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Prediction of Microvascular Invasion and Recurrence After Curative Resection of LI-RADS Category 5 Hepatocellular Carcinoma on Gd-BOPTA Enhanced MRI 通过钆-BOPTA 增强磁共振成像预测 LI-RADS 5 类肝细胞癌治愈性切除术后的微血管侵犯和复发情况
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s459686
Juan Zhang, Yinqiao Li, Jinju Xia, Xingpeng Pan, Lun Lu, Jiazhao Fu, Ningyang Jia
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引用次数: 0
Integration of Single-Cell RNA Sequencing and Bulk RNA Sequencing to Identify an Immunogenic Cell Death-Related 5-Gene Prognostic Signature in Hepatocellular Carcinoma 整合单细胞 RNA 测序和大容量 RNA 测序,确定肝细胞癌中与免疫原性细胞死亡相关的 5 基因预后特征
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s449419
Liqun Peng, Shaohua Xu, Jian-Liang Xu
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引用次数: 0
A Novel Nomogram to Predict Prognosis in Elderly Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients After Ablation Therapy 预测老年早期肝细胞癌患者消融治疗后预后的新提名图
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s459250
Xiaomeng Tang, Qi Wang, Ronghua Jin, Caixia Hu
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引用次数: 0
A Novel Nomogram to Predict Prognosis of Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy Plus Anti-PD1 预测采用强度调节放疗加抗 PD1 治疗的晚期肝细胞癌预后的新提名图
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s459683
Meiling He, Chunfeng Liang, Yadan Pang, Mengjie Jiang, Meiying Long, Zhongqiang Yao, Xiaoting Wang, Ruijun Zhang, Qiaoyuan Wu, Shixiong Liang, Jianxu Li
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引用次数: 0
Preoperative Antiviral Therapy and Long-Term Outcomes for Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Liver Resection: A Multicenter Analysis 肝脏根治性切除术后乙型肝炎病毒相关肝细胞癌的术前抗病毒治疗与长期疗效:多中心分析
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s457135
Mu-Gen Dai, Si-Yu Liu, Lin Zhu, Wen-Feng Lu, Gui-Lin Xie, Lei Liang, Junwu Liu, Bin Ye
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引用次数: 0
A Modified Targetoid Feature Emphasizing Thin-Rim APHE to Improve the Diagnostic Performance of LI-RADS for Malignant Hepatic Tumors 一种强调薄缘 APHE 的改良 Targetoid 特征可提高 LI-RADS 对恶性肝肿瘤的诊断性能
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-04-26 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s448257
Runqian Huang, Chunling Zheng, Guixiao Xu, Xuanwei Chen, Jingxian Shen, Siyue Mao
Objective: To identify imaging features that help distinguish between HCCs and non-HCC malignancies assigned to LI-RADS M (LR-M) and evaluate the diagnostic performance of a LI-RADS with targetoid criteria using thin-rim arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE).
Materials and Methods: This retrospective study included 381 patients (387 observations) at high-risk for HCC who underwent enhanced-MRI before surgery. Three radiologists reviewed images for LI-RADS categorization of hepatic observations. Univariate and multivariate analysis was conducted to determine reliable features to differentiate between HCC and non-HCC malignancies among the LR-M lesions. The thin-rim (< 30%) APHE was defined based on the thickest thickness of rim APHE compared with the tumor radius, and a modified LI-RADS emphasizing thin-rim APHE as a specific feature of LR-M was established. We compared the diagnostic performance of modified LR-M and LI-RADS 5 (LR-5) with the conventional one.
Results: Thin-rim APHE and targetoid diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) were found as independent predictive factors of non-HCC malignancies, while enhancing capsule, thick-rim APHE and peripheral washout were noted as independent variables significantly associated with HCC of LR-M (P< 0.05). The noticeable diagnostic performance of thin-rim APHE in distinguishing non-HCC malignancies from HCCs using the ROC curve. Emphasizing thin-rim APHE on targetoid features, the modified LR-M revealed significantly superior specificity and accuracy (89.4% vs 81.1%, P=0.004; and 87.9% vs 82.2%, P=0.027, respectively) while maintaining high sensitivity (82.2% vs 86.0%; P=0.529) compared with the LR-M. Meanwhile, the modified LR-5 achieved greater sensitivity and accuracy (88.6% vs 79.7%, P=0.004; and 85.8% vs 80.1%, P=0.036, respectively) for diagnosing HCC, without compromising specificity (78.3% vs.81.1%; P=0.608) compared with the LR-5.
Conclusion: Thin-rim APHE may be the specific imaging feature for differentiating non-HCC malignancies from HCCs within LR-M. The modified targetoid criteria emphasizing thin-rim APHE can improve the diagnostic performance of LI-RADS for hepatic malignancies.

Keywords: hepatic tumors, malignant, targetoid feature, Rim APHE, liver imaging reporting and data system
目的确定有助于区分HCC和被归入LI-RADS M(LR-M)的非HCC恶性肿瘤的成像特征,并评估使用薄缘动脉相增强(APHE)的LI-RADS的诊断性能:这项回顾性研究纳入了 381 例(观察 387 例)HCC 高危患者,他们都在手术前接受了增强型 MRI 检查。三名放射科医生对图像进行了审查,以便对肝脏观察结果进行 LI-RADS 分类。我们进行了单变量和多变量分析,以确定在 LR-M 病变中区分 HCC 和非 HCC 恶性肿瘤的可靠特征。根据APHE边缘与肿瘤半径相比的最厚厚度定义了薄边缘(< 30% )APHE,并建立了强调薄边缘APHE作为LR-M特异特征的改良LI-RADS。我们比较了改良 LR-M 和 LI-RADS 5(LR-5)与传统 LR-M 的诊断性能:结果:发现薄缘 APHE 和靶状弥散加权成像(DWI)是非 HCC 恶性肿瘤的独立预测因素,而增强囊、厚缘 APHE 和外周冲洗是与 LR-M HCC 显著相关的独立变量(P< 0.05)。利用 ROC 曲线,薄缘 APHE 在区分非 HCC 恶性肿瘤和 HCC 方面具有明显的诊断性能。与 LR-M 相比,强调薄层 APHE 靶状特征的改良 LR-M 在保持高灵敏度(82.2% vs 86.0%;P=0.529)的同时,特异性和准确性也明显优于 LR-M(分别为 89.4% vs 81.1%,P=0.004;87.9% vs 82.2%,P=0.027)。同时,与 LR-5 相比,改良 LR-5 诊断 HCC 的灵敏度和准确性更高(分别为 88.6% vs 79.7%,P=0.004;85.8% vs 80.1%,P=0.036),而特异性(78.3% vs 81.1%;P=0.608)却没有降低:薄缘 APHE 可能是 LR-M 鉴别非 HCC 恶性肿瘤和 HCC 的特异性成像特征。关键词:肝脏肿瘤;恶性;类靶组织特征;Rim APHE;肝脏成像报告和数据系统
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引用次数: 0
Triglyceride-Glucose Index is an Independent Risk Factor for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development in Patients with HBV-Related Liver Cirrhosis 甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数是 HBV 相关性肝硬化患者发生肝细胞癌的独立风险因素
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s454037
Su-Hua Yang, Yi-Shan He, Shu-Qin Zheng, Xiu-Jun Zhang, Hong Dai, Yuan Xue
Aim: This study aimed to explore the effects of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related liver cirrhosis (LC).
Methods: A total of 242 patients with HBV-related LC were enrolled and followed-up. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate risk factors for HCC.
Results: The median follow-up time was 37 months (range: 6– 123 months). At the end of the follow-up, 11 (11.3%) patients with compensated cirrhosis (CC) and 45 (31.0%) with decompensated cirrhosis (DC) developed HCC. The TyG index was higher in the HCC group than in the non-HCC group (P=0.05). Univariate analysis showed that age (P< 0.01), DC (P< 0.01), TyG index (P=0.08), albumin (ALB) level (P=0.05), platelet (PLT) count (P< 0.01), and HBV DNA positivity (P< 0.01) were associated with HCC development. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, DC, TyG index, PLT count, and HBV DNA positivity were independent risk factors for HCC development (P=0.01, 0.01, < 0.01, 0.05, and < 0.01, respectively). For patients with DC, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age, TyG index, and HBV DNA positivity were independent risk factors for HCC development (all P< 0.05). A new model encompassing age, DC, TyG, PLT, and positive HBV DNA had optimal predictive accuracy in patients with DC or CC, with a cutoff value of 0.197. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of the model for predicting HCC development in patients with LC, DC, and CC were 0.778, 0.721, and 0.783, respectively.
Conclusion: TyG index was identified as an independent risk factor for HCC development in patients with LC.

Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, triglyceride-glucose index, insulin resistance, liver cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis
目的:本研究旨在探讨甘油三酯-葡萄糖(TyG)指数对乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)相关肝硬化(LC)患者肝细胞癌(HCC)发展的影响:方法:共登记并随访了242例HBV相关肝硬化患者。结果:中位随访时间为 37 个月:中位随访时间为 37 个月(6-123 个月)。随访结束时,11 例(11.3%)代偿期肝硬化(CC)患者和 45 例(31.0%)失代偿期肝硬化(DC)患者发展为 HCC。HCC 组的 TyG 指数高于非 HCC 组(P=0.05)。单变量分析显示,年龄(P< 0.01)、DC(P< 0.01)、TyG 指数(P=0.08)、白蛋白(ALB)水平(P=0.05)、血小板(PLT)计数(P< 0.01)和 HBV DNA 阳性(P< 0.01)与 HCC 的发生有关。多变量分析表明,年龄、DC、TyG 指数、PLT 计数和 HBV DNA 阳性是 HCC 发生的独立危险因素(分别为 P=0.01、0.01、< 0.01、0.05 和 < 0.01)。对于 DC 患者,多变量逻辑回归分析显示,年龄、TyG 指数和 HBV DNA 阳性是 HCC 发生的独立危险因素(均为 P<0.05)。一个包含年龄、DC、TyG、PLT 和 HBV DNA 阳性的新模型对 DC 或 CC 患者具有最佳预测准确性,临界值为 0.197。该模型预测LC、DC和CC患者发生HCC的接收者操作特征曲线下面积(AUROCs)分别为0.778、0.721和0.783:关键词:肝细胞癌;甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数;胰岛素抵抗;肝硬化;失代偿期肝硬化
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引用次数: 0
Adjuvant Transarterial Chemoembolization Plus Immunotherapy for Huge Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Propensity Score Matching Cohort Study 巨大肝细胞癌辅助经动脉化疗栓塞加免疫疗法:倾向得分匹配队列研究
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s455878
Hongwei Huang, Wei Liao, Kaiyue Zhang, Hao Wang, Qi Cheng, Bin Mei
Purpose: The prognosis of patients with huge hepatocellular carcinoma (huge HCC, diameter ≥ 10 cm) is poor owing to the high early recurrence rate. This study aimed to explore the clinical value of postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) plus programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) inhibitors for huge HCC.
Patients and Methods: Data from consecutive huge HCC patients treated with hepatectomy during June 2017 and July 2022 were retrospectively collected. Baseline differences were balanced between huge HCC patients who underwent PA-TACE with (AIT group) or without PD-1 inhibitors (AT group) by propensity-score matching (PSM). We compared recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS) and recurrence patterns between the two groups. Independent risk factors for RFS and OS were confirmed by Cox regression analysis, and subgroup analysis was also conducted.
Results: A total of 294 patients were enrolled, and 77 pairs of patients in the AIT and AT groups were matched by PSM. The 1-year and 2-year RFS were 49.9% and 35.7% in the AIT group compared to 24.7% and 15.5% in the AT group respectively (p< 0.001). The 1-year and 2-year OS were 83.6% and 66.9% in the AIT group compared to 50.6% and 36.8% in the AT group respectively (p< 0.001). There were no significant differences in recurrence patterns between the two groups. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that combined therapy of PA-TACE plus PD-1 inhibitors was a protective factor related to both RFS and OS.
Conclusion: PA-TACE plus PD-1 inhibitors could improve survival outcomes for huge HCC patients.

Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, postoperative adjuvant therapy, programmed cell death-1 inhibitors, transarterial chemoembolization, early recurrence
目的:巨大肝细胞癌(巨大HCC,直径≥10厘米)患者由于早期复发率高而预后较差。本研究旨在探讨巨大肝细胞癌术后辅助经动脉化疗栓塞(PA-TACE)加程序性细胞死亡-1(PD-1)抑制剂的临床价值:回顾性收集2017年6月至2022年7月期间接受肝切除术治疗的连续巨大HCC患者的数据。通过倾向分数匹配(PSM)平衡了接受PA-TACE治疗并使用(AIT组)或不使用PD-1抑制剂(AT组)的巨大HCC患者之间的基线差异。我们比较了两组患者的无复发生存期(RFS)、总生存期(OS)和复发模式。通过Cox回归分析确认了RFS和OS的独立风险因素,并进行了亚组分析:共有294名患者入组,77对AIT组和AT组患者进行了PSM配对。AIT组的1年和2年RFS分别为49.9%和35.7%,而AT组分别为24.7%和15.5%(p< 0.001)。AIT组的1年和2年OS分别为83.6%和66.9%,而AT组分别为50.6%和36.8%(p< 0.001)。两组的复发模式无明显差异。多变量分析表明,PA-TACE加PD-1抑制剂的联合治疗是RFS和OS的保护因素:PA-TACE加PD-1抑制剂可改善巨大HCC患者的生存预后。 关键词:肝细胞癌;术后辅助治疗;程序性细胞死亡-1抑制剂;经动脉化疗栓塞;早期复发
{"title":"Adjuvant Transarterial Chemoembolization Plus Immunotherapy for Huge Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Propensity Score Matching Cohort Study","authors":"Hongwei Huang, Wei Liao, Kaiyue Zhang, Hao Wang, Qi Cheng, Bin Mei","doi":"10.2147/jhc.s455878","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2147/jhc.s455878","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Purpose:</strong> The prognosis of patients with huge hepatocellular carcinoma (huge HCC, diameter ≥ 10 cm) is poor owing to the high early recurrence rate. This study aimed to explore the clinical value of postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) plus programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) inhibitors for huge HCC.<br/><strong>Patients and Methods:</strong> Data from consecutive huge HCC patients treated with hepatectomy during June 2017 and July 2022 were retrospectively collected. Baseline differences were balanced between huge HCC patients who underwent PA-TACE with (AIT group) or without PD-1 inhibitors (AT group) by propensity-score matching (PSM). We compared recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS) and recurrence patterns between the two groups. Independent risk factors for RFS and OS were confirmed by Cox regression analysis, and subgroup analysis was also conducted.<br/><strong>Results:</strong> A total of 294 patients were enrolled, and 77 pairs of patients in the AIT and AT groups were matched by PSM. The 1-year and 2-year RFS were 49.9% and 35.7% in the AIT group compared to 24.7% and 15.5% in the AT group respectively (p&lt; 0.001). The 1-year and 2-year OS were 83.6% and 66.9% in the AIT group compared to 50.6% and 36.8% in the AT group respectively (p&lt; 0.001). There were no significant differences in recurrence patterns between the two groups. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that combined therapy of PA-TACE plus PD-1 inhibitors was a protective factor related to both RFS and OS.<br/><strong>Conclusion:</strong> PA-TACE plus PD-1 inhibitors could improve survival outcomes for huge HCC patients.<br/><br/><strong>Keywords:</strong> hepatocellular carcinoma, postoperative adjuvant therapy, programmed cell death-1 inhibitors, transarterial chemoembolization, early recurrence<br/>","PeriodicalId":15906,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2024-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140572779","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Macroscopic Characterization of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Underexploited Source of Prognostic Factors 肝细胞癌的宏观特征:未被充分利用的预后因素来源
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-04-06 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s447848
Stéphanie Gonvers, Sebastiao N Martins-Filho, André Hirayama, Julien Calderaro, Rebecca Phillips, Emilie Uldry, Nicolas Demartines, Emmanuel Melloul, Young Nyun Park, Valérie Paradis, Swan N Thung, Venancio Alves, Christine Sempoux, Ismail Labgaa
Abstract: The macroscopic appearance of a tumor such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may be defined as its phenotype which is de facto dictated by its genotype. Therefore, macroscopic characteristics of HCC are unlikely random but rather reflect genomic traits of cancer, presumably acting as a valuable source of information that can be retrieved and exploited to infer prognosis. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the available data on the prognostic value of macroscopic characterization in HCC. A total of 57 studies meeting eligible criteria were identified, including patients undergoing liver resection (LR; 47 studies, 83%) or liver transplant (LT; 9 studies, 16%). The following macroscopic variables were investigated: tumor size (n = 42 studies), number of nodules (n = 28), vascular invasion (n = 24), bile duct invasion (n = 6), growth pattern (n = 15), resection margin (n = 11), tumor location (n = 6), capsule (n = 2) and satellite (n = 1). Although the selected studies provided insightful data with notable prognostic performances, a lack of standardization and substantial gaps were noted in the report and the analysis of gross findings. This topic remains incompletely covered. While the available studies underscored the value of macroscopic variables in HCC prognostication, important lacks were also observed. Macroscopic characterization of HCC is likely an underexploited source of prognostic factors that must be actively explored by future multidisciplinary research.

Keywords: liver cancer, HCC, prognostication, gross, survival, recurrence
摘要:肝细胞癌(HCC)等肿瘤的宏观外观可定义为其表型,而表型事实上由其基因型决定。因此,HCC 的宏观特征不可能是随机的,而是反映了癌症的基因组特征,可以作为宝贵的信息来源,检索和利用这些信息来推断预后。本综述旨在全面概述有关 HCC 宏观特征预后价值的现有数据。共确定了 57 项符合合格标准的研究,包括接受肝切除术(LR;47 项研究,83%)或肝移植(LT;9 项研究,16%)的患者。对以下宏观变量进行了调查:肿瘤大小(42 项研究)、结节数量(28 项研究)、血管侵犯(24 项研究)、胆管侵犯(6 项研究)、生长模式(15 项研究)、切除边缘(11 项研究)、肿瘤位置(6 项研究)、囊肿(2 项研究)和卫星(1 项研究)。尽管所选研究提供的数据很有洞察力,预后效果显著,但在报告和对粗略结果的分析中,我们注意到缺乏标准化和存在很大差距。对这一主题的研究仍然不够全面。虽然现有研究强调了宏观变量在 HCC 预后中的价值,但也发现了重要的不足之处。HCC的宏观特征可能是预后因素中一个未被充分利用的来源,未来的多学科研究必须对其进行积极探索。关键词:肝癌、HCC、预后、大体、生存、复发
{"title":"Macroscopic Characterization of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Underexploited Source of Prognostic Factors","authors":"Stéphanie Gonvers, Sebastiao N Martins-Filho, André Hirayama, Julien Calderaro, Rebecca Phillips, Emilie Uldry, Nicolas Demartines, Emmanuel Melloul, Young Nyun Park, Valérie Paradis, Swan N Thung, Venancio Alves, Christine Sempoux, Ismail Labgaa","doi":"10.2147/jhc.s447848","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2147/jhc.s447848","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract:</strong> The macroscopic appearance of a tumor such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may be defined as its phenotype which is <em>de facto</em> dictated by its genotype. Therefore, macroscopic characteristics of HCC are unlikely random but rather reflect genomic traits of cancer, presumably acting as a valuable source of information that can be retrieved and exploited to infer prognosis. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the available data on the prognostic value of macroscopic characterization in HCC. A total of 57 studies meeting eligible criteria were identified, including patients undergoing liver resection (LR; 47 studies, 83%) or liver transplant (LT; 9 studies, 16%). The following macroscopic variables were investigated: tumor size (n = 42 studies), number of nodules (n = 28), vascular invasion (n = 24), bile duct invasion (n = 6), growth pattern (n = 15), resection margin (n = 11), tumor location (n = 6), capsule (n = 2) and satellite (n = 1). Although the selected studies provided insightful data with notable prognostic performances, a lack of standardization and substantial gaps were noted in the report and the analysis of gross findings. This topic remains incompletely covered. While the available studies underscored the value of macroscopic variables in HCC prognostication, important lacks were also observed. Macroscopic characterization of HCC is likely an underexploited source of prognostic factors that must be actively explored by future multidisciplinary research. <br/><br/><strong>Keywords:</strong> liver cancer, HCC, prognostication, gross, survival, recurrence<br/>","PeriodicalId":15906,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2024-04-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140572715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Patients Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Hepatectomy 肝切除术后接受经导管化疗栓塞治疗复发性肝细胞癌患者的提名图的开发与验证
IF 4.1 3区 医学 Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s444682
Diyang Xie, Zhongchen Li, Jia Yuan, Xin Yin, Rongxin Chen, Lan Zhang, Zhenggang Ren
Purpose: This study aims to establish a prognostic nomogram for patients who underwent transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy.
Patients and Methods: Patients who underwent TACE for recurrent early- and middle-stage HCC after hepatectomy between 2009.01 and 2015.12 were included. Enrolled patients were randomly divided into training (n=345) and validation (n=173) cohorts according to a computer-generated randomized number. Independent factors for overall survival (OS) were determined and included in the nomogram based on the univariate and multivariate analyses of the training group. The nomogram was validated and compared to other prognostic models. Discriminative ability and predictive accuracy were determined using the Harrell C index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and calibration curve.
Results: The final nomogram was established based on four parameters including resection-to-TACE time interval, recurrent tumor diameter, recurrent tumor number, and AFP level. The C-indexes of the nomogram for predicting OS were 0.67 (95% CI 0.63– 0.70) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.68– 0.74) in the training and validation cohort respectively. The AUROCs for predicting the 1-year, 2-year and 3-year OS based on the nomogram were also superior to those of the other models. The calibration curve for 3-year survival showed a high congruence between the predicted and actual survival probabilities. According to the scores calculated by the nomogram, patients were stratified into three subgroups: high-risk (scoring ≥ 53 points), middle-risk (scoring ≥ 26 and < 53 points), and low-risk (scoring < 26 points) subgroups with a median OS of 10.1 (95% CI 0.63– 0.70), 20.3 (95% CI 17.5– 22.5) and 47.0 (95% CI 34.2– 59.8) months, respectively.
Conclusion: The proposed nomogram served as a new tool to predict individual survival in patients who underwent TACE for recurrent HCC after hepatectomy, with favorable performance and discrimination. For high-risk patients, treatment should be optimized beyond TACE alone based on the nomogram.

Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, transarterial chemoembolization, nomogram
目的:本研究旨在为接受经动脉化疗栓塞术(TACE)治疗肝切除术后复发性肝细胞癌(HCC)的患者建立预后提名图:纳入2009年1月至2015年12月期间因肝切除术后复发的早期和中期HCC而接受TACE治疗的患者。根据计算机生成的随机编号,入组患者被随机分为训练组(n=345)和验证组(n=173)。根据训练组的单变量和多变量分析,确定了总生存期(OS)的独立因素,并将其纳入提名图。对提名图进行了验证,并与其他预后模型进行了比较。使用哈雷尔C指数(C-index)、接收者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)和校准曲线确定了判别能力和预测准确性:最终的提名图是根据切除到TACE的时间间隔、复发肿瘤直径、复发肿瘤数目和AFP水平等四个参数制定的。在训练队列和验证队列中,提名图预测 OS 的 C 指数分别为 0.67(95% CI 0.63-0.70)和 0.71(95% CI 0.68-0.74)。基于提名图预测 1 年、2 年和 3 年 OS 的 AUROC 也优于其他模型。3 年生存率的校准曲线显示,预测的生存概率与实际生存概率高度一致。根据提名图计算的得分,患者被分为三个亚组:高危亚组(得分≥53分)、中危亚组(得分≥26分和< 53分)和低危亚组(得分< 26分),中位OS分别为10.1个月(95% CI 0.63-0.70)、20.3个月(95% CI 17.5-22.5)和47.0个月(95% CI 34.2-59.8):所提出的提名图是预测肝切除术后接受TACE治疗的复发性HCC患者个体生存率的新工具,具有良好的性能和区分度。对于高危患者,应根据提名图优化治疗,而不仅仅是TACE。 关键词:肝细胞癌、经动脉化疗栓塞、提名图
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma
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