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The Long Non-Coding RNA SNHG16 Negatively Regulates Let-7 and Predicts Recurrence in Hepatocellular Carcinoma. 长链非编码RNA SNHG16负调控Let-7并预测肝细胞癌复发
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-23 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S548493
Wenxia Shi, Jingjing Dong, Hailin Li, Li Jing, Hua Guo, Tong Liu, Chenglong Li, Yingtang Gao

Purpose: Let-7, a family of microRNA (miRNA) that regulates the timing of cell division, is associated with tumorigenesis and tumor progression. The factors that regulate let-7 and affect the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) warrant further investigation.

Patients and methods: In this study, we first utilized the data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and employed bioinformatics methods to analyze the expression and function of let-7 in HCC. Subsequently, we retrieved the long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) that regulate let-7 from the StarBase database. Finally, through bioinformatics analysis of the TCGA-LIHC data and validation with clinical samples, we explored the relationship between let-7 and its related lncRNAs and clinical indicators such as HCC recurrence and survival.

Results: Let-7c was significantly downregulated in HCC, regulating tumor progression via pathways like PI3K-Akt and tumor-related miRNAs. LncRNAs SNHG16 negatively regulated let-7c expression in HCC (r = -0.160, p = 0.002). Both bioinformatics analysis and clinical sample validation revealed that high SNHG16 expression in HCC tissues was associated with shorter disease-free survival (HR = 1.711, 95% CI: 1.144-2.559, p = 0.009), higher recurrence rates (p < 0.001), and shorter overall survival (HR = 1.837, 95% CI: 1.283-2.629, p = 0.001).

Conclusion: SNHG16 negatively regulates let-7c and serves as a prognostic biomarker for HCC recurrence and survival.

目的:Let-7是一个调节细胞分裂时间的microRNA (miRNA)家族,与肿瘤发生和肿瘤进展有关。调控let-7并影响肝细胞癌(HCC)预后的因素有待进一步研究。患者和方法:在本研究中,我们首先利用癌症基因组图谱(TCGA)的数据,采用生物信息学方法分析了let-7在HCC中的表达和功能。随后,我们从StarBase数据库中检索了调节let-7的长链非编码rna (lncRNAs)。最后,通过TCGA-LIHC数据的生物信息学分析和临床样本验证,探讨let-7及其相关lncrna与HCC复发、生存等临床指标的关系。结果:Let-7c在HCC中显著下调,通过PI3K-Akt和肿瘤相关mirna等途径调控肿瘤进展。LncRNAs SNHG16负调控HCC中let-7c的表达(r = -0.160, p = 0.002)。生物信息学分析和临床样本验证均显示,HCC组织中SNHG16高表达与较短的无病生存期(HR = 1.711, 95% CI: 1.144-2.559, p = 0.009)、较高的复发率(p < 0.001)和较短的总生存期(HR = 1.837, 95% CI: 1.283-2.629, p = 0.001)相关。结论:SNHG16负调控let-7c,可作为HCC复发和生存的预后生物标志物。
{"title":"The Long Non-Coding RNA SNHG16 Negatively Regulates Let-7 and Predicts Recurrence in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.","authors":"Wenxia Shi, Jingjing Dong, Hailin Li, Li Jing, Hua Guo, Tong Liu, Chenglong Li, Yingtang Gao","doi":"10.2147/JHC.S548493","DOIUrl":"10.2147/JHC.S548493","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>Let-7, a family of microRNA (miRNA) that regulates the timing of cell division, is associated with tumorigenesis and tumor progression. The factors that regulate let-7 and affect the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) warrant further investigation.</p><p><strong>Patients and methods: </strong>In this study, we first utilized the data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and employed bioinformatics methods to analyze the expression and function of let-7 in HCC. Subsequently, we retrieved the long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) that regulate let-7 from the StarBase database. Finally, through bioinformatics analysis of the TCGA-LIHC data and validation with clinical samples, we explored the relationship between let-7 and its related lncRNAs and clinical indicators such as HCC recurrence and survival.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Let-7c was significantly downregulated in HCC, regulating tumor progression via pathways like PI3K-Akt and tumor-related miRNAs. LncRNAs SNHG16 negatively regulated let-7c expression in HCC (<i>r</i> = -0.160, <i>p =</i> 0.002). Both bioinformatics analysis and clinical sample validation revealed that high SNHG16 expression in HCC tissues was associated with shorter disease-free survival (HR = 1.711, 95% CI: 1.144-2.559, <i>p</i> = 0.009), higher recurrence rates (<i>p</i> < 0.001), and shorter overall survival (HR = 1.837, 95% CI: 1.283-2.629, <i>p</i> = 0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>SNHG16 negatively regulates let-7c and serves as a prognostic biomarker for HCC recurrence and survival.</p>","PeriodicalId":15906,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma","volume":"12 ","pages":"2393-2406"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12558101/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145390430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Immunotherapy-Based Strategies versus Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization and the Impact of Treatment Duration in Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Microvascular Invasion: A Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study. 基于免疫治疗的策略与经导管动脉化疗栓塞以及治疗时间对微血管侵袭的肝细胞癌的影响:一项回顾性多中心队列研究。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-21 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S556979
Xiaokun Chen, Jiali Xing, Baoluhe Zhang, Wei Peng, Ziyue Huang, Taifeng Zhu, Liguo Liu, Xiao Liu, Xueshuai Wan, Yilei Mao, Xiaoyan Chang, Kang Zhou, Jie Pan, Dandan Hu, Haidong Tan, Yaojun Zhang, Mei Guan, Shunda Du

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with microvascular invasion (MVI) is associated with high recurrence risk after curative resection. While adjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have shown potential in improving outcomes, there is no consensus on their optimal duration, and the comparative effectiveness versus transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) remains unclear.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective multicenter cohort study of 399 patients with microvascular invasion-positive hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent curative resection between 2017 and 2024. Patients receiving adjuvant ICIs or TACE were compared. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to adjust baseline differences. The primary endpoint was recurrence-free survival (RFS); overall survival (OS) was assessed as a secondary endpoint. Subgroup analysis evaluated the impact of ICI treatment duration.

Results: Among 399 patients, 132 received TACE alone, and 129 received ICI-based therapy. Median RFS was significantly longer in the ICI group than in the TACE group (35 months vs 16 months; HR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.34-0.72; p = 0.00015). After PSM, ICI remained associated with improved RFS (HR = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.36-0.82; p = 0.0042), while the OS difference was not statistically significant. In the ICI subgroup, treatment duration ≥12 months was associated with superior RFS (HR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.21-0.99; p = 0.041).

Conclusion: Among patients with HCC and MVI following curative resection, adjuvant ICIs therapy provides a significant recurrence-free survival advantage over TACE. Treatment durations shorter than 12 months may be insufficient, supporting the benefit of prolonged therapy.

背景:肝细胞癌(HCC)伴微血管侵犯(MVI)在根治性切除后具有较高的复发风险。虽然辅助免疫检查点抑制剂(ICIs)已显示出改善预后的潜力,但其最佳持续时间尚未达成共识,并且与经导管动脉化疗栓塞(TACE)的比较有效性仍不清楚。方法:我们对2017年至2024年间399例接受根治性切除术的微血管侵袭阳性肝细胞癌患者进行了回顾性多中心队列研究。比较接受辅助ICIs或TACE的患者。倾向得分匹配(PSM)用于调整基线差异。主要终点是无复发生存期(RFS);总生存期(OS)作为次要终点进行评估。亚组分析评估了ICI治疗时间的影响。结果:399例患者中,单独接受TACE治疗132例,以ici为基础的治疗129例。ICI组的中位RFS明显长于TACE组(35个月vs 16个月;HR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.34-0.72; p = 0.00015)。PSM后,ICI仍与RFS改善相关(HR = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.36-0.82; p = 0.0042),而OS差异无统计学意义。在ICI亚组中,治疗时间≥12个月与较好的RFS相关(HR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.21-0.99; p = 0.041)。结论:在根治性切除的HCC和MVI患者中,辅助ICIs治疗比TACE提供了显著的无复发生存优势。治疗持续时间短于12个月可能是不够的,支持延长治疗的好处。
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引用次数: 0
P-ART Score is a New Modification to Improve ART Score Predictive Accuracy for Patients with HCC Undergoing TACE. P-ART评分是一种新的改进方法,可提高肝癌TACE患者ART评分的预测准确性。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-21 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S538225
Ahmed Attia, Esam Ali Elshimi, Zeinab Mohamed Seif Eldin, Mohamed A K L M F Rady, Alzhraa Alkhatib, Asmaa Ibrahim Gomaa, Tamer Refaat Fouad, Imam Waked

Background: Predicting the prognosis of patients with HCC is challenging.

Aim: To evaluate the Assessment for Retreatment with TACE (ART) score in predicting survival after TACE retreatment and the value of adding post-TACE thrombocytopenia in improving its accuracy (P-ART).

Methods: Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages A and B patients underwent TACE retreatment, and records were reviewed. Radiologic tumor response (RTR) after the first TACE was considered a partial response, while the absence of response is a stable or progressive disease. The one year overall survival (OS) from the second TACE was determined.

Results: One hundred and sixty patients included 88.1% men, age 60.7±7.2 years, Child-Pugh class A&B cirrhosis (n=133 and 27, respectively), mostly hepatitis C (96.3%), with BCLC-A&B (n=74 and 86, respectively). RTR was present in 82 patients. Variables associated with poor OS: baseline lower serum albumin and platelet count, besides follow-up absent radiologic tumor response, an increase in AST >25%, an increase in Child-Pugh score, and a fall in platelet count fall ≥10,000/mL3 before TACE2. By multivariate analysis, ART score parameters and platelet count fall were independent predictors of poor survival. RTR absence had the higher risk of mortality by 3.12 times than responding tumors. ART score subgroups (≤1.5 and ≥2.5 points, 81 and 79 patients, respectively) had no significant relation to OS (22.3 vs 16.7 months; P=0.07). On modifying the ART score by adding 3 points for fallen platelet count ≥10,000/mL3 (ART-P score), 113 patients scored 0-5 and 47 scored ≥5.5 with a median OS of 22 vs 11.2 months, respectively (P=0.01).

Conclusion: ART score could not identify patients who will benefit from TACE retreatment in intermediate-stage HCC patients, and the addition of platelet count reduction (P-ART) could improve its prognostic ability.

背景:HCC患者的预后预测具有挑战性。目的:评价TACE再治疗评估(ART)评分对TACE再治疗患者生存期的预测价值,以及增加TACE后血小板减少对提高其准确性的价值。方法:回顾性分析巴塞罗那临床肝癌(BCLC) A、B期患者的TACE再治疗记录。第一次TACE后的放射学肿瘤反应(RTR)被认为是部分反应,而无反应则是一种稳定或进展的疾病。确定第二次TACE后的1年总生存期(OS)。结果:160例患者中男性占88.1%,年龄60.7±7.2岁,Child-Pugh a级和b级肝硬化(分别133例和27例),以丙型肝炎为主(96.3%),合并bclc - a级和b级肝炎(分别74例和86例)。82例患者存在RTR。与不良OS相关的变量:基线血清白蛋白和血小板计数较低,除随访无放射学肿瘤反应外,AST升高25%,Child-Pugh评分升高,血小板计数下降≥10,000/mL3。通过多因素分析,ART评分参数和血小板计数下降是生存不良的独立预测因素。RTR缺失的死亡风险是应答肿瘤的3.12倍。ART评分亚组(≤1.5分和≥2.5分,分别为81例和79例)与OS无显著相关性(22.3 vs 16.7个月;P=0.07)。对血小板计数下降≥10,000/mL3增加3分(ART-P评分)修改ART评分,0-5分113例,≥5.5分47例,中位OS分别为22 vs 11.2个月(P=0.01)。结论:ART评分不能识别中期HCC患者TACE再治疗的获益者,加入血小板计数降低(P-ART)可提高其预后能力。
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引用次数: 0
Early PIVKA-II Response Predicts Treatment Efficacy of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma. 早期PIVKA-II反应预测晚期肝癌患者免疫检查点抑制剂的治疗效果
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-15 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S548785
Ching-Tso Chen, Chien-Huai Chuang, Chih-Hung Hsu, Yu-Yun Shao

Background and aims: Early alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response has been reported to predict the treatment efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We evaluated the predictive value of another HCC tumor marker, protein induced by vitamin K absence/antagonists-II (PIVKA-II).

Methods: We prospectively established a cohort of advanced HCC patients who received ICI treatment at two medical centers. Serum PIVKA-II levels were obtained before and within 4 weeks after treatment initiation. Any decline in serum PIVKA-II levels was defined as an early PIVKA-II response. Treatment response, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared between patients with and without an early PIVKA-II response.

Results: In total, 67 patients were included; liver reserve was Child-Pugh class A in all patients and albumin-bilirubin grade 1 in 67.2% of the patients. An early PIVKA-II response, which was observed in 19 (28.4%) patients, was associated with a higher objective response rate (50.0% vs 16.4%, p = 0.002). Patients with an early PIVKA-II response had superior OS (median 34.3 vs 13.7 months, p = 0.015) and PFS (median 8.4 vs 4.0 months, p = 0.049) compared with those without a response. In multivariate analysis, an early PIVKA-II response remained an independent predictor for longer OS (p = 0.012) and PFS (p = 0.044). An early PIVKA-II response can complement an early AFP response in predicting prognosis.

Conclusion: An early PIVKA-II response is predictive of tumor response and superior survival outcomes in patients who received ICIs for advanced HCC.

背景和目的:早期甲胎蛋白(AFP)应答已被报道用于预测免疫检查点抑制剂(ICIs)在晚期肝细胞癌(HCC)患者中的治疗效果。我们评估了另一种HCC肿瘤标志物,维生素K缺失/拮抗剂- ii (PIVKA-II)诱导的蛋白的预测价值。方法:我们前瞻性地建立了在两个医疗中心接受ICI治疗的晚期HCC患者队列。在治疗开始前和治疗开始后4周内测定血清PIVKA-II水平。血清PIVKA-II水平的任何下降都被定义为早期PIVKA-II反应。比较有和没有早期PIVKA-II反应的患者的治疗反应、总生存期(OS)和无进展生存期(PFS)。结果:共纳入67例患者;所有患者的肝储备为Child-Pugh A级,67.2%的患者的白蛋白胆红素为1级。在19例(28.4%)患者中观察到的早期PIVKA-II反应与较高的客观缓解率相关(50.0% vs 16.4%, p = 0.002)。与无应答的患者相比,早期PIVKA-II应答的患者具有更高的OS(中位34.3个月vs 13.7个月,p = 0.015)和PFS(中位8.4个月vs 4.0个月,p = 0.049)。在多变量分析中,早期PIVKA-II反应仍然是更长的OS (p = 0.012)和PFS (p = 0.044)的独立预测因子。早期PIVKA-II反应可以补充早期AFP反应预测预后。结论:早期PIVKA-II反应可预测晚期HCC接受ICIs患者的肿瘤反应和更好的生存结果。
{"title":"Early PIVKA-II Response Predicts Treatment Efficacy of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma.","authors":"Ching-Tso Chen, Chien-Huai Chuang, Chih-Hung Hsu, Yu-Yun Shao","doi":"10.2147/JHC.S548785","DOIUrl":"10.2147/JHC.S548785","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background and aims: </strong>Early alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response has been reported to predict the treatment efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We evaluated the predictive value of another HCC tumor marker, protein induced by vitamin K absence/antagonists-II (PIVKA-II).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We prospectively established a cohort of advanced HCC patients who received ICI treatment at two medical centers. Serum PIVKA-II levels were obtained before and within 4 weeks after treatment initiation. Any decline in serum PIVKA-II levels was defined as an early PIVKA-II response. Treatment response, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared between patients with and without an early PIVKA-II response.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In total, 67 patients were included; liver reserve was Child-Pugh class A in all patients and albumin-bilirubin grade 1 in 67.2% of the patients. An early PIVKA-II response, which was observed in 19 (28.4%) patients, was associated with a higher objective response rate (50.0% vs 16.4%, p = 0.002). Patients with an early PIVKA-II response had superior OS (median 34.3 vs 13.7 months, p = 0.015) and PFS (median 8.4 vs 4.0 months, p = 0.049) compared with those without a response. In multivariate analysis, an early PIVKA-II response remained an independent predictor for longer OS (p = 0.012) and PFS (p = 0.044). An early PIVKA-II response can complement an early AFP response in predicting prognosis.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>An early PIVKA-II response is predictive of tumor response and superior survival outcomes in patients who received ICIs for advanced HCC.</p>","PeriodicalId":15906,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma","volume":"12 ","pages":"2341-2349"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12537818/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145345482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prognostic Signature of NETs-Related Genes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Bulk and Single-Cell Transcriptomics. 基于大量和单细胞转录组学的肝细胞癌nets相关基因的预后特征。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-15 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S546404
Ningning Lu, Zhixia Gu, Xiaoxue Yuan, Ronghua Jin, Jianjun Li

Background: Inflammation drives tumor development, with neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) promoting progression through metastasis, immune suppression, and microenvironment modulation. However, the role of NETs-related genes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) immunity response is still unclear.

Methods: We integrated single-cell RNA sequencing (GSE202642, seven tumor samples and four normal liver samples) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, n=312) transcriptomic data to identify NETs-related gene signatures. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) identified NETs-correlated gene modules, and LASSO-COX regression selected prognostic genes for risk stratification. A nomogram was developed to predict survival, while functional, mutation, immune, and drug sensitivity analyses highlighted intergroup differences. EdU and CCK-8 cell proliferation assays confirmed the role of NETs-related genes in HCC cell proliferation.

Results: The analysis revealed significant differences in survival time between high- and low-NETs groups. GAS2L3 and RTN3 were identified and validated as independent prognostic factors. ROC and decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the nomogram model combining NETs risk scores with clinical parameters exhibited robust prognostic performance. The high-risk subgroup was enriched in glycosphingolipid biosynthesis pathways and showed higher mutati843on rates, especially in TP53, CTNNB1, and MUC16, along with overexpression of immunosuppressive genes (VTCN1, LAIR1). In vitro experiments confirmed that GAS2L3 knockdown inhibited HepG2 and Huh7 cell proliferation.

Conclusion: Integrated multi-omics analysis revealed NETs-associated prognostic signatures in HCC, with GAS2L3 identified as a key gene linking NETs to tumor progression and therapeutic potential.

背景:炎症驱动肿瘤发展,中性粒细胞胞外陷阱(NETs)通过转移、免疫抑制和微环境调节促进肿瘤进展。然而,nets相关基因在肝细胞癌(HCC)免疫应答中的作用尚不清楚。方法:整合单细胞RNA测序(GSE202642, 7份肿瘤样本和4份正常肝脏样本)和The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, n=312)转录组学数据,鉴定nets相关基因特征。加权基因共表达网络分析(WGCNA)确定了nets相关的基因模块,LASSO-COX回归选择了预后基因进行风险分层。开发了一种nomogram来预测生存率,而功能、突变、免疫和药物敏感性分析则强调了组间差异。EdU和CCK-8细胞增殖实验证实了nets相关基因在HCC细胞增殖中的作用。结果:分析显示高nets组和低nets组的生存时间有显著差异。GAS2L3和RTN3被确认为独立的预后因素。ROC和决策曲线分析(DCA)表明,将NETs风险评分与临床参数相结合的nomogram模型具有稳健的预后表现。高危亚组鞘糖脂生物合成途径丰富,突变率较高,尤其是TP53、CTNNB1和MUC16,同时免疫抑制基因(VTCN1、LAIR1)过表达。体外实验证实,敲除GAS2L3可抑制HepG2和Huh7细胞的增殖。结论:综合多组学分析揭示了NETs与HCC预后相关的特征,GAS2L3被确定为将NETs与肿瘤进展和治疗潜力联系起来的关键基因。
{"title":"Prognostic Signature of NETs-Related Genes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Bulk and Single-Cell Transcriptomics.","authors":"Ningning Lu, Zhixia Gu, Xiaoxue Yuan, Ronghua Jin, Jianjun Li","doi":"10.2147/JHC.S546404","DOIUrl":"10.2147/JHC.S546404","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Inflammation drives tumor development, with neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) promoting progression through metastasis, immune suppression, and microenvironment modulation. However, the role of NETs-related genes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) immunity response is still unclear.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We integrated single-cell RNA sequencing (GSE202642, seven tumor samples and four normal liver samples) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, n=312) transcriptomic data to identify NETs-related gene signatures. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) identified NETs-correlated gene modules, and LASSO-COX regression selected prognostic genes for risk stratification. A nomogram was developed to predict survival, while functional, mutation, immune, and drug sensitivity analyses highlighted intergroup differences. EdU and CCK-8 cell proliferation assays confirmed the role of NETs-related genes in HCC cell proliferation.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The analysis revealed significant differences in survival time between high- and low-NETs groups. GAS2L3 and RTN3 were identified and validated as independent prognostic factors. ROC and decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the nomogram model combining NETs risk scores with clinical parameters exhibited robust prognostic performance. The high-risk subgroup was enriched in glycosphingolipid biosynthesis pathways and showed higher mutati843on rates, especially in TP53, CTNNB1, and MUC16, along with overexpression of immunosuppressive genes (VTCN1, LAIR1). In vitro experiments confirmed that GAS2L3 knockdown inhibited HepG2 and Huh7 cell proliferation.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Integrated multi-omics analysis revealed NETs-associated prognostic signatures in HCC, with GAS2L3 identified as a key gene linking NETs to tumor progression and therapeutic potential.</p>","PeriodicalId":15906,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma","volume":"12 ","pages":"2351-2367"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12535713/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145337222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediction Model for Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Hepatitis C Viral Eradication. 丙型肝炎病毒根除后肝癌风险的预测模型。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-13 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S548870
Wei-Fan Hsu, Ching-Chu Lo, Kuo-Chih Tseng, Hsueh-Chou Lai, Chi-Yi Chen, Cheng-Yuan Peng

Purpose: The predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and a sustained virologic response after direct-acting antiviral therapy are not well known.

Patients and methods: Between September 2012 and March 2022, this retrospective study enrolled 4426 consecutive patients from 4 hospitals in Taiwan. The patients were divided into derivation (n = 3178) and validation (n = 1248) groups.

Results: In the derivation group, age, diabetes mellitus, platelet, albumin, and alpha-fetoprotein at 12 weeks after antiviral therapy were independent predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma. We incorporated these predictors into a novel risk prediction model called the AAAPD-C score (age, albumin, alpha-fetoprotein level, platelet count, and diabetes mellitus status), with total risk scores ranging from 0 to 12. The AAAPD-C score had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.867 for the validation group at the end of follow-up. The risk score accurately classified patients in both groups into those with low, medium, and high risks. Patients without advanced liver fibrosis with medium-high AAAPD-C risk scores (4-12) had an annual incidence of HCC >4 per 1000 person-years.

Conclusion: The AAAPD-C score can predict the risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis C and a sustained virologic response after direct-acting antiviral therapy. The tool is accurate and inexpensive, and clinicians can use it to identify patients with chronic hepatitis C at risk of HCC following viral eradication.

目的:慢性丙型肝炎(CHC)患者肝细胞癌(HCC)的预测因素和直接作用抗病毒治疗后持续的病毒学反应尚不清楚。患者与方法:2012年9月至2022年3月,本回顾性研究从台湾4家医院连续入组4426例患者。将患者分为衍生组(n = 3178)和验证组(n = 1248)。结果:在衍生组中,年龄、糖尿病、血小板、白蛋白和抗病毒治疗后12周的甲胎蛋白是肝细胞癌的独立预测因素。我们将这些预测因素纳入一种新的风险预测模型,称为AAAPD-C评分(年龄、白蛋白、甲胎蛋白水平、血小板计数和糖尿病状态),总风险评分范围为0到12。随访结束时,验证组AAAPD-C评分在受试者工作特征曲线下的面积为0.867。风险评分准确地将两组患者分为低、中、高风险。无晚期肝纤维化且AAAPD-C风险评分中高(4-12)的患者,HCC年发病率为每1000人年0.4例。结论:AAAPD-C评分可预测慢性丙型肝炎患者发生HCC的风险及直接作用抗病毒治疗后持续的病毒学反应。该工具准确且价格低廉,临床医生可以使用它来识别在病毒根除后存在HCC风险的慢性丙型肝炎患者。
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引用次数: 0
Hypoxia- and Anoikis-Related lncRNA Signature Defines Molecular Subtypes and Predicts Prognosis and Immunotherapy Response in Hepatocellular Carcinoma. 缺氧和缺氧相关的lncRNA特征定义了肝细胞癌的分子亚型并预测了预后和免疫治疗反应。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-13 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S521878
Xiaohang Lu, Yunyong Wang, Yuan Yu, Rongzhen Zhang, Fuli Long, Minpeng Li, Meng Pan, Kewei Du, Jinna Tan, Jiaqian He, Zongxian Li, Hongsheng Lin, Mingfen Li

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is characterized by high incidence and mortality rates, with hypoxia and anoikis resistance playing crucial roles in its progression and metastasis. While long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) significantly influence tumor biology, their roles in hypoxia-anoikis-resistant HCC remain unclear.

Methods: This study utilized RNA-seq data and clinical information from the TCGA and GEO databases to analyze 154 hypoxia- and anoikis-related lncRNAs and identify differentially expressed candidates. Cluster analysis with Consensus Cluster Plus revealed links to clinical outcomes and genomic features. Tumor immune microenvironment and pathway enrichment were assessed using CIBERSORT and ssGSEA. A nine-gene risk model was developed via LASSO Cox regression and internally validated. Preliminary experimental assays suggested that the identified lncRNAs may influence apoptosis under hypoxia and anoikis conditions.

Results: HCC patients were classified into two molecular subtypes, C1 and C2, with distinct prognostic outcomes and clinical features. These subtypes showed distinct immune infiltration characteristics and differential immunotherapy response scores. A nine-lncRNA prognostic model effectively predicted overall survival (OS), with the high-risk group showing increased immunosuppressive elements, such as Tregs and inactivated M0 macrophages, suggesting limited immunotherapy efficacy. Chemotherapy sensitivity analysis revealed varying drug responses between risk groups, while hypoxia- and anoikis-related lncRNAs, including LINC01554, FIRRE, LINC01139, LINC01134 and NBAT1 were downregulated in this model.

Conclusion: Research has demonstrated that hypoxia- and anoikis-related lncRNAs serve as reliable biomarkers for predicting liver cancer prognosis and immunotherapy response, offering potential for developing novel therapeutic targets and strategies to enhance treatment outcomes and patient prognosis.

背景:肝细胞癌(HCC)具有高发病率和高死亡率的特点,缺氧和耐氧在其进展和转移中起着至关重要的作用。虽然长链非编码RNA (lncRNA)显著影响肿瘤生物学,但它们在耐缺氧性肝癌中的作用尚不清楚。方法:本研究利用来自TCGA和GEO数据库的RNA-seq数据和临床信息,分析154个与缺氧和缺氧相关的lncrna,并识别差异表达的候选lncrna。使用Consensus Cluster Plus进行聚类分析,揭示了与临床结果和基因组特征的联系。采用CIBERSORT和ssGSEA评估肿瘤免疫微环境和途径富集。通过LASSO Cox回归建立九基因风险模型并进行内部验证。初步实验分析表明,鉴定的lncrna可能影响缺氧和缺氧条件下的细胞凋亡。结果:HCC患者分为C1和C2两种分子亚型,具有不同的预后结局和临床特征。这些亚型表现出不同的免疫浸润特征和不同的免疫治疗反应评分。9 - lncrna预后模型有效预测总生存期(OS),高风险组显示免疫抑制因子增加,如Tregs和灭活的M0巨噬细胞,提示免疫治疗效果有限。化疗敏感性分析显示,不同风险组之间的药物反应不同,而与缺氧和缺氧相关的lncrna,包括LINC01554、FIRRE、LINC01139、LINC01134和NBAT1在该模型中下调。结论:研究表明,缺氧和嗜酸相关的lncrna是预测肝癌预后和免疫治疗反应的可靠生物标志物,为开发新的治疗靶点和策略提供了潜力,以提高治疗效果和患者预后。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Cytokeratin 19 Expression on the Outcomes of Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Targeted Therapy and Immunotherapy: A Propensity Score Matched Analysis. 细胞角蛋白19表达对靶向治疗和免疫治疗不可切除肝细胞癌预后的影响:倾向评分匹配分析
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-10 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S555248
Junjie Liu, Tong Yuan, Xing Lv, Guan Tan, Lin Xue, Zhiyong Huang

Background: Cytokeratin 19 (CK19) serves as a significant prognostic indicator for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, it is uncertain if CK19 expression influences the prognosis and effectiveness of treatment in patients undergoing targeted therapy and immunotherapy for unresectable HCC. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of CK19 expression in this patient population.

Methods: Patients with unresectable HCC who received combined targeted therapy and immunotherapy between January 2021 and December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed in this study. CK19 expression in tumor biopsy samples from patients before treatments were identified using immunohistochemistry. Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted in a 1:2 ratio to balance baseline features between the CK19-positive and CK19-negative groups. Survival outcomes were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method along with the Cox regression model. Treatment response was evaluated based on mRECIST criteria.

Results: A total of 247 patients were included, and 126 were selected after-PSM (43 CK19-positive, 83 CK19-negative), with balanced baseline characteristics. After PSM, the CK19-negative group had a markedly prolonged median OS compared to the CK19-positive group (42.2 months vs 15.6 months, p < 0.001), along with an extended median PFS (28.9 months vs 7.3 months, p < 0.001). The ORR was significantly higher in the CK19-negative group than in the CK19-positive group (59.0% vs 18.6%, p < 0.001), and the DCR was also superior (96.4% vs 79.1%, p = 0.005). Multivariate Cox analysis found CK19 expression as an independent factor predicting OS and PFS.

Conclusion: In patients with unresectable HCC undergoing targeted therapy and immunotherapy, CK19 expression correlated with poorer survival outcomes and diminished therapeutic response. CK19 may serve as a valuable biomarker for prognosis and treatment stratification in advanced HCC, and CK19 screening may be incorporated into clinical trial stratification and clinical decision-making.

背景:细胞角蛋白19 (CK19)是肝细胞癌(HCC)的重要预后指标。然而,对于不可切除的HCC, CK19表达是否会影响患者的预后和治疗效果尚不确定。本研究旨在评估CK19表达在该患者群体中的预后价值。方法:回顾性分析2021年1月至2023年12月期间接受联合靶向治疗和免疫治疗的不可切除HCC患者。使用免疫组织化学方法鉴定治疗前患者肿瘤活检样本中的CK19表达。倾向评分匹配(PSM)以1:2的比例进行,以平衡ck19阳性组和ck19阴性组之间的基线特征。生存结果采用Kaplan-Meier法和Cox回归模型进行分析。根据mRECIST标准评估治疗效果。结果:共纳入247例患者,其中126例患者在psm后入选(43例ck19阳性,83例ck19阴性),基线特征平衡。PSM后,与ck19阳性组相比,ck19阴性组的中位生存期明显延长(42.2个月vs 15.6个月,p < 0.001),中位生存期延长(28.9个月vs 7.3个月,p < 0.001)。ck19阴性组的ORR明显高于ck19阳性组(59.0% vs 18.6%, p < 0.001), DCR也优于ck19阳性组(96.4% vs 79.1%, p = 0.005)。多因素Cox分析发现CK19表达是预测OS和PFS的独立因素。结论:在接受靶向治疗和免疫治疗的不可切除HCC患者中,CK19表达与较差的生存结果和治疗反应降低相关。CK19可作为晚期HCC预后和治疗分层的有价值的生物标志物,CK19筛查可纳入临床试验分层和临床决策。
{"title":"Impact of Cytokeratin 19 Expression on the Outcomes of Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Targeted Therapy and Immunotherapy: A Propensity Score Matched Analysis.","authors":"Junjie Liu, Tong Yuan, Xing Lv, Guan Tan, Lin Xue, Zhiyong Huang","doi":"10.2147/JHC.S555248","DOIUrl":"10.2147/JHC.S555248","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cytokeratin 19 (CK19) serves as a significant prognostic indicator for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, it is uncertain if CK19 expression influences the prognosis and effectiveness of treatment in patients undergoing targeted therapy and immunotherapy for unresectable HCC. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of CK19 expression in this patient population.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients with unresectable HCC who received combined targeted therapy and immunotherapy between January 2021 and December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed in this study. CK19 expression in tumor biopsy samples from patients before treatments were identified using immunohistochemistry. Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted in a 1:2 ratio to balance baseline features between the CK19-positive and CK19-negative groups. Survival outcomes were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method along with the Cox regression model. Treatment response was evaluated based on mRECIST criteria.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 247 patients were included, and 126 were selected after-PSM (43 CK19-positive, 83 CK19-negative), with balanced baseline characteristics. After PSM, the CK19-negative group had a markedly prolonged median OS compared to the CK19-positive group (42.2 months vs 15.6 months, p < 0.001), along with an extended median PFS (28.9 months vs 7.3 months, p < 0.001). The ORR was significantly higher in the CK19-negative group than in the CK19-positive group (59.0% vs 18.6%, p < 0.001), and the DCR was also superior (96.4% vs 79.1%, p = 0.005). Multivariate Cox analysis found CK19 expression as an independent factor predicting OS and PFS.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In patients with unresectable HCC undergoing targeted therapy and immunotherapy, CK19 expression correlated with poorer survival outcomes and diminished therapeutic response. CK19 may serve as a valuable biomarker for prognosis and treatment stratification in advanced HCC, and CK19 screening may be incorporated into clinical trial stratification and clinical decision-making.</p>","PeriodicalId":15906,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma","volume":"12 ","pages":"2295-2305"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12519960/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145301443","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prognostic Value of Clinical and CT Features in Camrelizumab Plus Apatinib Treatment for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma. 卡莫来珠单抗联合阿帕替尼治疗不可切除肝细胞癌的临床及CT表现对预后的价值。
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-09 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S527624
Jinlian Che, Yidi Chen, Zhiming Zeng, Chenhui Li, Ling Zhang, Xialing Huang, Fuling Huang, Yingfei Wang, Weibao Huang, Bin Song, Liling Long

Background: Immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy is a key approach for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of clinical and CT features in Camrelizumab plus Apatinib treatment for these patients.

Materials and methods: A retrospective study was conducted on unresectable HCC patients who received camrelizumab plus Apatinib treatment from June 2019 to August 2021. Clinical and contrast-enhanced CT features were analyzed. Logistic regression identified predictors of objective response, and Cox regression assessed prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Nomograms were constructed based on independent predictors.

Results: Among 109 patients, the median OS was 20 months, median PFS was 9 months, and the ORR was 43.1%. Independent predictors of objective response included AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL (OR = 6.31), NLR ≥ 3.2 (OR = 3.72), tumor numbers ≥ 3 (OR = 3.93), and ΔAER < 15% (OR = 10.99), the AUC for objective response model was 0.874. Independent factors for PFS included AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR = 2.04) and ΔAER < 15% (HR = 2.57), resulting in a model AUC of 0.859. Independent factors for OS were NLR ≥ 3.2 (HR = 2.07), Tumor numbers ≥ 3 (HR = 2.68), and extrahepatic metastasis (HR = 2.32), with an AUC of 0.848 and 0.866 for 1- and 2-year survival, respectively.

Conclusion: Clinical and contrast-enhanced show significant prognostic value in patients receiving Camrelizumab plus Apatinib. The developed models may assist in identifying responsive patients and personalizing treatment strategies.

背景:免疫联合靶向治疗是治疗不可切除肝细胞癌的关键方法。本研究旨在评估Camrelizumab联合阿帕替尼治疗这些患者的临床和CT特征的预后价值。材料与方法:对2019年6月至2021年8月接受camrelizumab联合阿帕替尼治疗的不可切除HCC患者进行回顾性研究。分析临床及增强CT表现。Logistic回归确定了客观反应的预测因素,Cox回归评估了无进展生存期(PFS)和总生存期(OS)的预后因素。基于独立预测因子构建nomogram。结果:109例患者中位OS为20个月,中位PFS为9个月,ORR为43.1%。客观反应的独立预测因子为AFP≥400 ng/mL (OR = 6.31)、NLR≥3.2 (OR = 3.72)、肿瘤数≥3 (OR = 3.93)、ΔAER < 15% (OR = 10.99),客观反应模型的AUC为0.874。PFS的独立因素包括AFP≥400 ng/mL (HR = 2.04)和ΔAER < 15% (HR = 2.57),模型AUC为0.859。OS的独立因素为NLR≥3.2 (HR = 2.07)、肿瘤数≥3 (HR = 2.68)、肝外转移(HR = 2.32), 1年和2年生存率的AUC分别为0.848和0.866。结论:临床和对比增强对Camrelizumab联合阿帕替尼治疗的患者具有显著的预后价值。开发的模型可以帮助识别反应性患者和个性化治疗策略。
{"title":"Prognostic Value of Clinical and CT Features in Camrelizumab Plus Apatinib Treatment for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.","authors":"Jinlian Che, Yidi Chen, Zhiming Zeng, Chenhui Li, Ling Zhang, Xialing Huang, Fuling Huang, Yingfei Wang, Weibao Huang, Bin Song, Liling Long","doi":"10.2147/JHC.S527624","DOIUrl":"10.2147/JHC.S527624","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy is a key approach for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of clinical and CT features in Camrelizumab plus Apatinib treatment for these patients.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>A retrospective study was conducted on unresectable HCC patients who received camrelizumab plus Apatinib treatment from June 2019 to August 2021. Clinical and contrast-enhanced CT features were analyzed. Logistic regression identified predictors of objective response, and Cox regression assessed prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Nomograms were constructed based on independent predictors.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 109 patients, the median OS was 20 months, median PFS was 9 months, and the ORR was 43.1%. Independent predictors of objective response included AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL (OR = 6.31), NLR ≥ 3.2 (OR = 3.72), tumor numbers ≥ 3 (OR = 3.93), and ΔAER < 15% (OR = 10.99), the AUC for objective response model was 0.874. Independent factors for PFS included AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR = 2.04) and ΔAER < 15% (HR = 2.57), resulting in a model AUC of 0.859. Independent factors for OS were NLR ≥ 3.2 (HR = 2.07), Tumor numbers ≥ 3 (HR = 2.68), and extrahepatic metastasis (HR = 2.32), with an AUC of 0.848 and 0.866 for 1- and 2-year survival, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Clinical and contrast-enhanced show significant prognostic value in patients receiving Camrelizumab plus Apatinib. The developed models may assist in identifying responsive patients and personalizing treatment strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":15906,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma","volume":"12 ","pages":"2279-2293"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12517304/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145292578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Establishing a Survival Time Prediction Model for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After TACE Based on CT Radiomics: A Multi-Center Study. 基于CT放射组学建立肝癌TACE术后生存时间预测模型:一项多中心研究
IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-07 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S535606
Han Yang, Juan Zhao, Yingwei Wang, Diwen Zhu, Junpeng Gu, Weixin Ren

Purpose: This research constructs a prognostic model for overall survival (OS) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients using radiomic features from non-contrast CT scans obtained within 24 hours after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Patients and methods: Patients were retrospectively enrolled from three institutions to form training (n = 112) and validation (n = 56) cohorts from January 2016 to December 2023. All patients underwent a minimum of three TACE treatment sessions. January 2019 served as the cutoff point for dividing the dataset into training and validation cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to obtain clinical variables related to OS for constructing the clinical model. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to construct the radiomics model from lipiodol deposits in the target lesions (TL) within 24 hours after the initial TACE, and the clinical-radiomics model was further constructed. Model prediction performance was subsequently assessed by the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve. Additionally, Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate the model's value in predicting OS.

Results: The clinical-radiomics model predicted OS at 1, 2, and 3 years more accurately than the clinical or radiomics model alone (training group, AUC = 0.787, 0.765 and 0.827, respectively; validation group, AUC = 0.731, 0.713 and 0.798, respectively). The predicted high-risk subgroup based on the clinical-radiomics model had shorter mOS than predicted low-risk subgroup (training group, 16 m vs 37 m, p = 0.0002; validation group 14 m vs 35 m, p<0.0001), enabling risk stratification of various clinical subgroups.

Conclusion: The radiomic signature derived from lipiodol within 24 hours post-TACE functions as a prognostic biomarker for OS in HCC patients. The clinical-radiomics model demonstrates robust predictive performance, providing a valuable tool for prognostic evaluation in HCC.

目的:本研究利用经动脉化疗栓塞(TACE)后24小时内非对比CT扫描的放射学特征,构建肝细胞癌(HCC)患者总生存期(OS)的预后模型。患者和方法:从2016年1月至2023年12月,回顾性地从三个机构招募患者,形成培训(n = 112)和验证(n = 56)队列。所有患者都接受了至少三次TACE治疗。2019年1月作为将数据集划分为训练组和验证组的截止点。采用单因素和多因素Cox回归分析获得与OS相关的临床变量,构建临床模型。采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)和多变量Cox回归分析,从首次TACE后24小时内靶病变(TL)的脂醇沉积构建放射组学模型,并进一步构建临床-放射组学模型。随后,通过随时间变化的接收机工作特性曲线(AUC)和校准曲线下的面积来评估模型的预测性能。此外,Kaplan-Meier分析用于评估模型预测OS的价值。结果:临床-放射组学模型预测1、2、3年OS的准确率高于单独使用临床或放射组学模型(训练组,AUC分别为0.787、0.765和0.827;验证组,AUC分别为0.731、0.713和0.798)。基于临床放射组学模型预测的高危亚组的mOS短于预测的低危亚组(训练组,16 m vs 37 m, p = 0.0002;验证组,14 m vs 35 m, p)结论:tace后24小时内脂醇放射组学特征可作为HCC患者OS的预后生物标志物。临床放射组学模型显示出强大的预测性能,为HCC的预后评估提供了有价值的工具。
{"title":"Establishing a Survival Time Prediction Model for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After TACE Based on CT Radiomics: A Multi-Center Study.","authors":"Han Yang, Juan Zhao, Yingwei Wang, Diwen Zhu, Junpeng Gu, Weixin Ren","doi":"10.2147/JHC.S535606","DOIUrl":"10.2147/JHC.S535606","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>This research constructs a prognostic model for overall survival (OS) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients using radiomic features from non-contrast CT scans obtained within 24 hours after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).</p><p><strong>Patients and methods: </strong>Patients were retrospectively enrolled from three institutions to form training (n = 112) and validation (n = 56) cohorts from January 2016 to December 2023. All patients underwent a minimum of three TACE treatment sessions. January 2019 served as the cutoff point for dividing the dataset into training and validation cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to obtain clinical variables related to OS for constructing the clinical model. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to construct the radiomics model from lipiodol deposits in the target lesions (TL) within 24 hours after the initial TACE, and the clinical-radiomics model was further constructed. Model prediction performance was subsequently assessed by the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve. Additionally, Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate the model's value in predicting OS.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The clinical-radiomics model predicted OS at 1, 2, and 3 years more accurately than the clinical or radiomics model alone (training group, AUC = 0.787, 0.765 and 0.827, respectively; validation group, AUC = 0.731, 0.713 and 0.798, respectively). The predicted high-risk subgroup based on the clinical-radiomics model had shorter mOS than predicted low-risk subgroup (training group, 16 m vs 37 m, p = 0.0002; validation group 14 m vs 35 m, p<0.0001), enabling risk stratification of various clinical subgroups.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The radiomic signature derived from lipiodol within 24 hours post-TACE functions as a prognostic biomarker for OS in HCC patients. The clinical-radiomics model demonstrates robust predictive performance, providing a valuable tool for prognostic evaluation in HCC.</p>","PeriodicalId":15906,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma","volume":"12 ","pages":"2263-2277"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12515015/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145280334","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma
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