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Governance mediation in the era of disruptive technologies: unveiling new perspectives on the risk of material misstatements 颠覆性技术时代的治理调解:揭示重大错报风险的新视角
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-11-2023-0643
Marwa Elnahass, Xinrui Jia, Louise Crawford

Purpose

This study aims to examine the mediating effects of corporate governance mechanisms like the board of directors on the association between disruptive technology adoption by audit clients and the risk of material misstatements, including inherent risk and control risk. In particular, the authors study the mediating effects of board characteristics such as board size, independence and gender diversity.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on a sample of 100 audit clients listed on the FTSE 100 from 2015 to 2021, this study uses structural equation modelling to test the research objectives.

Findings

The findings indicate a significant and negative association between disruptive technology adoption by audit clients and inherent risk. However, there is no significant evidence observed for control risk. The utilisation of disruptive technology by the audit client has a significant impact on the board characteristics, resulting in an increase in board size, greater independence and gender diversity. The authors also find strong evidence that board independence mediates the association between disruptive technology usage and both inherent risk and control risk. In addition, board size and gender exhibit distinct and differential mediating effects on the association and across the two types of risks.

Research limitations/implications

The study reveals that the significant role of using disruptive technology by audit clients in reducing the risk of material misstatements is closely associated with the board of directors, which makes audit clients place greater emphasis on the construction of effective corporate governance.

Practical implications

This study offers essential primary evidence that can assist policymakers and standard setters in formulating guidance and recommendations for board size, independence and gender quotas, ensuring the enhancement of effective governance and supporting the future of audit within the next generation of digital services.

Social implications

With respect to relevant stakeholders, it is imperative for audit clients to recognise that corporate governance represents a fundamental means of addressing the ramifications of applying disruptive technology, particularly as they pertain to inherent and control risks within the audit client.

Originality/value

This study contributes to the existing literature by investigating the joint impact of corporate governance and the utilisation of disruptive technology by audit clients on inherent risk and control risk, which has not been investigated by previous research.

目的本研究旨在考察董事会等公司治理机制对审计客户采用颠覆性技术与重大错报风险(包括固有风险和控制风险)之间关联的中介效应。作者特别研究了董事会规模、独立性和性别多样性等董事会特征的中介效应。设计/方法/途径本研究以 2015 年至 2021 年期间富时 100 指数上市的 100 家审计客户为样本,采用结构方程模型检验研究目标。但是,在控制风险方面没有观察到明显的证据。审计客户采用颠覆性技术对董事会的特征有重大影响,导致董事会规模扩大、独立性增强和性别多元化。作者还发现强有力的证据表明,董事会的独立性在颠覆性技术的使用与固有风险和控制风险之间起到了中介作用。此外,董事会规模和性别在两类风险的关联性上表现出不同的中介效应。研究局限/启示本研究揭示了审计客户使用颠覆性技术在降低重大错报风险方面的重要作用与董事会密切相关,这使得审计客户更加重视构建有效的公司治理。实践意义本研究提供了重要的原始证据,有助于政策制定者和标准制定者为董事会规模、独立性和性别配额制定指导和建议,确保加强有效治理,支持下一代数字服务中审计的未来发展。社会影响对于相关利益方而言,审计客户必须认识到,公司治理是解决应用颠覆性技术的后果的基本手段,尤其是与审计客户内部的固有风险和控制风险相关的后果。 原创性/价值本研究通过调查公司治理和审计客户利用颠覆性技术对固有风险和控制风险的共同影响,为现有文献做出了贡献,以往的研究尚未对此进行调查。
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引用次数: 0
The mediating effect of bank risk on the relationship between diversification strategies and discretionary loan loss provisions 银行风险对多样化战略与酌情贷款损失准备金之间关系的中介效应
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-07-2023-0428
Mouna Ben Rejeb, Nozha Merzki

Purpose

This study aims to investigate the effect of income and asset diversification on earnings management using discretionary loan loss provisions (LLP) in banks, and the role of risk level in mediating this effect.

Design/methodology/approach

A sample of banks operating in Middle East and North Africa countries was used to test the mediation model of Baron and Kenny (1986) with different measures of diversification and risk.

Findings

The results show that bank income and asset diversification have unique and combined effects on earnings management. The results also support the idea that a risk-mediating effect contributes to explaining this relationship among banks. Specifically, bank diversification strategies positively affect LLP-based earnings management by increasing bank risk. This result is relevant for conventional banks. However, only a direct and positive effect of diversification strategies on LLP-based earnings management can be observed in Islamic banks, and the indirect effect is not supported.

Originality/value

This study extends previous research by examining the unique and combined effects of income and asset diversification strategies on earnings management in the banking sector. Specifically, it provides new evidence that diversification strategies increase LLP-based earnings management, both directly and indirectly, through bank risk.

本研究旨在探讨收入和资产多样化对银行利用酌情贷款损失准备(LLP)进行收益管理的影响,以及风险水平在这种影响中的中介作用。研究结果结果表明,银行收入和资产多样化对收益管理具有独特的综合影响。结果还支持风险中介效应有助于解释银行间这种关系的观点。具体来说,银行多元化战略通过增加银行风险对基于有限责任合伙的收益管理产生积极影响。这一结果与传统银行相关。然而,在伊斯兰银行中只能观察到多元化战略对基于有限责任合伙的收益管理的直接和积极影响,而间接影响则不被支持。 原创性/价值 本研究通过考察收入和资产多元化战略对银行业收益管理的独特和综合影响,扩展了以往的研究。具体而言,它提供了新的证据,证明多元化战略通过银行风险直接或间接地增加了基于有限责任合伙的收益管理。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic dependency between health-care sector and Islamic industry: before, during and after COVID-19 lockdown evidences 医疗保健行业与伊斯兰工业之间的动态依赖关系:COVID-19 封锁之前、期间和之后的证据
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-09-2023-0557
Sana Braiek, Houda Ben Said

Purpose

This study aims to empirically explore and compare the dynamic dependency between health-care sector and Islamic industries before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Design/methodology/approach

Time-varying student-t copula is used for before, during and after COVID-19 periods. The data used are the daily frequency price series of the selected markets from February 2017 to October 2023.

Findings

Empirical results found strong evidence of significant impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the dependence structure of the studied indexes: Co-movements between various sectors are certain. The authors assist also in the birth of new dependence structure with the health-care industry in response to the COVID-19 crisis. This reflects the contagion occurrence from the health-care sector to other sectors.

Originality/value

By specifically examining the Islamic industry, this study sheds light on the resilience, challenges and opportunities within this sector, contributing novel perspectives to the broader discourse on pandemic-related impacts on economies and industries. Also, this paper conducts a comprehensive temporal analysis, examining the dynamics before, during and after the COVID-19 lockdown. Such approach enables an understanding of how the relationship between the health-care sector and the Islamic industry evolves over time, accounting for both short-term disruptions and long-term effects. By considering the pre-pandemic context, the paper adopts a longitudinal perspective, enabling a deeper understanding of how historical trends, structural factors and institutional frameworks shape the interplay between the health-care sector and the Islamic industry.

目的本研究旨在实证探索和比较 COVID-19 大流行之前、期间和之后医疗保健行业与伊斯兰行业之间的动态依赖关系。所使用的数据是所选市场从 2017 年 2 月到 2023 年 10 月的日频价格序列。实证结果发现,有强有力的证据表明 COVID-19 大流行对所研究指数的依赖结构有重大影响:各行业之间的共同运动是确定的。作者还指出,在应对 COVID-19 危机的过程中,医疗保健行业产生了新的依赖结构。通过专门研究伊斯兰行业,本研究揭示了该行业的适应能力、挑战和机遇,为更广泛地讨论大流行病对经济和行业的影响提供了新的视角。此外,本文还进行了全面的时间分析,研究了 COVID-19 封锁之前、期间和之后的动态。这种方法有助于了解医疗保健行业与伊斯兰行业之间的关系是如何随着时间的推移而演变的,同时考虑到短期干扰和长期影响。通过考虑大流行前的背景,本文采用了纵向视角,从而能够更深入地了解历史趋势、结构性因素和制度框架如何塑造医疗保健行业与伊斯兰行业之间的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of audit client’s use of blockchain technology on auditing accounting estimates: evidence from the Middle East 审计客户使用区块链技术对审计会计估计的影响:来自中东的证据
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-08-2023-0499
Hamada Elsaid Elmaasrawy, Omar Ikbal Tawfik, Abdul-Rashid Abdul-Rahaman

Purpose

This study aims to examine the effect of audit client’s use of blockchain (BC) on auditing accounting estimates (AEs), especially the inherent risk (IR), control risk (CR) and collection of audit evidence.

Design/methodology/approach

The study used a questionnaire to collect data for a sample of 249 auditors. A partial least squares method is used to test the hypotheses.

Findings

The results showed positive relationship between audit client’s use of BC and both IR and CR when auditing AEs. The results also showed the BC improves the collection of sufficient and appropriate audit evidence when auditing AEs.

Research limitations/implications

This study did not address all the risks associated with auditing AEs, including fraud, detection, sampling and nonsampling risks, and the procedures and tests for auditing AEs.

Practical implications

There are several implications of this research, including that it informs the revision of auditing standards and guidelines to correspond with successive technological changes, which subsequently clarify the roles and responsibilities of auditors, and the study findings will also cause changes to the design and form of audit procedures so as to obtain sufficient and appropriate audit evidence.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is considered the first of its kind that deals with the effects of audit client’s use of BC on audit AEs in the Middle East and North Africa region. This study also presented different sets of measures as proxies for measuring IR, CR and AE.

目的本研究旨在探讨审计客户使用区块链(BC)对审计会计估计(AEs)的影响,尤其是对固有风险(IR)、控制风险(CR)和审计证据收集的影响。研究结果表明,审计客户在审计 AE 时使用 BC 与 IR 和 CR 之间存在正相关关系。研究局限性/意义本研究并未涉及与审计资产评估相关的所有风险,包括欺诈、检测、抽样和非抽样风险,以及资产评估审计的程序和测试。实际意义本研究有几个方面的意义,包括它为修订审计准则和指南提供了信息,使之与相继发生的技术变革相适应,从而明确了审计师的角色和责任,而且研究结果还将促使审计程序的设计和形式发生变化,以获取充分、适当的审计证据。 原创性/价值据作者所知,本研究被认为是中东和北非地区首个涉及审计客户使用业连对审计预期成果影响的同类研究。本研究还提出了不同的衡量标准,作为衡量内部审计、外部审计和审计结果的替代指标。
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引用次数: 0
Management’s tone change in MD&A and tax avoidance 管理层在 MD&A 和避税中的语气变化
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-01-2024-0005
Yicheng Wang, Brian Wright

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to explore how variations in management’s tone within management’s discussion and analysis (MD&A) sections of 10-K reports can serve as an indicator of tax avoidance and highlight the complex relationship between such linguistic shifts and the tax avoidance decisions within firms.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper uses a textual analysis approach to identify linguistic cues in MD&A sections of 10-K filings related to tax avoidance, going beyond traditional quantitative measures. The study uses differences in negative word occurrences in MD&A to measure management’s tone change and examines various measures of tax avoidance. The sample covers the period from 1993 to 2017 and comprises all firms with 10-K filings available on EDGAR, totaling over 30,000 firm-year observations.

Findings

The findings indicate a complementary relationship between tax avoidance and other drivers of firm performance. When firms have more negative management’s tone, they are less willing to engage in tax avoidance and vice versa. The study’s approach with management’s tone change provides a different and statistically significant improvement in model fit for detecting tax avoidance.

Practical implications

This paper provides actionable insights for detecting tax avoidance through the analysis of management’s tone in corporate disclosures, offering a new tool for researchers, investors and tax authorities. It highlights the importance of linguistic cues as indicators of tax avoidance behavior, complementing traditional financial metrics.

Originality/value

The paper contributes to the literature by using management’s tone change as a time-varying factor to explain tax avoidance behavior. It uncovers a larger set of linguistic cues in MD&A that can be used to detect tax avoidance. This research provides a complementary approach to traditional quantitative tax avoidance measures and offers insights into the overall relationship between tax avoidance and firm performance, going beyond one-dimensional measures typically used in prior literature.

本文旨在探讨 10-K 报告中管理层讨论与分析(MD&A)部分中管理层语气的变化如何作为避税指标,并强调这种语言变化与公司内部避税决策之间的复杂关系。研究利用 MD&A 中负面词汇出现的差异来衡量管理层的语气变化,并对避税的各种衡量标准进行了研究。样本涵盖 1993 年至 2017 年期间,包括所有在 EDGAR 上有 10-K 文件的公司,总计超过 30,000 个公司年观测值。研究结果研究结果表明,避税与公司业绩的其他驱动因素之间存在互补关系。当公司管理层的语气较为消极时,他们参与避税的意愿较低,反之亦然。本文通过分析管理层在企业信息披露中的语气,为研究人员、投资者和税务机关提供了一种新的工具,为检测避税提供了可操作的见解。它强调了语言线索作为避税行为指标的重要性,是对传统财务指标的补充。原创性/价值本文将管理层的语气变化作为解释避税行为的时变因素,为相关文献做出了贡献。它揭示了 MD&A 中可用于检测避税行为的更多语言线索。这项研究为传统的量化避税措施提供了一种补充方法,并为避税与公司业绩之间的整体关系提供了见解,超越了以往文献中通常使用的一维措施。
{"title":"Management’s tone change in MD&A and tax avoidance","authors":"Yicheng Wang, Brian Wright","doi":"10.1108/jfra-01-2024-0005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jfra-01-2024-0005","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The purpose of this paper is to explore how variations in management’s tone within management’s discussion and analysis (MD&amp;A) sections of 10-K reports can serve as an indicator of tax avoidance and highlight the complex relationship between such linguistic shifts and the tax avoidance decisions within firms.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The paper uses a textual analysis approach to identify linguistic cues in MD&amp;A sections of 10-K filings related to tax avoidance, going beyond traditional quantitative measures. The study uses differences in negative word occurrences in MD&amp;A to measure management’s tone change and examines various measures of tax avoidance. The sample covers the period from 1993 to 2017 and comprises all firms with 10-K filings available on EDGAR, totaling over 30,000 firm-year observations.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The findings indicate a complementary relationship between tax avoidance and other drivers of firm performance. When firms have more negative management’s tone, they are less willing to engage in tax avoidance and vice versa. The study’s approach with management’s tone change provides a different and statistically significant improvement in model fit for detecting tax avoidance.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>This paper provides actionable insights for detecting tax avoidance through the analysis of management’s tone in corporate disclosures, offering a new tool for researchers, investors and tax authorities. It highlights the importance of linguistic cues as indicators of tax avoidance behavior, complementing traditional financial metrics.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>The paper contributes to the literature by using management’s tone change as a time-varying factor to explain tax avoidance behavior. It uncovers a larger set of linguistic cues in MD&amp;A that can be used to detect tax avoidance. This research provides a complementary approach to traditional quantitative tax avoidance measures and offers insights into the overall relationship between tax avoidance and firm performance, going beyond one-dimensional measures typically used in prior literature.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":15826,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting","volume":"18 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140200664","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Capital market effects of integrated reporting quality: evidence from South African context 综合报告质量的资本市场效应:来自南非的证据
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-06-2023-0314
Nawar Boujelben, Manal Hadriche, Yosra Makni Fourati

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to examine the interplay between integrated reporting quality (IRQ) and capital markets. More specifically, the authors test the impact of IRQ on stock liquidity, cost of capital and analyst forecast accuracy.

Design/methodology/approach

The sample consists of listed firms on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange in South Africa, covering the period from 2012 to 2020. The IRQ measure used in this study is based on data from Ernst and Young. To test the proposed hypotheses, the authors conducted a generalized least squares regression analysis.

Findings

The empirical results evince a positive relationship between IRQ and stock liquidity. However, the authors did not find a significant effect of IRQ on the cost of capital and financial analysts’ forecast accuracy. In robustness tests, it was shown that firms with a higher IRQ score exhibit higher liquidity and improved analyst forecast accuracy. Additional analysis indicates a negative association between IRQ and the cost of capital, as well as a positive association between IRQ and financial analyst forecast accuracy for firms with higher IRQ scores (TOP ten, Excellent, Good).

Originality/value

The study stands as one of the initial endeavors to investigate the impact of IRQ on the capital market. It provides valuable insights for managers and policymakers who are interested in enhancing disclosure practices within the financial market. Furthermore, these findings are significant for investors as they make informed investment decisions.

目的本研究旨在探讨综合报告质量(IRQ)与资本市场之间的相互作用。更具体地说,作者检验了 IRQ 对股票流动性、资本成本和分析师预测准确性的影响。样本包括南非约翰内斯堡证券交易所的上市公司,时间跨度为 2012 年至 2020 年。本研究使用的 IRQ 指标基于安永会计师事务所的数据。为了检验提出的假设,作者进行了广义最小二乘法回归分析。研究结果实证结果表明,IRQ 与股票流动性之间存在正相关关系。然而,作者并未发现 IRQ 对资本成本和财务分析师预测准确性的显著影响。稳健性测试表明,IRQ 分数越高的公司流动性越高,分析师预测的准确性也越高。其他分析表明,对于 IRQ 分数较高的公司(十佳、优秀、良好),IRQ 与资本成本之间存在负相关关系,IRQ 与财务分析师的预测准确性之间存在正相关关系。它为有意加强金融市场信息披露实践的管理者和政策制定者提供了有价值的见解。此外,这些研究结果对于投资者做出明智的投资决策也具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of environmental, social and governance (ESG) reporting on corporate profitability: evidence from Thailand 环境、社会和治理(ESG)报告对企业盈利能力的影响:来自泰国的证据
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-09-2023-0555
Sirimon Treepongkaruna, Muttanachai Suttipun

Purpose

The United Nations' sustainable development goals (SDGs) put together a global framework in an attempt to address environmental, social and governance (ESG) concerns. Measuring a company’s contribution to the SDGs relies heavily on ESG reporting. This paper aims to examine the impact of ESG reporting on the corporate profitability of listed companies in Thailand over the period of 2019–2021.

Design/methodology/approach

Using 147 listed firms in the ESG group, content analysis was used to quantify the ESG reporting (within 11 themes), while corporate profitability was measured by return on asset and return on equity. Descriptive analysis, correlation matrix and panel regression are used to analyze the data of this study.

Findings

Consistent with the legitimacy, stakeholder and signaling theories, the authors found a statistically significant and positive impact of ESG reporting on corporate profitability in Thailand.

Originality/value

The findings highlight the importance of incorporating ESG considerations into companies’ reporting and decision-making processes, as these can enhance firm profitability and performance, attract stakeholders, improve their competitive advantage and step toward sustainability.

目的联合国的可持续发展目标(SDGs)建立了一个全球框架,试图解决环境、社会和治理(ESG)问题。衡量一家公司对可持续发展目标的贡献在很大程度上依赖于 ESG 报告。本文旨在研究 2019-2021 年期间,ESG 报告对泰国上市公司企业盈利能力的影响。设计/方法/途径利用 ESG 组中的 147 家上市公司,采用内容分析法对 ESG 报告(11 个主题)进行量化,并通过资产回报率和股本回报率衡量企业盈利能力。研究结果作者发现,ESG 报告对泰国企业的盈利能力有显著的积极影响,这与合法性理论、利益相关者理论和信号传递理论相一致。
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引用次数: 0
Auditor’s response to firm’s environmental violations and engagement in supplemental environmental projects 审计师对公司环境违规行为的回应以及参与补充环境项目的情况
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-12-2023-0739
Ammad Ahmed, Atia Hussain

Purpose

In this study, the authors investigate a pressing concern: how auditors react to their clients facing repercussions due to environmental violations. More specifically, this study aims to examine how environmental engagements, which carry potential risks and liabilities, influence auditors’ decision-making and fee structure.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses unique, reliable and actual violation data from the United States Environmental Protection Agency (US-EPA) from 2000 to 2015, focusing on clients involved in environmental violations that led to legal prosecution and penalties and those who subsequently engaged in voluntary supplemental environmental projects (SEPs). The authors use the ordinary least squares method to test the authors’ main research question and later use propensity score matching and alternate data source (ASSET4) to check the robustness of the authors’ results.

Findings

The authors find that firms with environmental violations are more susceptible to auditor resignation. Moreover, the environmental violator firms that maintain their engagement with auditors pay significantly higher audit fees compared to non-environmental violator firms. Furthermore, these environmental violator firms also face extended audit report delays and take longer to appoint a new auditor.

Originality/value

This study provides an additional consequence of environmental violations, namely, increased chances of auditor resignation and higher audit fees, alongside the penalties imposed by the US-EPA. Moreover, the authors’ findings position environmental violations and participation in SEPs as important factors in auditors’ business risk assessment.

目的在本研究中,作者调查了一个亟待解决的问题:审计师如何应对客户因环境违规而面临的影响。更具体地说,本研究旨在探讨具有潜在风险和责任的环境业务如何影响审计师的决策和收费结构。本研究使用了美国环境保护局(US-EPA)在 2000 年至 2015 年期间提供的独特、可靠和实际的违规数据,重点关注涉及导致法律起诉和处罚的环境违规行为的客户,以及随后参与自愿补充环境项目(SEP)的客户。作者使用普通最小二乘法检验了作者的主要研究问题,随后使用倾向得分匹配和备用数据源(ASSET4)检验了作者结果的稳健性。研究结果作者发现,存在环境违规行为的公司更容易出现审计师辞职的情况。此外,与非环境违规公司相比,与审计师保持联系的环境违规公司支付的审计费用要高得多。此外,这些环境违规企业还面临审计报告延期的问题,并且需要更长的时间来任命新的审计师。此外,作者的研究结果还将环境违法行为和参与 SEPs 定义为审计师业务风险评估的重要因素。
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引用次数: 0
Earnings predictability or truthfulness? Which one investors care more about 收益可预测性还是真实性?投资者更关心哪一个
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-11-2023-0642
Shihui Fan, Yan Zhou

Purpose

This study aims to investigate the impact of earnings predictability and truthfulness on nonprofessional investors’ investment willingness.

Design/methodology/approach

Earnings predictability is captured by quarterly earnings autocorrelation, and earnings truthfulness is indicated by real earnings management (REM). The average of investment attractiveness and willingness measures investment willingness. The authors use experiments to isolate the impact of quarterly earnings autocorrelation and REM on investors’ investment behaviors.

Findings

From the 2 × 2 design, the authors observe that investors weight more on earnings predictability than earnings truthfulness.

Research limitations/implications

The generalization of the findings may be constrained for the following reasons. First, the authors use only one proxy, REM, to measure earnings truthfulness. In addition, the authors provide the participants, Amazon Mechanical Turk, with earnings predictability. Results may no longer hold if each participant has different understanding and analysis of earnings predictability.

Practical implications

In periods of unprecedented and severe financial uncertainty (i.e. the COVID-19 pandemic), investors rely more on earnings predictability than on earnings truthfulness. The study assists managers to strategically emphasize the predictability of earnings to attract investors, especially when firms face financial challenges or uncertainty.

Social implications

This study contributes to understanding investor behavior and the critical role of earnings predictability and truthfulness in shaping investment decisions.

Originality/value

This paper contributes to the literature of earnings properties in financial reporting, particularly by shedding light on the nuanced interplay between earnings predictability and earnings truthfulness. The research also demonstrates that elevated earnings autocorrelation indirectly stimulates investment willingness by enhancing the investors’ perception of earnings persistence of targeted firms.

目的 本研究旨在探讨收益可预测性和收益真实性对非专业投资者投资意愿的影响。投资吸引力和投资意愿的平均值衡量投资意愿。作者利用实验分离了季度收益自相关性和真实收益管理对投资者投资行为的影响。研究结果作者从 2 × 2 设计中观察到,投资者更看重收益可预测性,而不是收益真实性。研究局限/意义由于以下原因,研究结果的推广可能会受到限制。首先,作者只使用了一个替代指标 REM 来衡量盈利真实性。此外,作者还为亚马逊 Mechanical Turk 的参与者提供了收益可预测性。实际意义在前所未有的严重金融不确定性时期(如 COVID-19 大流行),投资者更依赖于盈利的可预测性,而不是盈利的真实性。本研究有助于管理者在战略上强调盈利的可预测性以吸引投资者,尤其是当公司面临财务挑战或不确定性时。社会意义本研究有助于理解投资者行为以及盈利的可预测性和真实性在影响投资决策中的关键作用。研究还表明,盈利自相关性的提高会增强投资者对目标公司盈利持续性的感知,从而间接刺激投资意愿。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting and assessing bankruptcy risk: the role of accounting conservatism and business strategies 预测和评估破产风险:会计保守主义和企业战略的作用
IF 2.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1108/jfra-07-2023-0388
Anas Ghazalat, Said AlHallaq

Purpose

This study aims to investigate the effect of accounting conservatism and business strategies as mitigating tools for bankruptcy risk. It determines the association among these factors and provides insights into the effectiveness of accounting discretion and business strategies in decision-making.

Design/methodology/approach

The study uses a sample of 83 nonfinancial listed firms in ASE for the period from 2013 to 2019. Bankruptcy risk is measured using the Altman Z-score (1968). Accounting conservatism is measured using the accrual-based approach, and optimal business strategies are identified through cluster analysis.

Findings

The results indicate that accounting conservatism has a significant negative effect on bankruptcy risk. Increased application of accounting conservatism practices leads to a decrease in the level of bankruptcy risk. However, the type of business strategy adopted by firms does not have a significant impact on bankruptcy risk, suggesting that firms are not effectively implementing their strategies to mitigate this risk.

Research limitations/implications

This study focuses on nonfinancial listed firms in the ASE, limiting the generalizability of the findings to other contexts. The study's findings contribute to the understanding of the role of accounting conservatism in reducing bankruptcy risk but highlight the need for further research on the effectiveness of business strategies in mitigating this risk.

Originality/value

This study lies in understanding of the role of accounting discretion in financial evaluations and emphasizes the importance of accounting conservatism as a tool for mitigating bankruptcy risk. The study's insights provide valuable guidance to practitioners, regulators and researchers in this field.

目的 本研究旨在探讨会计保守主义和商业战略作为降低破产风险工具的效果。该研究确定了这些因素之间的关联,并深入探讨了会计自由裁量权和商业战略在决策中的有效性。破产风险采用 Altman Z-score(1968 年)衡量。研究结果表明,会计保守主义对破产风险有显著的负面影响。更多采用会计保守主义做法会降低破产风险水平。然而,企业所采取的经营战略类型对破产风险并无显著影响,这表明企业并未有效实施其战略以降低破产风险。研究结果有助于理解会计保守主义在降低破产风险方面的作用,但强调了进一步研究企业战略在降低这一风险方面的有效性的必要性。本研究的见解为该领域的从业人员、监管者和研究人员提供了宝贵的指导。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting
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