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REMITTANCES AND BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTH ASIA 南亚的汇款和银行业发展
Pub Date : 2011-12-12 DOI: 10.32890/IJBF2011.8.4.8444
Abdullah M. Noman, G. Uddin
The paper investigates the interaction among foreign remittance, banking sector development and GDP in four South Asian nations that export huge pools of labour abroad. Multivariate Granger causality tests, based on error correction models, are employed with data spanning from 1976 to 2005. A key finding of the paper is that remittances and banking sector development influence per capita income in all four South Asian nations. In addition, interactions among the variables are also examined in a panel setting. As in individual country analyses, both remittance and banking sector development have positive and significant influences on the national income of South Asian countries. On the other hand, neither domestic products nor advancement in banking sector have significant impact on the remittance flows. This is new findings of the linkage between remittances and economic development, which may also be evident for countries exporting labour pools.
本文研究了向国外输出大量劳动力的四个南亚国家的外国汇款、银行业发展和GDP之间的相互作用。基于误差修正模型的多元格兰杰因果检验采用1976 - 2005年的数据。该论文的一个重要发现是,汇款和银行业的发展影响着所有四个南亚国家的人均收入。此外,还在面板设置中检查了变量之间的相互作用。与个别国家的分析一样,汇款和银行部门的发展对南亚国家的国民收入都有积极和重大的影响。另一方面,国内产品和银行业的进步对汇款流量都没有显著影响。这是关于汇款与经济发展之间联系的新发现,这在输出劳动力的国家可能也很明显。
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引用次数: 23
Governing Banks: A British Perspective 管理银行:英国视角
Pub Date : 2011-10-16 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2011.8.2.8422
A. Mullineux
This conceptual paper considers the corporate governance of shareholder owned deposit taking banks in light of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Deposit taking banks present a special corporate governance problem because depositors (and taxpayers) are stakeholders. The GFC revealed significant weaknesses in the regulation and corporate governance of banks.The UK government commissioned the Walker Review of the corporate governance of UK banks in February 2009. Its recommendations are discussed in the context of the wider governance (including regulation) of banks. Regulation and corporate governance systems should focus on the establishment of effective internal risk control mechanisms and the good management of banks.
本文以全球金融危机为背景,研究了股东所有的存款银行的公司治理问题。接受存款的银行出现了一个特殊的公司治理问题,因为存款人(和纳税人)是利益相关者。全球金融危机暴露了银行监管和公司治理方面的重大缺陷。2009年2月,英国政府委托对英国银行的公司治理进行了《沃克评估》(Walker Review)。其建议是在更广泛的银行治理(包括监管)的背景下讨论的。监管和公司治理制度应侧重于建立有效的内部风险控制机制和良好的银行管理。
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引用次数: 1
Analysts Earnings Forecasts Distribution 分析师收益预测及分布
Pub Date : 2011-09-05 DOI: 10.32890/IJBF2011.8.3.8428
Henry Leung
Consensus measures on earnings forecasts such as the IBES mean and median are point estimates of sample distributions of analyst earnings forecasts. Often, these consensus measures serve as informational proxies for investors in their decision making process. This study utilises the Australian IBES earnings forecast data from 1988 through 2008 to show that analyst earnings forecast distributions are non-normal across the 20-year period. These results suggest the possibility of a more accurate surrogate consensus than the simple IBES mean and median. This, in turn, may have some bearing on those who generally employ analysts’ consensus earnings forecasts for stock valuation and modelling purposes.
盈利预测的共识指标,如IBES均值和中位数,是对分析师盈利预测样本分布的点估计。通常,这些共识措施在投资者的决策过程中充当信息代理。本研究利用1988年至2008年的澳大利亚IBES盈利预测数据表明,分析师的盈利预测分布在20年期间是非正态的。这些结果表明,可能比简单的IBES平均值和中位数更准确的替代共识。反过来,这可能会对那些通常将分析师的共识盈利预测用于股票估值和建模目的的人产生一些影响。
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引用次数: 1
OPTIMAL INFLATIONARY AND RESERVE REQUIREMENT POLICIES: A STUDY OF AN ECONOMY WITH AN INFORMAL SECTOR 最优通货膨胀和存款准备金政策:对一个有非正式部门的经济体的研究
Pub Date : 2011-09-01 DOI: 10.32890/IJBF2011.8.1.8419
Hamid E. Ali
Governments in developing economies often resort to taxing bank money balances through imposition of high reserve requirements and also by relying on seigniorage to finance their deficits. In the context of those practices, this research reported in this paper attempts to answer the following questions: First, why do developing economies with an informal sector resort to inflationary measures to finance their activities? Second, how does a government induce an agent to choose the formal economy? It is demonstrated, for the first question, that in the trade-off between inflation and reserve requirements, the optimal policy is maximum inflation and minimum reserve requirements that will increase the steady-state utility of an optimizing agent. Regarding the second question, the agents prefer the informal economy if policy relies on a maximum reserve requirement.
发展中经济体的政府往往通过征收高准备金要求和依靠铸币税来对银行资金余额征税,以弥补其赤字。在这些实践的背景下,本文报告的这项研究试图回答以下问题:第一,为什么拥有非正规部门的发展中经济体采用通货膨胀措施为其活动提供资金?第二,政府如何诱使代理人选择正规经济?对于第一个问题,证明了在通货膨胀和准备金要求之间的权衡中,最优策略是最大通货膨胀和最低准备金要求,这将增加优化代理的稳态效用。关于第二个问题,如果政策依赖于最高准备金要求,代理人更倾向于非正规经济。
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引用次数: 0
Market reactions to audit committee director's gender: Evidence from US-traded foreign firms 市场对审计委员会董事性别的反应:来自在美上市的外资公司的证据
Pub Date : 2011-03-13 DOI: 10.32890/IJBF2011.8.1.8421
H. Huang, Yun-Chia Yan, James M. Fornaro, A. Elshahat
This study investigates whether the appointment of a female to the audit committee of a foreign issuer in the US is positively associated with subsequent market price reaction. We hypothesize that female members on the audit committee can strengthen corporate governance by their conservative and ethical qualities. Accordingly, such appointments deliver a positive message to capital market participants. In order to observe the impact of audit committee gender diversity on foreign fi rms, we include all audit committee appointments for UStraded foreign fi rms from 2002 to 2009. We fi nd that the appointment of female audit committee members has signifi cant positive cumulative abnormal returns compared to the appointment of male audit committee members.
本研究调查了在美国外国发行人的审计委员会中任命女性是否与随后的市场价格反应呈正相关。我们假设审计委员会女性成员的保守性和道德性可以加强公司治理。因此,这样的任命向资本市场参与者传递了一个积极的信息。为了观察审计委员会性别多样性对外资公司的影响,我们纳入了2002年至2009年所有在美国上市的外资公司的审计委员会任命。我们发现,与任命男性审计委员会成员相比,任命女性审计委员会成员具有显著的正累积异常收益。
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引用次数: 18
Patterns of debt use in small businesses: a non-parametric analysis 小企业债务使用模式:非参数分析
Pub Date : 2010-08-19 DOI: 10.32890/IJBF2010.7.2.8417
A. Chakraborty, R. Mallick
This paper uses non-parametric techniques to examine patterns of debt use by smallrms and how such patterns differ acrossrm categories. The methodological goal is to use the richness of therm level data and allow convincing presentations with minimum of assumptions. The procedures used provide easily comprehendible graphical descriptions of the data. The procedures augment what can be discerned from descriptive statistics by accounting for differential weights and allowing for clustering that is a native feature of cross-sectional data. We also investigate howrms could benet if credit availability improves. Though a model-based analysis would be required to provide a detailed analysis, our analysis suggests that greater credit availability will benet allrms. Firms with low levels of equity will be better off as their credit constraints will be less binding, whilerms with high levels of equity will benet from acquiring more debt.
本文使用非参数技术来检查小企业使用债务的模式,以及这些模式在不同类别之间的差异。方法目标是利用热水平数据的丰富性,并允许以最少的假设进行令人信服的演示。所使用的程序提供了易于理解的数据图形描述。这些过程通过考虑差分权重和允许聚类(横截面数据的固有特征)来增加可以从描述性统计中辨别出来的内容。我们还调查了如果信贷可用性改善,银行将如何受益。虽然需要基于模型的分析来提供详细的分析,但我们的分析表明,更大的信贷可用性将使所有人受益。股本水平较低的公司将会更好,因为它们的信贷约束将不那么具有约束力,而股本水平较高的公司将从获得更多债务中受益。
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引用次数: 3
Islamic micro-finance programme and its impact on rural poverty alleviation 伊斯兰小额信贷方案及其对减轻农村贫困的影响
Pub Date : 2010-03-10 DOI: 10.32890/IJBF2010.7.1.8402
Md. Mizanur Rahman
Bangladesh launched a shari’ah based micro-finance programme in 1995 under the Rural Development Scheme to uplift the overall socioeconomic standards of rural poor. It covered 0.52 million group members, 94% of whom are females. This paper presents findings on this experiment using 1,020 responses in a sample survey. Result showed that a significant of clients have improved their religious observations such as prayers and fasting. Results of the econometric models showed that household income, productivity of crops and livestock, expenditure and employment increased significantly due to the influence of changed behaviour and availability of micro-finance. Clients stated that the micro-investment had provided better organisation of their economic activities. Finally, the Islamic micro-investment programme appears to spur more ethical and economically desirable behaviour leading to poverty alleviation.
孟加拉国于1995年在农村发展计划下启动了一项基于伊斯兰教法的小额信贷方案,以提高农村穷人的总体社会经济标准。它覆盖了52万名成员,其中94%是女性。本文通过对1020人的抽样调查,给出了这一实验的结果。结果显示,相当一部分客户的宗教观察,如祈祷和斋戒有所改善。计量经济模型的结果表明,由于行为改变和小额信贷的可用性的影响,家庭收入、作物和牲畜生产力、支出和就业显著增加。客户表示,小额投资为他们的经济活动提供了更好的组织。最后,伊斯兰小额投资方案似乎刺激了更多合乎道德和经济上可取的行为,从而减轻贫穷。
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引用次数: 55
A NOTE: DEBT SELLING AND THEIR IMPACT ON ISLAMIC BANK VALUE 注:债务出售及其对伊斯兰银行价值的影响
Pub Date : 2010-02-04 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2010.7.1.8404
A. Ismail, Karmila Hanim Kamil
This paper shows how a risk management mechanism through selling debt can affect the value of Islamic banks. Islamic banks are able to maximize their value from the sale of murabahah on housing debt in order to manage their risk arising fromuctuations in interest rates. A tractable theoretical model is developed to maximize the Islamic banks' values from the sale of housing debt � nancing in order to hedge againstuctuations in interest rates. Ourndings showed that Islamic banks could improve their earnings and rectify the problem in aligning their assets and liabilities through the benets of debt selling. A rise in the market interest rates leads to an increase in the basenancing rate and the mark-up rate in Islamic banks, since market interest rates serve as benchmarks in determining prots or mark-ups. If the Islamic banks engage in debt selling to decrease their risk exposure, their earnings or value may be amplied since they have the opportunity to undertake other positive NPV projects from the payoffs on the murabahah debt selling.
本文展示了通过出售债务的风险管理机制如何影响伊斯兰银行的价值。伊斯兰银行能够通过出售住房债务的murabahah来实现价值最大化,以管理利率波动带来的风险。建立了一个易于处理的理论模型,以最大化伊斯兰银行从出售住房债务融资中获得的价值,以对冲利率波动。调查结果显示,伊斯兰银行可以通过出售债券的好处来提高收益,并纠正资产负债调整的问题。市场利率的上升导致伊斯兰银行的基准利率和加成利率的上升,因为市场利率是决定利润或加成的基准。如果伊斯兰银行通过出售债券来降低风险敞口,他们的收益或价值可能会被放大,因为他们有机会从出售murabahah债券的收益中承担其他正NPV项目。
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引用次数: 1
Modelling the behaviour of technicians and fundamentalists in the Shanghai stock market 对上海股市的技术分析师和基本面分析师的行为进行建模
Pub Date : 2009-08-20 DOI: 10.32890/IJBF2009.6.2.8387
I. Moosa, Larry Li
This paper provides empirical evidence on the role of fundamentalists and technicians in the Chinese stock market. Three econometric models are used to differentiate the stock price effect between the actions of traders who act on the basis of fundamental analysis and those acting on the basis of technical analysis. The models are estimated using randomly selected monthly and daily data on the stock prices of one hundred companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The results reveal that both fundamentalists and technicians have roles to play in stock price formation, although technicians appear to play a more important role. This result holds even if the government intervention is allowed for. Some explanations are presented for the dominance of technicians.
本文对基本面派和技术派在中国股市中的作用进行了实证研究。三个计量经济模型被用来区分基于基本分析和基于技术分析的交易者的行为对股票价格的影响。这些模型使用随机选择的100家上海证券交易所上市公司的股票价格的月度和每日数据进行估计。结果显示,基本面分析师和技术分析师在股价形成中都发挥了作用,尽管技术分析师似乎发挥了更重要的作用。即使允许政府干预,这一结果也成立。对技术人员占主导地位提出了一些解释。
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引用次数: 5
Exchange Rate Behaviour of East European Transitional Economies 东欧转型经济体的汇率行为
Pub Date : 2009-08-20 DOI: 10.32890/IJBF2009.6.2.8391
Catherine S. F. Ho
Eastern European countries, which are candidates for accord into the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) and the eventual move towards Euro, fi nd exchange rate management a tedious challenge. This paper examines the underlying factors that move exchange rates and helps us to contribute towards streamlining policies and strategies in moving these countries forward. The new fi ndings on exchange rate determinants for this group of transitional economies are based on parity factors as well as non-parity factor effects. The evidence that emerges from this paper is that non-parity factors including economic growth rate, current account and capital fl ows are signifi cantly correlated with exchange rates. The results are robust whichever data set is used, high-frequency and low-frequency data sets.
东欧国家作为加入汇率机制(ERM)并最终走向欧元的候选国,发现汇率管理是一项乏味的挑战。本文考察了影响汇率的潜在因素,并帮助我们在推动这些国家向前发展的过程中简化政策和战略。关于这组转型经济体的汇率决定因素的新结论是基于平价因素以及非平价因素的影响。本文得出的证据是,包括经济增长率、经常账户和资本流动在内的非平价因素与汇率显著相关。无论使用哪种数据集,高频和低频数据集,结果都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
The International Journal of Banking and Finance
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