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Machine Learning of Ambiguous Sentences and Analysis of relation between Ambiguous Sentences and Diagrams in Technical Manual for Tacit Knowledge Acquisition 隐性知识获取技术手册中模糊句的机器学习及模糊句与图表的关系分析
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v5.i1.575
Naoto Kai, Kota Sakasegawa, Tsunenori Mine, S. Hirokawa
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引用次数: 1
Predictive Uncertainty in Neural Network-Based Financial Market Forecasting 基于神经网络的金融市场预测的预测不确定性
Pub Date : 2021-02-27 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v5.i1.541
Iwao Maeda, Hiroyasu Matsushima, Hiroki Sakaji, K. Izumi, David deGraw, Atsuo Kato, Michiharu Kitano
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引用次数: 0
New Applications of the Monte-Carlo Tree Search to Computer Daihinmin 蒙特卡罗树搜索在计算机Daihinmin中的新应用
Pub Date : 2020-05-30 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v4.i1.514
Seiya Okubo, Mitsuo Wakatsuki, Tasuku Mitsuishi, Yasuki Dobashi, T. Nishino
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引用次数: 2
Japanese Interest Rate Forecast Considering the Linkage of Global Markets Using Machine Learning Methods 利用机器学习方法考虑全球市场联动的日本利率预测
Pub Date : 2020-05-30 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v4.i1.500
Yoshiyuki Suimon, Hiroki Sakaji, K. Izumi, T. Shimada, Hiroyasu Matsushima
In recent years, overseas financial system crises (e.g., Lehman shock and European debt crisis) and the effects of monetary policy changes by US and European central banks exerted major influence on the Japanese interest rates market. In this research, we developed a forecasting model of Japanese interest rate based on a variety of machine learning methods, by considering the information obtained from overseas rates markets and currency markets. Finally, we confirmed that the prediction accuracy of Japanese long-term interest rate improved by using the US interest rates data in addition to the Japanese interest rates data for machine learning. Furthermore, we confirmed that the prediction accuracy increased by using US and Japanese rates markets data in recent years, particularly after 2006. This result suggests that information of overseas interest rates can be used to forecast Japanese rates market nowadays.
近年来,海外金融体系危机(如雷曼冲击和欧债危机)以及美欧央行货币政策变化的影响对日本利率市场产生了重大影响。在本研究中,我们考虑了从海外利率市场和货币市场获得的信息,开发了基于多种机器学习方法的日本利率预测模型。最后,我们证实,除了使用日本利率数据进行机器学习外,还使用美国利率数据提高了日本长期利率的预测精度。此外,我们证实,近年来,特别是在2006年之后,使用美国和日本的利率市场数据,预测的准确性有所提高。这一结果表明,海外利率信息可以用来预测目前的日本利率市场。
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引用次数: 1
Designing Reverse Supply Chain Network with Costs and Recycling Rate by Using Linear Physical Programming 利用线性物理编程设计具有成本和回收率的逆向供应链网络
Pub Date : 2019-11-20 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v3.i2.292
Hiromasa Ijuin, Y. Kinoshita, Tetsuo Yamada, A. Ishigaki, M. Inoue
In recent years, economic growth and an increasing population have led to increased consumption of numerous amounts of assembly products and material resources all over the world. As the result, material shortages have become a serious global problem. To circulate materials from end-of-life (EOL) assembly products, manufacturers have to design reverse supply chain networks for EOL products. The reverse supply chain includes transportation of the EOL products from collection centers to recovery and/or disposal facilities. There are costs involved in recycling, transporting the EOL products and opening facilities. In addition, the EOL product statuses differ by user situation, and the recycling rate and cost of each product and part are dependent on the statuses. To design a reverse supply chain network, a decision maker (DM) decides the transportation route, the number of products on each route, and the production volumes at each facility to minimize the total cost while maximizing the recycling rate of the whole network. However, the relationship between the recycling rate and the total cost becomes a tradeoff. Therefore, the DM has to solve these issues simultaneously. On the other hand, Linear Physical Programming (LPP) is one of the effective methods for solving multi-objective problems. It allows the DM to express desirable ranges for each criterion. One of the most significant advantages of using LPP is that the DM does not need to specify the mathematical weights for each criterion. This study designs a bi-objective reverse supply chain network to collect and recycle the EOL assembly products using LPP. First, based on our previous study, the reverse supply chain network is modeled to transport the EOL products from collection centers to recycling facilities depending on the EOL product status, which includes the possible recycling cost and rate. Next, the reverse supply chain network is formulated using LPP to minimize the total cost while maintaining the recycling rate of the whole network. Third, a case study is conducted and the results obtained by the LPP and the integer programming from our previous study are compared. Finally, the sensitivity analysis for facility cost and the effect of changing the preference ranges of objective functions are investigated.
近年来,经济的增长和人口的增加导致全世界大量装配产品和材料资源的消耗。因此,材料短缺已成为一个严重的全球性问题。为了循环利用报废(EOL)组装产品的材料,制造商必须为报废产品设计逆向供应链网络。逆向供应链包括将报废产品从收集中心运输到回收和/或处置设施。回收、运输 EOL 产品和开放设施都需要成本。此外,EOL 产品的状态因用户情况而异,每种产品和部件的回收率和成本都取决于其状态。在设计逆向供应链网络时,决策者(DM)需要决定运输路线、每条路线上的产品数量以及每个设施的产量,从而使总成本最小化,同时使整个网络的回收率最大化。然而,回收率与总成本之间的关系是一个权衡问题。因此,DM 必须同时解决这些问题。另一方面,线性物理编程(LPP)是解决多目标问题的有效方法之一。它允许 DM 为每个标准表达理想的范围。使用 LPP 的最大优势之一是,DM 无需指定每个标准的数学权重。本研究利用 LPP 设计了一个收集和回收 EOL 组装产品的双目标逆向供应链网络。首先,根据我们之前的研究,建立了反向供应链网络模型,以根据 EOL 产品状态将 EOL 产品从收集中心运送到回收设施,其中包括可能的回收成本和回收率。其次,使用 LPP 法制定逆向供应链网络,以在保持整个网络回收率的同时使总成本最小化。第三,进行案例研究,并将 LPP 和我们之前研究中的整数编程得出的结果进行比较。最后,研究了设施成本的敏感性分析和改变目标函数偏好范围的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Pruning Algorithms for A Replicator Dynamics Method in Multiple OD Selfish Routing Games 多OD自路由博弈中复制器动力学方法的剪枝算法
Pub Date : 2019-11-19 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v3.i2.416
Guu Kofujita
A traffic flow allocation has been studied by many researches. This problem is treated by both urban planning research and game theoretical approaches. We stand on game theory to consider the traffic flow allocation problem by treating a class of congestion games on the network. The traffic flow allocation is called, in context the congestion game, a selfish routing game. In this game, our proposal is to find an equilibria of decision making of the players. The player's decision is amounts of flows for each origin-destination path. It is known that the equilibrium searching problem as edge based modeling is able to compute easily by using Frank-Wolfe method, however, the edge based model has weak expressiveness. Thus we employ a path based modeling that can treat some complex phenomena. In this model, since we need to handle many paths in a network, it is known that the equilibrium searching problem is difficult. In this paper, we study a solving method for a multi OD selfish routing game, and a method for solving standard routing games and its high speeding method. Our algorithm employs a replicator dynamics which is one of iterative optimization techniques. In the solution based on the replicator dynamics, the calculation time is very large, since the calculation is also performed for all paths. Therefore, as a preprocessing of solving by replicator dynamics, the policy of the proposed method is to make computation time faster by deleting unused paths. This paper evaluates the algorithm by numerical experiment.
对于交通流分配问题,已有很多研究。城市规划研究和博弈论方法都在研究这一问题。本文从博弈论的角度出发,通过处理网络上的一类拥堵博弈来考虑交通流分配问题。这种流量分配在上下文中称为拥塞博弈,即自私路由博弈。在这个博弈中,我们的建议是找到参与人的决策均衡。玩家的决策是每个起始-目的地路径的流量。平衡搜索问题作为一种基于边缘的建模方法,使用Frank-Wolfe方法可以很容易地计算,但是基于边缘的模型表达能力较弱。因此,我们采用基于路径的建模方法来处理一些复杂的现象。在该模型中,由于我们需要处理网络中的许多路径,因此已知平衡搜索问题是困难的。本文研究了一种多OD自利路由对策的求解方法,以及一种标准路由对策的求解方法及其高速方法。我们的算法采用了复制器动力学,这是一种迭代优化技术。在基于复制器动力学的解决方案中,由于还要对所有路径执行计算,因此计算时间非常长。因此,作为复制器动力学求解的预处理,该方法的策略是通过删除未使用的路径来加快计算时间。本文通过数值实验对该算法进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
Design and Analysis of Global Supply Chain Network with Trans-Pacific Partnership under Fluctuating Material Prices 材料价格波动下跨太平洋伙伴关系下全球供应链网络的设计与分析
Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v3.i1.291
Kengo Nakamura
Manufacturing firms are becoming more global and forming global supply chain networks in their pursuit of lower production costs and emerging markets, including those in Asia. The global supply chain network consists of domestic as well as international suppliers, factories, and markets. Then, the supply chain network applies customs duties when parts and products are transported across overseas borders. In addition, awareness about several cross-border treaties such as regional free trade agreements (FTAs) and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), is indispensable when designing a global supply chain network. The current fluctuations in oil and energy price also cannot be ignored. This study analyzes the effect of fluctuating material prices on the global supply chain network under customs duty rates and the TPP regime. First, the global supply chain network with customs duty and TPP is modeled. Next, the model is formulated with integer programming. Finally, sensitivity analysis is conducted in order to investigate the effect on the global supply chain network of the fluctuations in material prices.
制造业企业正在变得更加全球化,并形成全球供应链网络,以追求更低的生产成本和包括亚洲在内的新兴市场。全球供应链网络由国内和国际供应商、工厂和市场组成。然后,供应链网络在零件和产品跨越海外边境运输时征收关税。此外,在设计全球供应链网络时,对区域自由贸易协定(FTAs)和跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)等几个跨境条约的认识是必不可少的。当前石油和能源价格的波动也不容忽视。本研究分析在关税税率和TPP制度下,物料价格波动对全球供应链网络的影响。首先,建立了包含关税和TPP的全球供应链网络模型。其次,用整数规划的方法建立模型。最后,进行敏感性分析,考察物料价格波动对全球供应链网络的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Construction of Urban Problem LOD using Crowdsourcing 利用众包构建城市问题LOD
Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v3.i1.321
S. Egami, Takahiro Kawamura, Kouji Kozaki, Akihiko Ohsuga
Municipalities in Japan have various urban problems such as traffic accidents, illegally parked bicycles, and noise pollution. However, using these data to solve urban problems is difficult, as these data are not structurally constructed. Hence, we aim to construct the Linked Data set that will facilitate the solving of urban problems. In this paper, we propose a method for semi-automatic construction of Linked Data with the causality of urban problems, based on Web pages and open government data. Specifically, we extracted causal relations using natural language processing and crowdsourcing to include problem causality in the Linked Data. Then, we provided an example query to confirm the relationships between several problems. Finally, we discussed our crowdsourcing task design for extracting urban problem causality.
日本的市政当局有各种各样的城市问题,如交通事故、非法停放的自行车和噪音污染。然而,使用这些数据来解决城市问题是困难的,因为这些数据不是结构化的。因此,我们的目标是构建有助于解决城市问题的关联数据集。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于网页和开放政府数据的半自动构建具有城市问题因果关系的关联数据的方法。具体来说,我们使用自然语言处理和众包提取因果关系,将问题因果关系包含在关联数据中。然后,我们提供了一个示例查询来确认几个问题之间的关系。最后,我们讨论了提取城市问题因果关系的众包任务设计。
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引用次数: 1
Effect of a Setup without Machine Stop in a Multi-item Process Production System 多工序生产系统中不停机设置的效果
Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v3.i1.260
Manabu Yamazaki
Recently, due to the diversification of market needs, production plants are shifting to multi-item small-volume production. However, frequent item switching in a single facility increases the setup time, resulting in a decrease in the production rate or the operational ratio of facilities. In this study, we consider a process production scheduling for a factory with a long setup time that produces multiple variants of garbage bags. In the experiment, several item-switching patterns were set on the basis of actual examples, and the influence of the differences in the setup method in continuous production of difficult-to-process products on the production time and setup time was investigated. Based on the comparison to the conventional production schedule, it is possible to improve the production time and setup time without increasing the loss by changing the setup method.
最近,由于市场需求的多样化,生产工厂正在转向多项目小批量生产。然而,在单个设备中频繁的项目切换增加了设置时间,导致生产速率或设备的运行比率下降。在本研究中,我们考虑了一个生产多种垃圾袋的工厂的过程生产调度。在实验中,以实际实例为基础,设置了几种切换模式,研究了难加工产品连续生产中设置方式的差异对生产时间和设置时间的影响。通过与常规生产计划的比较,可以在不增加损失的情况下,通过改变安装方法来提高生产时间和安装时间。
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引用次数: 0
Two Approaches to Supporting Improvisational Ensemble for Music Beginners based on Body Motion Tracking 基于身体运动追踪的两种支持音乐初学者即兴合奏的方法
Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.52731/ijscai.v3.i1.286
Shugo Ichinose, Souta Mizuno, Shun Shiramatsu, Tetsuro Kitahara
Melody recognition consists of three cognitive elements: pitch contour, rhythm, and tonality. Pitch contour and rhythm can be relatively easily represented by body motion. In comparison, tonality is difficult to understand and to represent for music beginners. In this paper, we focus on two approaches to supporting improvisational ensemble for music beginners on the basis of body motion tracking: (1) an approach by using a 3D motion capture camera and (2) an approach by using sensors in a smartphone. Users of our systems can participate in improvisational ensembles by making hand movements that correspond to the pitch contour and rhythm without considering tonality because the generated pitch is automatically adjusted to a consonant pitch with the chords of a background tune. To deal with the delay in gesture recognition by using the 3D motion capture camera, we improved a method for recognizing gestures. The experimental results show that the delay of our method was improved over that of the conventional one. Furthermore, we implemented a method for motion tracking on the basis of smartphone sensors. The experimental results show the difficulties of motion tracking with smartphone sensors. Moreover, we discuss perspectives on social reuse of improvisational melody data shared it as open data.
旋律识别包括三个认知要素:音高轮廓、节奏和调性。音高、轮廓和节奏可以相对容易地用身体动作来表现。相比之下,调性对于音乐初学者来说是难以理解和表现的。在本文中,我们重点研究了两种基于身体运动跟踪的方法来支持音乐初学者的即兴合奏:(1)使用3D运动捕捉相机的方法和(2)使用智能手机中的传感器的方法。我们系统的用户可以参与即兴合奏,只要根据音高轮廓和节奏做出手部动作,而不用考虑调性,因为生成的音高会自动调整为与背景曲调的和弦一致的音高。针对三维运动捕捉相机在手势识别中存在的延迟问题,改进了一种手势识别方法。实验结果表明,该方法的延迟比传统方法有所改善。此外,我们还实现了一种基于智能手机传感器的运动跟踪方法。实验结果表明了智能手机传感器运动跟踪的困难。此外,我们还讨论了作为开放数据共享的即兴旋律数据的社会再利用前景。
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引用次数: 1
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International Journal of Smart Computing and Artificial Intelligence
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