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Financial earthquakes and aftershocks: From Brexit to Russia-Ukraine conflict and the stability of European banks 金融地震与余震:从英国脱欧到俄乌冲突,再到欧洲银行的稳定
Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4474469
P. Vu, Nhan H. Huynh, Hoa Phan, Ha Hai Hoang
This study examines the impacts of recent turbulent events (Brexit, COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russia – Ukraine conflict) on the European banks’ resilience. Using the quarterly data of 251 commercial banks in 33 European economies from 2014 to 2022, we find that uncertainties significantly reduce bank’s overall performance and stability. The comparisons of each event reveal the differential impacts in nature on specific indicators of performance and stability. The additional analyses highlight the roles of bank size, age, holding capital, and business models in attenuating the destabilizing effect of unexpected shocks. The disparity effects are also visible across affiliations to income-generation levels and European Union. The results are robust across alternative performance proxies and econometric approaches. From the starting point of this study, valuable implications are proposed for stakeholders, regulators, and policymakers in the challenges of unprecedented uncertainties.
本研究考察了近期动荡事件(英国脱欧、COVID-19大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突)对欧洲银行抵御能力的影响。利用2014 - 2022年欧洲33个经济体251家商业银行的季度数据,我们发现不确定性显著降低了银行的整体绩效和稳定性。对每个事件的比较揭示了对性能和稳定性具体指标的不同性质的影响。额外的分析强调了银行规模、年龄、持有资本和商业模式在减轻意外冲击的不稳定影响方面的作用。这种差异效应在不同的创收水平和欧盟成员国之间也很明显。结果是稳健的跨替代绩效代理和计量经济学方法。从本研究的出发点出发,为利益相关者、监管机构和政策制定者在前所未有的不确定性挑战中提出了有价值的启示。
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引用次数: 1
Escape from pollution: Mass media, air quality, and management turnover 远离污染:大众传媒,空气质量,管理人员更替
Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101688
Jian Xu, Jiaxing Zheng
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引用次数: 1
International tests of the ZCAPM asset pricing model ZCAPM资产定价模型的国际检验
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101607
J. Kolari, Jianhua Z. Huang, Hilal Anwar Butt, Huiling Liao
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引用次数: 1
Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on price Co-movements in China 评估2019冠状病毒病对中国价格走势的影响
Pub Date : 2022-06-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101602
Yingying Xu, D. Lien
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引用次数: 2
The role of non-critical business and telework propensity in international stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic 2019冠状病毒病大流行期间非关键业务和远程办公倾向在国际股票市场中的作用
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101598
Thiago Christiano Silva, Paulo Victor Berri Wilhelm, B. Tabak
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引用次数: 5
Commodity Return Predictability: Evidence from Implied Variance, Skewness, and their Risk Premia 商品回报可预测性:隐含方差、偏度及其风险溢价的证据
Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101569
Marinela Adriana Finta, José Renato Haas Ornelas
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引用次数: 1
Exchange rate and balance of payment crisis risks in the global development finance architecture 全球发展金融架构中的汇率和国际收支危机风险
Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101574
Alfredo Schclarek, Jiajun Xu
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引用次数: 5
Corporate social activities and stock price crash risk in the banking industry: International evidence 企业社会活动与银行业股价崩盘风险:国际证据
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/J.INTFIN.2021.101416
K. Wang, Simeng Liu, Yue Wu
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引用次数: 9
QE in the euro area: Has the PSPP benefited peripheral bonds? 欧元区的量化宽松:PSPP对外围国家债券有利吗?
Pub Date : 2021-05-06 DOI: 10.4419/86788931
A. Belke, D. Gros
The asset purchase programme of the euro area, active between 2015 and 2018, constitutes an interesting special case of Quantitative Easing (QE) because the ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) involved the purchase of peripheral euro area government bonds, which were clearly not riskless. Moreover, these purchases were undertaken by national central banks at their own risk. Intuition suggests, and a simple model confirms, that, ceteris paribus, large purchases by a national central bank of the bonds of their own sovereign should increase the risk for the remaining private bond holders. This might seem incompatible with the observation that risk spreads on peripheral bonds fell when QE in the euro area was announced. However, the initial fall in risk premiums may have been due to expectations of the bond purchases proving effective in lowering risk-free rates. When these expectations were disappointed, risk premiums returned to their initial level. Formal statistical tests confirm that indeed risk premiums on peripheral bonds did not follow a random walk (contrary to what is assumed in event studies). Nor did the announcements of bond buying change the stochastics of these premiums. There is thus no reason to consider the impact effect to have been permanent.
2015年至2018年间活跃的欧元区资产购买计划构成了量化宽松(QE)的一个有趣的特例,因为欧洲央行的公共部门购买计划(PSPP)涉及购买欧元区外围国家的政府债券,而这些债券显然不是没有风险的。此外,这些购买是由各国央行自行承担风险进行的。直觉表明(一个简单的模型也证实了这一点),在其他条件不变的情况下,一国央行大举购买本国主权债券,应该会增加剩余私人债券持有者的风险。这似乎与欧元区宣布量化宽松后外围国家债券风险息差下降的观察结果不相符。然而,最初风险溢价的下降可能是由于预期债券购买将有效降低无风险利率。当这些预期落空时,风险溢价就会回到初始水平。正式的统计检验证实,外围国家债券的风险溢价确实不遵循随机游走(与事件研究的假设相反)。购买债券的声明也没有改变这些溢价的随机性。因此,没有理由认为撞击的影响是永久性的。
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引用次数: 13
The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Catering Incentives around the World 投资者情绪对全球餐饮激励的影响
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/J.INTFIN.2021.101285
Jinho Byun, Kihun Kim, Rose C. Liao, Carrie Pan
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money
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