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Underreporting of Purchases in the US Consumer Expenditure Survey 在美国消费者支出调查中少报购买
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-08-30 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab024
S. Eckman
Motivated misreporting occurs when respondents give incorrect responses to survey questions to shorten the interview; studies have detected this behavior across many modes, topics, and countries. This paper tests whether motivated misreporting affects responses in a large survey of household purchases, the US Consumer Expenditure Interview Survey. The data from this survey inform the calculation of the official measure of inflation, among other uses. Using a parallel web survey and multiple imputation, this article estimates the size of the misreporting effect without experimentally manipulating questions in the survey itself. Results suggest that household purchases are underreported by approximately five percentage points in three sections of the first wave of the survey. The approach used here, involving a web survey built to mimic the expenditure survey, could be applied in other large surveys where budget or logistical constraints prevent experimentation.
当被调查者对调查问题给出不正确的回答以缩短访谈时,会发生动机性误报;研究已经在许多模式、主题和国家中发现了这种行为。本文测试了动机性误报是否会影响家庭购买的大型调查,即美国消费者支出访谈调查的反应。这项调查的数据为官方通货膨胀指标的计算提供了依据,以及其他用途。本文使用平行网络调查和多重输入,在没有实验操纵调查本身问题的情况下估计误报效应的大小。结果显示,在第一波调查的三个部分中,家庭购买被少报了大约5个百分点。这里使用的方法包括模仿支出调查而建立的网络调查,可以应用于预算或后勤限制阻止实验的其他大型调查。
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引用次数: 3
Sequential and Concurrent Internet-Telephone Mixed-Mode Designs in Sexual Health Behavior Research 性健康行为研究中的顺序和并发网络电话混合模式设计
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-08-30 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab026
S. Legleye, Géraldine Charrance
The 2013 FECOND (Fertility, Contraception, and Sexual Dysfunction) probability telephone survey aims to monitor sexual health behaviors among fifteen to forty-nine year olds in France. We conducted a random experiment to compare a classic telephone survey (group T, n = 3,846 respondents) with two Internet-telephone mixed-mode protocols: a sequential Internet-telephone protocol (group S, n = 762, among which there were 462 Internet questionnaires), and a concurrent protocol (group C, n = 1,165, among which there were 208 Internet questionnaires). We compare telephone (T), sequential (S), and concurrent (C) samples on cooperation rates, break-off, and item nonresponse rates, sociodemographic characteristics, health behaviors, and seven sexual health behaviors and personal opinions questions. Reports on the most sensitive behaviors were expected to be more truthful and more prevalent on the Internet—and thus in the mixed-mode samples—than in the telephone sample. The cooperation rate (i.e., the response rate among the possible respondents selected during the initial telephone call) was higher in the classic telephone survey than in the sequential and concurrent mixed-mode protocols (88 percent for T versus 77 percent for S and 55 percent for C), where break-off and item nonresponse rates were also higher. Despite these lower response rates, mixed-mode samples showed better representativeness: their marginal distribution of sociodemographic characteristics was closer to that of the 2013 census, and they had higher R-indicators. A causal estimation of the measurement effect resulting from Internet administration found higher prevalence of three out of the seven sexual health behaviors and personal opinions in the sequential protocol compared to the classic telephone group; a similar pattern was found in the concurrent protocol. In addition, the variance of the weights of the mixed-mode protocols is lower, especially for the sequential design. Sequential telephone-Internet mixed-mode protocols nested in a probability telephone survey may be a good way to improve survey research on sensitive behaviors.
2013年的FECOND(生育、避孕和性功能障碍)概率电话调查旨在监测法国15至49岁青少年的性健康行为。我们进行了一项随机实验来比较一项经典的电话调查(T组,n = 3846名受访者)使用两种互联网电话混合模式协议:一种顺序互联网电话协议(S组,n = 762份,其中462份互联网问卷),以及一项并发协议(C组,n = 1165份,其中有208份互联网问卷)。我们比较了电话(T)、顺序(S)和并发(C)样本的合作率、中断率和项目无反应率、社会人口统计学特征、健康行为以及七种性健康行为和个人意见问题。与电话样本相比,关于最敏感行为的报告在互联网上更真实、更普遍,因此在混合模式样本中也是如此。在经典电话调查中,合作率(即在最初的电话通话中选择的可能受访者的应答率)高于顺序和并发混合模式协议(T为88%,S为77%,C为55%),其中中断和项目无应答率也更高。尽管回答率较低,但混合模式样本显示出更好的代表性:他们的社会人口特征的边际分布更接近2013年人口普查,并且他们的R指标更高。对互联网管理产生的测量效果的因果估计发现,与经典电话组相比,在顺序协议中,七分之三的性健康行为和个人意见的发生率更高;在并发协议中也发现了类似的模式。此外,混合模式协议的权重方差较小,特别是对于顺序设计。嵌套在概率电话调查中的顺序电话-互联网混合模式协议可能是改进敏感行为调查研究的好方法。
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引用次数: 0
Lack of Replication or Generalization? Cultural Values Explain a Question Wording Effect 缺乏复制还是泛化?文化价值观解释问题措辞效应
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-08-20 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab007
Henning Silber, E. Tvinnereim, T. Stark, A. Blom, J. Krosnick, M. Bošnjak, S. Clement, Anne Cornilleau, Anne-Sophie Cousteaux, M. John, G. Jónsdóttir, K. Lawson, Peter Lynn, Johan Martinsson, Ditte Shamshiri-Petersen, Su-Hao Tu
In the context of the current “replication crisis” across the sciences, failures to reproduce a finding are often viewed as discrediting it. This paper shows how such a conclusion can be incorrect. In 1981, Schuman and Presser showed that including the word “freedom” in a survey question significantly increased approval of allowing a speech against religion in the USA. New experiments in probability sample surveys (n = 23,370) in the USA and 10 other countries showed that the wording effect replicated in the USA and appeared in four other countries (Canada, Germany, Taiwan, and the Netherlands) but not in the remaining countries. The effect appeared only in countries in which the value of freedom is especially salient and endorsed. Thus, public support for a proposition was enhanced by portraying it as embodying a salient principle of a nation’s culture. Instead of questioning initial findings, inconsistent results across countries signal limits on generalizability and identify an important moderator.
在当前整个科学领域的“复制危机”背景下,未能复制一项发现往往被视为对其失去信誉。本文表明,这样的结论可能是不正确的。1981年,舒曼和普莱斯表明,在美国,在调查问题中加入“自由”一词显著增加了允许反宗教言论的支持率。在美国和其他10个国家进行的概率抽样调查(n = 23,370)的新实验表明,这种措辞效应在美国得到了复制,在其他4个国家(加拿大、德国、台湾和荷兰)也出现了,但在其他国家没有。这种影响只出现在自由价值特别突出和得到认可的国家。因此,如果一项提议被描绘成体现了一个国家文化的突出原则,公众对它的支持就会增强。各国之间不一致的结果没有对初步发现提出质疑,而是表明了普遍性的局限性,并确定了一个重要的调节因素。
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引用次数: 2
An Experimental Comparison of Three Strategies for Converting Mail Respondents in a Probability-Based Mixed-Mode Panel to Internet Respondents 基于概率的混合模式面板中邮件回答者转换为互联网回答者三种策略的实验比较
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-08-17 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab002
David Bretschi, Ines Schaurer, D. Dillman
In recent years, web-push strategies have been developed in cross-sectional mixed-mode surveys to improve response rates and reduce the costs of data collection. However, pushing respondents into the more cost-efficient web mode has rarely been examined in the context of panel surveys. This study evaluates how a web-push intervention affects the willingness of panel members to switch survey modes from mail to web. We tested three web-push strategies in a German probability-based mixed-mode panel by randomly assigning 1,895 panelists of the mail mode to one of three conditions: (1) the web option was offered to panelists concurrently with the paper questionnaire including a promised €10 incentive for completing the survey on the web, (2) the web option was presented sequentially two weeks before sending the paper questionnaire and respondents were also promised an incentive of €10, or (3) same sequential web-first approach as for condition 2, but with a prepaid €10 incentive instead of a promised incentive. The study found that a sequential presentation of the web option significantly increases the web response in a single survey but may not motivate more panelists to switch to the web mode permanently. Contrary to our expectation, offering prepaid incentives neither improves the web response nor the proportion of mode switchers. Overall, all three web-push strategies show the potential to effectively reduce survey costs without causing differences in panel attrition after five consecutive waves. Condition 2, the sequential web-first design combined with a promised incentive was most effective in pushing respondents to switch to the web mode and in reducing costs.
近年来,在横断面混合模式调查中制定了网络推送策略,以提高响应率并降低数据收集成本。然而,很少在小组调查的背景下研究将受访者推向更具成本效益的网络模式。本研究评估了网络推送干预如何影响小组成员将调查模式从邮件切换到网络的意愿。我们在德国一个基于概率的混合模式小组中测试了三种网络推送策略,方法是将1895名邮件模式的小组成员随机分配到三个条件之一:(1)网络选项与纸质问卷同时提供给小组成员,其中包括承诺在网络上完成调查的10欧元奖励,(2)在发送纸质问卷前两周,依次提供网络选项,并向受访者承诺10欧元的激励,或(3)与条件2相同的顺序网络优先方法,但使用预付的10欧元激励,而不是承诺的激励。研究发现,在一次调查中,连续呈现网络选项会显著提高网络反应,但可能不会激励更多的小组成员永久切换到网络模式。与我们的预期相反,提供预付费激励既不能提高网络响应,也不能提高模式转换者的比例。总的来说,这三种网络推送策略都显示出在连续五波之后有效降低调查成本而不会造成小组流失差异的潜力。条件2,顺序的网络优先设计与承诺的激励相结合,在促使受访者转向网络模式和降低成本方面最有效。
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引用次数: 7
Capture–Recapture Estimation of Characteristics of U.S. Local Food Farms Using a Web-Scraped List Frame 使用网络列表框架对美国当地食品农场特征进行捕获-再捕获评估
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab008
Michael Hyman, L. Sartore, L. Young
The emerging sectors of agriculture, such as organics, urban, and local food, tend to be dominated by farms that are smaller, more transient, more diverse, and more dispersed than the traditional farms in the rural areas of the United States. As a consequence, a list frame of all farms within one of these sectors is difficult to construct and, even with the best of efforts, is incomplete. The United States Department of Agriculture’s (USDA’s) National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) maintains a list frame of all known and potential U.S. farms and uses this list frame as the sampling frame for most of its surveys. Traditionally, NASS has used its area frame to assess undercoverage. However, getting a good measure of the incompleteness of the NASS list frame using an area frame is cost prohibitive for farms in these emerging sectors that tend to be located within and near urban areas. In 2016, NASS conducted the Local Food Marketing Practices (LFMP) survey. Independent samples were drawn from (1) the NASS list frame and (2) a web-scraped list of local food farms. Using these two samples and capture–recapture methods, the total number and sales of local food operations at the United States, regional, and state levels were estimated. To our knowledge, the LFMP survey is the first survey in which a web-scraped list frame has been used to assess undercoverage in a capture–recapture setting to produce official statistics. In this article, the methods are presented, and the challenges encountered are reviewed. Best practices and open research questions for conducting surveys using web-scraped list frames and capture–recapture methods are discussed.
新兴的农业部门,如有机物、城市和当地食品,往往由比美国农村地区传统农场更小、更短暂、更多样、更分散的农场主导。因此,很难建立其中一个部门内所有农场的清单框架,即使尽了最大努力,也不完整。美国农业部(USDA)的国家农业统计局(NASS)保留了一个所有已知和潜在美国农场的列表框架,并将该列表框架用作大多数调查的抽样框架。传统上,NASS使用其面积框架来评估欠平均化。然而,对于那些倾向于位于城市地区内和附近的新兴部门的农场来说,使用区域框架来很好地衡量NASS列表框架的不完整性是成本高昂的。2016年,NASS进行了当地食品营销实践(LFMP)调查。独立样本来自(1)NASS列表框架和(2)当地食品农场的网络刮取列表。使用这两个样本和捕获-再捕获方法,估计了美国、地区和州各级当地食品业务的总数和销售额。据我们所知,LFMP调查是第一次使用网络抓取列表框架来评估捕获-再捕获环境中的低平均率,以产生官方统计数据的调查。在这篇文章中,介绍了方法,并回顾了遇到的挑战。讨论了使用网络抓取列表框架和捕获-重新捕获方法进行调查的最佳实践和开放研究问题。
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引用次数: 2
Bootstrap Estimation of the Conditional Bias for Measuring Influence in Complex Surveys 复杂调查中测量影响的条件偏差的Bootstrap估计
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab029
J. Beaumont, Cynthia Bocci, Michel St-Louis
In sample surveys that collect information on skewed variables, it is often desirable to assess the influence of sample units on the sampling error of survey-weighted estimators of finite population parameters. The conditional bias is an attractive measure of influence that accounts for the sampling design and the estimation method. It is defined as the design expectation of the sampling error conditional on a given unit being selected in the sample. The estimation of the conditional bias is relatively straightforward for simple sampling designs and estimators. However, for complex designs or complex estimators, it may be tedious to derive an explicit expression for the conditional bias. In those complex surveys, variance estimation is often achieved through replication methods such as the bootstrap. Bootstrap methods of variance estimation are typically implemented by producing a set of bootstrap weights that is provided to users along with the survey data. In this article, we show how to use these bootstrap weights to obtain an estimator of the conditional bias. Our bootstrap estimator is evaluated in a simulation study and illustrated using data from the Canadian Survey of Household Spending.
在收集偏斜变量信息的抽样调查中,通常需要评估样本单位对有限总体参数的调查加权估计量的抽样误差的影响。条件偏差是一种有吸引力的影响度量,它解释了抽样设计和估计方法。它被定义为采样误差的设计预期,条件是在样本中选择给定的单元。对于简单的采样设计和估计器,条件偏差的估计是相对直接的。然而,对于复杂的设计或复杂的估计量,推导条件偏差的显式表达式可能是乏味的。在这些复杂的调查中,方差估计通常通过bootstrap等复制方法来实现。方差估计的Bootstrap方法通常通过产生一组Bootstrap权重来实现,该权重与调查数据一起提供给用户。在这篇文章中,我们展示了如何使用这些自举权重来获得条件偏差的估计量。我们的bootstrap估计器在一项模拟研究中进行了评估,并使用加拿大家庭支出调查的数据进行了说明。
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引用次数: 0
Rank-Based Inference for Survey Sampling Data 基于秩的调查抽样数据推理
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-08-09 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab019
A. Adekpedjou, H. Bindele
For regression models where data are obtained from sampling surveies, the statistical analysis is often based on approaches that are either non-robust or inefficient. The handling of survey data requires more appropriate techniques, as the classical methods usually result in biased and inefficient estimates of the underlying model parameters. This article is concerned with the development of a new approach of obtaining robust and efficient estimates of regression model parameters when dealing with survey sampling data. Asymptotic properties of such estimators are established under mild regularity conditions. To demonstrate the performance of the proposed method, Monte Carlo simulation experiments are carried out and show that the estimators obtained from the proposed methodology are robust and more efficient than many of those obtained from existing approaches, mainly if the survey data tend to result in residuals with heavy-tailed or skewed distributions and/or when there are few gross outliers. Finally, the proposed approach is illustrated with a real data example.
对于从抽样调查中获得数据的回归模型,统计分析通常基于非稳健或低效的方法。调查数据的处理需要更合适的技术,因为经典方法通常会导致对基本模型参数的估计有偏差且效率低下。本文致力于开发一种新方法,在处理调查抽样数据时,获得回归模型参数的稳健有效估计。在温和的正则性条件下,建立了这类估计量的渐近性质。为了证明所提出方法的性能,进行了蒙特卡洛模拟实验,并表明从所提出方法获得的估计量是稳健的,并且比从现有方法获得的许多估计量更有效,主要是如果调查数据倾向于产生具有重尾或偏斜分布的残差和/或当几乎没有总异常值时。最后,以实际数据为例说明了所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 0
A Model-Assisted Approach for Finding Coding Errors in Manual Coding of Open-Ended Questions 开放式问题手工编码中编码错误的模型辅助发现方法
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-08-03 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab022
Zhoushanyue He, Matthias Schonlau
Text answers to open-ended questions are typically manually coded into one of several codes. Usually, a random subset of text answers is double-coded to assess intercoder reliability, but most of the data remain single-coded. Any disagreement between the two coders points to an error by one of the coders. When the budget allows double coding additional text answers, we propose employing statistical learning models to predict which single-coded answers have a high risk of a coding error. Specifically, we train a model on the double-coded random subset and predict the probability that the single-coded codes are correct. Then, text answers with the highest risk are double-coded to verify. In experiments with three data sets, we found that this method identifies two to three times as many coding errors in the additional text answers as compared to random guessing, on average. We conclude that this method is preferred if the budget permits additional double-coding. When there are a lot of intercoder disagreements, the benefit can be substantial.
开放式问题的文本答案通常被手动编码为几个代码中的一个。通常,文本答案的随机子集是双重编码的,以评估代码间的可靠性,但大多数数据仍然是单一编码的。两个编码器之间的任何分歧都指向其中一个编码器的错误。当预算允许对额外的文本答案进行双重编码时,我们建议使用统计学习模型来预测哪些单一编码的答案具有较高的编码错误风险。具体来说,我们在双编码随机子集上训练一个模型,并预测单编码码正确的概率。然后,对风险最高的文本答案进行双重编码以进行验证。在使用三个数据集的实验中,我们发现,与随机猜测相比,这种方法在额外的文本答案中识别的编码错误平均是随机猜测的两到三倍。我们得出的结论是,如果预算允许额外的双重编码,这种方法是首选的。当有很多跨部门的分歧时,利益可能是巨大的。
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引用次数: 4
DETERMINED BY MODE? REPRESENTATION AND MEASUREMENT EFFECTS IN A DUAL-MODE STATEWIDE SURVEY 由模式决定?双模全州调查的表征与测量效应
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-06-18 DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smab012
Enrijeta Shino, Michael D. Martinez, Michael Binder
With the increasing usage of dual-mode data collection, researchers of public opinion have shown considerable interest in understanding response differences across different interview modes. Are mode effects an outcome of representation or measurement differences across modes? We conducted a dual-mode survey (web and telephone) using Florida’s voter file as the sampling frame, randomly assigning registered voters into one mode versus the other. Having a priori information about the respondents allows us to gauge whether and how sample composition differences may be driven by mode effects, and whether mode affects estimated models of political behavior. Survey mode effects are still significant for issue voting even when sampling design is similar for both modes.
随着双模式数据收集的使用越来越多,民意研究人员对了解不同访谈模式下的反应差异表现出了极大的兴趣。模式效应是模式间表现或测量差异的结果吗?我们使用佛罗里达州的选民档案作为抽样框架,进行了一项双模式调查(网络和电话),随机将登记选民分配到一种模式与另一种模式。有了关于被调查者的先验信息,我们可以衡量样本组成差异是否以及如何由模式效应驱动,以及模式是否影响政治行为的估计模型。调查模式对议题投票的影响仍然显著,即使两种模式的抽样设计相似。
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引用次数: 4
QUESTIONNAIRE COMPLEXITY, REST PERIOD, AND RESPONSE LIKELIHOOD IN ESTABLISHMENT SURVEYS 企业调查问卷的复杂性、休息时间与回应可能性
IF 2.1 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI: 10.1093/JSSAM/SMAB017
J. Rodhouse, T. Wilson, Heather E Ridolfo
Response burden has been a concern in survey research for some time. One area of concern is the negative impact that response burden can have on response rates. In an effort to mitigate negative impacts on response rates, survey research organizations try to minimize the burden respondents are exposed to and maximize the likelihood of response. Many organizations also try to be mindful of the role burden may play in respondents’ likelihood to participate in future surveys by implementing rest periods or survey holidays. Recently, new evidence from a study of cross-sectional household surveys provided an interesting lens to examine burden. The evidence demonstrated that those sampled in two independent surveys are more likely to respond to the second survey if the first survey was more difficult to complete, and that this effect was not significantly influenced by the rest period in between the two surveys. These findings are compelling, and since the mechanisms influencing response in household and establishment surveys differ in important ways, a similar examination in an establishment survey context is warranted. To accomplish this, data are used from the National Agricultural Statistics Service. Overall, our research finds that prior survey features such as questionnaire complexity (or burden), prior response disposition and rest period are significantly associated with response to subsequent surveys. We also find that sample units first receiving a more complex questionnaire have significantly higher probabilities of response to a subsequent survey than do those receiving a simpler questionnaire first. The findings in this paper have implications for nonresponse adjustments and identification of subgroups for adaptive design data collection.
一段时间以来,响应负担一直是调查研究中关注的问题。一个令人关切的领域是反应负担可能对反应率产生的负面影响。为了减轻对回复率的负面影响,调查研究组织试图将受访者面临的负担降至最低,并最大限度地提高回复的可能性。许多组织还试图通过实施休息期或调查假期来注意负担可能在受访者参与未来调查的可能性中发挥的作用。最近,一项横断面家庭调查研究的新证据为研究负担提供了一个有趣的视角。证据表明,如果第一次调查更难完成,那么在两次独立调查中抽样的人更有可能对第二次调查做出回应,而且这种影响没有受到两次调查之间休息期的显著影响。这些发现令人信服,而且由于影响家庭和机构调查反应的机制在重要方面有所不同,因此有必要在机构调查背景下进行类似的审查。为此,使用了国家农业统计局的数据。总体而言,我们的研究发现,先前的调查特征,如问卷复杂性(或负担)、先前的反应倾向和休息时间,与对后续调查的反应显著相关。我们还发现,首先接受更复杂问卷的样本单位对后续调查的回答概率明显高于首先接受更简单问卷的样本单元。本文的研究结果对无响应调整和识别自适应设计数据收集的亚组具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology
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