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[Comparative assessment of sensitivity and specificity of three variants of classification criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus in a cohort of Russian patients]. [系统性红斑狼疮分类标准三种变体在俄罗斯患者群中的敏感性和特异性比较评估]。
IF 0.3 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-16 DOI: 10.26442/00403660.2023.05.202201
T M Reshetnyak, T A Lisitsyna, F A Cheldieva, A A Shumilova, S I Glukhova, M N Starovoytova, N V Seredavkina, O V Desinova, Z G Verizhnikova, E L Nasonov

Background: The clinical and serologic heterogeneity of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) presents challenges for diagnosis, particularly in the earliest stages of the disease when there are insufficient signs to make a reliable diagnosis.

Aim: To make a comparative assessment of sensitivity and specificity of various classification criteria of SLE on a cohort of patients of Nasonova Research Institute of Rheumatology.

Materials and methods: A total of 252 patients were included in the study; 152 (60%) of 252 patients had reliable SLE (mean age 36 [29.5-46] years, duration of disease 9 [3.4-19] years). Of 252 patients, 26 (11%) had PAPS (mean age 36.5 [31-42] years, duration of disease 4.6 [1-10.4] years). Systemic sclerosis was diagnosed in 74/252 (29%) patients, (mean age 51.5 [42-59] years, duration of disease 9 [5-16] years). The quality of the classification function of the criteria was assessed by ROC analysis.

Results: SLE was diagnosed in 131 (86%) of 152 patients using the American College of Rheumatology - ACR)-1997 criteria, in 145 (95%) using the The Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) 2012 criteria, and in 144 (94.7%) using the European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR)/ACR 2019 criteria. ANF positivity was the least statistically significant of all signs in relation to the diagnosis of SLE. The area under the curve (AUC) for ANF≥1/160 titers was AUC 0.654 for the ACR-97 criteria, AUC 0.616 for the SLICC-12 SLE criteria, and AUC 0.609 for the 2019 EULAR/ACR criteria. ROC analysis of the relationship between the number of criteria/points and a reliable diagnosis of SLE revealed a high diagnostic accuracy - the AUC for all SLE criteria was greater than 0.940. In the ROC analysis of patients with SLE and PAFS, indicating the number of diagnostic criteria, sensitivity was 86% for ACR-1997, 95% for SLICC-2012, 95% for EULAR/ACR 2019, and specificity was 100, 62 and 62%, respectively.

Conclusion: The classification criteria SLICC-2012 and EULAR/ACR 2019 are more sensitive for the diagnosis of SLE in the Russian population, and the criteria ACR-1997 are more specific. All three variants of the SLE classification criteria have sufficient sensitivity and specificity for their use in real clinical practice.

背景:系统性红斑狼疮(SLE)的临床和血清学异质性给诊断带来了挑战,尤其是在疾病的早期阶段,因为没有足够的体征来做出可靠的诊断。目的:对纳索诺娃风湿病学研究所的一组患者进行系统性红斑狼疮各种分类标准的敏感性和特异性的比较评估:研究共纳入了 252 名患者,其中 152 人(60%)患有可靠的系统性红斑狼疮(平均年龄 36 [29.5-46] 岁,病程 9 [3.4-19] 年)。在 252 名患者中,26 人(11%)患有 PAPS(平均年龄 36.5 [31-42] 岁,病程 4.6 [1-10.4] 年)。74/252(29%)名患者被诊断出患有系统性硬化症(平均年龄 51.5 [42-59] 岁,病程 9 [5-16] 年)。通过 ROC 分析评估了标准分类功能的质量:采用美国风湿病学会(ACR)-1997年标准,152名患者中有131人(86%)被诊断为系统性红斑狼疮;采用系统性红斑狼疮国际合作诊所(SLICC)2012年标准,145人(95%)被诊断为系统性红斑狼疮;采用欧洲抗风湿联盟(EULAR)/ACR 2019年标准,144人(94.7%)被诊断为系统性红斑狼疮。在与系统性红斑狼疮诊断相关的所有体征中,ANF阳性的统计学意义最小。ANF≥1/160 滴度的曲线下面积(AUC)在 ACR-97 标准中为 AUC 0.654,在 SLICC-12 系统性红斑狼疮标准中为 AUC 0.616,在 2019 EULAR/ACR 标准中为 AUC 0.609。对标准/点数与系统性红斑狼疮可靠诊断之间关系的 ROC 分析表明,诊断准确率很高--所有系统性红斑狼疮标准的 AUC 均大于 0.940。在对系统性红斑狼疮和 PAFS 患者进行的 ROC 分析中,以诊断标准数量为指标,ACR-1997 的灵敏度为 86%,SLICC-2012 为 95%,EULAR/ACR 2019 为 95%,特异性分别为 100%、62% 和 62%:结论:在俄罗斯人群中,SLICC-2012 和 EULAR/ACR 2019 分类标准对系统性红斑狼疮的诊断更为敏感,而 ACR-1997 标准则更具特异性。这三种系统性红斑狼疮分类标准都有足够的灵敏度和特异性,可以在实际临床实践中使用。
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引用次数: 0
Livestock hauler and dairy farmer perspectives about cull dairy cattle transport and cattle transport regulations in British Columbia, Canada. 牲畜运输商和奶农对加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省宰杀奶牛运输和奶牛运输法规的看法。
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-06-01 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/awf.2023.36
Christine Kuo, Marina Ag von Keyserlingk

Dairy cows are usually culled and transported from the farm when they no longer meet the farm's standards for production or are not needed for milk production. Some cows are transported while in poor condition and may deteriorate further during transport. In February 2020, Canadian federal animal transport regulations were revised with the aim to minimise risks to livestock during transport; changes that may impact cull dairy cows included defining compromised cattle and limiting their maximum transport time. This study conducted semi-structured interviews with dairy farmers (n = 6) and cattle haulers (n = 4) in British Columbia, Canada, to gain an in-depth understanding of the effect of the regulations on their practices when shipping and transporting dairy cows to slaughter. Interviews were transcribed in Otter.ai and thematically coded in NVivo 12. While farmer and hauler participants recognised the importance of animal welfare during transport and described practices such as shipping mobile animals to reduce the risk that cows would become non-ambulatory during transport, they also described little change in shipping and transport practices due to the new regulations. Among interviewed participants, barriers to compliance with the regulations appear to be low knowledge of, and mixed or negative attitudes towards the regulations. Participants also described how they felt a lack of communication along the transport chain and limited transport and slaughter infrastructure made compliance difficult. Possible suggestions to remedy these barriers include providing educational resources about the regulations and encouraging communication about cow fitness for transport between responsible parties in the transport chain.

当奶牛不再符合牧场的生产标准或不需要生产牛奶时,通常会被淘汰并运出牧场。有些奶牛在运输过程中状况不佳,可能会在运输过程中进一步恶化。2020 年 2 月,加拿大联邦动物运输法规进行了修订,旨在最大限度地降低牲畜在运输过程中的风险;可能对阉割奶牛产生影响的变化包括对状况不佳的牛进行定义,并限制其最长运输时间。本研究对加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省的奶农(6 人)和运牛人(4 人)进行了半结构化访谈,以深入了解法规对奶牛运输和屠宰实践的影响。访谈内容在 Otter.ai 中进行了转录,并在 NVivo 12 中进行了主题编码。虽然农场主和运输商参与者认识到运输过程中动物福利的重要性,并描述了一些做法,如运输移动的动物以降低奶牛在运输过程中失去行动能力的风险,但他们也描述了由于新法规的实施,运输和运输方式几乎没有改变。在接受采访的参与者中,遵守法规的障碍似乎在于对法规的了解程度较低,以及对法规的态度不一或持消极态度。受访者还表示,他们认为运输链上缺乏沟通,运输和屠宰基础设施有限,这些都给遵守法规带来了困难。纠正这些障碍的可行建议包括提供有关法规的教育资源,鼓励运输链中的责任方就奶牛是否适合运输进行沟通。
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引用次数: 0
A Machine Learning Approach to the Observation Operator for Satellite Radiance Data Assimilation 卫星辐射数据同化观测算子的机器学习方法
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2023-005
Jianyu LIANG, Koji TERASAKI, Takemasa MIYOSHI
The observation operator (OO) is essential in data assimilation (DA) to derive the model equivalent of observations from the model variables. In the satellite DA, the OO for satellite microwave brightness temperature (BT) is usually based on the radiative transfer model (RTM) with a bias correction procedure. To explore the possibility to obtain OO without using physically based RTM, this study applied machine learning (ML) as OO (MLOO) to assimilate BT from Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) channels 6 and 7 over oceans and channel 8 over both land and oceans under clear-sky conditions. We used a reference system, consisting of the nonhydrostatic icosahedral atmospheric model (NICAM) and the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF). The radiative transfer for TOVS (RTTOV) was implemented in the system as OO, combined with a separate bias correction procedure (RTTOV-OO). The DA experiment was performed for 1 month to assimilate conventional observations and BT using the reference system. Model forecasts from the experiment were paired with observations for training the ML models to obtain ML-OO. In addition, three DA experiments were conducted, which revealed that DA of the conventional observations and BT using ML-OO was slightly inferior, compared to that of RTTOV-OO, but it was better than the assimilation based on only conventional observations. Moreover, ML-OO treated bias internally, thereby simplifying the overall system framework. The proposed ML-OO has limitations due to (1) the inability to treat bias realistically when a significant change is present in the satellite characteristics, (2) inapplicability for many channels, (3) deteriorated performance, compared with that of RTTOV-OO with respect to accuracy and computational speed, and (4) physically based RTM is still used to train the ML-OO. Future studies can alleviate these drawbacks, thereby improving the proposed ML-OO.
在数据同化(DA)中,观测算子从模型变量中导出观测值的模型等价是必不可少的。在卫星数据分析中,卫星微波亮度温度(BT)的OO通常是基于辐射传输模型(RTM)并进行偏置校正。为了探索在不使用基于物理的RTM的情况下获得OO的可能性,本研究应用机器学习(ML)作为OO (MLOO)来吸收来自先进微波探测单元- a (AMSU-A)在海洋上的6和7频道以及晴天条件下陆地和海洋上的8频道的BT。我们使用了一个由非流体静力二十面体大气模型(NICAM)和局部系综变换卡尔曼滤波(LETKF)组成的参考系统。TOVS的辐射传递(RTTOV)在系统中作为OO实现,并结合单独的偏置校正程序(RTTOV-OO)。采用参考系统进行了为期1个月的DA实验,以同化常规观测和BT。从实验中得到的模型预测与观测结果配对,用于训练ML模型以获得ML- oo。此外,进行了3次数据同化实验,结果表明,与RTTOV-OO同化相比,使用ML-OO同化常规观测值和BT的数据同化效果略差,但优于仅使用常规观测值同化。此外,ML-OO在内部处理了偏差,从而简化了整个系统框架。所提出的ML-OO存在以下局限性:(1)当卫星特性发生重大变化时,无法真实地处理偏差;(2)不适用于许多信道;(3)与RTTOV-OO相比,性能在精度和计算速度方面有所下降;(4)仍然使用基于物理的RTM来训练ML-OO。未来的研究可以减轻这些缺点,从而改进所提出的ML-OO。
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引用次数: 2
End-to-End Deep Learning-Based Cells Detection in Microscopic Leucorrhea Images. 基于端到端深度学习的显微白带图像中的细胞检测
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-03-02 DOI: 10.1017/S1431927622000265
Ruqian Hao, Xiangzhou Wang, Xiaohui Du, Jing Zhang, Juanxiu Liu, Lin Liu

Vaginitis is a prevalent gynecologic disease that threatens millions of women’s health. Although microscopic examination of vaginal discharge is an effective method to identify vaginal infections, manual analysis of microscopic leucorrhea images is extremely time-consuming and labor-intensive. To automate the detection and identification of visible components in microscopic leucorrhea images for early-stage diagnosis of vaginitis, we propose a novel end-to-end deep learning-based cells detection framework using attention-based detection with transformers (DETR) architecture. The transfer learning was applied to speed up the network convergence while maintaining the lowest annotation cost. To address the issue of detection performance degradation caused by class imbalance, the weighted sampler with on-the-fly data augmentation module was integrated into the detection pipeline. Additionally, the multi-head attention mechanism and the bipartite matching loss system of the DETR model perform well in identifying partially overlapping cells in real-time. With our proposed method, the pipeline achieved a mean average precision (mAP) of 86.00% and the average precision (AP) of epithelium, leukocyte, pyocyte, mildew, and erythrocyte was 96.76, 83.50, 74.20, 89.66, and 88.80%, respectively. The average test time for a microscopic leucorrhea image is approximately 72.3 ms. Currently, this cell detection method represents state-of-the-art performance.

阴道炎是一种普遍存在的妇科疾病,威胁着数百万妇女的健康。虽然显微镜检查阴道分泌物是识别阴道炎的有效方法,但人工分析白带显微图像非常耗时耗力。为了自动检测和识别显微镜下白带图像中的可见成分,以便对阴道炎进行早期诊断,我们提出了一种新颖的端到端基于深度学习的细胞检测框架,该框架采用基于注意力的变压器检测(DETR)架构。在保持最低标注成本的同时,我们还应用了迁移学习来加快网络收敛速度。为解决类不平衡导致的检测性能下降问题,在检测流水线中集成了带即时数据增强模块的加权采样器。此外,DETR 模型的多头关注机制和双匹配损失系统在实时识别部分重叠单元方面表现出色。通过我们提出的方法,管道的平均精度(mAP)达到了 86.00%,上皮细胞、白细胞、脓细胞、霉菌和红细胞的平均精度(AP)分别为 96.76%、83.50%、74.20%、89.66% 和 88.80%。显微白带图像的平均检测时间约为 72.3 毫秒。目前,这种细胞检测方法代表了最先进的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Predictability Associated with High-Latitude Retrograde Waves in the 1979-80 Winter Season 1979- 1980年冬季高纬度逆行波的可预测性
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2151/JMSJ.2022-012
Huang Huei-Ping, Raghunathan Girish Nigamanth
Retrograde long waves in the higher latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere can episodically attain large amplitudes and sustain coherent phase propagation for 2 – 3 weeks. The potential influence of such waves on extended-range weather forecast has been conjectured but not systematically quantified. Using a set of ensemble reforecast data, this study examined the predictability associated with an extraordinary retrograde-wave episode in the 1979 – 80 winter. Quantified by the anomaly correlation of the 500 hPa geopotential height in the 40 – 70°N latitudi nal band, increased week-2 predictability was found within the subperiod with the presence of coherent retrograde waves. Some individual forecasts made within the retrograde-wave event exhibited the behavior of “return of skills”. The results suggest a future investigation into the relation between the elevated level of anomaly correlation in week-2 and detailed dynamics of the retrograde waves.
北半球高纬度地区逆行的长波可以偶尔达到较大的振幅,并维持2 - 3周的相干相位传播。这种波浪对大范围天气预报的潜在影响已被推测,但尚未系统地量化。本研究利用一组整体重预报数据,检验了1979 - 1980年冬季异常逆行波事件的可预测性。通过40 ~ 70°N纬带500 hPa位势高度的异常相关性量化,发现在相干逆行波存在的亚周期内,第2周的可预测性增加。在逆行波事件中所作的个别预报表现出“技能回归”的行为。结果表明,未来将进一步研究第2周异常相关水平的升高与逆行波的详细动力学之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Different Future Changes between Early and Late Summer Monsoon Precipitation in East Asia 东亚夏初和夏末风降水的未来变化
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.2151/JMSJ.2021-073
H. Endo, A. Kitoh, R. Mizuta, T. Ose
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引用次数: 7
Application of a Nudged General Circulation Model to the Interpretation of the Mean Age of Air Derived from Stratospheric Samples in the Tropics Nudged环流模型在解释热带平流层样本空气平均年龄中的应用
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2021-05-20 DOI: 10.2151/JMSJ.2021-056
T. H. Nguyen, K. Ishijima, S. Sugawara, F. Hasebe
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引用次数: 0
A 1D Bayesian Inversion Applied to GPM Microwave Imager Observations: Sensitivity Studies 一维贝叶斯反演应用于GPM微波成像仪观测:灵敏度研究
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2021-04-30 DOI: 10.2151/JMSJ.2021-050
Marylis Barreyat, P. Chambon, J. Mahfouf, G. Faure, Yasutaka Ikuta
{"title":"A 1D Bayesian Inversion Applied to GPM Microwave Imager Observations: Sensitivity Studies","authors":"Marylis Barreyat, P. Chambon, J. Mahfouf, G. Faure, Yasutaka Ikuta","doi":"10.2151/JMSJ.2021-050","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2151/JMSJ.2021-050","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":17476,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2021-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43922808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Precipitation Processes of a Thunderstorm Occurred on 19 August 2014 in Northern Taiwan Documented by Using a High Resolution 4DVar Data Assimilation System 利用高分辨率4DVar同化系统记录2014年8月19日台湾北部一次雷暴降水过程
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2021-04-20 DOI: 10.2151/JMSJ.2021-049
Yinglu Wu, Yu‐Chieng Liou, Yi-Chuan Lo, S. Tai, Shao-Fan Chang, Juanzhen Sun
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引用次数: 2
Statistical Intercomparison of Similarity Metrics in Sea Level Pressure Pattern Classification 海平面压力模式分类中相似度量的统计相互比较
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2021-04-14 DOI: 10.2151/JMSJ.2021-047
Takuto Sato, H. Kusaka
{"title":"Statistical Intercomparison of Similarity Metrics in Sea Level Pressure Pattern Classification","authors":"Takuto Sato, H. Kusaka","doi":"10.2151/JMSJ.2021-047","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2151/JMSJ.2021-047","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":17476,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2021-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45749996","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan
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