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2022 25th International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION)最新文献

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Gaussian trajectory PMBM filter with nonlinear measurements based on posterior linearisation 基于后验线性化的非线性测量高斯轨迹PMBM滤波器
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841396
Á. F. García-Fernández, J. Ralph, P. Horridge, S. Maskell
This paper presents a Gaussian implementation of the Poisson multi-Bernoulli mixture (PMBM) filter for sets of trajectories with non-linear/non-Gaussian measurements. In this filter, the single-trajectory densities are Gaussian and their updates are performed using the iterated posterior linearisation technique, applied on the current target state. With this approach, we first compute the posterior distribution of the current target state by iteratively refining the linear approximation of the measurement, and the resulting mean square error of the linearisation, based on our current guess of the posterior distribution. After obtaining a Gaussian approximation of the current target state, the distribution of the past states of the trajectory can be obtained in closed form. Via numerical simulations, we compare different algorithms to approximate the single-trajectory posteriors and normalising constants for trajectory PMBM and trajectory Poisson multi-Bernoulli filters.
本文提出了泊松-多-伯努利混合(PMBM)滤波器的高斯实现,用于具有非线性/非高斯测量的轨迹集。在这个滤波器中,单轨迹密度是高斯的,它们的更新是使用迭代后验线性化技术进行的,应用于当前的目标状态。使用这种方法,我们首先通过迭代地改进测量的线性近似值来计算当前目标状态的后验分布,并根据我们当前对后验分布的猜测计算线性化的均方误差。在得到当前目标状态的高斯近似后,可以得到轨迹过去状态的封闭分布。通过数值模拟,我们比较了弹道PMBM和弹道泊松多伯努利滤波器的单弹道后验和归一化常数的近似算法。
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引用次数: 2
Reasoning with conceptual graphs and evidential networks for multi-entity maritime threat assessment 基于概念图和证据网络的多实体海上威胁评估推理
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841301
P. Kowalski, A. Jousselme
Hybrid threat events are rare and cannot be modelled solely based on data. Instead they require a focus on discovery of emergent knowledge through information sharing across agencies and systems. That requires a shared conceptualisation of the problem and entities involved. It also means that uncertain and possibly conflicting information describing multiple entities and their relationships needs to be reasoned about. In this paper we discuss the relationship between uncertain conceptual graphs and belief functions. We put forward a fusion process which allows for taking advantage of evidential reasoning capabilities in a multi-entity context. We show how information from conceptual graphs can be fed into or represented as an evidential networks and how the inference results obtained from valuation networks can be used to generate a probability distribution on conceptual graphs. This is demonstrated on a multi-entity threat assessment situation where a hybrid threat is formed by several possibly cooperating vessels.
混合威胁事件是罕见的,不能仅仅基于数据建模。相反,它们需要关注通过跨机构和系统的信息共享来发现新兴知识。这需要对所涉及的问题和实体有一个共同的概念。这也意味着需要对描述多个实体及其关系的不确定和可能冲突的信息进行推理。本文讨论了不确定概念图与信念函数之间的关系。我们提出了一种融合过程,允许在多实体背景下利用证据推理能力。我们展示了如何将来自概念图的信息馈送到证据网络或表示为证据网络,以及如何使用从估值网络获得的推理结果来生成概念图上的概率分布。这在多实体威胁评估情况下得到了证明,其中混合威胁由几艘可能合作的船只组成。
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引用次数: 2
Intention-Aware Motion Modeling Using GP Priors With Conditional Kernels 带有条件核的GP先验的意图感知运动建模
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841283
Linfeng Xu, Zonglin Hou, M. Mallick, Yang-wang Fang
For the challenging task of modeling actual complex motions, we propose a new class of Gaussian process (GP) models that are data-driven and also take into account prior knowledge of the motion intention. As a theoretical basis, we show that the GP regression is mathematically equivalent to regularized least-squares estimation for random functions with known prior means. Compared with the popular GP models in machine learning literature, the proposed GP motion model priors with conditional kernels have at least two advantages: 1) they are nonstationary and more applicable to represent complex motions by integrating the basic kinematic principles; 2) conditional kernels are further devised by incorporating the motion intent so that the resultant GP models are more versatile and would expectedly entail more accurate trajectory prediction. A superior property of the GP models with conditional kernels is found to improve the computational efficiency. Finally, illustrative examples are provided to show the superiority of the proposed motion models and to verify the theoretical results given in the paper.
针对实际复杂运动建模的挑战性任务,我们提出了一类新的高斯过程(GP)模型,该模型是数据驱动的,并且还考虑了运动意图的先验知识。作为理论基础,我们证明GP回归在数学上等价于具有已知先验均值的随机函数的正则化最小二乘估计。与机器学习文献中流行的GP模型相比,本文提出的带条件核的GP运动模型先验至少有两个优点:1)它是非平稳的,更适用于通过整合基本运动学原理来表示复杂的运动;2)通过结合运动意图进一步设计条件核,从而使所得GP模型更加通用,并且有望实现更准确的轨迹预测。发现带条件核的GP模型具有提高计算效率的优越性。最后,通过算例说明了所提运动模型的优越性,并验证了本文的理论结果。
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引用次数: 2
Robustness in Multiple-Hypothesis Tracking 多假设跟踪的鲁棒性
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841345
S. Coraluppi
Though significant progress has been achieved in the mathematical theory of multi-target tracking and its application in numerous surveillance domains, robust solutions are not always achieved in practice. This paper offers design suggestions for improved performance with a primary focus on multiple-hypothesis tracking based methods.
尽管多目标跟踪的数学理论及其在众多监视领域的应用已经取得了重大进展,但在实际应用中并不总是能得到鲁棒的解决方案。本文提供了改进性能的设计建议,主要关注基于多假设跟踪的方法。
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引用次数: 1
LPI-Based Joint Node Selection and Power Allocation Strategy for Target Tracking in Distributed MIMO Radar 基于lpi的分布式MIMO雷达目标跟踪联合节点选择与功率分配策略
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841348
Xiujuan Lu, Wei Yi, Yangming Lai, Yang Su
This paper addresses the problem of the low probability of intercept (LPI) performance optimization for target tracking in the distributed MIMO radar systems through the transmitting resource scheduling (TRS) strategy. The mechanism of the proposed LPI-based TRS strategy is to adopt the optimization technique to collaboratively schedule the transmit radar node and signal power with the target tracking accuracy requirement, which aims to enhance the LPI performance of the overall system. Based on the existing research, we develop an intercept model to describe two stages of the signal intercept process with the specific interceptor equipped on the moving target, i.e., intercept and detection. Under the proposed model, the probability of report (PR) is proposed to evaluate the LPI performance for a single transmitting radar node. Then, we consider the maximum PR to represent the LPI performance metric for the overall system. Hence, using it as the objective function, the optimization problem is established with the constraints of the target tracking requirement and the system resource. By introducing the two-step partition-based solution, the proposed non-convex problem is solved efficiently. Finally, several numerical simulations demonstrate the theoretical calculations and validate the effectiveness of the proposed LPI-based TRS strategy.
本文通过传输资源调度策略解决了分布式MIMO雷达系统低截获概率(LPI)目标跟踪性能优化问题。提出的基于LPI的TRS策略的机制是采用优化技术,根据目标跟踪精度要求协同调度发射雷达节点和信号功率,以提高整个系统的LPI性能。在已有研究的基础上,我们建立了一个拦截模型来描述在移动目标上装备特定拦截器时信号拦截过程的两个阶段,即拦截和探测。在该模型下,提出了报告概率(PR)来评估单个发射雷达节点的LPI性能。然后,我们考虑最大PR来表示整个系统的LPI性能指标。因此,以其为目标函数,以目标跟踪需求和系统资源为约束,建立了优化问题。通过引入基于两步划分的求解方法,有效地解决了所提出的非凸问题。最后,通过数值仿真验证了理论计算结果,验证了基于lpi的TRS策略的有效性。
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引用次数: 3
Elements of an Ethical AI Demonstrator for Responsibly Designing Defence Systems 负责任设计防御系统的道德AI演示者的要素
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841387
W. Koch
In order to protect their common heritage of culture, personal freedom, and the rule of law in an increasingly fragile world, democracies must be able to defend themselves “at machine speed” if necessary. The use of AI in defense there-fore comprises responsible weapons engagement as well as military use cases such as logistics, predictive maintenance, intelligence, surveillance or reconnaissance. This poses a timeless question: How to decide well according to what is recognized as true? For approaching towards an answer, responsible control-lability needs to be turned into three tasks of systems engineering: (1) Design artificially intelligent automation in a way that human beings are mentally and emotionally able to master each situation. (2) Identify technical design principles to facilitate the responsible use of AI in defence. (3) Guarantee that human decision makers always have full superiority of information, decision-making, and options of action. The Ethical AI Demonstrator (E-AID) proposed here for air defence is paving the way by letting soldiers experience the use of AI in the targeting cycle along with associated aspects of stress as realistically as possible.
为了在一个日益脆弱的世界中保护他们共同的文化遗产、个人自由和法治,民主国家必须能够在必要时“以机器的速度”保卫自己。因此,人工智能在国防中的使用包括负责任的武器交战以及军事用例,如后勤、预测性维护、情报、监视或侦察。这就提出了一个永恒的问题:如何根据公认的真理做出正确的决定?为了接近答案,需要将负责任的可控制性转化为系统工程的三个任务:(1)设计人工智能自动化,使人类在精神上和情感上能够掌握每种情况。(2)确定技术设计原则,促进在国防中负责任地使用人工智能。(3)保证人类决策者始终具有充分的信息优势、决策优势和行动选择优势。这里提出的用于防空的道德人工智能演示器(E-AID)通过让士兵在瞄准周期中尽可能真实地体验人工智能的使用,以及相关的压力方面,从而铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 1
An Effective Measure of Uncertainty of Basic Belief Assignments 基本信念赋值不确定性的有效度量
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841273
J. Dezert
This paper presents a new effective measure of un-certainty (MoU) of basic belief assignments. This new continuous measure is effective in the sense that it satisfies a small number of very natural and essential desiderata. Our new simple math-ematical definition of MoU captures well the interwoven link of randomness and imprecision inherent to basic belief assignments. Its numerical value is easy to calculate. This new effective MoU characterizes efficiently any source of evidence used in the belief functions framework. Because this MoU coincides with Shannon entropy for any Bayesian basic belief assignment, it can be also interpreted as an effective generalization of Shannon entropy. We also provide several examples to show how this new MoU works.
提出了一种新的有效测度基本信念赋值不确定性的方法。这种新的连续措施是有效的,因为它满足了少数非常自然和必要的需求。我们对MoU的新的简单数学定义很好地抓住了基本信念赋值固有的随机性和不精确性的交织联系。其数值易于计算。这一新的有效谅解备忘录有效地描述了信念函数框架中使用的任何证据来源。由于该MoU与任何贝叶斯基本信念赋值的香农熵一致,因此也可以解释为香农熵的有效泛化。我们还提供了几个示例来展示这个新的MoU是如何工作的。
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引用次数: 4
Continuous Model Evaluation and Adaptation to Distribution Shifts: A Probabilistic Self-Supervised Approach 连续模型评估与分布变化的自适应:一种概率自监督方法
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841353
G. Pavlin, J. P. de Villiers, Kathryn B. Laskey, F. Mignet, L. Jansen
This paper introduces a Bayesian approach to estimating distribution shifts over the modelled variables and continuous model adaptations to mitigate the impact of such shifts. The method exploits probabilistic inference over sets of correlated variables in causal models describing data generating processes. By extending the models with latent auxiliary variables, probabilistic inference over sets of correlated variables enables estimation of the distribution shifts impacting different parts of the models. Moreover, the introduction of latent auxiliary variables makes inference more robust against distribution shifts and supports automated, self-supervised adaptation of the modelling parameters during the operation, often significantly reducing the adverse impact of the distribution shifts. The effectiveness of the method has been validated in systematic experiments using synthetic data.
本文介绍了一种贝叶斯方法来估计建模变量的分布位移和连续的模型适应以减轻这种位移的影响。该方法利用描述数据生成过程的因果模型中相关变量集的概率推理。通过使用潜在辅助变量扩展模型,对相关变量集的概率推断可以估计影响模型不同部分的分布移位。此外,潜在辅助变量的引入使推理对分布变化的鲁棒性更强,并支持在运行过程中自动、自监督地适应建模参数,通常会显著减少分布变化的不利影响。该方法的有效性已在系统实验中得到验证。
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引用次数: 0
On the Development of Quantitative Operator Situational Awareness Assessment Methods for Small-Scale Unmanned Aircraft Systems 小型无人机系统操作员态势感知定量评估方法研究
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841297
Minseop Choi, John Houle, T. Wickramarathne
Small-Scale Unmanned Autonomous Systems $(sUASs)$ have become an integral part of situation assessment and decision support tasks across a multitude of application domains. Evaluation methods that provide decisive comparisons between different sUAS platforms are critical for not only selecting suitable sUASs, but also for making sure that the chosen sUAS platform can satisfy the required minimum capabilities for a given application. Toward developing sUAS test methods, a new quantitative Operator Situation Awareness (OSA) assessment method is presented for evaluating and comparing sUAS platforms for their ability to provide adequate levels of Situation Awareness (SA) in subterranean (SubT) environments. The work presented here improves upon our previous work based on Attention Allocation Model $(AAM)$ and Man-Machine Integration Design and Analysis (MIDAS)-based SA model by (a) applying formulas to the Salience, Effort, Expectancy, and Value (SEEV) model for accurate quantification and (b) utilizing improved experiments with new operationally relevant scenarios designed to validate those formulas. In particular, our new OSA assessment method accounts for spatial perception differences across platforms by introducing a new component that we refer to as Virtual Proportion, which is obtained from Attention Allocation Proportion of other other Situation Elements by comparing the correct rate of Situation Awareness Global Assessment Technique (SAGAT). Our approach is illustrated via USA comparison of two (02) military-grade sUAS platforms. The paper concludes with a discussion on potential future expansions.
小型无人自主系统(sUASs)已经成为众多应用领域中态势评估和决策支持任务的重要组成部分。提供不同sUAS平台之间决定性比较的评估方法不仅对于选择合适的sUAS至关重要,而且对于确保所选择的sUAS平台能够满足给定应用所需的最低功能也至关重要。为了开发sUAS测试方法,提出了一种新的定量操作员态势感知(OSA)评估方法,用于评估和比较sUAS平台在地下(SubT)环境中提供足够水平的态势感知(SA)的能力。本文提出的工作是在我们之前基于注意力分配模型(AAM)和基于人机集成设计与分析(MIDAS)的SA模型的基础上进行改进的,方法是:(a)将公式应用于显著性、努力、期望和价值(SEEV)模型以进行准确量化;(b)利用改进的实验,设计新的操作相关场景来验证这些公式。特别是,我们的新的OSA评估方法通过引入一个我们称之为虚拟比例的新组件来考虑平台间的空间感知差异,该组件通过比较态势感知全局评估技术(SAGAT)的正确率,从其他态势要素的注意力分配比例中获得。我们的方法是通过美国的两个(02)军用级sUAS平台的比较说明。本文最后讨论了未来可能的扩展。
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引用次数: 2
Optimal Linear Fusion of Dimension-Reduced Estimates Using Eigenvalue Optimization 基于特征值优化的降维估计最优线性融合
Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.23919/fusion49751.2022.9841266
Robin Forsling, Zoran Sjanic, F. Gustafsson, Gustaf Hendeby
Data fusion in a communication constrained sensor network is considered. The problem is to reduce the dimensionality of the joint state estimate without significantly decreasing the estimation performance. A method based on scalar subspace projections is derived for this purpose. We consider the cases where the estimates to be fused are: (i) uncorrelated, and (ii) correlated. It is shown how the subspaces can be derived using eigenvalue optimization. In the uncorrelated case guarantees on mean square error optimality are provided. In the correlated case an iterative algorithm based on alternating minimization is proposed. The methods are analyzed using parametrized examples. A simulation evaluation shows that the proposed method performs well both for uncorrelated and correlated estimates.
研究了通信受限传感器网络中的数据融合问题。问题是在不显著降低估计性能的前提下降低联合状态估计的维数。为此,导出了一种基于标量子空间投影的方法。我们考虑要融合的估计是:(i)不相关和(ii)相关的情况。给出了如何利用特征值优化来推导子空间。在不相关情况下,给出了均方误差最优性的保证。在相关情况下,提出了一种基于交替最小化的迭代算法。用参数化算例对方法进行了分析。仿真结果表明,该方法对非相关估计和相关估计都有较好的效果。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
2022 25th International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION)
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