提供了SAPP的背景资料,以供参考。对萨普地区历史产能充足性的简要评估显示,历史上持续的不足水平以及不同的投资周期,主要是由于每个成员国内部行政决定的发电能力投资。建议引入适当设计的容量机制,以促进系统的充分性和鼓励长期容量投资。
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引用次数: 14
An overview of salient factors, relationships and values to support integrated energy-economic systems dynamic modelling 概述支持综合能源经济系统动态建模的突出因素、关系和价值
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2018-12-03 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2018/V29I4A3417
M. D. Wit, M. Heun, D. Crookes
Integrated energy-economic modeling is needed to support the development of energy and carbon policies. We propose that a systems dynamic modeling approach is needed; one that includes (a) dynamics (b) endogenous treatment of uncertainty and risks, and (c) both aggregate economic and disaggregate technical or engineering levels of analysis. To support the future development of integrated energy-economic models we review and organise the literature on energy-economy interactions into subsections covering (a) the key factors or components, (b) the relationships among these components, (c) a quantification of parameters and (d) implications for the development of an integrated energy-economic systems dynamic model. The literature is organized in discussions on economic growth and the factors of production, elasticities, macro- and technical substitutability, energy cost shares, heat engine efficiencies and energy services efficiencies. We observe non-linear relationships in production and consumption, large variations among price and income elasticity values across time frames, across countries and regions, and across energy goods, far from perfect substitution among factors of production and among energy goods on a macro level, technical/engineering limits to substitution on a micro level, as well as engineering and behavioural limits on what can be achieved with increased efficiencies. We therefore support the call to develop integrated energy-economic systems dynamic models that are able to provide new insight into the nature of energy-economic transitions
需要综合能源经济模型来支持能源和碳政策的制定。我们建议需要一种系统动态建模方法;其中包括(a)动力学(b)不确定性和风险的内生处理,以及(c)总体经济和非总体技术或工程水平的分析。为了支持综合能源经济模型的未来发展,我们对能源经济相互作用的文献进行了回顾和整理,分为以下几部分:(a)关键因素或组成部分,(b)这些组成部分之间的关系,(c)参数的量化,以及(d)综合能源经济系统动态模型发展的含义。文献是在经济增长和生产要素、弹性、宏观和技术可替代性、能源成本份额、热机效率和能源服务效率的讨论中组织起来的。我们观察到生产和消费之间的非线性关系,不同时间框架、不同国家和地区以及不同能源产品之间价格和收入弹性值的巨大差异,生产要素之间和能源产品之间在宏观层面上远非完全替代,在微观层面上对替代的技术/工程限制,以及对提高效率所能实现的目标的工程和行为限制。因此,我们支持开发综合能源经济系统动态模型的呼吁,这些模型能够为能源经济转型的本质提供新的见解
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引用次数: 4
Developing a small photovoltaic power supply system with adaptive technologies for rural Africa: Design, cost and efficiency analyses 为非洲农村发展具有适应性技术的小型光伏供电系统:设计、成本和效率分析
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2018-12-03 DOI: 10.17159/2413-3051/2017/V29I4A5399
Steve Mvili-Gampio, L. Snyman
The objective of this study was to design a small-scale photovoltaic system to support electricity supply to a rural village in the Republic of Congo. A simple impedance-matching system and an innovative panel-tilting system were implemented as adaptive technologies to increase the power output of the system and reduce its capital and running costs. The experimentally obtained results showed that the daily energy output of a four-panel, 400 W photovoltaic system could be increased by 15% through a series parallel impedance match configuration, and by 36% from 3.3 kWh per day to approximately 4.5 kWh per day through implementing an automated panel tilting system with always normal incidence of solar irradiation on the panels in an equatorial environment. Implementing these technologies accordingly reduced the cost of energy supplied by the same percentages, with an eventual electricity cost of about ZAR 3.60 per kWhr, as calculated over an operation time of ten years, and an initial capital outlay of ZAR 37 per watt. These costs are much lower than for installing power grid lines to the village, and the technology also ensures complete autonomy of power supply to the community. The study also identified the potential to generate many new business and job opportunities locally in this community, as well as in the rest of Africa.
本研究的目的是设计一个小型光伏系统,以支持刚果共和国一个农村的电力供应。采用一种简单的阻抗匹配系统和一种创新的面板倾斜系统作为自适应技术,提高了系统的输出功率,降低了系统的资金和运行成本。实验结果表明,在赤道环境下,采用串联并联阻抗匹配配置,可使400 W四板光伏系统的日发电量增加15%;采用自动面板倾斜系统,使面板上的太阳辐射始终处于正常入射状态,可使系统的日发电量从3.3 kWh / d增加到约4.5 kWh / d,可使系统的日发电量增加36%。这些技术的实施相应地降低了同样比例的能源供应成本,根据10年的运行时间计算,最终的电力成本约为每千瓦时3.60兰特,初始资本支出为每瓦37兰特。这些成本远低于为村庄安装电网线路的成本,而且该技术还确保了社区的完全自主供电。该研究还确定了在该社区以及非洲其他地区创造许多新的商业和就业机会的潜力。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Energy in Southern Africa
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