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Vertical Structure and Dynamical Properties during Snow Events in Middle Latitudes of China from Observations by the C-band Vertically Pointing Radar C波段垂直指向雷达观测的中国中纬度降雪过程的垂直结构和动力学特性
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-02-24 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-028
Ye Cui, Zheng Ruan, M. Wei, Feng Li, Runsheng Ge
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引用次数: 2
A Bayesian Correction Approach for Improving Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar Rainfall Rate Estimates 改进双频降水雷达降雨率估计的贝叶斯校正方法
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-02-12 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-025
Yingzhao Ma, V. Chandrasekar, S. Biswas
The accurate estimation of precipitation is an important objective for the Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR), which is located on board the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) satellite core observatory. In this study, a Bayesian correction (BC) approach is proposed to improve the DPR’s instantaneous rainfall rate product. Ground dual-polarization radar (GR) observations are used as references, and a log-transformed Gaussian distribution is assumed as the instantaneous rainfall process. Additionally, a generalized regression model is adopted in the BC algorithm. Rainfall intensities such as light, moderate, and heavy rain and their variable influences on the model’s performance are considered. The BC approach quantifies the predictive uncertainties associated with the Bayesiancorrected DPR (DPR_BC) rainfall rate estimates. To demonstrate the concepts developed in this study, data from the GPM overpasses of the Weather Service Surveillance Radar (WSR-88D), KHGX, in Houston, Texas, between April 2014 and June 2018 are used. Observation errors in the DPR instantaneous rainfall rate estimates are analyzed as a function of rainfall intensity. Moreover, the best-performing BC model is implemented in three GPM-overpass cases with heavy rainfall records across the southeastern United States. The results show that the DPR_BC rainfall rate estimates have superior skill scores and are in better agreement with the GR references than with the DPR estimates. This study demonstrates the potential of the proposed BC algorithm for enhancing the instantaneous rainfall rate product from spaceborne radar equipment.
全球降水测量卫星(GPM)核心观测站的双频降水雷达(Dual-frequency precipitation Radar, DPR)的一个重要目标是准确估计降水。本文提出了一种贝叶斯校正(BC)方法来改进DPR的瞬时降雨率积。以地面双极化雷达(GR)观测资料为参考,假设瞬时降雨过程为对数变换高斯分布。此外,BC算法采用了广义回归模型。考虑了降雨强度(如小雨、中雨和暴雨)及其对模型性能的可变影响。BC方法量化了与贝叶斯校正DPR (DPR_BC)降雨率估计值相关的预测不确定性。为了演示本研究中开发的概念,使用了2014年4月至2018年6月期间德克萨斯州休斯顿KHGX气象服务监视雷达(WSR-88D)的GPM立交桥数据。分析了DPR瞬时降雨率估计的观测误差与降雨强度的关系。此外,在美国东南部有强降雨记录的三个gpm立交桥案例中实现了表现最佳的BC模型。结果表明,与DPR估计相比,DPR_BC降雨率估计具有更好的技能得分,并且与GR参考更符合。该研究证明了所提出的BC算法在增强星载雷达设备瞬时降雨率产品方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 8
Modulation of the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation near the Southwestern Coast of Sumatra by Mixed Rossby-Gravity Waves 混合Rossby重力波对苏门答腊西南海岸附近降水日周期的调制
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-02-06 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-026
B. Geng, M. Katsumata, K. Taniguchi
In this study, we investigated the impact of mixed Rossby-gravity waves (MRGWs) on the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the southwestern coastal area of Sumatra using data captured during a pilot field campaign of the Years of the Maritime Continent (YMC) project. The study focused on a 19-day period from 24 November to 12 December 2015, using data from intensive surface observations, radiosondes, and a C-band polarimetric radar (collected aboard the research vessel Mirai at 4°4′S, 101°54′E), as well as data from a global objective analysis. The results indicated a relationship between oscillations with periods of several days in the intensity of diurnal precipitation and the wind field. Wind oscillations were attributed to several westward-propagating MRGWs traversing the study site. Diurnal convection and precipitation over the land and ocean were enhanced (suppressed) when MRGW-induced offshore (onshore) wind perturbations dominated. Large-scale low-level convergence and upper-level divergence, stronger sea-breeze flow, and colder land-breeze flow were also observed with the intensification of MRGW-induced offshore wind perturbations. However, diurnal precipitation displayed a similar well-defined phase and propagation pattern over the land and ocean, coherent with the regular evolution of seaand land-breeze circulations, regardless of wind perturbations induced by MRGWs. The results suggest that local convergence induced by the land–sea contrast is mainly responsible for driving the diurnal cycle. Notwithstanding, MRGWs exert a significant impact on the amplitude of diurnal convection and precipitation by modulating the large-scale dynamic structure of the atmosphere and the intensity of local seaand land-breeze circulations.
在这项研究中,我们利用海洋大陆年(YMC)项目的试点活动中获得的数据,研究了混合罗斯比重力波(MRGWs)对苏门答腊西南沿海地区降水日周期的影响。该研究的重点是2015年11月24日至12月12日的19天时间,使用了来自密集表面观测、无线电探空仪和C波段极化雷达的数据(在研究船Mirai上于4°4′S、101°54′E收集),以及来自全球客观分析的数据。结果表明,日降水强度和风场的振荡周期为几天。风振荡归因于几个向西传播的穿越研究地点的MRGW。当MRGW引起的海上(陆上)风扰动占主导地位时,陆地和海洋上空的日对流和降水增强(抑制)。随着MRGW引起的海上风扰动的加剧,还观察到大规模的低层辐合和高层辐散、更强的海风流和更冷的陆风流。然而,无论MRGWs引起的风扰动如何,昼夜降水在陆地和海洋上都表现出类似的明确相位和传播模式,与海风和陆风环流的规律演变一致。结果表明,陆海对比引起的局部辐合是驱动日周期的主要原因。尽管如此,MRGWs通过调节大气的大尺度动力结构和局部海风和陆风环流的强度,对日对流和降水的幅度产生了重大影响。
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引用次数: 3
A Modeling Study of the Severe Afternoon Thunderstorm Event at Taipei on 14 June 2015: The Roles of Sea Breeze, Microphysics, and Terrain 2015年6月14日台北强雷暴事件的模式研究:海风、微物理和地形的作用
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-02-01 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-008
Jyong-En Miao, Ming-Jen Yang
On 14 June 2015, a severe afternoon thunderstorm event developed within the Taipei basin, which produced intense rainfall (with rainfall rate of 131 mm h-1) and urban-scale flooding. Cloud-resolving simulations using the WRF model were performed to capture reasonably well the onset of see breeze, the development and evolution of this afternoon thunderstorm system. The WRF model had four nested grids (with the finest grid size of 0.5 km) in the horizontal and 55 layers in the vertical to explicitly resolve the deep convection over complex terrain. It is found that convection was initiated by sea breeze at foothill and by upslope wind at mountain peak, respectively. Convective available potential energy (CAPE) was increased from 800 to 3200 J kg-1 with abundant moisture transport by the sea breeze from 08 to 12 LST, fueling large thermodynamic instability for the development of afternoon thunderstorm. Strong convergence between sea breeze and cold-air outflow triggered further development of intense convection, resulting in heavy rainfall over Taipei city. Microphysics sensitivity experiments show that evaporative cooling played a major role in the propagation of cold-air outflow and the production of heavy rainfall within basin plain (terrain height < 100 m), while melting cooling played a minor role. The terrain-removal experiment indicates that the local topography of Mount Datun at coastal region may produce the channel effect through Danshui River Valley, intensify sea-breeze circulation and transport more moisture. This terrain-induced modification of sea breeze circulation made its dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics more favorable for convection development, resulting in stronger afternoon thunderstorm system with heavier rainfall within the Taipei City.
2015年6月14日,台北盆地内发生了一场下午严重的雷暴事件,产生了强降雨(降雨量为131毫米h-1)和城市规模的洪水。使用WRF模型进行了云解析模拟,以相当好地捕捉西风的开始、今天下午雷暴系统的发展和演变。WRF模型在水平方向上有四个嵌套网格(最细的网格大小为0.5公里),在垂直方向上有55层,以明确解决复杂地形上的深层对流。研究发现,对流分别由山麓海风和山顶上坡风引发。对流可用势能(CAPE)从800增加到3200 J kg-1,海风在08至12 LST期间输送了大量的水分,为下午雷暴的发展提供了巨大的热力学不稳定性。海风与冷空气的强烈辐合引发强烈对流的进一步发展,台北市出现强降雨。微物理敏感性实验表明,蒸发冷却在冷空气外流的传播和盆地平原(地形高度<100m)内强降雨的产生中起着主要作用,而融化冷却则起着次要作用。地形去除实验表明,沿海地区大屯山的局部地形可能通过淡水河谷产生通道效应,加剧海风环流,输送更多的水分。这种由地形引起的海风环流的改变使其动力和热力学特征更有利于对流的发展,导致台北市下午雷暴系统更强,降雨量更大。
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引用次数: 12
The Added Value of Large-eddy and Storm-resolving Models for Simulating Clouds and Precipitation 模拟云和降水的大涡和风暴分解模型的附加值
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-28 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-021
B. Stevens, C. Acquistapace, Akio Hansen, Rieke Heinze, C. Klinger, D. Klocke, H. Rybka, Wiebke Schubotz, J. Windmiller, P. Adamidis, I. Arka, V. Barlakas, J. Biercamp, M. Brueck, S. Brune, S. Buehler, U. Burkhardt, G. Cioni, Montserrat Costa-Surós, S. Crewell, T. Crüger, H. Deneke, P. Friederichs, C. C. Henken, C. Hohenegger, M. Jacob, F. Jakub, N. Kalthoff, M. Köhler, Thirza van Laar, Puxi Li, U. Löhnert, A. Macke, N. Madenach, B. Mayer, C. Nam, A. K. Naumann, K. Peters, S. Poll, J. Quaas, N. Röber, N. Rochetin, Leonhard Scheck, V. Schemann, Sabrina Schnitt, A. Seifert, F. Senf, M. Shapkalijevski, C. Simmer, Shweta Singh, O. Sourdeval, D. Spickermann, J. Strandgren, Octave Tessiot, N. Vercauteren, J. Vial, A. Voigt, Günter Zängl
More than one hundred days were simulated over very large domains with fine (0.156 km to 2.5 km) grid spacing for realistic conditions to test the hypothesis that storm (kilometer) and large-eddy (hectometer) resolving simulations would provide an improved representation of clouds and precipitation in atmospheric simulations. At scales that resolve convective storms (storm-resolving for short), the vertical velocity variance becomes resolved and a better physical basis is achieved for representing clouds and precipitation. Similarly to past studies we found an improved representation of precipitation at kilometer scales, as compared to models with parameterized convection. The main precipitation features (location, diurnal cycle and spatial propagation) are well captured already at kilometer scales, and refining resolution to hectometer scales does not substantially change the simulations in these respects. It does, however, lead to a reduction in the precipitation on the time-scales considered – most notably over the ocean in the tropics. Changes in the distribution of precipitation, with less frequent extremes are also found in simulations incorporating hectometer scales. Hectometer scales appear to be more important for the representation of clouds, and make it possible to capture many important aspects of the cloud field, from the vertical distribution of cloud cover, to the distribution of cloud sizes, and to the diel (daily) cycle. Qualitative improvements, particularly in the ability to differentiate cumulus from stratiform clouds, are seen when one reduces the grid spacing from kilometer to hectometer scales. At the hectometer scale new challenges arise, but the similarity of observed and simulated scales, and the more direct connection between the circulation and the unconstrained degrees of freedom make these challenges less daunting. This quality, combined with already improved simulation as compared to more parameterized models, underpins our conviction that the use and further development of storm-resolving models offers exciting opportunities for advancing understanding of climate and climate change.
在非常大的区域(网格间距为0.156 km至2.5 km)上模拟了超过100天的实际条件,以验证风暴(公里)和大涡(百米)分辨率模拟将在大气模拟中提供更好的云和降水表示的假设。在解决对流风暴(简称风暴解决)的尺度上,垂直速度变化得到了解决,并且为表示云和降水获得了更好的物理基础。与过去的研究类似,我们发现与对流参数化模式相比,千米尺度降水的表示得到了改进。主要的降水特征(位置、日循环和空间传播)已经在千米尺度上得到了很好的捕获,而将分辨率细化到千米尺度并不会在这些方面实质性地改变模拟。然而,它确实会导致所考虑的时间尺度上的降水减少——尤其是在热带海洋上空。在结合百米尺度的模拟中也发现了降水分布的变化,极端事件的频率较低。对于云的表示,百米尺度似乎更为重要,它使捕捉云场的许多重要方面成为可能,从云覆盖的垂直分布,到云大小的分布,以及日循环。当网格间距从千米缩小到千米尺度时,可以看到质量上的改进,特别是区分积云和层状云的能力。在百米尺度上出现了新的挑战,但观测和模拟尺度的相似性,以及环流和不受约束自由度之间更直接的联系,使这些挑战变得不那么令人生畏。与更参数化的模型相比,这种特性与已经改进的模拟相结合,巩固了我们的信念,即风暴解决模型的使用和进一步发展为促进对气候和气候变化的理解提供了令人兴奋的机会。
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引用次数: 95
Impacts of Seasonal Transitions of ENSO on Atmospheric River Activity over East Asia ENSO季节变化对东亚地区大气河流活动的影响
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-027
Moeka Naoi, Y. Kamae, H. Ueda, W. Mei
29 Atmospheric rivers (ARs), narrow water vapor transport bands over the mid-latitudes, 30 often cause great socio-economic impacts over East Asia. While it has been shown that 31 summertime AR activity over East Asia is strongly induced by preceding-winter El Niño 32 development, it remains unclear the extent to which seasonal transitions of El Niño 33 Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from winter to summer affect the AR activity. Here we 34 examine the relationship between the seasonal transitions of ENSO and the summertime 35 AR activity over East Asia using an atmospheric reanalysis and high-resolution 36 atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) ensemble simulations. A rapid transition 37 from preceding-winter El Niño to summertime La Niña results in more AR occurrence over 38 northern East Asia via northward expansion of an anomalous low-level anticyclone over the 39 western North Pacific compared to sustained or decayed El Niño cases. The northward 40 expansion of the anticyclone is consistent with a steady response of the atmosphere to the 41 anomalous condensation heating over the Maritime Continent and equatorial Pacific. 42 Meridional positions of the extratropical AR occurrence and circulation anomalies are 43 different between the reanalysis and AGCM simulations, which is possibly contributed by a 44 limited sample size and/or AGCM biases and suggests that seasonal prediction of 45 AR-related natural disaster risk over East Asia on a regional scale remains a challenge.
大气河流(ARs)是中纬度地区狭窄的水汽输送带,经常对东亚造成巨大的社会经济影响。虽然已有研究表明,冬季前的厄尔尼诺Niño 32发展强烈诱导了东亚夏季AR活动,但厄尔尼诺Niño 33南方涛动(ENSO)从冬季到夏季的季节转变在多大程度上影响AR活动仍不清楚。本文利用大气再分析和高分辨率大气环流模式(AGCM)整体模拟研究了ENSO的季节变化与东亚夏季AR活动之间的关系。与持续或衰减的厄尔尼诺Niño相比,冬季前的厄尔尼诺Niño向夏季的厄尔尼诺Niña的快速转变,通过北太平洋西部上空的异常低空反气旋向北扩展,导致东亚北部发生更多的AR。反气旋向北扩展与大气对海洋大陆和赤道太平洋上空异常凝结加热的稳定响应是一致的。再分析和AGCM模拟结果表明,温带AR发生和环流异常的经向位置有43个差异。这可能是由有限的样本量和/或AGCM偏差造成的,并表明在区域范围内对东亚地区与ar相关的自然灾害风险进行季节性预测仍然是一个挑战。
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引用次数: 13
Responses of Polar Mesocyclone Genesis to Topographic Forcing along the Eastern Coast of Eurasian Continent 欧亚大陆东海岸极地中气旋形成对地形强迫的响应
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-065
K. Tamura, Tomonori Sato
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引用次数: 2
Impact of Resolution and Parameterized Convection on the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in a Global Nonhydrostatic Model 分辨率和参数化对流对全球非流体静力模式降水日循环的影响
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-066
N. Arnold, William M. Putman, S. Freitas
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引用次数: 15
East Asian-Australian Monsoon Variations and their Impacts on Regional Climate during Boreal Summer 寒带夏季东亚-澳大利亚季风变化及其对区域气候的影响
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-014
W. J. Chen, Z. Guan, Huadong Yang, Qi Xu
The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and the Australian winter monsoon (AWM) are two important components of the Asian−Australian monsoon system during boreal summer. The simultaneous variations of these two monsoons would have remarkable impacts on climate in the Asian−Australian region. Using the reanalysis datasets, we investigated the mechanisms of variation and impacts of East Asian−Australian monsoons (EAAMs). The singular value decomposition (SVD) is performed of the June−July−August (JJA) mean anomalous zonal wind for AWM as the left field and JJA mean anomalous meridional wind for EASM as the right field after both El Niño−Southern Oscillation and India Ocean Dipole signals are filtered out. Our results demonstrate that Corresponding author: Zhaoyong Guan, Key Laboratory of Ministry of Education for Meteorological Disaster/International Joint Laboratory on Climate and Environment Change/ Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China E-mail: guanzy@nuist.edu.cn J-stage Advance Published Date: 8 December 2019 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 98, No. 2 284
东亚夏季风(EASM)和澳大利亚冬季风(AWM)是北方夏季亚洲-澳大利亚季风系统的两个重要组成部分。这两个季风的同时变化将对亚洲-澳大利亚地区的气候产生显著影响。利用这些再分析数据,我们研究了东亚-澳大利亚季风(EAAMs)的变化机制及其影响。剔除El Niño−南方涛动和印度洋偶极子信号后,对6 - 7 - 8月(JJA)平均纬向距平风为AWM的左场,JJA平均经向距平风为EASM的右场进行奇异值分解(SVD)。短句来源通讯作者:关兆勇,南京信息工程大学气象灾害教育部重点实验室/气候与环境变化国际联合实验室/气象灾害预报与评估协同创新中心,南京210044,email: guanzy@nuist.edu.cn日本气象学会学报,第98卷,第2期284
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引用次数: 6
An Explanation for the Diagonally Predominant Property of the Positive Symmetric Ensemble Transform Matrix 正对称集合变换矩阵对角占优性质的一个解释
IF 3.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-022
L. Duc, Kazuo Saito, D. Hotta
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan
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